Establishing subdivisions of M1 stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on decision tree classification: A multicenter retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To meet the demand for personalized treatment, effective stratification of patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) is essential. Hence, our study aimed to establish an M1 subdivision for prognostic prediction and treatment planning in patients with mNPC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study included 1239 patients with mNPC from three medical centers divided into the synchronous mNPC cohort (smNPC, n = 556) to establish an M1 stage subdivision and the metachronous mNPC cohort (mmNPC, n = 683) to validate this subdivision. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses identified covariates for the decision-tree model, proposing an M1 subdivision. Model performance was evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, Harrell's concordance index, calibration plots, and decision curve analyses. RESULTS: The proposed M1 subdivisions were M1a (≤5 metastatic lesions), M1b (>5 metastatic lesions + absent liver metastases), and M1c (>5 metastatic lesions + existing liver metastases) with median OS of 34, 22, and 13 months, respectively (p < 0.001). This M1 subdivision demonstrated superior discrimination (C-index = 0.698; 3-year AUC = 0.707) and clinical utility over those of existing staging systems. Calibration curves exhibited satisfactory agreement between predictions and actual observations. Internal and mmNPC cohort validation confirmed the robustness. Survival benefits from local metastatic treatment were observed in M1a, while immunotherapy improved survival in patients with M1b and M1c disease. CONCLUSION: This novel M1 staging strategy provides a refined approach for prognostic prediction and treatment planning in patients with mNPC, emphasizing the potential benefits of local and immunotherapeutic interventions based on individualized risk stratification.

Efficacy of metastatic lesion radiotherapy in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A multicenter retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the efficacy of metastatic lesion radiotherapy (MLRT) in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with mNPC from three institutions were included in this study. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to ensure comparability between patient groups. Overall survival (OS) rates were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox hazard analyses. Subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the effects of MLRT on specific patient populations. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 1157 patients with mNPC. Patients who received MLRT had significantly better OS than those who did not, both in the original (28 vs. 21 months) and PSM cohorts (26 vs. 23 months). MLRT was identified as an independent favorable predictor of OS in multivariate analyses, with hazard ratios of 0.67. The subgroup analysis results indicated that radiotherapy effectively treated liver, lung, and bone metastatic lesions, particularly in patients with a limited tumor burden. Higher total radiation doses of MLRT (biologically effective dose (BED) ≥ 56 Gy) were associated with improved OS, while neither radiation technique nor dose fractionation independently influenced prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: MLRT offers survival advantages to patients diagnosed with mNPC. Patients with limited metastatic burden derive the most benefit from MLRT, and the recommended regimen for MLRT is a minimum BED of 56 Gy for optimal outcomes.

Efficacy of induction chemotherapy in lymph node-positive stage III nasopharyngeal carcinoma and identification of beneficiaries based on clinical features: A propensity score matching analysis.

PURPOSE: To investigate the role of induction chemotherapy (IC) in lymph node-positive (LN-positive) stage III nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). METHODS: In total, 627 patients with newly diagnosed LN-positive stage III NPC receiving CCRT or IC plus CCRT were included. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Propensity-score matching (PSM) was conducted to balance the intergroup covariates. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was employed to compare survival curves. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on baseline characteristics. RESULTS: After 1:1 PSM, 414 patients were identified (207 patients per group). Compared with CCRT, IC plus CCRT provided better survival (5-year PFS 88.4% vs. 78.6%, P = 0.01; overall survival [OS] 94.8% vs. 85.3%, P = 0.003; and distant metastasis-free survival [DMFS] 93.1% vs. 85.6%, P = 0.03). The IC beneficial effects on PFS were mainly present in patients with grade 2-3 ENE, elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH > 170U/L), and N2 disease. Patients with grade 2 CNN had comparable PFS benefits to those with grade 0-1 CNN. For patients with grade 0-1 ENE combined with LDH ≤ 170U/L, survival between the two groups was similar with 5-year PFS 93.6% vs. 90.4% (P = 0.50), OS 94.2% vs. 93.0% (P = 0.72), and DMFS 98.6% vs. 97.7% (P = 0.98). CONCLUSION: Adding IC before CCRT improved survival in LN-positive stage III NPC patients. Additional IC did not provide better survival for patients with grade 0-1 ENE combined with LDH ≤ 170U/L and could be avoided in this population. CNN may not be a good risk factor for tailoring a personalized treatment plan.

