Previous fracture and subsequent fracture risk: a meta-analysis to update FRAX.

A large international meta-analysis using primary data from 64 cohorts has quantified the increased risk of fracture associated with a previous history of fracture for future use in FRAX. INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to quantify the fracture risk associated with a prior fracture on an international basis and to explore the relationship of this risk with age, sex, time since baseline and bone mineral density (BMD). METHODS: We studied 665,971 men and 1,438,535 women from 64 cohorts in 32 countries followed for a total of 19.5 million person-years. The effect of a prior history of fracture on the risk of any clinical fracture, any osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture alone was examined using an extended Poisson model in each cohort. Covariates examined were age, sex, BMD, and duration of follow-up. The results of the different studies were merged by using the weighted ß-coefficients. RESULTS: A previous fracture history, compared with individuals without a prior fracture, was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture (hazard ratio, HR = 1.88; 95% CI = 1.72-2.07). The risk ratio was similar for the outcome of osteoporotic fracture (HR = 1.87; 95% CI = 1.69-2.07), major osteoporotic fracture (HR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.63-2.06), or for hip fracture (HR = 1.82; 95% CI = 1.62-2.06). There was no significant difference in risk ratio between men and women. Subsequent fracture risk was marginally downward adjusted when account was taken of BMD. Low BMD explained a minority of the risk for any clinical fracture (14%), osteoporotic fracture (17%), and for hip fracture (33%). The risk ratio for all fracture outcomes related to prior fracture decreased significantly with adjustment for age and time since baseline examination. CONCLUSION: A previous history of fracture confers an increased risk of fracture of substantial importance beyond that explained by BMD. The effect is similar in men and women. Its quantitation on an international basis permits the more accurate use of this risk factor in case finding strategies.

Update of the fracture risk prediction tool FRAX: a systematic review of potential cohorts and analysis plan.

We describe the collection of cohorts together with the analysis plan for an update of the fracture risk prediction tool FRAX with respect to current and novel risk factors. The resource comprises 2,138,428 participants with a follow-up of approximately 20 million person-years and 116,117 documented incident major osteoporotic fractures. INTRODUCTION: The availability of the fracture risk assessment tool FRAX® has substantially enhanced the targeting of treatment to those at high risk of fracture with FRAX now incorporated into more than 100 clinical osteoporosis guidelines worldwide. The aim of this study is to determine whether the current algorithms can be further optimised with respect to current and novel risk factors. METHODS: A computerised literature search was performed in PubMed from inception until May 17, 2019, to identify eligible cohorts for updating the FRAX coefficients. Additionally, we searched the abstracts of conference proceedings of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, European Calcified Tissue Society and World Congress of Osteoporosis. Prospective cohort studies with data on baseline clinical risk factors and incident fractures were eligible. RESULTS: Of the 836 records retrieved, 53 were selected for full-text assessment after screening on title and abstract. Twelve cohorts were deemed eligible and of these, 4 novel cohorts were identified. These cohorts, together with 60 previously identified cohorts, will provide the resource for constructing an updated version of FRAX comprising 2,138,428 participants with a follow-up of approximately 20 million person-years and 116,117 documented incident major osteoporotic fractures. For each known and candidate risk factor, multivariate hazard functions for hip fracture, major osteoporotic fracture and death will be tested using extended Poisson regression. Sex- and/or ethnicity-specific differences in the weights of the risk factors will be investigated. After meta-analyses of the cohort-specific beta coefficients for each risk factor, models comprising 10-year probability of hip and major osteoporotic fracture, with or without femoral neck bone mineral density, will be computed. CONCLUSIONS: These assembled cohorts and described models will provide the framework for an updated FRAX tool enabling enhanced assessment of fracture risk (PROSPERO (CRD42021227266)).

Calcaneal quantitative ultrasound is associated with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality independent of hip bone mineral density.

