Single-cell RNA sequencing identifies IFNICs as a cellular target for mitigating the progression of abdominal aortic aneurysm and rupture risk.

AIMS: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) represents a life-threatening condition characterized by medial layer degeneration of the abdominal aorta. Nevertheless, knowledge regarding changes in regulators associated with aortic status remains incomplete. A thorough understanding of cell types and signaling pathways involved in the development and progression of AAAs is essential for the development of medical therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: We harvested specimens of the abdominal aorta with different pathological features in Angiotensin II (AngII)-infused ApoE-/- mice, conducted scRNA-seq, identified a unique population of interferon-inducible monocytes/macrophages (IFNICs), which were amply found in the abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). Gene set variation analysis (GSVA) revealed that activation of the cytosolic DNA sensing cGAS-STING and JAK-STAT pathways promoted the secretion of type I interferons in monocytes/macrophages and differentiated them into IFNICs. We generated myeloid cell-specific deletion of Sting1 (Lyz2-Cre+/-; Sting1flox/flox) mice and performed bone marrow transplantation and found that myeloid cell-specific deletion of Sting1 or Ifnar1 significantly reduced the incidence of AAA, aortic rupture rate and diameter of the abdominal aorta. Mechanistically, the activated pyroptosis- and inflammation-related signaling pathways, regulated by IRF7 in IFNICs, play critical roles in the developing AAAs. CONCLUSION: IFNICs is a unique monocyte/macrophage subset implicated in the development of AAAs and aortic rupture.

Ncf1 knockout in SMCs exacerbates angiotensin II-induced aortic aneurysm and dissection by activating the STING pathway.

AIMS: Aortic aneurysm and dissection (AAD) is caused by the progressive loss of aortic smooth muscle cells (SMCs) and is associated with a high mortality rate. Identifying the mechanisms underlying SMC apoptosis is crucial for preventing AAD. Neutrophil cytoplasmic factor 1 (Ncf1) is essential in reactive oxygen species (ROS) production and SMC apoptosis; Ncf1 absence leads to autoimmune diseases and chronic inflammation. Here, the role of Ncf1 in angiotensin II (Ang II)-induced AAD was investigated. METHODS AND RESULTS: Ncf1 expression increased in injured SMCs. Bioinformatics analysis identified Ncf1 as a mediator of AAD-associated SMC damage. Ncf1 expression is positively correlated with DNA replication and repair in SMCs of AAD aortas. AAD incidence increased in Ang II-challenged Sm22CreNcf1fl mice. Transcriptomics showed that Ncf1 knockout activated the stimulator of interferon genes (STING) and cell death pathways. The effects of Ncf1 on SMC death and the STING pathway in vitro were examined. Ncf1 regulated the hydrogen peroxide-mediated activation of the STING pathway and inhibited SMC apoptosis. Mechanistically, Ncf1 knockout promoted the ubiquitination of nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (NRF2), thereby inhibiting the negative regulatory effect of NRF2 on the stability of STING mRNA and ultimately promoting STING expression. Additionally, the pharmacological inhibition of STING activation prevented AAD progression. CONCLUSIONS: Ncf1 deficiency in SMCs exacerbated Ang II-induced AAD by promoting NRF2 ubiquitination and degradation and activating the STING pathway. These data suggest that Ncf1 may be a potential therapeutic target for AAD treatment.

