Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantages associated with prolonged length of stay and non-home discharge following revision total hip and knee joint arthroplasty.

Background: Discharge disposition and length of stay (LOS) are widely recognized markers of healthcare utilization patterns of total hip and knee joint arthroplasty (TJA). These markers are commonly associated with increased postoperative complications, patient dissatisfaction, and higher costs. Area deprivation index (ADI) has been validated as a composite metric of neighborhood-level disadvantage. This study aims to determine the potential association between ADI and discharge disposition or extended LOS following revision TJA. Methods: This study conducted a retrospective analysis of a consecutive series of revision hip and knee TJA patients from a single tertiary institution. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis was used to determine the association between ADI and discharge disposition or LOS, adjusting for patient demographics and comorbidities. Results: 1047 consecutive revision TJA patients were identified across 463 different neighborhoods. 193 (18.4 %) had an extended LOS, and 334 (31.9 %) were discharged to non-home facilities. Compared with Q1 (least deprived cohort), Q2 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.63; p = 0.030) and Q4 (most deprived cohort: OR = 2.04; p = 0.002) cohorts demonstrated higher odds of non-home discharge. Patients in the highest ADI quartile (most deprived cohort) were associated with increased odds of prolonged LOS following revision TJA compared to those in the lowest ADI quartile (OR = 2.63; p < 0.001). Conclusion: This study suggests that higher levels of neighborhood-level disadvantage may be associated with higher odds of non-home discharge and prolonged LOS following revision TJA. Development of interventions based on the area deprivation index may improve discharge planning and reduce unnecessary non-home discharges in patients living in areas of socioeconomic deprivation.

Generalizability of machine learning models predicting 30-day unplanned readmission after primary total knee arthroplasty using a nationally representative database.

Unplanned readmission after primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) costs an average of US $39,000 per episode and negatively impacts patient outcomes. Although predictive machine learning (ML) models show promise for risk stratification in specific populations, existing studies do not address model generalizability. This study aimed to establish the generalizability of previous institutionally developed ML models to predict 30-day readmission following primary TKA using a national database. Data from 424,354 patients from the ACS-NSQIP database was used to develop and validate four ML models to predict 30-day readmission risk after primary TKA. Individual model performance was assessed and compared based on discrimination, accuracy, calibration, and clinical utility. Length of stay (> 2.5 days), body mass index (BMI) (> 33.21 kg/m2), and operation time (> 93 min) were important determinants of 30-day readmission. All ML models demonstrated equally good accuracy, calibration, and discriminatory ability (Brier score, ANN = RF = HGB = NEPLR = 0.03; ANN, slope = 0.90, intercept = - 0.11; RF, slope = 0.93, intercept = - 0.12; HGB, slope = 0.90, intercept = - 0.12; NEPLR, slope = 0.77, intercept = 0.01; AUCANN = AUCRF = AUCHGB = AUCNEPLR = 0.78). This study validates the generalizability of four previously developed ML algorithms in predicting readmission risk in patients undergoing TKA and offers surgeons an opportunity to reduce readmissions by optimizing discharge planning, BMI, and surgical efficiency.

Development of real-time PCR assay for quantitative detection of Clostridium septicum.

Cellulitis is an important disease in commercial turkey farms associated with significant economic loss. Although the etiology of cellulitis is not fully elucidated, Clostridium septicum (C. septicum) is one of the main causes of this infectious disease. In this study, we report the development of a quantitative real-time PCR (qRT PCR) assay targeting the alpha-toxin gene (csa), which involves a prior 15-cyle PCR using a nested pair of primers to increase the detection sensitivity. Additionally, the TaqMan probe was employed to increase the target-specificity of the assay. The performance of our nested qRT-PCR assay was evaluated using Clostridium isolates from turkey farms, representing both septicum and non-septicum species, as well as sponge swab samples from turkey farms. Our step-by-step development of the assay showed that the csa gene is a suitable target for specific detection of C. septicum strains and that the inclusion of nested PCR step significantly increased the detection sensitivity of the final qRT PCR assay. The performance of the assay was also validated by a high correlation of the threshold cycle numbers of the qRT PCR assay with the relative abundance of C. septicum read counts in 16S rRNA gene microbiota profiles of the C. septicum-containing samples from turkey farms.

