Hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes and potential implications for surveillance in elderly patients.

International liver societies recommend hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance for those at high-risk of developing HCC. While previous studies have shown the benefits of surveillance for middle-aged patients, but its necessity for elderly patients is unclear. This study aimed to assess the benefits of HCC surveillance in the elderly by comparing diagnosis mode of HCC. Consecutive, elderly patients aged 75 years or older who were newly diagnosed with HCC were screened at our institution between January 2009 and December 2021. Patients were grouped into those who were diagnosed with HCC during surveillance (n = 235, surveillance group) and those who were diagnosed with HCC due to symptoms (n = 184, symptomatic group). The study outcome was overall survival. It was compared in the overall cohort and a propensity score (PS)-matched cohort. Early-stage diagnosis was more frequent in the surveillance group than in the symptomatic group (mUICC stage I/II: 72.3% vs. 39.1%, p < 0.001). The overall survival rate was better in the surveillance group than in the symptomatic group (median 4.4 vs. 2.1 years, log-rank p < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted models, the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality of the surveillance group compared to the symptomatic group was 0.64 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.47-0.87). However, further adjustment for the tumor stage markedly attenuated this association, which was no longer statistically significant (adjusted HR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.54-1.02). In the PS-matched cohort analysis, outcomes were similar when the PS matching variables included the tumor stage. In contrast, when PS matching variables did not include the tumor stage, outcomes were better for the surveillance group. The surveillance group of elderly patients showed better survival than the symptomatic group, which was largely explained by earlier tumor stage at diagnosis. This suggests that the overall outcome of elderly HCC patients could be improved by increasing surveillance-detected cases compared to symptom-driven cases.

Diagnostic performance of quantitative ultrasonography for hepatic steatosis in a health screening program: a prospective single-center study.

PURPOSE: This study compared the diagnostic performance of quantitative ultrasonography (QUS) with that of conventional ultrasonography (US) in assessing hepatic steatosis among individuals undergoing health screening using magnetic resonance imaging-derived proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) as the reference standard. METHODS: This single-center prospective study enrolled 427 participants who underwent abdominal MRI and US. Measurements included the attenuation coefficient in tissue attenuation imaging (TAI) and the scatter-distribution coefficient in tissue scatter-distribution imaging (TSI). The correlation between QUS and MRI-PDFF was evaluated. The diagnostic capabilities of QUS, conventional B-mode US, and their combined models for detecting hepatic fat content of ≥5% (MRI-PDFF ≥5%) and ≥10% (MRI-PDFF ≥10%) were compared by analyzing the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves. Additionally, clinical risk factors influencing the diagnostic performance of QUS were identified using multivariate linear regression analyses. RESULTS: TAI and TSI were strongly correlated with MRI-PDFF (r=0.759 and r=0.802, respectively; both P<0.001) and demonstrated good diagnostic performance in detecting and grading hepatic steatosis. The combination of QUS and B-mode US resulted in the highest areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) (0.947 and 0.975 for detecting hepatic fat content of ≥5% and ≥10%, respectively; both P<0.05), compared to TAI, TSI, or B-mode US alone (AUCs: 0.887, 0.910, 0.878 for ≥5% and 0.951, 0.922, 0.875 for ≥10%, respectively). The independent determinants of QUS included skinliver capsule distance (ß=7.134), hepatic fibrosis (ß=4.808), alanine aminotransferase (ß=0.202), triglyceride levels (ß=0.027), and diabetes mellitus (ß=3.710). CONCLUSION: QUS is a useful and effective screening tool for detecting and grading hepatic steatosis during health checkups.

Analysis of Factors Predicting the Real-World Efficacy of Atezolizumab and Bevacizumab in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Background/Aims: Atezolizumab and bevacizumab have shown promising results for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in clinical trials. In this study, the real-world efficacy and safety of atezolizumab and bevacizumab in treating advanced HCC were evaluated. Methods: In this retrospective study of patients at a Korean tertiary cancer center, 111 patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B or C HCC received atezolizumab and bevacizumab as first-line therapy from May 2022 to June 2023. We assessed the progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and adverse events. Results: Patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C HCC and Child-Pugh class A liver function were included in the study. The median PFS was 6.5 months, with an ORR of 27% and a DCR of 63%. Several factors, including the albumin-bilirubin grade, age, C-reactive protein and α-fetoprotein in immunotherapy score, macrovascular invasion, lung metastases, and combined radiotherapy, were found to significantly influence PFS (p<0.05). Patients with peritoneal seeding showed an higher ORR. The safety profile was consistent with that observed in clinical trials. Conclusions: Atezolizumab and bevacizumab demonstrated real-world efficacy in the treatment of advanced HCC, with ORRs and DCRs aligning with those observed in clinical trials. Variations in PFS and ORR based on specific risk factors highlight the potential of atezolizumab and bevacizumab in precision medicine for advanced HCC.

