Heart Failure Knowledge Assessment and Perceived Patient Satisfaction in Heart Failure Units: A Multicenter Observational Survey.

Background: Self-care and empowerment promotion in patients with heart failure (HF) is essential for improving their prognosis, but there is limited information concerning the patients' depth of knowledge about this pathology as well as patient satisfaction within heart failure units (HFUs). Our objective was to assess both aspects in a cohort of patients regularly followed-up HFUs. Methods: A multicenter, observational study was conducted with consecutive patients followed in 14 HFUs between June and November 2023. It was based on a cross-sectional survey comprising 23 questions related to demographics, knowledge/self-care, and the subjective assessment of perceived quality and satisfaction in HFUs. Results: 281 patients were included (36.7% women, 74.7% aged over 65 years). 48% had hospitalizations for HF or sought emergency department services within the preceding year. The mean correct responses related to knowledge were 9.7 ± 2.3 (80.7% of the total), and 53 patients (18.9%) answered all knowledge questions correctly. 211 (79.6%) could identify potential HF decompensation with abrupt weight gain, and 196 (74.2%) recognized at least three additional signs of worsening HF. 266 patients (98.2%) were likely or very likely to recommend HFUs, and 194 (89.8%) positively appreciated the experience at the day hospital. Conclusions: Patients followed up in HFUs showed adequate but improvable knowledge and capacity for self-care, with a high level of satisfaction.

Regional variations in relative sea-level changes influenced by nonlinear vertical land motion.

Vertical land movements can cause regional relative sea-level changes to differ substantially from climate-driven absolute sea-level changes. Whereas absolute sea level has been accurately monitored by satellite altimetry since 1992, there are limited observations of vertical land motion. Vertical land motion is generally modelled as a linear process, despite some evidence of nonlinear motion associated with tectonic activity, changes in surface loading or groundwater extraction. As a result, the temporal evolution of vertical land motion, and its contribution to projected sea-level rise and its uncertainty, remains unresolved. Here we generate a probabilistic vertical land motion reconstruction from 1995 to 2020 to determine the impact of regional-scale and nonlinear vertical land motion on relative sea-level projections up to 2150. We show that regional variations in projected coastal sea-level changes are equally influenced by vertical land motion and climate-driven processes, with vertical land motion driving relative sea-level changes of up to 50 cm by 2150. Accounting for nonlinear vertical land motion increases the uncertainty in projections by up to 1 m on a regional scale. Our results highlight the uncertainty in future coastal impacts and demonstrate the importance of including nonlinear vertical land motions in sea-level change projections.

Usefulness of Antigen Carbohydrate 125 and N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide for Assessing Congestion in Chronic Heart Failure: Insights from the CARDIOREN Registry.

INTRODUCTION: A comprehensive assessment of congestion, including circulating biomarkers, is recommended in patients with acute heart failure. The circulating biomarkers natriuretic peptides (NPs) and carbohydrate antigen-125 (CA125) could be useful for congestion assessment in ambulatory chronic heart failure (CHF), but there is only limited information about their applicability in this context. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the association of plasma CA125 and NP levels with clinical and ultrasound congestion parameters in CHF. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional substudy of the Cardioren Spanish Registry, which enrolled 1,107 patients with CHF from 13 tertiary hospitals in Spain between October 2021 and February 2022. Through ambulatory visits, we performed a comprehensive assessment of congestion-related parameters, including clinical variables (orthopnea, peripheral edema, and jugular engorgement, represented by the composite congestion score [CCS]), echocardiography variables (lung B-lines and inferior vena cava [IVC] diameter), and circulating biomarkers (CA125 and NPs). The association of the NP and CA125 levels with the clinical and echocardiographic congestion parameters was examined by multiple linear and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: This substudy included 802 patients for whom all the biomarker parameters were available {median age, 74 (interquartile range [IQR], 63-81) years; 65% male}. The proportion of patients with left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50% and estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 was 34% and 58%, respectively. The median CCS was 0 (IQR: 0-1), with 45% of the sample exhibiting a median CCS of ≥1. The jugular engorgement, peripheral edema, and orthopnea rates were 32%, 21%, and 21%, respectively. A total of 35% of patients who underwent ultrasound examination showed lung B-lines, and the median IVC diameter was 16 mm. The median CA125 and NTproBNP levels were 14 U/mL (IQR: 9-28) and 1,382 pg/mL (IQR: 563-3,219), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that higher CA125 levels were independently associated with higher odds of peripheral edema (p = 0.023) and lung B-lines (p < 0.001). Further, NTproBNP was positively associated with jugular engorgement (p < 0.001), orthopnea (p = 0.034), and enlarged IVC diameter (p = 0.031). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical signs of congestion are frequent in CHF. In the ambulatory setting, NTproBNP was associated with parameters linked to intravascular congestion such as orthopnea, jugular engorgement, and IVC diameter, whereas CA125 was associated with extravascular volume overload parameters (peripheral edema and lung B-lines).

