Coronary bypass surgery guided by computed tomography in a low-risk population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In patients with three-vessel disease and/or left main disease, selecting revascularization strategy based on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) has a high level of virtual agreement with treatment decisions based on invasive coronary angiography (ICA). METHODS: In this study, coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) procedures were planned based on CCTA without knowledge of ICA. The CABG strategy was recommended by a central core laboratory assessing the anatomy and functionality of the coronary circulation. The primary feasibility endpoint was the percentage of operations performed without access to the ICA. The primary safety endpoint was graft patency on 30-day follow-up CCTA. Secondary endpoints included topographical adequacy of grafting, major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular (MACCE), and major bleeding events at 30 days. The study was considered positive if the lower boundary of confidence intervals (CI) for feasibility was ≥75% (NCT04142021). RESULTS: The study enrolled 114 patients with a mean (standard deviation) anatomical SYNTAX score and Society of Thoracic Surgery score of 43.6 (15.3) and 0.81 (0.63), respectively. Unblinding ICA was required in one case yielding a feasibility of 99.1% (95% CI 95.2%-100%). The concordance and agreement in revascularization planning between the ICA- and CCTA-Heart Teams was 82.9% with a moderate kappa of 0.58 (95% CI 0.50-0.66) and between the CCTA-Heart Team and actual treatment was 83.7% with a substantial kappa of 0.61 (95% CI 0.53-0.68). The 30-day follow-up CCTA in 102 patients (91.9%) showed an anastomosis patency rate of 92.6%, whilst MACCE was 7.2% and major bleeding 2.7%. CONCLUSIONS: CABG guided by CCTA is feasible and has an acceptable safety profile in a selected population of complex coronary artery disease.

γ-Glutamyl Transferase and Long-Term Survival in the SYNTAXES Trial: Is It Just the Liver?

BACKGROUND: Recently, machine learning algorithms have identified preprocedural γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT) as a significant predictor of long-term mortality after coronary revascularization in the SYNTAX (Synergy Between PCI [Percutaneous Coronary Intervention] With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) trial. The aim of the present study is to investigate the impact of preprocedural GGT on 10-year all-cause mortality in patients with complex coronary artery disease after revascularization. METHODS AND RESULTS: The SYNTAX trial was a randomized trial comparing PCI with coronary artery bypass grafting in 1800 patients with complex coronary artery disease. The present report is a post hoc subanalysis of the SYNTAXES (Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery Extended Survival) trial, an investigator-driven extended 10-year follow-up of the SYNTAX trial. The association between preprocedural GGT and 10-year all-cause mortality was investigated. The mean values of GGT for men and women were 43.5 (SD, 48.5) and 36.4 (SD, 46.1) U/L, respectively. In multivariable Cox regression models adjusted by traditional risk factors, GGT was an independent predictor for all-cause death at 10-year follow-up, and each SD increase in log-GGT was associated with a 1.24-fold risk of all cause death at 10-year follow-up (95% CI, 1.10-1.40). According to previously reported sex-related GGT thresholds, patients with higher GGT level had a 1.74-fold risk of all-cause death at 10-year follow-up (95% CI, 1.32-2.29) compared with patients with lower GGT level. CONCLUSIONS: Preprocedural GGT is an independent predictor of 10-year mortality after coronary revascularization in patients with complex coronary artery disease. In patients with elevated GGT, strong secondary prevention may be required after revascularization and must be studied prospectively. REGISTRATION: URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03417050.

Prasugrel Monotherapy After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Chronic Coronary Syndrome: Insights From ASET Pilot Studies.

