Explainable Machine Learning Model to Preoperatively Predict Postoperative Complications in Inpatients With Cancer Undergoing Major Operations.

PURPOSE: Preoperative prediction of postoperative complications (PCs) in inpatients with cancer is challenging. We developed an explainable machine learning (ML) model to predict PCs in a heterogenous population of inpatients with cancer undergoing same-hospitalization major operations. METHODS: Consecutive inpatients who underwent same-hospitalization operations from December 2017 to June 2021 at a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. The ML model was developed and tested using electronic health record (EHR) data to predict 30-day PCs for patients with Clavien-Dindo grade 3 or higher (CD 3+) per the CD classification system. Model performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC), and calibration plots. Model explanation was performed using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method at cohort and individual operation levels. RESULTS: A total of 988 operations in 827 inpatients were included. The ML model was trained using 788 operations and tested using a holdout set of 200 operations. The CD 3+ complication rates were 28.6% and 27.5% in the training and holdout test sets, respectively. Training and holdout test sets' model performance in predicting CD 3+ complications yielded an AUROC of 0.77 and 0.73 and an AUPRC of 0.56 and 0.52, respectively. Calibration plots demonstrated good reliability. The SHAP method identified features and the contributions of the features to the risk of PCs. CONCLUSION: We trained and tested an explainable ML model to predict the risk of developing PCs in patients with cancer. Using patient-specific EHR data, the ML model accurately discriminated the risk of developing CD 3+ complications and displayed top features at the individual operation and cohort level.

Outcomes of rectal cancer patients who refuse surgery after incomplete clinical response to neoadjuvant therapy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Total mesorectal excision (TME) remains the standard of care for patients with rectal cancer who have an incomplete response to total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT). A minority of patients will refuse curative intent resection. The aim of this study is to examine the outcomes for these patients. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of stage 1-3 rectal adenocarcinoma patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy or TNT at a single institution. Patients either underwent TME, watch-and-wait protocol, or if they refused TME, were counseled and watched (RCW). Clinical outcomes and resource utilization were examined in each group. RESULTS: One hundred seventy-one patients (Male 59%) were included with a median surveillance of 43 months. Twenty-nine patients (17%) refused TME and had shortened overall survival (OS). Twelve patients who refused TME converted to a complete clinical response (cCR) on subsequent staging with a prolonged OS. 92% of these patients had a near cCR at initial staging endoscopy. Increased physician visits and testing was utilized in RCW and WW groups. CONCLUSION: A significant portion of patients convert to cCR and have prolonged OS. Lengthening the time to declare cCR may be considered in select patients, such as those with a near cCR at initial endoscopic staging.

Long-term pelvic fracture and overall mortality risk after pelvic cancer and pelvic radiation.

BACKGROUND: The association of pelvic radiation with pelvic fracture risk has not been examined in prospective cohort settings with comprehensive fracture risk assessment, cancer-free comparison populations, and long-term follow-up. Our objective is to better characterize pelvic fracture and overall mortality risks in postmenopausal women participating in the Women's Health Initiative. METHODS: A total of 135 743 Women's Health Initiative participants aged 50 to 79 years enrolled from 40 US clinical centers from 1993 to 1998 who had entry Fracture Risk Assessment Tool scores were eligible. Outcomes included pelvic cancer diagnosis, pelvic fracture occurrence, and mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine associations of pelvic cancer and pelvic radiation with pelvic fracture and mortality risk. RESULTS: After 17.7 years (median) follow-up, 4451 pelvic cancers, 10 139 pelvic fractures, and 33 040 deaths occurred. In multivariable analyses, women with incident pelvic cancer, compared with women who remained pelvic cancer free, had higher pelvic fracture risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11 to 1.43) and higher overall mortality risk (HR = 2.91, 95% CI = 2.77 to 3.05). Women with pelvic cancer treated with pelvic radiation, compared with women with pelvic cancer not treated with pelvic radiation, had higher pelvic fracture risk (HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.41 to 2.78) and higher overall mortality after pelvic cancer (HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.15 to 1.52). CONCLUSIONS: Postmenopausal women with pelvic cancer, especially those receiving pelvic radiation, are at higher pelvic fracture risk and higher overall mortality risk. As therapeutic advances have reduced cancer mortality, attention to and interventions for pelvic fracture prevention may be important in pelvic cancer survivors.