Role of transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma with extrahepatic metastases in the era of advancing systemic therapy.

Background/Aims: Systemic therapy is the current standard treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with extrahepatic metastases (EHM). However, some patients with HCC and EHM undergo transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) to manage intrahepatic tumors. Herein, we aimed to explore the appropriateness of TACE in patients with HCC and EHM in an era of advanced systemic therapy. Methods: This study analyzed 248 consecutive patients with HCC and EHM (median age 58.5 years, 83.5% male, and 88.7% Child-Pugh A) who received TACE or systemic therapy (83 sorafenib, 49 lenvatinib, 28 immunotherapy-based) between January 2018 and January 2021. Results: Among the patients, 196 deaths were recorded during a median follow-up of 8.9 months. Patients who received systemic therapy had a higher albumin-bilirubin grade, elevated tumor markers, an increased number of intrahepatic tumors, larger-sized tumors, and more frequent portal vein invasion than those who underwent TACE. TACE was associated with longer median overall survival (OS) than sorafenib (15.1 vs. 4.7 months; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.1-22.2 vs. 3.7-7.3; hazard ratio [HR] 1.97, P<0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, TACE was associated with statistically similar survival outcomes to those of lenvatinib (median OS: 8.0 months; 95% CI: 6.5-11.0; HR 1.21, P=0.411) and immunotherapies (median OS: 14.3 months; 95% CI: 9.5-27.0; HR 1.01, P=0.973), demonstrating survival benefits equivalent to these treatments. Conclusion: In patients with HCC and EHM, TACE can provide a survival benefit comparable to that of newer systemic therapies. Accordingly, TACE remains a valuable option in this era of new systemic therapies.

Prevalence and predictors of multidrug-resistant bacteremia in liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Improved knowledge of local epidemiology and predicting risk factors of multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria are required to optimize the management of infections. This study examined local epidemiology and antibiotic resistance patterns of liver cirrhosis (LC) patients and evaluated the predictors of MDR bacteremia in Korea. METHODS: This was a retrospective study including 140 LC patients diagnosed with bacteremia between January 2017 and December 2022. Local epidemiology and antibiotic resistance patterns and the determinants of MDR bacteremia were analyzed using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The most frequently isolated bacteria, from the bloodstream, were Escherichia coli (n = 45, 31.7%) and Klebsiella spp. (n = 35, 24.6%). Thirty-four isolates (23.9%) were MDR, and extended-spectrum beta-lactamase E. coli (52.9%) and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (17.6%) were the most commonly isolated MDR bacteria. When Enterococcus spp. were cultured, the majority were MDR (MDR 83.3% vs. 16.7%, p = 0.003), particularly vancomycin-susceptible Enterococcus faecium. Antibiotics administration within 30 days and/or nosocomial infection was a significant predictor of MDR bacteremia (OR: 3.40, 95% CI: 1.24-9.27, p = 0.02). MDR bacteremia was not predicted by sepsis predictors, such as positive systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA). CONCLUSION: More than 70% of strains that can be treated with a third-generation cephalosporin have been cultured. In cirrhotic patients, antibiotic administration within 30 days and/or nosocomial infection are predictors of MDR bacteremia; therefore, empirical administration of broad-spectrum antibiotics should be considered when these risk factors are present.

Impact of Intrahepatic External Beam Radiotherapy in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors.