Osteoporosis has been linked with increased risk of cardiovascular disease previously. However, few studies have detailed bone and vascular information. In a prospective study of older women, we demonstrated heel quantitative ultrasound measures were associated with increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, independent of established cardiovascular risk factors. INTRODUCTION: Osteoporosis and low bone mineral density (BMD) have been previously linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. Calcaneal quantitative ultrasound (QUS) is used to evaluate bone material properties, especially in older women. However, it is uncertain whether it is related to risk of mortality. This study was aimed to investigate the association between calcaneal QUS measurements and 15-year all-cause and CVD mortality in 1404 older women (mean age 75.2 ± 2.7 years). METHODS: One thousand four hundred four older women, participants of Calcium Intake Fracture Outcome study (CAIFOS), had calcaneal bone measured at baseline (1998) and followed for 15 years. The primary outcomes, any deaths, and deaths attributable to cardiovascular causes ascertained by using linked data were obtained from Western Australia data linkage system. RESULTS: Over the 15 years of follow-up (17,955 person years), 584 of the women died, and 223 from CVD. For every standard deviation (SD), reduction in broadband ultrasound attenuation (BUA) in minimally and multivariable-adjusted model including cardiovascular risk factors increased relative hazards for all-cause (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.15; 95%CI: 1.06-1.26, p = 0.001) and CVD mortality (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.20; 95%CI: 1.04-1.38, p = 0.010). Such relationships also persisted when hip BMD was included in the model (all-cause mortality HR 1.19; 95%CI: 1.07-1.33, p = 0.002; CVD mortality HR 1.28; 95%CI: 1.07-1.53, p = 0.008). CONCLUSION: BUA is associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in older women independent of BMD and established CVD risk factors. Understanding why and how these are related may provide further insights about the bone-vascular nexus as well as therapeutic targets benefiting both systems.

Comparative effectiveness of denosumab, teriparatide, and zoledronic acid among frail older adults: a retrospective cohort study.

The comparative effects of zoledronic acid, denosumab, and teriparatide for preventing hip fractures in frail older adults, especially those in nursing homes, were unknown. We found that denosumab and zoledronic acid may be as effective as teriparatide for hip fracture prevention in nursing home residents. INTRODUCTION: Several non-oral drugs exist for osteoporosis treatment, including zoledronic acid (ZA), denosumab, and teriparatide. Little data exist on the comparative effectiveness of these drugs for hip fracture prevention in frail older adults. We examined their comparative effectiveness in one of the frailest segments of the US population-nursing home (NH) residents. METHODS: We conducted a national retrospective cohort study of NH residents aged ≥ 65 years using 2012 to 2016 national US Minimum Data Set clinical assessment data and linked Medicare claims. New parenteral ZA, denosumab, and teriparatide use was assessed via Medicare Parts B and D; hip fracture outcomes via Part A; and 125 covariates for confounding adjustment via several datasets. We used inverse probability weighted (IPW) competing risk regression models to compare hip fracture risk between groups with teriparatide as the reference. RESULTS: The study cohort (N = 2019) included 1046 denosumab, 578 teriparatide, and 395 ZA initiators. Mean age was 85 years, 90% were female, and 68% had at least moderate functional impairment. Seventy-two residents (3.6%) had a hip fracture and 1100 (54.5%) died over a mean follow-up of 1.5 years. Compared to teriparatide use, denosumab use was associated with a 46% lower risk of hip fracture (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.29-1.00) and no difference was observed for ZA (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.26-1.85). CONCLUSIONS: Denosumab and ZA may be as effective as teriparatide for hip fracture prevention in frail older adults. Given their lower cost and easier administration, denosumab and ZA are likely preferable non-oral treatments for most frail, older adults.

Bone density and strength from thoracic and lumbar CT scans both predict incident vertebral fractures independently of fracture location.

