Mortality and Cardiovascular End Points In Relation to the Aortic Pulse Wave Components: An Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Wave separation analysis enables individualized evaluation of the aortic pulse wave components. Previous studies focused on the pressure height with overall positive but differing results. In the present analysis, we assessed the associations of the pressure of forward and backward (Pfor and Pref) pulse waves with prospective cardiovascular end points, with extended analysis for time to pressure peak (Tfor and Tref). METHODS: Participants in 3 IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) cohorts (Argentina, Belgium, and Finland) aged ≥20 years with valid pulse wave analysis and follow-up data were included. Pulse wave analysis was done using the SphygmoCor device, and pulse wave separation was done using the triangular method. The primary end points consisted of cardiovascular mortality and nonfatal cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios. RESULTS: A total of 2206 participants (mean age, 57.0 years; 55.0% women) were analyzed. Mean±SDs for Pfor, Pref, Tfor, and Tfor/Tref were 31.0±9.1 mm Hg, 20.8±8.4 mm Hg, 130.8±35.5, and 0.51±0.11, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 4.4 years, 146 (6.6%) participants experienced a primary end point. Every 1 SD increment in Pfor, Tfor, and Tfor/Tref was associated with 27% (95% CI, 1.07-1.49), 25% (95% CI, 1.07-1.45), and 32% (95% CI, 1.12-1.56) higher risk, respectively. Adding Tfor and Tfor/Tref to existing risk models improved model prediction (∆Uno's C, 0.020; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Pulse wave components were predictive of composite cardiovascular end points, with Tfor/Tref showing significant improvement in risk prediction. Pending further confirmation, the ratio of time to forward and backward pressure peak may be useful to evaluate increased afterload and signify increased cardiovascular risk.

Derivation of an Outcome-Driven Threshold for Aortic Pulse Wave Velocity: An Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) predicts cardiovascular events (CVEs) and total mortality (TM), but previous studies proposing actionable PWV thresholds have limited generalizability. This individual-participant meta-analysis is aimed at defining, testing calibration, and validating an outcome-driven threshold for PWV, using 2 populations studies, respectively, for derivation IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) and replication MONICA (Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease Health Survey - Copenhagen). METHODS: A risk-carrying PWV threshold for CVE and TM was defined by multivariable Cox regression, using stepwise increasing PWV thresholds and by determining the threshold yielding a 5-year risk equivalent with systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg. The predictive performance of the PWV threshold was assessed by computing the integrated discrimination improvement and the net reclassification improvement. RESULTS: In well-calibrated models in IDCARS, the risk-carrying PWV thresholds converged at 9 m/s (10 m/s considering the anatomic pulse wave travel distance). With full adjustments applied, the threshold predicted CVE (hazard ratio [CI]: 1.68 [1.15-2.45]) and TM (1.61 [1.01-2.55]) in IDCARS and in MONICA (1.40 [1.09-1.79] and 1.55 [1.23-1.95]). In IDCARS and MONICA, the predictive accuracy of the threshold for both end points was ≈0.75. Integrated discrimination improvement was significant for TM in IDCARS and for both TM and CVE in MONICA, whereas net reclassification improvement was not for any outcome. CONCLUSIONS: PWV integrates multiple risk factors into a single variable and might replace a large panel of traditional risk factors. Exceeding the outcome-driven PWV threshold should motivate clinicians to stringent management of risk factors, in particular hypertension, which over a person's lifetime causes stiffening of the elastic arteries as waypoint to CVE and death.