Impact of natriuresis on worsening renal function during episodes of acute heart failure.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Worsening renal function (WRF) is a frequent complication in acute heart failure (AHF) with a controversial prognostic value. We aimed to study the usefulness of natriuresis to evaluate WRF. METHODS: We conducted an observational, prospective, multicenter study of patients with AHF who underwent a furosemide stress test. The patients were classified according to whether WRF was present or absent and according to the median natriuretic response. The main endpoint was the combination of mortality, rehospitalization due to HF, and heart transplant at 6 months of follow-up. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty-six patients were enrolled, and WRF occurred in 60 (38.5%). The patients were divided into 4 groups: a) 47 (30.1%) no WRF/low UNa (UNa ≤ 109 mEq/L); b) 49 (31.4%) no WRF/high UNa (UNa >109 mEq/L); c) 31 (19.9%) WRF/low UNa and d) 29 (18.6%) WRF/high UNa. The parameters of the WRF/low UNa group showed higher clinical severity and worse diuretic and decongestive response. The development of WRF was associated with a higher risk of the combined event (HR, 1.88; 95%CI, 1.01-3.50; P=.046). When stratified by natriuretic response, WRF was associated with an increased risk of adverse events in patients with low natriuresis (HR, 2.28; 95%CI, 1.15-4.53; P=.019), but not in those with high natriuresis (HR, 1.18; 95%CI, 0.26-5.29; P=.826). CONCLUSIONS: Natriuresis could be a useful biomarker for interpreting and prognosticating WRF in AHF. WRF is associated with a higher risk of adverse events only in the context of low natriuresis.

Efficacy and safety of hypertonic saline therapy in ambulatory patients with heart failure: The SALT-HF trial.

AIMS: Combination of hypertonic saline solution (HSS) with intravenous loop diuretics has been suggested to improve diuretic response in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF). The efficacy and safety of this approach in the ambulatory setting remain unexplored. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this multicentre, double-blind, randomized study, we allocated ambulatory patients with worsening heart failure (WHF) to a 1-h infusion of intravenous furosemide (ivFurosemide)-HSS versus ivFurosemide. The primary endpoint was the volume of diuresis at 3 h. Secondary endpoints included 3-h natriuresis and weight variation, 7-day congestion data, kidney function and electrolytes, and 30-day clinical events. Overall, 167 participants (median age: 81 years, 30.5% female) were randomized across 13 sites between December 2020 and March 2023. There were no differences in 3-h diuresis between treatments (ivFurosemide-HSS: 1099 ml vs. ivFurosemide: 1103 ml, p = 0.963), 3-h natriuresis (∆ +2.642 mEq/L, p = 0.559), or 3-h weight (∆ +0.012 kg, p = 0.920). Patients in the ivFurosemide-HSS arm experienced significant weight decrease at 7 days (Δ -0.586 kg, p = 0.048). There were no between-treatment differences in clinical congestion score, biomarkers, inferior vena cava diameter, or the presence of lung ultrasound B-lines. At 30 days, 26.5% of the patients in the ivFurosemide-HSS group versus 33.3% in the ivFurosemide group experienced WHF (hazard ratio 0.76, p = 0.330). The incidence of death from any cause or HF hospitalization was 6% of patients in the ivFurosemide-HSS group and 8.3% of patients in the ivFurosemide group (hazard ratio 0.69, p = 0.521). The incidence of worsening kidney function or metabolic derangements was not significantly different in the two arms. CONCLUSIONS: A single infusion of ivFurosemide-HSS did not improve 3-h diuresis or congestion parameters in patients with ambulatory WHF. This therapy showed an appropriate safety profile.

Congestion as a crucial factor determining albuminuria in patients with cardiorenal disease.

Background: Albuminuria could potentially emerge as a novel marker of congestion in acute heart failure. However, the current evidence linking albuminuria and congestion in patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) remains somewhat scarce. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of albuminuria in a cohort of patients with CHF, identify the independent factors associated with albuminuria and analyse the correlation with different congestion parameters. Methods: This is a subanalysis of the Spanish Cardiorenal Registry, in which we enrolled 864 outpatients with heart failure and a value of urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) at the first visit. Results: The median age was 74 years, 549 (63.5%) were male and 438 (50.7%) had a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. A total of 350 patients (40.5%) had albuminuria. Among these patients, 386 (33.1%) had a UACR of 30-300 mg/g and 64 (7.4%) had a UACR >300 mg/g. In order of importance, the independent variables associated with higher UACR were estimated glomerular filtration rate determined by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation (R2 = 57.6%), systolic blood pressure (R2 = 21.1%), previous furosemide equivalent dose (FED; R2 = 7.5%), antigen carbohydrate 125 (CA125; R2 = 6.1%), diabetes mellitus (R2 = 5.6%) and oedema (R2 = 1.9%). The combined influence of oedema, elevated CA125 levels and the FED accounted for 15.5% of the model's variability. Conclusions: In patients with chronic stable heart failure, the prevalence of albuminuria is high. The risk factors of albuminuria in this population are chronic kidney disease and hypertension. Congestion parameters are also associated with increased albuminuria.

