Estimated individual lifetime benefit from PCSK9 inhibition in statin-treated patients with coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVE: In statin-treated patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD), residual risk of cardiovascular events is partly explained by plasma levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). This study aimed to estimate individual benefit of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibition in CAD patients already treated with high-dose statin. METHODS: Individual lifetime benefit was estimated in months gain free of stroke or myocardial infarction (MI) until age 80 years. Predictions were based on two competing risk models developed in data from 4853 patients with CAD originating from the atorvastatin 80 mg arm of the Treating to New Targets (TNT) trial. The relative effect of PCSK9 inhibition was added to the models and was assumed based on average estimates from large clinical trials. We accounted for individual LDL-C levels, assuming 50% LDL-C reduction by PCSK9 inhibition and 21% cardiovascular risk reduction per mmol/L (39 mg/dL) LDL-C lowering. RESULTS: Estimated individual gain was <6 months in 61% of the patients, 6-12 months in 28% of the patients and ≥12 months in 10% of the patients (median 5, quartiles 2-8 months). Highest estimated benefit was observed in younger patients (aged 40-60 years) with high risk factor burden, particularly if LDL-C levels were >1.8 mmol/L (>70 mg/dL). Estimated benefit was lowest (≤5 months) in older patients (≥70 years), in particular if LDL-C and other risk factors levels were low. CONCLUSION: The individual estimated lifetime benefit from PCSK9 inhibition in patients with stable CAD on high-dose statin varied from <6 to ≥12 months free of stroke or MI. Highest benefit is expected in younger patients (age 40-60 years) with high risk factor burden and relatively high LDL-C levels. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00327691; Post-results.

Distribution of Estimated 10-Year Risk of Recurrent Vascular Events and Residual Risk in a Secondary Prevention Population.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with clinically manifest vascular disease, the risk of recurrent vascular events is likely to vary. We assessed the distribution of estimated 10-year risk of recurrent vascular events in a secondary prevention population. We also estimated the potential risk reduction and residual risk that can be achieved if patients reach guideline-recommended risk factor targets. METHODS: The SMART score (Second Manifestations of Arterial Disease) for 10-year risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, or vascular death was applied to 6904 patients with vascular disease. The risk score was externally validated in 18 436 patients with various manifestations of vascular disease from the TNT (Treating to New Targets), IDEAL (Incremental Decrease in End Points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering), SPARCL (Stroke Prevention by Aggressive Reduction in Cholesterol Levels), and CAPRIE (Clopidogrel Versus Aspirin in Patients at Risk of Ischemic Events) trials. The residual risk at guideline-recommended targets was estimated by applying relative risk reductions from meta-analyses to the estimated risk for targets for systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, physical activity, and use of antithrombotic agents. RESULTS: The external performance of the SMART risk score was reasonable, apart from overestimation of risk in patients with 10-year risk >40%. In patients with various manifestations of vascular disease, median 10-year risk of a recurrent major vascular event was 17% (interquartile range, 11%-28%), varying from <10% in 18% to >30% in 22% of the patients. If risk factors were at guideline-recommended targets, the residual 10-year risk would be <10% in 47% and >30% in 9% of the patients (median, 11%; interquartile range, 7%-17%). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with vascular disease, there is very substantial variation in estimated 10-year risk of recurrent vascular events. If all modifiable risk factors were at guideline-recommended targets, half of the patients would have a 10-year risk <10%. These data suggest that even with optimal treatment, many patients with vascular disease will remain at >20% and even >30% 10-year risk, clearly delineating an area of substantial unmet medical need.

Relation Between Change in Renal Function and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Atorvastatin-Treated Patients (from the Treating to New Targets [TNT] Study).