Comparative investigation of neoadjuvant immunotherapy versus adjuvant immunotherapy in perioperative patients with cancer: a global-scale, cross-sectional, large-sample informatics study.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant and adjuvant immunotherapies for cancer have evolved through a series of remarkable and critical research advances; however, addressing their similarities and differences is imperative in clinical practice. Therefore, this study aimed to examine their similarities and differences from the perspective of informatics analysis. METHODS: This cross-sectional study retrospectively analyzed extensive relevant studies published between 2014 and 2023 using stringent search criteria, excluding non-peer-reviewed and non-English documents. The main outcome variables are publication volume, citation volume, connection strength, occurrence frequency, relevance percentage, and development percentage. Furthermore, an integrated comparative analysis was conducted using unsupervised hierarchical clustering, spatiotemporal analysis, regression statistics, and Walktrap algorithm analysis. RESULTS: This analysis included 1,373 relevant studies. Advancements in neoadjuvant and adjuvant immunotherapies have been promising over the last decade, with an annual growth rate of 25.18% vs. 6.52% and global collaboration (International Co-authorships) of 19.93% vs. 19.84%. Respectively, five dominant research clusters were identified through unsupervised hierarchical clustering based on machine learning, among which Cluster 4 (Balance of neoadjuvant immunotherapy efficacy and safety) and Cluster 2 (Adjuvant immunotherapy clinical trials) (Average Publication Year [APY]: 2021.70±0.70 vs. 2017.54±4.59) are emerging research populations. Burst and regression curve analyses uncovered domain pivotal research signatures, including microsatellite instability (R2=0.7500, P=0.0025) and biomarkers (R2=0.6505, P=0.0086) in neoadjuvant scenarios, and the tumor microenvironment (R2=0.5571, P=0.0209) in adjuvant scenarios. The Walktrap algorithm further revealed that "neoadjuvant immunotherapy, non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), immune checkpoint inhibitors, melanoma" and "adjuvant immunotherapy, melanoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, dendritic cells" (Relevance Percentage: 100% vs. 100%, Development Percentage: 37.5% vs. 17.1%) are extremely relevant to this field but remain underdeveloped, highlighting the need for further investigation. CONCLUSION: This study identified pivotal research signatures and provided substantial predictions for neoadjuvant and adjuvant cancer immunotherapies. In addition, comprehensive quantitative comparisons revealed a notable shift in focus within this field, with neoadjuvant immunotherapy taking precedence over adjuvant immunotherapy after 2020; such a qualitative finding facilitate proper decision-making for subsequent research and mitigate the wastage of healthcare resources.

Repurposing sodium stibogluconate as an uracil DNA glycosylase inhibitor against prostate cancer using a time-resolved oligonucleotide-based drug screening platform.

Repurposing drugs can significantly reduce the time and costs associated with drug discovery and development. However, many drug compounds possess intrinsic fluorescence, resulting in aberrations such as auto-fluorescence, scattering and quenching, in fluorescent high-throughput screening assays. To overcome these drawbacks, time-resolved technologies have received increasing attention. In this study, we have developed a rapid and efficient screening platform based on time-resolved emission spectroscopy in order to screen for inhibitors of the DNA repair enzyme, uracil-DNA glycosylase (UDG). From a database of 1456 FDA/EMA-approved drugs, sodium stibogluconate was discovered as a potent UDG inhibitor. This compound showed synergistic cytotoxicity against 5-fluorouracil-resistant cancer cells. This work provides a promising future for time-resolved technologies for high-throughput screening (HTS), allowing for the swift identification of bioactive compounds from previously overlooked scaffolds due to their inherent fluorescence properties.

Covalent inhibition of epidermal growth factor receptor using a long-lived iridium(III)-afatinib probe.

The overexpression and overactivation of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) are frequently observed in human cancers, including squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma. In this study, a covalent EGFR probe was developed by conjugating afatinib to an iridium(III) scaffold. Complex 1 showed enhanced luminescence in living epidermoid squamous carcinoma A431 cells compared to other cell lines, via engaging EGFR as confirmed via CETSA and knockdown experiments. Moreover, complex 1 inhibited downstream targets of EGFR in cellulo with repression persisting after removal of the complex, indicating an irreversible mode of inhibition. Finally, complex 1 showed potent antiproliferative activity against A431 cells with comparable potency to afatinib alone. To our knowledge, complex 1 is the first EGFR covalent inhibitor based on an iridium scaffold reported in the literature, with the potential to be further explored as a theranostic agent in the future.

Baloxavir marboxil use for critical human infection of avian influenza A H5N6 virus.