Sidedness determines clinical characteristics and survival outcomes in medullary adenocarcinoma of the colon.

Colon medullary adenocarcinoma (MAC) is a rare histologic subtype. Clinical presentation and cancer outcomes of MAC, compared to colon adenocarcinoma (AC), remain incompletely described. Annual age-adjusted incidence rates were computed using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (2002-2017). A cohort analysis using the National Cancer Database (2010-2016) compared patient characteristics in an unmatched dataset and prognostic characteristics in a 1:1 matched subset. Reported annual age-adjusted incidence of MAC has significantly increased, with an average annual percent change (APC) increase of 23.8% (95% CI: 19.2-28.6); concurrent AC incidence declined (APC: - 2.8, 95% CI: - 3.1 to - 2.8). Analyses of 1018 MAC and 210,784 AC unmatched patients showed that MAC patients were more often older, female, and white, with higher disease stage, poorly-differentiated tumors, right-sided laterality, and lymphovascular invasion (all p < 0.0001). Among those with known microsatellite status, instability was more prevalent among MAC than AC patients (82% vs. 24%, p < 0.0001). Multivariate analyses of the matched dataset revealed that MAC histology was not independently associated with overall survival. However, when stratifying by laterality, left-sided MAC was associated with shorter survival when compared to right-sided MAC (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.16-2.38) and right-sided AC (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.12-2.12). The reported incidence of MAC is increasing, in contrast to the declining incidence of AC. MAC clinical and molecular features are distinct from AC and likely account for outcome differences. Overall, left-sided MAC was associated with the shortest OS. Molecular profiling may improve treatment guidelines for MAC.

Local excision and chemoradiation for clinical node-negative anal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Given the lack of consensus in the surgical treatment of anal adenocarcinoma, practice-patterns demonstrate utilization of organ-preserving techniques. The adequacy of local excision compared to abdominoperineal resection (APR) as a surgical approach for stage II disease is unknown. Our study examines the utilization of local excision in the treatment of stage II anal adenocarcinoma, rates of R0 resection, and differences in overall survival compared to APR. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using the National Cancer Database (2004-2016), we retrospectively analyzed patients diagnosed with clinical stage II anal adenocarcinoma who received chemoradiation and surgery. Patient cohorts were assigned based on the surgical procedure they received. Propensity score matching was used to offset selection bias and confounding factors. Treatment approach, pathologic margin status, and overall survival were assessed. RESULTS: Overall, 359 patients underwent resection of clinical stage II anal adenocarcinoma and received chemoradiation therapy. Of these patients, 87 (24%) underwent local excision, whereas 272 (76%) received an abdominoperineal resection. In a propensity score-matched cohort, patients who underwent local excision were less likely to achieve an R0 resection (40% vs 90%), and more likely to receive adjuvant instead of neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Overall survival was not significantly different between the propensity-matched groups. Surgical approach and pathologic margin status were not independently associated with overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with clinical stage II anal adenocarcinoma who received chemotherapy and radiation, complete resection was significantly less likely with local excision compared to abdominoperineal resection, however, overall survival was not affected. Prospective studies of neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by local excision are warranted.

Feasibility of Remote Occupational Therapy Services via Telemedicine in a Breast Cancer Recovery Program.

IMPORTANCE: Access to perioperative breast surgery occupational therapy services remains limited in remote areas. OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility and acceptance of occupational therapy services using a "hub-and-spoke" telemedicine model. DESIGN: Prospective study using videoconferencing to connect the occupational therapist, located at the hub site, with the patient, located at the spoke site. SETTING: National Cancer Institute Comprehensive Cancer Center (hub site) and affiliated community cancer center (spoke site). The sites are 75 mi apart. PARTICIPANTS: Female breast cancer patients (N = 26) scheduled for breast surgery were asked to participate in telemedicine occupation therapy sessions. Patients lived in a geographically remote region and travelled a mean of 16 miles (range = 3-85) to the hub site. The majority (56%) of the patients had public insurance. INTERVENTION: Perioperative occupational therapy sessions completed through videoconferencing. OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcome measures were participation in and completion rate for the sessions, number of sessions required to return to baseline, and time interval from surgery to return to baseline function. Patient satisfaction was assessed with a questionnaire. RESULTS: Of the patients who enrolled in the study, 18 completed all postoperative sessions in which functional assessments, exercises, and education were provided. Patients regained baseline function within a mean of 42.4 days after surgery and after an average of three sessions. Patients reported high satisfaction with the sessions. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Videoconference telemedicine in breast perioperative rehabilitation is feasible, effective, and acceptable to patients. This study adds to the emerging use of telemedicine for rehabilitative services. WHAT THIS ARTICLE ADDS: This study, by demonstrating the acceptability, practicality, and efficacy of breast perioperative occupational therapy services offered through a videoconferencing platform, supports continued research to evaluate the value of telemedicine. Issues with access to medical care may be mitigated through creative use of technology.