Long-term outcomes of chemoradiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone in patients with intermediate-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a population-based analysis.

PURPOSE: To investigate the efficacy of chemotherapy among intermediate-risk (stage II/T3N0) nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients receiving radiotherapy (RT). METHODS: We identified stage II/T3N0 NPC patients who received radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database (2004-2019). Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the efficacy of chemotherapy. Subgroup analysis was also conducted based on the baseline characteristics. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance the intergroup covariates. RESULTS: A total of 1623 patients were enrolled in the study, 1444 received chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and 179 received RT alone. CRT, compared to RT alone, was independently associated with a better OS (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.45-0.71) and CSS (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.39-0.79). After PSM, similar results were obtained, and CRT was superior to RT alone in terms of OS (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39-0.92) and CSS (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.40-0.91). Subgroup analysis revealed that OS benefits from CRT were mainly observed in T0-2N1(HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.38-0.70) and T3N0 (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.42-0.98) rather than T2N0 (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.51-1.94). Interestingly, after PSM, OS benefits were still seen in T0-2N1 (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.24-0.82), while not seen in T2N0 (HR 1.83, 95% CI 0.56-5.97) and T3N0 (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.28-1.12). CONCLUSION: For T0-2N1 NPC patients, CRT was superior to RT alone with better survival, whereas, for T2-3N0 patients, CRT was comparable to RT alone. Prospective large studies should be encouraged to verify the results.

Individualized number of induction chemotherapy cycles for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients based on early tumor response.

BACKGROUND: The optimal number of cycles of induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) is unclear. We aimed to combine the tumor response during IC and tumor stage to individualize the number of IC cycles. METHODS: Totally, 498 LANPC patients who received IC plus CCRT between 2014 and 2018 were reviewed. Tumor response during IC was used to stratify patients with different risks. All patients were classified into those who received two cycles of IC and those who were treated with three cycles. Propensity score matching methods were performed to compare the treatment efficiency. RESULTS: After two cycles of IC, 340/498 (68.3%) cases showed complete tumor response (CR)/partial response (PR) and 158 (31.7%) achieved stable disease (SD)/disease progression (PD). Unfavorable responders (SD/PD) exhibited poor survival outcomes. The three-cycle IC regimen was correlated with better OS and PFS than the two-cycle regimen for N2-3 patients in the CR/PR group. However, the use of different IC cycle strategies achieved similar survival outcomes for SD/PD or N0-1 patients. The incidences of acute toxicities were higher in the IC = 3 group. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor response during IC could be a powerful predictor of LANPC and could be used to guide the individualized number of IC cycles. A three-cycle IC regimen seemed to be preferable for N2-3 patients who received CR/PR during IC. However, an additional cycle of IC could not benefit N0-1 or SD/PD patients, and the optimal treatment strategies for these patients require further consideration.

