Cryptococcal Meningitis and Clinical Outcomes in Persons With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Global View.

BACKGROUND: Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV; PWH). Little is known about CM outcomes and availability of diagnostic and treatment modalities globally. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we investigated CM incidence and all-cause mortality in PWH in the International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS cohort from 1996 to 2017. We estimated incidence using quasi-Poisson models adjusted for sex, age, calendar year, CD4 cell count (CD4), and antiretroviral therapy (ART) status. Mortality after CM diagnosis was examined using multivariable Cox models. A site survey from 2017 assessed availability of CM diagnostic and treatment modalities. RESULTS: Among 518 852 PWH, there were 3857 cases of CM with an estimated incidence of 1.54 per 1000 person-years. Mortality over a median of 2.6 years of post-CM diagnosis follow-up was 31.6%, with 29% lost to follow-up. In total, 2478 (64%) were diagnosed with CM after ART start with a median of 253 days from ART start to CM diagnosis. Older age (hazard [HR], 1.31 for 50 vs 35 years), lower CD4 (HR, 1.15 for 200 vs 350 cells/mm3), and earlier year of CM diagnosis (HR, 0.51 for 2015 vs 2000) were associated with higher mortality. Of 89 sites, 34% reported access to amphotericin B; 12% had access to flucytosine. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality after CM diagnosis was high. A substantial portion of CM cases occurred after ART start, though incidence and mortality may be higher than reported due to ascertainment bias. Many sites lacked access to recommended CM treatment.

Effect of Adopting the New Race-Free 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Creatinine Equation on Racial Differences in Kidney Disease Progression Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of adopting a race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) creatinine (eGFRcr) equation on racial differences in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression among people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) is unknown. METHODS: We defined eGFR stages using the original race-adjusted Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFRcr equation and the new race-free CKD-EPI eGFRcr equation. We then estimated 5-year probabilities of transitioning from baseline kidney function to more advanced eGFR stages and examined the association of race (black vs white) with rates of CKD progression using Markov models. RESULTS: With the race-adjusted eGFRcr equation, black participants (n = 31 298) had a lower risk of progressing from eGFR stage 1 to 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], .73-.82), an equal risk of progressing from stage 2 to 3 (1.00; .92-.07) and a 3-fold risk of progressing from stage 3 to 4 or 5 (3.06; 2.60-3.62), compared with white participants (n = 27 542). When we used the race-free eGFRcr equation, 16% of black participants were reclassified into a more severe eGFR stage at baseline. The reclassified black individuals had a higher prevalence of CKD risk factors than black PWH who were not reclassified. With the race-free eGFRcr equation, black participants had a higher risk of disease progression across all eGFR stages than white participants. CONCLUSIONS: The original eGFRcr equation systematically masked a subgroup of black PWH who are at high-risk of CKD progression. The new race-free eGFRcr equation unmasks these individuals and may allow for earlier detection and management of CKD.