Predicting 30-day unplanned hospital readmission after revision total knee arthroplasty: machine learning model analysis of a national patient cohort.

Revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is associated with a higher risk of readmission than primary TKA. Identifying individual patients predisposed to readmission can facilitate proactive optimization and increase care efficiency. This study developed machine learning (ML) models to predict unplanned readmission following revision TKA using a national-scale patient dataset. A total of 17,443 revision TKA cases (2013-2020) were acquired from the ACS NSQIP database. Four ML models (artificial neural networks, random forest, histogram-based gradient boosting, and k-nearest neighbor) were developed on relevant patient variables to predict readmission following revision TKA. The length of stay, operation time, body mass index (BMI), and laboratory test results were the strongest predictors of readmission. Histogram-based gradient boosting was the best performer in distinguishing readmission (AUC: 0.95) and estimating the readmission probability for individual patients (calibration slope: 1.13; calibration intercept: -0.00; Brier score: 0.064). All models produced higher net benefit than the default strategies of treating all or no patients, supporting the clinical utility of the models. ML demonstrated excellent performance for the prediction of readmission following revision TKA. Optimization of important predictors highlighted by our model may decrease preventable hospital readmission following surgery, thereby leading to reduced financial burden and improved patient satisfaction.

The Use of Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of Periprosthetic Joint Infection Following Aseptic Revision Total Knee Arthroplasty.

Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) for aseptic failure is associated with poor outcomes, patient morbidity, and high health care expenditures. The aim of this study was to develop novel machine learning algorithms for the prediction of PJI following revision TKA for patients with aseptic indications for revision surgery. A single-institution database consisting of 1,432 consecutive revision TKA patients with aseptic etiologies was retrospectively identified. The patient cohort included 208 patients (14.5%) who underwent re-revision surgery for PJI. Three machine learning algorithms (artificial neural networks, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors) were developed to predict this outcome and these models were assessed by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. This is a retrospective study. Among the three machine learning models, the neural network model achieved the best performance across discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78), calibration, and decision curve analysis. The strongest predictors for PJI following revision TKA for aseptic reasons were prior open procedure prior to revision surgery, drug abuse, obesity, and diabetes. This study utilized machine learning as a tool for the prediction of PJI following revision TKA for aseptic failure with excellent performance. The validated machine learning models can aid surgeons in patient-specific risk stratifying to assist in preoperative counseling and clinical decision making for patients undergoing aseptic revision TKA.

[ 11 C]-PBR28 positron emission tomography signal as an imaging marker of joint inflammation in knee osteoarthritis.

ABSTRACT: Although inflammation is known to play a role in knee osteoarthritis (KOA), inflammation-specific imaging is not routinely performed. In this article, we evaluate the role of joint inflammation, measured using [ 11 C]-PBR28, a radioligand for the inflammatory marker 18-kDa translocator protein (TSPO), in KOA. Twenty-one KOA patients and 11 healthy controls (HC) underwent positron emission tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (PET/MRI) knee imaging with the TSPO ligand [ 11 C]-PBR28. Standardized uptake values were extracted from regions-of-interest (ROIs) semiautomatically segmented from MRI data, and compared across groups (HC, KOA) and subgroups (unilateral/bilateral KOA symptoms), across knees (most vs least painful), and against clinical variables (eg, pain and Kellgren-Lawrence [KL] grades). Overall, KOA patients demonstrated elevated [ 11 C]-PBR28 binding across all knee ROIs, compared with HC (all P 's < 0.005). Specifically, PET signal was significantly elevated in both knees in patients with bilateral KOA symptoms (both P 's < 0.01), and in the symptomatic knee ( P < 0.05), but not the asymptomatic knee ( P = 0.95) of patients with unilateral KOA symptoms. Positron emission tomography signal was higher in the most vs least painful knee ( P < 0.001), and the difference in pain ratings across knees was proportional to the difference in PET signal ( r = 0.74, P < 0.001). Kellgren-Lawrence grades neither correlated with PET signal (left knee r = 0.32, P = 0.19; right knee r = 0.18, P = 0.45) nor pain ( r = 0.39, P = 0.07). The current results support further exploration of [ 11 C]-PBR28 PET signal as an imaging marker candidate for KOA and a link between joint inflammation and osteoarthritis-related pain severity.