A nomogram to predict survival and guide individualized induction chemotherapy in T3-4N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Induction chemotherapy (IC) plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and CCRT alone were the optional treatment regimens for T3-4N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Therefore, we established a nomogram to predict clinical prognosis and guide individualized IC in T3-4N1M0 NPC. Overall, 699 T3-4N1M0 NPC patients treated with CCRT with or without IC between January 2010 and December 2018 were examined. Overall survival (OS) was the main endpoint. A nomogram was developed that included prognostic variables selected by multivariable analysis. The risk score, which was calculated according to the nomogram, was used for risk stratification. The survival difference of patients undergoing CCRT with or without IC was then compared in risk-stratified subgroups. The nomogram yielded C-indexes of 0.708 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.682-0.734) in the training cohort and 0.670 (95% CI: 0.625-0.715) in the validation cohort. Calibration curves for 1-, 3- and 5-year OS suggested a good association between the nomogram predicted and observed probabilities. High-risk patients stratified by nomogram benefited from IC (IC + CCRT vs CCRT: 5-year OS: 77.8% vs 58.8%; P = 0.040; 5-year disease-free survival: 75.0% vs 58.2%; P = 0.017), whereas in the low-risk group, the application of IC was associated with worse locoregional recurrence-free survival and distant metastasis-free survival. This nomogram can serve as a reliable model for prognostic prediction and can be used to guide individualized treatment of T3-4N1M0 NPC. High-risk patients are candidates for IC before CCRT, while the use of IC for low-risk patients should be considered carefully.

A Nomogram to Identify the Optimal Candidates for Induction Chemotherapy in Advanced N-Stage Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Purpose: We aimed to select optimal candidates benefiting from the addition of induction chemotherapy (IC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in advanced N-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Patients and Methods: A total of 624 NPC patients with N2-3 stage received CCRT with or without IC were retrospectively reviewed. We constructed a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) based on the result of the multivariate analysis in the training cohort (n = 468) and then tested it on the validation cohort (n = 156). Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (tdROC) analysis were applied to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the nomogram and compare it with TNM staging. IC plus CCRT was compared with CCRT in the whole cohort and two risk groups based on the nomogram with balanced baseline characteristics. In addition, acute toxicities were compared between different treatment groups. Results: The nomogram showed good prognostic accuracy with a C-index of 0.716 (95% CI 0.669-0.763) in the validation cohort. The 5-year OS of low and high-risk groups stratified by the nomogram were significantly different. IC+CCRT was significantly associated with superior OS as compared with CCRT (75.4 vs 52.6%, p = 0.009) in the high-risk group. However, no significant difference between IC plus CCRT and CCRT was observed (p = 0.843) in the low-risk group. IC plus CCRT was associated with more grade 1-4 acute toxicities. Conclusion: Our study can help clinicians select NPC patients with advanced N stage who benefit from IC.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Studies Comparing Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy With Radiotherapy Alone in the Treatment of Stage II Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Purpose: The role of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is still controversial. Our objective is to evaluate the value of concurrent chemotherapy in stage II NPC receiving radiotherapy (RT). Methods: We searched the PubMed, Embase, and Scopus databases for studies comparing CCRT versus RT alone in stage II NPC with survival outcomes and toxicities, including locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS), metastasis-free survival (DMFS), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and grade 3-4 acute toxicities. The hazard ratios (HRs) of survival outcomes and risk ratios (RRs) of toxicities were extracted for meta-analysis. Subgroup analysis for stage N1 patients was performed to further explore whether these populations can earn benefits from concurrent chemotherapy. Results: Nine eligible studies with a total of 4,092 patients were included. CCRT was associated with a better OS (HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.44-0.82), LRFS (HR = 0.62, 95% CI 0.50-0.78), and PFS (HR = 0.65, 95% CI 0.54-0.79), but with similar DMFS (HR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.46-1.45) compared with two-dimensional RT (2DRT) alone. However, CCRT showed no survival benefit in terms of OS (HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.62-1.15), LRFS (HR = 0.85, 95% CI 0.54-1.34), DMFS (HR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.60-1.54), and PFS (HR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.66-1.37) compared with intensity-modulated RT (IMRT) alone. Subgroup analyses indicated that CCRT had similar OS (HR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.37-2.96), LRFS (HR = 0.70, 95% CI 0.34-1.45), DMFS (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 0.53-2.00), and PFS (HR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.58-1.88) in the stage N1 populations. Meanwhile, compared to RT alone, CCRT significantly increased the incidence of grade 3-4 leukopenia (RR = 4.00, 95% CI 2.29-6.97), mucositis (RR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.16-1.77), and gastrointestinal reactions (RR = 8.76, 95% CI 2.63-29.12). No significant differences of grade 3-4 toxicity in thrombocytopenia (RR = 3.45, 95% CI 0.85-13.94) was found between the two groups. Conclusion: For unselected patients with stage II NPC, CCRT was superior to 2DRT alone with better LRFS, PFS, and OS, while adding concurrent chemotherapy to IMRT did not significantly improve survival but exacerbated acute toxicities. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42022318253.