Observed CD4 counts at entry into HIV care and at antiretroviral therapy prescription by age in the USA, 2004-18: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Adults aged 50 years or older comprise a majority of people with HIV in the USA. Our objective was to describe observed differences by age in CD4 count at entry into HIV care, timing of antiretroviral therapy (ART) prescription, and CD4 count at time of ART prescription before (2004-11) and during (2012-18) the current era of universal treatment. METHODS: For this descriptive study, we calculated median (IQR) CD4 count at entry into care, days from entry into care to ART prescription, and CD4 count at time of ART prescription among patients enrolled in US-based clinical cohorts of the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD; see appendix). We excluded participants with no CD4 count recorded at entry into care, medical records that suggested previous ART use, or previous AIDS diagnosis. All calculations were stratified by age (≥50 and 18-50 years) and calendar year. FINDINGS: Of 35 293 ART-naive adult participants entering care between Jan 1, 2004 and Dec 31, 2018, 5794 (16%) were women and 29 499 (84%) were men; 15817 (45%) were Black, 11566 (33%) were White, 5538 (16%) were Hispanic (any race), 737 (2%) were Asian or Pacific Islander, 152 (0.4%) were Indigenous, and 98 (0.3%) were multiracial. Median age at entry into care was 39 years (IQR 29-49); 8004 (23%) were aged 50 years or older. Of 29 141 participants initially prescribed ART, 7274 (25%) were aged 50 years or older. From 2004 to 2018, median CD4 count at entry into care increased from 228 cells per µL (IQR 80-422) to 295 cells per µL (134-489) among adults aged 50 years and older, and from 297 cells per µL (119-480) to 378 cells per µL (202-564) among adults younger than 50 years. Median days from entry into care to ART prescription declined from 56 (IQR 17-658) to 6 (0-15) among adults older than 50 years, and from 61 (17-509) to 6 (0-16) among adults younger than 50 years. Median CD4 count at time of ART prescription increased from 139 cells per µL (IQR 59-257) to 311 cells per µL (137-504) among adults aged 50 years or older, and from 166 cells per µL (49-287) to 377 cells per µL (198-564) among adults younger than 50 years. INTERPRETATION: Before the release of universal treatment guidelines by the US Department of Health and Human Services in 2012, median time to ART prescription was already falling, leading to increases in median CD4 count at ART prescription for both age groups; both measures continued to improve in the treat-all era. However, median CD4 counts, both at entry into care and at ART prescription, among adults aged 50 years and older were lower than those of adults younger than 50 years throughout the study period. Furthermore, even into the treat-all era, over half of adults aged 50 years and older entered care with CD4 counts of less than 350 cells per µL, potentially because of factors including immunosenescence, delayed HIV diagnosis, and late presentation to care. Given that age-related immunological changes might not be fully avoidable, targeted strategies for increasing HIV risk awareness, routine testing, and immediate linkage to HIV care at diagnosis are particularly essential for this population. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health grant U01AI069918.

Five-Year Mortality for Adults Entering Human Immunodeficiency Virus Care Under Universal Early Treatment Compared With the General US Population.

BACKGROUND: Mortality among adults with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains elevated over those in the US general population, even in the years after entry into HIV care. We explore whether the elevation in 5-year mortality would have persisted if all adults with HIV had initiated antiretroviral therapy within 3 months of entering care. METHODS: Among 82 766 adults entering HIV care at North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration clinical sites in the United States, we computed mortality over 5 years since entry into HIV care under observed treatment patterns. We then used inverse probability weights to estimate mortality under universal early treatment. To compare mortality with those for similar individuals in the general population, we used National Center for Health Statistics data to construct a cohort representing the subset of the US population matched to study participants on key characteristics. RESULTS: For the entire study period (1999-2017), the 5-year mortality among adults with HIV was 7.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.6%-8.2%) higher than expected based on the US general population. Under universal early treatment, the elevation in mortality for people with HIV would have been 7.2% (95% CI: 5.8%-8.6%). In the most recent calendar period examined (2011-2017), the elevation in mortality for people with HIV was 2.6% (95% CI: 2.0%-3.3%) under observed treatment patterns and 2.1% (.0%-4.2%) under universal early treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Expanding early treatment may modestly reduce, but not eliminate, the elevation in mortality for people with HIV.

Long-term HIV/AIDS survivors: Patients living with HIV infection retained in care for over 20 years. What have we learned?

Individuals diagnosed with HIV before 1996 had poor prognoses. Few HIV care centers can track patients continuously from the 1980s to present. We determined the sociodemographic, clinical, and health care utilization characteristics of patients diagnosed and followed for >20 years (i.e. long-term HIV/AIDS survivors) to understand what factors contributed to survival. All HIV-positive patients diagnosed before 1996 were categorized as active, moved/lost, or died as of 1 January 2016. Baseline sociodemographic, clinical characteristics, antiretroviral therapy (ART) usage, retention, HIV care costs, and health status were analyzed. Of 876 patients, 49.5% died, 30.3% moved or left, 20.3% remained active in care for a median of 23.4 years. At diagnosis, continuously-followed patients were younger with a higher CD4 cell count, attended regular clinic visits at higher frequencies, and had received more ART than patients who moved or died. As of 1 January 2016, their median age was 57 years (interquartile range 53-62), 15% were aged >65 years, median CD4 cell count was 591 cells/mm3 (475-863) with 68% >500 cells/mm3. Sixty-two percent remained employed. The total cost of HIV care was $32,251,030 (Cdn$); median cost per patient per year $15,418 ($13,697-$18,392). Individuals diagnosed prior to 1996 benefited from early diagnosis and engagement to care, regular follow-ups, and timely initiation of ART, strongly supporting the modern guidelines of care.

