Treating to target in multiple sclerosis: Do we know how to measure whether we hit it?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The rapidly evolving landscape of effective treatment options in multiple sclerosis has led to a shift of treatment objectives towards a treat-to-target approach aiming to suppress disease activity below the level of detectability early during the disease. To enable treat-to-target, a thorough reappraisal of available outcome measures with respect to their ability in this regard is required. METHODS: To that end, we conducted a comprehensive systematic literature review of more than 1000 studies using PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 methodology focusing on underlying evidence as well as utility and implementability in clinical practice. RESULTS: From there, we propose a set of measurable outcomes for everyday routine clinical practice as well as advanced/aspirational measurables requiring additional resources. We also outline remaining knowledge/technology gaps that need to be overcome to enable a treat-to-target approach. CONCLUSIONS: This work provides the basis for an evidence-based definition of outcome targets for relevant stakeholders and regulatory authorities.

Polygenic liability for anxiety in association with comorbid anxiety in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Comorbid anxiety occurs often in MS and is associated with disability progression. Polygenic scores offer a possible means of anxiety risk prediction but often have not been validated outside the original discovery population. We aimed to investigate the association between the Generalized Anxiety Disorder 2-item scale polygenic score with anxiety in MS. METHODS: Using a case-control design, participants from Canadian, UK Biobank, and United States cohorts were grouped into cases (MS/comorbid anxiety) or controls (MS/no anxiety, anxiety/no immune disease or healthy). We used multiple anxiety measures: current symptoms, lifetime interview-diagnosed, and lifetime self-report physician-diagnosed. The polygenic score was computed for current anxiety symptoms using summary statistics from a previous genome-wide association study and was tested using regression. RESULTS: A total of 71,343 individuals of European genetic ancestry were used: Canada (n = 334; 212 MS), UK Biobank (n = 70,431; 1,390 MS), and the USA (n = 578 MS). Meta-analyses identified that in MS, each 1-SD increase in the polygenic score was associated with ~50% increased odds of comorbid moderate anxious symptoms compared to those with less than moderate anxious symptoms (OR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.09-1.99). We found a similar direction of effects in the other measures. MS had a similar anxiety genetic burden compared to people with anxiety as the index disease. INTERPRETATION: Higher genetic burden for anxiety was associated with significantly increased odds of moderate anxious symptoms in MS of European genetic ancestry which did not differ from those with anxiety and no comorbid immune disease. This study suggests a genetic basis for anxiety in MS.

Relapse recovery in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: An analysis of the CombiRx dataset.

BACKGROUND: Clinical relapses are the defining feature of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (MS), but relatively little is known about the time course of relapse recovery. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the time course of and patient factors associated with the speed and success of relapse recovery in people with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). METHODS: Using data from CombiRx, a large RRMS trial (clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT00211887), we measured the time to recovery from the first on-trial relapse. We used Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Cox regression models to investigate the association of patient factors with the time to unconfirmed and confirmed relapse recovery. RESULTS: CombiRx included 1008 participants. We investigated 240 relapses. Median time to relapse recovery was 111 days. Most recovery events took place within 1 year of relapse onset: 202 of 240 (84%) individuals recovered during follow-up, 161 of 202 (80%) by 180 days, and 189 of 202 (94%) by 365 days. Relapse severity was the only factor associated with relapse recovery. CONCLUSION: Recovery from relapses takes place up to approximately 1 year after the event. Relapse severity, but no other patient factors, was associated with the speed of relapse recovery. Our findings inform clinical practice and trial design in RRMS.

Do the current MS clinical course descriptors need to change and if so how? A survey of the MS community.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The current clinical course descriptors of multiple sclerosis (MS) include a combination of clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features. Recently there has been a growing call to base these descriptors more firmly on biological mechanisms. We investigated the implications of proposing a new mechanism-driven framework for describing MS. METHODS: In a web-based survey, multiple stakeholders rated the need to change current MS clinical course descriptors, the definitions of disease course and their value in clinical practice and related topics. RESULTS: We received 502 responses across 49 countries. In all, 77% of the survey respondents supported changing the current MS clinical course descriptors. They preferred a framework that informs treatment decisions, aids the design and conduct of clinical trials, allows patients to understand their disease, and links disease mechanisms and clinical expression of disease. Clinical validation before dissemination and ease of communication to patients were rated as the most important aspects to consider when developing any new framework for describing MS. CONCLUSION: A majority of MS stakeholders agreed that the current MS clinical course descriptors need to change. Any change process will need to engage a wide range of affected stakeholders and be guided by foundational principles.

