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Background: Antipsychotics are widely used in the elderly due to the high prevalence of neuropsychiatric associated with dementia. Objective: To analyze potential disparities in antipsychotic use in the general population of Gipuzkoa by socioeconomic status (SES) and diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease and related dementia (ADRD) adjusting for somatic and psychiatric comorbidities, age, and sex. Methods: A retrospective observational study was carried out in all the 221,777 individuals over 60 years of age (Gipuzkoa, Spain) to collect diagnosis of ADRD, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, and psychiatric comorbidities considering all primary, outpatient, emergency and inpatient care episodes and first- and second-generation antipsychotics, and sociodemographic variables, namely, age, sex, SES and living in a nursing home. Logistic regression was used for multivariate statisticalanalysis. Results: Use of any antipsychotic was greater in women, individuals over 80 years old, living in a nursing home, with a diagnosis of dementia, somatic and psychiatric comorbidities, and low SES. Quetiapine was the most used drug. The likelihood of any antipsychotic use was significantly associated with low SES (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60; confidence interval [CI]: 1.52-1.68), age over 80 years (OR: 1.56; CI: 1.47-1.65), institutionalization (OR: 12.61; CI: 11.64-13.65), diagnosis of dementia (OR: 10.18; CI: 9.55-10.85) and the comorbidities of depression (OR: 3.79; CI: 3.58-4.01) and psychosis (OR: 4.96; CI: 4.64-5.30). Conclusions: The greater levels of antipsychotic use and institutionalization in people of low SES indicate inequity in the management of neuropsychiatric symptoms. Increasing the offer of non-pharmacological treatments in the health system might help reduce inequity.
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Antipsicóticos , Demência , Classe Social , Humanos , Antipsicóticos/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/tratamento farmacológico , Demência/diagnóstico , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Espanha/epidemiologia , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , ComorbidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic status (SES) and gender play a key role in mental health. The objective of this study was to assess socioeconomic and gender mental health inequalities in adolescents and young adults using a population-based registry. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a lifetime follow-up study of all residents in the Basque Country between 1 and 30 years old (n=609,381) as of 31 December 2018. Primary care, specialized outpatient, and hospital care records were searched for diagnoses. SES was assessed based on household income. We estimated disaggregated lifetime prevalence of substance use, behaviour, anxiety, depression, psychosis, and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. The local Institute of Statistics validated the mortality data. The likelihood of risks was estimated using logistic regression. RESULTS: Overall, 96,671 individuals (15.9%) had a diagnosed mental disorder, with clear gradients by gender and SES. Females of medium-to-high SES had the lowest prevalence of all mental disorders, except anxiety and depression. This group was followed by males of the same SES and females of low SES, while the highest prevalence of mental disorders was observed in low-SES males. The lower income categories had higher risks of psychiatric admission (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 3.64 for females; 6.66 for males) and death (AOR: 5.42). People with a mental health diagnosis had higher mortality (AOR: 2.38). CONCLUSIONS: Our work evidenced important SES and gender inequalities in the mental health and premature mortality of adolescents and young adults, findings that should drive the development and implementation of early preventive interventions.
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Transtornos Mentais , Classe Social , Humanos , Adolescente , Masculino , Feminino , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Fatores Sexuais , Criança , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Espanha/epidemiologia , Lactente , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Seguimentos , Prevalência , Sistema de RegistrosAssuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Masculino , FemininoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Low household income (HI), comorbidities and female sex are associated with an increased risk of dementia. The aim of this study was to measure the mediating effect of comorbidity and HI on the excess risk due to gender in relation to the incidence and prevalence of dementia in the general population. METHODS: A retrospective and observational study using real-world data analysed all people over 60 who were registered with the Basque Health Service in Gipuzkoa. The study measured HI level, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), age and sex. The prevalence and incidence of dementia were analysed using logistic regression and Poisson regression models, respectively, adjusted by HI, sex, comorbidity and age. We estimated the combined mediation effect of HI and comorbidity on the prevalence of dementia associated with gender. RESULTS: Of the 221,777 individuals, 3.85% (8,549) had a diagnosis of dementia as of 31 December 2021. Classification by the CCI showed a gradient with 2.90% in CCI 0-1, 10.60% in CCI 2-3 and 18.01% in CCI > 3. Both low HI and gender were associated with a higher crude prevalence of dementia. However, in the CCI-adjusted model, women had an increased risk of dementia, while HI was no longer statistically significant. The incidence analysis produced similar results, although HI was not significant in any model. The CCI was significantly higher for men and for people with low HI. The mediation was statistically significant, and the CCI and HI explained 79% of the gender effect. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidity and low HI act as mediators in the increased risk of dementia associated with female sex. Given the difference in the prevalence of comorbidities by HI, individual interventions to control comorbidities could not only prevent dementia but also reduce inequalities, as the risk is greater in the most disadvantaged population.
