Internet searches for "insomnia" and "suicide" mediated by stay-at-home behaviors in 45 countries during the first 12 months of the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate (1) the mental health impacts (i.e., insomnia and suicide ideas) of the COVID-19 pandemic and (2) the mediation effects of stay-at-home levels on those impacts. METHODS: This study investigated monthly national COVID-19 deaths, stay-at-home levels, and internet searches for words for "insomnia" and "suicide" across 45 countries during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic (March 1, 2020, to February 28, 2021). We used the changes of internet search volumes for "insomnia" and "suicide" (from the Google Trends database) to represent the mental health impacts, and the time of cell phone activity at the residence (from Google Location History) to estimate the stay-at-home effects. We computed the proportion mediated (PM) caused by stay-at-home levels in the COVID-19 impacts on insomnia and suicide ideas, respectively. RESULTS: Throughout the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, national COVID-19 deaths significantly correlated to increased internet searches for "insomnia" but decreased searches for "suicide". In addition, the mediation effect was significant in the first six-month of COVID-19-related increases in insomnia (PM = 42.6 %, p = 0.016), but this effect was not significant (PM = 13.1 %, p = 0.270) in the second six-month. By contrast, the mediation effect was not significant in the first six-month of COVID-19-related decrease in suicide ideation (PM = 8.1 %, p = 0.180), but this effect was significant (PM = 39.6 %, p = 0.014) in the second six-month. CONCLUSIONS: Stay-at-home levels significantly mediated both increased insomnia and decreased suicide ideas, but within different time frames.

The methodology to estimate the demand and supply of national psychiatric services in Taiwan from 2005 to 2030.

BACKGROUND: The transformation from institutionalization to community-based mental healthcare may increase the difficulty of psychiatric workforce estimation and change the role of psychiatrists in hospitals and private clinics. METHODS: This study aimed to estimate the growth and forecast psychiatric services in hospitals and private clinics in Taiwan from 2005 to 2030. We first examined the correlation between the number of psychiatrists and several indicators of psychiatric services. The forecast of the national demand for psychiatrists was based on projected outpatient psychiatrist visits from historical data. We also estimated the supply of psychiatrists by the number of psychiatrists practicing in hospitals or private clinics from Taiwan's Medical Affairs System and examined the supply and demand of the psychiatrist workforce through 2030. RESULTS: Outpatient visit was the most relevant indicator of psychiatric services to psychiatrist workforce. Growth rates in private clinics were higher than the hospital counterparts within the following decade (172.3 % vs. 37.7 %) and in the following decade (42.3 % vs. 13.3 %). The hospital-clinic disparity in the growth of psychiatric services also reflects the shortage of psychiatrists in private clinics but not in hospitals through 2030. The supply of 1158 psychiatrists in hospitals would nearly equal the clinical-based demand of 1156 psychiatrists in 2030. By contrast, the supply of 514 psychiatrists in private clinics would be lower than the clinical-based demand of 636 psychiatrists in 2030. CONCLUSION: The hospital-clinic disparity in the growth of psychiatric services reflects the transformation from hospital-based to community-based mental healthcare in Taiwan.

The trend and future projection of technology-assisted total knee arthroplasty in the United States.

BACKGROUND: As technology-assisted surgery has boosted in the last decades, we aimed to investigate the factors affecting adoption and to predict the future utilization of technology among patients who underwent total knee arthroplasty (TKA). METHODS: Patients underwent TKA in 2017-2019 in the MarketScan Database were included. Percentage of technology-assisted surgery was calculated. Multivariable logistic regression models were performed to analyse the factors and make the prediction. RESULTS: Of 112,161 TKA procedures, 7.2% were technology-assisted. The proportion of technology-assisted TKA is expected to reach 50% by 2032. The West showed the highest proportion of technology-assisted TKA (12.3%), while the South had the lowest (5.7%). Over time, the Midwest showed the greatest increase in technology adoption (OR = 1.26 compared to the Northeast, 95% CI [1.15, 1.38]). CONCLUSIONS: Technology adoption rate of TKA will continue to increase for the next 20 years in the United States with a slight geographical variation.

A Safe Number of Perioperative Opioids to Reduce the Risk of New Persistent Usage Among Opioid-Naïve Patients Following Total Joint Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Higher initial opioid dosing increases the risk of prolonged opioid use following total joint arthroplasty (TJA), and the safe amounts to prescribe are unknown. We examined the relationship between perioperative opioid exposure and new persistent usage among opioid-naïve patients after total knee and hip arthroplasty. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 22,310 opioid-naïve patients undergoing primary TJA between 2018 and 2019 were identified within a commercial claims database. Perioperative opioid exposure was defined as total dose of opioid prescription in morphine milligram equivalents (MME) between 1 month prior to and 2 weeks after TJA. New persistent usage was defined as at least one opioid prescription between 90 and 180 days postoperatively. Multivariate regression analyses were performed to examine the relationship between the perioperative dosage group and the development of new persistent usage. RESULTS: For the total patient cohort, 8.1% developed new persistent usage. Compared to patients who received <300 MME, patients who received 600-900 MME perioperatively had a 77% increased risk of developing new persistent usage (odds ratio 1.77, 95% CI, 1.44-2.17), and patients who received ≥1,200 MME perioperatively had a 285% increased risk (odds ratio 3.85, 95% CI, 3.13-4.74). CONCLUSION: We found a dose-dependent association between perioperative MME and the risk of developing new persistent usage among opioid-naïve patients following TJA. We recommend prescribing <600 MME (equivalent to 80 pills of 5 mg oxycodone) during the perioperative period to reduce the risk of new persistent usage. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Association between adolescents' problematic online behaviors and self-harm risk.