A nomogram based on tumor response to induction chemotherapy may predict survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the clinical significance of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) patients and further to develop a nomogram for predicting survival prognosis. METHODS: A total of 498 patients with stage III-IVA NPC applying IC and concurrent chemotherapy were reviewed (training cohort, n = 376; validation cohort, n = 122). RESULTS: Tumor response was an independent predictor for clinical outcomes. The nomogram included age, N stage, pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and tumor response achieved an ideal C-index of 0.703 (95% CI 0.655-0.751) in the validation cohort for predicting overall survival (OS), which outperformed than that of the TNM system alone (C-index, 0.670, 95% CI: 0.622-0.718). In addition, the nomogram could successfully classified patients into different risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: We established and validated a precise and convenient nomogram based on tumor response for predicting the OS of LANPC patients.

Prognostic significance of wait time for radical radiotherapy in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of wait time between definite diagnosis and initial radical radiotherapy is not well established in patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) receiving both induction chemotherapy (IC) and concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). METHODS: From 2010 to 2018, 648 patients with LA-NPC treated with IC followed by CCRT were included. RESULTS: A total of 172 pairs of patients with LA-NPC were selected by propensity score matching (PSM). Compared to patients with an acceptable wait time (≤75 days), patients with a prolonged wait time (>75 days) had a significant lower 5-year DMFS rate (86.6% vs. 74.1%, p = 0.006). Subgroup analyses indicated that the unfavorable effects of longer waiting times were mainly seen among stage IVa patients. CONCLUSIONS: A prolonged wait time (>75 days) between definite diagnosis and initial radical radiotherapy has negative prognostic effects on patients with LA-NPC receiving IC plus CCRT, particularly those with IVa stage.

Efficiency of high cumulative cisplatin dose in high- and low-risk patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The optimal cumulative cisplatin dose (CCD) during radiation therapy for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) patients receiving induction chemotherapy (IC) plus CCRT remains controversial. This study aimed to explore the treatment efficiency of CCD for high-and low-risk patients with LA-NPC. METHODS: Data from 472 LA-NPC patients diagnosed from 2014 to 2018 and treated with IC plus CCRT were reviewed. After propensity score matching, the therapeutic effects of a CCD > 200 and CCD ≤ 200 mg/m2 were evaluated comparatively. Five factors selected by multivariate analysis were incorporated to develop a nomogram. Subgroup analysis was conducted to explore the role of different CCDs in nomogram-defined high- and low-risk groups. Additionally, acute toxicities were evaluated comparatively between the high- and low-CCD groups. RESULTS: After matching, there was no difference between different CCD groups for all patients in terms of 3-year overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), or progression-free survival (PFS). A nomogram was built by integrating pretreatment EBV DNA, clinical stage, and post-IC EBV DNA, post-IC primary gross tumor and lymph node volumes obtained a C-index of 0.674. The high-risk group determined by the nomogram had poorer 3-year PFS, OS, DMFS, and LRRFS than the low-risk group. A total of CCD > 200 mg/m2 increased the survival rates of 3-year PFS and DMFS (PFS: 72.5% vs. 54.4%, p = 0.012; DMFS: 81.9% vs. 61.5%, p = 0.014) in the high-risk group but not in the low-risk group. Moreover, the high CCD increased treatment-related acute toxicities. CONCLUSIONS: A high CCD was associated with better 3-year PFS and DMFS rates than a low dose for high-risk patients but could not produce a survival benefit for low-risk patients.

