RESUMO
BACKGROUND: In hospitalized patients undergoing therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE), it is not known how TPE-associated bleeding risk is impacted by a prior bleeding episode. Therefore, to assess the prevalence and predictors of bleeding recurrence, we analyzed data from the Recipient Epidemiology and Donor Evaluation Study-III (REDS-III). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using a retrospective cross-sectional analysis of REDS-III public use files, we identified hospitalized adults who had a major bleeding episode prior to their first TPE procedure. Patients were classified into two cohorts based on bleeding recurrence (no-recurrence vs recurrence). After identifying potential predictors, we used multiple imputation by chained equations to impute variables with <30% missing data. Variable selection was optimized using a 10-fold cross validated least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. Final predictors were identified by fitting a logistic regression model. RESULTS: In 310 patients with major bleeding prior to TPE initiation, bleeding recurred in 121 (39.0%). We identified the following seven unique predictors: 1) >10 TPE procedures (OR 2.23); 2) intensive care unit stay (OR 1.35); 3) thrombocytopenia (OR 1.26); 4) surgery (OR 1.22); 5) hepatic disease (OR 1.21); 6) 6-10 TPE procedures (OR 1.04); and 7) Asian race (OR 1.01). We also identified the following five interactions: 1) surgery and therapeutic anticoagulation (OR 1.50); 2) 6-10 TPE procedures and therapeutic anticoagulation (OR 1.05); 3) 6-10 TPE procedures and antiplatelets (OR 1.02); 4) >10 TPE procedures and antiplatelets (OR 1.00); and 5) albumin-only TPE and antiplatelets (OR 0.53). When assessed for adjusted performance, the prediction model had a C-statistic of 0.617 (95% CI 0.613-0.619) and Brier Score of 0.342 (95% CI 0.340-0.347). DISCUSSION: In this study assessing predictors of bleeding recurrence among hospitalized patients undergoing TPE, we identified seven variables and five interactions. These findings should be validated in future studies.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Major bleeding in patients undergoing therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) has been studied in large databases; but without standardizing bleeding definitions. Therefore, we used standardized definitions to evaluate major bleeding in hospitalized patients undergoing TPE using public use data files from the Recipient Epidemiology and Donor Evaluation Study-III (REDS-III). STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In a retrospective cross-sectional analysis, we identified TPE-treated adults in a first inpatient encounter. We evaluated major bleeding prevalence using (1) International Classification of Diseases (ICD) or Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes, (2) packed red blood cell (PRBC) transfusion, or (3) hemoglobin (Hgb) decline. Patients with major bleeding prior to their first TPE were excluded from the analysis. RESULTS: Among 779 patients undergoing TPE, major bleeding by at least one of the three bleeding definitions occurred in 135 patients (17.3%). For each of the ICD/CPT, PRBC, and Hgb definitions, the prevalence of major bleeding was 2.8% (n = 31), 7.4% (n = 81), and 5.4% (n = 59), respectively. Only 3.7% of bleeds (5/135) were captured by all three definitions and 19.3% (26/135) exclusively by any two pairwise definitions. The addition of PRBC transfusion and Hgb decline to ICD/CPT code definitions increased bleeding prevalence threefold. CONCLUSION: Among hospitalized adults undergoing TPE in the REDS-III study, the prevalence of major bleeding was 17.3%. The addition of PRBC and Hgb decline to ICD codes increased bleeding prevalence threefold. Future studies are needed to develop validated models that identify patients at risk for major bleeding during TPE.