Statins may have nephroprotective as well as cardioprotective effects in patients with cardiovascular disease. In the Treating to New Targets (TNT) study (NCT00327691), patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) were randomized to atorvastatin 10 or 80 mg/day and followed for 4.9 years. The relation between intrastudy change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline and the risk of major cardiovascular events (MCVEs, defined as CHD death, nonfatal non-procedure-related myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, or fatal or nonfatal stroke) was assessed among 9,500 patients stratified by renal function: improving (change in eGFR more than +2 ml/min/1.73 m(2)), stable (-2 to +2 ml/min/1.73 m(2)), and worsening (less than -2 ml/min/1.73 m(2)). Compared with patients with worsening renal function (1,479 patients, 15.6%), the rate of MCVEs was 28% lower in patients with stable renal function (2,241 patients, 23.6%) (hazard ratio [HR] 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60 to 0.87; p = 0.0005) and 64% lower in patients with improving renal function (5,780 patients, 60.8%; HR 0.36; 95% CI 0.30 to 0.43; p <0.0001). For each 1 ml/min/1.73 m(2) increase in eGFR, the absolute reduction in the rate of MCVEs was 2.7% (HR 0.973; 95% CI 0.967 to 0.980; p <0.0001). An absolute MCVE rate reduction per 1 ml/min/1.73 m(2) increase in eGFR of 2.0% was reported with atorvastatin 10 mg and 3.3% with atorvastatin 80 mg. In conclusion, intrastudy stabilization or increase in eGFR in atorvastatin-treated patients with CHD from the TNT study was associated with a reduced rate of MCVEs. Statin-treated CHD patients with progressive renal impairment are at high risk for future cardiovascular events.

The effect of statin therapy on heart failure events: a collaborative meta-analysis of unpublished data from major randomized trials.

AIMS: The effect of statins on risk of heart failure (HF) hospitalization and HF death remains uncertain. We aimed to establish whether statins reduce major HF events. METHODS AND RESULTS: We searched Medline, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for randomized controlled endpoint statin trials from 1994 to 2014. Collaborating trialists provided unpublished data from adverse event reports. We included primary- and secondary-prevention statin trials with >1000 participants followed for >1 year. Outcomes consisted of first non-fatal HF hospitalization, HF death and a composite of first non-fatal HF hospitalization or HF death. HF events occurring <30 days after within-trial myocardial infarction (MI) were excluded. We calculated risk ratios (RR) with fixed-effects meta-analyses. In up to 17 trials with 132 538 participants conducted over 4.3 [weighted standard deviation (SD) 1.4] years, statin therapy reduced LDL-cholesterol by 0.97 mmol/L (weighted SD 0.38 mmol/L). Statins reduced the numbers of patients experiencing non-fatal HF hospitalization (1344/66 238 vs. 1498/66 330; RR 0.90, 95% confidence interval, CI 0.84-0.97) and the composite HF outcome (1234/57 734 vs. 1344/57 836; RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.85-0.99) but not HF death (213/57 734 vs. 220/57 836; RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.80-1.17). The effect of statins on first non-fatal HF hospitalization was similar whether this was preceded by MI (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.68-1.11) or not (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.98). CONCLUSION: In primary- and secondary-prevention trials, statins modestly reduced the risks of non-fatal HF hospitalization and a composite of non-fatal HF hospitalization and HF death with no demonstrable difference in risk reduction between those who suffered an MI or not.

Prediction of cardiovascular events in statin-treated stable coronary patients of the treating to new targets randomized controlled trial by lipid and non-lipid biomarkers.

UNLABELLED: Several plasma non-lipid biomarkers have been shown to predict major cardiovascular events (MCVEs) in population studies. Our objective was to investigate the relationship between lipid and non-lipid biomarkers levels achieved during statin therapy and the incidence of MCVEs in patients with stable coronary heart disease (CHD). We conducted a substudy of the TNT (Treating to New Targets) study, which was a randomized trial that compared the efficacy of high (80 mg) versus low (10 mg) dose atorvastatin for the secondary prevention of CHD. Fasting plasma levels of standard lipids and of 18 non-lipid biomarkers were obtained after an 8-week run-in period on atorvastatin 10 mg in 157 patients who experienced MCVEs during the 4.9 years of study follow-up and in 1349 controls. MCVE was defined as CHD death, nonfatal, non-procedure-related myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and fatal or nonfatal stroke. After adjusting for age, sex and treatment arm, plasma levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglycerides, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), insulin, neopterin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], and the soluble receptor for advanced glycation end products (sRAGE) were predictive of recurrent MCVEs (P ≤ 0.02 for each doubling of plasma concentration). However, no significant association was observed between the risk of recurrent MCVEs and plasma levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, adiponectin, cystatin C, lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2, monocyte chemotactic protein-1, matrix metalloproteinase-9, myeloperoxidase, osteopontin, soluble CD40 ligand, soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1, or soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1. After further adjustment for diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and BMI, the relationship between hsCRP, insulin and MCVE were no longer significant, while the relationship between Lp(a), neopterin, NT-proBNP and sRAGE and MCVE remained statistically significant. In conclusion, in patients with CHD treated with atorvastatin, plasma levels of Lp(a), neopterin, NT-proBNP, and sRAGE are associated with the risk of recurrent MCVEs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00327691.