Efficacy and Safety of Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy Combined With Induction Chemotherapy or Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients With Stage II-IVA Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis and Meta-Analysis.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of induction chemotherapy (IC) combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) versus CCRT combined with adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in patients with stage II-IVA nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), we conducted a retrospective study and a meta-analysis combining the results of our studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We used the propensity score matching (PSM) to balance variables. A total of 168 patients were chosen by one-to-two PSM, including 101 patients with IC + CCRT and 67 cases with CCRT + AC. We used the Kaplan-Meier curve to compare survival outcomes and also used Cox regression analysis to determine independent prognostic factors. For meta-analysis, we determined the related studies by searching the PubMed database. We used STATA v12 software to perform meta-analysis of the extracted data and calculate pooled hazard ratios, 95% confidence intervals of survival outcomes, and risk ratios for the toxicities. RESULTS: In this retrospective study, there was no significant difference in 5-year overall survival (76.9% vs. 79.0%, P = 0.966), progression-free survival (71.3% vs. 68.5%, P = 0.332), distant metastasis-free survival (80.5% vs. 74.2%, P = 0.140), and locoregional relapse-free survival (91.5% vs. 91.8%, P = 0.894) among patients with NPC with IC + CCRT versus CCRT + AC after PSM. For meta-analysis, six articles (including our study) reporting 1,052 cases of IC + CCRT and 883 cases of CCRT + AC were included in the meta-analysis. There was no difference of OS (pooled HR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.63-1.29, P = 0.561), PFS (pooled HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.87-1.33, P = 0.633), DMFS (pooled HR= 0.98, 95% CI: 0.76-1.25, P=0.861), and LRRFS (pooled HR = 1.06, 95% CI: 0.76-1.48, P = 0.724). CONCLUSION: The efficacy of IC + CCRT and CCRT + AC was comparable in patients with stage II-IVA NPC. In terms of compliance and acute adverse reactions, IC + CCRT may be a potential therapeutic strategy.

The Integration of the Pre-Treatment Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in the Eighth Edition of the AJCC Staging System for Nasopharynx Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: The present study aimed to evaluate the role of integrating the pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) into the eighth edition of the AJCC staging system for nasopharynx cancer in an endemic region. METHODS: Between May 2007 and December 2012, a total of 713 cases with NPC were retrospectively analyzed. The separation ability in terms of overall survival (OS), local failure-free survival (LFFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and failure-free survival (FFS) was evaluated. The discriminatory ability was assessed using Harrell's concordance index (c-index). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was conducted and incorporated with pretreatment NLR. RESULTS: When integrated with NLR, the separate and discriminatory abilities for N classifications were improved in terms of OS and DMFS, but not for T categories. By using Recursive partitioning analysis, five subgroups were generated. Compared with the overall stage, the integration of NLR could not enhance the separate and discriminatory abilities. However, patients in the RPA 4 group gained significant benefits in terms of OS (HR 0.390 (95%CI 0.212-0.716), P = 0.002) and FFS (HR 0.548 (95%CI 0.314-0.958), P = 0.032) from the additional adjuvant chemotherapy after concurrent chemoradiotherapy. CONCLUSION: The integration of NLR into the 8th edition of the AJCC staging system could enhance the separation and discriminatory abilities for N classifications, but not for T categories. In addition, patients in the RPA 4 group could benefit from the addition of adjuvant chemotherapy to concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram for Prediction of Progression-Free Survival in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We aimed to construct of a nomogram to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) with risk stratification using computed tomography (CT) radiomics features and clinical factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 311 patients diagnosed with LA-NPC (stage III-IVa) at our hospital between 2010 and 2014 were included. The region of interest (ROI) of the primary nasopharyngeal mass was manually outlined. Independent sample t-test and LASSO-logistic regression were used for selecting the most predictive radiomics features of PFS, and to generate a radiomics signature. A nomogram was built with clinical factors and radiomics features, and the risk stratification model was tested accordingly. RESULTS: In total, 20 radiomics features most associated with prognosis were selected. The radiomics nomogram, which integrated the radiomics signature and significant clinical factors, showed excellent performance in predicting PFS, with C-index of 0.873 (95% CI: 0.803~0.943), which was better than that of the clinical nomogram (C-index, 0.729, 95% CI: 0.620~0.838) as well as of the TNM staging system (C-index, 0.689, 95% CI: 0.592-0.787) in validation cohort. The calibration curves and the decision curve analysis (DCA) plot obtained suggested satisfying accuracy and clinical utility of the model. The risk stratification tool was able to predict differences in prognosis of patients in different risk categories (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: CT-based radiomics features, an in particular, radiomics nomograms, have the potential to become an accurate and reliable tool for assisting with prognosis prediction of LA-NPC.