Metachronous peritoneal metastases following curative resection for colon cancer: Understanding risk factors and patterns of recurrence.

BACKGROUND: A subset of metachronous colon cancer recurrence manifests as peritoneal metastases (PM). Risk factors for metachronous PM recurrence are not well-defined in patients with stage II or III colon cancers after curative resection and standard adjuvant treatments. METHODS: Population data from the California Cancer Registry for patients with Stage II or III colon cancer were collected between 2004 and 2012. Multivariate analysis was used to identify factors associated with metachronous PM. RESULTS: Of the 2077 patients with stage II or III colon cancer, female patients (odds ratio [OR] = 1.84, p = 0.02), T4 primary tumor (OR = 2.36, p = 0.02), mucinous (OR = 3.97, p < 0.01) or signet-ring histology (OR = 6.01, p = 0.01), and right-sided cancer (OR = 2.2, p < 0.01) were found with increased risk of metachronous isolated PM recurrence after curative resection. Median survival after diagnosis for patients without PM recurrence was 22 months, compared with 12 months for PM recurrence (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: PM recurrence groups have a worse overall survival than patients with recurrent disease in other sites. A better understanding of the tumor biology and molecular characteristics of colon cancers likely to recur as PM is needed to explain behavior and identify potential targeted therapy.

Feasibility and safety study of a high resolution wide field-of-view scanning endoscope for circumferential intraluminal intestinal imaging.

Global anal cancer incidence is increasing. High resolution anoscopy (HRA) currently screens for anal cancer, although the definitive test remains unknown. To improve on intraluminal imaging of the anal canal, we conducted a first-in-human study to determine feasibility and safety of a high-resolution, wide field-of-view scanning endoscope. Fourteen patients, under an IRB-approved clinical study, underwent exam under anesthesia, HRA, and imaging with the experimental device. HRA findings were photographed using an in-line camera attached to the colposcope and compared with the scanning endoscope images. Patients were followed up within 2 weeks of the procedure. The imaging device is inserted into the anal canal and the intraluminal surface is digitally photographed in 10 s and uploaded to a computer monitor for review. Ten patients completed imaging with the device. Three patients were not imaged due to severe anal stenosis. One patient was not imaged due to technical device malfunction. The device images were compared to the HRA images. No adverse event attributable to the device was reported. The intraluminal scanning endoscope can be used for circumferential anal canal imaging and is safe for clinical use. Future clinical studies are needed to evaluate the performance of this device.

Separation of color channels from conventional colonoscopy images improves deep neural network detection of polyps.

SIGNIFICANCE: Colorectal cancer incidence has decreased largely due to detection and removal of polyps. Computer-aided diagnosis development may improve on polyp detection and discrimination. AIM: To advance detection and discrimination using currently available commercial colonoscopy systems, we developed a deep neural network (DNN) separating the color channels from images acquired under narrow-band imaging (NBI) and white-light endoscopy (WLE). APPROACH: Images of normal colon mucosa and polyps from colonoscopies were studied. Each color image was extracted based on the color channel: red/green/blue. A multilayer DNN was trained using one-channel, two-channel, and full-color images. The trained DNN was then tested for performance in detection of polyps. RESULTS: The DNN performed better using full-colored NBI over WLE images in the detection of polyps. Furthermore, the DNN performed better using the two-channel red + green images when compared to full-color WLE images. CONCLUSIONS: The separation of color channels from full-color NBI and WLE images taken from commercially available colonoscopes may improve the ability of the DNN to detect and discriminate polyps. Further studies are needed to better determine the color channels and combination of channels to include and exclude in DNN development for clinical use.