Polygenicity of Comorbid Depression in Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Depression is common in multiple sclerosis (MS) and is associated with faster disability progression. The etiology of comorbid depression in MS remains poorly understood. Identification of individuals with a high risk of depression, through polygenic scores (PGS), may facilitate earlier identification. Previous genetic studies of depression considered depression as a primary disorder, not a comorbidity, and thus, findings may not generalize to MS. Body mass index (BMI) is a risk factor of both MS and depression, and its association may highlight differences in depression in MS. To improve the understanding of comorbid depression in MS, we will investigate PGS in people with MS, with the hypothesis that a higher depression PGS is associated with increased odds for comorbid depression in MS. METHODS: Samples from 3 sources (Canada, UK Biobank, and the United States) were used. Individuals were grouped into cases (MS/comorbid depression) and compared with 3 control groups: MS/no depression, depression/no immune disease, and healthy persons. We used 3 depression definitions: lifetime clinical diagnoses, self-reported diagnoses, and depressive symptoms. The PGS were tested in association with depression using regression. RESULTS: A total of 106,682 individuals of European genetic ancestry were used: Canada (n = 370; 213 with MS), UK Biobank (n = 105,734; 1,390 with MS), and the United States (n = 578 with MS). Meta-analyses revealed individuals with MS and depression had a higher depression PGS compared with both individuals with MS without depression (odds ratio range per SD 1.29-1.38, p < 0.05) and healthy controls (odds ratio range per SD 1.49-1.53, p < 0.025), regardless of the definition applied and when sex stratified. The BMI PGS was associated with depressive symptoms (p ≤ 0.001). The depression PGS did not differ between depression occurring as a comorbid condition with MS or as the primary condition (odds ratio range per SD 1.03-1.13, all p > 0.05). DISCUSSION: A higher depression genetic burden was associated with approximately 30%-40% increased odds of depression in European genetic ancestry participants with MS compared with those without depression and was no different compared with those with depression and no comorbid immune disease. This study paves the way for further investigations into the possible use of PGS for assessing psychiatric disorder risk in MS and its application to non-European genetic ancestries.

Serum neurofilament light-chain levels and long-term treatment outcomes in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients: A post hoc analysis of the randomized CombiRx trial.

Background: CombiRx was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial in treatment-naive relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients randomized to intramuscular interferon beta-1a (IM IFN beta-1a), glatiramer acetate (GA), or both therapies. Objective: This analysis investigated changes in serum neurofilament light-chain (sNfL) levels in response to treatment and assessed baseline sNfL as a predictor of relapse. Methods: RRMS patients treated with IM IFN beta-1a 30 µg weekly + placebo (n = 159), GA 20 mg/mL daily + placebo (n = 172), or IM IFN beta-1a + GA (n = 344) were included. A linear mixed model compared sNfL values over time. Cox regression models analyzed baseline sNfL and gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions as predictors of relapse. Results: In all treatment arms, the proportion of patients with sNfL ≥16 pg/mL decreased significantly from baseline to 6 months and was maintained at 36 months. A significantly higher percentage of patients with both baseline sNfL ≥16 pg/mL and ≥1 Gd+ lesion experienced relapses within 90 days compared to patients with sNfL <16 pg/mL and/or no Gd+ lesions. Conclusion: sNfL levels were reduced within 6 months and remained low at 36 months. Results suggest that the combination of lesion activity and sNfL was a stronger predictor of relapse than either factor alone.

Effects of baseline age and disease duration on the efficacy and safety of siponimod in patients with active SPMS: Post hoc analyses from the EXPAND study.