HIV Infection, Immunosuppression, and Age at Diagnosis of Non-AIDS-Defining Cancers.

Background: It is unclear whether immunosuppression leads to younger ages at cancer diagnosis among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH). A previous study found that most cancers are not diagnosed at a younger age in people with AIDS, with the exception of anal and lung cancers. This study extends prior work to include all PLWH and examines associations between AIDS, CD4 count, and age at cancer diagnosis. Methods: We compared the median age at cancer diagnosis between PLWH in the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design and the general population using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program. We used statistical weights to adjust for population differences. We also compared median age at cancer diagnosis by AIDS status and CD4 count. Results: After adjusting for population differences, younger ages at diagnosis (P < .05) were observed for PLWH compared with the general population for lung (difference in medians = 4 years), anal (difference = 4), oral cavity/pharynx (difference = 2), and kidney cancers (difference = 2) and myeloma (difference = 4). Among PLWH, having an AIDS-defining event was associated with a younger age at myeloma diagnosis (difference = 4; P = .01), and CD4 count <200 cells/µL (vs ≥500) was associated with a younger age at lung cancer diagnosis (difference = 4; P = .006). Conclusions: Among PLWH, most cancers are not diagnosed at younger ages. However, this study strengthens evidence that lung cancer, anal cancer, and myeloma are diagnosed at modestly younger ages, and also shows younger ages at diagnosis of oral cavity/pharynx and kidney cancers, possibly reflecting accelerated cancer progression, etiologic heterogeneity, or risk factor exposure in PLWH.

Using observational data to emulate a randomized trial of dynamic treatment-switching strategies: an application to antiretroviral therapy.

Background: When a clinical treatment fails or shows suboptimal results, the question of when to switch to another treatment arises. Treatment switching strategies are often dynamic because the time of switching depends on the evolution of an individual's time-varying covariates. Dynamic strategies can be directly compared in randomized trials. For example, HIV-infected individuals receiving antiretroviral therapy could be randomized to switching therapy within 90 days of HIV-1 RNA crossing above a threshold of either 400 copies/ml (tight-control strategy) or 1000 copies/ml (loose-control strategy). Methods: We review an approach to emulate a randomized trial of dynamic switching strategies using observational data from the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration, the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems and the HIV-CAUSAL Collaboration. We estimated the comparative effect of tight-control vs. loose-control strategies on death and AIDS or death via inverse-probability weighting. Results: Of 43 803 individuals who initiated an eligible antiretroviral therapy regimen in 2002 or later, 2001 met the baseline inclusion criteria for the mortality analysis and 1641 for the AIDS or death analysis. There were 21 deaths and 33 AIDS or death events in the tight-control group, and 28 deaths and 41 AIDS or death events in the loose-control group. Compared with tight control, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for loose control were 1.10 (0.73, 1.66) for death, and 1.04 (0.86, 1.27) for AIDS or death. Conclusions: Although our effective sample sizes were small and our estimates imprecise, the described methodological approach can serve as an example for future analyses.

High Mortality Among Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-Infected Individuals Before Accessing or Linking to HIV Care: A Missing Outcome in the Cascade of Care?