Do preoperative PROMIS scores independently predict 90-day readmission following primary total knee arthroplasty?

INTRODUCTION: The rising demand for total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is expected to increase the total number of TKA-related readmissions, presenting significant public health and economic burden. With the increasing use of Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) scores to inform clinical decision-making, this study aimed to investigate whether preoperative PROMIS scores are predictive of 90-day readmissions following primary TKA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed a consecutive series of 10,196 patients with preoperative PROMIS scores who underwent primary TKA. Two comparison groups, readmissions (n = 79; 3.6%) and non-readmissions (n = 2091; 96.4%) were established. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were then performed with readmission as the outcome variable to determine whether preoperative PROMIS scores could predict 90-day readmission. RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 2170 patients overall. Non-white patients (OR = 3.53, 95% CI [1.16, 10.71], p = 0.026) and patients with cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease (CVD) (OR = 1.66, 95% CI [1.01, 2.71], p = 0.042) were found to have significantly higher odds of 90-day readmission after TKA. Preoperative PROMIS-PF10a (p = 0.25), PROMIS-GPH (p = 0.38), and PROMIS-GMH (p = 0.07) scores were not significantly associated with 90-day readmission. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that preoperative PROMIS scores may not be used to predict 90-day readmission following primary TKA. Non-white patients and patients with CVD are 3.53 and 1.66 times more likely to be readmitted, highlighting existing racial disparities and medical comorbidities contributing to readmission in patients undergoing TKA.

Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System Physical Function and Global Physical Health Subscale Strongly Correlate and Perform Similarly to the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function Short Form.

BACKGROUND: Arthroplasty surgeons use a variety of patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) to assess functional well-being, including the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) Physical Function short form (KOOS-PS), Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) Physical Function Short Form 10a (PROMIS PF SF 10a), and PROMIS Global-10 Physical Health subscale. However, there is a paucity of literature assessing their concurrent validity and performance. METHODS: Between June 2016 and December 2020, patient visits at an arthroplasty clinic for knee concerns were identified. Patients who completed KOOS-PS, PROMIS PF SF 10a, and PROMIS Global-10, including its physical and mental health subscales, at the same visit were identified. Spearman rho (ρ) correlations were calculated and ceiling and floor effects identified. Overall, 5,303 patient encounters were included. RESULTS: Among physical function domains, strong correlation existed between the KOOS-PS and PROMIS PF SF 10a (ρ = 0.76, P < .001), KOOS-PS and PROMIS Global Physical Health (ρ = 0.71, P < .001), and PROMIS PF SF 10a and PROMIS Global Physical Health (ρ = 0.78, P < .001). No physical function-focused PROM had an appreciable floor effect (ie, at or more than 1%). The KOOS-PS had a small but measurable ceiling effect (n = 105 [2.0%]). CONCLUSIONS: All of the examined PROMs are acceptable to measure the functional status of patients with knee pathology, with the PROMIS Global-10 also being able to capture elements of mental health too. The PROMIS Global-10 may be of most value of the PROMs assessed, as the United States Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services already incorporate the mental health component into new alternative payment models.

Can machine learning models predict prolonged length of hospital stay following primary total knee arthroplasty based on a national patient cohort data?

INTRODUCTION: The total length of stay (LOS) is one of the biggest determinators of overall care costs associated with total knee arthroplasty (TKA). An accurate prediction of LOS could aid in optimizing discharge strategy for patients in need and diminishing healthcare expenditure. The aim of this study was to predict LOS following TKA using machine learning models developed on a national-scale patient cohort. METHODS: The ACS-NSQIP database was queried to acquire 267,966 TKA cases from 2013 to 2020. Four machine learning models-artificial neural network (ANN), random forest, histogram-based gradient boosting, and k-nearest neighbor were trained and tested on the dataset for the prediction of prolonged LOS (LOS exceeded the 75th of all values in the cohort). The model performance was assessed by discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), calibration, and clinical utility. RESULTS: ANN delivered the best performance among the four models. ANN distinguished prolonged LOS in the study cohort with an AUC of 0.71 and accurately predicted the probability of prolonged LOS for individual patients (calibration slope: 0.82; calibration intercept: 0.03; Brier score: 0.089). All models demonstrated clinical utility by generating positive net benefits in decision curve analyses. Operation time, pre-operative transfusion, pre-operative laboratory tests (hematocrit, platelet count, and white blood cell count), and BMI were the strongest predictors of prolonged LOS. CONCLUSION: ANN demonstrated modest discrimination capacity and excellent performance in calibration and clinical utility for the prediction of prolonged LOS following TKA. Clinical application of the machine learning models has the potential to improve care coordination and discharge planning for patients at high risk of extended hospitalization after surgery. Incorporating more relevant patient factors may further increase the models' prediction strength.