Very low levels of atherogenic lipoproteins and the risk for cardiovascular events: a meta-analysis of statin trials.

BACKGROUND: Levels of atherogenic lipoproteins achieved with statin therapy are highly variable, but the consequence of this variability for cardiovascular disease risk is not well-documented. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate: 1) the interindividual variability of reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), or apolipoprotein B (apoB) levels achieved with statin therapy; 2) the proportion of patients not reaching guideline-recommended lipid levels on high-dose statin therapy; and 3) the association between very low levels of atherogenic lipoproteins achieved with statin therapy and cardiovascular disease risk. METHODS: This meta-analysis used individual patient data from 8 randomized controlled statin trials, in which conventional lipids and apolipoproteins were determined in all study participants at baseline and at 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: Among 38,153 patients allocated to statin therapy, a total of 6,286 major cardiovascular events occurred in 5,387 study participants during follow-up. There was large interindividual variability in the reductions of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and apoB achieved with a fixed statin dose. More than 40% of trial participants assigned to high-dose statin therapy did not reach an LDL-C target <70 mg/dl. Compared with patients who achieved an LDL-C >175 mg/dl, those who reached an LDL-C 75 to <100 mg/dl, 50 to <75 mg/dl, and <50 mg/dl had adjusted hazard ratios for major cardiovascular events of 0.56 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.46 to 0.67), 0.51 (95% CI: 0.42 to 0.62), and 0.44 (95% CI: 0.35 to 0.55), respectively. Similar associations were observed for non-HDL-C and apoB. CONCLUSIONS: The reductions of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and apoB levels achieved with statin therapy displayed large interindividual variation. Among trial participants treated with high-dose statin therapy, >40% did not reach an LDL-C target <70 mg/dl. Patients who achieve very low LDL-C levels have a lower risk for major cardiovascular events than do those achieving moderately low levels.

Treatment of cholesterol in the elderly: statins and beyond.

Lowering of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels is a worthwhile intervention in older (more than 65-70 years of age) subjects, since age itself is a powerful predictor of vascular disease risk. Although studies have not consistently demonstrated an overall beneficial effect on total mortality, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality are favorably affected. The drugs most extensively studied are statins, but similar results are at least suggested for other agents. The efficacy, safety, and benefits of statins make them the drugs of choice. Statin intolerance can be managed and should not lead immediately to an abandonment of therapy. In cases in which it cannot be overcome, other lipid-lowering drugs, either singly or in combination, can be used, although their side effects are generally more problematic and their benefits are less prominent. In older patients, prevention of disability from stroke, heart disease, or peripheral vascular diseases may be as important a goal as an overall beneficial effect on mortality, which, in the long run, is unavoidable.

Levels and changes of HDL cholesterol and apolipoprotein A-I in relation to risk of cardiovascular events among statin-treated patients: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) or apolipoprotein A-I (apoA-I) remain inversely associated with cardiovascular risk among patients who achieve very low levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol on statin therapy. It is also unknown whether a rise in HDL-C or apoA-I after initiation of statin therapy is associated with a reduced cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a meta-analysis of 8 statin trials in which lipids and apolipoproteins were determined in all study participants at baseline and at 1-year follow-up. Individual patient data were obtained for 38,153 trial participants allocated to statin therapy, of whom 5387 suffered a major cardiovascular event. HDL-C levels were associated with a reduced risk of major cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-0.86 per 1 standard deviation increment), as were apoA-I levels (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.72-0.82). This association was also observed among patients achieving on-statin low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels <50 mg/dL. An increase of HDL-C was not associated with reduced cardiovascular risk (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.94-1.01 per 1 standard deviation increment), whereas a rise in apoA-I was (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.97). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients treated with statin therapy, HDL-C and apoA-I levels were strongly associated with a reduced cardiovascular risk, even among those achieving very low low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. An apoA-I increase was associated with a reduced risk of major cardiovascular events, whereas for HDL-C this was not the case. These findings suggest that therapies that increase apoA-I concentration require further exploration with regard to cardiovascular risk reduction.