Primary Low-Grade Peritoneal Serous Carcinoma in a Woman With Psammoma Bodies on Cervicovaginal Cytology.

Psammoma bodies in cervicovaginal cytology are a rare finding associated with malignant tumours. A 62-year-old woman was referred to our centre for cytology with nuclear atypia and psammomatous bodies suspicious of malignancy. A complete gynaecological examination was performed including colposcopy and ultrasound without significant changes. Hysteroscopy was performed to detect endometrial or endocervical malignancy, endometrial biopsy showed psammoma bodies and atrophic endometrium. Endocervical and cervical biopsies were negative for malignancy. Cervicovaginal cytology and human papillomavirus (HPV) testing were repeated. The result was suggestive of adenocarcinoma and negative for HPV. Laparoscopic hysterectomy with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy was indicated due to two cervicovaginal cytologies with suspicion of malignancy. Low-grade peritoneal serous carcinoma was diagnosed on the surface of the uterus, ovaries and peritoneum. A second laparoscopy was performed to exclude other pelvic or abdominal lesions, and disease was found in the peritoneum of the pelvis, abdomen and omentum. Adjuvant treatment with six cycles of carboplatin and paclitaxel was indicated. Psammoma bodies in cervicovaginal cytology are a rare clinical situation, and it is mandatory to exclude malignancy.

Clinical impact of remote heart failure management using the multiparameter ICD HeartLogic alert.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The multiparametric implantable cardioverter-defibrillator HeartLogic index has proven to be a sensitive and timely predictor of impending heart failure (HF) decompensation. We evaluated the impact of a standardized follow-up protocol implemented by nursing staff and based on remote management of alerts. METHODS: The algorithm was activated in HF patients at 19 Spanish centers. Transmitted data were analyzed remotely, and patients were contacted by telephone if alerts were issued. Clinical actions were implemented remotely or through outpatient visits. The primary endpoint consisted of HF hospitalizations or death. Secondary endpoints were HF outpatient visits. We compared the 12-month periods before and after the adoption of the protocol. RESULTS: We analyzed 392 patients (aged 69±10 years, 76% male, 50% ischemic cardiomyopathy) with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (20%) or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators (80%). The primary endpoint occurred 151 times in 86 (22%) patients during the 12 months before the adoption of the protocol, and 69 times in 45 (11%) patients (P<.001) during the 12 months after its adoption. The mean number of hospitalizations per patient was 0.39±0.89 pre- and 0.18±0.57 postadoption (P<.001). There were 185 outpatient visits for HF in 96 (24%) patients before adoption and 64 in 48 (12%) patients after adoption (P<.001). The mean number of visits per patient was 0.47±1.11 pre- and 0.16±0.51 postadoption (P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: A standardized follow-up protocol based on remote management of HeartLogic alerts enabled effective remote management of HF patients. After its adoption, we observed a significant reduction in HF hospitalizations and outpatient visits.

Combinational Diuretics in Heart Failure.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Diuretics are the cornerstone therapy for acute heart failure (HF) and congestion. Patients chronically exposed to loop diuretics may develop diuretic resistance as a consequence of nephron remodelling, and the combination of diuretics will be necessary to improve diuretic response and achieve decongestion. This review integrates data from recent research and offers a practical approach to current pharmacologic therapies to manage congestion in HF with a focus on combinational therapy. RECENT FINDINGS: Until recently, combined diuretic treatment was based on observational studies and expert opinion. Recent evidence from clinical trials has shown that combined diuretic treatment can be started earlier without escalating the doses of loop diuretics with an adequate safety profile. Diuretic combination is a promising strategy for overcoming diuretic resistance in HF. Further studies aiming to get more insights into the pathophysiology of diuretic resistance and large clinical trials confirming the safety and efficacy over standard diuretics regimens are warranted.

Practical Approaches to the Management of Cardiorenal Disease beyond Congestion.

