Cutting-edge pharmacotherapy for hepatitis C virus infection: a comprehensive review.

INTRODUCTION: Pharmacotherapy against hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has tremendously improved since the advent of interferon (IFN)-free direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Additionally, fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs, which are safe, potent, easy for use, and can cover a wide spectrum of patients, have been recommended by professional guidelines for DAA-naïve and DAA-experienced patients with HCV. AREAS COVERED: We review the pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and potential drug-drug interactions (DDIs) of fixed-dose pangenotypic DAA regimens, including glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB), sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL), and sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir (SOF/VEL/VOX). Additionally, we summarize the efficacy and safety of these regimens in clinical trials as well as real-world studies for treating different populations. Lastly, we discuss unmet medical needs in managing HCV in the era of fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs. EXPERT OPINION: Protease inhibitors (PIs), including GLE and VOX, are prone to have more frequent DDIs, compared to the non-structural (NS) 5A and 5B inhibitors. These regimens are generally well tolerated and can be applied to different populations, except for the contraindicated use of PI-containing DAA regimens in decompensated cirrhosis. Using the first-line GLE/PIB and SOF/VEL can eradicate HCV in more than 95% of DAA-naïve patients across different populations. The viral cure usually exceeds 95% when using the rescue SOF/VEL/VOX regimen for prior DAA failures.

Factors associated with pre-treatment hyperferritinemia in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

Pre-treatment host and viral factors may affect serum ferritin levels in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We delineated pre-treatment factors associated with hyperferritinemia in these patients. 1682 eligible patients underwent pre-treatment assessment for serum ferritin and various host/viral factors. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to evaluate factors associated with hyperferritinemia. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that age > 50 years (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.38 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-1.74), p = 0.008), fibrosis stage ≥ F3 (adjusted OR: 1.36 (95% CI 1.04-1.77), p = 0.02), fibrosis index based on four parameters (FIB-4) > 3.25 (adjusted OR: 1.46 (95% CI 1.11-1.92), p = 0.01), presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) (adjusted OR: 1.43 (95% CI 1.21-1.76), p = 0.001), and alanine transaminase (ALT) > 2 folds upper limit of normal (ULN) (adjusted OR: 2.87 (95% CI 2.20-3.75), p < 0.001) were associated hyperferritinemia. The log10 value of HBV or HCV viral load was not associated with the log10 value of ferritin level (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient: - 0.025, p = 0.81 and 0.002, p = 0.92). In conclusion, host factors, rather than viral factors, are associated with hyperferritinemia in patients with HCV.

Serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer dynamics in patients achieving sustained virologic response for hepatitis C virus.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Understanding the dynamics of serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) remains pivotal for hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients' post-sustained virologic response (SVR12) through direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). METHODS: We compared areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of M2BPGi, FIB-4, and APRI and assess M2BPGi cutoff levels in predicting fibrosis stages of ≥F3 and F4 utilizing transient elastography in 638 patients. Variations in M2BPGi levels from pretreatment to SVR12 and their association with pretreatment alanine transaminase (ALT) levels and fibrosis stage were investigated. RESULTS: The AUROCs of M2BPGi were comparable to FIB-4 in predicting ≥F3 (0.914 vs 0.902, P = 0.48) and F4 (0.947 vs 0.915, P = 0.05) but were superior to APRI in predicting ≥F3 (0.914 vs 0.851, P = 0.001) and F4 (0.947 vs 0.857, P < 0.001). Using M2BPGi cutoff values of 2.83 and 3.98, fibrosis stages of ≥F3 and F4 were confirmed with a positive likelihood ratio ≥10. The median M2BPGi change was -0.55. Patients with ALT levels ≥5 times ULN or ≥F3 demonstrated more pronounced median decreases in M2BPGi level compared to those with ALT levels 2-5 times ULN and <2 times ULN (-0.97 vs -0.68 and -0.44; P < 0.001) or with < F3 (-1.52 vs -0.44; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Serum M2BPGi is a reliable marker for advanced hepatic fibrosis. Following viral clearance, there is a notable M2BPGi decrease, with the extent of reduction influenced by ALT levels and fibrosis stage.

