Ophthalmic artery Doppler at 36 weeks' gestation in prediction of pre-eclampsia: validation and update of previous model.

OBJECTIVE: To validate and extend a model incorporating maternal ophthalmic artery Doppler at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of subsequent development of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS: This was a prospective validation study of screening for PE (defined according to the 2019 American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists criteria) by maternal ophthalmic artery peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio in 6746 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine care at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation (validation dataset). Additionally, the data from the validation dataset were combined with those of 2287 pregnancies that were previously used for development of the model (training dataset), and the combined data were used to update the original model parameters. The competing-risks model was used to estimate the individual patient-specific risk of delivery with PE at any time and within 3 weeks from assessment by a combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history with PSV ratio alone and in combination with the established PE biomarkers of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1). We evaluated the predictive performance of the model by examining, first, the ability to discriminate between the PE and non-PE groups using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve and the detection rate (DR) at fixed screen-positive (SPR) and false-positive rates of 10% and, second, calibration by measuring the calibration slope and calibration-in-the-large. McNemar's test was used to compare the performance of screening by a biophysical test (maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PSV ratio) vs a biochemical test (maternal factors, PlGF and sFlt-1), low PlGF concentration (< 10th percentile) or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio (> 90th percentile). RESULTS: In the validation dataset, the performance of screening by maternal factors and PSV ratio for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and at any time after assessment was consistent with that in the training dataset, and there was good agreement between the predicted and observed incidence of PE. In the combined data from the training and validation datasets, good prediction for PE was achieved in screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF, sFlt-1 and PSV ratio, with a DR, at a 10% SPR, of 85.0% (95% CI, 76.5-91.4%) for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and 65.7% (95% CI, 59.2-71.7%) for delivery with PE at any time after assessment. The performance of a biophysical test was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio but not significantly different from the performance of a biochemical test combining maternal factors with PlGF and sFlt-1 for both PE within 3 weeks and PE at any time after assessment. CONCLUSION: Maternal ophthalmic artery PSV ratio at 35-37 weeks' gestation in combination with other biomarkers provides effective prediction of subsequent development of PE. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Vascular phenotype at 35-37 weeks' gestation in women with gestational diabetes mellitus.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the vascular phenotype at 35-37 weeks' gestation of women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and compare it to that in women without GDM, using ophthalmic artery Doppler and carotid-femoral pulse-wave velocity. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study of women attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 37 + 6 weeks' gestation. This visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, ophthalmic artery Doppler for calculation of the peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio and assessment of cardiac output, stroke volume, total peripheral resistance, central systolic and diastolic blood pressure, carotid-femoral pulse-wave velocity and augmentation index. All measurements were standardized to remove the effects of maternal characteristics and elements from the medical history, and the adjusted values in the GDM group were compared with those in the non-GDM group. RESULTS: The study population of 2018 pregnancies contained 218 (10.8%) that developed GDM, including 78 (35.8%) that were treated with diet alone, 81 (37.2%) treated with metformin and 59 (27.1%) treated with insulin with or without metformin. In the GDM group, compared with the non-GDM group, there were significantly higher ophthalmic artery PSV ratio, carotid-femoral pulse-wave velocity and central systolic blood pressure, but there was no significant difference in cardiac output, stroke volume, total peripheral resistance, central diastolic blood pressure or augmentation index. In the GDM group, women treated with metformin or insulin had a higher ophthalmic artery PSV ratio compared with those treated with diet alone. Additionally, compared with the diet group, the metformin group had higher central systolic blood pressure and the insulin group had a higher carotid-femoral pulse-wave velocity. CONCLUSION: Women with GDM have evidence of early vascular disease, and this may contribute to their long-term cardiovascular risk. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.