No adverse association between exercise exposure and diffuse myocardial fibrosis in male endurance athletes.

The potential association between endurance exercise and myocardial fibrosis is controversial. Data on exercise exposure and diffuse myocardial fibrosis in endurance athletes are scarce and conflicting. We aimed to investigate the association between exercise exposure and markers of diffuse myocardial fibrosis by cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) in endurance athletes. We examined 27 healthy adult male competitive endurance athletes aged 41 ± 9 years and 16 healthy controls in a cross sectional study using 3 Tesla CMR including late gadolinium enhancement and T1 mapping. Athletes reported detailed exercise history from 12 years of age. Left ventricular total mass, cellular mass and extracellular mass were higher in athletes than controls (86 vs. 58 g/m2, 67 vs. 44 g/m2 and 19 vs. 13 g/m2, all p < 0.01). Extracellular volume (ECV) was lower (21.5% vs. 23.8%, p = 0.03) and native T1 time was shorter (1214 ms vs. 1268 ms, p < 0.01) in the athletes. Increasing exercise dose was independently associated with shorter native T1 time (regression coefficient - 24.1, p < 0.05), but expressed no association with ECV. Our results indicate that diffuse myocardial fibrosis has a low prevalence in healthy male endurance athletes and do not indicate an adverse dose-response relationship between exercise and diffuse myocardial fibrosis in healthy athletes.

Differentiation of Myocardial Properties in Physiological Athletic Cardiac Remodeling and Mild Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Clinical differentiation between athletes' hearts and those with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) can be challenging. We aimed to explore the role of speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) in the differentiation between athletes' hearts and those with mild HCM. We compared 30 competitive endurance elite athletes (7% female, age 41 ± 9 years) and 20 mild phenotypic mutation-positive HCM carriers (15% female, age 51 ± 12 years) with left ventricular wall thickness 13 ± 1 mm. Mechanical dispersion (MD) was assessed by means of STE. Native T1-time and extracellular volume (ECV) were assessed by means of CMR. MD was higher in HCM mutation carriers than in athletes (54 ± 16 ms vs. 40 ± 11 ms, p = 0.001). Athletes had a lower native T1-time (1204 (IQR 1191, 1234) ms vs. 1265 (IQR 1255, 1312) ms, p < 0.001) and lower ECV (22.7 ± 3.2% vs. 25.6 ± 4.1%, p = 0.01). MD > 44 ms optimally discriminated between athletes and HCM mutation carriers (AUC 0.78, 95% CI 0.65-0.91). Among the CMR parameters, the native T1-time had the best discriminatory ability, identifying all HCM mutation carriers (100% sensitivity) with a specificity of 75% (AUC 0.83, 95% CI 0.71-0.96) using a native T1-time > 1230 ms as the cutoff. STE and CMR tissue characterization may be tools that can differentiate athletes' hearts from those with mild HCM.

Left ventricular mechanical dispersion as a predictor of the need for pacemaker implantation after transcatheter aortic valve implantation: MeDiPace TAVI study.

AIMS: Permanent pacemaker (PM) implantation is common after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Left ventricular mechanical dispersion (MeDi) by speckle tracking echocardiography is a marker of fibrosis that causes alterations in the conduction system. We hypothesized that MeDi can be a predictor of the need for PM implantation after TAVI. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutively, 200 TAVI patients were enrolled. Transthoracic echocardiography and electrocardiography examinations were recorded before TAVI to evaluate global longitudinal strain (GLS), MeDi, and conduction disturbances. PM implantation information was obtained 3 months after TAVI. Patients were stratified into PM or no PM group. Mean age was 80 + 7 years (44% women). Twenty-nine patients (16%) received PM. MeDi, QRS duration, existence of right bundle branch abnormality (RBBB), and first-degree atrioventricular (AV) block were significantly different between groups. MeDi was 57 ± 15 ms and 48 ± 12 ms in PM and no PM groups, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, MeDi predicted the need for PM after TAVI independently of GLS, QRS duration, RBBB, and first-degree AV block [odds ratio (OR): 1.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22-2.45] with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.68 in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Moreover, RBBB was an independent predictor of PM need after TAVI (OR: 8.98, 95% CI: 1.78-45.03). When added to RBBB, MeDi had an incremental predictive value with an AUC of 0.73 in ROC curves (P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: MeDi may be used as an echocardiographic functional predictor of the need for PM after TAVI.