BACKGROUND: Older age and longer disease duration (DD) may impact the effectiveness of disease-modifying therapies in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). Siponimod is a sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor modulator approved for the treatment of active secondary progressive MS (SPMS) in many countries. The pivotal phase 3 EXPAND study examined siponimod versus placebo in a broad SPMS population with both active and non-active disease. In this population, siponimod demonstrated significant efficacy, including a reduction in the risk of 3-month confirmed disability progression (3mCDP) and 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP). Benefits of siponimod were also observed across age and DD subgroups in the overall EXPAND population. Herein we sought to assess the clinical impact of siponimod across age and disease duration subgroups, specifically in participants with active SPMS. METHODS: This study is a post hoc analysis of a subgroup of EXPAND participants with active SPMS (≥ 1 relapse in the 2 years before the study and/or ≥ 1 T1 gadolinium-enhancing magnetic resonance imaging lesion at baseline) receiving oral siponimod (2 mg/day) or placebo during EXPAND. Data were analyzed for participant subgroups stratified by age at baseline (primary cut-off: < 45 year ≥ 45 years; and secondary cut-off: < 50 years or ≥ 50 years) and by DD at baseline (< 16 years or ≥ 16 years). Efficacy endpoints were 3mCDP and 6mCDP. Safety assessments included adverse events (AEs), serious AEs, and AEs leading to treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: Data from 779 participants with active SPMS were analyzed. All age and DD subgroups had 31-38% (3mCDP) and 27-43% (6mCDP) risk reductions with siponimod versus placebo. Compared with placebo, siponimod significantly reduced the risk of 3mCDP in participants aged ≥ 45 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.48-0.97), < 50 years (HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.49-0.98), ≥ 50 years (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.40-0.96), and in participants with < 16 years DD (HR: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.47-0.98). The risk of 6mCDP was significantly reduced with siponimod versus placebo for participants aged < 45 years (HR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.38-0.96), ≥ 45 years (HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.45-0.99), < 50 years (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.43-0.90), and in participants with < 16 years DD (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.38-0.87). Increasing age or longer MS duration did not appear to increase the risk of AEs, with an observed safety profile that remained consistent with the overall active SPMS and overall SPMS populations in EXPAND. CONCLUSIONS: In participants with active SPMS, treatment with siponimod demonstrated a statistically significant reduction in the risk of 3mCDP and 6mCDP compared with placebo. Although not every outcome reached statistical significance in the subgroup analyses (possibly a consequence of small sample sizes), benefits of siponimod were seen across a spectrum of ages and DD. Siponimod was generally well tolerated by participants with active SPMS, regardless of baseline age and DD, and AE profiles were broadly similar to those observed in the overall EXPAND population.

MS becomes a treatable disease: 30 years later.

30 years ago the first disease-modifying therapy for relapsing multiple sclerosis was approved for use in the United States and soon thereafter across the globe. Since then the field of MS therapeutics, and studies of immunopathogenesis and genetics, have advanced our understanding of the disease and raised the hope of better addressing the next challenges of treating progressive disease, enhancing repair of the damaged nervous system and, hopefully, of a cure. Thirty years into the MS treatment era, the field continues to debate fundamental aspects of MS, and there exists a widening chasm between the triumphs in relapsing disease and the desolation of MS progression, which remains the principal unmet need. In this Personal Viewpoint, we outline lessons learned from the first era of great therapeutic development, as we look to the future of MS research and therapeutics.

Efficacy of nabiximols oromucosal spray on spasticity in people with multiple sclerosis: Treatment effects on Spasticity Numeric Rating Scale, muscle spasm count, and spastic muscle tone in two randomized clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: To provide a comprehensive assessment of the treatment effects of nabiximols oromucosal spray on multiple sclerosis spasticity in two clinical trials, GWSP0604 and SAVANT. METHODS: Both studies enriched for responders before randomization, defined by a ≥20% improvement in Spasticity 0-10 numeric rating scale (NRS) score. Additionally, SAVANT used randomized re-titration following washout. Spasticity NRS outcomes, spasm count, and modified Ashworth scale (MAS) scores were analyzed. RESULTS: Mean change from baseline in average daily Spasticity NRS scores was significantly larger for nabiximols than placebo at all postbaseline timepoints, ranging from -0.36 to -0.89 in GWSP0604 and -0.52 to -1.96 in SAVANT. Percent reduction in geometric mean change from baseline in average daily spasm count for nabiximols ranged from 19-35% versus placebo. A treatment difference favoring nabiximols was observed in overall MAS scores during the randomized part of each study. Treatment effect was larger for combinations of lower limb muscle groups (ranging between -0.16 and -0.37). CONCLUSIONS: Nabiximols leads to improvement in spasticity that was sustained over the 12-week treatment period as measured by average daily Spasticity NRS scores, daily spasm counts, and MAS scores for combinations of muscle groups, especially the combination of the 6 key muscle groups in the lower limbs in NRS responders to nabiximols treatment.

