Analysis of a database to predict the result of allergy testing in vivo in patients with chronic nasal symptoms.

BACKGROUND: This article uses the logistic regression model for diagnostic decision making in patients with chronic nasal symptoms. We studied the ability of the logistic regression model, obtained by the evaluation of a database, to detect patients with positive allergy skin-prick test (SPT) and patients with negative SPT. The model developed was validated using the data set obtained from another medical institution. METHODS: The analysis was performed using a database obtained from a questionnaire administered to the patients with nasal symptoms containing personal data, clinical data, and results of allergy testing (SPT). All variables found to be significantly different between patients with positive and negative SPT (p < 0.05) were selected for the logistic regression models and were analyzed with backward stepwise logistic regression, evaluated with area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve. A second set of patients from another institution was used to prove the model. RESULTS: The accuracy of the model in identifying, over the second set, both patients whose SPT will be positive and negative was high. The model detected 96% of patients with nasal symptoms and positive SPT and classified 94% of those with negative SPT. CONCLUSION: This study is preliminary to the creation of a software that could help the primary care doctors in a diagnostic decision making process (need of allergy testing) in patients complaining of chronic nasal symptoms.

Similarity and differences in elderly patients with fixed airflow obstruction by asthma and by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies have demonstrated that elderly patients with fixed airflow obstruction can be affected by asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: We studied 49 consecutive elderly outpatients, presenting fixed airflow obstruction, by clinical history (smoking), pulmonary function tests, blood gas analysis, and induced sputum. RESULTS: The age was not different in patients with COPD (n=28) and asthma (n=21) (70.2+/-3.9 years vs. 69.6+/-3.7 years), also the degree of fixed airflow obstruction was similar (FEV1: 58.3+/-1.5% vs. 59.0+/-1.4% of predicted). Patients with asthma had significantly more eosinophils in peripheral blood (0.43+/-0.05x10(-3)microL vs. 0.27+/-0.1x10(-3)microL, P<0.0001), and in induced sputum (5.0% [(p25th and p75th) 5.0-6.0%] vs. 1.0% [(p25th and p75th) 0.01-1.0%]; P<0.0001), as well as serum ECP (18.6+/-4.9ng/mL vs. 7.7+/-4.7ng/mL, P<0.0001) and ECP in the induced sputum (31.6+/-2.9ng/mL vs. 5.6+/-4.9ng/mL, P<0.0001). Finally, in induced sputum the eosinophils EG2+ were higher in patients with asthma than in patients with COPD (40.5 [(p25th and p75th) 39.3-44.3] MFI vs. 3.9 [(p25th and p75th) 0-11.4] MFI, P<0.0001). They also had significantly higher diffusing capacity, and a greater reversibility to steroids, after 14-day course of therapy, whereas the reversibility to 400microg of salbutamol was similar. CONCLUSION: Despite similar fixed airflow obstruction, elderly patients with asthma have distinct characteristics compared with patients with COPD.