Lifetime exercise dose and ventricular arrhythmias in patients with mitral valve prolapse.

AIMS: Patients with mitral valve prolapse (MVP) have high risk of life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). Data on the impact of exercise on arrhythmic risk in these patients are lacking. We explored whether lifetime exercise dose was associated with severe VA and with established risk factors in patients with MVP. Furthermore, we explored the circumstances at the VA event. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this retrospective cohort study, we included patients with MVP and assessed lifetime exercise dose as metabolic equivalents of task (MET) hours/week. Severe VA was defined as sustained ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation, aborted cardiac arrest, and appropriate shock by a primary preventive implantable cardioverter defibrillator. We included 136 MVP patients (48 years [interquartile range (IQR) 35-59], 61% female), and 17 (13%) had previous severe VA. The lifetime exercise dose did not differ in patients with and without severe VA (17 MET h/week [IQR 9-27] vs. 14 MET h/week [IQR 6-31], P = 0.34). Lifetime exercise dose > 9.6 MET h/week was a borderline significant marker for severe VA (OR 3.38, 95% CI 0.92-12.40, P = 0.07), while not when adjusted for age (OR 2.63, 95% CI 0.66-10.56, P = 0.17). Ventricular arrhythmia events occurred most frequently during wakeful rest (53%), followed by exercise (29%) and sleep (12%). CONCLUSION: We found no clear association between moderate lifetime exercise dose and severe VA in patients with MVP. We cannot exclude an upper threshold for safe levels of exercise. Further studies are needed to explore exercise and risk of severe VA.

Mortality in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome-A Prospective 5-Year Follow-Up Study.

Our objective was to compare long-term outcomes in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) between two time periods in Southern Norway. There are limited contemporary data comparing long-term follow-up after revascularization in the last decades. This prospective follow-up study consecutively included both NSTEMI and STEMI patients during two time periods, 2014-2015 and 2004-2009. Patients were followed up for a period of 5 years. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality after 1 and 5 years. A total of 539 patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), 316 with NSTEMI (234 included in 2014 and 82 included in 2007) and 223 with STEMI (160 included in 2014 and 63 included in 2004). Mortality after NSTEMI was high and remained unchanged during the two time periods (mortality rate at 1 year: 3.5% versus 4.9%, p = 0.50; and 5 years: 11.4% versus 14.6%, p = 0.40). Among STEMI patients, all-cause mortality at 1 year was reduced in 2014 compared to 2004 (1.3% versus 11.1%, p < 0.001; and 5 years: 7.0% versus 22.2%, p = 0.004, respectively). Time to coronary angiography in NSTEMI patients remained unchanged between 2014 and 2007 (28.2 h [IQR 18.1-46.3] versus 30.3 h [IQR 18.0-48.3], p = 0.20), while time to coronary angiography in STEMI patients was improved in 2014 compared with 2004 (2.8 h [IQR 2.0-4.8] versus 21.7 h [IQR 5.4-27.1], p < 0.001), respectively. During one decade of AMI treatment, mortality in patients with NSTEMI remained unchanged while mortality in STEMI patients decreased, both at 1 and 5 years.

Monitoring of Myocardial Involvement in Early Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy Across the Age Spectrum.

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is characterized by fibrofatty replacement of primarily the right ventricular myocardium, a substrate for life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). Repeated cardiac imaging of at-risk relatives is important for early disease detection. However, it is not known whether screening should be age-tailored. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to assess the need for age-tailoring of follow-up protocols in early ARVC by evaluating myocardial disease progression in different age groups. METHODS: We divided patients with early-stage ARVC and genotype-positive relatives without overt structural disease and VA at first evaluation into 3 groups: age <30 years, 30 to 50 years, and ≥50 years. Longitudinal biventricular deformation characteristics were used to monitor disease progression. To link deformation abnormalities to underlying myocardial disease substrates, Digital Twins were created using an imaging-based computational modeling framework. RESULTS: We included 313 echocardiographic assessments from 82 subjects (57% female, age 39 ± 17 years, 10% probands) during 6.7 ± 3.3 years of follow-up. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain slightly deteriorated similarly in all age groups (0.1%-point per year [95% CI: 0.05-0.15]). Disease progression in all age groups was more pronounced in the right ventricular lateral wall, expressed by worsening in longitudinal strain (0.6%-point per year [95% CI: 0.46-0.70]) and local differences in myocardial contractility, compliance, and activation delay in the Digital Twin. Six patients experienced VA during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Disease progression was similar in all age groups, and sustained VA also occurred in patients aged >50 years without overt ARVC phenotype at first evaluation. Unlike recommended by current guidelines, our study suggests that follow-up of ARVC patients and relatives should not stop at older age.