Background: The ASET (Acetyl-Salicylic Elimination Trial) pilot studies recently investigated P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy without aspirin immediately after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in Brazil and Japan. Objectives: This comparative analysis of the 2 ASET pilot studies aimed to summarize clinical outcomes and assess geographic and ethnic differences in baseline demographics and procedures. Methods: Patients undergoing successful platinum-chromium everolimus-eluting stent implantation for chronic coronary syndrome were included. Following the index PCI, patients received prasugrel monotherapy with a maintenance dose of 10 mg/day in Brazil and 3.75 mg/day in Japan. The primary ischemic endpoint was the composite of cardiac death, spontaneous target vessel myocardial infarction, or definite stent thrombosis. The primary bleeding endpoint was Bleeding Academic Research Consortium types 3 and 5 bleeding at up to 3 months. Results: Of 409 enrollments, 3-month follow-up was completed in 406 patients. Mean age was 64.3 ± 8.4 years, and 73% were men. Overall, post-TIMI flow grade 3 was achieved in 99.8%. Intravascular imaging for poststent optimization was used in 16.8% and 99.6% of treated lesions in Brazil and Japan, respectively. The primary ischemic and bleeding endpoints occurred in the same patient (0.2%). No stent thrombosis events occurred. Conclusions: Prasugrel monotherapy following PCI was safe and feasible in selected low-risk chronic coronary syndrome patients after optimal platinum-chromium everolimus-eluting stent implantation regardless of the ethnic and geographic differences in baseline demographics, procedures, and prasugrel dosage. Randomized controlled trials will be needed to compare P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy without aspirin with the current standard of care.

Geographic disparity of pathophysiological coronary artery disease characteristics: Insights from ASET trials.

BACKGROUND: The geographical disparity in the pathophysiological pattern of coronary artery disease (CAD) among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To elucidate the geographical variance in the pathophysiological characteristics of CAD. METHODS: Physiological indices derived from angiography-based fractional flow reserve pullbacks from patients with chronic coronary syndrome enrolled in the ASET Japan (n = 206) and ASET Brazil (n = 201) studies, which shared the same eligibility criteria, were analysed. The pathophysiological patterns of CAD were characterised using Murray law-based quantitative flow ratio (µQFR)-derived indices acquired from pre-PCI angiograms. The diffuseness of CAD was defined by the µQFR pullback pressure gradient index. RESULTS: Significant functional stenoses pre-PCI (µQFR ≤0.80) were more frequent in ASET Japan compared to ASET Brazil (89.9% vs. 67.5%, p < 0.001), as were rates of a post-PCI µQFR <0.91 (22.1% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.013). In the multivariable analysis, pre-procedural µQFR and diffuse disease were independent factors for predicting a post-PCI µQFR <0.91, which contributed to the different rates of post-PCI µQFR ≥0.91 between the studies. Among vessels with a post-PCI µQFR <0.91, a consistent diffuse pattern of CAD pre- and post-PCI occurred in 78.3% and 76.7% of patients in ASET Japan and Brazil, respectively; only 6.3% (Japan) and 10.0% (Brazil) of vessels had a major residual gradient. Independent risk factors for diffuse disease were diabetes mellitus in ASET Japan, and age and male gender in Brazil. CONCLUSIONS: There was geographic disparity in pre-procedural angiography-based pathophysiological characteristics. The combined pre-procedural physiological assessment of vessel µQFR and diffuseness of CAD may potentially identify patients who will benefit most from PCI.

Murray law-based quantitative flow ratio to assess left main bifurcation stenosis: selecting the angiographic projection matters.