Nomogram Based on Lactate Dehydrogenase-to-Albumin Ratio (LAR) and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) for Predicting Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The prognosis of inflammation-related indicators like lactate dehydrogenase/albumin ratio (LAR) and the platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is not yet clear. Our objective is to establish and verify the nomogram using LAR and PLR ratio for the first time to explore the prognostic value in NPC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective collection of 1661 patients with non-metastatic NPC admitted to our hospital from 2010 to 2017. The final variables of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were selected by Cox regression analysis to establish nomograms, and the methods to verify the prediction precision and discriminative ability of the nomograms were concordance index (C index), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. The risk stratification was carried out through the nomograms and compared with the current staging system by the Kaplan-Meier methods. RESULTS: Multivariate Cox analysis resulted that age, plasma Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV) DNA, T stage, N stage, white blood cells (WBC), PLR and LAR were independent prognostic risk factors for OS and PFS, and sex is an independent prognostic risk factor for OS. The C-indexes of OS nomogram were 0.722 (95% CI: 0.706-0.738) and 0.747 (95% CI: 0.717-0.777) in the training cohort and validation cohort, which were statistically higher than the current 8th AJCC staging system (0.646 and 0.688). The C-indexes of PFS nomogram were 0.696 (95% CI: 0.680-0.713) and 0.690 (95% CI: 0.660-0.720), which were also statistically higher than the current 8th AJCC staging system (0.632 and 0.666). Otherwise, ROC curves and the calibration curve for probability also confirmed satisfied consistency with actual observations. CONCLUSION: LAR is a novel useful independent factor in NPC. The proposed nomogram LAR and PLR resulted in more accurate prognostic prediction than current staging system for NPC patients.

Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Incorporating TNM Stage, Post-Induction Chemotherapy Tumor Volume and Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Load.

OBJECTIVES: To establish and validate an effective nomogram to predict clinical outcomes for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The clinicopathological parameters and follow-up information of 402 locoregionally advanced NPC patients (training cohort, n = 302; validation cohort, n = 100) were retrospectively enrolled. The nomogram was built with the important prognostic variables identified by Cox regression analysis. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively. The predictive power and clinical utility of the nomogram were assessed using the Harrell concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. We compared the eighth staging system model with the nomogram to analyze whether the model could improve the accuracy of prognosis. RESULTS: Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA load, the gross tumor volume (GTVnx), and cervical lymph node tumor volume (GTVnd) after induction chemotherapy were the independent predictors of OS and PFS. The calibration curves indicated superb agreement between the nomogram-predicted probabilities and observed actual probabilities of survival. The C-index and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of the nomogram integrating these significant factors and N stage, and TNM stage were higher than those of the eighth TNM system alone. In addition, the decision curve analyses demonstrated the clinical value and higher overall net benefit of the nomogram. High-risk groups identified by the nomogram had significantly poorer OS and PFS than the low-risk group (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The multidimensional nomogram incorporating TNM stage, EBV DNA load, and tumor volume after induction chemotherapy led to a more precise prognostic prediction and could be helpful for stratifying risk and guiding treatment decisions in locoregionally advanced NPC patients who have undergone induction chemotherapy and concurrent chemoradiation.