Benefits of Hepatitis C Viral Eradication: A Real-World Nationwide Cohort Study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) increases the risk of liver cirrhosis (LC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This nationwide cohort study assessed the effectiveness of viral eradication of CHC. METHODS: The Taiwanese chronic hepatitis C cohort and Taiwan hepatitis C virus (HCV) registry are nationwide HCV registry cohorts incorporating data from 23 and 53 hospitals in Taiwan, respectively. This study included 27,577 individuals from these cohorts that were given a diagnosis of CHC and with data linked to the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients received either pegylated interferon and ribavirin or direct-acting antiviral agent therapy for > 4 weeks for new-onset LC and liver-related events. RESULTS: Among the 27,577 analyzed patients, 25,461 (92.3%) achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The mean follow-up duration was 51.2 ± 48.4 months, totaling 118,567 person-years. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, the hazard ratio (HR) for incident HCC was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-1.95, p = 0.052) among noncirrhotic patients without SVR compared with those with SVR and 1.82 (95% CI 1.34-2.48) among cirrhotic patients without SVR. The HR for liver-related events, including HCC and decompensated LC, was 1.70 (95% CI 1.30-2.24) among cirrhotic patients without SVR. Patients with SVR had a lower 10-year cumulative incidence of new-onset HCC than those without SVR did (21.7 vs. 38.7% in patients with LC, p < 0.001; 6.0 vs. 18.4% in patients without LC, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: HCV eradication reduced the incidence of HCC in patients with and without LC and reduced the incidence of liver-related events in patients with LC.

Pre-Existing and New-Onset Metabolic Dysfunctions Increase Cirrhosis and Its Complication Risks in Chronic Hepatitis B.

INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasing among the chronic hepatitis B (CHB) population. This study aimed to explore the impact of metabolic dysfunction (MD) on cirrhosis and cirrhotic complication risks in CHB. METHODS: Patients with CHB were consecutively recruited between 2006 and 2021. The presence of MD was based on the 5 cardiometabolic criteria specified in the MASLD definition. Patients were categorized into MD/non-MD groups based on these criteria. RESULTS: Eleven thousand five hundred two treatment-naive noncirrhotic patients with CHB were included with a median follow-up of 5.3 years. Patients in the MD group (n = 7,314) were older and had lower hepatitis B virus DNA levels than non-MD patients (n = 4,188). After adjustment for clinical and viral factors, MD patients had significantly higher risks of cirrhosis (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.82, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.40-2.37, P < 0.001) and cirrhotic complications (aHR: 1.30 per MD, 95% CI: 1.03-1.63, P = 0.025) in a dose-dependent manner. Furthermore, new-onset diabetes mellitus during the follow-up aggravated the risk of cirrhotic complications (aHR: 2.87, 95% CI: 1.34-6.11, P = 0.006). Hepatic steatosis was associated with lower risks of cirrhosis (aHR: 0.57 within 5 years, 95% CI: 0.44-0.74, P < 0.001) and cirrhotic complications (aHR: 0.45, 95% CI 0.23-0.88, P = 0.020). Among individuals with hepatic steatosis, patients with MASLD exhibited a higher cirrhosis risk than non-MD patients. DISCUSSION: Concurrent and new-onset MDs increase the risks of cirrhosis and cirrhotic complications in patients with CHB, independent of hepatic steatosis. Proactively investigating metabolic comorbidities in CHB is critical to stratify the risk of liver disease progression.