Trends and Risk Factors for Surgical Site Infection after Treatment of the Ankle Fracture: National Cohort Study.

Surgical site infection (SSI) is a major complication after the surgical treatment of ankle fractures that can result in catastrophic consequences. This study aimed to determine the incidence of SSI in several cohorts from national insurance databases over the past 12 years and identify its predictors. The claimed data for patients (n = 1,449,692) with ankle fractures between 2007 and 2019 were investigated, and a total of 41,071 patients were included in the final analysis. The covariates included were age, sex, season, fracture type (closed vs. open), type of surgical fixation procedure, and comorbidities of each patient. All subjects were divided into two groups according to the SSI after the surgical fixation of the ankle fracture (no infection group vs. infection group). The number of SSIs after the surgical treatment of ankle fractures was 874 (2.13%). Open fractures [odds ratio, (OR) = 4.220] showed the highest risk for SSI, followed by the male sex (OR = 1.841), an increasing number of comorbidities (3-5, OR = 1.484; ≥6, OR = 1.730), a history of dementia (OR = 1.720) or of myocardial infarction (OR = 1.628), and increasing age (OR = 1.010). The summer season (OR = 1.349) showed the highest risk among the four seasons for SSI after ankle fracture surgery.

Validation of Machine Learning Model Performance in Predicting Blood Transfusion After Primary and Revision Total Hip Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: The rates of blood transfusion following primary and revision total hip arthroplasty (THA) remain as high as 9% and 18%, respectively, contributing to patient morbidity and healthcare costs. Existing predictive tools are limited to specific populations, thereby diminishing their clinical applicability. This study aimed to externally validate our previous institutionally developed machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict the risk of postoperative blood transfusion following primary and revision THA using national inpatient data. METHODS: Five ML algorithms were trained and validated using data from 101,266 primary THA and 8,594 revision THA patients from a large national database to predict postoperative transfusion risk after primary and revision THA. Models were assessed and compared based on discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: The most important predictors of transfusion following primary and revision THA were preoperative hematocrit (<39.4%) and operation time (>157 minutes), respectively. All ML models demonstrated excellent discrimination (area under the curve (AUC) >0.8) in primary and revision THA patients, with artificial neural network (AUC = 0.84, slope = 1.11, intercept = -0.04, Brier score = 0.04), and elastic-net-penalized logistic regression (AUC = 0.85, slope = 1.08, intercept = -0.01, and Brier score = 0.12) performing best, respectively. On decision curve analysis, all 5 models demonstrated a higher net benefit than the conventional strategy of intervening for all or no patients in both patient cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: This study successfully validated our previous institutionally developed ML algorithms for the prediction of blood transfusion following primary and revision THA. Our findings highlight the potential generalizability of predictive ML tools developed using nationally representative data in THA patients.

Machine Learning Models Based on a National-Scale Cohort Identify Patients at High Risk for Prolonged Lengths of Stay Following Primary Total Hip Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Existing machine learning models that predicted prolonged lengths of stay (LOS) following primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) were limited by the small training volume and exclusion of important patient factors. This study aimed to develop machine learning models using a national-scale data set and examine their performance in predicting prolonged LOS following THA. METHODS: A total of 246,265 THAs were analyzed from a large database. Prolonged LOS was defined as exceeding the 75th percentile of all LOSs in the cohort. Candidate predictors of prolonged LOS were selected by recursive feature elimination and used to construct four machine learning models-artificial neural network, random forest, histogram-based gradient boosting, and k-nearest neighbor. The model performance was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and utility. RESULTS: All models exhibited excellent performance in discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.72 to 0.74) and calibration (slope: 0.83 to 1.18, intercept: -0.01 to 0.11, Brier score: 0.185 to 0.192) during both training and testing sessions. The artificial neural network was the best performer with an AUC of 0.73, calibration slope of 0.99, calibration intercept of -0.01, and Brier score of 0.185. All models showed great utility by producing higher net benefits than the default treatment strategies in the decision curve analyses. Age, laboratory tests, and surgical variables were the strongest predictors of prolonged LOS. CONCLUSION: The excellent prediction performance of machine learning models demonstrated their capacity to identify patients prone to prolonged LOS. Many factors contributing to prolonged LOS can be optimized to minimize hospital stay for high-risk patients.