High-dose statin therapy in patients with stable coronary artery disease: treating the right patients based on individualized prediction of treatment effect.

BACKGROUND: Clinicians need to identify coronary artery disease patients for whom the benefits of high-dose versus usual-dose statin therapy outweigh potential harm. We therefore aimed to develop and validate a model for prediction of the incremental treatment effect of high-dose statins for individual patients in terms of reduction of 5-year absolute risk for myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary death, or cardiac resuscitation. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on data from the Treating to New Targets trial (TNT; n=10 001), a Cox proportional hazards model was developed comprising 13 easy-to-measure clinical predictors: age, sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, history of myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass grafting, congestive heart failure or abdominal aortic aneurysm, glomerular filtration rate, and treatment status (ie, atorvastatin 80 mg or 10 mg). External validation in the Incremental Decrease in End Points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering trial (IDEAL; n=8888) confirmed adequate goodness-of-fit and calibration, but moderate discrimination (C-statistic, 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.62-0.65). Still, among participants of both trials combined, the model identified a group of 11.7% whose predicted 5-year number needed to treat was ≤25 and a group of 41.9% whose predicted needed to treat was ≥50. A decision curve shows that making treatment decisions on the basis of predictions using our model may improve net benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Estimation of the incremental treatment effect of high-dose versus usual-dose statin therapy in individual coronary artery disease patients enables selection of high-risk patients that benefit most from more aggressive therapy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifiers: NCT00327691 and NCT00159835.

Safety and effect of very low levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol on cardiovascular events.

Based on the cardiovascular (CV) outcomes data derived predominantly from 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase inhibitor (statin) trials, guidelines have set low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol targets at successively lower levels over time. Recent data have demonstrated that more-intensive statin therapy (and, consequently, lower LDL cholesterol level) is more effective at reducing CV events than less-intensive statin therapy. Although the average LDL cholesterol level for a United States adult is 119 mg/dl, within the "normal" range (90 to 130 mg/dl) per the United States National Cholesterol Education Program-Adult Treatment Panel III guidelines, data from fetal studies, diet studies, contemporary hunter-gatherer populations, and other mammals have suggested that the "normal" physiologic range for LDL cholesterol in humans is likely 50 to 70 mg/dl. Low LDL cholesterol levels have been sporadically associated with an increased risk of cancer, hemorrhagic stroke, and other complications in population studies and clinical trials. However, statin clinical trials have generally not demonstrated correlations between on-treatment LDL cholesterol levels and safety. Clinical data have suggested a linear relation between LDL cholesterol lowering and CV risk reduction, supporting a favorable risk/benefit ratio for attaining very low levels of LDL cholesterol to minimize the risk of CV events. In conclusion, clinical trial evidence demonstrating the efficacy and safety of LDL cholesterol lowering to a very low level is essential to ascertain the benefits and risks in reducing the residual risk of vascular disease.

Vitamin D levels do not predict cardiovascular events in statin-treated patients with stable coronary disease.

BACKGROUND: This post hoc nested case-control analysis of the TNT study was designed to investigate whether baseline vitamin D level is a significant predictor of cardiovascular risk among statin-treated patients and whether changes in vitamin D after treatment with atorvastatin are associated with improved cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: A total of 10,001 patients with stable coronary heart disease were randomized to atorvastatin 80 or 10 mg for a median of 4.9 years. This analysis included 1,509 patients (497 with a subsequent cardiovascular event and 1,012 without an event) with vitamin D levels determined at baseline and 1 year. Event rates were analyzed by Cox proportional hazard model by baseline vitamin D levels, with vitamin D as a continuous variable, and with change in vitamin D level as the predictor. RESULTS: Vitamin D deficiency (<15 ng/mL) or insufficiency (15- <30 ng/mL) was present in 108 (7.2%) of 1,509 and 625 (41.4%) of 1,509 of patients, whereas 46 (3.0%) of 1,509 had elevated vitamin D. There was no relationship between baseline vitamin D levels or change in vitamin D levels and cardiovascular events or mortality. Modeling of events with vitamin D as a continuous variable similarly showed no relationship of vitamin D to events. These findings held true after adjustment for seasonal variations in vitamin D and other confounders. CONCLUSION: In statin-treated patients with stable coronary heart disease, vitamin D levels did not predict cardiovascular risk. Changes in plasma concentrations of vitamin D after 1 year of treatment made no contribution to the efficacy of atorvastatin therapy.