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Demência , Equidade de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Comorbidade , Projetos de Pesquisa , Demência/diagnóstico , Demência/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To describe a procedure for incorporating parametric functions into individual-level simulation models to sample time to event when age-specific rates are available but not the individual data. METHODS: Using age-specific event rates, regression analysis was used to parametrize parametric survival distributions (Weibull, Gompertz, log-normal, and log-logistic), select the best fit using the R2 statistic, and apply the corresponding formula to assign random times to events in simulation models. We used stroke rates in the Spanish population to illustrate our procedure. RESULTS: The 3 selected survival functions (Gompertz, Weibull, and log-normal) had a good fit to the data up to 85 y of age. We selected Gompertz distribution as the best-fitting distribution due to its goodness of fit. CONCLUSIONS: Our work provides a simple procedure for incorporating parametric risk functions into simulation models without individual-level data. HIGHLIGHTS: We describe the procedure for sampling times to event for individual-level simulation models as a function of age from parametric survival functions when age-specific rates are available but not the individual dataWe used linear regression to estimate age-specific hazard functions, obtaining estimates of parameter uncertainty.Our approach allows incorporating parameter (second-order) uncertainty in individual-level simulation models needed for probabilistic sensitivity analysis in the absence of individual-level survival data.
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Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Análise de Sobrevida , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Espanha/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Regressão , Adulto , Feminino , MasculinoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines are extremely effective in preventing severe disease, but their real-world cost effectiveness is still an open question. We present an analysis of the cost-effectiveness and economic impact of the initial phase of the COVID-19 vaccination rollout in the Basque Country, Spain. METHODS: To calculate costs and quality-adjusted life years for the entire population of the Basque Country, dynamic modelling and a real-world data analysis were combined. Data on COVID-19 infection outcomes (cases, hospitalisations, intensive care unit admissions and deaths) and population characteristics (age, sex, socioeconomic status and comorbidity) during the initial phase of the vaccination rollout, from January to June of 2021, were retrieved from the Basque Health Service database. The outcomes in the alternative scenario (without vaccination) were estimated with the dynamic model used to guide public health authority policies, from February to December 2020. Individual comorbidity-adjusted life expectancy and costs were estimated. RESULTS: By averting severe disease-related outcomes, COVID-19 vaccination resulted in monetary savings of 26.44 million for the first semester of 2021. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was 707/quality-adjusted life year considering official vaccine prices and dominant real prices. While the analysis by comorbidity showed that vaccines were considerably more cost effective in individuals with pre-existing health conditions, this benefit was lower in the low socioeconomic status group. CONCLUSIONS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of the vaccination programme justified the policy of prioritising high-comorbidity patients. The initial phase of COVID-19 vaccination was dominant from the perspective of the healthcare payer.