Association of Midlife Inflammatory Markers With Cognitive Performance at 10-Year Follow-up.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Chronic low-grade inflammation, commonly associated with cardiovascular diseases and risk factors, has been associated inconclusively with cognitive decline and dementia. The aim of our study was to evaluate whether low-grade inflammation, measured in midlife, is associated with a decline in cognitive performance after a 10-year follow-up. We hypothesized that low-grade inflammation, estimated by interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), and high-sensitivity CRP (hs-CRP), is a predictor of cognitive decline in the general population. METHODS: This prospective cohort study is based on a Finnish nationwide, population-based Health 2000 Examination Survey, its supplemental examinations in 2000-2001, and the follow-up Health 2011 Survey. Cognitive performance at baseline and at follow-up was assessed with categorical verbal fluency (VF), word-list learning (WLL), and word-list delayed recall (WLDR). Baseline low-grade inflammation was measured with IL-6, TNF-α, and hs-CRP in 2001. Associations between low-grade inflammation and cognitive performance were analyzed with multivariable linear models adjusted for age, sex, education, APOE ε4 genotype, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, body mass index, depressive symptoms, smoking, and baseline cognition. RESULTS: Nine hundred fifteen participants aged 45-74 years (median age 54 years, 55% women) were included in the analysis. Both higher IL-6 and TNF-α at baseline predicted poorer performance in VF and WLL at 10-year follow-up (VF: IL-6 ß: -1.14, p = 0.003, TNF-α ß: -1.78, p = 0.008; WLL: IL-6 ß: -0.61, p = 0.007, TNF-α ß: -0.86, p = 0.03). Elevated IL-6 also predicted a greater decline in VF and WLL after a 10-year follow-up (VF: ß: -0.81, p = 0.01; WLL: ß: -0.53, p = 0.008). Baseline TNF-α did not predict cognitive decline, and hs-CRP did not predict cognitive performance or decline after 10-years. DISCUSSION: Our results suggest that low-grade inflammation in midlife is an independent risk factor for poorer cognitive performance later in life. Of the studied markers, IL-6 and TNF-α seem to be stronger predictors for cognitive performance and decline than hs-CRP.

The International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification: Research Objectives and Baseline Characteristics of Participants.

OBJECTIVE: To address to what extent central hemodynamic measurements, improve risk stratification, and determine outcome-based diagnostic thresholds, we constructed the International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification (IDCARS), allowing a participant-level meta-analysis. The purpose of this article was to describe the characteristics of IDCARS participants and to highlight research perspectives. METHODS: Longitudinal or cross-sectional cohort studies with central blood pressure measured with the SphygmoCor devices and software were included. RESULTS: The database included 10,930 subjects (54.8% women; median age 46.0 years) from 13 studies in Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America. The prevalence of office hypertension was 4,446 (40.1%), of which 2,713 (61.0%) were treated, and of diabetes mellitus was 629 (5.8%). The peripheral and central systolic/diastolic blood pressure averaged 129.5/78.7 mm Hg and 118.2/79.7 mm Hg, respectively. Mean aortic pulse wave velocity was 7.3 m per seconds. Among 6,871 participants enrolled in 9 longitudinal studies, the median follow-up was 4.2 years (5th-95th percentile interval, 1.3-12.2 years). During 38,957 person-years of follow-up, 339 participants experienced a composite cardiovascular event and 212 died, 67 of cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: IDCARS will provide a unique opportunity to investigate hypotheses on central hemodynamic measurements that could not reliably be studied in individual studies. The results of these analyses might inform guidelines and be of help to clinicians involved in the management of patients with suspected or established hypertension.

Association between self-reported hypertension onset age and electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy.

Objectively defined early-onset hypertension, based on repeated blood pressure measurements, is associated with greater odds of organ damage and cardiovascular mortality than late-onset hypertension. In this study we examined the association between two factors that are easily available in primary care, self-reported hypertension onset age and electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (ECG-LVH), in a nationwide population sample of 2864 Finns aged ≥50 years. We observed that, in contrast to prior findings, the odds of ECG-LVH were similar between self-reported hypertension onset age groups, and thus self-reported early-onset hypertension does not seem to associate with ECG-LVH more strongly than simple presence of hypertension.

Cardiovascular End Points and Mortality Are Not Closer Associated With Central Than Peripheral Pulsatile Blood Pressure Components.