Lipid-modifying therapies and risk of pancreatitis: a meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: Statin therapy has been associated with pancreatitis in observational studies. Although lipid guidelines recommend fibrate therapy to reduce pancreatitis risk in persons with hypertriglyceridemia, fibrates may lead to the development of gallstones, a risk factor for pancreatitis. OBJECTIVE: To investigate associations between statin or fibrate therapy and incident pancreatitis in large randomized trials. DATA SOURCES: Relevant trials were identified in literature searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science (January 1, 1994, for statin trials and January 1, 1972, for fibrate trials, through June 9, 2012). Published pancreatitis data were tabulated where available (6 trials). Unpublished data were obtained from investigators (22 trials). STUDY SELECTION: We included randomized controlled cardiovascular end-point trials investigating effects of statin therapy or fibrate therapy. Studies with more than 1000 participants followed up for more than 1 year were included. DATA EXTRACTION: Trial-specific data described numbers of participants developing pancreatitis and change in triglyceride levels at 1 year. Trial-specific risk ratios (RRs) were calculated and combined using random-effects model meta-analysis. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. RESULTS: In 16 placebo- and standard care-controlled statin trials with 113,800 participants conducted over a weighted mean follow-up of 4.1 (SD, 1.5) years, 309 participants developed pancreatitis (134 assigned to statin, 175 assigned to control) (RR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.62-0.97; P = .03; I2 = 0%]). In 5 dose-comparison statin trials with 39,614 participants conducted over 4.8 (SD, 1.7) years, 156 participants developed pancreatitis (70 assigned to intensive dose, 86 assigned to moderate dose) (RR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.59-1.12; P = .21; I2 = 0%]). Combined results for all 21 statin trials provided RR 0.79 (95% CI, 0.65-0.95; P = .01; I2 = 0%). In 7 fibrate trials with 40,162 participants conducted over 5.3 (SD, 0.5) years, 144 participants developed pancreatitis (84 assigned to fibrate therapy, 60 assigned to placebo) (RR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.00-1.95; P = .053; I2 = 0%]). CONCLUSION: In a pooled analysis of randomized trial data, use of statin therapy was associated with a lower risk of pancreatitis in patients with normal or mildly elevated triglyceride levels.

Effect of intensive lipid-lowering therapy on cardiovascular outcome in patients with and those without inflammatory joint disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of intensive lipid-lowering therapy on a composite cardiovascular outcome (cardiovascular disease [CVD]), consisting of mortality and morbidity end points, in patients with inflammatory joint disease (rheumatoid arthritis [RA], ankylosing spondylitis [AS], or psoriatic arthritis [PsA]) by post hoc analysis of 2 prospective trials of statins with a secondary end point of CVD outcome (the Treating to New Targets [TNT] and Incremental Decrease in End Points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering [IDEAL] studies). METHODS: Of the 18,889 patients participating in the 2 trials, 199 had RA, 46 had AS, and 35 had PsA. Lipid-lowering therapy consisted of an intensive regimen of atorvastatin 80 mg or a conventional/low-dose regimen of atorvastatin 10 mg or simvastatin 20-40 mg. The median duration of followup was nearly 5 years. Changes in lipid levels were examined by analyses of covariance. The effect on CVD was examined by Cox regression analyses, and heterogeneity tests were performed. RESULTS: Patients with RA and those with AS had lower baseline cholesterol levels than patients without inflammatory joint disease (least squares mean ± SEM 180.7 ± 2.3 mg/dl and 176.5 ± 4.7 mg/dl, respectively, versus 185.6 ± 0.2 mg/dl; P = 0.03 and P = 0.05, respectively). Statin treatment led to a comparable decrease in lipid levels and a 20% reduction in overall risk of CVD in both patients with and those without inflammatory joint disease. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that patients with and those without inflammatory joint disease experience comparable lipid-lowering effects and CVD risk reduction after intensive treatment with statins.