Effects of prior antibiotic use on clarithromycin resistance in Helicobacter pylori.

BACKGROUND: Macrolide antibiotics are widely used to treat various infections such as pneumonia and sinusitis, and previous exposure to macrolides is presumed to be a risk factor for standard triple therapy failure in Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) eradication. We aimed to determine whether previous use of macrolide antibiotics could affect clarithromycin resistance of H. pylori. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From the Korea National Health Insurance Service (NHIS2021-1-775) database, a total of 46,160 patients who were tested for clarithromycin resistance of H. pylori from 2016 to 2019 in Korea were identified. Their history of antibiotics in the past 10 years and history of respiratory comorbidity in the past 1 year were investigated. RESULTS: Clarithromycin resistance rate of H. pylori in Korea was 16.2%. A multivariate analysis revealed that female sex (OR: 1.472, p < .001), age > 50 years (OR: 1.340, p < .001), previous use of macrolide antibiotics (clarithromycin, OR: 2.902, p < .001; azithromycin, OR: 1.930, p < .001; erythromycin, OR: 2.060, p = .001; roxithromycin, OR: 2.022, p < .001), and history of respiratory comorbidity (sinusitis, OR: 1.271, p < .001; laryngopharyngitis, OR: 1.135, p = .032; bronchitis, OR: 1.245, p = .001; pneumonia, OR: 1.335, p = .026) were independent risk factors of clarithromycin resistance in H. pylori. CONCLUSIONS: The use of macrolide antibiotics and a recent diagnosis of respiratory disease might increase clarithromycin resistance of H. pylori.

Dual-targeting of brain tumors with nanovesicles.

The delivery of chemotherapies to brain tumors faces the difficult task of crossing the blood-brain barrier (BBB).1-4 The brain capillary endothelial cells (BCECs) along with other cell lines, such as astrocytes and pericytes, form the BBB. This highly selective semipermeable barrier separates the blood from the brain parenchyma. The BBB controls the movement of drug molecules in a selective manner5 and maintains central nervous system (CNS) homeostasis. Depending on the properties of drugs such as their hydrophilic-lipophilic balance (HLB), some can cross the BBB through passive diffusion.6 However, this approach alone has not led to successful drug developments due to low net diffusion rates and systemic toxicity. Although the use of nanomedicine has been proposed to overcome these drawbacks, many recent studies still rely on the so-called 'enhanced permeability and retention (EPR)' effect though there is a realization in the field of drug delivery that EPR effect may not be sufficient for successful drug delivery to brain tumors. Since, compared to many other solid tumors, brain tumors pose additional challenges such as more restrictive blood-tumor barrier as well as the well-developed lymphatic drainage, the selection of functional moieties on the nanocarriers under consideration must be carried out with care to propose better solutions to this challenge.