The impact of relapse definition and measures of durability on MS clinical trial outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Definitions of trial measures are consequential to accurately capturing outcomes and cross-trial comparability, particularly for derivative measures. OBJECTIVE: Using CombiRx, examine the impact of relapse definition on endpoints and evaluate the durability of progression measures in Relapsing Remitting Multiple Sclerosis (RRMS). METHODS: CombiRx relapse types were distinguished by the presence or timing of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) increase. Using the broadest definition of relapse, progression endpoints were assessed in patients without relapses on trial. Durability compared EDSS at study end and time of worsening. RESULTS: Broadening relapse definition to the most inclusive definition increased annualized relapse rate (ARR) threefold in all arms and decreased progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), defined as 6-month confirmed disability worsening (6M CDW) without relapse, by 44%. Neither PIRA nor PIA (progression independent of any inflammatory activity) guaranteed durable worsening, with 43% and 40%, respectively, improving by end of study. Multivariate analysis showed two CDW events, not relapse, predicted durability among patients meeting 6M CDW. CONCLUSIONS: The stringency of relapse definition impacted absolute ARR and composite endpoints in RRMS. Despite the most generous relapse definition, 43% of patients meeting PIRA on trial did not have durable worsening suggesting that relapse definition and durability should be considered to avoid overestimating progression in RRMS trials.

Evaluation of immunological responses to third COVID-19 vaccine among people treated with sphingosine receptor-1 modulators and anti-CD20 therapy.

BACKGROUND: People living with multiple sclerosis (MS) and other disorders treated with immunomodulatory therapies remain concerned about suboptimal responses to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines. Important questions persist regarding immunological response to third vaccines, particularly with respect to newer virus variants. The objective of this study is to evaluate humoral and cellular immune responses to a third COVID-19 vaccine dose in people on anti-CD20 therapy and sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor (S1PR) modulators, including Omicron-specific assays. METHODS: This is an observational study evaluating immunological responses to third COVID-19 vaccine dose in participants treated with anti-CD20 agents, S1PR modulators, and healthy controls. Neutralizing antibodies against USA-WA1/2020 (WA1) and B.1.1.529 (BA.1) severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) were measured before and after third vaccine. Groups were compared by one-way ANOVA with Tukey multiple comparisons. Cellular responses to spike peptide pools generated from WA1 and BA.1 were evaluated. Pre-post comparisons were made by Wilcoxon paired t-tests, inter-cohort comparisons by Mann-Whitney t-test. RESULTS: This cohort includes 25 participants on anti-CD20 therapy, 12 on S1PR modulators, and 14 healthy controls. Among those on anti-CD20 therapy, neutralizing antibodies to WA1 were significantly reduced compared to healthy controls (ID50% GM post-vaccination of 8.1 ± 2.8 in anti-CD20 therapy group vs 452.6 ± 8.442 healthy controls, P < 0.0001) and neutralizing antibodies to BA.1 were below the threshold of detection nearly universally. However, cellular responses, including to Omicron-specific peptides, were not significantly different from controls. Among those on S1PR modulators, neutralizing antibodies to WA1 were detected in a minority, and only 3/12 had neutralizing antibodies just at the limit of detection to BA.1. Cellular responses to Spike antigen in those on S1PR modulators were reduced by a factor of 100 compared to controls (median 0.0008% vs. 0.08%, p < 0.001) and were not significantly "boosted" by a third injection. CONCLUSIONS: Participants on anti-CD20 and S1PR modulator therapies had impaired antibody neutralization capacity, particularly to BA.1, even after a third vaccine. T cell responses were not affected by anti-CD20 therapies, but were nearly abrogated by S1PR modulators. These results have clinical implications warranting further study.