An investigator-sponsored pragmatic randomized controlled trial of AntiCoagulation vs AcetylSalicylic Acid after Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: Rationale and design of ACASA-TAVI.

BACKGROUND: The optimal antithrombotic therapy after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is unknown. Bioprosthetic valve dysfunction (BVD) is associated with adverse outcomes and may be prevented by anticoagulation therapy. A dedicated randomized trial comparing monotherapy NOAC to single antiplatelet therapy has not been performed previously. We hypothesize that therapy with any anti-factor Xa NOAC will reduce BVD compared to antiplatelet therapy, without compromising safety. METHODS: ACASA-TAVI is a multicenter, prospective, randomized, open-label, blinded endpoint, all-comers trial comparing a monotherapy anti-factor Xa NOAC strategy (intervention arm) with a single antiplatelet therapy strategy (control arm) after successful TAVI. Three-hundred and sixty patients without indication for oral anticoagulation will be randomized in a 1:1 ratio to either apixaban 5 mg twice per day, edoxaban 60 mg daily, or rivaroxaban 20 mg daily for 12 months followed by acetylsalicylic acid 75 mg daily indefinitely, or to acetylsalicylic acid 75 mg daily indefinitely. The 2 co-primary outcomes are (1) incidence of Hypo-Attenuated Leaflet Thickening (HALT) on 4-dimensional cardiac CT at 12 months, and (2) a Safety Composite of VARC-3 bleeding events, thromboembolic events (myocardial infarction and stroke), and death from any cause, at 12 months. RESULTS: The first 100 patients had a mean age of 74 ± 3.6 years, 33% were female, the average body-mass index was 27.9 ± 4.4 kg/m2, and 15% were smokers. A balloon-expanded valve was used in 82% and a self-expandable valve in 18%. CONCLUSIONS: The trial is planned, initiated, funded, and conducted without industry involvement. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT05035277.

The added value of abnormal regional myocardial function for risk prediction in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: A risk calculator for individualized prediction of first-time sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients has recently been developed and validated (www.ARVCrisk.com). This study aimed to investigate whether regional functional abnormalities, measured by echocardiographic deformation imaging, can provide additional prognostic value. METHODS AND RESULTS: From two referral centres, 150 consecutive patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no prior sustained VA, and an echocardiogram suitable for deformation analysis were included (aged 41 ± 17 years, 50% female). During a median follow-up of 6.3 (interquartile range 3.1-9.8) years, 37 (25%) experienced a first-time sustained VA. All tested left and right ventricular (LV and RV) deformation parameters were univariate predictors for first-time VA. While LV function did not add predictive value in multivariate analysis, two RV deformation parameters did; RV free wall longitudinal strain and regional RV deformation patterns remained independent predictors after adjusting for the calculator-predicted risk [hazard ratio 1.07 (95% CI 1.02-1.11); P = 0.004 and 4.45 (95% CI 1.07-18.57); P = 0.040, respectively] and improved its discriminative value (from C-statistic 0.78 to 0.82 in both; Akaike information criterion change > 2). Importantly, all patients who experienced VA within 5 years from the echocardiographic assessment had abnormal regional RV deformation patterns at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that regional functional abnormalities measured by echocardiographic deformation imaging can further refine personalized arrhythmic risk prediction when added to the ARVC risk calculator. The excellent negative predictive value of normal RV deformation could support clinicians considering the timing of implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation in patients with intermediate arrhythmic risk.

Ventricular arrhythmias in arrhythmic mitral valve syndrome-a prospective continuous long-term cardiac monitoring study.