Introduction: We aimed to investigate whether concurrent use of intrahepatic external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) is a viable option for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy. Methods: A total of 453 patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C (BCLC C) HCC, who started first-line treatment with TKI with intrahepatic EBRT (TKI + RT, n = 97) or TKI without intrahepatic EBRT (TKI, n = 356) were analyzed. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared in the overall cohort, patients who received at least 8 weeks of TKI treatment and a propensity score-matched cohort. Results: OS and PFS were better in those treated with TKI + RT than TKI (8.6 vs. 4.4 months and 4.5 vs. 2.3 months, respectively, with p < 0.001). Of note, the TKI + RT group demonstrated significantly longer time to intrahepatic tumor progression. In subgroup analysis, TKI + RT led to better OS than TKI in all subgroups and PFS was significantly improved in patients without extrahepatic metastasis and those with portal vein invasion. There was no significant difference in treatment discontinuation due to adverse events between the TKI + RT and TKI groups (32.0% vs. 37.9%, p = 0.34). Furthermore, patients treated with TKI + RT showed better liver function preservation over time compared to TKI without intrahepatic EBRT. Comparable treatment outcomes were observed between patients who received at least 8 weeks of TKI treatment and the propensity score-matched cohort. Conclusion: Concurrent intrahepatic EBRT targeting the liver and/or macrovascular invasion can be a viable option to improve outcomes of BCLC stage C patients receiving TKI therapy with an aim to control intrahepatic progression and preserving the liver function.

Transgenic viral expression of PH-20, IL-12, and sPD1-Fc enhances immune cell infiltration and anti-tumor efficacy of an oncolytic virus.

Oncolytic viruses are of significant clinical interest due to their ability to directly infect and kill tumors and enhance the anti-tumor immune response. Previously, we developed KLS-3010, a novel oncolytic virus derived from the International Health Department-White (IHD-W) strain vaccinia virus, which has robust tumoricidal effects. In the present study, we generated a recombinant oncolytic virus, KLS-3020, by inserting three transgenes (hyaluronidase [PH-20], interleukin-12 [IL-12], and soluble programmed cell death 1 fused to the Fc domain [sPD1-Fc]) into KLS-3010 and investigated its anti-tumor efficacy and ability to induce anti-tumor immune responses in CT26.WT and B16F10 mouse tumor models. A single injection of KLS-3020 significantly decreased tumor growth. The roles of the transgenes were investigated using viruses expressing each single transgene alone and KLS-3020. PH-20 promoted virus spread and tumor immune cell infiltration, IL-12 activated and reprogrammed T cells to inflammatory phenotypes, and sPD1-Fc increased intra-tumoral populations of activated T cells. The tumor-specific systemic immune response and the abscopal tumor control elicited by KLS-3020 were demonstrated in the CT26.WT tumor model. The insertion of transgenes into KLS-3020 increased its anti-tumor efficacy, supporting further clinical investigation of KLS-3020 as a novel oncolytic immunotherapy.

Multivariate CNN Model for Human Locomotion Activity Recognition with a Wearable Exoskeleton Robot.

This study introduces a novel convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture, encompassing both single and multi-head designs, developed to identify a user's locomotion activity while using a wearable lower limb robot. Our research involved 500 healthy adult participants in an activities of daily living (ADL) space, conducted from 1 September to 30 November 2022. We collected prospective data to identify five locomotion activities (level ground walking, stair ascent/descent, and ramp ascent/descent) across three terrains: flat ground, staircase, and ramp. To evaluate the predictive capabilities of the proposed CNN architectures, we compared its performance with three other models: one CNN and two hybrid models (CNN-LSTM and LSTM-CNN). Experiments were conducted using multivariate signals of various types obtained from electromyograms (EMGs) and the wearable robot. Our results reveal that the deeper CNN architecture significantly surpasses the performance of the three competing models. The proposed model, leveraging encoder data such as hip angles and velocities, along with postural signals such as roll, pitch, and yaw from the wearable lower limb robot, achieved superior performance with an inference speed of 1.14 s. Specifically, the F-measure performance of the proposed model reached 96.17%, compared to 90.68% for DDLMI, 94.41% for DeepConvLSTM, and 95.57% for LSTM-CNN, respectively.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background & Aims: The metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a new inclusive term proposed to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We analysed whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk differs by MAFLD or NAFLD status in a large sample of asymptomatic adults. Methods: A cohort comprising 73,691 adults were followed up for the development of HCC. NAFLD was diagnosed among participants without other liver diseases (n = 65,992). Results: Participants with MAFLD showed higher incidence of HCC than those without MAFLD (0.37 and 0.24 per 1,000 person-years, respectively; p = 0.006). However, MAFLD was not an independent factor associated with HCC in multivariable adjusted analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 1.21; 95% CI 0.92-1.60). When stratified according to presence of other liver diseases, MAFLD was not associated with HCC in participants with other liver diseases. In participants without other liver diseases, both MAFLD (adjusted HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.09-3.11) and NAFLD (adjusted HR 1.71; 95% CI 1.01-2.90) were independent factors associated with HCC. When stratified according to NAFLD and MAFLD status, there was no HCC development among participants with NAFLD only during 8,936 person-years of follow-up, but this NAFLD-only group comprised 3.4%, and the majority of participants with hepatic steatosis fulfilled both NAFLD and MAFLD criteria. Conclusions: In patients with other chronic liver diseases, the presence of MAFLD is not independently associated with an increased risk of HCC. For those without other chronic liver diseases, MAFLD largely overlaps with NAFLD and is associated with an increased risk of HCC. Impact and Implications: This study investigated the usefulness of newly proposed nomenclature, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), over non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), in terms of predicting hepatocellular carcinoma. In patients with other chronic liver diseases, the presence of MAFLD is not independently associated with an increased risk of HCC. However, for those without chronic liver disease, MAFLD largely overlaps with NAFLD and is associated with an increased risk of HCC.

