RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Currently existing predictive models for massive blood transfusion in major trauma patients had limitations for sequential evaluation of patients and lack of dynamic parameters. OBJECTIVE: To establish a predictive model for predicting the need of massive blood transfusion major trauma patients, integrating dynamic parameters. DESIGN: Multi-center retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Four designated trauma centers in Hong Kong. METHODS: Trauma patients aged >12years were recruited from the trauma registries from 2005 to 2012. MBT was defined as delivery of ≥10units of packed red cells within 24h. Split sampling method was adopted for model building and validation. Multivariate logistic regression was adopted for model building, with weight assigned based on logarithmic of adjusted odds ratios. The performance of the dynamic MBT score (DMBT) was compared with the PWH score and the Trauma Associated Severe Hemorrhage (TASH) score in the validation data set. RESULTS: 4991 patients were included in the study. The DMBT was established with 8 parameters: systolic blood pressure, heart rate, hemoglobin, hemoglobin drop within the first 2h, INR, base deficit, unstable pelvic fracture and hemoperitoneum in radiological imaging. At cut-off score of 6 the DMBT achieved sensitivity of 78.2% and specificity of 89.2%. In the validation set, the AUCs of the DMBT, PWH score, and TASH score were 0.907, 0.844, and 0.867 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The DMBT score allows both snapshot and sequential activation along the trauma care pathway and has better performance than the PWH score and TASH score.
Assuntos
Transfusão de Sangue/estatística & dados numéricos , Choque Hemorrágico/diagnóstico , Choque Hemorrágico/terapia , Índices de Gravidade do Trauma , Ferimentos e Lesões/complicações , Adulto , Idoso , Transfusão de Sangue/métodos , Feminino , Hemodinâmica , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Curva ROC , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Choque Hemorrágico/mortalidade , Fatores de Tempo , Centros de Traumatologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/mortalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) of the People's Republic of China (PRC) has seen significant changes in its trauma service over the last ten years including the implementation of a regional trauma system. The author's institution is one of the five trauma centres designated in 2003. This article reports our initial clinical experience. METHODS: A prospective single-centre trauma registry from January 2004 to December 2008 was reviewed. The primary clinical outcome measure was hospital mortality. The Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) methodology was used for bench-marking with the North America Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) database. RESULTS: There were 1451 patients. The majority (83.9%) suffered from blunt injury. The overall mortality rate was 7.8%. Severe injury, defined as the Injury Severity Score > 15, occurred in 22.5% of patients, and was associated with a mortality rate of 31.6%. A trend of progressive improvement was noted. The M-statistic was 0.99, indicating comparable case-mix with the MTOS. The Z- and W-statistics of each individual year revealed fewer, but not significantly so, number of survivors than expected. CONCLUSIONS: Trauma centre designation was feasible in the HKSAR and was associated with a gradual improvement in patient care. Trauma system implementation may be considered in regions equipped with the necessary socio-economic and organizational set-up.
Assuntos
Centros de Traumatologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Ferimentos e Lesões/patologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Lactente , Escala de Gravidade do Ferimento , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índices de Gravidade do Trauma , Resultado do Tratamento , Ferimentos e Lesões/mortalidade , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Traumatic brain injury (TBI) or brain surgery may cause extensive loss of cerebral parenchyma. However, no strategy for reconstruction has been clinically effective. Our previous study had shown that self-assembling peptide nanofiber scaffold (SAPNS) can bridge the injured spinal cord, elicit axon regeneration, and eventually promote locomotor functional recovery. In the present study we investigated the effect of SAPNS for the reconstruction of acutely injured brain. The lesion cavity of the injured cortex was filled with SAPNS or saline immediately after surgically induced TBI, and the rats were killed 2 days, 2 weeks, or 6 weeks after the surgery for histology, immunohistochemistry, and TUNEL studies. Saline treatment in the control animals resulted in a large cavity in the injured brain, whereas no cavity of any significant size was found in the SAPNS-treated animals. Around the lesion site in control animals were many macrophages (ED1 positive) but few TUNEL-positive cells, indicating that the TBI caused secondary tissue loss mainly by means of necrosis, not apoptosis. In the SAPNS-treated animals the graft of SAPNS integrated well with the host tissue with no obvious gaps. Moreover, there were fewer astrocytes (GFAP positive) and macrophages (ED1 positive) around the lesion site in the SAPNS-treated animals than were found in the controls. Thus, SAPNS may help to reconstruct the acutely injured brain and reduce the glial reaction and inflammation in the surrounding brain tissue. FROM THE CLINICAL EDITOR: Self-assembling peptide nanofiber scaffold (SAPNS) was reported earlier to bridge the injured spinal cord, elicit axon regeneration, and promote locomotor recovery. In this study the effect of SAPNS for the reconstruction of acutely injured brain was investigated. In SAPNS-treated animals the graft integrated well with the host tissue with no obvious gaps. SAPNS may help to reconstruct the acutely injured brain and reduced the glial reaction and inflammation in the surrounding brain tissue.