Internal and External Validation of the Generalizability of Machine Learning Algorithms in Predicting Non-home Discharge Disposition Following Primary Total Knee Joint Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Nonhome discharge disposition following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is associated with a higher rate of complications and constitutes a socioeconomic burden on the health care system. While existing algorithms predicting nonhome discharge disposition varied in degrees of mathematical complexity and prediction power, their capacity to generalize predictions beyond the development dataset remains limited. Therefore, this study aimed to establish the machine learning model generalizability by performing internal and external validations using nation-scale and institutional cohorts, respectively. METHODS: Four machine learning models were trained using the national cohort. Recursive feature elimination and hyper-parameter tuning were applied. Internal validation was achieved through five-fold cross-validation during model training. The trained models' performance was externally validated using the institutional cohort and assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. RESULTS: The national (424,354 patients) and institutional (10,196 patients) cohorts had non-home discharge rates of 19.4 and 36.4%, respectively. The areas under the receiver operating curve of the model predictions were 0.83 to 0.84 during internal validation and increased to 0.88 to 0.89 during external validation. Artificial neural network and histogram-based gradient boosting elicited the best performance with a mean area under the receiver operating curve of 0.89, calibration slope of 1.39, and Brier score of 0.14, which indicated that the two models were robust in distinguishing non-home discharge and well-calibrated with accurate predictions of the probabilities. The low inter-dataset similarity indicated reliable external validation. Length of stay, age, body mass index, and sex were the strongest predictors of discharge destination after primary TKA. CONCLUSION: The machine learning models demonstrated excellent predictive performance during both internal and external validations, supporting their generalizability across different patient cohorts and potential applicability in the clinical workflow.

Application of Eugenol in Poultry to Control Salmonella Colonization and Spread.

The poultry sector is an essential component of agriculture that has experienced unprecedented growth during the last few decades. It is especially true for the United States, where the average intake of chicken meat increased from 10 pounds (4.5 kg) per person in 1940 to 65.2 pounds (29.6 kg) per person in 2018, while the country produced 113 billion eggs in 2019 alone. Besides providing nutrition and contributing significantly to the economy, chicken is also a natural reservoir of Salmonella, which is responsible for salmonellosis in humans, one of the significant foodborne illnesses around the globe. The increasing use of chicken manure and antibiotics increases the spread of Salmonella and selects for multi-drug resistant strains. Various plant extracts, primarily essential oils, have been investigated for their antimicrobial activities. The multiple ways through which these plant-derived compounds exert their antimicrobial effects make the development of resistance against them unlikely. Eugenol, an aromatic oil primarily found in clove and cinnamon, has shown antimicrobial activities against various pathogenic bacteria. A few reports have also highlighted the anti-Salmonella effects of eugenol in chicken, especially in reducing the colonization by Salmonella Enteritidis and Salmonella Typhimurium, the primary Salmonella species responsible for human salmonellosis. Besides limiting Salmonella infection in chicken, the supplementation of eugenol also significantly improves intestinal health, improving overall well-being. In this review, we highlight the rising incidences of salmonellosis worldwide and the factors increasing its prevalence. We then propose the usage of eugenol as a natural feed supplement for containing Salmonella in chicken.

Validation and Generalizability of Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of Discharge Disposition Following Revision Total Knee Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative discharge to facilities account for over 33% of the $ 2.7 billion revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA)-associated annual expenditures and are associated with increased complications when compared to home discharges. Prior studies predicting discharge disposition using advanced machine learning (ML) have been limited due to a lack of generalizability and validation. This study aimed to establish ML model generalizability by externally validating its prediction for nonhome discharge following revision TKA using national and institutional databases. METHODS: The national and institutional cohorts comprised 52,533 and 1,628 patients, respectively, with 20.6 and 19.4% nonhome discharge rates. Five ML models were trained and internally validated (five-fold cross-validation) on a large national dataset. Subsequently, external validation was performed on our institutional dataset. Model performance was assessed using discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Global predictor importance plots and local surrogate models were used for interpretation. RESULTS: The strongest predictors of nonhome discharge were patient age, body mass index, and surgical indication. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from internal to external validation and ranged between 0.77 and 0.79. Artificial neural network was the best predictive model for identifying patients at risk for nonhome discharge (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78), and also the most accurate (calibration slope = 0.93, intercept = 0.02, and Brier score = 0.12). CONCLUSION: All five ML models demonstrated good-to-excellent discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility on external validation, with artificial neural network being the best model for predicting discharge disposition following revision TKA. Our findings establish the generalizability of ML models developed using data from a national database. The integration of these predictive models into clinical workflow may assist in optimizing discharge planning, bed management, and cost containment associated with revision TKA.

The Same Day Discharges following Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty: A Single Surgeon, Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Analysis.