BACKGROUND: Recent outbreaks of avian influenza and ongoing virus reassortment have drawn focus on spill-over infections. The increase in human infections with highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N6 virus and its high fatality rate posed a potential threat, necessitating the search for a more effective treatment. METHODS: Longitudinal clinical data and specimens were collected from five H5N6 patients after admission. All patients received antiviral treatment of either sequential monotherapy of oseltamivir and baloxavir or the two drugs in combination. Severity of illness; viral load in sputum, urine, and blood; and cytokine levels in serum and sputum were serially analyzed. FINDINGS: All patients developed acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and viral sepsis within 1 week after disease onset. When delayed oseltamivir showed poor effects, baloxavir was administered and rapidly decreased viral load. In addition, levels of IL-18, M-CSF, IL-6, and HGF in sputum and Mig and IL-18 in serum that reflected ARDS and sepsis deterioration, respectively, were also reduced with baloxavir usage. However, three patients eventually died from exacerbation of underlying disease and secondary bacterial infection. Nonsurvivors had more severe extrapulmonary organ dysfunction and insufficient H5N6 virus-specific antibody response. CONCLUSIONS: For critical human cases of H5N6 infection, baloxavir demonstrated effects on viral load and pulmonary/extrapulmonary cytokines, even though treatment was delayed. Baloxavir could be regarded as a first-line treatment to limit continued viral propagation, with potential future application in avian influenza human infections and poultry workers exhibiting influenza-like illness. FUNDING: This work was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81761128014).

MicroRNA let-7a mediates posttranscriptional inhibition of Nr4A1 and exacerbates cardiac allograft rejection.

BACKGROUND: Acute allograft rejection remains a major obstacle after heart transplantation, and CD4+ T cells play a crucial role in allograft rejection. Upregulation of Nr4A1 could regulate CD4+ T-cell function and alleviate allograft rejection. However, the regulatory mechanism of Nr4A1 in allograft rejection remains elusive. METHODS: BALB/c mouse hearts were transplanted into WT C57BL/6 mice, and dynamic detection of the changes in Nr4A1 expression revealed that Nr4A1 was regulated posttranscriptionally after heart transplantation. Potential upstream miRNAs of Nr4A1 were screened, and the transfection of cells with these miRNA mimics/inhibitors and dual-luciferase reporter experiments were performed to clarify the regulatory mechanism of miRNAs on Nr4A1 expression. The miRNA agomiR/antagomiR was applied in vivo to validate the role of the corresponding miRNA in heart transplantation. Finally, Nr4A1 knockout mice and an adoptive T-cell cotransfer model were used to confirm the specific effects of miRNA. RESULTS: The expression of Nr4A1 protein (rather than mRNA) exhibited a trend of initially increasing and then decreasing rapidly, and this phenomenon could not be reversed by lysosomal or proteasomal inhibitors. The miRNA let-7a directly binds to the Nr4A1 3'UTR and posttranscriptionally regulates Nr4A1 expression. The let-7a antagomiR prolonged allograft survival and regulated CD4+ T-cell function by upregulating Nr4A1 protein expression in CD4+ T cells. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed that let-7a is a potential target for interfering with Nr4A1 expression in CD4+ T cells and preventing the pathological progression of cardiac allograft rejection.

Early activation of cellular stress and death pathways caused by cytoplasmic TDP-43 in the rNLS8 mouse model of ALS and FTD.

TAR DNA binding protein 43 (TDP-43) pathology is a key feature of over 95% of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and nearly half of frontotemporal dementia (FTD) cases. The pathogenic mechanisms of TDP-43 dysfunction are poorly understood, however, activation of cell stress pathways may contribute to pathogenesis. We, therefore, sought to identify which cell stress components are critical for driving disease onset and neurodegeneration in ALS and FTD. We studied the rNLS8 transgenic mouse model, which expresses human TDP-43 with a genetically-ablated nuclear localisation sequence within neurons of the brain and spinal cord resulting in cytoplasmic TDP-43 pathology and progressive motor dysfunction. Amongst numerous cell stress-related biological pathways profiled using qPCR arrays, several critical integrated stress response (ISR) effectors, including CCAAT/enhancer-binding homologous protein (Chop/Ddit3) and activating transcription factor 4 (Atf4), were upregulated in the cortex of rNLS8 mice prior to disease onset. This was accompanied by early up-regulation of anti-apoptotic gene Bcl2 and diverse pro-apoptotic genes including BH3-interacting domain death agonist (Bid). However, pro-apoptotic signalling predominated after onset of motor phenotypes. Notably, pro-apoptotic cleaved caspase-3 protein was elevated in the cortex of rNLS8 mice at later disease stages, suggesting that downstream activation of apoptosis drives neurodegeneration following failure of early protective responses. Unexpectedly, suppression of Chop in the brain and spinal cord using antisense oligonucleotide-mediated silencing had no effect on overall TDP-43 pathology or disease phenotypes in rNLS8 mice. Cytoplasmic TDP-43 accumulation therefore causes very early activation of ISR and both anti- and pro-apoptotic signalling that switches to predominant pro-apoptotic activation later in disease. These findings suggest that precise temporal modulation of cell stress and death pathways may be beneficial to protect against neurodegeneration in ALS and FTD.

