C-peptide concentration, mortality and vascular complications in people with Type 2 diabetes. The Skaraborg Diabetes Register.

AIM: To study the prognosis of patients with newly diagnosed Type 2 diabetes in primary care in relation to their baseline C-peptide concentration. METHODS: C-peptide concentrations were determined in 399 patients aged < 65 years with newly diagnosed Type 2 diabetes using the Skaraborg Diabetes Register, Sweden. Data on cardiovascular complications and death were extracted from national registers and a local study of retinopathy. Statistical analyses were performed using Cox regression. RESULTS: An analysis of C-peptide concentrations in quartiles, after adjusting for confounders, showed that patients in the highest quartile had a 2.75-fold higher risk of death from all causes compared with those in the lowest quartile (CI 1.17-6.47). By contrast, C-peptide concentration was not associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events or the development of retinopathy. CONCLUSIONS: Measurement of C-peptide concentration at diagnosis could help identify patients who are at high risk and who presumably would benefit from more intensive treatment.

Prevalence and molecular epidemiology of Staphylococcus aureus in Swedish nursing homes - as revealed in the SHADES study.

SUMMARY: Knowledge of carriage and population dynamics of Staphylococcus aureus is crucial for infection risk assessment and to reveal transmission patterns of strains. We report the prevalence and molecular epidemiology of S. aureus in elderly people (n = 290) living in nursing homes in three cities in the south of Sweden. The overall carriage prevalence rate was 48% when results from nares (31%) and throat (34%) samples were combined. Common spa types were equally distributed but a frequent type, t160, was found only in one of the regions. Carriage of different spa types was detected in 23% of individuals and antimicrobial resistance rates were higher in S. aureus isolates from those carrying more than one spa type. Five of the 21 individuals who carried different spa types were colonized simultaneously with resistant and non-resistant strains. Seventeen per cent of the individuals carried S. aureus of the same spa type on all occasions. Methicillin resistance was not detected. In conclusion we found a high prevalence of S. aureus in this elderly population with a high rate of dual colonization with different spa types. We also found signs of institutional spread of one strain.

Antibiotic prescribing for discoloured sputum in acute cough/lower respiratory tract infection.

We investigated whether discoloured sputum and feeling unwell were associated with antibiotic prescription and benefit from antibiotic treatment for acute cough/lower respiratory tract infection (LTRI) in a prospective study of 3,402 adults in 13 countries. A two-level model investigated the association between producing discoloured sputum or feeling generally unwell and an antibiotic prescription. A three-level model investigated the association between an antibiotic prescription and symptom resolution. Patients producing discoloured sputum were prescribed antibiotics more frequently than those not producing sputum (OR 3.2, 95% CI 2.1-5.0), unlike those producing clear/white sputum (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.61-1.48). Antibiotic prescription was not associated with a greater rate or magnitude of symptom score resolution (as measured by a 13-item questionnaire completed by patients each day) among those who: produced yellow (coefficient 0.00; p = 0.68) or green (coefficient -0.01; p = 0.11) sputum; reported any of three categories of feeling unwell; or produced discoloured sputum and felt generally unwell (coefficient -0.01; p = 0.19). Adults with acute cough/LRTI presenting in primary care settings with discoloured sputum were prescribed antibiotics more often compared to those not producing sputum. Sputum colour, alone or together with feeling generally unwell, was not associated with recovery or benefit from antibiotic treatment.

Variation in antibiotic prescribing and its impact on recovery in patients with acute cough in primary care: prospective study in 13 countries.