High-Dimensional Characterization of the Systemic Immune Landscape Informs on Synergism Between Radiation Therapy and Immune Checkpoint Blockade.

PURPOSE: Improved antitumor responses have been observed in patients after combination radiation therapy (RT) and immune checkpoint blockade (ICB). Whether these clinical responses are linked to the host systemic immune system has not been elucidated. METHODS AND MATERIALS: In this single-institution prospective observational study, peripheral blood was longitudinally collected from 10 patients with metastatic disease who had responded to anti-PD-1/anti-PD-L1 ICB and received RT (8-50 Gy in 1-5 fractions) upon disease progression at the following timepoints: baseline (pre-RT), 1 to 2 weeks post-RT, and post-ICB (cycle 1) on reintroduction post-RT. To thoroughly characterize the interaction between combined RT-ICB and the host immune system, we performed high-dimensional, mass cytometry-based immunophenotyping of circulating lymphocytes using a 40-marker panel addressing lineage, differentiation, activation, trafficking, cytotoxicity, and costimulatory and inhibitory functions. Phenotypic expression of circulating lymphocytes was compared across patients and time points and correlated with post-RT tumor responses. RESULTS: Foremost, we demonstrated excellent posttreatment clinical responses, including 4 local responses with >50% reduction in radiated tumor size, 1 out-of-field response, and 4 patients who resumed ICB for >1 year. Baseline and post-RT immune states were highly heterogeneous among patients. Despite this interindividual heterogeneity in baseline immune states, we observed a systemic immune reaction to RT-ICB common across patients, histology, and radiation sites; a subset of pre-existing Ki-67+ CD8+ T cells were increased post-RT and further expanded upon reintroduction of ICB post-RT (2.3-fold increase, P = .02). Importantly, RT did not alter the phenotypic profile of these Ki-67+ CD8+ T cells, which was characterized by a distinct activated and differentiated effector phenotype. CONCLUSIONS: Collectively, these findings point toward a sustained reinvigoration of host antitumor immunity after RT-ICB and suggest an expansion in activated Ki-67+ CD8+ T cells as a possible demonstration of this synergy, thereby providing new insights that may support the development of optimal sequencing strategies.

A Pilot Study: N-Staging Assessment of Shear Wave Elastrography in Small Cervical Lymph Nodes for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Purpose: To investigate N-staging Assessment of pretreatment Shear wave elastrography (SWE) in small cervical lymph nodes (0. 5 cm ≤ maximum diameter < 1 cm, intact capsule, no central necrosis, sCLNs) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Methods: Pathological biopsy proven 28 NPC patients with sCLNs shown in pretreatment magnetic resonance (MR) images and 40 target lymph nodes were enrolled. All target lymph nodes were divided into metastasis and benign lymph node groups according to pathology. SWE was used to exam the real time SWE imaging of each target lymph nodes before conducting ultrasonography guided fine needle biopsy. The minimum (Emin), maximum (Emax), and mean (Emean) elasticity indices (kPa) of target lymph nodes were recorded. The SWE examination was repeated three times for the same target lymph node and each elasticity indices for statistic was determined by average of three measurements. SPSS 21.0 statistics software is used for statistical analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to obtain the cutoff value of elasticity indices of metastatic sCLNs. Statistical significance was assumed when the P < 0.05. Results: Nine lymph nodes were metastatic and 31 were benign. The Emin, Emax, and Emean of benign group were 8.15 ± 6.12, 25.05 ± 12.37, and 16.05 ± 8.29 kPa, respectively; Emin, Emax, and Emean of metastasis group were 11.5 ± 6.17, 41.38 ± 17.87, and 23.48 ± 6.50 kPa, respectively. The difference of the Emax and Emean between metastasis and benign group were statistically significant (P = 0.003 and 0.018). The area under the ROC curve of Emin, Emax, and Emean of metastasis lymph node were 0.685 (P = 0.095), 0.785 (P = 0.010), and 0.765 (P = 0.017), respectively. Emax of 27 kPa and Emean of 17 kPa were taken as the cutoff value of diagnosis for metastasis sCLNs: the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 77.8 and 100%, 71.0 and 61.3%, 75.0 and 70.0%, respectively. Conclusions: Pretreatment SWE has high accuracy in evaluating the sCLNs in NPC patients and is helpful for accurate N-staging and survival prognosis. It can be used as a clinical supplementary examination.