Aortic Dissection Research in China: Analysis of Studies Funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.

OBJECTIVE: The National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) has made great progress in promoting the development of aortic dissection research in recent years. This study aimed to examine the development and research status of aortic dissection research in China so as to provide references for future research. METHODS: The NSFC projects data from 2008 to 2019 were collected from the Internet-based Science Information System and other websites utilized as search engines. The publications and citations were retrieved by Google Scholar, and the impact factors were checked by the InCite Journal Citation Reports database. The investigator's degree and department were identified from the institutional faculty profiles. RESULTS: A total of 250 grant funds totaling 124.3 million Yuan and resulting in 747 publications were analyzed. The funds in economically developed and densely populated areas were more than those in underdeveloped and sparsely populated areas. There was no significant difference in the amount of funding per grant between different departments' investigators. However, the funding output ratios of the grants for cardiologists were higher than those for basic science investigators. The amount of funding for clinical researchers and basic scientific researchers in aortic dissection was also similar. Clinical researchers were better in terms of the funding output ratio. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the medical and scientific research level of aortic dissection in China has been greatly improved. However, there are still some problems that urgently need to be solved, such as the unreasonable regional allocation of medical and scientific research resources, and the slow transition from basic science to clinical practice.

Oltipraz, the activator of nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2), protects against the formation of BAPN-induced aneurysms and dissection of the thoracic aorta in mice by inhibiting activation of the ROS-mediated NLRP3 inflammasome.

BACKGROUND: Thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection (TAAD) is caused by the apoptosis and phenotypic transformation of vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs). The dysfunction of VSMCs affects their secretion of chemokines such as monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) to recruit the infiltration of macrophages which release proinflammatory cytokines and matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) to accelerate the process of TAAD formation. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed the expression levels of nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) in aortic tissues of TAAD patients and the ß-aminopropionitrile fumarate (BAPN)-induced mouse model, and the levels of Nrf2 were elevated in both aortic lesions. Treatment with the Nrf2 activator oltipraz protects against the formation of BAPN-induced aneurysm and dissection, as demonstrated by a higher survival rate, postponing the time of aortic rupture, and inhibiting aortic luminal dilation. In addition, the thoracic aortas of BAPN-treated mice inhibited the apoptosis and phenotypic transformation of VSMCs. When treated with oltipraz, they had reduced macrophage infiltration proinflammatory cytokines and MMPs. Furthermore, oltipraz treatment promoted the translocation of Nrf2 and downregulated the NLRP3 pathway. CONCLUSION: Nrf2 plays a crucial role in protecting against TAAD development, and persistent activation of Nrf2 is a promising therapeutic strategy against the progression of TAAD.

Erratum: Autophagy-lysosome inhibitor chloroquine prevents CTLA-4 degradation of T cells and attenuates acute rejection in murine skin and heart transplantation: Erratum.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.7150/thno.43507.].

Preoperative Nomogram and Risk Calculator for Postoperative Hypoxemia and Related Clinical Outcomes Following Stanford Type A Acute Aortic Dissection Surgery.