Validation of non-invasive diagnosis of CSPH in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease according to Baveno VII.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Baveno VII consensus introduced the non-invasive criteria of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) using liver stiffness measurement (LSM). We evaluated the usefulness of the Baveno VII criteria to predict the risk of decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1966 patients with cACLD. Patients were categorized into four groups (CSPH excluded (n = 619), grey zone (low risk of CSPH (n = 699), high risk of CSPH (n = 207)), and CSPH included (n = 441)) according to Baveno VII consensus. The risk of events was estimated using a Fine and Gray competing risk regression analysis, with liver transplantation and death as competing events. We calculated standardized hazard ratios (sHR) to assess the relative risk of decompensation. RESULTS: Among 1966 patients, 178 developed decompensations over a median follow-up of 3.06 (IQR: 1.03-6.00) years. Patients with CSPH had the highest decompensation risk, followed by the grey zone high-risk group, grey zone low-risk group, and those without CSPH with 3-year cumulative risks of 22%, 12%, 3.3%, and 1.4% respectively (p < .001). Compared to CSPH excluded group, CSPH included group (sHR: 8.00, 95% CI: 4.00-16.0), grey zone high-risk group (sHR: 6.57, 95% CI: 3.16-13.6), grey zone low-risk group (sHR: 2.15, 95% CI: 1.04-4.41) had significantly higher risk of decompensation (Gray's test p < .01). CONCLUSION: Non-invasive diagnosis of CSPH according to the Baveno VII criteria can stratify the risk of decompensation.

Improved on-treatment fibrosis-4 during antiviral therapy and lower hepatocellular carcinoma risk in cirrhotic patients with hepatitis B.

Normalization of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels is one of the goals of hepatitis B treatment. However, ALT levels in cirrhosis patients might be normal or mildly elevated regardless of ongoing inflammation. Therefore, we examined whether on-treatment ALT and other potential on-treatment indicators could be clinical surrogates of antiviral therapy in HBV-related cirrhosis. A total of 911 patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis who started treatment with entecavir or tenofovir were analyzed. At 1 year of antiviral therapy, we evaluated 'ALT normalization', 'undetectable serum HBV DNA', 'fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index improvement', and 'serum HBeAg loss' as potential biomarkers for HCC development. During 6.6 (3.8-10.2) years of follow-up, 222 patients (24.3%) newly developed HCC. Undetectable HBV DNA levels at 1 year were observed in 667 patients (73.2%), and the HCC incidence was significantly lower in this population (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.66, 95% CI 0.50-0.87). Improvement of the FIB-4 index (< 3.25) was associated with a lower risk of HCC in 478 patients with an elevated FIB-4 index (adjusted HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.55-0.82). However, there was no significant difference in HCC risk between those with and without normalization of ALT levels (p = 0.39) among those with elevated ALT levels or between those with and without HBeAg seroconversion (p = 0.55) among HBeAg-positive patients. Therefore, on-treatment FIB-4 levels at 1 year are clinically useful surrogates of antiviral therapy for HBV-related cirrhosis patients.

Causal effect of adiposity on the risk of 19 gastrointestinal diseases: a Mendelian randomization study.