Fibrosis-4 index stratifies risks of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk stratification for patients with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial. We aimed to investigate the role of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in predicting chronic hepatitis C (CHC)-related HCC. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study consecutively included treatment-naive CHC patients receiving longitudinal follow-up at the National Taiwan University Hospital from 1986 to 2014. The clinical data were collected and traced for HCC development. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the predictors for HCC. RESULTS: A total of 1285 patients in the ERADICATE-C cohort were included. The median age was 54, 56% were females, and 933 had HCV viremia. There were 33%, 38%, and 29% of patients having FIB-4 index <1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥3.25, respectively. After a median of 9-year follow-up, 186 patients developed HCC. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age, AFP≥20 ng/mL, cirrhosis, and a higher FIB-4 index were independent predictors for HCC. Compared with patients with FIB-4 index <1.45, those with FIB-4 1.45-3.25 had a 5.51-fold risk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.65-11.46), and those with FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 had 7.45-fold risk (95% CI: 3.46-16.05) of HCC. In CHC patients without viremia, FIB-4 index 1.45-3.25 and FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 increased 6.78-fold and 16.77-fold risk of HCC, respectively, compared with those with FIB-4 < 1.45. CONCLUSION: The baseline FIB-4 index can stratify the risks of HCC in untreated CHC patients, even those without viremia. The FIB-4 index should thus be included in the management of CHC.

Four weeks of off-treatment follow-up is sufficient to determine virologic responses at off-treatment week 12 in patients with hepatitis C virus infection receiving fixed-dose pangenotypic direct-acting antivirals.

Early confirmation of sustained virologic response (SVR) or viral relapse after direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is essential based on public health perspectives, particularly for patients with high risk of nonadherence to posttreatment follow-ups. A total of 1011 patients who achieved end-of-treatment virologic response, including 526 receiving fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs, and 485 receiving other types of DAAs, who had available off-treatment weeks 4 and 12 serum HCV RNA data to confirm SVR at off-treatment week 12 (SVR12) or viral relapse were included. The positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of SVR4 to predict patients with SVR12 or viral relapse were reported. Furthermore, we analyzed the proportion of concordance between SVR12 and SVR24 in 943 patients with available SVR24 data. The PPV and NPV of SVR4 to predict SVR12 were 98.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 98.0-98.9) and 100% (95% CI: 66.4-100) in the entire population. The PPV of SVR4 to predict SVR12 in patients receiving fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs was higher than those receiving other types of DAAs (99.8% [95% CI: 98.9-100] vs. 97.1% [95% CI: 96.2-97.8], p < 0.001). The NPVs of SVR4 to predict viral relapse were 100%, regardless of the type of DAAs. Moreover, the concordance between SVR12 and SVR24 was 100%. In conclusion, an off-treatment week 4 serum HCV RNA testing is sufficient to provide an excellent prediction power of SVR or viral relapse at off-treatment week 12 among patients with HCV who are treated with fixed-dose pangenotypic DAAs.

Comparison of diagnostic performance among Abbott RealTime HCV Genotyping II, Abbott HCV Genotype plus RUO, and Roche Cobas HCV Genotyping assays for hepatitis C virus genotyping.

Comparison of diagnostic accuracy for commercial hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotyping (Abbott RealTime HCV Genotyping II, Roche Cobas Genotyping) and investigational Abbott HCV Genotype plus RUO assays designed to discriminate genotype (GT)-1a, 1b or 6 in cases of ambiguous GT from the Abbott commercial assay remains limited. 743 HCV-viremic samples were subjected to analysis using Abbott and Roche commercial as well as Abbott HCV Genotype plus RUO assays. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) targeting core region was employed as the reference standard. Diagnostic accuracy was reported as the number of participants (percentages) along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Using NGS, 741 samples (99.7%) yielded valid genotyping results. The diagnostic accuracies were 97.6% (95% CI: 96.1%-98.5%) and 95.3% (95% CI: 93.4%-96.6%) using Abbott and Roche commercial assays (p = 0.0174). Abbott commercial assay accurately diagnosed HCV GT-6a and 6w, whereas Roche commercial assay accurately diagnosed HCV GT-6a. Both assays demonstrated low accuracies for HCV GT-6b, 6e, 6g, and 6n. Abbott HCV Genotype plus RUO assay discriminated 13 of the 14 samples (92.9%; 95% CI: 64.2%-99.6%) that yielded ambiguous GT. Both assays were capable of diagnosing mixed HCV infections when the minor genotype comprised >8.4% of the viral load. The diagnostic performance of commercial HCV genotyping assays is commendable. Abbott assay demonstrated superior performance compared to Roche assay in diagnosing HCV GT-6. Abbott HCV Genotype plus RUO assay aids in discriminating ambiguous GT. Both commercial assays are proficient in diagnosing mixed HCV infections at a cut-off viral load of 8.4% in minor genotype.