OBJECTIVE: To describe variation in antibiotic prescribing for acute cough in contrasting European settings and the impact on recovery. DESIGN: Cross sectional observational study with clinicians from 14 primary care research networks in 13 European countries who recorded symptoms on presentation and management. Patients followed up for 28 days with patient diaries. SETTING: Primary care. PARTICIPANTS: Adults with a new or worsening cough or clinical presentation suggestive of lower respiratory tract infection. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prescribing of antibiotics by clinicians and total symptom severity scores over time. RESULTS: 3402 patients were recruited (clinicians completed a case report form for 99% (3368) of participants and 80% (2714) returned a symptom diary). Mean symptom severity scores at presentation ranged from 19 (scale range 0 to 100) in networks based in Spain and Italy to 38 in the network based in Sweden. Antibiotic prescribing by networks ranged from 20% to nearly 90% (53% overall), with wide variation in classes of antibiotics prescribed. Amoxicillin was overall the most common antibiotic prescribed, but this ranged from 3% of antibiotics prescribed in the Norwegian network to 83% in the English network. While fluoroquinolones were not prescribed at all in three networks, they were prescribed for 18% in the Milan network. After adjustment for clinical presentation and demographics, considerable differences remained in antibiotic prescribing, ranging from Norway (odds ratio 0.18, 95% confidence interval 0.11 to 0.30) to Slovakia (11.2, 6.20 to 20.27) compared with the overall mean (proportion prescribed: 0.53). The rate of recovery was similar for patients who were and were not prescribed antibiotics (coefficient -0.01, P<0.01) once clinical presentation was taken into account. CONCLUSIONS: Variation in clinical presentation does not explain the considerable variation in antibiotic prescribing for acute cough in Europe. Variation in antibiotic prescribing is not associated with clinically important differences in recovery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT00353951.

Strama--a Swedish working model for containment of antibiotic resistance.

The overall aim of Strama (The Swedish Strategic Programme Against Antibiotic Resistance) is to preserve the effectiveness of antibiotics in humans and animals. Strama is organised at two levels: a network of independent local multidis ciplinary groups in each county that provide prescribers with feedback on antibiotic use and resistance and implement guidelines; and a national executive working group funded by the government. To gain an insight into antibiotic use, Strama has conducted several large diagnosis prescribing surveys in primary care, in the hospital settings and in nursing homes. National antibiotic susceptibility data for Sweden and mandatory notification show that in recent years the proportion of Streptococcus pneumoniae with decreased sensitivity to penicillin V has stabilised (around 6 %), but the number of notified cases of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA)has increased and ESBL-producing Enterobacteraceae have turned into an endemic situation. Still, Sweden is among the countries with the lowest rates of MRSA (<1 %), S. pneumoniae can still be treated with penicillin V and the rate of Escherichia coli-producingESBLs is below 5 %. Strama's activities have contributed to a steady decrease in antibiotic use from the mid 1990s until 2004(when total use slowly started to increase again) without measurable negative consequences. Regular collaboration with national and regional news media has been one of the key strategies.

Sustained reduction of antibiotic use and low bacterial resistance: 10-year follow-up of the Swedish Strama programme.

Increasing use of antibiotics and the spread of resistant pneumococcal clones in the early 1990s alarmed the medical profession and medical authorities in Sweden. Strama (Swedish Strategic Programme for the Rational Use of Antimicrobial Agents and Surveillance of Resistance) was therefore started in 1994 to provide surveillance of antibiotic use and resistance, and to implement the rational use of antibiotics and development of new knowledge. Between 1995 and 2004, antibiotic use for outpatients decreased from 15.7 to 12.6 defined daily doses per 1000 inhabitants per day and from 536 to 410 prescriptions per 1000 inhabitants per year. The reduction was most prominent in children aged 5-14 years (52%) and for macrolides (65%). During this period, the number of hospital admissions for acute mastoiditis, rhinosinusitis, and quinsy (peritonsillar abscess) was stable or declining. Although the epidemic spread in southern Sweden of penicillin-resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae was curbed, the national frequency increased from 4% to 6%. Resistance remained low in most other bacterial species during this period. This multidisciplinary, coordinated programme has contributed to the reduction of antibiotic use without measurable negative consequences. However, antibiotic resistance in several bacterial species is slowly increasing, which has led to calls for continued sustained efforts to preserve the effectiveness of available antibiotics.