Time to Adjuvant Radiotherapy in Breast Cancer Affects Survival: Implications for the American College of Surgeons Commission on Cancer Quality Metrics.

BACKGROUND: To optimize breast cancer care, the American College of Surgeons Commission on Cancer developed quality measures regarding receipt and timing of adjuvant radiotherapy (RT). Nationwide compliance with these measures and its impact on overall survival (OS) are evaluated herein. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients (n = 285,291) diagnosed with invasive breast cancer from 2004 to 2012 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Compliance with RT administration within 365 days from diagnosis was determined for patients with stage III disease with ≥ 4 positive lymph nodes post mastectomy and stage I-III disease post breast-conserving surgery (BCS). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess factors associated with compliance and OS, respectively. RESULTS: In the mastectomy cohort, 66.9% received timely RT, showing improved OS versus no RT patients (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.67-0.73). Delayed RT patients (≥ 365 days) achieved equivalent OS to those receiving timely RT (HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.93-1.23) and superior OS to no RT patients (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.85). In the BCS cohort, 89.4% received timely RT, showing improved OS versus no RT patients (HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.45-0.49). Delayed RT was associated with improved OS versus no RT (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.56-0.74) and decreased OS versus timely RT (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.19-1.58). Factors associated with noncompliance included insurance type and distance to hospital. CONCLUSIONS: Quality measure compliance with adjuvant RT improves OS, regardless of timing after mastectomy. However, timeliness does impact OS after BCS. Focus on modifiable factors to improve compliance such as access to care may lead to improved compliance and OS.

Health-related quality of life and oncologic outcomes after surgery in older adults with colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: Data regarding changes in functional status and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) before and after surgery are lacking. We identified colorectal cancer patients from the SEER-Medicare Health Outcomes Survey (MHOS) linked database to evaluate the association between HRQOL and survival. METHODS: HRQOL survey data captured physical/mental health, activities of daily living (ADLs), and medical comorbidities. Patients who underwent surgery with HRQOL surveys prior to cancer diagnosis and ≥ 1 year after diagnosis were selected. Patient, disease, and HRQOL measures were analyzed in regard to overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and non-DSS. RESULTS: Of 590 patients included, 55% were female, 75% were Caucasian, and 83% had colonic primary. Disease extent was localized for 52%, regional for 41%, and distant for 7%. Median OS was 83 months. Decreased OS was independently associated with age ≥ 75 (HR 1.7, p < 0.0001), male sex (HR 1.4, p = 0.011), advanced disease (regional-HR 2.0, p < 0.0001; distant-HR 7.0, p < 0.0001), and decreased mental HRQOL (HR 1.4, p = 0.005). Decreased DSS was independently associated with advanced disease (regional-HR 4.1, p < 0.0001; distant-HR 16.5, p < 0.0001) and rectal primary (HR 1.6, p = 0.047). Decreased non-DSS was independently associated with age ≥ 75 (HR 2.2, p < 0.0001), male sex (HR 1.4, p = 0.03), decreased mental HRQOL (HR 1.4, p = 0.02), and increased comorbidities (HR 1.4, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: The potential overall survival benefit of oncologic surgery is diminished by declines in physical and mental health. Early identification of older surgical patients at risk for functional and HRQOL declines may improve survival following colorectal cancer surgery.

Molecular characterization of metaplastic breast carcinoma via next-generation sequencing.

Metaplastic breast carcinoma (MBC) is a rare subtype of breast cancer with variable morphology. MBC is more often triple negative (ER-, PR-, HER2-) and is associated with poorer clinical outcome when compared with infiltrating ductal carcinoma. The purpose of our study is to identify molecular alterations in MBC using next-generation sequencing (NGS), which may aid chemotherapy selection and use of targeted therapy. A cohort of 18 patients with MBC yielded adequate DNA from microdissected formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded tumor blocks. NGS was performed using the Ion AmpliSeq cancer hotspot mutation panel version 2 kit, which targets hotspot regions in 50 genes. Immunohistochemical stains for androgen receptor (AR), and programmed cell death ligand-1 were performed. A total of 23 genetic alterations were identified in 15 (83.3%) of 18 patients. Eleven genetic alterations in the PI3K signaling pathway were identified in 9 (50.0%) of 18 patients, including 7 PIK3CA mutations (38.9%), 3 PTEN genetic alterations (16.7%), and 1 AKT1 mutation (5.6%). Ten (55.6%) of 18 patients each harbored 1 TP53 genetic alteration. Additional genetic alterations identified were 1 HRAS mutation and 1 ATM mutation. AR immunoreactivity was identified in 2 (11.1%) of 18 patients. Programmed cell death ligand-1 was negative in all patients. NGS analysis demonstrated that PI3K pathway-related genetic alterations were detected in a high percentage of MBCs, suggesting that targeting the PI3K/mTOR pathway may be promising in patients with MBC. In addition, patients with AR expressing MBC may benefit from androgen antagonist treatment.

