Management of syncope in the Emergency Department: a European prospective cohort study (SEED).

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: In 2018, the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) produced syncope guidelines that for the first-time incorporated Emergency Department (ED) management. However, very little is known about the characteristics and management of this patient group across Europe. OBJECTIVES: To examine the prevalence, clinical presentation, assessment, investigation (ECG and laboratory testing), management and ESC and Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) categories of adult European ED patients presenting with transient loss of consciousness (TLOC, undifferentiated or suspected syncope). DESIGN: Prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Adults (≥18 years) presenting to European EDs with TLOC, either undifferentiated or thought to be of syncopal origin. MAIN RESULTS: Between 00:01 Monday, September 12th to 23:59 Sunday 25 September 2022, 952 patients presenting to 41 EDs in 14 European countries were enrolled from 98 301 ED presentations (n = 40 sites). Mean age (SD) was 60.7 (21.7) years and 487 participants were male (51.2%). In total, 379 (39.8%) were admitted to hospital and 573 (60.2%) were discharged. 271 (28.5%) were admitted to an observation unit first with 143 (52.8%) of these being admitted from this. 717 (75.3%) participants were high-risk according to ESC guidelines (and not suitable for discharge from ED) and 235 (24.7%) were low risk. Admission rate increased with increasing ESC high-risk factors; 1 ESC high-risk factor; n = 259 (27.2%, admission rate=34.7%), 2; 189 (19.9%; 38.6%), 3; 106 (11.1%, 54.7%, 4; 62 (6.5%, 60.4%), 5; 48 (5.0%, 67.9%, 6+; 53 (5.6%, 67.9%). Furthermore, 660 (69.3%), 250 (26.3%), 34 (3.5%) and 8 (0.8%) participants had a low, medium, high, and very high CSRS respectively with respective admission rates of 31.4%, 56.0%, 76.5% and 75.0%. Admission rates (19.3-88.9%), use of an observation/decision unit (0-100%), and percentage high-risk (64.8-88.9%) varies widely between countries. CONCLUSION: This European prospective cohort study reported a 1% prevalence of syncope in the ED. 4 in 10 patients are admitted to hospital although there is wide variation between country in syncope management. Three-quarters of patients have ESC high-risk characteristics with admission percentage rising with increasing ESC high-risk factors.

The Incidence of Adult-Onset Type 1 Diabetes: A Systematic Review From 32 Countries and Regions.

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of adult-onset type 1 diabetes (T1D) incidence is not well-characterized due to the historic focus on T1D as a childhood-onset disease. PURPOSE: We assess the incidence of adult-onset (≥20 years) T1D, by country, from available data. DATA SOURCES: A systematic review of MEDLINE, Embase, and the gray literature, through 11 May 2021, was undertaken. STUDY SELECTION: We included all population-based studies reporting on adult-onset T1D incidence and published from 1990 onward in English. DATA EXTRACTION: With the search we identified 1,374 references of which 46 were included for data extraction. Estimates of annual T1D incidence were allocated into broad age categories (20-39, 40-59, ≥60, or ≥20 years) as appropriate. DATA SYNTHESIS: Overall, we observed the following patterns: 1) there is a paucity of data, particularly in low- and middle-income countries; 2) the incidence of adult-onset T1D is lowest in Asian and highest in Nordic countries; 3) adult-onset T1D is higher in men versus women; 4) it is unclear whether adult-onset T1D incidence declines with increasing age; and 5) it is unclear whether incidence of adult-onset T1D has changed over time. LIMITATIONS: Results are generalizable to high-income countries, and misclassification of diabetes type cannot be ruled out. CONCLUSIONS: From available data, this systematic review suggests that the incidence of T1D in adulthood is substantial and highlights the pressing need to better distinguish T1D from T2D in adults so that we may better assess and respond to the true burden of T1D in adults.

IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global, regional and country-level diabetes prevalence estimates for 2021 and projections for 2045.

AIMS: To provide global, regional, and country-level estimates of diabetes prevalence and health expenditures for 2021 and projections for 2045. METHODS: A total of 219 data sources meeting pre-established quality criteria reporting research conducted between 2005 and 2020 and representing 215 countries and territories were identified. For countries without data meeting quality criteria, estimates were extrapolated from countries with similar economies, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates. Diabetes-related health expenditures were estimated using an attributable fraction method. The 2021 diabetes prevalence estimates were applied to population estimates for 2045 to project future prevalence. RESULTS: The global diabetes prevalence in 20-79 year olds in 2021 was estimated to be 10.5% (536.6 million people), rising to 12.2% (783.2 million) in 2045. Diabetes prevalence was similar in men and women and was highest in those aged 75-79 years. Prevalence (in 2021) was estimated to be higher in urban (12.1%) than rural (8.3%) areas, and in high-income (11.1%) compared to low-income countries (5.5%). The greatest relative increase in the prevalence of diabetes between 2021 and 2045 is expected to occur in middle-income countries (21.1%) compared to high- (12.2%) and low-income (11.9%) countries. Global diabetes-related health expenditures were estimated at 966 billion USD in 2021, and are projected to reach 1,054 billion USD by 2045. CONCLUSIONS: Just over half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide which means that over 10.5% of the world's adult population now have this condition.