Reduction of antibiotics sales and sustained low incidence of bacterial resistance: Report on a broad approach during 10 years to implement evidence-based indications for antibiotic prescribing in Jönköping County, Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Increased prevalence of resistance in major pathogens decreases the possibility to treat common infectious conditions. In the beginning of the 1990s, resistant pneumococci spread among children in southern Sweden, which alarmed both the profession and the medical authorities. We describe the measures taken to curb the spread of resistance and to reduce the use of antibiotics in outpatient care. METHOD: A national organization, Strama (Swedish Strategic Programme for the Rational Use of Antimicrobial Agents and Surveillance of Resistance), was initiated in 1994 and a regional committee was formed in Jönköping County in 1995. A multifaceted program was started aiming at reducing antibiotic use in the county by 25% and that the prevalence of resistant pneumococci should not increase. RESULTS: The efforts by the Jönköping County committee has resulted in a 31% total reduction of the consumption of antibiotic drugs in primary care between 1993 and 2005 and a 50% reduction among children aged 0 to 4 years. There has been no increase in the prevalence of resistant pneumococci or Haemophilus influenzae in the county. The decrease in antibiotic use was greater than the average in Sweden. CONCLUSION: Our regional efforts have been successful. This has probably been achieved by a sustained strategy including repeated campaigns in the media, information to the profession, implementation of guidelines, and feedback to the profession on data on antibiotic prescribing and resistance. We believe it is of outmost importance not only to inform the profession but also the public on the limited effects of antibiotics in most respiratory tract infections.

Use of rules of thumb in the consultation in general practice--an act of balance between the individual and the general perspective.

BACKGROUND: Rules of thumb used by GPs could be considered as empirical evidence of intuition and a link between science and practice in general practice. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the present study was to analyse the description of the application of rules of thumb with regard to different situations in general practice. METHODS: An explorative and descriptive study was started with focus group interviews. Four groups with 23 GPs were interviewed. The interviews were transcribed and analysed, and the rules and their application were classified by an editing analysis. RESULTS: A specific set of rules of thumb was used for rapid assessment, when emergency and psychosocial problems were identified. When the main focus of the problems was identified as somatic or psychosocial, the GPs did not disregard the other aspects but described the use of rules in a simultaneous individualizing and generalizing process. The rules contained probability reasoning and risk assessment. CONCLUSION: Rules of thumb seemed to serve as a link between theoretical knowledge and practical experience and were used by the GPs in an act of balance between the individual and the general perspective.

Chest pain and ischaemic heart disease in primary care.

BACKGROUND: Chest pain is the main symptom of first presentation with ischaemic heart disease (IHD). Little is known about the incidence of IHD among patients consulting the general practitioner (GP) for chest pain. AIMS: To estimate the occurrence of IHD among patients consulting for chest pain, to study the results of the bicycle exercise test, and to estimate the incidence of IHD in the population. DESIGN OF STUDY: Prospective descriptive study. SETTING: Three primary health centres in south-eastern Sweden. METHOD: All patients without a current IHD diagnosis, aged 20 to 79 years, and consulting for a new episode of chest pain, were included consecutively. The outcome was classified as IHD, possible IHD or not IHD, according to the results of a postal questionnaire, an exercise test or hospital care. Data from the hospital registry on patients with a diagnosis of IHD were analysed retrospectively. RESULTS: Out of 38,075 GP consultations, 577 (1.5%) were for chest pain. IHD was diagnosed in 41 (8%) of the chest pain patients, in 441 (83%) the diagnosis was excluded, and in 50 (9%) the diagnosis was judged as being uncertain. Even though the diagnostic criteria were strict, the exercise tests led to a diagnostic conclusion in 77% of the cases, most frequently a normal test result. Combining data from primary and hospital care, the yearly incidence of IHD was 6.5 diagnosed per 1000 inhabitants (aged 20 to 79 years old). CONCLUSION: The incidence of a new episode of chest pain bringing the patients to the GP was low. Eight per cent of the patients received an IHD diagnosis, and in 9% further investigation or clinical assessment is needed.

Asking for 'rules of thumb': a way to discover tacit knowledge in general practice.