Pulsatile blood pressure (BP) confers cardiovascular risk. Whether associations of cardiovascular end points are tighter for central systolic BP (cSBP) than peripheral systolic BP (pSBP) or central pulse pressure (cPP) than peripheral pulse pressure (pPP) is uncertain. Among 5608 participants (54.1% women; mean age, 54.2 years) enrolled in nine studies, median follow-up was 4.1 years. cSBP and cPP, estimated tonometrically from the radial waveform, averaged 123.7 and 42.5 mm Hg, and pSBP and pPP 134.1 and 53.9 mm Hg. The primary composite cardiovascular end point occurred in 255 participants (4.5%). Across fourths of the cPP distribution, rates increased exponentially (4.1, 5.0, 7.3, and 22.0 per 1000 person-years) with comparable estimates for cSBP, pSBP, and pPP. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios, expressing the risk per 1-SD increment in BP, were 1.50 (95% CI, 1.33-1.70) for cSBP, 1.36 (95% CI, 1.19-1.54) for cPP, 1.49 (95% CI, 1.33-1.67) for pSBP, and 1.34 (95% CI, 1.19-1.51) for pPP (P<0.001). Further adjustment of cSBP and cPP, respectively, for pSBP and pPP, and vice versa, removed the significance of all hazard ratios. Adding cSBP, cPP, pSBP, pPP to a base model including covariables increased the model fit (P<0.001) with generalized R2 increments ranging from 0.37% to 0.74% but adding a second BP to a model including already one did not. Analyses of the secondary end points, including total mortality (204 deaths), coronary end points (109) and strokes (89), and various sensitivity analyses produced consistent results. In conclusion, associations of the primary and secondary end points with SBP and pulse pressure were not stronger if BP was measured centrally compared with peripherally.

Opposing Age-Related Trends in Absolute and Relative Risk of Adverse Health Outcomes Associated With Out-of-Office Blood Pressure.

Participant-level meta-analyses assessed the age-specific relevance of office blood pressure to cardiovascular complications, but this information is lacking for out-of-office blood pressure. At baseline, daytime ambulatory (n=12 624) or home (n=5297) blood pressure were measured in 17 921 participants (51.3% women; mean age, 54.2 years) from 17 population cohorts. Subsequently, mortality and cardiovascular events were recorded. Using multivariable Cox regression, floating absolute risk was computed across 4 age bands (≤60, 61-70, 71-80, and >80 years). Over 236 491 person-years, 3855 people died and 2942 cardiovascular events occurred. From levels as low as 110/65 mm Hg, risk log-linearly increased with higher out-of-office systolic/diastolic blood pressure. From the youngest to the oldest age group, rates expressed per 1000 person-years increased (P<0.001) from 4.4 (95% CI, 4.0-4.7) to 86.3 (76.1-96.5) for all-cause mortality and from 4.1 (3.9-4.6) to 59.8 (51.0-68.7) for cardiovascular events, whereas hazard ratios per 20-mm Hg increment in systolic out-of-office blood pressure decreased (P≤0.0033) from 1.42 (1.19-1.69) to 1.09 (1.05-1.12) and from 1.70 (1.51-1.92) to 1.12 (1.07-1.17), respectively. These age-related trends were similar for out-of-office diastolic pressure and were generally consistent in both sexes and across ethnicities. In conclusion, adverse outcomes were directly associated with out-of-office blood pressure in adults. At young age, the absolute risk associated with out-of-office blood pressure was low, but relative risk high, whereas with advancing age relative risk decreased and absolute risk increased. These observations highlight the need of a lifecourse approach for the management of hypertension.

Agreement Between Ambulatory and Home Blood Pressure Monitoring in Detecting Nighttime Hypertension and Nondipping Patterns in the General Population.

BACKGROUND: Nighttime blood pressure (BP) and nondipping pattern are strongly associated with hypertensive end-organ damage. However, no previous studies have compared the diagnostic agreement between ambulatory and home monitoring in detecting these BP patterns in the general population. METHODS: We studied a population-based sample of 180 persons aged 32-80 years. The study protocol included 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring, home daytime measurements over 7 days, home nighttime measurements (6 measurements over 2 consecutive nights using a timer-equipped home device), and ultrasound measurements for left ventricular mass index (LVMI) and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT). We defined nondipping as a <10% reduction in nighttime BP compared with daytime BP, and nighttime hypertension as BP ≥ 120/70 mm Hg. RESULTS: The agreement between ambulatory and home monitoring for detecting nighttime hypertension was good (80%, κ = 0.56, P < 0.001). However, their agreement in detecting nondipping status was poor (54%, κ = 0.12, P = 0.09). The magnitude of ambulatory systolic BP dipping percent was 1.7% higher than on home monitoring (P = 0.004), whereas no difference was observed for diastolic BP dipping (difference: 0.7%, P = 0.33). LVMI and IMT were significantly greater among individuals with nighttime hypertension than in normotensive individuals, irrespective of the measurement method. However, only ambulatory nondippers, but not home nondippers, had more advanced end-organ damage than dippers. CONCLUSION: We observed a good agreement between ambulatory and home BP monitoring in detecting nighttime hypertension in the general population. Two-night home monitoring could offer an inexpensive and feasible method for the diagnosis of nighttime hypertension.