OBJECTIVE: Although the association between adiposity and gastrointestinal (GI) diseases has been explored, the causal effects of adiposity on GI diseases are largely unknown. METHODS: Mendelian randomization was conducted using single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with BMI and waist circumference (WC) as instrumental variables, and the causal associations of BMI or WC with GI conditions were estimated among >400,000 UK Biobank participants, >170,000 Finnish-descent participants, and numerous consortia participants of predominantly European ancestry. RESULTS: Genetically predicted BMI was robustly associated with increased risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, and primary biliary cholangitis. For the diseases, the odds ratio per 1-SD increase in genetically predicted BMI (4.77 kg/m2 ) ranged from 1.22 (95% CI: 1.12-1.34; p < 0.0001) for NAFLD to 1.65 (95% CI: 1.31-2.06; p < 0.0001) for cholecystitis. Genetically predicted WC was robustly associated with increased risk of NAFLD, alcoholic liver disease, cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, colon cancer, and gastric cancer. Alcoholic liver disease was consistently associated with WC even after adjusting for alcohol consumption in a multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis. The odds ratio per 1-SD increase in genetically predicted WC (12.52 cm) for such associations ranged from 1.41 (95% CI: 1.17-1.70; p = 0.0015) for gastric cancer to 1.74 (95% CI: 1.21-1.78; p < 0.0001) for cholelithiasis. CONCLUSIONS: High genetically predicted adiposity was causally associated with an increased risk of GI abnormalities, particularly of hepatobiliary organs (liver, biliary tract, and gallbladder) that are functionally related to fat metabolism.

Clinical Outcomes and Validation of Ursodeoxycholic Acid Response Scores in Patients with Korean Primary Biliary Cholangitis: A Multicenter Cohort Study.

Background/Aims: The ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) response score (URS) was developed to identify poor responders to UDCA before treatment, in order to offer timely and proactive intervention. However, validation of the URS in Asian population is warranted. Methods: A total of 173 Asian patients diagnosed with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) between 2007 and 2016 at seven academic institutions in Korea who started UDCA treatment were analyzed to validate the performance of URS. UDCA response was defined as an alkaline phosphatase level less than 1.67 times the upper limit of normal after 1-year of UDCA treatment. In addition, prognostic performance of URS for liver-related events, defined as newly developed hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma was evaluated. Results: After 1 year of UDCA treatment, 133 patients (76.9%) achieved UDCA response. UDCA response rate was 98.7% for those with URS ≥1.41 (n=76) and 58.8% for those with URS <1.41 (n=97). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of URS in predicting UDCA response was 0.84 (95% confidence interval, 0.78 to 0.88). During a median follow-up of 6.5 years, liver-related events developed in 18 patients (10.4%). Among 117 patients with PBC stage I-III by histological evaluation, the 5-year liver-related event-free survival rate differed according to the URS; 100% for URS ≥1.41 and 86.5% for URS <1.41 (p=0.005). Conclusions: URS demonstrated good performance in predicting a UDCA treatment response in Asian PBC patients. In addition, the risk of liver-related events differed according to the URS for the PBC stage. Thus, URS can be used to predict the response and clinical outcome in patients with PBC.

Pretransplant Functional Status Predicts Postoperative Morbidity and Mortality after Liver Transplantation in Patients with Cirrhosis.

Background/Aims: This study aimed to investigate whether pretransplant frailty can predict postoperative morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation (LT) in patients with cirrhosis. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 242 patients who underwent LT between 2018 and 2020 at a tertiary hospital in Korea. Results: Among them, 189 patients (78.1%) received LT from a living donor. Physical frailty at baseline was assessed by the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), by which patients were categorized into two groups: frail (SPPB <10) and non-frail (SPPB ≥10). Among the whole cohort (age, 55.0±9.2 years; male, 165 [68.2%]), 182 patients were classified as non-frail and 60 patients were classified as frail. Posttransplant survival was shorter in the frail group than the non-frail group (9.3 months vs 11.6 months). Postoperative intensive care unit stay was longer in the frail group than in the non-frail group (median, 6 days vs 4 days), and the 30-day complication rate was higher in the frail group than in the non-frail group (78.3% vs 59.3%). Frailty was an independent risk factor for posttransplant mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.02 to 5.57). In subgroup analysis, frail patients showed lower posttransplant survival regardless of history of hepatocellular carcinoma and donor type. Conclusions: Assessment of pretransplant frailty, as measured by SPPB, provides important prognostic information for clinical outcomes in cirrhotic patients undergoing LT.