BACKGROUND: Research in decision-making has identified heuristics (rules of thumb) as shortcuts to simplify search and choice. OBJECTIVE: To find out if GPs recognize the use of rules of thumb and if they could describe what they looked like. METHODS: An explorative and descriptive study was set up using focus group interviews. The interview guide contained the questions: Do you recognize the use of rules of thumb? Are you able to give some examples? What are the benefits and dangers in using rules of thumb? Where do they come from? The interviews were transcribed and analysed using the templates in the interview guide, and the examples of rules were classified by editing analysis. RESULTS: Four groups with 23 GPs were interviewed. GPs recognized using rules of thumb, producing examples covering different aspects of the consultation. The rules for somatic problems were formulated as axiomatic simplified medical knowledge and taken for granted, while rules for psychosocial problems were formulated as expressions of individual experience and were followed by an explanation. The rules seemed unaffected by the sparse objections given. A GP's clinical experience was judged a prerequisite for applying the rules. The origin of many rules was via word-of-mouth from a colleague. The GPs acknowledged the benefits of using the rules, thereby simplifying work. CONCLUSION: GPs recognize the use of rules of thumb as an immediate and semiconscious kind of knowledge that could be called tacit knowledge. Using rules of thumb might explain why practice remains unchanged although educational activities result in more elaborate knowledge.

Variation in antibiotic use in the European Union.

Data on antibiotic use are not publicly available in most European Union countries. We obtained data for non-hospital antibiotic sales for 1997 from the 15 member states and analysed these according to the Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical classification system, and expressed them as defined daily doses per 1000 people per day. Sales of antibiotics varied more than four-fold: France (36.5), Spain (32.4), Portugal (28.8), and Belgium (26.7) had the highest sales, whereas the Netherlands (8.9), Denmark (11.3), Sweden (13.5), and Germany (13.6) had the lowest. There was also profound variation in use of different classes of antibiotics. Detailed knowledge of antibiotic use is necessary to implement national strategies for optimum antibiotic use, and to address the threat posed by resistant microorganisms.

Frequency of penicillin-resistant pneumococci in children is correlated to community utilization of antibiotics.

OBJECTIVE: To study the impact of the utilization of antibiotics in children at the population level on the frequency of penicillin-nonsusceptible pneumococci (PNSP). DESIGN: Children ages 0 to 6 years with a nasopharyngeal culture of PNSP were registered on place of residency in the 20 municipalities of the former Malmöhus County (since 1998 a part of Skåne County). Where possible the total number of nasopharyngeal cultures with growth of pneumococci was registered as well. All antibiotic prescriptions for 0- to 6-year-old children were analyzed in the 20 municipalities. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Correlation between the utilization of antibiotics and the frequency of PNSP in children at the municipality level. RESULTS: The proportion of PNSP among all isolates of pneumococci from nasopharyngeal cultures varied between 0 and 49.5%. The antibiotic utilization in children varied among the 20 neighboring municipalities from 8.5 to 19.7 defined daily doses per 1000 children per day. The municipalities with high total utilization also had more frequent use of macrolides and broad spectrum antibiotics. The was a significant correlation between antibiotic use and the proportion of PNSP (correlation coefficient, 0.96; P = 0.002), and the correlation coefficients for trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, amoxicillins, macrolides and cephalosporins were significant at the 0.001 level. There was no significant correlation between the use of penicillin V and the frequency of PNSP. CONCLUSIONS. There was a significant correlation between the frequency of PNSP and the utilization of antibiotics in children at the population level.

Medical audit changes physicians' prescribing of antibiotics for respiratory tract infections.

OBJECTIVE: To reduce the prescribing of antibiotics in respiratory tract infections (RTI). DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: The Audit Odense model for registration and quality development was used for RTI. Twenty general practitioners registered their consultations for RTIs during 4 weeks in February-March (n = 1124) and November-December (n = 926) in 1995. Diagnosis, choice of antibiotics and diagnostic tools were registered. In between the two registrations an active intervention took place. Consultations for RTIs among 25 physicians (who had not participated in any intervention or follow-up discussion) served as a control. SETTING: General practice in southern Sweden. OUTCOME MEASURES: Prescribing of antibiotics before and after an intervention. RESULTS: The proportion of patients not receiving an antibiotic increased from the first to the second registration in both groups, in the intervention group from 45 to 55% (p < 0.001) and in the control group from 36 to 40% (p = 0.0298). The reduction was most evident in patients diagnosed with tonsillitis and bronchitis. This was in concordance with an increase in the use of desktop diagnostics (Strep A and CRP). CONCLUSION: These results indicate that it is possible to achieve a change in the utilisation of antibiotics in the treatment of RTIs and that the Audit Project Odense (APO) model could be a valuable tool.