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COVID-19 , Vacinas , Humanos , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Análise Custo-Benefício , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação , Comorbidade , Classe SocialRESUMO
BACKGROUND: As mental health in adulthood is related to mental status during adolescence, school-based interventions have been proposed to improve resilience. The objective of this study was to build a simulation model representing the natural history of mental disorders in childhood, adolescence and youth to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the UPRIGHT school-based intervention in promoting resilience and mental health in adolescence. METHODS: We built a discrete event simulation model fed with real-world data (cumulative incidence disaggregated into eight clusters) from the Basque Health Service database (609,381 individuals) to calculate utilities (quality-adjusted life years [QALYs]) and costs for the general population in two scenarios (base case and intervention). The model translated changes in the wellbeing of adolescents into different risks of mental illnesses for a time horizon of 30 years. RESULTS: The number of cases of anxiety was estimated to fall by 5,125 or 9,592 and those of depression by 1,269 and 2,165 if the effect of the intervention lasted 2 or 5 years respectively. From a healthcare system perspective, the intervention was cost-effective for all cases considered with incremental cost-utility ratios always lower than 10,000/QALY and dominant for some subgroups. The intervention was always dominant when including indirect and non-medical costs (societal perspective). CONCLUSIONS: Although the primary analysis of the trial did not did not detect significant differences, the UPRIGHT intervention promoting positive mental health was dominant in the economic evaluation from the societal perspective. Promoting resilience was more cost-effective in the most deprived group. Despite a lack of information about the spillover effect in some sectors, the economic evaluation framework developed principally for pharmacoeconomics can be applied to interventions to promote resilience in adolescents. As prevention of mental health disorders is even more necessary in the post-coronavirus disease-19 era, such evaluation is essential to assess whether investment in mental health promotion would be good value for money by avoiding costs for healthcare providers and other stakeholders.
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COVID-19 , Transtornos Mentais , Humanos , Adolescente , Análise Custo-Benefício , Saúde Mental , Promoção da Saúde , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de VidaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mental illnesses account for a considerable proportion of the global burden of disease. Economic evaluation of public policies and interventions aimed at mental health is crucial to inform decisions and improve the provision of healthcare services, but experts highlight that nowadays the cost implications of mental illness are not properly quantified. The objective was to measure the costs of excess use of all healthcare services by 1- to 30-year-olds in the Basque population as a function of whether or not they had a mental disorder diagnosis. METHODS: A real-world data study was used to identify diagnoses of mental disorders and to measure resource use in the Basque Health Service Registry in 2018. Diagnoses were aggregated into eight diagnostic clusters: anxiety, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, conduct disorders, mood disorders, substance use, psychosis and personality disorders, eating disorders, and self-harm. We calculated the costs incurred by each individual by multiplying the resource use by the unit costs. Annual costs for each cluster were compared with those for individuals with no diagnosed mental disorders through entropy balancing and two-part models which adjusted for socioeconomic status (SES). RESULTS: Of the 609,381 individuals included, 96,671 (15.9%) had ≥ 1 mental disorder diagnosis. The annual cost per person was two-fold higher in the group diagnosed with mental disorders (699.7) than that with no diagnoses (274.6). For all clusters, annual excess costs associated with mental disorders were significant. The adjustment also evidenced a social gradient in healthcare costs, individuals with lower SES consuming more resources than those with medium and higher SES across all clusters. Nonetheless, the effect of being diagnosed with a mental disorder had a greater impact on the mean and excess costs than SES. CONCLUSIONS: Results were consistent in showing that young people with mental disorders place a greater burden on healthcare services. Excess costs were higher for severe mental disorders like self-harm and psychoses, and lower SES individuals incurred, overall, more than twice the costs per person with no diagnoses. A socioeconomic gradient was notable, excess costs being higher in low SES individuals than those with a high-to-medium SES. Differences by sex were also statistically significant but their sizes were smaller than those related to SES.
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Due to population ageing and medical advances, people with advanced chronic diseases (ACD) live longer. Such patients are even more likely to face either temporary or permanent reduced functional reserve, which typically further increases their healthcare resource use and the burden of care on their caregiver(s). Accordingly, these patients and their caregiver(s) may benefit from integrated supportive care provided via digitally supported interventions. This approach may either maintain or improve their quality of life, increase their independence, and optimize the healthcare resource use from early stages. ADLIFE is an EU-funded project, aiming to improve the quality of life of older people with ACD by providing integrated personalized care via a digitally enabled toolbox. Indeed, the ADLIFE toolbox is a digital solution which provides patients, caregivers, and health professionals with digitally enabled, integrated, and personalized care, supporting clinical decisions, and encouraging independence and self-management. Here we present the protocol of the ADLIFE study, which is designed to provide robust scientific evidence on the assessment of the effectiveness, socio-economic, implementation, and technology acceptance aspects of the ADLIFE intervention compared to the current standard of care (SoC) when applied in real-life settings of seven different pilot sites across six countries. A quasi-experimental trial following a multicenter, non-randomized, non-concurrent, unblinded, and controlled design will be implemented. Patients in the intervention group will receive the ADLIFE intervention, while patients in the control group will receive SoC. The assessment of the ADLIFE intervention will be conducted using a mixed-methods approach.