In a population-based study, we found that computed tomography (CT)-based bone density and strength measures from the thoracic spine predicted new vertebral fracture as well as measures from the lumbar spine, suggesting that CT scans at either the thorax or abdominal regions are useful to assess vertebral fracture risk. INTRODUCTION: Prior studies have shown that computed tomography (CT)-based lumbar bone density and strength measurements predict incident vertebral fracture. This study investigated whether CT-based bone density and strength measurements from the thoracic spine predict incident vertebral fracture and compared the performance of thoracic and lumbar bone measurements to predict incident vertebral fracture. METHODS: This case-control study of community-based men and women (age 74.6 ± 6.6) included 135 cases with incident vertebral fracture at any level and 266 age- and sex-matched controls. We used baseline CT scans to measure integral and trabecular volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) and vertebral strength (via finite element analysis, FEA) at the T8 and L2 levels. Association between these measurements and vertebral fracture was determined by using conditional logistic regression. Sensitivity and specificity for predicting incident vertebral fracture were determined for lumbar spine and thoracic bone measurements. RESULTS: Bone measurements from T8 and L2 predicted incident vertebral fracture equally well, regardless of fracture location. Specifically, for predicting vertebral fracture at any level, the odds ratio (per 1-SD decrease) for the vBMD and strength measurements at L2 and T8 ranged from 2.0 to 2.7 (p < 0.0001) and 1.8 to 2.8 (p < 0.0001), respectively. Results were similar when predicting fracture only in the thoracic versus the thoracolumbar spine. Lumbar and thoracic spine bone measurements had similar sensitivity and specificity for predicting incident vertebral fracture. CONCLUSION: These findings indicated that like those from the lumbar spine, CT-based bone density and strength measurements from the thoracic spine may be useful for identifying individuals at high risk for vertebral fracture.

Correction to: The factor-of-risk biomechanical approach predicts hip fracture in men and women: the Framingham Study.

The original version of this article, published 23 February 2011, unfortunately contained a mistake. The following correction has therefore been made in the original.

Prediction of incident vertebral fracture using CT-based finite element analysis.

Prior studies show vertebral strength from computed tomography-based finite element analysis may be associated with vertebral fracture risk. We found vertebral strength had a strong association with new vertebral fractures, suggesting that vertebral strength measures identify those at risk for vertebral fracture and may be a useful clinical tool. INTRODUCTION: We aimed to determine the association between vertebral strength by quantitative computed tomography (CT)-based finite element analysis (FEA) and incident vertebral fracture (VF). In addition, we examined sensitivity and specificity of previously proposed diagnostic thresholds for fragile bone strength and low BMD in predicting VF. METHODS: In a case-control study, 26 incident VF cases (13 men, 13 women) and 62 age- and sex-matched controls aged 50 to 85 years were selected from the Framingham multi-detector computed tomography cohort. Vertebral compressive strength, integral vBMD, trabecular vBMD, CT-based BMC, and CT-based aBMD were measured from CT scans of the lumbar spine. RESULTS: Lower vertebral strength at baseline was associated with an increased risk of new or worsening VF after adjusting for age, BMI, and prevalent VF status (odds ratio (OR) = 5.2 per 1 SD decrease, 95% CI 1.3-19.8). Area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve comparisons revealed that vertebral strength better predicted incident VF than CT-based aBMD (AUC = 0.804 vs. 0.715, p = 0.05) but was not better than integral vBMD (AUC = 0.815) or CT-based BMC (AUC = 0.794). Additionally, proposed fragile bone strength thresholds trended toward better sensitivity for identifying VF than that of aBMD-classified osteoporosis (0.46 vs. 0.23, p = 0.09). CONCLUSION: This study shows an association between vertebral strength measures and incident vertebral fracture in men and women. Though limited by a small sample size, our findings also suggest that bone strength estimates by CT-based FEA provide equivalent or better ability to predict incident vertebral fracture compared to CT-based aBMD. Our study confirms that CT-based estimates of vertebral strength from FEA are useful for identifying patients who are at high risk for vertebral fracture.

Population-based study of age- and sex-related differences in muscle density and size in thoracic and lumbar spine: the Framingham study.