Murray law-based quantitative flow ratio (µQFR) assesses fractional flow reserve (FFR) in bifurcation lesions using a single angiographic view, enhancing the feasibility of analysis; however, accuracy may be compromised in suboptimal angiographic projections. FFRCT is a well-validated non-invasive method measuring FFR from coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA). We evaluated the feasibility of µQFR in left main (LM) bifurcations, the impact of the optimal/suboptimal fluoroscopic view with respect to CCTA, and its diagnostic concordance with FFRCT. In 300 patients with three-vessel disease, the values of FFRCT and µQFR were compared at distal LM, proximal left anterior descending artery (pLAD) and circumflex artery (pLCX). The optimal viewing angle of LM bifurcation was defined on CCTA by 3-dimensional coordinates and converted into a 2-dimensional fluoroscopic view. The best fluoroscopic projection was considered the closest angulation to the optimal viewing angle on CCTA. µQFR was successfully computed in 805 projections. In the best projections, µQFR sensitivity was 88.2% (95% CI 76.1-95.6) and 84.8% (71.1-93.7), and specificity was 96.8% (93.8-98.6) and 97.2% (94.4-98.9), in pLAD and pLCX, respectively, with regard to FFRCT. The AUC of µQFR for predicting FFRCT ≤ 0.80 tended to be improved using the best versus suboptimal projections (0.94 vs. 0.89 [p = 0.048] in pLAD; 0.94 vs. 0.88 [p = 0.075] in pLCX). Computation of µQFR in LM bifurcations using a single angiographic view showed high feasibility from post-hoc analysis of coronary angiograms obtained for clinical purposes. The fluoroscopic viewing angle influences the diagnostic performance of physiological assessment using a single angiographic view.

Coronary computed tomography angiography-based SYNTAX score for comprehensive assessment of advanced coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Since the initial attempt to adapt the anatomical SYNTAX score (aSS) to coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), CCTA imaging technology has evolved, and is currently used as a "decision-maker" for revascularization strategy in complex coronary artery disease (CAD) and has rendered necessary some updating of the aSS to the CCTA modality. OBJECTIVES: The aim is to provide updated definitions of the aSS derived from CCTA in patients with complex CAD undergoing CABG. METHODS: The modifications of CCTA-aSS are the following; (i) updated definition and detection criteria of total occlusion (TO) in CCTA based on length assessment, (ii) inclusion of scoring points for serial bifurcations located in one single coronary segment. (iii) inclusion of weighing score points for lesions located distal to a TO, not visualized on conventional coronary angiography, but visible in CCTA, (iv) removal of thrombus and bridging collateral items from the weighing score, considering the limited diagnostic capability of CCTA in detecting these specific lesion characteristics. RESULTS: the updated CCTA-aSS was tested in a first-in-man study using the sole guidance of CCTA for the planning and performance of bypass surgery in complex CAD (n â€‹= â€‹114). An interobserver analysis showed excellent reproducibility (ICC â€‹= â€‹0.96, 95 â€‹% confidence interval 0.94-0.97). CONCLUSION: The updated CCTA-aSS was implemented in a cohort of patients with complex CAD undergoing CABG with the sole guidance of CCTA and FFRCT and the Inter-reproducibility of the analysis of the updated score was found excellent. The prognostic value of the modified CCTA-aSS will be examined in future studies.

Preprocedural physiological assessment of coronary disease patterns to predict haemodynamic outcomes post-PCI.

BACKGROUND: Even with intracoronary imaging-guided stent optimisation, suboptimal haemodynamic outcomes post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) can be related to residual lesions in non-stented segments. Preprocedural assessment of pathophysiological coronary artery disease (CAD) patterns could help predict the physiological response to PCI. AIMS: The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between preprocedural pathophysiological haemodynamic patterns and intracoronary imaging findings, as well as their association with physiological outcomes immediately post-PCI. METHODS: Data from 206 patients with chronic coronary syndrome enrolled in the ASET-JAPAN study were analysed. Pathophysiological CAD patterns were characterised using Murray law-based quantitative flow ratio (µQFR)-derived indices acquired from pre-PCI angiograms. The diffuseness of CAD was defined by the pullback pressure gradient (PPG) index. Intracoronary imaging in stented segments after stent optimisation was also analysed. RESULTS: In the multivariable analysis, diffuse disease - defined by the pre-PCI µQFR-PPG index - was an independent factor for predicting a post-PCI µQFR <0.91 (per 0.1 decrease of PPG index, odds ratio 1.57, 95% confidence interval: 1.07-2.34; p=0.022), whereas the stent expansion index (EI) was not associated with a suboptimal post-PCI µQFR. Among vessels with an EI ≥80% and post-PCI µQFR <0.91, 84.0% of those vessels had a diffuse pattern preprocedure. There was no significant difference in EI between vessels with diffuse disease and those with focal disease. The average plaque burden in the stented segment was significantly larger in vessels with a preprocedural diffuse CAD pattern. CONCLUSIONS: A physiological diffuse pattern preprocedure was an independent factor in predicting unfavourable immediate haemodynamic outcomes post-PCI, even after stent optimisation using intracoronary imaging. Preprocedural assessment of CAD patterns could identify patients who are likely to exhibit superior immediate haemodynamic outcomes following PCI.