AIMS: Arrhythmic mitral valve syndrome is linked to life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias. The incidence, morphology and methods for risk stratification are not well known. This prospective study aimed to describe the incidence and the morphology of ventricular arrhythmia and propose risk stratification in patients with arrhythmic mitral valve syndrome. METHODS: Arrhythmic mitral valve syndrome patients were monitored for ventricular tachyarrhythmias by implantable loop recorders (ILR) and secondary preventive implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD). Severe ventricular arrhythmias included ventricular fibrillation, appropriate or aborted ICD therapy, sustained ventricular tachycardia and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia with symptoms of hemodynamic instability. RESULTS: During 3.1 years of follow-up, severe ventricular arrhythmia was recorded in seven (12%) of 60 patients implanted with ILR [first event incidence rate 4% per person-year, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2-9] and in four (20%) of 20 patients with ICD (re-event incidence rate 8% per person-year, 95% CI 3-21). In the ILR group, severe ventricular arrhythmia was associated with frequent premature ventricular complexes, more non-sustained ventricular tachycardias, greater left ventricular diameter and greater posterolateral mitral annular disjunction distance (all P < 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The yearly incidence of ventricular arrhythmia was high in arrhythmic mitral valve syndrome patients without previous severe arrhythmias using continuous heart rhythm monitoring. The incidence was even higher in patients with secondary preventive ICD. Frequent premature ventricular complexes, non-sustained ventricular tachycardias, greater left ventricular diameter and greater posterolateral mitral annular disjunction distance were predictors of first severe arrhythmic event.

Disease progression rate is a strong predictor of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with cardiac laminopathies: a primary prevention cohort study.

AIMS: Cardiac disease progression prior to first ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in LMNA genotype-positive patients is not described. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a primary prevention cohort study, including consecutive LMNA genotype-positive patients from our centre. Patients underwent repeated clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic examinations. Electrocardiographic and echocardiographic disease progression as a predictor of first-time VA was evaluated by generalized estimation equation analyses. Threshold values at transition to an arrhythmic phenotype were assessed by threshold regression analyses. We included 94 LMNA genotype-positive patients without previous VA (age 38 ± 15 years, 32% probands, 53% females). Nineteen (20%) patients experienced VA during 4.6 (interquartile range 2.1-7.3) years follow up, at mean age 50 ± 11 years. We analysed 536 echocardiographic and 261 electrocardiogram examinations. Individual patient disease progression was associated with VA [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) odds ratio (OR) 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-1.6 per 5% reduction, left ventricular end-diastolic volume index (LVEDVi) OR 1.2 (95% CI 1.1-1.3) per 5 mL/m2 increase, PR interval OR 1.2 (95% CI 1.1-1.4) per 10 ms increase]. Threshold values for transition to an arrhythmic phenotype were LVEF 44%, LVEDVi 77 mL/m2, and PR interval 280 ms. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of first-time VA was 20% during 4.6 years follow up in LMNA genotype-positive patients. Individual patient disease progression by ECG and echocardiography were strong predictors of VA, indicating that disease progression rate may have additional value to absolute measurements when considering primary preventive ICD. Threshold values of LVEF <44%, LVEDVi >77 mL/m2, and PR interval >280 ms indicated transition to a more arrhythmogenic phenotype.

Timing of cardioverter-defibrillator implantation in patients with cardiac laminopathies-External validation of the LMNA-risk ventricular tachyarrhythmia calculator.

BACKGROUND: LMNA genotype-positive patients have high risk of experiencing life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VTAs). The LMNA-risk VTA calculator published in 2019 has not been externally validated. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to validate the LMNA-risk VTA calculator. METHODS: We included LMNA genotype-positive patients without previous VTAs from 2 large Scandinavian centers. Patients underwent electrocardiography, 24-hour Holter monitoring, and echocardiographic examinations at baseline and repeatedly during follow-up. Validation of the LMNA-risk VTA calculator was performed using Harrell's C-statistic derived from multivariable Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: We included 118 patients (age 37 years [IQR 27-49 years]; 39 [33%] probands; 65 [55%] women; 100 [85%] with non-missense LMNA variants). Twenty-three patients (19%) experienced VTA during 6.1 years (interquartile range 3.0-9.1 years) follow-up, resulting in 3.0% (95% confidence interval 2.0%-4.5%) yearly incidence rate. Atrioventricular block and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction were independent predictors of VTAs, while nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, male sex, and non-missense LMNA variants were not. The LMNA-risk VTA calculator showed 83% sensitivity and 26% specificity for identifying patients with VTAs during the coming 5 years, and a Harrell's C-statistic of 0.85, when applying ≥7% predicted 5-year VTA risk as threshold. The sensitivity increased to 100% when reevaluating risk at the time of last consultation before VTA. The calculator overestimated arrhythmic risk in patients with mild and moderate phenotype, particularly in men. CONCLUSION: Validation of the LMNA-risk VTA calculator showed high sensitivity for subsequent VTAs, but overestimated arrhythmic risk when using ≥7% predicted 5-year risk as threshold. Frequent reevaluation of risk was necessary to maintain the sensitivity of the model.