This is a retrospective study. As new surgical techniques and improved perioperative care approaches have become available, the same-day discharge in selected total knee arthroplasty (TKA) patients was introduced to decrease health care costs without compromising outcomes. This study aimed to compare clinical and functional outcomes between same-day discharge TKA patients and inpatient-discharge TKA patients. A retrospective review of 100 consecutive patients with same-day discharge matched to a cohort of 300 patients with inpatient discharge that underwent TKA by a single surgeon at a tertiary referral center was conducted. Propensity-score matching was performed to adjust for baseline differences in preoperative patient demographics, medical comorbidities, and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) between both cohorts. All patients had a minimum of 1-year follow-up (range: 1.2-2.8 years). In terms of clinical outcomes for the propensity score-matched cohorts, there was no significant difference in terms of revision rates (1.0 vs. 1.3%, p = 0.76), 90-day emergency department visits (3.0 vs. 3.3%, p = 0.35), 30-day readmission rates (1.0 vs. 1.3%, p = 0.45), and 90-day readmission rates (3.0 vs. 3.6%, p = 0.69). Patients with same-day discharge demonstrated significantly higher postoperative PROM scores, at both 3-month and 1-year follow-up, for PROMIS-10 Physical Score (50 vs. 46, p = 0.028), PROMIS-10 Mental Score (56 vs. 53, p = 0.039), and Physical SF10A (57 vs. 52, p = 0.013). This study showed that patients with same-day discharge had similar clinical outcomes and superior functional outcomes, when compared with patients that had a standard inpatient protocol. This suggests that same-day discharge following TKA may be a safe, viable option in selected total knee joint arthroplasty patients.

The utility of machine learning algorithms for the prediction of patient-reported outcome measures following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are increasingly used as quality benchmark in total hip and knee arthroplasty (THA; TKA) due to bundled payment systems that aim to provide a patient-centered, value-based treatment approach. However, there is a paucity of predictive tools for postoperative PROMs. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models for the prediction of numerous patient-reported outcome measures following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. METHODS: A total of 4526 consecutive patients (2137 THA; 2389 TKA) who underwent primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty and completed both pre- and postoperative PROM scores was evaluated in this study. The following PROM scores were included for analysis: HOOS-PS, KOOS-PS, Physical Function SF10A, PROMIS SF Physical and PROMIS SF Mental. Patient charts were manually reviewed to identify patient demographics and surgical variables associated with postoperative PROM scores. Four machine learning algorithms were developed to predict postoperative PROMs following hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. Model assessment was performed through discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: The factors most significantly associated with the prediction of postoperative PROMs include preoperative PROM scores, Charlson Comorbidity Index, American Society of Anaesthesiology score, insurance status, age, length of hospital stay, body mass index and ethnicity. The four machine learning models all achieved excellent performance across discrimination (AUC > 0.83), calibration and decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION: This study developed machine learning models for the prediction of patient-reported outcome measures at 1-year following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. The study findings show excellent performance on discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis for all four machine learning models, highlighting the potential of these models in clinical practice to inform patients prior to surgery regarding their expectations of postoperative functional outcomes following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, case control retrospective analysis.

Hypofractionated stereotactic radiosurgery for aggressive vertebral haemangioma and useful follow-up imaging modality: case report and review of the literature.

We report the use of an advanced magnetic resonance image (MRI) sequence to detect the treatment response after SRS for aggressive vertebral haemangioma (VH). A 63-year-old female patient presented with back pain, bilateral lower extremity weakness (grade IV), and sensory change in the saddle area. MRI revealed a vertebral body mass compressing the spinal cord at T10, which had high T2 and low T1 signal intensity. Three-dimensional volumetric sagittal time-resolved imaging of contrast kinetics (TRICKS) abdominal magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) showed it to be hypervascular. SRS with the Novalis beam shaping system (BrainLAB; Heimstetten®, Germany) was performed on the gross tumor volume of 14.954 mL. 30 Gy was given to the 90% isodose line in 5 fractions. Seven days later, the patient underwent decompressive laminectomy for weakness. Seven months later, the patient's motor weakness was improved to allow for unassisted gait, and back pain and sensory changes resolved. Follow-up MRI revealed no significant change on T1 and T2 signal intensity images. However, TRICKS abdominal MRA demonstrated disapprearance of the hypervascularity. Seven years after SRS, the same signal intensity images showed shrinkage of the mass and resolution of compression of the spinal cord, and the signal intensity of the T1 image was changed to iso- and high signal intensity.