Can Machine Learning Aid the Selection of Percutaneous vs Surgical Revascularization?

BACKGROUND: In patients with 3-vessel coronary artery disease (CAD) and/or left main CAD, individual risk prediction plays a key role in deciding between percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess whether these individualized revascularization decisions can be improved by applying machine learning (ML) algorithms and integrating clinical, biological, and anatomical factors. METHODS: In the SYNTAX (Synergy between PCI with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) study, ML algorithms (Lasso regression, gradient boosting) were used to develop a prognostic index for 5-year death, which was combined, in the second stage, with assigned treatment (PCI or CABG) and prespecified effect-modifiers: disease type (3-vessel or left main CAD) and anatomical SYNTAX score. The model's discriminative ability to predict the risk of 5-year death and treatment benefit between PCI and CABG was cross-validated in the SYNTAX trial (n = 1,800) and externally validated in the CREDO-Kyoto (Coronary REvascularization Demonstrating Outcome Study in Kyoto) registry (n = 7,362), and then compared with the original SYNTAX score II 2020 (SSII-2020). RESULTS: The hybrid gradient boosting model performed best for predicting 5-year all-cause death with C-indexes of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.75-0.81) in cross-validation and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.76-0.79) in external validation. The ML models discriminated 5-year mortality better than the SSII-2020 in the external validation cohort and identified heterogeneity in the treatment benefit of CABG vs PCI. CONCLUSIONS: An ML-based approach for identifying individuals who benefit from CABG or PCI is feasible and effective. Implementation of this model in health care systems-trained to collect large numbers of parameters-may harmonize decision making globally. (Synergy Between PCI With TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery: SYNTAX Extended Survival [SYNTAXES]; NCT03417050; SYNTAX Study: TAXUS Drug-Eluting Stent Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for the Treatment of Narrowed Arteries; NCT00114972).

CCTA-based CABG SYNTAX Score: a tool to evaluate completeness of coronary segment revascularization after bypass surgery.

To describe the updated coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA)-based coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) anatomic SYNTAX Score (aSS) and assess its utility and reproducibility for assessing the completeness of revascularization after CABG. The CCTA-CABG aSS is a visual assessment using CCTA post-CABG which quantifies the failure in effectively grafting stenotic coronary segments, and therefore assesses the completeness of surgical revascularization. It is calculated by subtracting the aSS of successfully anastomosed coronary segments from the aSS of the native coronary tree. The inter-observer reproducibility of the CCTA-CABG aSS was evaluated in 45 consecutive patients with three-vessel disease with or without left main disease who underwent a CCTA 30 days (± 7 days) after CABG. The CCTA-CABG aSS was evaluated in 45 consecutive patients with 117 bypass grafts and 152 anastomoses. The median native coronary aSS was 35.0 [interquartile range (IQR) 27.0-41.0], whilst the median CCTA-CABG aSS was 13.0 (IQR 9.0-20.5). The inter-observer level of agreement for the native coronary aSS and the CCTA-CABG aSS were both substantial with respective Kappas of 0.67 and 0.61. The CCTA-CABG aSS was feasible in all patients who underwent CABG for complex coronary artery disease with substantial inter-observer reproducibility, and therefore can be used to quantify the completeness of revascularization after CABG.