Effect of continuous positive airway pressure therapy on recurrence of atrial fibrillation after pulmonary vein isolation in patients with obstructive sleep apnea: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether treatment with continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) reduces AF recurrence after catheter ablation with pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess the effect of CPAP treatment on the recurrence and burden of AF after PVI in patients with OSA. METHODS: We randomized patients with paroxysmal AF and an apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) ≥15 events/hour to treatment with CPAP or standard care. Heart rhythm was monitored by an implantable loop recorder. AF recurrence after PVI was defined as any episode of AF lasting >2 minutes after a 3-month blanking period. RESULTS: PVI was performed in 83 patients. Thirty-seven patients were randomized to CPAP treatment and 46 patients to standard care. The AHI was reduced from 26.7 ± 14 events/hour to 1.7 ± 1.3 events/hour at follow-up in the CPAP group (P = .001). A total of 57% of patients in both the CPAP group and the standard care group had at least 1 episode of AF 3-12 months after PVI (P for difference = 1). AF burden after ablation was reduced in both groups, with no between-group difference (P = .69). CONCLUSION: In patients with paroxysmal AF and OSA, treatment with CPAP did not further reduce the risk of AF recurrence after ablation. PVI considerably reduced the burden of AF in OSA patients, without any difference between groups.

Exercise training during childhood and adolescence is associated with favorable diastolic function in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Diastolic dysfunction is an important part of the clinical phenotype in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). While exercise training is known to improve left ventricular (LV) diastolic function in normal hearts, the effects of exercise training during childhood and adolescence in carriers of HCM-associated genetic variants are unknown. METHODS: In a cross-sectional and retrospective study, we combined clinical and echocardiographic data with history of exercise training from childhood to time of examination in 187 participants with HCM or an HCM-causative genotype. Multiple linear regression was used to identify correlations between exercise training performed prior to 20 years of age and LV diastolic parameters from echocardiography. RESULTS: Exercise training during childhood and adolescence was correlated with a favorable e', E/e', E deceleration time, and end-diastolic volume (EDV), when adjusting for the effects of age at examination, and presence of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). This correlation was evident both in patients with a HCM phenotype (HCM LVH+), and in individuals with an HCM-causative genotype without LV hypertrophy (G+ LVH-). None of the diastolic parameters correlated unfavorably with increasing exercise exposure. CONCLUSION: More exercise training during childhood and adolescence was associated with favorable LV diastolic function in both HCM LVH+ and G+ LVH- groups, regardless of presence of hypertrophy at the time of examination. These results indicate that exercise training initiated during childhood and adolescence has positive effects on cardiac function later in life for individuals with HCM or an HCM-causative genotype.

Pregnancy and Progression of Cardiomyopathy in Women With LMNA Genotype-Positive.

Background We aimed to assess the association between number of pregnancies and long-term progression of cardiac dysfunction, arrhythmias, and event-free survival in women with pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants of gene encoding for Lamin A/C proteins ( LMNA+). Methods and Results We retrospectively included consecutive women with LMNA+ and recorded pregnancy data. We collected echocardiographic data, occurrence of atrial fibrillation, atrioventricular block, sustained ventricular arrhythmias, and implantation of cardiac electronic devices (implantable cardioverter defibrillator/cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator). We analyzed retrospectively complications during pregnancy and the peripartum period. We included 89 women with LMNA+ (28% probands, age 41±16 years), of which 60 had experienced pregnancy. Follow-up time was 5 [interquartile range, 3-9] years. We analyzed 452 repeated echocardiographic examinations. Number of pregnancies was not associated with increased long-term risk of atrial fibrillation, atrioventricular block, sustained ventricular arrhythmias, or implantable cardioverter defibrillator/cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator implantation. Women with previous pregnancy and nulliparous women had a similar annual deterioration of left ventricular ejection fraction (-0.5/year versus -0.3/year, P=0.37) and similar increase of left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (0.1/year versus 0.2/year, P=0.09). Number of pregnancies did not decrease survival free from death, left ventricular assist device, or need for cardiac transplantation. Arrhythmias occurred during 9% of pregnancies. No increase in maternal and fetal complications was observed. Conclusions In our cohort of women with LMNA+, pregnancy did not seem associated with long-term adverse disease progression or event-free survival. Likewise, women with LMNA+ generally well-tolerated pregnancy, with a small proportion of patients experiencing arrhythmias.