Association of Vitamin D Polygenic Risk Scores and Disease Outcome in People With Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Observational studies suggest low levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) may be associated with increased disease activity in people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). Large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) suggest 25(OH)D levels are partly genetically determined. The resultant polygenic scores (PGSs) could serve as a proxy for 25(OH)D levels, minimizing potential confounding and reverse causation in analyses with outcomes. Herein, we assess the association of genetically determined 25(OH)D and disease outcomes in MS. METHODS: We generated 25(OH)D PGS for 1,924 PwMS with available genotyping data pooled from 3 studies: the CombiRx trial (n = 575), Johns Hopkins MS Center (n = 1,152), and Immune-Mediated Inflammatory Diseases study (n = 197). 25(OH)D-PGS were derived using summary statistics (p < 5 × 10-8) from a large GWAS including 485,762 individuals with circulating 25(OH)D levels measured. We included clinical and imaging outcomes: Expanded disability status scale (EDSS), timed 25-foot walk (T25FW), nine-hole peg test (9HPT), radiologic activity, and optical coherence tomography-derived ganglion cell inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness. A subset (n = 935) had measured circulating 25(OH)D levels. We fitted multivariable models based on the outcome of interest and pooled results across studies using random effects meta-analysis. Sensitivity analyses included a modified p value threshold for inclusion in the PGS (5 × 10-5) and applying Mendelian randomization (MR) rather than using PGS. RESULTS: Initial analyses demonstrated a positive association between generated 25(OH)D-PGS and circulating 25(OH)D levels (per 1SD increase in 25[OH]D PGS: 3.08%, 95% CI: 1.77%, 4.42%; p = 4.33e-06; R2 = 2.24%). In analyses with outcomes, we did not observe an association between 25(OH)D-PGS and relapse rate (per 1SD increase in 25[OH]D-PGS: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.87-1.10), EDSS worsening (per 1SD: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.87-1.28), change in T25FW (per 1SD: 0.07%; 95% CI: -0.34 to 0.49), or change in 9HPT (per 1SD: 0.09%; 95% CI: -0.15 to 0.33). 25(OH)D-PGS was not associated with new lesion accrual, lesion volume or other imaging-based outcomes (whole brain, gray, white matter volume loss or GCIPL thinning). The results were similarly null in analyses using other p value thresholds or those applying MR. DISCUSSION: Genetically determined lower 25(OH)D levels were not associated with worse disease outcomes in PwMS and raises questions about the plausibility of a treatment effect of vitamin D in established MS.

Disability outcomes in early-stage African American and White people with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Factors driving differences in disease burden between African American and White people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) remain unclear. Here, we explored whether differences in disability outcomes could be observed after controlling for major sociodemographic factors and comorbidities, and assessed the presence of a possible interaction between MS and race. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 120 pwMS within 6 years from disease onset and 82 healthy controls between 18 and 70 years of age, self-identified as either African American or White, were prospectively enrolled. Inclusion criteria for pwMS were: diagnosis of MS according to the revised McDonald criteria, relapsing-remitting phenotype and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) < 6.5. Study outcomes included: (i) global disability (EDSS); (ii) quantitative mobility and leg function (Timed 25 Foot Walk Test-T25FWT); (iii) quantitative finger dexterity (9-Hole Peg Test-9HPT); (iv) cognitive efficiency and speed performance (Symbol Digit Modalities Test-SDMT). Differences in disability outcomes were assessed employing multivariable linear regression models. Based on their association with MS or disability, covariates included age, gender, race, years of education, total income, body mass index, comorbidities. The interaction between MS and race on disability outcomes was estimated via relative excess risk of interaction and attributable proportion. RESULTS: Accounting for age, gender, total income, education, body mass index and comorbidities, African American pwMS showed significantly worse performances in manual dexterity and cognition than White pwMS (White pwMS coeff. 3.24, 95% CI 1.55, 4.92 vs African American pwMS coeff. 5.52, 95% CI 3.55, 7.48 and White pwMS coeff. -5.87, 95% CI -8.86, -2.87 vs African American pwMS coeff. -7.99, 95% CI -11.58,-4.38). MS and race independently contributed to the observed gradient in disability severity. CONCLUSIONS: Complex social disparities and systemic racism might contribute to clinical heterogeneity in MS.