Relative age-related deficit in trunk muscle density was greater in women than men whereas the relative decrease in muscle mass with age was similar in both sexes. The greater muscle fat content and greater age-related fat accumulation among women may contribute to women suffering more functional disabilities than men. INTRODUCTION: A better understanding of the effect of aging on trunk musculature will have implications for physical function, disability, pain, and risk of injury in older adults. Thus, we determined the age- and sex-related differences in muscle density and size of both thoracic and lumbar trunk muscles. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, muscle density and size were measured from quantitative computed tomography (QCT) scans for 10 trunk muscle groups at different vertebral levels in 250 community-based men and women aged 40 to 90 years from the Framingham Offspring and Third Generation cohorts. RESULTS: Trunk muscles in men were 20-67% larger and had 5-68% higher density than in women. The relative age-related deficits in muscle size were similar in both sexes, and decreased on average by ~ 8% per decade in both sexes. In contrast, women had greater age-related decreases in muscle density than men (- 17% in women, and - 11% in men, p < 0.01). Age-related declines varied by specific muscle, tending to be greater for outer trunk muscles than for paraspinal muscles, but within a given muscle the age-related changes in muscle density and size were similar among spinal levels. CONCLUSION: This comprehensive study of trunk muscle deficits with increasing age may have important implications for physical function, disability, pain, and risk of injury in older adults. The greater levels of mobility impairments with aging in women may in part be explained by greater proportion of intramuscular fat tissue and greater age-related fat accumulation in trunk muscles in women than in men.

Defining hip fracture with claims data: outpatient and provider claims matter.

Medicare claims are commonly used to identify hip fractures, but there is no universally accepted definition. We found that a definition using inpatient claims identified fewer fractures than a definition including outpatient and provider claims. Few additional fractures were identified by including inconsistent diagnostic and procedural codes at contiguous sites. INTRODUCTION: Medicare claims data is commonly used in research studies to identify hip fractures, but there is no universally accepted definition of fracture. Our purpose was to describe potential misclassification when hip fractures are defined using Medicare Part A (inpatient) claims without considering Part B (outpatient and provider) claims and when inconsistent diagnostic and procedural codes occur at contiguous fracture sites (e.g., femoral shaft or pelvic). METHODS: Participants included all long-stay nursing home residents enrolled in Medicare Parts A and B fee-for-service between 1/1/2008 and 12/31/2009 with follow-up through 12/31/2011. We compared the number of hip fractures identified using only Part A claims to (1) Part A plus Part B claims and (2) Part A and Part B claims plus discordant codes at contiguous fracture sites. RESULTS: Among 1,257,279 long-stay residents, 40,932 (3.2%) met the definition of hip fracture using Part A claims, and 41,687 residents (3.3%) met the definition using Part B claims. 4566 hip fractures identified using Part B claims would not have been captured using Part A claims. An additional 227 hip fractures were identified after considering contiguous fracture sites. CONCLUSIONS: When ascertaining hip fractures, a definition using outpatient and provider claims identified 11% more fractures than a definition with only inpatient claims. Future studies should publish their definition of fracture and specify if diagnostic codes from contiguous fracture sites were used.

The ability of low-magnitude mechanical signals to normalize bone turnover in adolescents hospitalized for anorexia nervosa.

We sought to determine whether low-magnitude mechanical stimulation (LMMS) normalizes bone turnover among adolescents hospitalized for anorexia nervosa (AN). Brief, daily LMMS prevents the decline in bone turnover typically seen during bed rest in AN. LMMS may have application for patients with AN in the inpatient setting to protect bone health. INTRODUCTION: Malnourished adolescents with AN requiring medical hospitalization are at high risk for rapid reduction in skeletal quality. Even short-term bed rest can suppress normal patterns of bone turnover. We sought to determine whether LMMS normalizes bone turnover among adolescents hospitalized for complications of AN. METHODS: In this randomized, double-blind trial, we prospectively enrolled adolescent females (n = 41) with AN, age 16.3 ± 1.9 years (mean ± SD) and BMI 15.6 ± 1.7 kg/m2. Participants were randomized to stand on a platform delivering LMMS (0.3 g at 32-37 Hz) or placebo platform for 10 min/day for 5 days. Serum markers of bone formation [bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BSAP)], turnover [osteocalcin (OC)], and bone resorption [serum C-telopeptides (CTx)] were measured. From a random coefficients model, we constructed estimates and confidence intervals for all outcomes. RESULTS: BSAP decreased by 2.8% per day in the placebo arm (p = 0.03) but remained stable in the LMMS group (p = 0.51, pdiff = 0.04). CTx did not change with placebo (p = 0.56) but increased in the LMMS arm (+6.2% per day, p = 0.04; pdiff = 0.01). Serum OC did not change in either group (p > 0.70). CONCLUSIONS: Bed rest during hospitalization for patients with AN is associated with a suppression of bone turnover, which may contribute to diminished bone quality. Brief, daily LMMS prevents a decline in bone turnover during bed rest in AN. Protocols prescribing strict bed rest may not be appropriate for protecting bone health for these patients. LMMS may have application for these patients in the inpatient setting.