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Cuidadores , Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Idoso , Doença Crônica , Pessoal de Saúde , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estudos Multicêntricos como AssuntoRESUMO
PURPOSE: The objective of this study was to estimate the incidence and age of onset of mental disorders diagnosed by gender and socioeconomic status (SES) in children, adolescents, and young adults up to 30 years of age in the whole population of the Basque Country (Spain). METHODS: All mental health diagnoses documented in Basque Health Service records from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2018, were classified into eight clusters: anxiety, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), conduct disorders, depression, psychosis/personality disorders, substance use, eating disorders, and self-harm. We calculated incidence and cumulative incidence for each cluster, disaggregated by gender, and socioeconomic status (SES). Poisson regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: Overall, 9,486,853 person-years of observation were available for the 609,281 individuals included. ADHD and conduct disorders were diagnosed in the first decade, anxiety and depression disorders in the second and third decades, and psychosis/personality and substance use in the third. The cumulative incidence at 18 years of age for any type of disorder was 15.5%. The group with low SES had a statistically significantly higher incidence of all eight clusters. The incidence of ADHD, conduct disorders, depression, psychosis/personality disorders, and substance use was higher in males and that of anxiety, eating disorders and self-harm was higher in females. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of mental disorders is high among children, adolescents, and young adults in the Basque Country underlining the need for preventive interventions. Marked differences by gender and SES highlight mental health inequalities, especially for depression and psychosis in low SES males.
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Transtorno do Deficit de Atenção com Hiperatividade , Transtornos Mentais , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Masculino , Criança , Adolescente , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Humanos , Incidência , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Transtorno do Deficit de Atenção com Hiperatividade/psicologia , Transtornos de Ansiedade/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , Classe SocialRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The effectiveness, safety, and cost-effectiveness of the use of Souvenaid for Alzheimer's disease (AD) have been previously evidenced. To complete the economic analysis, there is a need to assess whether society can afford it. The objective of this study was to carry out a budget impact analysis of the use of Souvenaid in Spain under the conditions of the LipiDidiet clinical trial from a societal perspective. METHODS: We built a population model that took into account all the cohorts of individuals with AD, their individual progression, and the potential impact of Souvenaid treatment on their trajectories. Patient progression data were obtained from mixed models. The target population was estimated based on the population forecast for 2020-2035 and the incidence of dementia. Individual progression to dementia measured by the Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Boxes was reproduced using mixed models. Besides the costs of treatment and diagnosis, direct costs of medical and non-medical care and indirect costs were included. RESULTS: The epidemiological indicators and the distribution of life expectancy by stages validated the model. From the third year (2022), the differences in the cost of dementia offset the incremental cost of diagnosis and treatment. The costs of dependency reached 500 million/year while those of the intervention were limited to 40 million. CONCLUSIONS: Souvenaid, with modest effectiveness in delaying dementia associated with AD, achieved a positive economic balance between costs and savings. Its use in the treatment of prodromal AD would imply an initial cost that would be ongoing, but this would be offset by savings in the care system for dependency associated with dementia from the third year. These results were based on adopting a societal perspective taking into account the effect of treatment on the use of health, social, and family resources.
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Doença de Alzheimer , Humanos , Doença de Alzheimer/terapia , Doença de Alzheimer/tratamento farmacológico , Espanha/epidemiologia , Testes de Estado Mental e Demência , Análise Custo-BenefícioRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Incidence rates of dementia-related neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are not known and this hampers the assessment of their population burden. The objective of this study was to obtain an approximate estimate of the population incidence and prevalence of both dementia and NPS. METHODS: Given the dynamic nature of the population with dementia, a retrospective study was conducted within the database of the Basque Health Service (real-world data) at the beginning and end of 2019. Validated random forest models were used to identify separately depressive and psychotic clusters according to their presence in the electronic health records of all patients diagnosed with dementia. RESULTS: Among the 631,949 individuals over 60 years registered, 28,563 were diagnosed with dementia, of whom 15,828 (55.4%) showed psychotic symptoms and 19,461 (68.1%) depressive symptoms. The incidence of dementia in 2019 was 6.8/1000 person-years. Most incident cases of depressive (72.3%) and psychotic (51.9%) NPS occurred in cases of incident dementia. The risk of depressive-type NPS grows with years since dementia diagnosis, living in a nursing home, and female sex, but falls with older age. In the psychotic cluster model, the effects of male sex, and older age are inverted, both increasing the probability of this type of symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: The stigmatization factor conditions the social and attitudinal environment, delaying the diagnosis of dementia, preventing patients from receiving adequate care and exacerbating families' suffering. This study evidences the synergy between big data and real-world data for psychiatric epidemiological research.
