An interpretable machine learning pipeline based on transcriptomics predicts phenotypes of lupus patients.

Machine learning (ML) has the potential to identify subsets of patients with distinct phenotypes from gene expression data. However, phenotype prediction using ML has often relied on identifying important genes without a systems biology context. To address this, we created an interpretable ML approach based on blood transcriptomics to predict phenotype in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), a heterogeneous autoimmune disease. We employed a sequential grouped feature importance algorithm to assess the performance of gene sets, including immune and metabolic pathways and cell types, known to be abnormal in SLE in predicting disease activity and organ involvement. Gene sets related to interferon, tumor necrosis factor, the mitoribosome, and T cell activation were the best predictors of phenotype with excellent performance. These results suggest potential relationships between the molecular pathways identified in each model and manifestations of SLE. This ML approach to phenotype prediction can be applied to other diseases and tissues.

Letter to the editor: testing the effectiveness of MyPROSLE in classifying patients with lupus nephritis.

Because of the clinical heterogeneity among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), developing molecular profiles that predict clinical features can be useful in creating a personalized approach to treatment. Toro-Domínguez et al. created a web tool to aid in therapeutic decision making for clinicians that predicts clinical features associated with SLE from blood transcriptomic data. Specifically, they present a machine learning model that predicts the presence of proliferative nephritis from blood transcriptomics. Here, we report use of the tool in independent datasets and found that it did not perform sufficiently well to consider replacement of the standard kidney biopsy as a diagnostic procedure.

Single-cell genomic variation induced by mutational processes in cancer.

How cell-to-cell copy number alterations that underpin genomic instability1 in human cancers drive genomic and phenotypic variation, and consequently the evolution of cancer2, remains understudied. Here, by applying scaled single-cell whole-genome sequencing3 to wild-type, TP53-deficient and TP53-deficient;BRCA1-deficient or TP53-deficient;BRCA2-deficient mammary epithelial cells (13,818 genomes), and to primary triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSC) cells (22,057 genomes), we identify three distinct 'foreground' mutational patterns that are defined by cell-to-cell structural variation. Cell- and clone-specific high-level amplifications, parallel haplotype-specific copy number alterations and copy number segment length variation (serrate structural variations) had measurable phenotypic and evolutionary consequences. In TNBC and HGSC, clone-specific high-level amplifications in known oncogenes were highly prevalent in tumours bearing fold-back inversions, relative to tumours with homologous recombination deficiency, and were associated with increased clone-to-clone phenotypic variation. Parallel haplotype-specific alterations were also commonly observed, leading to phylogenetic evolutionary diversity and clone-specific mono-allelic expression. Serrate variants were increased in tumours with fold-back inversions and were highly correlated with increased genomic diversity of cellular populations. Together, our findings show that cell-to-cell structural variation contributes to the origins of phenotypic and evolutionary diversity in TNBC and HGSC, and provide insight into the genomic and mutational states of individual cancer cells.