IDF Diabetes Atlas: Estimation of Global and Regional Gestational Diabetes Mellitus Prevalence for 2021 by International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group's Criteria.

AIMS: The approaches used to screen and diagnose gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) vary widely. We generated a comparable estimate of the global and regional prevalence of GDM by International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group (IADPSG)'s criteria. METHODS: We searched PubMed and other databases and retrieved 57 studies to estimate the prevalence of GDM. Prevalence rate ratios of different diagnostic criteria, screening strategies and age groups, were used to standardize the prevalence of GDM in individual studies included in the analysis. Fixed effects meta-analysis was conducted to estimate standardized pooled prevalence of GDM by IDF regions and World Bank country income groups. RESULTS: The pooled global standardized prevalence of GDM was 14.0% (95% confidence interval: 13.97-14.04%). The regional standardized prevalence of GDM were 7.1% (7.0-7.2%) in North America and Caribbean (NAC), 7.8% (7.2-8.4%) in Europe (EUR), 10.4% (10.1-10.7%) in South America and Central America (SACA), 14.2% (14.0-14.4%) in Africa (AFR), 14.7% (14.7-14.8%) in Western Pacific (WP), 20.8% (20.2-21.4%) in South-East Asia (SEA) and 27.6% (26.9-28.4%) in Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The standardized prevalence of GDM in low-, middle- and high-income countries were 12.7% (11.0-14.6%), 9.2% (9.0-9.3%) and 14.2% (14.1-14.2%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The highest standardized prevalence of GDM was in MENA and SEA, followed by WP and AFR. Among the three World Bank country income groups, high income countries had the highest standardized prevalence of GDM. The standardized estimates for the prevalence of GDM provide an insight for the global picture of GDM.

IDF diabetes Atlas: Global estimates of undiagnosed diabetes in adults for 2021.

AIMS: To provide up-to-date estimates of undiagnosed diabetes mellitus (UDM) prevalence - both globally, and by region/country, for the year 2021. METHODS: Data sources reporting diabetes prevalence were identified through a systematic search in the peer-reviewed and grey literature. The prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes was estimated from the data from each country where data was available. For countries without in-country data, the prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes was approximated by extrapolating the average of the estimates from countries with data sources within the same International Diabetes Federation (IDF) region and World Bank income grouping. We then applied these stratified prevalence estimates of UDM from each country to the number of adults in each strata and summed the counts to generate the number of adults with UDM (aged 20-79 years) for 215 countries and territories. RESULTS: In 2021, almost one in two adults (20-79 years old) with diabetes were unaware of their diabetes status (44.7%; 239.7 million). The highest proportions of undiagnosed diabetes (53.6%) were found in the Africa, Western Pacific (52.8%) and South-East Asia regions (51.3%), respectively. The lowest proportion of undiagnosed diabetes was observed in North America and the Caribbean (24.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes surveillance needs to be strengthened to reduce the prevalence of UDM, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.

IDF Diabetes Atlas: The prevalence of pre-existing diabetes in pregnancy - A systematic reviewand meta-analysis of studies published during 2010-2020.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the prevalence of pre-existing diabetes in pregnancy from studies published during 2010-2020. METHODS: We searched PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus and other sources for relevant data sources. The prevalence of overall pre-existing, type 1 and type 2 diabetes, by country, region and period of study was synthesised from included studies using the inverse-variance heterogeneity model and the Freeman-Tukey transformation. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic and publication bias using funnel plots. RESULTS: We identified 2479 records, of which 42 data sources with a total of 78 943 376 women, met the eligibility criteria. The included studies were from 17 countries in North America, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, Australasia, Asia and Africa. The lowest prevalence was in Europe (0.5%, 95 %CI 0.4-0.7) and the highest in the Middle East and North Africa (2.4%, 95 %CI 1.5-3.1). The prevalence of pre-existing diabetes doubled from 0.5% (95 %CI 0.1-1.0) to 1.0% (95 %CI 0.6-1.5) during the period 1990-2020. The pooled prevalences of pre-existing type 1 and type 2 diabetes were 0.3% (95 %CI 0.2-0.4) and 0.2% (95 %CI 0.0-0.9) respectively. CONCLUSION: While the prevalence of pre-existing diabetes in pregnancy is low, it has doubled from 1990 to 2020.