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Demência , Transtornos Psicóticos , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Demência/diagnóstico , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Casas de Saúde , Transtornos Psicóticos/diagnóstico , Transtornos Psicóticos/epidemiologia , Transtornos Psicóticos/etiologia , Aprendizado de MáquinaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to assess changes in social and clinical determinants of COVID-19 outcomes associated with the first year of COVID-19 vaccination rollout in the Basque population. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed using the complete database of the Basque Health Service (n = 2,343,858). We analyzed data on age, sex, socioeconomic status, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and COVID-19 infection by Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: Women had a higher hazard ratio (HR) of infection (1.1) and a much lower rate of hospitalization (0.7). With older age, the risk of infection fell, but the risks of hospitalization and ICU admission increased. The higher the CCI, the higher the risks of infection and hospitalization. The risk of infection was higher in high-income individuals in all periods (HR = 1.2-1.4) while their risk of hospitalization was lower in the post-vaccination period (HR = 0.451). CONCLUSION: Despite the lifting of many control measures during the second half of 2021, restoring human mobility patterns, the situation could not be defined as syndemic, clinical determinants seeming to have more influence than social ones on COVID-19 outcomes, both before and after vaccination program implementation.
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COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , Comorbidade , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , VacinaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: There is an increasing need to organize the care around the patient and not the disease, while considering the complex realities of multiple physical and psychosocial conditions, and polypharmacy. Integrated patient-centered care delivery platforms have been developed for both patients and clinicians. These platforms could provide a promising way to achieve a collaborative environment that improves the provision of integrated care for patients via enhanced information and communication technology solutions for semiautomated clinical decision support. OBJECTIVE: The Collaborative Care and Cure Cloud project (C3-Cloud) has developed 2 collaborative computer platforms for patients and members of the multidisciplinary team (MDT) and deployed these in 3 different European settings. The objective of this study is to pilot test the platforms and evaluate their impact on patients with 2 or more chronic conditions (diabetes mellitus type 2, heart failure, kidney failure, depression), their informal caregivers, health care professionals, and, to some extent, health care systems. METHODS: This paper describes the protocol for conducting an evaluation of user experience, acceptability, and usefulness of the platforms. For this, 2 "testing and evaluation" phases have been defined, involving multiple qualitative methods (focus groups and surveys) and advanced impact modeling (predictive modeling and cost-benefit analysis). Patients and health care professionals were identified and recruited from 3 partnering regions in Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom via electronic health record screening. RESULTS: The technology trial in this 4-year funded project (2016-2020) concluded in April 2020. The pilot technology trial for evaluation phases 3 and 4 was launched in November 2019 and carried out until April 2020. Data collection for these phases is completed with promising results on platform acceptance and socioeconomic impact. We believe that the phased, iterative approach taken is useful as it involves relevant stakeholders at crucial stages in the platform development and allows for a sound user acceptance assessment of the final product. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with multiple chronic conditions often experience shortcomings in the care they receive. It is hoped that personalized care plan platforms for patients and collaboration platforms for members of MDTs can help tackle the specific challenges of clinical guideline reconciliation for patients with multimorbidity and improve the management of polypharmacy. The initial evaluative phases have indicated promising results of platform usability. Results of phases 3 and 4 were methodologically useful, yet limited due to the COVID-19 pandemic. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03834207; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03834207. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR1-10.2196/21994.