Major change in the use of antibiotics following a national programme: Swedish Strategic Programme for the Rational Use of Antimicrobial Agents and Surveillance of Resistance (STRAMA).

In order to reduce inappropriate use of antibiotics and to counteract the increase in antimicrobial resistance in community-acquired and nosocomial infections, a national project was initiated in Sweden in 1994: the Swedish Strategic Programme for the Rational Use of Antimicrobial Agents and Surveillance of Resistance. In the first years the project focused on inappropriate prescribing of antibiotics to children with respiratory tract infections and on the surveillance of resistance in pneumococci. Statistics on antibiotic sales on a national and county level and for different age-groups were studied. Between 1993 and 1997 antibiotic prescribing was reduced by 22%, from 16.3 to 13.0 defined daily doses (DDD) per 1000 inhabitants/d. The reduction was most pronounced for children, 0-6-y-old, from 15.7 to 9.7 DDD/1000 children/d. Macrolides and amoxicillin/co-amoxyclav decreased most. There were large variations in antibiotic sales in different counties, and a decrease was also noted in counties starting from a low level. In the county with the highest sales in 1993, antibiotic prescribing to children was reduced by 40%. The national frequency of penicillin-non-susceptible pneumococci (MIC > or =0.1 mg/l) has not increased during the 1990s and the increasing incidence in southern Sweden seems to have been curtailed. During the period that the project has been running, a major change in the use of antibiotics, especially for pre-school children, has been achieved.

[Reduced frequency of resistant pneumococci in Southern Sweden. Community based disease control projects to minimize antibiotic resistance]. / Sänkt frekvens resistenta pneumokocker i Sydsverige. Samhällsbaserat smittskyddsprojekt mot antibiotikaresistens.

In an attempt to limit the spread of penicillin non-susceptible pneumococci (PNSP) in southern Sweden, early in 1995 an intervention project was launched, using a combination of traditional communicable disease control measures and actions aimed at reducing antibiotics consumption. Patients carrying PNSP (penicillin G MIC (0.5 mg/L) are monitored with nasopharyngeal cultures until PNSP-negative. Pre-school children are kept home from group day-care facilities. Previous antibiotic consumption was identified as a risk factor for PNSP carriage. Antibiotics sales decreased during the study period, and epidemiological findings suggest the dissemination of PNSP in the area to have been reduced by the intervention project.

Penicillin-resistant pneumococci in southern Sweden, 1993-1997.

In Malmöhus County, Southern Sweden, the frequency of penicillin-resistant pneumococci in nasopharyngeal specimens of outpatients with respiratory tract infections increased from 3.1% in 1993 to 7.6% in 1995, and was thereafter rather stable. Over the period, 82-85% of the patients with penicillin-resistant strains were children 0-6 years of age. Ten groups/types constituted 96-100% of the penicillin-resistant isolates. Grouping/typing of 200 consecutive isolates in October and November each year indicated that the distribution of groups/types amongst patients with respiratory tract infections was rather constant over the period. The frequency of penicillin-resistant pneumococci of groups/types 6, 14, and 19 roughly corresponded to the occurrence of these groups/types amongst the consecutive isolates. Other groups/types 9, 15, 21, and 23 either showed a pronounced increase or decrease, which could not be related to the prevalence of these groups/types among the consecutive isolates or degree of antibiotic resistance. Penicillin-resistant group 9, introduced in the area in 1993, consisted of one single clone, 9V. The stabilized level of penicillin resistance since 1995 may be related to the preventive measures implemented in the area, including day-care interventions, and measures to reduce the prescription rate of antibiotics to outpatients with respiratory tract infections.