Diagnosis and Prognostic Value of the Underlying Cause of Acute Coronary Syndrome in Optical Coherence Tomography-Guided Emergency Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

Background The prognostic impact of optical coherence tomography-diagnosed culprit lesion morphology in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has not been systematically examined in real-world settings. Methods and Results This investigator-initiated, prospective, multicenter, observational study was conducted at 22 Japanese hospitals to identify the prevalence of underlying ACS causes (plaque rupture [PR], plaque erosion [PE], and calcified nodules [CN]) and their impact on clinical outcomes. Patients with ACS diagnosed within 24 hours of symptom onset undergoing emergency percutaneous coronary intervention were enrolled. Optical coherence tomography-guided percutaneous coronary intervention recipients were assessed for underlying ACS causes and followed up for major adverse cardiac events (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, heart failure, or ischemia-driven revascularization) at 1 year. Of 1702 patients with ACS, 702 (40.7%) underwent optical coherence tomography-guided percutaneous coronary intervention for analysis. PR, PE, and CN prevalence was 59.1%, 25.6%, and 4.0%, respectively. One-year major adverse cardiac events occurred most frequently in patients with CN (32.1%), followed by PR (12.4%) and PE (6.2%) (log-rank P<0.0001), primarily driven by increased cardiovascular death (CN, 25.0%; PR, 0.7%; PE, 1.1%; log-rank P<0.0001) and heart failure trend (CN, 7.1%; PR, 6.8%; PE, 2.2%; log-rank P<0.075). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, the underlying ACS cause was associated with 1-year major adverse cardiac events (CN [hazard ratio (HR), 4.49 [95% CI, 1.35-14.89], P=0.014]; PR (HR, 2.18 [95% CI, 1.05-4.53], P=0.036]; PE as reference). Conclusions Despite being the least common, CN was a clinically significant underlying ACS cause, associated with the highest future major adverse cardiac events risk, followed by PR and PE. Future studies should evaluate the possibility of ACS underlying cause-based optical coherence tomography-guided optimization.

Inter- and intra-observer reproducibility of CT-Leaman score by an independent core lab.

To assess the reproducibility of CT-based Leaman score (CT-LeSc). CT-LeSc can non-invasively quantify total coronary atherosclerotic burden and is an independent long-term predictor of cardiac events. Its calculation however relies on the subjective assessment of lesions using coronary computed tomography angiography and therefore is subject to intra- and inter-observer variability. Inter-observer reproducibility was assessed by calculating the CT-LeSc in 50 patients randomly selected from the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION and ABSORB trials by two separate teams, each made up of two cardiologists, who reported results by consensus. For intra-observer reproducibility, the CT-LeSc was calculated in same 50 patients on two occasions eight weeks apart, by the same team of two cardiologists. The level of agreement was measured by the weighted kappa statistic, with intra- and inter-observer variability used to evaluate the CT-LeSc's reproducibility. The variables evaluated by weighted kappa statistics were total number of lesions; number of calcified lesions; number of non-calcified lesions; number of mixed lesions; number of obstructive lesions; number of non-obstructive lesions; and the total CT-LeSc in increments of ten and five. During assessment of inter-observer variability the mean ± standard deviation (SD) CT-LeSc calculated by the first and second team was 15.36 ± 5.57 versus 15.24 ± 5.16. The mean of the differences (precision) was 0.97, with a SD (accuracy) 1.17. The inter-observer variability was lowest for Leaman score in increments of five (weighted kappa 0.93), and highest for the total number of calcified lesions (weighted kappa 0.66). During assessment of intra-observer variability, the mean ± SD CT-LeSc were 16.61 ± 5.28 versus 16.82 ± 5.55. The mean ± SD of the differences was 1.28 ± 1.02. The intra-observer variability was the lowest for Leaman score in increments of five (weighted kappa 0.93), and the highest for the total number of lesions and calcified lesions (weighted kappa 0.65). CT-LeSc has substantial to near-perfect agreement for reproducibility.

A Prospective Randomized Trial Comparing Sirolimus-Coated Balloon With Paclitaxel-Coated Balloon in De Novo Small Vessels.