Evaluation of neurotrophic factor secreting mesenchymal stem cells in progressive multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Autologous mesenchymal stem cell neurotrophic factor-secreting cells (NurOwn®) have the potential to modify underlying disease mechanisms in progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS). OBJECTIVE: This open-label phase II study was conducted to evaluate safety/efficacy of three intrathecal cell treatments. METHODS: Eighteen participants with non-relapsing PMS were treated. The primary endpoint was safety. Secondary endpoints included: cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers; timed 25-foot walk speed, nine-hole peg test (9-HPT), low-contrast letter acuity, symbol digit modalities test, and 12-item multiple sclerosis (MS) walking scale. Seventeen participants received all treatments. RESULTS: No deaths/adverse events related to worsening of MS, clinical/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) evidence of disease activation, and clinically significant changes in safety lab results were reported. Two participants developed symptoms of low back and leg pain, consistent with a diagnosis of arachnoiditis, occurring in one of three intrathecal treatments in both participants. Nineteen percent of treated participants achieved pre-specified ⩾ 25% improvements in timed 25-foot walk speed/nine-HPT at 28 weeks compared to baseline, along with consistent efficacy signals for pre-specified response criteria across other secondary efficacy outcomes. CSF neuroprotective factors increased, and inflammatory biomarkers decreased after treatment, consistent with the proposed mechanism of action. CONCLUSION: Based on these encouraging preliminary findings, further confirmation in a randomized study is warranted.

Predictors of Disease Activity and Worsening in Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis.

Background and Objectives: Disease activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) is highly variable, and there are limited prospective studies on predictors of disease outcomes. The goal of this study is to identify and assess patient characteristics in MS that predict disease activity and worsening. Methods: The study population consisted of a prospective cohort of 1,008 participants with relapsing-remitting onset MS enrolled in the CombiRx trial. Cox regression analysis was used to determine hazard ratio (HR) associations between baseline (BL) demographics, clinical history, MRI metrics, and treatment with outcomes of time to first new disease activity over up to 7 years of follow-up including relapse, MRI activity, and disease worsening. Results: One thousand eight participants were randomized, with 959 eligible for assessment of disease activity and worsening on follow-up. In multivariable models, the risk of relapse was higher in participants younger than 38 years at BL than in those older (HR range 1.36-1.43), with the presence of gadolinium (Gd)+ lesions at BL (HR 1.38, [95% confidence interval, CI 1.14, 1.67]) and with BL EDSS ≥3.5 vs <3.5 (HR range 1.63-1.67). The risk of new MRI activity was higher in younger participants (HR range 1.58-1.84), with higher preexisting lesion counts greater than the median lesion count with ≥71 T2 hyperintense lesions vs <71 (HR 1.50, [95% CI 1.27, 1.77]), with the presence of BL Gd+ lesions (HR 1.75, [95% CI 1.49, 2.06]), and higher BL T2 lesion volume (HR 1.02 for every unit increase in baseline volume, [95% CI 1.01, 1.03]). The risk of new MRI activity was lower in those receiving combination therapy compared with those that in those receiving either glatiramer acetate (HR range 0.67-0.68) or interferon beta-1a (HR range 0.68-0.70). The risk of disease worsening was higher for those with higher T2 volume (HR for 1 unit increase in volume 1.01, 95% CI 1.004, 1.03) and BL EDSS <2 (HR range 2.79-2.96). There were no associations between sex, race, and disease duration on relapse, MRI activity, or disease worsening in the multivariable analysis. Discussion: Prospective data from a large clinical trial cohort show that younger MS patients with high BL relapses and MRI lesion burden have the highest risk of subsequent disease activity. Trial Registration Information: Clinical trial registration number NCT00211887. CombiRx was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00211887) on September 21, 2005. Study enrollment began in January 2005.

Confirming a Historical Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis: Challenges and Recommendations.

