Advancing climate-resilient flood mitigation: Utilizing transformer-LSTM for water level forecasting at pumping stations.

Proactive management of pumping stations using artificial intelligence (AI) technology is vital for effectively mitigating the impacts of flood events caused by climate change. Accurate water level forecasts are pivotal in advancing the intelligent operation of pumping stations. This study proposed a novel Transformer-LSTM model to offer accurate multi-step-ahead forecasts of the flood storage pond (FSP) and river water levels for the Zhongshan pumping station in Taipei, Taiwan. A total of 19,647 ten-minute-based datasets of pumping operation and storm sewer, FSP, and river water levels were collected between 2014 and 2020 and further divided into training (70 %), validation (10 %), and test (20 %) datasets for model construction. The results demonstrate that the proposed model dramatically outperforms benchmark models by producing more accurate and reliable water level forecasts at 10-minute (T + 1) to 60-minute (T + 6) horizons. The proposed model effectively enhances the connections between input factors through the Transformer module and increases the connectivity across consecutive time series using the LSTM module. This study reveals interconnected dynamics among pumping operation and storm sewer, FSP, and river water levels, enhancing flood management. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for effective execution of management strategies and infrastructure revitalization against climate impacts. The Transformer-LSTM model's forecasts encourage water practices, resilience, and disaster risk reduction for extreme weather events.

Watershed groundwater level multistep ahead forecasts by fusing convolutional-based autoencoder and LSTM models.

The development of deep learning-based groundwater level forecast models can tackle the challenge of high dimensional groundwater dynamics, predict groundwater variation trends accurately, and manage groundwater resources effectively, thereby contributing to sustainable water resources management. This study proposed a novel ConvAE-LSTM model, which fused a Convolutional-based Autoencoder model (ConvAE) and a Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network model (LSTM), to provide accurate spatiotemporal groundwater level forecasts over the next three months. The HBV-light and LSTM models are chosen as benchmarks. An ensemble of point data and the corresponding derived images concerning the past (observations) and the future (forecasts from a conceptual model) of groundwater levels at 33 groundwater wells in Jhuoshuei River basin of Taiwan between 2000 and 2019 constituted the case study. The findings showcase the effectiveness of the ConvAE-LSTM model in extracting crucial features from both point and imagery datasets. This model successfully establishes spatiotemporal dependencies between regional images and groundwater level data over diverse time frames, leading to accurate multi-step-ahead forecasts of groundwater levels. Notably, the ConvAE-LSTM model exhibits a substantial improvement, with the R-squared values showing an increase of more than 18%, 22%, and 49% for the R1, R2, and R3 regions, respectively, compared to the HBV-light model. Additionally, it outperforms the LSTM model in this regard. This study represents a noteworthy milestone in environmental modeling, offering key insights for designing sustainable groundwater management strategies to ensure the long-term availability of this vital resource.

Develop a hybrid machine learning model for promoting microbe biomass production.

Since the cultivation condition of microbe biomass production (mycelia yield) involves a variety of factors, it's a laborious process to obtain the optimal cultivation condition of Antrodia cinnamomea (A. cinnamomea). This study proposed a hybrid machine learning approach (i.e., ANFIS-NM) to identify the potent factors and optimize the cultivation conditions of A. cinnamomea based on a 32 fractional factorial design with seven factors. The results indicate that the ANFIS-NM approach successfully identified three key factors (i.e., glucose, potato dextrose broth, and agar) and significantly boosted mycelia yield. The interpretability of ANFIS rules made the cultivation conditions visually interpretable. Subsequently, a three-factor five-level central composite design was used to probe the optimal yield. This study demonstrates the proposed hybrid machine learning approach could significantly reduce the time consumption in laboratory cultivation and increase mycelia yield that meets SDGs 7 and 12, hitting a new milestone for biomass production.

Deep neural networks for spatiotemporal PM2.5 forecasts based on atmospheric chemical transport model output and monitoring data.

Reliable long-horizon PM2.5 forecasts are crucial and beneficial for health protection through early warning against air pollution. However, the dynamic nature of air quality makes PM2.5 forecasts at long horizons very challenging. This study proposed a novel machine learning-based model (MCNN-BP) that fused multiple convolutional neural networks (MCNN) with a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) for making spatiotemporal PM2.5 forecasts for the next 72 h at 74 stations covering the whole Taiwan simultaneously. Model configuration involved an ensemble of massive hourly air quality and meteorological monitoring datasets and the existing publicly-available PM2.5 simulated (forecasted) datasets from an atmospheric chemical transport (ACT) model. The proposed methodology collaboratively constructed two CNNs to mine the observed data (the past) and the forecasted data from ACT (the future) separately. The results showed that the MCNN-BP model could significantly improve the accuracy of spatiotemporal PM2.5 forecasts and substantially reduce the forecast biases of the ACT model. We demonstrated that the proposed MCNN-BP model with effective feature extraction and good denoising ability could overcome the curse of dimensionality and offer satisfactory regional long-horizon PM2.5 forecasts. Moreover, the MCNN-BP model has considerably shorter computational time (5 min) and lower computational load than the compute-intensive ACT model. The proposed approach hits a milestone in multi-site and multi-horizon forecasting, which significantly contributes to early warning against regional air pollution.

Real-time image-based air quality estimation by deep learning neural networks.

Air quality profoundly impacts public health and environmental equity. Efficient and inexpensive air quality monitoring instruments could be greatly beneficial for human health and air pollution control. This study proposes an image-based deep learning model (CNN-RC) that integrates a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a regression classifier (RC) to estimate air quality at areas of interest through feature extraction from photos and feature classification into air quality levels. The models were trained and tested on datasets with different combinations of the current image, the baseline image, and HSV (hue, saturation, value) statistics for increasing model reliability and estimation accuracy. A total of 3549 hourly air quality datasets (including photos, PM2.5, PM10, and the air quality index (AQI)) collected at the Linyuan air quality monitoring station of Kaohsiung City in Taiwan constituted the case study. The main breakthrough of this study is to timely produce an accurate image-based estimation of several pollutants simultaneously by using only one single deep learning model. The test results show that estimation accuracy in terms of R2 for PM2.5, PM10, and AQI based on daytime (nighttime) images reaches 76% (83%), 84% (84%), and 76% (74%), respectively, which demonstrates the great capability of our method. The proposed model offers a promising solution for rapid and reliable multi-pollutant estimation and classification based solely on captured images. This readily scalable measurement approach could address major gaps between air quality data acquired from expensive instruments worldwide.