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Background: Centenarians exhibit extreme longevity and have been postulated, by some researchers, as a model for healthy aging. The identification of the characteristics of centenarians might be useful to understand the process of human aging. Methods: In this retrospective study, we took advantage of demographic, clinical, biological, and functional data of deceased individuals between 2014 and 2020 in Guipúzcoa (Basque Country, Spain) taken from the Basque Health Service electronic health records data lake. Fifty characteristics derived from demographic, clinical, pharmaceutical, biological, and functional data were studied in the descriptive analysis and compared through differences in means tests. Twenty-seven of them were used to build machine learning models in the predictive analysis and their relevance for classifying centenarians was assessed. Results: Most centenarians were women and lived in nursing homes. Importantly, they developed fewer diseases, took fewer drugs, and required fewer medical attendances. They also showed better biological profiles, exhibiting lower levels of glucose, hemoglobin, glycosylated hemoglobin, and triglycerides in blood analysis compared with non-centenarians. In addition, machine learning analyses revealed the main characteristics of the profiles associated with centenarians' status as being women, having fewer consultations, having fewer diagnoses of neoplasms, and having lower levels of hemoglobin. Conclusions: Our results revealed the main characteristics linked to centenarians in the Basque Country using Computational Biology programs. These results expand the knowledge on the characterization of the centenarian population and hence of human longevity.
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Envelhecimento , Longevidade , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Espanha , Estudos Retrospectivos , Casas de SaúdeRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Our aim was to describe the development and validation of an obesity model representing the cardiovascular risks associated with different body mass index (BMI) categories, through simulation, designed to evaluate the epidemiological and economic impact of population policies for obesity. METHODS: A discrete event simulation model was built in R considering the risk of cardiovascular events (heart failure, stroke, coronary heart disease, and diabetes) associated with BMI categories in the Spanish population. The main parameters included in the model were estimated from Spanish hospital discharge records and the Spanish Health Survey and allowed both first-order and second-order (probabilistic sensitivity analysis) uncertainty to be programmed into the model. The simulation yielded the incidence and prevalence of cardiovascular events as validation outputs. To illustrate the capacity of the model, we estimated the reduction in cardiovascular events and cost-utility (incremental cost/incremental quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) of a hypothetical intervention that fully eliminated the cardiovascular risks associated with obesity and overweight. RESULTS: The Validation Status of Health-Economic decision models (AdViSHE) tool was applied. Internal validation plots showed adequate goodness of fit for the Spanish population. External validation was achieved by comparing the simulated and real incidence by age group for stroke, acute myocardial infarction, and heart failure. The intervention reduced the population hazard ratios of stroke, acute myocardial infarction, and heart failure to 0.81, 0.74, and 0.78, respectively, and added 0.74 QALYs to the whole population. CONCLUSIONS: This obesity simulation model evidenced good properties for estimating the long-term epidemiological and economic impact of policies to tackle obesity in Spain. The conceptual model could be implemented for other counties using country-specific input data.
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Obesidade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Modelos Econômicos , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Política Pública , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de VidaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To conduct a stratified cost-utility analysis of total versus partial hip arthroplasty as a function of clinical subtype. METHOD: All cases of this type of intervention were analysed between 2010 and 2016 in the Basque Health Service, gathering data on clinical outcomes and resource use to calculate the cost and utility in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at individual level. The statistical analysis included applying the propensity score to balance the groups, and seemingly unrelated regression models to calculate the incremental cost-utility ratio and plot the cost-effectiveness plane. The interaction between age group and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) risk class was assessed in the multivariate analysis. RESULTS: The study identified 5867 patients diagnosed with femoral neck fracture, of whom 1307 and 4560 were treated with total and partial hip arthroplasty, respectively. In the cost-utility analysis based on the seemingly unrelated regression, total hip arthroplasty was found to have a higher cost and higher utility (2465 and 0.42 QALYs). Considering a willingness-to-pay threshold of 22,000 per QALY, total hip arthroplasty was cost-effective in the under-80-year-old subgroup. Among patients above this age, hemiarthroplasty was cost-effective in ASA class I-II patients and dominant in ASA class III-IV patients. CONCLUSIONS: Subgroup analysis supports current daily clinical practice in displaced femoral neck fractures, namely, using partial replacement in most patients and reserving total replacement for younger patients.