Metformin and statins reduce hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis C patients with failed antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who failed antiviral therapy are at increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study assessed the potential role of metformin and statins, medications for diabetes mellitus (DM) and hyperlipidemia (HLP), in reducing HCC risk among these patients. METHODS: We included CHC patients from the T-COACH study who failed antiviral therapy. We tracked the onset of HCC 1.5 years post-therapy by linking to Taiwan's cancer registry data from 2003 to 2019. We accounted for death and liver transplantation as competing risks and employed Gray's cumulative incidence and Cox subdistribution hazards models to analyze HCC development. RESULTS: Out of 2,779 patients, 480 (17.3%) developed HCC post-therapy. DM patients not using metformin had a 51% increased risk of HCC compared to non-DM patients, while HLP patients on statins had a 50% reduced risk compared to those without HLP. The 5-year HCC incidence was significantly higher for metformin non-users (16.5%) versus non-DM patients (11.3%; adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio [aSHR]=1.51; P=0.007) and metformin users (3.1%; aSHR=1.59; P=0.022). Statin use in HLP patients correlated with a lower HCC risk (3.8%) compared to non-HLP patients (12.5%; aSHR=0.50; P<0.001). Notably, the increased HCC risk associated with non-use of metformin was primarily seen in non-cirrhotic patients, whereas statins decreased HCC risk in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients. CONCLUSION: Metformin and statins may have a chemopreventive effect against HCC in CHC patients who failed antiviral therapy. These results support the need for personalized preventive strategies in managing HCC risk.

Dynamic change of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in patients with hepatitis C virus infection after achieving sustained virologic response with direct-acting antivirals.

BACKGROUND: Information on the dynamics of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) among hepatitis C virus patients achieving sustained virologic response (SVR12) with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is limited. METHODS: We enrolled 1512 eligible participants in this prospective study. MASLD was defined by a controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) of ≥248 dB/m utilizing vibration-controlled transient elastography in conjunction with presence of ≥1 cardiometabolic risk factor. The distribution of MASLD and the changes in CAP were evaluated before treatment and at SVR12. Forward stepwise logistic regression analyses were performed to determine factors significantly associated with the regression or emergence of MASLD. RESULTS: The prevalence of MASLD decreased from 45.0% before treatment to 36.1% at SVR12. Among 681 participants with MASLD before treatment, 144 (21%) exhibited MASLD regression at SVR12. Conversely, among 831 participants without MASLD before treatment, 9 (1.1%) developed MASLD at SVR12. Absence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) [odds ratio (OR): 1.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-2.65, p = 0.011], age > 50 years (OR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.11-2.68, p = 0.015), and alanine transaminase (ALT) ≤ 2 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) (OR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.03-2.37, p = 0.035) were associated with the regression of MASLD. Presence of T2D was associated with the emergence of MASLD (OR: 5.83, 95% CI: 1.51-22.56, p = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of MASLD decreased after achieving SVR12 with DAAs. Patients with pre-existing T2D showed a diminished probability of MASLD regression and a heightened risk of MASLD emergence post-SVR12.

Tenofovir versus entecavir on recurrence and mortality of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative therapy.