Patients with a historical diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS)-a patient presenting with a diagnosis of MS made previously and by a different clinician-present specific diagnostic and therapeutic challenges in clinical practice. Application of the McDonald criteria is most straightforward when applied contemporaneously with a syndrome typical of an MS attack or relapse; however, retrospective application of the criteria in some patients with a historical diagnosis of MS can be problematic. Limited patient recollection of symptoms and evolution of neurologic examination and MRI findings complicate confirmation of an earlier MS diagnosis and assessment of subsequent disease activity or clinical progression. Adequate records for review of prior clinical examinations, laboratory results, and/or MRI scans obtained at the time of diagnosis or during ensuing care may be inadequate or unavailable. This article provides recommendations for a clinical approach to the evaluation of patients with a historical diagnosis of MS to aid diagnostic confirmation, avoid misdiagnosis, and inform therapeutic decision making.

Evaluation of immunological responses to third COVID-19 vaccine among people treated with sphingosine receptor-1 modulators and anti-CD20 therapy.

Importance: People living with multiple sclerosis (MS) and other disorders treated with immunomodulatory therapies remain concerned about suboptimal responses to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines. Important questions persist regarding immunological response to third vaccines, particularly with respect to newer virus variants. Objective: Evaluate humoral and cellular immune responses to third COVID-19 vaccine dose in people on anti-CD20 therapy and sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor (S1PR) modulators, including Omicron-specific assays. Design: Observational study evaluating immunological response to third COVID-19 vaccine dose in volunteers treated with anti-CD20 agents, S1PR modulators, and healthy controls. Neutralizing antibodies against USA-WA1/2020 (WA1) and B.1.1.529 (BA.1) severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) were measured before and after third vaccine. Cellular responses to spike peptide pools generated from WA1 and BA.1 were evaluated. Setting: Mount Sinai Hospital. Participants: People treated with anti-CD20 therapy or S1PR modulators and healthy volunteers. Exposure: Treatment with anti-CD20 therapy, S1PR modulator, or neither. Main outcomes and measures: Serum neutralizing antibodies and ex vivo T cell responses against SARS-CoV-2 antigens. Results: This cohort includes 25 participants on anti-CD20 therapy, 12 on S1PR modulators, and 14 healthy controls. Among those on anti-CD20 therapy, neutralizing antibodies to WA1 were significantly reduced compared to healthy controls (ID50% GM post-vaccination of 8.1 ± 2.8 in anti-CD20 therapy group vs 452.6 ± 8.442 healthy controls, P<0.0001) and neutralizing antibodies to BA.1 were below the threshold of detection nearly universally. However, cellular responses, including to Omicron-specific peptides, were not significantly different from controls. Among those on S1PR modulators, neutralizing antibodies to WA1 were detected in a minority, and only 3/12 had neutralizing antibodies just at the limit of detection to BA.1. Cellular responses to Spike antigen in those on S1PR modulators were reduced by a factor of 100 compared to controls (median 0.0008% vs. 0.08%, p<0.001) and were not significantly "boosted" by a third injection. Conclusions and Relevance: Participants on immunomodulators had impaired antibody neutralization capacity, particularly to BA.1, even after a third vaccine. T cell responses were not affected by anti-CD20 therapies, but were nearly abrogated by S1PR modulators. These results have clinical implications warranting further study.