ECG left ventricular hypertrophy as a risk predictor of sudden cardiac death.

BACKGROUND: Electrocardiographic (ECG) left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is an established risk factor for cardiovascular events. However, limited data is available on the prognostic values of different ECG LVH criteria specifically to sudden cardiac death (SCD). Our goal was to assess relationships of different ECG LVH criteria to SCD. METHODS: Three traditional and clinically useful (Sokolow-Lyon, Cornell, RaVL) and a recently proposed (Peguero-Lo Presti) ECG LVH voltage criteria were measured in 5730 subjects in the Health 2000 Survey, a national general population cohort study. Relationships between LVH criteria, as well as their selected composites, to SCD were analyzed with Cox regression models. In addition, population-attributable fractions for LVH criteria were calculated. RESULTS: After a mean follow-up of 12.5 ±â€¯2.2 years, 134 SCDs had occurred. When used as continuous variables, all LVH criteria except for RaVL were associated with SCD in multivariable analyses. When single LVH criteria were used as dichotomous variables, only Cornell was significant after adjustments. The dichotomous composite of Sokolow-Lyon and Cornell was also significant after adjustments (hazard ratio for SCD 1.82, 95% confidence interval 1.20-2.70, P = 0.006) and was the only LVH measure that showed statistically significant population-attributable fraction (11.0%, 95% confidence interval 1.9-19.2%, P = 0.019). CONCLUSIONS: Sokolow-Lyon, Cornell, and Peguero-Lo Presti ECG, but not RaVL voltage, are associated with SCD risk as continuous ECG voltage LVH variables. When SCD risk assessment/adjustment is performed using a dichotomous ECG LVH measure, composite of Sokolow-Lyon and Cornell voltages is the preferred option.

Electrocardiographic predictors of atrial fibrillation in nonhypertensive and hypertensive individuals.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare the predictive value of ECG abnormalities for atrial fibrillation in nonhypertensive versus hypertensive individuals. METHODS: We recorded ECG and measured conventional cardiovascular risk factors in a nationwide population-based sample of 5813 Finns. We divided the participants into nonhypertensive (n = 3148) and hypertensive (n = 2665) individuals and followed the participants for incident atrial fibrillation events. We evaluated the predictive ability of 12 ECG abnormalities for atrial fibrillation using multivariable-adjusted Fine-Gray models. RESULTS: During a follow-up of 11.9 ±â€Š2.9 years, 111 nonhypertensive and 301 hypertensive participants developed atrial fibrillation. Negative T wave in lateral leads predicted atrial fibrillation in both nonhypertensive [hazard ratio (HR), 4.59; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.84-11.44] and hypertensive participants (HR, 1.81; 95% CI 1.16-2.84). In nonhypertensive participants, 1-SD increments in corrected QT interval (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.18-1.71) and T-wave amplitude in lead augmented vector R (aVR) (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10-1.80) were related to atrial fibrillation. In hypertensive participants, prolonged PR interval (HR, 1.59; 95% CI 1.05-2.41), prolonged P-wave duration (HR, 1.43; 95% CI 1.07-1.91), left ventricular hypertrophy by Sokolow-Lyon criteria (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.12-2.14) and poor R-wave progression (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.02-2.48) predicted atrial fibrillation. Corrected QT interval and T-wave amplitude in lead aVR were stronger predictors of atrial fibrillation in nonhypertensive than in hypertensive participants. ECG abnormalities improved risk prediction only marginally (delta area under receiver-operating-characteristic curve = 0.000-0.005). CONCLUSION: Several ECG abnormalities associate with incident atrial fibrillation in hypertensive and nonhypertensive individuals but provide only marginal incremental predictive value. Corrected QT interval and T-wave amplitude in lead aVR may relate stronger to incident atrial fibrillation in nonhypertensive than in hypertensive individuals.