A new prediction model for ventricular arrhythmias in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is characterized by ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). We aimed to develop a model for individualized prediction of incident VA/SCD in ARVC patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Five hundred and twenty-eight patients with a definite diagnosis and no history of sustained VAs/SCD at baseline, aged 38.2 ± 15.5 years, 44.7% male, were enrolled from five registries in North America and Europe. Over 4.83 (interquartile range 2.44-9.33) years of follow-up, 146 (27.7%) experienced sustained VA, defined as SCD, aborted SCD, sustained ventricular tachycardia, or appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. A prediction model estimating annual VA risk was developed using Cox regression with internal validation. Eight potential predictors were pre-specified: age, sex, cardiac syncope in the prior 6 months, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, number of premature ventricular complexes in 24 h, number of leads with T-wave inversion, and right and left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs). All except LVEF were retained in the final model. The model accurately distinguished patients with and without events, with an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73-0.81] and minimal over-optimism [calibration slope of 0.93 (95% CI 0.92-0.95)]. By decision curve analysis, the clinical benefit of the model was superior to a current consensus-based ICD placement algorithm with a 20.3% reduction of ICD placements with the same proportion of protected patients (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Using the largest cohort of patients with ARVC and no prior VA, a prediction model using readily available clinical parameters was devised to estimate VA risk and guide decisions regarding primary prevention ICDs (www.arvcrisk.com).

Electrical markers and arrhythmic risk associated with myocardial fibrosis in mitral valve prolapse.

AIMS: We aimed to characterize the substrate of T-wave inversion (TWI) using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) and the association between diffuse fibrosis and ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in patients with mitral valve prolapse (MVP). METHODS AND RESULTS: TWI was defined as negative T-wave ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 adjacent ECG leads. Diffuse myocardial fibrosis was assessed by T1 relaxation time and extracellular volume (ECV) fraction by T1-mapping CMR. We included 162 patients with MVP (58% females, age 50 ± 16 years), of which 16 (10%) patients had severe VA (aborted cardiac arrest or sustained ventricular tachycardia). TWI was found in 34 (21%) patients. Risk of severe VA increased with increasing number of ECG leads displaying TWI [OR 1.91, 95% CI (1.04-3.52), P = 0.04]. The number of ECG leads displaying TWI increased with increasing lateral ECV (26 ± 3% for TWI 0-1leads, 28 ± 4% for TWI 2leads, 29 ± 5% for TWI ≥3leads, P = 0.04). Patients with VA (sustained and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia) had increased lateral T1 (P = 0.004), also in the absence of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) (P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Greater number of ECG leads with TWI reflected a higher arrhythmic risk and higher degree of lateral diffuse fibrosis by CMR. Lateral diffuse fibrosis was associated with VA, also in the absence of LGE. These results suggest that TWI may reflect diffuse myocardial fibrosis associated with VA in patients with MVP. T1-mapping CMR may help risk stratification for VA.

Integrating Exercise Into Personalized Ventricular Arrhythmia Risk Prediction in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Exercise is associated with sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy (ARVC) but is not included in the ARVC risk calculator (arvcrisk.com). The objective of this study is to quantify the influence of exercise at diagnosis on incident VA risk and evaluate whether the risk calculator needs adjustment for exercise. METHODS: We interviewed ARVC patients without sustained VA at diagnosis about their exercise history. The relationship between exercise dose 3 years preceding diagnosis (average METh/wk) and incident VA during follow-up was analyzed with time-to-event analysis. The incremental prognostic value of exercise to the risk calculator was evaluated by Cox models. RESULTS: We included 176 patients (male, 43.2%; age, 37.6±16.1 years) from 3 ARVC centers, of whom 53 (30.1%) developed sustained VA during 5.4 (2.7-9.7) years of follow-up. Exercise at diagnosis showed a dose-dependent nonlinear relationship with VA, with no significant risk increase <15 to 30 METh/wk. Athlete status, using 3 definitions from literature (>18, >24, and >36 METh/wk), was significantly associated with VA (hazard ratios, 2.53-2.91) but was also correlated with risk factors currently in the risk calculator model. Thus, adding athlete status to the model did not change the C index of 0.77 (0.71-0.84) and showed no significant improvement (Akaike information criterion change, <2). CONCLUSIONS: Exercise at diagnosis was dose dependently associated with risk of sustained VA in ARVC patients but only above 15 to 30 METh/wk. Exercise does not appear to have incremental prognostic value over the risk calculator. The ARVC risk calculator can be used accurately in athletic patients without modification.