Cardiovascular diseases and risk factors knowledge and awareness in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a global evaluation.

AIM: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading cause of death in people living with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D). The aim of this study was to explore the knowledge and awareness of CVD and related risk factors in people living with T2D, globally. METHODS: A questionnaire consisting of 17 questions was used to conduct the Taking Diabetes to Heart survey, between September 2017 and May 2018 among people living with T2D. All categorical variables are presented as numbers and percentages. Pearson's chi-square test and Fisher's exact test were used to assess the association between categorical variables. RESULTS: A total of 12,695 respondents living with T2D in 133 countries completed the questionnaire. Almost half of the respondents (44%) reported having lived with diabetes for more than nine years. Only one in six (17%) considered themselves at high risk of CVD, which was surprising given that almost all the respondents had at least one CVD risk factor and around 28% of respondents had experienced one or more CVD events in the past. Although the majority of the respondents indicated they have had CVD risk factors, one in six (17%) had never discussed their risk with a health professional (HP). Furthermore, one in eleven (9%) did not know about CVD and its associated risk factors. CONCLUSION: To mitigate the prevalence of CVD in people living with diabetes, it is required to work with HP to increase knowledge and awareness of people with T2D about diabetes complications, in particular CVD.

Diabetes and global ageing among 65-99-year-old adults: Findings from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition.

AIMS: The main aims are: (a) to draw attention to the nature and pattern of recent global and regional prevalence estimates and projections of diabetes in older adults (65-99 years), and (b) to describe the societal health implications of these changes on a global scale. METHODS: Diabetes prevalences and projections were estimated using a logistic regression method to generate smoothed age- and sex-specific prevalence estimates for 5-year age groups. RESULTS: In 2019, it is estimated that 19.3% of people aged 65-99 years (135.6 million, 95% CI: 107.6-170.6 million) live with diabetes. It is projected that the number of people older than 65 years (65-99 years) with diabetes will reach 195.2 million by 2030 and 276.2 million by 2045. For the regional distribution, the highest prevalence in 2019 being the North America and Caribbean Region at 27.0%. Countries with the highest number of people older than 65 years with diabetes are China, the United States of America and India. CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for more data from national and regional sources on those aged 65 years and over, but the prevailing evidence points to diabetes being a considerable global chronic illness burden in ageing societies.

Mortality attributable to diabetes in 20-79 years old adults, 2019 estimates: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition.

AIMS: To estimate the number of deaths attributable to diabetes in 20-79-year-old adults in 2019. METHODS: The following were used to estimate the number of deaths attributable to diabetes: all-cause mortality estimates from the World Health Organization life table, country level age- and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence in 2019 and relative risks of death in people with diabetes compared to people without diabetes. RESULTS: An estimated 4.2 million deaths among 20-79-year-old adults are attributable to diabetes. Diabetes is estimated to contribute to 11.3% of deaths globally, ranging from 6.8% (lowest) in the Africa Region to 16.2% (highest) in the Middle East and North Africa. About half (46.2%) of the deaths attributable to diabetes occur in people under the age of 60 years. The Africa Region has the highest (73.1%) proportion of deaths attributable to diabetes in people under the age of 60 years, while the Europe Region has the lowest (31.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes is estimated to contribute to one in nine deaths among adults aged 20-79 years. Prevention of diabetes and its complications is essential, particularly in middle-income countries, where the current impact is estimated to be the largest. Contemporary data from diverse populations are needed to validate these estimates.

Global and regional estimates and projections of diabetes-related health expenditure: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition.

AIMS: Diabetes and its complications have a significant economic impact on individuals and their families, health systems and national economies. METHODS: The direct health expenditure of diabetes was calculated relying on the following inputs: diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetes prevalence estimates, United Nations population estimates, World Health Organization health expenditure per capita and ratios of health expenditure for people with diabetes compared to people without diabetes. RESULTS: The estimated global direct health expenditure on diabetes in 2019 is USD 760 billion and is expected to grow to a projected USD 825 billion by 2030 and USD 845 billion by 2045. There is a wide variation in annual health expenditures on diabetes. The United States of America has the highest estimated expenditure with USD 294.6 billion, followed by China and Brazil, with USD 109.0 billion and USD 52.3 billion, respectively. The age group with the largest annual diabetes-related health expenditure is 60-69 years with USD 177.7 billion, followed by 50-59 years, and 70-79 years with USD 173.0 billion and USD 171.5 billion, respectively. Slightly higher diabetes-related health expenditure is seen in women than in men (USD 382.6 billion vs. USD 377.6 billion, respectively). The same difference is expected to be present in 2030 and 2045. CONCLUSIONS: There were large disparities between high-, middle- and low-income countries with total health expenditures in high-income countries being over 300 times those in low-income countries. The ratio for annual direct health expenditure per person between these groups of countries is more than 38-fold.