Optimal Schedule for Assessing Home BP Variability: The Finn-Home Study.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines make no recommendations on the optimal timing or number of measurements for assessing home blood pressure variability (HBPV). Our aim was to elucidate the optimal schedule for measuring HBPV in relation to cardiovascular risk. METHODS: In total, 1,706 Finnish adults (56.5 ± 8.5 years; 54% women) self-measured their home blood pressure (HBP) twice in the morning and evening during 7 consecutive days. The participants were followed up for cardiovascular events. We examined the association between HBPV (coefficient of variation based on 2 through 7 measurement days) and cardiovascular events using Cox regression models adjusted for HBP and other cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: During a follow-up of 11.8 ± 3.1 years, 216 cardiovascular events occurred. Systolic morning HBPV based on three (hazard ratio [HR], 1.039; 95% confidence interval, 1.006-1.074, model c statistic 0.737) through seven (HR, 1.057; 95% confidence interval, 1.012-1.104, model c statistic 0.737) measurement days was significantly associated with cardiovascular events. Agreement in classification to normal vs. increased morning day-to-day HBPV between consecutive measurement days became substantial (κ = 0.69 for systolic and κ = 0.68 for diastolic) after the fourth measurement day. The associations of diastolic HBPV, evening HBPV, all-day HBPV, and variability based on first measurements of each measurement occasion, with cardiovascular outcomes were nonsignificant or remained significant only after the sixth measurement day. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest systolic HBP should be measured twice in the morning for at least 3 days when assessing HBPV. Increasing the number of measurement days from 3 to 7 results in marginal improvement in prognostic accuracy.

Relation of blood pressure and organ damage: comparison between feasible, noninvasive central hemodynamic measures and conventional brachial measures.

OBJECTIVE: The present cross-sectional study investigated whether central SBP and pulse pressure (PP) measured noninvasively with a novel cuff-based stand-alone monitor are more strongly associated with hypertensive end-organ damage than corresponding brachial measures. METHODS: We investigated the cross-sectional association of central versus brachial SBP and PP with echocardiographic left ventricular mass index (LVMI), LV hypertrophy (LVH), carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), and increased IMT (IMT ≥ 75th percentile) among 246 participants drawn from the general population (mean age 57.2 years, 55.3% women). RESULTS: All blood pressure (BP) measures were positively correlated with LVMI and IMT (P < 0.001 for all). Brachial and central SBP correlated equally strongly with LVMI (r = 0.42 versus 0.40, P for difference 0.19) and IMT (r = 0.32 versus 0.33, P = 0.60). However, brachial PP correlated more strongly than central PP with LVMI (r = 0.34 versus 0.27, P = 0.03) and IMT (r = 0.40 versus 0.35, P = 0.04). In multivariable-adjusted logistic models, all four BP measures were significantly associated with LVH and increased IMT (P ≤ 0.03 for all). However, the diagnostic accuracy of logistic regression models that included brachial or central hemodynamic parameters was similar for LVH [area under curve (AUC) for SBP: 0.74 versus 0.76, P = 0.16; AUC for PP: 0.75 versus 0.73, P = 0.35] and IMT (AUC for SBP: 0.61 versus 0.61, P = 0.67; AUC for PP: 0.63 versus 0.61, P = 0.29). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that central SBP and PP measured with a stand-alone noninvasive BP monitor do not improve diagnostic accuracy for end-organ damage over corresponding brachial measures.

Thyroid-stimulating hormone and risk of sudden cardiac death, total mortality and cardiovascular morbidity.

BACKGROUND: Previous data on the association of thyroid function with total mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes and sudden cardiac death (SCD) are conflicting or limited. We investigated associations of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) with these outcomes in a nationwide population-based prospective cohort study. METHODS: We examined 5211 participants representative of the Finnish population aged ≥30 years in 2000-2001 and followed them for a median of 13.2 years. Using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for baseline age, gender, smoking, diabetes, systolic blood pressure and total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, we assessed the associations of continuous baseline TSH and TSH categories (low [<0.4 mU/L], reference range [0.4-3.4 mU/L] and high [>3.4 mU/L]) with incident total mortality, SCD, coronary heart disease events, stroke, CVD, major adverse cardiac events and atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: High TSH at baseline was related to a greater risk of total mortality (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.02-1.76) and SCD (HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.13-4.60) compared with TSH within the reference range. High TSH was not associated with the other outcomes (P ≥ .51), whereas low TSH was not associated with any of the outcomes (P ≥ .09). TSH at baseline over the full range did not have a linear relation with any of the outcomes (P ≥ .17). TSH showed a U-shaped association with total mortality after a restricted cubic spline transformation (P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: Thyroid function abnormalities could be linked with higher risks of total mortality and SCD. Large-scale randomized studies are needed for evidence-based recommendations regarding treatment of mild thyroid failure.