Background: Hypoxemia is a common complication after Stanford type A acute aortic dissection surgery (AADS), however, few studies about hypoxemia after AADS exist. The aims of this study were to identify independent risk factors for hypoxemia after AADS and to clarify its association with clinical outcomes. Methods: Patients undergoing AADS from 2016 to 2019 in our hospital were identified and used as a training set. Preoperative variables were first screened by univariate analysis and then entered into a multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram and an online risk calculator were constructed based on the logistic model to facilitate clinical practice and was externally validated in an independent dataset. Results: Severe hypoxemia developed in 119 of the 492 included patients (24.2%) and poorer clinical outcomes were observed in these patients. Five independent risk factors for severe hypoxemia after AADS were identified by multivariate analysis, including older age, smoking history, renal insufficiency, higher body mass index, and white blood cell count. The model showed good calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility in the training set, and was well validated in the validation set. Risk stratification was performed and three risk groups were defined as low, medium, and high risk groups. Hypertension was identified as an independent risk factor for moderate hypoxemia besides the five predictors mentioned above, and renal insufficiency was not significant for mild hypoxemia by multivariate analysis. In addition, although frozen elephant trunk was associated with increased risk of postoperative hypoxemia in the univariate analysis, frozen elephant trunk was also not identified as an independent risk factor for postoperative hypoxemia in the multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Hypoxemia was frequent following AADS, related to poorer clinical outcomes. Predictors were identified and a nomogram as well as an online risk calculator predicting severe hypoxemia after AADS was developed and validated, which may be helpful for risk estimation and perioperative management.

Nomogram for Postoperative Headache in Adult Patients Undergoing Elective Cardiac Surgery.

Background Postoperative headache (POH) is frequent after cardiac surgery; however, few studies on risk factors for POH exist. The aims of the current study were to explore risk factors related to POH after elective cardiac surgery and to establish a predictive system. Methods and Results Adult patients undergoing elective open-heart surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass from 2016 to 2020 in 4 cardiac centers were retrospectively included. Two thirds of the patients were randomly allocated to a training set and one third to a validation set. Predictors for POH were selected by univariate and multivariate analysis. POH developed in 3154 of the 13 440 included patients (23.5%) and the overall mortality rate was 2.3%. Eight independent risk factors for POH after elective cardiac surgery were identified, including female sex, younger age, smoking history, chronic headache history, hypertension, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, longer cardiopulmonary bypass time, and more intraoperative transfusion of red blood cells. A nomogram based on the multivariate model was constructed, with reasonable calibration and discrimination, and was well validated. Decision curve analysis revealed good clinical utility. Finally, 3 risk intervals were divided to better facilitate clinical application. Conclusions A nomogram model for POH after elective cardiac surgery was developed and validated using 8 predictors, which may have potential application value in clinical risk assessment, decision-making, and individualized treatment associated with POH.

B-cell lymphoma 6 alleviates nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in mice through suppression of fatty acid transporter CD36.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an ubiquitous disease that exists across a wide spectrum ranging from steatosis, steatohepatitis, advanced fibrosis, and liver cirrhosis. Hallmarks of NAFLD are lipid accumulation, insulin resistance, and chronic low-grade inflammation. However, there currently are no medications approved for NAFLD. B-cell lymphoma 6 (BCL6) is a transcriptional inhibitor that is vital for germinal center B-cell formation. Our study identified BCL6 as a critical modulator of hepatic lipid metabolism and appears to contribute to the initiation and progression of NAFLD. In our research, we induced hepatic BCL6 overexpression using adeno-associated virus (AAV), as well as conditional liver-specific BCL6 knockout mice (BCL6-CKO). With these models, we noted that BCL6 overexpression improved insulin resistance and hepatic steatosis in mice models maintained on a HFD diet. Conversely, these parameters worsened in the livers of mice with downregulated BCL6 levels. Mechanistically, the translocase fatty acid CD36 was determined to be a transcriptional target of BCL6 that influences its role in hepatic steatosis. BCL6 bound directly to the CD36 promoter region, restraining CD36 transcription under physiological conditions. We conclude that the hepatocyte BCL6 inhibits the NAFLD progression in mice, including deranged lipid accumulation and glucose metabolism, through a CD36-dependent manner. These results indicate that BCL6 may potentially be targeted in NAFLD treatment.