BACKGROUND: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients of hepatitis B. This study compared the difference between ETV and TDF on risk of HCC recurrence and mortality in patients with HBV-related HCC after curative intent treatment. METHODS: Patients with HBV-related HCC who received HCC treatment (surgery or radiofrequency ablation [RFA]) and underwent long-term ETV or TDF therapy were retrospectively included. Baseline characteristics including age, sex, antiviral therapy, liver reserve, HCC stages, pathology reports and treatment modality were obtained. The risk of tumor recurrence, all-cause mortality, HCC-related mortality, and liver function were compared. RESULTS: We identified 390 HBV-related HCC patients with curative intent treatment for HCC and treated with ETV (n = 328) or TDF (n = 62) between January 2011 and December 2020. The median age was 60 years, and 90.7% patients were males. After a median follow-up of 29 months, 186 patients developed recurrent HCC and 111 died. The baseline characteristics were comparable except more ALBI grade 3 patients in TDF group (76% vs. 48%, P < 0.001). Compared to ETV group, TDF users had lower all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.38, P = 0.003), and HCC-related mortality (aHR: 0.23, P = 0.005). Lower recurrence rate was noticed in TDF users after inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). TDF users had improved ALBI grade and FIB-4 index compared with ETV groups. CONCLUSION: TDF therapy is associated with a reduced risk of HCC-related outcomes among patients with HBV-related HCC after curative intent treatment compared with ETV usage.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease Facilitates Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance and Seroconversion.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance is the goal of functional cure for hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, the impact of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) on this favorable outcome remains unclear. METHODS: Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) were consecutively recruited. MASLD was defined by the newly proposed disease criteria. Cumulative incidences and associated factors of HBsAg seroclearance/seroconversion were compared between the MASLD and non-MASLD groups. RESULTS: From 2006 to 2021, 4084 treatment-naive hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative CHB patients were included. At baseline, CHB patients with concurrent MASLD (n = 887) had significantly lower levels of HBsAg and HBV DNA than the non-MASLD group (n = 3197). During a median follow-up of 5.0 years, MASLD was associated with a higher likelihood of HBsAg seroclearance (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-1.85; P = .007), and the accumulation of individual metabolic dysfunctions additively facilitated HBsAg seroclearance. In addition, a higher rate of HBsAg seroconversion was observed in patients with MASLD versus those without MASLD (aHR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.00-1.86; P = .049). In sensitivity analysis, patients with intermittent MASLD had an intermediate probability of HBsAg seroclearance. After balancing clinical and virologic profiles by inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), MASLD was still associated with a higher HBsAg seroclearance rate (IPTW-adjusted HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.09-1.84; P = .010). CONCLUSIONS: In untreated HBeAg-negative CHB patients, concurrent MASLD is associated with higher rates of HBsAg seroclearance and seroconversion. Metabolic dysfunctions have additive effects on the functional cure of CHB.

HBcrAg-based risk score performs better than the HBV DNA-based scores for HCC prediction in grey zone patients who are HBeAg-negative.

Background & Aims: Risk scores have been designed to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in treatment-naive patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, little is known about their predictive accuracy in HBeAg-negative patients in the grey zone (GZ). We aimed to develop a HBcrAg-based HCC risk score and explore whether it outperforms other risk scores in GZ patients. Methods: Two retrospective cohorts of HBeAg-negative patients with American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases-defined GZ were established for derivation and validation (Taiwanese, N = 911; Japanese, N = 806). All of them were non-cirrhotic at baseline and remained treatment-naive during the follow-up. The primary endpoint was HCC development. Results: In a median follow-up period of 15.5 years, 85 patients developed HCC in the derivation cohort. We found that age, sex, alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, and HBcrAg, but not HBV DNA levels, were independent predictors and a 20-point GZ-HCC score was developed accordingly. The 10-year and 15-year area under the ROC curve (AUROC) ranged from 0.83 to 0.86, which outperformed the HBV DNA-based HCC risk scores, including REACH-B and GAG-HCC scores (AUROC ranging from 0.66 to 0.74). The better performance was also validated in EASL- and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver-defined GZ patients. These findings remained consistent in the validation cohort. Finally, the low-risk and high-risk GZ patients (stratified by a score of 8) had an HCC risk close to inactive CHB and immune-active CHB patients, respectively, in both cohorts. Conclusions: The HBcrAg-based GZ-HCC score predicts HCC better than other HBV DNA-based risk scores in GZ patients who are HBeAg-negative patients, which may help optimise their clinical management. Impact and implications: We have developed a risk score based on HBcrAg, which has shown better predictive ability for HCC compared with other risk scores based on HBV DNA. Using a score of 8, GZ patients can be classified into low- and high-risk groups, which can guide follow up and early treatment, respectively. This validated risk score is a valuable tool for optimising the management of GZ patients who are HBeAg-negative.