Incidence rates, correlates, and prognosis of electrocardiographic P-wave abnormalities - a nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Scant data exist on incidence rates, correlates, and prognosis of electrocardiographic P-wave abnormalities in the general population. METHODS: We recorded ECG and measured conventional cardiovascular risk factors in 5667 Finns who were followed up for incident atrial fibrillation (AF). We obtained repeat ECGs from 3089 individuals 11years later. RESULTS: The incidence rates of prolonged P-wave duration, abnormal P terminal force (PTF), left P-wave axis deviation, and right P-wave axis deviation were 16.0%, 7.4%, 3.4%, and 2.2%, respectively. Older age and higher BMI were associated with incident prolonged P-wave duration and abnormal PTF (P≤0.01). Higher blood pressure was associated with incident prolonged P-wave duration and right P-wave axis deviation (P≤0.01). During follow-up, only prolonged P-wave duration predicted AF (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.38; P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Modifiable risk factors associate with P-wave abnormalities that are common and may represent intermediate steps of atrial cardiomyopathy on a pathway leading to AF.

Outcome-Driven Thresholds for Increased Home Blood Pressure Variability.

Increased blood pressure (BP) variability predicts cardiovascular disease, but lack of operational thresholds limits its use in clinical practice. Our aim was to define outcome-driven thresholds for increased day-to-day home BP variability. We studied a population-based sample of 6238 individuals (mean age 60.0±12.9, 56.4% women) from Japan, Greece, and Finland. All participants self-measured their home BP on ≥3 days. We defined home BP variability as the coefficient of variation of the first morning BPs on 3 to 7 days. We assessed the association between systolic/diastolic BP variability (as a continuous variable and in deciles of coefficient of variation) and cardiovascular outcomes using Cox regression models adjusted for cohort and classical cardiovascular risk factors, including BP. During a follow-up of 9.3±3.6 years, 304 cardiovascular deaths and 715 cardiovascular events occurred. A 1 SD increase in systolic/diastolic home BP variability was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.17/1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.30/1.11-1.34; P=0.003/<0.0001) and cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.13/1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.21/1.07-1.23; P=0.0007/0.0002). Compared with the average risk in the whole population, risk of cardiovascular deaths (hazard ratio, 1.66/1.84; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.17/1.42-2.37; P=0.0002/<0.0001) and events (hazard ratio, 1.46/1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.21-1.76/1.17-1.71; P<0.0001/0.0004) was increased in the highest decile of systolic/diastolic BP variability (coefficient of variation>11.0/12.8). Increased home BP variability predicts cardiovascular outcomes in the general population. Individuals with a systolic/diastolic coefficient of variation of day-to-day home BP >11.0/12.8 may have an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. These findings could help physicians identify individuals who are at an increased cardiovascular disease risk.

