Improving risk prediction for death, stroke and bleeding in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The objectives of this study were to compare the GARFIELD Refitted model and CHA2 DS2 -VASc/HAS-BLED risk scores with the new model from the COOL-AF registry for all-cause death, ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism (SSE) and major bleeding in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Patients with non-valvular AF in the nationwide COOL-AF registry were studied. Patients were enrolled from 27 hospitals in Thailand during 2014-2017. Main outcomes were all-cause mortality, SSE and major bleeding. Predictive models of the three outcomes were developed from the variables in the multivariable Cox-proportional Hazard model. Predictive values of the models were evaluated by C-statistics, calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA). The new COOL-AF models were compared with the GARFIELD Refitted models and CHA2 DS2 -VASc model for all-cause mortality, SSE/HAS-BLED model for major bleeding. RESULTS: A total of 3405 patients were enrolled. The C-statistics for the COOL-AF models were 0.727 (0.712-0.742), 0.708 (0.693-0.724) and 0.706 (0.690-0.721) for all-cause mortality, SSE and major bleeding, respectively. Calibration plots showed good agreement between predicted probability the observed outcomes for the COOL-AF models with a calibration slope of 0.94-0.99. The predictive ability remains preserved after the internal validation with bootstraps and optimism (bias) correction. The COOL-AF predictive models tended to be superior to the GARFIELD Refitted, CHA2 DS2 -VASc and HAS-BLED models. CONCLUSION: The COOL-AF predictive models for all-cause mortality, SSE and major bleeding in Asian patients with AF had a good predictive ability. The COOL-AF model for all-cause mortality was superior to the GARFIELD Refitted and CHA2 DS2 -VASc model.

The Great Masquerader: Coronary Occlusion From Thrombus in Ascending Aortic Aneurysm Causing Anterior-Wall STEMI With Cardiogenic Shock.

A 55-year-old man with history of alcoholism presented to our hospital complaining of severe substernal chest pain. After a series of tests and procedures, a large mobile thrombus occupying the left coronary cusp with extension into the ascending aorta was discovered. The patient's hemodynamics remained unstable. After 6 hours of resuscitation, his hemodynamics could not be maintained and eventually, he expired. The autopsy result revealed an ascending aortic aneurysm with atheromatous plaques and focal ulceration without thrombus in the aneurysm. The pathological report showed evidence of acute anterior myocardial infarction, aneurysm with endarteritis and plasma cell infiltration, as well as atherosclerosis with ulcerative plaque. These findings were compatible with syphilitic aortitis. Tertiary syphilis is rarely encountered in current medical practice. Thrombus in the ascending aorta occluding the left coronary artery ostia and resulting in coronary embolus into the left anterior descending is a rare cause of acute anterior ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction. The combination of these rare causes raises special attention to early recognition of thrombus forming from the syphilitic aortic aneurysm in the ascending aorta propagating to the coronary artery as a cause of myocardial infarction.

Patient Characteristics, Procedural Details, and Outcomes of Contemporary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Real-World Practice: Insights from Nationwide Thai PCI Registry.

Background: Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) practice and outcomes vary substantially in different parts of the world. The contemporary data of PCI in Asia are limited and only available from developed Asian countries. Objectives: To explore the pattern of practice and results of PCI procedures in Thailand as well as a temporal change of PCI practice over time compared with the registry from other countries. Methods: Thai PCI Registry is a prospective nationwide registry that was an initiative of the Cardiac Intervention Association of Thailand (CIAT). All cardiac catheterization laboratories in Thailand were invited to participate during 2018-2019, and consecutive PCI patients were enrolled and followed up for 1 year. Patient baseline characteristics, procedural details, equipment and medication use, outcomes, and complications were recorded. Results: Among the 39 hospitals participated, there were 22,741 patients included in this registry. Their mean age (standard deviation) was 64.2 (11.7) years and about 70% were males. The most common presentation was acute coronary syndrome (57%) with a high proportion of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (28%). Nearly two-thirds of patients had multivessel disease and significant left main stenosis was reported in 11%. The transradial approach was used in 44.2%. The procedural success rate was very high (95.2%) despite the high complexity of the lesions (56.9% type C lesion). The incidence of procedural complications was 5.3% and in-hospital mortality was 2.8%. Conclusion: Thai PCI Registry provides further insights into the current practice and outcomes of PCI in Southeast Asia. The success rate was very high, and the complications were very low despite the high complexity of the treated lesions.

Adherence to Anticoagulant Guideline for Atrial Fibrillation Improves Outcomes in Asian Population: The COOL-AF Registry.

Background and Purpose- Guideline adherent oral anticoagulant (OAC) management of patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation has been associated with improved outcomes, but limited data are available from Asia. We aimed to investigate outcomes in patients who received guideline compliant management compared with those who were OAC undertreated or overtreated, in a large nationwide multicenter cohort of patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in Thailand. Methods- Patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation were prospectively enrolled from 27 hospitals-all of which are data contributors to the COOL-AF Registry (Cohort of Antithrombotic Use and Optimal INR Level in Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation in Thailand). Patients were categorized as follows: (1) guideline adherence group when OAC was given in high-risk or intermediate-risk, but not in low-risk patients; (2) undertreatment group when OAC was not given in the high-risk or intermediate-risk groups; and (3) overtreatment group when OAC was given in the low-risk group or when OAC was given in combination with antiplatelets without indication. Results- A total of 3327 patients who had follow-up clinical outcome data were included. The mean age of patients was 67.4 years and 58.1% were male. The numbers of patients in the guideline adherence group, undertreatment group, and overtreatment group were 2267 (68.1%), 624 (18.8%), and 436 (13.1%) patients, respectively. The overall rate of ischemic stroke, major bleeding, all bleeding, and death was 3.0%, 4.4%, 15.1%, and 7.8%, respectively. Undertreated patients had a higher risk of ischemic stroke and death compared with guideline adherent patients, and overtreated patients had a higher risk of bleeding and death compared with OAC guideline-managed patients. Conclusions- Adherence to OAC management guidelines is associated with improved clinical outcomes in Asian nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients. Undertreatment or overtreatment was found to be associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes compared with guideline-adherent management.

Rate of anticoagulant use, and factors associated with not prescribing anticoagulant in older Thai adults with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: A multicenter registry.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the rate of anticoagulant use, the reasons for not prescribing anticoagulant, and the factors associated with non-prescription of anticoagulant in older Thai adults with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. METHODS: A multicenter registry of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation was conducted during 2014 to 2017 in Thailand. Demographic, medical history, antithrombotic medication, non-antithrombotic medication, and laboratory data were collected and analyzed. Data were compared between the older adult (≥ 65 years) and younger adult (< 65 years) groups. The reasons why anticoagulant was not prescribed were collected, and predictive factors were identified. RESULTS: A total of 3218 patients (1873 males) with an average age of 67.3 ± 11.3 years were included. Almost two-thirds (61.0%) of patients were in the older adult group. Anticoagulant was prescribed in 2422 patients (75.3%): 81.4% in the older adult group and 65.7% in the younger adult group. The three main reasons for not prescribing anticoagulant were already taking antiplatelets, patient refusal, and bleeding risk. These reasons were more common in older adults as compared to younger adults. Multivariate analysis revealed current use of antiplatelets to be the most important factor that predict the non-prescription of anticoagulant in older population. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of anticoagulant prescription among older Thai adults with atrial fibrillation is 81.4%. Taking antiplatelet drugs was found to be the strongest reason that predicts the non-prescription of anticoagulant in this patient population. A guideline should be developed to optimize the use of anticoagulant and antiplatelet in older adults.