High PIVKA-II level and ASAP score predict 1-year risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B patients.

Protein induced by Vitamin K absence or antagonists-II (PIVKA-II) is a diagnostic marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate the predictive role of PIVKA-II and ASAP score for development of HCC in 1 year among untreated patients of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We conducted this case-control study to include untreated CHB patients followed at the National Taiwan University Hospital and grouped into HCC and matched non-HCC groups. Their archived serum samples were assayed for PIVKA-II levels 1 year before HCC, at HCC or their last serum sample. A total of 69 HCC cases and 102 non-HCC controls were recruited. Baseline PIVKA-II level was significantly higher in the HCC group than in the control group and it could predict HCC development in 1 year with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76. Multivariable analysis adjusting age, sex, liver function and alpha-fetoprotein level showed that baseline PIVKA-II ≥31 mAU/mL (vs. <31 mAU/mL) increased 12.5-fold risk (95% CI: 4.9-31.7) of HCC in 1 year, and even in patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein levels. The ASAP score, a combination of age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein and PIVKA-II, increases the predictability for HCC in 1 year. We concluded that both high PIVKA-II level and ASAP score may predict HCC development in 1 year in untreated CHB patients, especially in patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein level.

Serial increase and high alpha-fetoprotein levels predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in 6 months.

AIM: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) checkup with abdominal ultrasonography for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance remains controversial. We evaluated a serial AFP-increase and high AFP levels in the prediction of HCC. METHODS: At-risk patients with chronic liver disease underwent HCC surveillance with trimonthly AFP measurement were included and categorized into HCC and non-HCC groups. Their AFP levels at 12, 9, and 6 months (-6M) before the outcome date were evaluated. Group-based trajectory analysis and multivariable regression analysis were performed to identify AFP trajectories as risk predictors for HCC. RESULTS: Overall, 2776 patients were included in the HCC (n = 326) and non-HCC (n = 2450) groups. Serial AFP levels were significantly higher in the HCC than the non-HCC groups. Trajectory analysis identified AFP-increase group (11%) increased 24-fold risks of HCC compared with the AFP-stable (89%) group. Compared with patients without the AFP-increase, a serial 3-month AFP-increase ≥10% elevated HCC risk by 12.1-fold (95% CI: 6.5-22.4) in 6 months, and the HCC risks increased 13-60 fold in patients with cirrhosis, hepatitis B, or C receiving antiviral therapy, or AFP levels <20 ng/ml. Combining serial AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml at -6M significantly increased 41.7-fold (95% CI: 13.8-126.2) HCC risks. In patients who underwent biannual AFP checkups, those with both 6-month AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml increased 22.1-fold (95% CI: 12.52-39.16) HCC risks in 6 months. Most HCCs were detected at an early stage. CONCLUSIONS: Serial 3-6-month AFP-increase of ≥10% previously and AFP level of ≥20 ng/ml significantly increased HCC risks in 6 months.

Distinct effects of hepatic steatosis and metabolic dysfunction on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B.