The Double-Edge Role of the Addition of Adjuvant Chemotherapy to Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in the Treatment of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To construct a prognostic index (PI) for overall survival (OS) to stratify nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) into high-risk and low-risk groups. We also applied the model to investigate the role of the addition of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) regimens for the treatment of NPC. METHODS: A prognostic model was established based on a retrospective study of 362 patients from January 2008 to June 2011. The discriminative and calibration abilities of the model were evaluated by Harrell's concordance index (C-index), and calibration curves. Bootstrapping was used to perform for internal validation. External validation was conducted using 324 patients diagnosed with NPC from July 2011 to December 2012 at the same institution. Survival analyses were performed between CCRT-AC and CCRT alone groups for the high-risk and low-risk groups. RESULTS: The primary PI comprised covariates that were associated with OS in the training cohort, including T stage, N stage, age, and plasma alkaline phosphatase (ALP). Internal and external validation showed that the discrimination of the PI for OS was significantly better than that of the 8th edition AJCC staging system. Discretization by using a fixed PI score cut-off of 407.96 determined from the training data set yielded high- and low-risk subgroups with distinct OS outcomes in the validation cohort. Adjuvant chemotherapy improved OS in high-risk patients (HR 0.620, 95% CI 0.408 to 0.941; P = 0.023) but increased the risk of distant metastasis (HR, 4.222, 95% CI, 0.959 to 18.585; P = 0.038) in low-risk patients. CONCLUSION: The proposed prognostic model achieved good prediction and calibration of OS for patients with NPC. The addition of adjuvant chemotherapy might be a double-edged sword, bringing survival benefit to high-risk patients but greater risk of distant metastasis to low-risk patients.

Prognostic nomogram of xerostomia for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma after intensity-modulated radiotherapy.

Xerostomia is a common radiation-induced late complication after radiotherapy. Identifying predictive factors for xerostomia will lead to better treatments and improve the quality of life. This study was conducted to establish an effective predictive nomogram for xerostomia by assessing stage I-IVb (AJCC 7th edition) NPC patients between September 2015 and March 2016. Xerostomia was evaluated via the RTOG/EORTC system. The primary endpoint was grade 2-3 xerostomia 1 year after treatment. The predictive factors for xerostomia were analysed using logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was constructed based on combining the predictors and clinical variables. In total, 102 patients with grade 0-1 xerostomia and 93 patients with grade 2-3 xerostomia were included. The independent predictive factors for xerostomia were V25, V30, V35, and V45 of the ipsilateral parotid gland and mean dose of the contralateral parotid gland. The calibration plot for the probability of xerostomia showed good agreement between prediction by the nomogram and actual observation. The concordance index of the nomogram for predicting xerostomia was 0.796 (95% CI: 0.735-0.857, P <0.001), which was higher than any single dosimetric parameter. Our results indicated that the nomogram provided a more accurate prediction of grade 2-3 xerostomia 1 year after treatment.