Genotype-phenotype correlation in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy-risk of arrhythmias and heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is predominantly caused by desmosomal genetic variants, and clinical hallmarks include arrhythmias and systolic dysfunction. We aimed at studying the impact of the implicated gene(s) on the disease course. METHODS: The Nordic ARVC Registry holds data on a multinational cohort of ARVC families. The effects of genotype on electrocardiographic features, imaging findings and clinical events were analysed. RESULTS: We evaluated 419 patients (55% men), with a mean follow-up of 11.2±7.4 years. A pathogenic desmosomal variant was identified in 62% of the 230 families: PKP2 in 41%, DSG2 in 13%, DSP in 7% and DSC2 in 3%. Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤45% on cardiac MRI was more frequent among patients with DSC2/DSG2/DSP than PKP2 ARVC (27% vs 4%, p<0.01). In contrast, in Cox regression modelling of patients with definite ARVC, we found a higher risk of arrhythmias among PKP2 than DSC2/DSG2/DSP carriers: HR 0.25 (0.10-0.68, p<0.01) for atrial fibrillation/flutter, HR 0.67 (0.44-1.0, p=0.06) for ventricular arrhythmias and HR 0.63 (0.42-0.95, p<0.05) for any arrhythmia. Gene-negative patients had an intermediate risk (16%) of LVEF ≤45% and a risk of the combined arrhythmic endpoint comparable with DSC2/DSG2/DSP carriers. Male sex was a risk factor for both arrhythmias and reduced LVEF across all genotype groups (p<0.01). CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of ARVC families with long-term follow-up, we found PKP2 genotype to be more arrhythmic than DSC2/DSG2/DSP or gene-negative carrier status, whereas reduced LVEF was mostly seen among DSC2/DSG2/DSP carriers. Male sex was associated with a more severe phenotype.

Progression of cardiac disease in patients with lamin A/C mutations.

AIMS: We aimed to study the progression of cardiac dysfunction in patients with lamin A/C mutations and explore markers of adverse cardiac outcome. METHODS AND RESULTS: We followed consecutive lamin A/C genotype-positive patients divided into tertiles according to age. Patients underwent repeated clinical examinations, electrocardiograms (ECGs), and echocardiograms. We followed left ventricular (LV) and right ventricular (RV) size and function, and the severity atrioventricular-valve regurgitations. Outcome was death, LVAD implant, or cardiac transplantation. We included 101 patients [age 44 (29-54) years, 39% probands, 50% female]. We analysed 576 echocardiograms and 258 ECGs during a follow-up of 4.9 (interquartile range 2.5-8.2) years. The PR-interval increased at young age from 204 ± 73 to 212 ± 69 ms (P < 0.001), LV ejection fraction (LVEF) declined from middle age from 50 ± 12% to 47 ± 13% (P < 0.001), while LV volumes remained unchanged. RV function and tricuspid regurgitation worsened from middle age with accelerating rates. Progression of RV dysfunction [odds ratio (OR) 1.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.03-1.65), P = 0.03] and tricuspid regurgitation [OR 4.9, 95% CI (1.64-14.9), P = 0.004] were associated with outcome when adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, LVEF, and New York Heart Association functional class. CONCLUSION: In patients with lamin A/C genotype, electrical disease started at young age. From middle age, LV function deteriorated progressively, while LV size remained unchanged. Worsening of RV function and tricuspid regurgitation accelerated in older age and were associated with outcome. Our systematic map on cardiac deterioration may help optimal monitoring and prognostication in lamin A/C disease.