Association of LDL cholesterol, non-HDL cholesterol, and apolipoprotein B levels with risk of cardiovascular events among patients treated with statins: a meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: The associations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), and apolipoprotein B (apoB) levels with the risk of cardiovascular events among patients treated with statin therapy have not been reliably documented. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relative strength of the associations of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and apoB with cardiovascular risk among patients treated with statin therapy. DESIGN: Meta-analysis of individual patient data from randomized controlled statin trials in which conventional lipids and apolipoproteins were determined in all study participants at baseline and at 1-year follow-up. DATA SOURCES: Relevant trials were identified by a literature search updated through December 31, 2011. Investigators were contacted and individual patient data were requested and obtained for 62,154 patients enrolled in 8 trials published between 1994 and 2008. DATA EXTRACTION: Hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% CIs for risk of major cardiovascular events adjusted for established risk factors by 1-SD increase in LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and apoB. RESULTS: Among 38,153 patients allocated to statin therapy, 158 fatal myocardial infarctions, 1678 nonfatal myocardial infarctions, 615 fatal events from other coronary artery disease, 2806 hospitalizations for unstable angina, and 1029 fatal or nonfatal strokes occurred during follow-up. The adjusted HRs for major cardiovascular events per 1-SD increase were 1.13 (95% CI, 1.10-1.17) for LDL-C, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.12-1.19) for non-HDL-C, and 1.14 (95% CI, 1.11-1.18) for apoB. These HRs were significantly higher for non-HDL-C than LDL-C (P = .002) and apoB (P = .02). There was no significant difference between apoB and LDL-C (P = .21). CONCLUSION: Among statin-treated patients, on-treatment levels of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and apoB were each associated with risk of future major cardiovascular events, but the strength of this association was greater for non-HDL-C than for LDL-C and apoB.

The 719Arg variant of KIF6 and cardiovascular outcomes in statin-treated, stable coronary patients of the treating to new targets and incremental decrease in end points through aggressive lipid-lowering prospective studies.

BACKGROUND: Carriers of the KIF6 719Arg variant may be at increased risk for CVD and may benefit more from statin therapy, in terms of CVD risk reduction, than noncarriers. Our objective was to investigate whether carriers of the KIF6 719Arg genetic variant (rs20455) are at increased cardiovascular risk and obtain more benefit from high-dose statin therapy than do noncarriers. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used an adjusted Cox proportional hazard model to assess the hazard ratio (HR) for the reduction of major cardiovascular events by 80 mg/d atorvastatin over 10 mg/d atorvastatin in 4599 patients of the Treating to New Targets (TNT) study and by 80 mg/d atorvastatin over 20-40 mg/d simvastatin in 6541 patients of the Incremental Decrease in End Points Through Aggressive Lipid-Lowering (IDEAL) study. A total of 381 and 648 patients had a cardiovascular event during follow-up in TNT and IDEAL, respectively. Heterozygotes and homozygotes for the minor allele were not at increased risk compared with noncarriers. In TNT, for noncarriers of the 719Arg allele, the HR for high- versus low-dose atorvastatin was 0.81 (95% confidence interval, 0.59-1.11). In carriers of 1 or 2 minor alleles, the HR was 0.85 (0.66-1.11) and carriers of 2 copies of the minor allele obtained a significant risk reduction (HR: 0.44, 95% confidence interval, 0.23-0.84). In IDEAL, the respective HRs were 0.85 (0.67-1.10), 0.88 (0.62-1.07) and 0.91 (0.58-1.43). The interaction term for carrier status by treatment was also nonsignificant (P=0.810 in TNT and P=0.909 in IDEAL). CONCLUSIONS: In these 2 large, randomized clinical trials, carriers of the KIF6 719Arg allele were not at increased cardiovascular risk and did not obtain consistent cardiovascular benefit from high-dose statin therapy compared with noncarriers.

On-treatment lipoprotein components and risk of cerebrovascular events in the Treating to New Targets study.