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for postoperative pneumonia in adult patients undergoing Stanford type A acute aortic dissection surgery: a case control study.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is a common complication after Stanford type A acute aortic dissection surgery (AADS) and contributes significantly to morbidity, mortality, and length of stay. The purpose of this study was to identify independent risk factors associated with pneumonia after AADS and to develop and validate a risk prediction model. METHODS: Adults undergoing AADS between 2016 and 2019 were identified in a single-institution database. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets at a ratio of 2:1. Preoperative and intraoperative variables were included for analysis. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed using significant variables from univariate analysis in the training set. A nomogram was constructed for clinical utility and the model was validated in an independent dataset. RESULTS: Postoperative pneumonia developed in 170 of 492 patients (34.6%). In the training set, multivariate analysis identified seven independent predictors for pneumonia after AADS including age, smoking history, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, renal insufficiency, leucocytosis, low platelet count, and intraoperative transfusion of red blood cells. The model demonstrated good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 3.31, P = 0.91) and discrimination (C-index = 0.77) in the training set. The model was also well calibrated (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 5.73, P = 0.68) and showed reliable discriminatory ability (C-index = 0.78) in the validation set. By visual inspection, the calibrations were good in both the training and validation sets. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated a risk prediction model for pneumonia after AADS. The model may have clinical utility in individualized risk evaluation and perioperative management.

Cytosporone B (Csn-B), an NR4A1 agonist, attenuates acute cardiac allograft rejection by inducing differential apoptosis of CD4+T cells.

CD4+T cell-mediated acute rejection remains a major factor that affects the early survival of transplanted organs post-transplantation. Here, we reveal that nuclear receptor subfamily 4 Group A member 1 (Nr4A1) was upregulated during cardiac allograft rejection and that the increased Nr4A1 was primarily localized in intragraft-infiltrating CD4+T cells. Nr4A1 acts as a transcription factor with an important role in CD4+T cell apoptosis, differentiation and T cell dysfunction, which indicates that Nr4A1 may play a critical role in transplant rejection. Cytosporone B (Csn-B) is a naturally occurring agonist of Nr4A1, and the role of Csn-B in the physiological process of cardiac rejection is poorly defined. This study constructed an acute rejection model of abdominal heterotopic cardiac transplantation in mice and investigated whether Csn-B could attenuate acute transplant rejection by modulating the CD4+T lymphocyte response. The results showed that Csn-B prolonged murine cardiac allograft survival and reduced inflammation in allografts. Subsequently, it was confirmed that Csn-B functions by inducing non-Treg apoptosis and promoting Treg cell differentiation. Finally, we also confirmed that Csn-B attenuates acute rejection by directly targeting Nr4A1 in CD4+T cells. Our data suggest that Csn-B is a promising novel therapeutic approach for acute cardiac allograft rejection.

Development and validation of a nomogram model for pneumonia after redo cardiac surgery.

AIMS: Postoperative pneumonia (POP) after redo cardiac surgery is prevalent, associated with poor outcome. The aim of this study was to identify independent risk factors for POP after redo cardiac surgery and to develop and validate a prediction model. METHODS: Adults undergoing redo cardiac surgery from 2016 to 2019 were identified in a single-institution database. Using a 2: 1 ratio, the patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to identify independent predictors for POP in the training set. A nomogram model was constructed for clinical utility and was validated in the validation set. RESULTS: POP developed in 72 of the 376 patients (19.1%). Four independent risk factors were identified, including age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, serum creatinine level and intraoperative blood transfusion volume. A nomogram based on the four predictors was constructed, with good discrimination in both the training (c-index: 0.86) and validation sets (c-index: 0.78). The model was well calibrated, with a Hosmer-Lemeshow χ 2 -value of 7.31 ( P   =  0.50) in the training set and 7.41 ( P   =  0.49) in the validation set. The calibration was also good by visual inspection. The decision and clinical impact curves of the nomogram indicated good clinical utility. Three risk intervals were identified based on the nomogram for better risk stratification. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated a nomogram model for POP after redo cardiac surgery. The model may have good clinical utility in risk evaluation and individualized treatment to reduce adverse events. Graphical abstract Incidence, risk factor, and outcomes of postoperative pneumonia after redo cardiac surgery: http://links.lww.com/JCM/A445 .