Gene transcripts associated with muscle strength: a CHARGE meta-analysis of 7,781 persons.

Lower muscle strength in midlife predicts disability and mortality in later life. Blood-borne factors, including growth differentiation factor 11 (GDF11), have been linked to muscle regeneration in animal models. We aimed to identify gene transcripts associated with muscle strength in adults. Meta-analysis of whole blood gene expression (overall 17,534 unique genes measured by microarray) and hand-grip strength in four independent cohorts (n = 7,781, ages: 20-104 yr, weighted mean = 56), adjusted for age, sex, height, weight, and leukocyte subtypes. Separate analyses were performed in subsets (older/younger than 60, men/women). Expression levels of 221 genes were associated with strength after adjustment for cofactors and for multiple statistical testing, including ALAS2 (rate-limiting enzyme in heme synthesis), PRF1 (perforin, a cytotoxic protein associated with inflammation), IGF1R, and IGF2BP2 (both insulin like growth factor related). We identified statistical enrichment for hemoglobin biosynthesis, innate immune activation, and the stress response. Ten genes were associated only in younger individuals, four in men only and one in women only. For example, PIK3R2 (a negative regulator of PI3K/AKT growth pathway) was negatively associated with muscle strength in younger (<60 yr) individuals but not older (≥ 60 yr). We also show that 115 genes (52%) have not previously been linked to muscle in NCBI PubMed abstracts. This first large-scale transcriptome study of muscle strength in human adults confirmed associations with known pathways and provides new evidence for over half of the genes identified. There may be age- and sex-specific gene expression signatures in blood for muscle strength.

Incident long-term warfarin use and risk of osteoporotic fractures: propensity-score matched cohort of elders with new onset atrial fibrillation.

UNLABELLED: Association between warfarin use and fracture risk is unclear. We examined the association between long-term warfarin use and fracture risk at the hip, spine, and wrist in elders. No significant association was found between long-term warfarin use and fracture risk, despite biological plausibility. INTRODUCTION: Prior studies examining the association of warfarin use and osteoporotic fractures have been conflicting, potentially related to methodological limitations. Thus, we examined the association of long-term warfarin use with risk of hip, spine, and wrist fractures among older adults with atrial fibrillation, attempting to address prior methodologic challenges. METHODS: We included men and women ≥ 65 years of age with incident atrial fibrillation and without prior history of fractures from The Health Improvement Network followed between 2000 and 2010. Long-term warfarin use was defined in two ways: (1) warfarin use ≥ 1 year; (2) warfarin use ≥ 3 years. Propensity-score matched cohorts of warfarin users and nonusers were created to evaluate the association between long-term warfarin use and risk of hip, spine, and wrist fractures separately as well as combined, using Cox-proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Among >20,000 participants with incident atrial fibrillation, the hazard ratios (HR) for hip fracture with warfarin use ≥ 1 and ≥ 3 years, respectively, were 1.08 (95%CI 0.87, 1.35) and 1.13 (95% CI 0.84, 1.50). Similarly, no significant associations were observed between long-term warfarin use and risk of spine or wrist fracture. When risk of any fracture was assessed with warfarin use, no association was found [HR for warfarin use ≥ 1 year 0.92 (95%CI 0.77, 1.10); HR for warfarin use ≥ 3 years 1.12 (95%CI 0.88, 1.43)]. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term warfarin use among elders with atrial fibrillation was not associated with increased risk of osteoporotic fractures and therefore does not appear to necessitate additional surveillance or prophylaxis.