Robotic surgery trends in general surgical oncology from the National Inpatient Sample.

BACKGROUND: Robotic surgery is offered at most major medical institutions. The extent of its use within general surgical oncology, however, is poorly understood. We hypothesized that robotic surgery adoption in surgical oncology is increasing annually, that is occurring in all surgical sites, and all regions of the US. STUDY DESIGN: We identified patients with site-specific malignancies treated with surgical resection from the National Inpatient Sample 2010-2014 databases. Operations were considered robotic if any ICD-9-CM robotic procedure code was used. RESULTS: We identified 147,259 patients representing the following sites: esophageal (3%), stomach (5%), small bowel (5%), pancreas (7%), liver (5%), and colorectal (75%). Most operations were open (71%), followed by laparoscopic (26%), and robotic (3%). In 2010, only 1.1% of operations were robotic; over the 5-year study period, there was a 5.0-fold increase in robotic surgery, compared to 1.1-fold increase in laparoscopy and 1.2-fold decrease in open surgery (< 0.001). These trends were observed for all surgical sites and in all regions of the US, they were strongest for esophageal and colorectal operations, and in the Northeast. Adjusting for age and comorbidities, odds of having a robotic operation increased annually (5.6 times more likely by 2014), with similar length of stay (6.9 ± 6.5 vs 7.0 ± 6.5, p = 0.52) and rate of complications (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.83-1.01, p = 0.08) compared to laparoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: Robotic surgery as a platform for minimally invasive surgery is increasing over time for oncologic operations. The growing use of robotic surgery will affect surgical oncology practice in the future, warranting further study of its impact on cost, outcomes, and surgical training.

Elevated risk of human papillomavirus-related second cancers in survivors of anal canal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Over the last decade, the causal link between human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and squamous cell carcinoma of the anus (SCCA) has been well described. Because HPV infection in one site is often associated with other sites of infection, it then follows that patients with SCCA may have an increased risk of additional HPV-related cancers. Identifying and targeting at-risk sites through cancer screening and surveillance may help to guide best practices. The current study sought to ascertain sites and risk of HPV-related second primary malignancies (SPMs) in survivors of SCCA. METHODS: Using population-based data from 1992 through 2012, the authors identified patients with SCCA and determined their risk of HPV-related SPMs, including anal, oral, and genital cancers. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), defined as observed to expected cases, were calculated to determine excess risk. RESULTS: Of 10,537 patients with SCCA, 416 developed HPV-related SPMs, which corresponded to an overall SIR of 21.5 (99% confidence interval [99% CI], 19.0-24.2). Men were found to have a higher SIR (35.8; 99% CI, 30.7-41.6) compared with women (12.8; 99% CI, 10.4-15.5). SIRs for a second SCCA were markedly higher in men (127.5; 99% CI, 108.1-149.2) compared with women (47.0; 99% CI, 34.7-62.1), whereas SIRs for oral cavity and pharyngeal cancers were elevated in men (3.1; 99% CI, 1.5-5.7) and women (4.4; 99% CI, 1.5-9.7). SIRs for sex-specific sites also were elevated, with male genital cancers having an SIR of 19.6 (99% CI, 8.7-37.6) and female genital cancers an SIR of 8.3 (99% CI, 6.1-11.0). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with index SCCA are at an increased risk of subsequent HPV-related SPMs. The elevated risk is most striking in patients with second primary SCCAs; however, the risk of second cancers also appears to be increased in other HPV-related sites. Cancer 2017;123:4013-21. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

A wide field-of-view scanning endoscope for whole anal canal imaging.