OBJECTIVE: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) are the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aim to explore the impact of concurrent MAFLD on the risk of HCC in CHB. METHODS: Patients with CHB were consecutively recruited from 2006 to 2021. MAFLD was defined by steatosis and either obesity, diabetes mellitus, or other metabolic abnormalities. The cumulative incidence of HCC and associated factors were compared between the MAFLD and non-MAFLD groups. RESULTS: 10,546 treatment-naïve CHB patients were included with a median follow-up of 5.1 years. CHB patients with MAFLD (n = 2212) had fewer hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positivity, lower HBV DNA levels, and Fibrosis-4 index compared with the non-MAFLD group (n = 8334). MAFLD was independently associated with a 58% reduced risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.25-0.68, p < 0.001). Furthermore, steatosis and metabolic dysfunction had distinct effects on HCC. Steatosis was protective against HCC (aHR 0.45, 95% CI 0.30-0.67, p < 0.001), while a greater burden of metabolic dysfunction increased the risk (aHR 1.40 per dysfunction increase, 95% CI 1.19-1.66, p < 0.001). The protective effect of MAFLD was further confirmed in analysis with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), patients who had undergone antiviral therapy, those with probable MAFLD, and after multiple imputation for missing data. CONCLUSIONS: Concurrent hepatic steatosis is independently associated with a lower risk of HCC, whereas the increasing burden of metabolic dysfunction aggravates the risk of HCC in untreated CHB patients.

Pre-operative gamma-glutamyl transferase levels predict outcomes in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection.

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection is a curative therapy for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, HCC recurrence is not uncommon. Identifying outcome predictors helps to manage the disease. Gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) may predict the development of HCC, but its role to predict the outcomes after surgical resection of HCC was unclear. This study aimed to investigate pre-operative GGT levels for outcome prediction in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to include patients with HBV-related HCC receiving surgical resection. Clinical information, HCC characteristics and usage of antiviral therapy were collected. A time-dependent Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were used to predict HCC recurrence and survival. RESULTS: A total of 699 consecutive patients with HBV-related HCC who received surgical resection with curative intent between 2004 and 2013 were included. After a median of 4.4 years, 266 (38%) patients had HCC recurrence. Pre-operative GGT positively correlated with cirrhosis, tumor burden and significantly increased in patients to develop HCC recurrence. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that pre-operative GGT ≥38 U/L increased 57% risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-2.06) of recurrent HCC after adjustment for confounding factors. Specifically, pre-operative GGT ≥38 U/L predicted early (<2 years) HCC recurrence (HR: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.30-2.89). Moreover, pre-operative GGT ≥38 U/L predicted all-cause mortality (HR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.06-2.84) after surgery. CONCLUSION: Pre-operative GGT levels ≥38 U/L independently predict high risks of HCC recurrence and all-cause mortality in HBV-related HCC patients receiving surgical resection.

Splenic Arterial Pulsatility Index to Predict Hepatic Fibrosis in Hemodialysis Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection.

The clinical utility of the splenic arterial pulsatility index (SAPI), a duplex Doppler ultrasonographic index, to predict the stage of hepatic fibrosis in hemodialysis patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains elusive. We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional study to include 296 hemodialysis patients with HCV who underwent SAPI assessment and liver stiffness measurements (LSMs). The levels of SAPI were significantly associated with LSMs (Pearson correlation coefficient: 0.413, p < 0.001) and different stages of hepatic fibrosis as determined using LSMs (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient: 0.529, p < 0.001). The areas under receiver operating characteristics (AUROCs) of SAPI to predict the severity of hepatic fibrosis were 0.730 (95% CI: 0.671-0.789) for ≥F1, 0.782 (95% CI: 0.730-0.834) for ≥F2, 0.838 (95% CI: 0.781-0.894) for ≥F3, and 0.851 (95% CI: 0.771-0.931) for F4. Furthermore, the AUROCs of SAPI were comparable to those of the fibrosis index based on four parameters (FIB-4) and superior to those of the aspartate transaminase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index (APRI). The positive predictive value (PPV) for ≥F1 was 79.5% when the Youden index was set at 1.04, and the negative predictive values (NPVs) for ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 were 79.8%, 92,6%, and 96.9%, respectively, when the maximal Youden indices were set at 1.06, 1.19, and 1.30. The diagnostic accuracies of SAPI with the maximal Youden index for a fibrosis stage of ≥F1, ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 were 69.6%, 67.2%, 75.0%, and 85.1%, respectively. In conclusion, SAPI can serve as a good noninvasive index in predicting the severity of hepatic fibrosis in hemodialysis patients with chronic HCV infection.