The associations between QCT-based vertebral bone measurements and prevalent vertebral fractures depend on the spinal locations of both bone measurement and fracture.

UNLABELLED: We examined how spinal location affects the relationships between quantitative computed tomography (QCT)-based bone measurements and prevalent vertebral fractures. Upper spine (T4-T10) fractures appear to be more strongly related to bone measures than lower spine (T11-L4) fractures, while lower spine measurements are at least as strongly related to fractures as upper spine measurements. INTRODUCTION: Vertebral fracture (VF), a common injury in older adults, is most prevalent in the mid-thoracic (T7-T8) and thoracolumbar (T12-L1) areas of the spine. However, measurements of bone mineral density (BMD) are typically made in the lumbar spine. It is not clear how the associations between bone measurements and VFs are affected by the spinal locations of both bone measurements and VF. METHODS: A community-based case-control study includes 40 cases with moderate or severe prevalent VF and 80 age- and sex-matched controls. Measures of vertebral BMD, strength (estimated by finite element analysis), and factor of risk (load:strength ratio) were determined based on QCT scans at the L3 and T10 vertebrae. Associations were determined between bone measures and prevalent VF occurring at any location, in the upper spine (T4-T10), or in the lower spine (T11-L4). RESULTS: Prevalent VF at any location was significantly associated with bone measures, with odds ratios (ORs) generally higher for measurements made at L3 (ORs = 1.9-3.9) than at T10 (ORs = 1.5-2.4). Upper spine fracture was associated with these measures at both T10 and L3 (ORs = 1.9-8.2), while lower spine fracture was less strongly associated (ORs = 1.0-2.4) and only reached significance for volumetric BMD measures at L3. CONCLUSIONS: Closer proximity between the locations of bone measures and prevalent VF does not strengthen associations between bone measures and fracture. Furthermore, VF etiology may vary by region, with VFs in the upper spine more strongly related to skeletal fragility.

The heritability of circulating testosterone, oestradiol, oestrone and sex hormone binding globulin concentrations in men: the Framingham Heart Study.

OBJECTIVE: Circulating testosterone, oestradiol and oestrone concentrations vary considerably between men. Although a substantial proportion of this variation may be attributed to morbidity and behavioural factors, these cannot account for its entirety, suggesting genetic inheritance as a potential additional determinant. The analysis described here was intended to estimate the heritability of male circulating total testosterone (TT), calculated free testosterone (cFT), oestrone (E1), oestradiol (E2) and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG), along with the genetic correlation between these factors. DESIGN: Cross-sectional, observational analysis of data from male members of the Offspring and Generation 3 cohorts of the Framingham Heart Study. Data were collected in the years 1998-2005. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3367 community-dwelling men contributed to the analysis, including 1066 father/son and 1284 brother pairs among other family relationships. MEASUREMENTS: Levels of serum sex steroids (TT, E1 and E2) were measured by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry, SHBG by immunofluorometric assay and cFT by mass action equation. Heritability was obtained using variance components analysis with adjustment for covariates including age, diabetes mellitus, body mass index and smoking status. RESULTS: Age-adjusted heritability estimates were 0·19, 0·40, 0·40, 0·30 and 0·41 for cFT, TT, E1, E2 and SHBG, respectively. Adjustment for covariates did not substantially attenuate these estimates; SHBG-adjusted TT results were similar to those obtained for cFT. Genetic correlation coefficients (ρG ) indicated substantial genetic association between TT and cFT (ρG = 0·68), between TT and SHBG (pG = 0·87), between E1 and E2 (ρG = 0·46) and between TT and E2 (ρG = 0·48). CONCLUSION: Circulating testosterone, oestradiol and oestrone concentrations exhibit substantial heritability in adult men. Significant genetic association between testosterone and oestrogen levels suggests shared genetic pathways.

Association of heat shock proteins with all-cause mortality.