Differential antibody response to COVID-19 vaccines across immunomodulatory therapies for multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest reduced humoral response to COVID-19 vaccination in immunosuppressed populations. Disease modifying therapies (DMTs) for multiple sclerosis (MS) have variable immunomodulatory effects, and limited data are available for all DMTs. We aimed to determine the impact of DMTs on antibody response to COVID-19 vaccination among MS patients. METHODS: Patients with documented COVID-19 vaccination dates and anti-spike antibody results post-vaccination were identified between March-August 2021. Clinical data were retrospectively abstracted from chart review. Deidentified data were analyzed to evaluate antibody response, and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify clinical and demographic predictors of antibody response. Data analysis was completed with SAS Studio, v3.8. RESULTS: A total of 353 individuals had documented COVID-19 vaccine and antibody test dates (58% Pfizer, 38% Moderna, and 4% Johnson & Johnson). Of these 353 patients, 72% developed antibodies, with a mean antibody test interval of 53 days (median 46) post final vaccine dose. 100% of those on no DMT (n = 34), injectables (n = 20), teriflunomide (n = 10), natalizumab (n = 71), and 97.8% of those on fumarates (n = 46/47) had a positive antibody result. One patient on cladribine (n = 1) had a negative antibody result. Of those on sphingosine-1 phosphate (S1P) modulators, 72.4% (n = 21/29) had a positive antibody result. Of those on anti-CD20 therapies, 37.6% (n = 53/141) had a positive antibody result. Multivariate modeling of the total cohort showed anti-CD20 therapy was significantly associated with lower odds of positive antibody response (OR = 0.024, 95% CI 0.01;0.05, p < 0.0001). Among S1P modulators, increased duration of therapy, and not lymphopenia, may be associated with lower odds of positive antibody response. Multivariate modeling of anti-CD20 therapies showed therapy duration < 1 year (OR 8.14, 95% CI 2.896;22.898 p < .0001) and prior COVID-19 infection (OR = 3.95, 95% CI 1.137;13.726, p = .03) were significantly associated with higher odds of a positive antibody response. In patients with recent B-cell data, mean B-cell count was higher in antibody-positive individuals compared to antibody-negative (32.9 vs. 3.9 cells, p = .0056). CONCLUSION: MS DMTs had variable impact on antibody response with mRNA and viral vector COVID-19 vaccines. All patients on no DMT, interferons, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide, natalizumab, and nearly all on fumarates had positive antibody responses post-vaccine. S1P modulators and anti-CD20 therapies attenuated antibody response post-vaccine. For patients on anti-CD20 therapies, shorter duration of therapy and prior COVID-19 infection predicted positive antibody response. Further studies are needed to determine clinical significance of antibody testing, development of cellular mediated immunity, and benefits of booster vaccinations.

How patients with multiple sclerosis acquire disability.

Patients with multiple sclerosis acquire disability either through relapse-associated worsening (RAW) or progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA). This study addresses the relative contribution of relapses to disability worsening over the course of the disease, how early progression begins and the extent to which multiple sclerosis therapies delay disability accumulation. Using the Novartis-Oxford multiple sclerosis (NO.MS) data pool spanning all multiple sclerosis phenotypes and paediatric multiple sclerosis, we evaluated ∼200 000 Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) transitions from >27 000 patients with ≤15 years follow-up. We analysed three datasets: (i) A full analysis dataset containing all observational and randomized controlled clinical trials in which disability and relapses were assessed (n = 27 328); (ii) all phase 3 clinical trials (n = 8346); and (iii) all placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trials (n = 4970). We determined the relative importance of RAW and PIRA, investigated the role of relapses on all-cause disability worsening using Andersen-Gill models and observed the impact of the mechanism of worsening and disease-modifying therapies on the time to reach milestone disability levels using time continuous Markov models. PIRA started early in the disease process, occurred in all phenotypes and became the principal driver of disability accumulation in the progressive phase of the disease. Relapses significantly increased the hazard of all-cause disability worsening events; following a year in which relapses occurred (versus a year without relapses), the hazard increased by 31-48% (all P < 0.001). Pre-existing disability and older age were the principal risk factors for incomplete relapse recovery. For placebo-treated patients with minimal disability (EDSS 1), it took 8.95 years until increased limitation in walking ability (EDSS 4) and 18.48 years to require walking assistance (EDSS 6). Treating patients with disease-modifying therapies delayed these times significantly by 3.51 years (95% confidence limit: 3.19, 3.96) and 3.09 years (2.60, 3.72), respectively. In patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, those who worsened exclusively due to RAW events took a similar length of time to reach milestone EDSS values compared with those with PIRA events; the fastest transitions were observed in patients with PIRA and superimposed relapses. Our data confirm that relapses contribute to the accumulation of disability, primarily early in multiple sclerosis. PIRA begins in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and becomes the dominant driver of disability accumulation as the disease evolves. Pre-existing disability and older age are the principal risk factors for further disability accumulation. The use of disease-modifying therapies delays disability accrual by years, with the potential to gain time being highest in the earliest stages of multiple sclerosis.