Association of thyroid-stimulating hormone with lipid concentrations: an 11-year longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Scant data exist on the longitudinal association between thyroid function and lipid concentrations. We investigated associations of TSH and lipid concentrations cross-sectionally and longitudinally in a nationwide population sample. METHODS: A total of 5205 randomly sampled participants representative of Finns aged ≥30 years were examined in 2000-2001 and included in cross-sectional analyses. A total of 2486 were re-examined 11 years later and included in longitudinal analyses. With linear regression models adjusted for age, gender, smoking and body mass index, we assessed the associations of baseline TSH and TSH categories (low, reference range and high) with total, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol; apolipoprotein A1 and B; and triglycerides at baseline and follow-up. RESULTS: At baseline, higher TSH associated with higher total cholesterol (ß = 0·025, standard error [SE] = 0·007, P < 0·001), LDL cholesterol (ß = 0·020, SE = 0·007, P = 0·002), apolipoprotein B (ß = 0·006, SE = 0·002, P < 0·001) and log triglycerides (ß = 0·008, SE = 0·003, P = 0·004), but not with other lipid outcomes. Higher baseline TSH associated with higher total cholesterol (ß = 0·056, SE = 0·026, P = 0·033), LDL cholesterol (ß = 0·057, SE = 0·023, P = 0·015) and apolipoprotein B (ß = 0·012, SE = 0·006, P = 0·028) at follow-up in women, but not with any lipid outcomes in men. Participants with high TSH at baseline had a 0·22 mmol/l (95% confidence interval 0·02-0·41 mmol/l) higher LDL cholesterol at follow-up (P = 0·028) than participants with TSH in the reference range (0·4-3·4 mU/l). However, exclusion of participants with high-risk baseline lipid values rendered these positive longitudinal associations nonsignificant (P ≥ 0·098). CONCLUSIONS: We could confirm a modest association between higher TSH and an adverse lipid profile cross-sectionally but not indisputably longitudinally.

Home versus office blood pressure: longitudinal relations with left ventricular hypertrophy: the Finn-Home study.

OBJECTIVES: Electrocardiographically assessed left-ventricular hypertrophy (ECG-LVH) is a particularly high-risk phenomenon that is a part of every hypertensive patient's initial work-up. Several cross-sectional studies have demonstrated that home blood pressure (BP) has a stronger relation to LVH than office BP. However, longitudinal evidence on the association between home BP and target organ damage is scarce to nonexistent. METHODS: We studied in a sample of 615 community-dwelling participants (mean age at baseline 53.7 ±â€Š7.2, 58% women) whether change in home BP is more strongly associated with change in ECG-LVH than change in office BP over an 11-year follow-up. RESULTS: Pearson's correlation coefficients between changes in home/office SBP and changes in Sokolow-Lyon index, Cornell voltage, Cornell product and R wave amplitude in aVL were 0.21/0.18, 0.28/0.17, 0.25/0.16, and 0.32/0.20, respectively (asterisk indicates P < 0.05 for between-method difference in correlations with Steiger's z test). For change in home/office DBP and change in the aforementioned ECG-LVH indexes, the correlations were 0.12/0.12, 0.20/0.15, 0.16/0.12, and 0.28/0.19. Multivariable-adjusted regression modelling provided similar results. No clinically significant increase in correlations between home BP and ECG-LVH indexes occurred after the fourth day of home BP measurement. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates for the first time the superiority of home BP over office BP in the follow-up of left ventricular mass. The results of this and previous studies underline the importance of using out-of-office BP measurements as the primary method for assessing blood pressure levels.

The association between home vs. ambulatory night-time blood pressure and end-organ damage in the general population.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to test the agreement between night-time home and night-time ambulatory blood pressure (BP) and to compare their associations with hypertensive end-organ damage for the first time in the general population. METHODS: A population sample of 248 participants underwent measurements for night-time home BP (three measurements on two nights with a timer-equipped home device), night-time ambulatory BP, pulse wave velocity (PWV), carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and echocardiographic left ventricular mass index (LVMI). RESULTS: No significant or systematic differences were observed between mean night-time ambulatory and home BPs (systolic/diastolic difference: 0.7 ±â€Š7.6/0.2 ±â€Š6.0 mmHg, P = 0.16/0.64). All night-time home and ambulatory BPs were positively correlated with PWV, IMT and LVMI (P < 0.01 for all). No significant differences in Pearson's correlations between end-organ damage and night-time home or ambulatory BP were observed (P ≥ 0.11 for all comparisons using Dunn and Clark's Z), except for a slightly stronger correlation between PWV and ambulatory SBP than for home SBP (r = 0.57 vs. 0.50, P = 0.03). The adjusted R of all multivariable-adjusted models for PWV, IMT or LVMI that included night-time home or ambulatory SBP/DBP were within 2/1%. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that night-time home and ambulatory measurements produce similar BP values that have comparable associations with end-organ damage in the general population even when a clinically feasible measurement protocol is used for measuring night-time home BP. In the future, night-time home BP measurement may offer a feasible and easily accessible alternative to ambulatory monitoring for the measurement of night-time BP.