Experimental mild heat shock is widely known as an intervention that results in extended longevity in various models along the evolutionary lineage. Heat shock proteins (HSPs) are highly upregulated immediately after a heat shock. The elevation in HSP levels was shown to inhibit stress-mediated cell death, and recent experiments indicate a highly versatile role for these proteins as inhibitors of programmed cell death. In this study, we examined common genetic variations in 31 genes encoding all members of the HSP70, small HSP, and heat shock factor (HSF) families for their association with all-cause mortality. Our discovery cohort was the Rotterdam study (RS1) containing 5,974 participants aged 55 years and older (3,174 deaths). We assessed 4,430 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) using the HumanHap550K Genotyping BeadChip from Illumina. After adjusting for multiple testing by permutation analysis, three SNPs showed evidence for association with all-cause mortality in RS1. These findings were followed in eight independent population-based cohorts, leading to a total of 25,007 participants (8,444 deaths). In the replication phase, only HSF2 (rs1416733) remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality. Rs1416733 is a known cis-eQTL for HSF2. Our findings suggest a role of HSF2 in all-cause mortality.

Severity of aortic calcification is positively associated with vertebral fracture in older men--a densitometry study in the STRAMBO cohort.

UNLABELLED: In older men, severe abdominal aortic calcification and vertebral fracture (both assessed using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry) were positively associated after adjustment for confounders including bone mineral density. INTRODUCTION: Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) is associated with higher fracture risk, independently of low bone mineral density (BMD). Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) can be used to assess both vertebral fracture and AAC and requires less time, cost, and radiation exposure. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of the association between AAC and prevalent vertebral fractures in 901 men≥50 years old. We used DXA (vertebral fracture assessment) to evaluate BMD, vertebral fracture, and AAC. RESULTS: Prevalence of vertebral fracture was 11%. Median AAC score was 1 and 12% of men had AAC score>6. After adjustment for age, weight, femoral neck BMD, smoking, ischemic heart disease, diabetes, and hypertension, AAC score>6 (vs ≤6) was associated with 2.5 (95% CI, 1.4-4.5) higher odds of vertebral fracture. Odds of vertebral fracture for AAC score>6 increased with vertebral fracture severity (grade 1, OR=1.8; grade 2, OR=2.4; grade 3, OR=4.4; trend p<0.01) and with the number of vertebral fractures (1 fracture, OR=2.0, >1 fracture, OR=3.5). Prevalence of vertebral fracture was twice as high in men having both a T-score<-2.0 and an AAC score>6 compared with men having only one of these characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: Men with greater severity AAC had greater severity and greater number of vertebral fractures, independently of BMD and co-morbidities. DXA can be used to assess vertebral fracture and AAC. It can provide a rapid, safe, and less expensive alternative to radiography. DXA may be an important clinical tool to identify men at high risk of adverse outcomes from osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease.

Diuretic initiation and the acute risk of hip fracture.

SUMMARY: We found the risk of hip fracture was transiently elevated around twofold shortly after initiation of a loop or thiazide diuretic drug in a case-crossover and case-control study. No statistical association was found following the initiation of a comparator medication: ACE inhibitors. Awareness of these short-term risks may reduce hip fractures. INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the acute effects of initiating a diuretic drug on risk of fracture. We evaluated the relationship between initiating a diuretic drug and the occurrence of hip fracture. METHODS: The study sample included 2,118,793 persons aged ≥50 years enrolled in The Health Improvement Network (THIN) between 1986 and 2010. The effect of a new start of a diuretic drug or comparator medication (ACE inhibitor) on risk of hip fracture was assessed using a case-crossover and case-control study during the 1-7, 8-14, 15-21, and 22-28 days following drug initiation. RESULTS: Included were 28,703 individuals with an incident hip fracture over a mean of 7.9 years follow-up. In the case-crossover study, the risk of experiencing a hip fracture was increased during the first 7 days following loop diuretic drug initiation (OR = 1.8; 95 % CI, 1.2, 2.7). The elevated risk did not continue during the 8-14, 15-21, or 22-28 days following drug initiation. For thiazide diuretics, the risk of hip fracture was elevated 8-14 days after drug initiation (OR = 2.2; 95 % CI, 1.2, 3.9). No such association was observed in the 1-7, 15-21, or 22-28 days following thiazide drug initiation. ACE inhibitor initiation was not associated with a statistically significant increased risk of hip fracture. Similar results were observed using a case-control study. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of hip fracture was transiently elevated around twofold shortly after the new start of a loop or thiazide diuretic drug. Awareness of these short-term risks may reduce hip fractures and other injurious falls in vulnerable adults.