Sorafenib versus nivolumab after lenvatinib treatment failure in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: An optimal sequential anti-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) agent that can be used after failed lenvatinib treatment has not been established. Here, we compared the outcomes of sorafenib and nivolumab as second-line agents after failed lenvatinib treatment in patients with advanced HCC. METHODS: Patients with advanced HCC who had received sorafenib or nivolumab as second-line agents after failed lenvatinib treatment were recruited from two Korean tertiary institutions between November 2018 and June 2020. RESULTS: The median age of the 60 participants (52 treated with sorafenib and eight treated with nivolumab) at baseline was 56.8 years. The demographic, laboratory and tumor variables, as well as lenvatinib treatment duration, were similar between the two groups. The median durations of sorafenib and nivolumab treatment were 1.2 and 2.6 months, respectively ( P = 0.164). Twenty-four (40.0%) patients died during the follow-up period (median, 15.8 months). The median overall survival (OS) of the study population was 5.8 months. The median OS of patients treated with sorafenib was significantly longer than the median OS of patients treated with nivolumab (8.7 vs. 3.0 months; P = 0.046). Sorafenib treatment (vs. nivolumab) was independently associated with a lower risk of mortality (hazard ratio = 0.194; 95% confidence interval, 0.053-0.708; P = 0.013). Worse Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, larger maximal tumor size, lymph node metastases and higher total bilirubin levels were independently associated with increased mortality risk (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Lenvatinib-sorafenib sequential treatment resulted in significantly better survival did than lenvatinib-nivolumab sequential treatment in patients with advanced HCC. Larger studies are needed to validate our results.

Validation of the easy-to-use lenvatinib prognostic index to predict prognosis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with lenvatinib.

AIM: The identification of new prognostic factors able to stratify hepatocellular carcinoma patients candidate to first-line therapy is urgent. In the present work we validated the prognostic value of the lenvatinib prognostic index. METHODS: Data of Eastern and Western patients treated with lenvatinib as first-line for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B or C hepatocellular carcinoma were recollected. The lenvatinib prognostic index was composed by three classes of risk according with our previous study. The "low risk" group includes patients with prognostic nutritional index (PNI) >43.3 and with previous transarterial chemoembolization. The "medium risk" group includes patients with PNI >43.3, but without previous transarterial chemoembolization and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B. The "high risk" group includes patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 2, and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C. RESULTS: A total of 717 patients were included. The median overall survival was 20.7 months (95% CI 16.1-51.6) in patients with low risk (n = 223), 16.7 months (95% CI 13.3-47.0) in patients with medium risk (n = 264), and 10.7 months (95% CI 9.3-12.2) in patients with high risk (n = 230; HR 1, 1.29, and 1.92, respectively; p < 0.0001). Median progression-free survival was 7.3 months (95% CI 6.3-46.5) in patients with low risk, 6.4 months (95% CI 5.3-8.0) in patients with medium risk ,and 4.9 months (95% CI 4.3-5.5) in patients with high risk (HR 1, 1.07, 1.47 respectively; p = 0.0009). CONCLUSION: The lenvatinib prognostic index confirms its prognostic value on an external cohort of hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with Lenvatinib.

Imaging features of hepatobiliary MRI and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk and time to HCC development differ according to hepatobiliary magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings among people at risk for developing HCC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 199 patients aged 40 years or older with liver cirrhosis or chronic liver disease who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced hepatobiliary MRI between 2011 and 2015 were analyzed. An independent radiologist retrospectively reviewed MRI findings, blinded to clinical information, and categorized them into low-risk features, high-risk features and high-risk nodules. High-risk features were defined as liver cirrhosis diagnosed by imaging. High-risk nodules were defined as LR-3 or LR-4 nodules based on LI-RADS version 2018. The primary outcome was development of HCC within 5-year of MRI evaluation. RESULTS: HCC was diagnosed in 28 patients (14.1%). HCC development was null for those with low-risk features (n = 84). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0%, 2.3%, 13.4% and 22.1% at 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year for those with high-risk features (n= 64), and were 19.1%, 31.8%, 37.3% and 46.7% at 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year for those with high-risk nodules (n= 51). Among 28 patients developed HCC, the median time from baseline MRI to HCC diagnosis was 33.1 months (interquartile range: 25.9-46.7 months) for high-risk feature group, and 17.3 months (interquartile range: 6.2-26.5 months) for high-risk nodule group. CONCLUSIONS: HCC risk and time to HCC development differ according to baseline hepatobiliary MRI findings, indicating that hepatobiliary MRI findings can be used as biomarkers to differentiate HCC risk.