BACKGROUND: The "cascade of care" displays the proportion of individuals who are infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), diagnosed, linked, retained, on antiretroviral treatment, and HIV suppressed. We examined the implications of including death in the use of this cascade for program and public health performance metrics. METHODS: Individuals newly diagnosed with HIV and living in Calgary between 2006 and 2013 were included. Through linkage with Public Health and death registries, the deaths (ie, all-cause mortality) and their distribution within the cascade were determined. Mortality rates are reported per 100 person-years. RESULTS: Estimated new HIV infections were 680 (543 confirmed and 137 unknown cases). Forty-three individuals, after diagnosis, were never referred for HIV care. Despite referral(s), 88 individuals (18%) never attended the clinic for HIV care. Of individuals retained in care, 87% received antiretroviral therapy and 76% achieved viral suppression. Thirty-six deaths were reported (mortality rate, 1.50/100 person-years). One diagnosis was made posthumously. Deaths (20 of 35; 57%) occurred for individuals linked but not retained in care (6.93/100 person-years), and 70% were HIV-related. Mortality rate for patients in care was 0.79/100 person-years. Retained patients with detectable viremia had a death rate of 2.49/100, which contrasted with 0.28/100 person-years in those with suppressed viremia. Eight of these 15 deaths (53%) were HIV-related. CONCLUSIONS: Over half of deaths occurred in those referred but not effectively linked or retained in HIV care, and these cases may be easily overlooked in standard HIV mortality studies. Inclusion of deaths into the cascade may further enhance its value as a public health metric.

Risk factors for tuberculosis after highly active antiretroviral therapy initiation in the United States and Canada: implications for tuberculosis screening.

BACKGROUND: Screening for tuberculosis prior to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) initiation is not routinely performed in low-incidence settings. Identifying factors associated with developing tuberculosis after HAART initiation could focus screening efforts. METHODS: Sixteen cohorts in the United States and Canada contributed data on persons infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) who initiated HAART December 1995-August 2009. Parametric survival models identified factors associated with tuberculosis occurrence. RESULTS: Of 37845 persons in the study, 145 were diagnosed with tuberculosis after HAART initiation. Tuberculosis risk was highest in the first 3 months of HAART (20 cases; 215 cases per 100000 person-years; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 131-333 per 100000 person-years). In a multivariate Weibull proportional hazards model, baseline CD4+ lymphocyte count <200, black race, other nonwhite race, Hispanic ethnicity, and history of injection drug use were independently associated with tuberculosis risk. In addition, in a piece-wise Weibull model, increased baseline HIV-1 RNA was associated with increased tuberculosis risk in the first 3 months; male sex tended to be associated with increased risk. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for active tuberculosis prior to HAART initiation should be targeted to persons with baseline CD4 <200 lymphocytes/mm³ or increased HIV-1 RNA, persons of nonwhite race or Hispanic ethnicity, history of injection drug use, and possibly male sex.

Changing epidemiology and risk factors for gastrointestinal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in a North American population: population-based study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the incidence, risk factors, and endoscopic presentation of gastrointestinal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (GI NHL) in a large predominantly urban adult population sample. METHODS: A comprehensive database review of all diagnoses of GI NHL in the Calgary Health Region over a 5-yr period (1999-2003) was undertaken. Longer-term data from a population-based HIV database (1985-2004) were also reviewed. A regional pathology database was used to corroborate case identification. All patients 18 yr of age or older were included. Age- and gender-adjusted incidence rates were calculated. Within the HIV-positive population, incidence rates were compared over time. Endoscopic appearances were assessed and compared. RESULTS: Fifty-six GI NHL cases occurred during the study period. The age- and gender-adjusted annual incidence of GI NHL was 1.73 per 100,000 in the study population. The majority were diffuse large B-cell histology (54%), followed by lymphoma of mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue (MALT lymphoma) (29%). Increasing age, history of kidney transplant, and H. pylori positivity in MALT lymphoma were identified as risk factors. Within the HIV-positive population, a highly significant drop in GI NHL was seen over time, with an incidence of 3.86 per 1,000 patient-years in 1985-1989 compared to zero cases in 2000-2004, despite a greater prevalence of HIV disease (P < 0.0001 for trend). MALT lymphoma was less likely to manifest as a mass on endoscopy versus other presentations (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Population-based GI NHL incidence rates in Calgary are higher than those described elsewhere in North America or in Britain. The incidence of GI NHL within the HIV population has virtually disappeared, presumably due to the advent of highly active retroviral therapy.