BACKGROUND: The Treating to New Targets (TNT) study has recently provided evidence that reduction in LDL-C levels below 2·6 mmol L⁻¹ lowers the risk of cerebrovascular events by an additional 20% to 25%, thereby confirming the value of statin therapy in preventing transient ischaemic attacks and stroke. Despite the protective effects of statin therapy, the epidemiological association between lipid components and cerebrovascular events is less clear. We therefore assessed the strength of association between in-trial lipoprotein components and cerebrovascular disease in patients receiving intensive lipid-lowering therapy. METHODS: In 9247 patients (mean age 61·0 years, 81·2% males), the association between lipoprotein components and the risk of cerebrovascular events after the first year into the TNT trial was assessed after stratification of lipoprotein components into approximate quartiles. Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the association between lipoprotein components and time to first cerebrovascular event after adjustment for potential confounding variables. RESULTS: All lipoprotein components, except LDL-C, showed a significant gradient for incidence of cerebrovascular events with increasing quartiles of the lipoprotein component. If the lipoprotein components were treated as continuous variables, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for cerebrovascular events for 1 SD difference in 1-year lipoprotein components were 1·13 (1·02-1·25) for LDL-C, 0·86 (0·76-0·97) for HDL-C, 1·17 (1·04-1·28) for apoB, 0·83 (0·74-0·94) for apoA-1, 1·22 (1·10-1·34) for TC/HDL-C and 1·24 (1·12-1·37) for apoB/apoA-1. CONCLUSIONS: In coronary heart disease patients receiving intensive lipid-lowering treatment, the on-treatment apoB/apoA-1 ratio provides the strongest association with incidence of cerebrovascular events followed by TC/HDL-C.

Prediction of cardiovascular events in statin-treated stable coronary patients by lipid and nonlipid biomarkers.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between lipid and nonlipid biomarker levels achieved during statin therapy and the incidence of major cardiovascular events (MCVEs) in patients with stable coronary heart disease (CHD). BACKGROUND: Several plasma nonlipid biomarkers have been shown to predict MCVEs in population studies. METHODS: This is a nested case-control study in the TNT (Treating to New Targets) study population, a randomized trial that compared the efficacy of high- (80 mg) versus low-dose (10 mg) atorvastatin for the secondary prevention of CHD. Fasting plasma levels of standard lipids and of 18 nonlipid biomarkers were obtained after an 8-week run-in period on atorvastatin 10 mg and again 1 year after being randomized to 10 or 80 mg atorvastatin in 507 patients who experienced MCVEs during the 4.9 years of study follow-up and in 1,020 control subjects. An MCVE was defined as CHD death; nonfatal, non-procedure-related myocardial infarction; resuscitated cardiac arrest; or fatal or nonfatal stroke. RESULTS: Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides were all predictive of recurrent MCVEs (p ≤ 0.009). Concentrations of many of the 18 nonlipid biomarkers were lowered by atorvastatin therapy (independent of dose). However, almost none of the nonlipid biomarker levels, whether measured after the 8-week run-in period or after 1 year of treatment with 10 or 80 mg atorvastatin, were predictive of recurrent MCVEs. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with stable CHD, atorvastatin improved plasma levels of an expanded panel of nonlipid biomarkers. However, independently of atorvastatin dose, the achieved levels of the vast majority of nonlipid biomarkers did not predict MCVEs. (A Study to Determine the Degree of Additional Reduction in CV Risk in Lowering LDL Below Minimum Target Levels [TNT]; NCT00327691).

J-curve revisited: An analysis of blood pressure and cardiovascular events in the Treating to New Targets (TNT) Trial.

AIM: In patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), a J-curve relationship has been reported between blood pressure (BP) and future cardiovascular events. However, this is controversial. The purpose of the study was to determine the relationship between on-treatment BP and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated 10 001 patients with CAD and a low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol level <130 mg/dL, randomized to atorvastatin 80 vs. 10 mg, enrolled in the TNT trial. The post-baseline, time-dependent BPs [systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP)] were categorized into 10 mmHg increments. The primary outcome was a composite of death from coronary disease, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), resuscitated cardiac arrest, and fatal or non-fatal stroke. Among the 10 001 patients, 982 (9.82%) experienced a primary outcome at 4.9 years (median) of follow-up. The relationship between SBP or DBP and primary outcome followed a J-curve with increased event rates above and below the reference BP range, both unadjusted and adjusted (for baseline covariates, treatment effect, and LDL levels). A time-dependent, non-linear, multivariate Cox proportional hazard model identified a nadir of 146.3/81.4 mmHg where the event rate was lowest. A similar non-linear relationship with a higher risk of events at lower pressures was found for most of the secondary outcomes of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, non-fatal MI, or angina. However, for the outcome of stroke, lower was better for SBP. CONCLUSION: In patients with CAD, a low BP (<110-120/<60-70 mmHg) portends an increased risk of future cardiovascular events (except stroke).