Projections of the prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy in 2019 and beyond: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition.

AIM: Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy (HIP) is one of the most common complications of pregnancy. This study aims to examine the projected HIP prevalence in 2030 and 2045 using multiple methods. METHODS: The International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas 2019 prevalence was projected to 2030 and 2045 by: (1) carrying forward the 2019 age-adjusted prevalence rates; (2) applying a linear regression of the past four editions of the IDF Diabetes Atlas; (3) applying a regression of the previous editions with the most consistent trend, followed by extrapolation from the 9th edition HIP estimate. RESULTS: Respectively, for 2030 and 2045, Method 1 projected a declining HIP rate with prevalences of 14.0% and 13.3%, Method 2 projected an increasing HIP prevalence at 16.5% and 18.3%, Method 3 predicted stabilisation of the rate from 16.0% to 15.8%. CONCLUSION: Assuming other factors remain unchanged, our best estimation of age-adjusted HIP will show stabilisation between 2019 and 2045 of 15.8% to 16.0%. However, this estimate is confounded by the heterogeneity of studies and the influence of different gestational diabetes mellitus diagnostic criteria. To provide accurate future comparisons we recommend standardising the diagnostic criteria to the International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Groups.

Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition.

AIMS: To provide global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045. METHODS: A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated from similar countries matched by economy, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates (including previously undiagnosed diabetes) in adults aged 20-79 years. RESULTS: The global diabetes prevalence in 2019 is estimated to be 9.3% (463 million people), rising to 10.2% (578 million) by 2030 and 10.9% (700 million) by 2045. The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). One in two (50.1%) people living with diabetes do not know that they have diabetes. The global prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance is estimated to be 7.5% (374 million) in 2019 and projected to reach 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045. CONCLUSIONS: Just under half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide and the number is projected to increase by 25% in 2030 and 51% in 2045.

Worldwide estimates of incidence, prevalence and mortality of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition.

AIMS: This article describes the methods, results and limitations of the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) Diabetes Atlas 9th edition estimates of worldwide numbers of cases of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents. METHODS: Most information in the published literature is in the form of incidence rates derived from registers of newly-diagnosed cases. After systematic review of the published literature and recent conference abstracts, identified studies were quality graded. If no study was available, extrapolation was used to assign a country the rate from an adjacent country with similar characteristics. Estimates of incident cases were obtained by applying incidence rates to United Nations 2019 population estimates. Estimates of prevalent cases were derived from incidence rates after making allowance for higher mortality rates in less-developed countries. RESULTS: Incidence rates were available for 45% of countries (ranging from 6% in the sub-Saharan Africa region to 77% in the European region). Worldwide annual incidence estimates were 98,200 (128,900) new cases in the under 15 year (under 20 year) age-groups. Corresponding prevalence estimates were 600,900 (1,110,100) existing cases. Compared with estimates in earlier Atlas editions, numbers have increased in most IDF regions, reflecting incidence rate increases, but prevalence estimates have decreased in sub-Saharan Africa because allowance has been made for increased mortality in those with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Worldwide estimates of numbers of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes continue to increase.

OMERACT Development of a Core Domain Set of Outcomes for Shared Decision-making Interventions.

OBJECTIVE: The Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) Shared Decision Making (SDM) Working Group aims to determine the core outcome domain set for measuring the effectiveness of SDM interventions in rheumatology trials. METHODS: A white paper was developed to clarify the draft core domain set. It was then used to prepare for interviews to investigate reasons for lack of consensus on it and to suggest further improvements. RESULTS: OMERACT scientists/clinicians (n = 13) and patients (n = 10) suggested limiting the core domain set to outcome domains, removing process domains, and clarifying remaining domains. CONCLUSION: A revised core domain set will undergo further consensus-building.

Health literacy and social change: exploring networks and interests groups shaping the rising global health literacy movement.

Limited health literacy is a neglected public health challenge in many countries. To bridge the gap, various interest groups, coalitions and networks have increasingly been formed. This study aimed to scope the formation of health literacy groups, coalitions and networks to map their existence and to discuss whether an actual global health literacy movement is under development. The internet was searched, particularly using Google, LinkedIn and Twitter. The 60 identified entities were categorised and analysed according to their target group, geographical origin, member profile, aim, year of establishment and communication platform. The study revealed a vibrant worldwide health literacy community driving the rise of an emerging global health literacy movement for social change towards empowerment and health equity. Time will show whether health literacy will successfully become mainstream or fade out without impact.