BACKGROUND: There are no data comparing sirolimus-coated balloons (SCBs [MagicTouch, Concept Medical]) to paclitaxel-coated balloons (PCBs [SeQuent Please Neo, B. Braun]) for the treatment of de novo small vessel disease (SVD). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to compare quantitative coronary angiographic outcomes at 6 months after treatment of de novo SVD with a PCB or SCB. METHODS: This prospective, multicenter, noninferiority trial randomized 121 patients (129 SVD lesions) to treatment with an SCB or PCB, with balloon sizing determined using optical coherence tomography. The primary endpoint was noninferiority for the 6-month angiographic net lumen gain. RESULTS: Angiographic follow-up was completed in 109 (90.1%) patients in the per-protocol analysis. The mean ± SD angiographic net gains were 0.25 ± 0.40 mm with SCBs vs 0.48 ± 0.37 mm with PCBs, resulting in SCBs failing to meet the 0.30 mm criterion for noninferiority (Pnoninferiority = 0.173), with an absolute difference of -0.23 mm (95% CI: -0.37 to -0.09) secondary to a smaller late loss (0.00 ± 0.32 mm vs 0.32 ± 0.47 mm; P < 0.001) and more frequent late lumen enlargement (53.7% vs 30.0%; OR: 2.60; 95% CI: 1.22-5.67; P = 0.014) with PCBs. Binary restenosis rates were 32.8% and 12.5% following treatment with SCBs and PCBs, respectively (OR: 3.41; 95% CI: 1.36-9.44; P = 0.012). The mean angiography-derived fractional flow ratio at follow-up was 0.86 ± 0.15 following treatment with SCBs and 0.91 ± 0.09 following PCBs (P = 0.026); a fractional flow ratio ≤0.80 occurred in 13 and 5 vessels after treatment with SCBs and PCBs, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The SCB MagicTouch failed to demonstrate noninferiority for angiographic net lumen gain at 6 months compared to the PCB SeQuent Please Neo.

The ability of computed tomography angiography to predict 5-year mortality in the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial.

BACKGROUND: The feasibility of using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for long-term prediction of vital prognosis post-revascularization remains unknown. OBJECTIVES: To compare the prognostic value of the SYNTAX score II 2020 (SS-2020) derived from invasive coronary angiography (ICA) or CCTA in patients with three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous or surgical revascularization. METHODS: In the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial, the probability of death at five years was retrospectively assessed by calculating the SS-2020 using ICA and CCTA. High- and low-risk patients for mortality were categorized according to the median percentages of predicted mortality based on both modalities. The discriminative abilities of the SS-2020 were assessed using Harrell's C statistic. RESULTS: The vital status at five years of the 215 patients revascularized percutaneously (64 patients, 29.8%) or surgically (151 patients, 70.2%) was established through national registries. In patients undergoing revascularization, the SS-2020 was possibly helpful in discriminating vital prognosis at 5 years, with similar results seen with ICA and CCTA (C-index with ICA â€‹= â€‹0.75, intercept â€‹= â€‹-0.19, slope â€‹= â€‹0.92 and C-index with CCTA â€‹= â€‹0.75, intercept â€‹= â€‹-0.22, slope â€‹= â€‹0.99). In high- and low-risk patients, Kaplan-Meier estimates showed significant, and almost identical relative differences in observed mortality, irrespective of imaging modality (ICA: 93.8% vs 78.7%, log-lank P â€‹< â€‹0.001; CCTA: 93.7% vs 78.5%, log-lank P â€‹< â€‹0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The predictive ability of the SS-2020 for five-year all-cause mortality derived from ICA and CCTA was comparable, and could helpfully discriminate vital prognosis in high- and low-risk patients.