We report a novel wide field-of-view (FOV) scanning endoscope, the AnCam, which is based on contact image sensor (CIS) technology used in commercialized business card scanners. The AnCam can capture the whole image of the anal canal within 10 seconds with a resolution of 89 µm, a maximum FOV of 100 mm × 120 mm, and a depth-of-field (DOF) of 0.65 mm at 5.9 line pairs per mm (lp/mm). We demonstrate the performance of the AnCam by imaging the entire anal canal of pigs and tracking the dynamics of acetowhite testing. We believe the AnCam can potentially be a simple and convenient solution for screening of the anal canal for dysplasia and for surveillance in patients following treatment for anal cancer.

Survival outcomes of metaplastic breast cancer patients: results from a US population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: Metaplastic breast cancer (MBC) is a rare histologic subtype needing further characterization. The aim of our study was to compare MBC to infiltrating ductal carcinoma (IDC) of the breast and to identify demographic, clinicopathologic, treatment, and survival differences. METHODS: MBC and IDC patients were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) public-use data set. Disease-specific survival (DSS) differences were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess factors prognostic for DSS. To control for hormone receptor status, a subsequent planned analysis was completed for receptor-negative MBC and IDC. Lastly, a matched case-control analysis was conducted to minimize potential bias due to baseline demographic, clinical, and pathologic differences. RESULTS: The SEER data set included 1,011 MBC and 253,818 IDC patients diagnosed from 2001 to 2010. MBC patients had larger, higher grade tumors, had less frequent axillary nodal involvement, and were more likely to be treated with mastectomy. Five-year DSS rates were significantly worse for patients with MBC than for IDC patients (78 vs. 93 %, p < 0.0001) and for patients with receptor-negative MBC than receptor-negative IDC (77 vs. 85 %, p < 0.0001). The findings were confirmed on matched analysis. Prognostic factors identified on multivariate analyses included age, MBC histology, tumor grade, T stage, and axillary lymph node involvement. CONCLUSIONS: MBC patients have shorter DSS than IDC patients. Improved clinical and biological understanding of MBC may result in more effective therapy and better cancer outcomes.

Changing patterns of anal canal carcinoma in the United States.

PURPOSE: Persistent human papillomavirus infection is associated with squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCCA). With changing sexual behaviors, SCCA incidence and patient demographics may also have changed in recent years. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results public-use data set from 1973 to 2009 was analyzed to determine incidence trends for and demographic factors characterizing SCCA. Joinpoint analyses identified time points when incidence rates changed. For comparison, similar analyses were conducted for anal adenocarcinoma. RESULTS: Joinpoint analyses identified 1997 as the single inflection point among 11,231 patients with SCCA, at which the slope of incidence rates statistically increased (1997 to 2009 v 1973 to 1996: risk ratio [RR], 2.2; 95% CI, 2.1 to 2.3). Annual percent change (APC) increased for all SCCA stages and was the greatest for anal carcinoma in situ (CIS; APC, 14.2; 95% CI, 10.2 to 18.4). Demographic changes characterizing later versus earlier time period included younger age at diagnosis and rising incidence rates in all stage, sex, and racial groups. During 1997 to 2009, women were less likely to present with CIS (RR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.3 to 0.3) but more likely to present with localized (RR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.3) and regional SCCA (RR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.4 to 1.7). In contrast, adenocarcinoma APCs among 1,791 patients remained stable during this time period. CONCLUSION: CIS and SCCA incidence increased dramatically after 1997 for men and women, although men were more likely to be diagnosed with CIS. These changes likely resulted from available screening in men and argue for efforts to identify high-risk individuals who may benefit from screening.

Designing liver resections and pushing the envelope with resections for hepatic colorectal metastases.

Current concepts in the management of hepatic metastases have changed dramatically over the past two decades. Multidisciplinary therapies including chemotherapy, surgery, and regional therapy have alone and in combination significantly improved the survival of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Conditions that were previously considered hopeless and treated merely for palliation can now be approached with curative intent. In this paper, we review the surgical treatment for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) and describe a paradigm-shift in the management of complex heretofore-considered unresectable CRLM. Utilizing advanced multidisciplinary treatment strategies has improved the prognosis of patients with stage IV colorectal cancer to the point where we may question whether CRLM are now a chronic disease.