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Artroplastia de Quadril , Fraturas do Colo Femoral , Hemiartroplastia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Fraturas do Colo Femoral/cirurgia , Humanos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To measure 3-year care costs of breast, prostate, colorectal and lung cancers disaggregated by site and clinical stage. METHOD: A retrospective observational design was employed to investigate care costs of cases recorded in the Registry of the Basque Country between 2010 and 2015. Data gathered included TNM stage and demographic, clinical and resource use variables. Total costs per patient with stage IV disease were calculated by combining generalized linear models with parametric survival analysis. Unit costs were obtained from the analytical accounting system of the Basque Health Service. RESULTS: The sample comprised 23,782 cancer cases (7801 colorectal, 5530 breast, 4802 prostate and 5649 lung cancer). The mean 3-year costs per patient with stage I to III disease were 11,323, 13,727, 8,651 and 12,023 for colorectal, breast, prostate and lung cancer, respectively. The most important cost components were surgery and chemotherapy. Total survival-adjusted costs until death for patients with stage IV disease (27,568, 26,296, 16,151 and 15,931 for breast, colorectal, lung and prostate cancer, respectively) were higher than the 3-year costs for those with earlier-stage disease. CONCLUSIONS: This study quantitatively shows the pattern of changes in the economic burden of cancer throughout its natural history and the great magnitude of this burden for the health system. The use of indicators based on real-world data from each regional health service would allow cancer care in each region to be tailored to local population needs.
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Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/terapia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Pulmão/patologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Masculino , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Próstata/patologia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Incidence rates of dementia-related neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are not known and this hampers the assessment of their population burden. The objective of this study was to obtain an approximate estimate of the population incidence and prevalence of both dementia and NPS. METHODS: Given the dynamic nature of the population with dementia, a retrospective study was conducted within the database of the Basque Health Service (real-world data) at the beginning and end of 2019. Validated random forest models were used to identify separately depressive and psychotic clusters according to their presence in the electronic health records of all patients diagnosed with dementia. RESULTS: Among the 631,949 individuals over 60 years registered, 28,563 were diagnosed with dementia, of whom 15,828 (55.4%) showed psychotic symptoms and 19,461 (68.1%) depressive symptoms. The incidence of dementia in 2019 was 6.8/1000 person-years. Most incident cases of depressive (72.3%) and psychotic (51.9%) NPS occurred in cases of incident dementia. The risk of depressive-type NPS grows with years since dementia diagnosis, living in a nursing home, and female sex, but falls with older age. In the psychotic cluster model, the effects of male sex, and older age are inverted, both increasing the probability of this type of symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: The stigmatization factor conditions the social and attitudinal environment, delaying the diagnosis of dementia, preventing patients from receiving adequate care and exacerbating families' suffering. This study evidences the synergy between big data and real-world data for psychiatric epidemiological research.
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RATIONALE, AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: An integrated care program for heart failure (HF) was developed in the Basque Country in 2013. The objective of this research was to evaluate its effectiveness through the number of hospital admissions in three integrated healthcare organizations (IHOs), taking into account the longitudinal nature of the disease and the intensity of the implementation. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was carried out, based on data entered in administrative and clinical databases between 2014 and 2018 for a total population of 230 000. In addition to conventional statistical analyses, Andersen-Gill models for recurrent events were used, incorporating dynamic variables that allowed assessment of the intervention's intensity before each hospitalization. RESULTS: A total of 6768 patients were analysed. Age (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.016; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.011-1.022), the Charlson index (HR = 1.067, 95% CI 1.047-1.087), and the number of previous hospitalizations (HR = 1.632, 95% CI 1.557-1.712) were risk factors for readmission. Differences between IHOs were also statistically significant. Greater intervention intensity was associated with a lower hospitalization rate (HR = 0.995, 95% CI 0.990-1.000). As indicated by the interaction between intervention intensity and IHO, differences between IHOs disappeared when intensity rose. No inequities in hospitalization were found as a function of deprivation index or sex. Nonetheless, inequity in the implementation of the program by sex was clear, women with HF receiving less intense intervention than men with the same level of comorbidity and age. CONCLUSIONS: The extent of program implementation measured by intervention intensity is a main driver of the effectiveness of an educational and monitoring program for HF. The evaluation of HF program effectiveness on readmissions must take into account the entire natural history of the disease. Implementation intensity explains differences between IHOs.