Nomogram Models to Predict Postoperative Hyperlactatemia in Patients Undergoing Elective Cardiac Surgery.

Objectives: Postoperative hyperlactatemia (POHL) is common in patients undergoing cardiac surgery and is associated with poor outcomes. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate two predictive models for POHL in patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery (ECS). Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective study enrolling 13,454 adult patients who underwent ECS. All patients involved in the analysis were randomly assigned to a training set and a validation set. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for POHL in the training cohort. Based on these independent predictors, the nomograms were constructed to predict the probability of POHL and were validated in the validation cohort. Results: A total of 1,430 patients (10.6%) developed POHL after ECS. Age, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, renal insufficiency, cardiac surgery history, intraoperative red blood cell transfusion, and cardiopulmonary bypass time were independent predictors and were used to construct a full nomogram. The second nomogram was constructed comprising only the preoperative factors. Both models showed good predictive ability, calibration, and clinical utility. According to the predicted probabilities, four risk groups were defined as very low risk (<0.05), low risk (0.05-0.1), medium risk (0.1-0.3), and high risk groups (>0.3), corresponding to scores of ≤ 180 points, 181-202 points, 203-239 points, and >239 points on the full nomogram, respectively. Conclusions: We developed and validated two nomogram models to predict POHL in patients undergoing ECS. The nomograms may have clinical utility in risk estimation, risk stratification, and targeted interventions.

Development and validation of a nomogram model for early postoperative hyperlactatemia in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative hyperlactatemia (POHL) is common in patients undergoing cardiac surgery, associated with adverse outcomes. The aim of this study was to identify predictors for POHL after cardiac surgery and to develop and validate a predictive model. METHODS: Adult patients who underwent open heart surgery at our institution between 2016 and 2019 were retrospectively included. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation groups at a 2:1 ratio. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors for POHL in the training set. A nomogram was then constructed and was validated in the validation set. RESULTS: POHL developed in 713 of the 5,323 patients (13.4%). The mortality rate was higher in patients with POHL compared with patients without that (9.5% vs. 2.1%, P<0.001). Age, white blood cell (WBC) count, left ventricular ejection fraction, renal insufficiency, cardiac surgery history, red blood cell (RBC) transfusion, and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time were identified as independent risk factors. The nomogram based on these predictors indicated good discrimination in both the training (c-index: 0.787) and validation (c-index: 0.820) sets. The calibration was reasonable by both visual inspection and goodness-of-fit test. The decision and clinical impact curves demonstrated good clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 7 independent risk factors and derived a prediction model for POHL in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. The model may contribute significantly to early risk assessment and clinical intervention.

Clinical risk score for postoperative pneumonia following heart valve surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative pneumonia (POP) is one of the most common infections following heart valve surgery (HVS) and is associated with a significant increase in morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. This study aimed to identify the major risk factors associated with the occurrence of POP following HVS and to derive and validate a clinical risk score. METHODS: Adults undergoing open HVS between January 2016 and December 2019 at a single institution were enrolled in this study. Patients were randomly assigned to the derivation and validation sets at 1:1 ratio. A prediction model was developed with multivariable logistic regression analysis in the derivation set. Points were assigned to independent risk factors based on their regression coefficients. RESULTS: POP occurred in 316 of the 3853 patients (8.2%). Multivariable analysis identified ten significant predictors for POP in the derivation set, including older age, smoking history, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus, renal insufficiency, poor cardiac function, heart surgery history, longer cardiopulmonary bypass, blood transfusion, and concomitant coronary and/or aortic surgery. A 22-point risk score based on the multivariable model was then generated, demonstrating good discrimination (C-statistic: 0.81), and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 8.234, P = 0.312). The prediction rule also showed adequate discriminative power (C-statistic: 0.83) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 5.606, P = 0.691) in the validation set. Three risk intervals were defined as low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. CONCLUSION: We derived and validated a 22-point risk score for POP following HVS, which may be useful in preventive interventions and risk management. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chictr.org, ChiCTR1900028127; http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=46932.