10 Years of SYNTAX: Closing an Era of Clinical Research After Identifying New Outcome Determinants.

The SYNTAX trial randomized patients equally eligible for coronary artery bypass grafting or percutaneous coronary intervention using the Heart Team approach. The SYNTAXES study achieved a follow-up rate of 93.8% and reported the 10-year vital status. Factors associated with increased mortality at 10 years were pharmacologically treated diabetes mellitus, increased waist circumference, reduced left ventricular function, prior cerebrovascular and peripheral vascular disease, western Europe and North American descent, current smoking, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, elevated C-reactive protein, anemia, and an increase in HbA1c. Procedural factors associated with higher 10 years mortality include periprocedural myocardial infarction, extensive stenting, small stents, ≥1 heavily calcified lesion, ≥1 bifurcation lesion, residual SYNTAX score >8, and staged percutaneous coronary intervention. Optimal medical therapy at 5 years, use of statins, on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting, multiple arterial grafts, and higher physical component score and mental component score were associated with lower mortality at 10 years. Numerous scores and prediction models were developed to help individualize risk assessment. Machine learning has emerged as a novel approach for developing risk models.

Can machine learning unravel unsuspected, clinically important factors predictive of long-term mortality in complex coronary artery disease? A call for 'big data'.

Aims: Risk stratification and individual risk prediction play a key role in making treatment decisions in patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD). The aim of this study was to assess whether machine learning (ML) algorithms can improve discriminative ability and identify unsuspected, but potentially important, factors in the prediction of long-term mortality following percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with complex CAD. Methods and results: To predict long-term mortality, the ML algorisms were applied to the SYNTAXES database with 75 pre-procedural variables including demographic and clinical factors, blood sampling, imaging, and patient-reported outcomes. The discriminative ability and feature importance of the ML model was assessed in the derivation cohort of the SYNTAXES trial using a 10-fold cross-validation approach. The ML model showed an acceptable discrimination (area under the curve = 0.76) in cross-validation. C-reactive protein, patient-reported pre-procedural mental status, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and HbA1c were identified as important variables predicting 10-year mortality. Conclusion: The ML algorithms disclosed unsuspected, but potentially important prognostic factors of very long-term mortality among patients with CAD. A 'mega-analysis' based on large randomized or non-randomized data, the so-called 'big data', may be warranted to confirm these findings. Clinical Trial Registration: SYNTAXES ClinicalTrials.gov reference: NCT03417050, SYNTAX ClinicalTrials.gov reference: NCT00114972.

Treatment recommendation based on SYNTAX score 2020 derived from coronary computed tomography angiography and invasive coronary angiography.

The diagnostic performance of the SYNTAX score 2020 (SS-2020) when calculated using CCTA remains unknown. This study aimed to compare treatment recommendations based on the SS-2020 derived from coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) versus invasive coronary angiography (ICA). This interim analysis included 57 of the planned 114 patients with de-novo three-vessel disease, with or without left main coronary artery disease, enrolled in the ongoing FASTTRACK CABG trial. The anatomical SYNTAX scores derived from ICA or CCTA were evaluated by two separate teams of blinded core-lab analysts. Treatment recommendations were based on a maximal individual absolute risk difference in all-cause mortality between percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) of 4.5% ([predicted PCI mortality] - [predicted CABG mortality]). The level of agreement was evaluated with Bland-Altman plots and Cohen's Kappa. The mean age was 66.2 ± 9.2 years and 89.5% of patients were male. Mean anatomical SYNTAX scores derived from ICA and CCTA were 35.1 ± 11.5 and 35.6 ± 11.4 (p = 0.751), respectively. The Bland-Altman analysis showed mean differences of - 0.26 and - 0.93, with standard deviation of 3.69 and 5.23, for 5- and 10-year all-cause mortality, respectively. The concordance in recommended treatment for 5- and 10-year mortalities were 84.2% (48/57 patients) and 80.7% (46/57 patients), with Cohen's κ coefficients of 0.672 and 0.551. There was moderate to substantial agreement between treatment recommendations based on the SS-2020 derived using CCTA and ICA, suggesting that CCTA could be used as an alternative to ICA when making decisions regarding the modality of revascularization.

Impact of on-pump and off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting on 10-year mortality versus percutaneous coronary intervention.