Safety and Efficacy of Liver-Directed Radiotherapy in Combination With Lenvatinib for Hepatocelluar Carcinoma With Macroscopic Tumor Thrombosis.

Background: This study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and macroscopic tumor thrombosis who were treated with lenvatinib with or without combined liver-directed radiotherapy (LRT). Methods: From the institutional registry, we enrolled 82 patients diagnosed with HCC involving macroscopic tumor thrombosis and treated with lenvatinib monotherapy (non-LRT group, n = 54, 65.9%) or lenvatinib in combination with LRT (LRT group, n = 28, 34.1%). Patients were classified into the LRT group if LRT was performed within 8 weeks of lenvatinib initiation. Results: During the median follow-up period of 5.4 (range 1.4 to 17.5) months, there was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of overall adverse events. Although there was no statistical difference between the two groups in terms of overall response rate (32.1% vs. 20.4%, p = 0.15), a significantly higher treatment response was observed in the LRT group in terms of intrahepatic tumor response (67.9% vs. 20.4%, p < 0.001). In the LRT group, there was a slight difference in overall survival compared to the non-LRT group (64.1% in the LRT group vs. 37.7% in the non-LRT group at 12 months, hazard ratio [HR], 0.54; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.28-1.03; p = .06), although it did not reach a statistically significant level. However, progression-free survival (PFS, 67.2% in the LRT group vs. 35.0% in the non-LRT group at 6 months, HR 0.47; 95% CI 0.27-0.82; p = 0.008) and intrahepatic progression-free survival (IHPFS, 74.3% in the LRT group vs. 43.3% in the non-LRT group at 6 months, HR 0.45; 95% CI 0.25-0.81; p = 0.008) were significantly superior in the LRT group. This result was also reproduced in the multivariate analysis adjusted for α-fetoprotein, another significant prognostic factor in this study, and the well-known prognostic factors, namely the presence of main portal vein tumor thrombosis and albumin-bilirubin grade. Conclusions: The combination of lenvatinib and LRT is relatively safe and effective in increasing the intrahepatic tumor response and improving PFS and IHPFS in patients with HCC and macroscopic tumor thrombosis.

Increased risk of pancreatic cancer in individuals with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

The association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and the risk of pancreatic cancer in the general population remains unclear. This nationwide cohort study included 8,120,674 adults who underwent a national health screening in 2009 from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Participants were followed-up until December 2017 for the development of pancreatic cancer. NAFLD was assessed using the fatty liver index: ≥ 60, NAFLD and < 30, no NAFLD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was performed. During the follow-up of 59.1 million person-years, 10,470 participants were newly diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. NAFLD was significantly associated with an increased risk of pancreatic cancer compared to no NAFLD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.17; 95% CI 1.09-1.26). This association was significant in both the obese (aHR, 1.14; 95% CI 1.05-1.23) and non-obese groups (aHR, 1.14; 95% CI 1.003-1.29). Individuals with fatty liver index 30-59 also had an increased risk (aHR, 1.10; 95% CI 1.05-1.16). The risk of pancreatic cancer increased with increasing fatty liver index scores (P for trend < 0.001). This study demonstrated that NAFLD was independently associated with an increased risk of pancreatic cancer, regardless of obesity. Our finding suggests that NAFLD may be a modifiable risk factor for pancreatic cancer.

Changes in the prevalence of hepatitis B and metabolic abnormalities among young men in Korea.

Changes in the prevalence of disease over time provide valuable information from a public health perspective. We used data from Korea Military Manpower Administration medical examinations for conscription between 2003 and 2019 (n = 5,355,941), which involved young men aged 19 years, to observe changes in liver disease over time at a population level. Trends in the prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, obesity, and hypertension were assessed. The prevalence of HBsAg steadily decreased from 3.19% for men born in 1984 to 0.18% for men born in 2000. Among HBsAg-negative subjects, the prevalence of elevated ALT levels increased from 13.15% for men born in 1986 to 16.48% for men born in 2000. The prevalence of obesity, hypertension and the proportion with high FIB-4 scores (≥ 1.45) also increased. This population-based nationwide analysis showed a decreasing trend of HBsAg and increasing trends of possible non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.