INTRODUCTION: Problematic online behaviors, including sexting, cyberbullying, and Internet gaming disorder (IGD), were associated with a higher risk of self-harm among adolescents. However, the independent effect on self-harm brought by each problematic online behavior remains unknown. METHODS: This cross-sectional nationwide survey investigated a representative sample of 8446 Taiwanese adolescents (49.7 % female, mean age = 15.4 ± 1.8, ranging from 10 to 18) in the summer of 2021. We used self-reported questionnaires to assess adolescents' problematic online behaviors. 18-item Risk-Taking and Self-Harm Inventory was applied to evaluate their self-harm risks. Adolescents with score ≥ 7 were considered self-harm identified. Multivariate regression analyses were performed to investigate the association between problematic online behaviors and self-harm risks. RESULTS: The prevalence of sexting, cyberbullying victimization, cyberbullying perpetration, and IGD was 1.3 %, 1.1 %, 0.9 %, and 0.7 %, respectively. Adolescents with sexting were associated with higher self-harm scores (ß = 4.30, 95 % CI [3.35, 5.25]), so did adolescents with IGD (ß = 3.33, 95 % CI [1.96, 4.71]), cyberbullying perpetration (ß = 2.61, 95 % CI [1.03, 4.20]), and cyberbullying victimization (ß = 1.40, 95 % CI [0.04, 2.76]). Also, sexting (OR = 5.16, 95 % CI [3.26, 8.07]) and IGD (OR = 3.11, 95 % CI [1.50, 6.15]) were associated with increased odds of identified self-harm behaviors. CONCLUSIONS: Sexting, cyberbullying victimization, cyberbullying perpetration, and IGD were all independently associated with an increased self-harm risk among adolescents. Among them, sexting was shown to be the most robust risk factor of identified self-harm behaviors. To prevent self-harm among adolescents, it is important to identify youth involved in problematic online behaviors, especially sexting.

Utilizing Internet Search Volume to Monitor Stages of Change in Vaccine Hesitancy During the COVID-19 Outbreaks.

Real-time vaccine hesitancy surveillance is needed to better understand changes in vaccination behaviors. We aim to understand the association between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks and population vaccine hesitancy and to monitor the dynamic changes in vaccination behaviors. We used the autoregressive integrated moving average model to examine the association between daily internet search volume for vaccines and two waves of COVID-19 local outbreaks in Taiwan from 19 March to 25 May, 2021. During the small-scale outbreak, the search volume increased significantly for 7 out of 22 days with an average increase of 17.3% ± 10.7% from the expected search volume. During the large-scale outbreak, the search volume increased significantly for 14 out of 14 days, with an average increase of 58.4% ± 14.7%. There was a high correlation between the search volume and the number of domestic cases (r = 0.71, P < 0.001). Google Trends serves as a timely indicator to monitor the extent of population vaccine willingness.

Longitudinal Body Weight Change, Visit-To-Visit Body Weight Fluctuation, and Cognitive Decline Among Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: The evidence regarding dementia and late-life weight change is inconsistent, and data on body weight fluctuation and dementia are limited. OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that weight loss and substantial weight fluctuation predict cognitive decline independent of body weight and traditional risk factors of dementia. METHODS: This study utilized longitudinal data from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center for 10,639 stroke- and dementia-free older adults (60.9%female, mean age 71.6 years, median follow-up 5.5 years). Trends in weight change and weight fluctuation were estimated for each individual by regressing repeated body weight measurements on time. Cognitive decline was examined as diagnostic progression from normal to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia and from MCI to dementia. RESULTS: Compared to participants with stable weight, those with weight loss had increased odds of diagnostic progression (adjusted OR = 1.35, 95%CI [1.21, 1.51]). Also, large weight fluctuation was associated with increased odds of diagnostic progression (OR comparing the extreme quartiles = 1.20, 95%CI [1.04, 1.39]) after adjusting for traditional risk factors for dementia and body weight change. The magnitude of the association appeared larger among those older than 80 and those with 3 or more cardiometabolic risk factors at baseline (both p for interaction < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Weight loss and substantial weight fluctuation during late-life were associated with increased odds of cognitive decline independent of body weight and traditional risk factors of dementia. Our results suggested the linkage between late-life body weight instability and cognitive decline especially among those with greater age or higher cardiometabolic risk.

Association between maternal age at delivery and allergic rhinitis in schoolchildren: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Some studies have shown associations of maternal age at delivery with asthma and food allergy in offspring. However, the relationship between maternal age at delivery and allergic rhinitis is largely unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between maternal age at delivery and allergic rhinitis in a population sample of Asian children, and to explore potential effect modifiers. METHODS: A total of 1344 singleton-birth children (763 boys, 56.8%; mean age, 6.4 years) participating in the Longitudinal Investigation of Global Health in Taiwanese Schoolchildren (LIGHTS) cohort were evaluated by a modified International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire and interviewed by pediatricians. Allergic sensitization was determined by using Phadiatop Infant. Multiple logistic regression models with covariates adjustment were performed to investigate the association of maternal age at delivery with allergic rhinitis and allergic sensitization in offspring. RESULTS: Among 1344 study children, 793 (59%) had physician-diagnosed allergic rhinitis. Advanced maternal age at delivery (≥40 years) was significantly associated with increased odds of allergic rhinitis (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 4.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.90-11.03) and allergic sensitization (AOR = 2.86, 95% CI: 1.13-7.22) in offspring. A sex-stratified analysis revealed that the association of advanced maternal age with allergic rhinitis was statistically significant only in female offspring (AOR = 7.02, 95% CI: 1.89-26.14). Stratified analyses by birth order or environmental tobacco smoke exposure during pregnancy did not reveal any significant differences. CONCLUSION: Advanced maternal age at delivery was associated with increased risk of allergic rhinitis in Asian children, probably more pronounced among girls.