The factor-of-risk biomechanical approach predicts hip fracture in men and women: the Framingham Study.

SUMMARY: We examined the relation between a biomechanical measure, factor-of-risk, and hip fracture risk in 1,100 men and women from the Framingham Study and found that it predicted hip fracture (men, ORs of 1.8; women, 1.2-1.4). INTRODUCTION: Alternative methods of predicting hip fracture are needed since 50% of adults who fracture do not have osteoporosis by bone mineral density (BMD) measurements. One method, factor-of-risk (Φ), computes the ratio of force on the hip in a fall to femoral strength. We examined the relation between Φ and hip fracture in 1,100 subjects from the Framingham Study with measured hip BMD, along with weight, height, and age, collected in 1988-1989. METHODS: We estimated both peak and attenuated force applied to the hip in a sideways fall from standing height, where attenuated force incorporated cushioning effects of trochanteric soft tissue. Femoral strength was estimated from femoral neck BMD, using cadaveric femoral strength data. Sex-specific, age-adjusted survival models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals for the relation between Φ (peak), Φ (attenuated), and their components with hip fracture. RESULTS: In 425 men and 675 women (mean age, 76 years), 136 hip fractures occurred over median follow-up of 11.3 years. Factor-of-risk, Φ, was associated with increased age-adjusted risk for hip fracture. One standard deviation increase in Φ (peak) and Φ (attenuated) was associated with HR of 1.88 and 1.78 in men and 1.23 and 1.41 in women, respectively. Examining components of Φ, in women, we found fall force and soft tissue thickness were predictive of hip fracture independent of femoral strength (was estimated from BMD). CONCLUSIONS: Thus, both Φ (peak) and Φ (attenuated) predict hip fracture in men and women. These findings suggest additional studies of Φ predicting hip fracture using direct measurements of trochanteric soft tissue.

Identification of prevalent vertebral fractures using CT lateral scout views: a comparison of semi-automated quantitative vertebral morphometry and radiologist semi-quantitative grading.

UNLABELLED: We compared vertebral fracture assessment by semi-automated quantitative vertebral morphometry measurements with the conventional semi-quantitative (SQ) grading using lateral CT scout views. The semi-automated morphometry method showed good to excellent agreement with the visual SQ grading by radiologists for identification of vertebral fractures. INTRODUCTION: Semi-automated quantitative vertebral morphometry (QM) measurements may enhance management of osteoporosis patients by providing an efficient means to identify vertebral fractures (VFx). We compared identification of prevalent VFx by semi-automated QM to SQ grading. METHODS: A non-radiologist performed semi-automated QM from CT lateral scout views in 200 subjects (102 men, 98 women, 65.8 ± 8.9 years) selected from the Framingham Heart Study Multidetector CT Study. VFx were classified in the QM approach based on using Genant's criteria for deformities, and compared with conventional SQ grading performed by experienced radiologists as the gold standard. The kappa (k) statistics, percent agreement (% Agree), sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were computed. RESULTS: Among 200 subjects, 57 had mild and 41 had moderate or severe VFx by visual SQ grading. Per-person analyses showed excellent agreement between the two methods, with k = 0.780. The % Agree ranged from 86.7% to 91.2%, the SE was 81.3%-96%, and the SP was 86.5%-92%. Among 2,588 vertebrae analyzed, 107 had mild and 49 had moderate or severe VFx by visual SQ grading. Per-vertebra analyses revealed good agreement, with k = 0.580. Agreement between the methods tended to be highest in L1-L4 region. Agreement and validity measures were higher when only moderate and severe fractures were included. CONCLUSION: The semi-automated quantitative vertebral morphometry measurements from CT lateral scout views provided good to excellent agreement with the standard SQ grading for assessment of prevalent vertebral fractures.