OBJECTIVES: The very long-term mortality of off-pump and on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) versus percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in a randomized complex coronary artery disease population is unknown. This study aims to investigate the impact of on-pump and off-pump CABG versus PCI on 10-year all-cause mortality. METHODS: The SYNTAX trial randomized 1800 patients with three-vessel and/or left main coronary artery disease to PCI or CABG and assessed their survival at 10 years. In this sub-study, the hazard of mortality over 10 years was compared according to the technique of revascularization: on-pump CABG (n = 725), off-pump CABG (n = 128) and PCI (n = 903). RESULTS: There was substantial inter-site variation in the use of off-pump CABG despite baseline characteristics being largely homogeneous among the 3 groups. The crude rate of mortality was significantly lower following on-pump CABG versus PCI [25.6% vs 28.4%, hazard ratio (HR) 0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.96], while it was comparable between off-pump CABG and PCI (28.5% vs 28.4%, HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.69-1.40). After adjusting for the 9 variables included in the SYNTAX score II 2020, 10-year mortality remained significantly lower with on-pump CABG than PCI (HR 0.75 against PCI, P = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: In the SYNTAXES trial, 10-year mortality adjusted for major confounders was significantly lower following on-pump CABG compared to PCI. There was no evidence for unadjusted difference between off-pump CABG and PCI, although the unadjusted estimated HR had a wide CI. Site heterogeneity in the technique used in bypass surgery has had measurable effects on treatment performance.

Anonymous Comparison of Various Angiography-Derived Fractional Flow Reserve Software With Pressure-Derived Physiological Assessment.

BACKGROUND: Software to compute angiography-derived fractional flow reserve (angio-FFR) have been validated against pressure wire-derived fractional flow reserve (PW-FFR) with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.93 to 0.97. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate diagnostic accuracies of 5 angio-FFR software/methods by an independent core lab in a prospective cohort of 390 vessels with carefully documented sites of PW-FFR and pressure wire-derived instantaneous wave-free ratio. METHODS: One "matcher investigator" colocalized on angiography the sites of pressure wire measurement with angio-FFR measurements and provided the same 2 optimal angiographic views and frame selection to independent analysts who were blinded to invasive physiological results and results from other software. The results were anonymized and randomly presented. The AUC of each angio-FFR was compared with 2-dimensional quantitative coronary angiography (QCA) percent diameter stenosis (%DS) using a 2-tailed paired comparison of AUC. RESULTS: All 5 software/methods yielded a high proportion of analyzable vessels (A: 100%, B: 100%, C: 92.1%, D: 99.5%, and E: 92.1%). The AUCs for predicting fractional flow reserve ≤0.8 for software A, B, C, D, E, and 2-dimensional QCA %DS were 0.75, 0.74, 0.74, 0.73, 0.73, and 0.65, respectively. The AUC for each angio-FFR was significantly greater than that for 2-dimensional QCA %DS. CONCLUSIONS: This head-to-head comparison by an independent core lab demonstrated that the diagnostic accuracy of various angio-FFR software for predicting PW-FFR ≤0.80 was useful, with a higher discrimination compared with 2-dimensional QCA %DS; however, it did not reach the diagnostic accuracy previously reported in validation studies of various vendors. Therefore, the intrinsic clinical value of "angiography-derived fractional flow reserve" requires confirmation in large clinical trials.

Computed tomographic angiography in coronary artery disease.

Coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) is becoming the first-line investigation for establishing the presence of coronary artery disease and, with fractional flow reserve (FFRCT), its haemodynamic significance. In patients without significant epicardial obstruction, its role is either to rule out atherosclerosis or to detect subclinical plaque that should be monitored for plaque progression/regression following prevention therapy and provide risk classification. Ischaemic non-obstructive coronary arteries are also expected to be assessed by non-invasive imaging, including CCTA. In patients with significant epicardial obstruction, CCTA can assist in planning revascularisation by determining the disease complexity, vessel size, lesion length and tissue composition of the atherosclerotic plaque, as well as the best fluoroscopic viewing angle; it may also help in selecting adjunctive percutaneous devices (e.g., rotational atherectomy) and in determining the best landing zone for stents or bypass grafts.