BACKGROUND: The coexistence of heart and kidney diseases, also called cardiorenal syndrome, is very common, leads to increased morbidity and mortality, and poses diagnostic and therapeutic difficulties. There is a risk-treatment paradox, such that patients with the highest risk are treated with lesser disease-modifying medical therapies. SUMMARY: In this document, different scientific societies propose a practical approach to address and optimize cardiorenal therapies and related comorbidities systematically in chronic cardiorenal disease beyond congestion. Cardiorenal programs have emerged as novel models that may assist in delivering coordinated and holistic management for these patients. KEY MESSAGES: (1) Cardiorenal disease is a ubiquitous entity in clinical practice and is associated with numerous barriers that limit medical treatment. (2) The present article focuses on the practical approaches to managing chronic cardiorenal disease beyond congestion to overcome some of these barriers and improve the treatment of this high-risk population.

Protocolized Natriuresis-Guided Decongestion Improves Diuretic Response: The Multicenter ENACT-HF Study.

BACKGROUND: The use of urinary sodium to guide diuretics in acute heart failure is recommended by experts and the most recent European Society of Cardiology guidelines. However, there are limited data to support this recommendation. The ENACT-HF study (Efficacy of a Standardized Diuretic Protocol in Acute Heart Failure) investigated the feasibility and efficacy of a standardized natriuresis-guided diuretic protocol in patients with acute heart failure and signs of volume overload. METHODS: ENACT-HF was an international, multicenter, open-label, pragmatic, 2-phase study, comparing the current standard of care of each center with a standardized diuretic protocol, including urinary sodium to guide therapy. The primary end point was natriuresis after 1 day. Secondary end points included cumulative natriuresis and diuresis after 2 days of treatment, length of stay, and in-hospital mortality. All end points were adjusted for baseline differences between both treatment arms. RESULTS: Four hundred one patients from 29 centers in 18 countries worldwide were included in the study. The natriuresis after 1 day was significantly higher in the protocol arm compared with the standard of care arm (282 versus 174 mmol; adjusted mean ratio, 1.64; P<0.001). After 2 days, the natriuresis remained higher in the protocol arm (538 versus 365 mmol; adjusted mean ratio, 1.52; P<0.001), with a significantly higher diuresis (5776 versus 4381 mL; adjusted mean ratio, 1.33; P<0.001). The protocol arm had a shorter length of stay (5.8 versus 7.0 days; adjusted mean ratio, 0.87; P=0.036). In-hospital mortality was low and did not significantly differ between the 2 arms (1.4% versus 2.0%; P=0.852). CONCLUSIONS: A standardized natriuresis-guided diuretic protocol to guide decongestion in acute heart failure was feasible, safe, and resulted in higher natriuresis and diuresis, as well as a shorter length of stay.

Clinical profile, management and outcomes of patients with cardiogenic shock undergoing transfer between centers in Spain.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to analyze the clinical profile, management, and prognosis of ST segment elevation myocardial infarction-related cardiogenic shock (STEMI-CS) requiring interhospital transfer, as well as the prognostic impact of structural variables of the treating centers in this setting. METHODS: This study included patients with STEMI-CS treated at revascularization-capable centers from 2016 to 2020. The patients were divided into the following groups: group A: patients attended throughout their admission at hospitals with interventional cardiology without cardiac surgery; group B: patients treated at hospitals with interventional cardiology and cardiac surgery; and group C: patients transferred to centers with interventional cardiology and cardiac surgery. We analyzed the association between the volume of STEMI-CS cases treated, the availability of cardiac intensive care units (CICU), and heart transplant with hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 4189 episodes were included: 1389 (33.2%) from group A, 2627 from group B (62.7%), and 173 from group C (4.1%). Transferred patients were younger, had a higher cardiovascular risk, and more commonly underwent revascularization, mechanical circulatory support, and heart transplant during hospitalization (P<.001). The crude mortality rate was lower in transferred patients (46.2% vs 60.3% in group A and 54.4% in group B, (P<.001)). Lower mortality was associated with a higher volume of care and CICU availability (OR, 0.75, P=.009; and 0.80, P=.047). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of transfers in patients with STEMI-CS in our setting is low. Transferred patients were younger and underwent more invasive procedures. Mortality was lower among patients transferred to centers with a higher volume of STEMI-CS cases and CICU.

Diagnosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a systematic narrative review of the evidence.

Heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a common condition in clinical practice, affecting more than half of patients with HF. HFpEF is associated with morbidity and mortality and with considerable healthcare resource utilization and costs. Therefore, early diagnosis is crucial to facilitate prompt management, particularly initiation of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors. Although European guidelines define HFpEF as the presence of symptoms with or without signs of HF, left ventricular EF ≥ 50%, and objective evidence of cardiac structural and/or functional abnormalities, together with elevated natriuretic peptide levels, the diagnosis of HFpEF remains challenging. First, there is no clear consensus on how HFpEF should be defined. Furthermore, diagnostic tools, such as natriuretic peptide levels and resting echocardiogram findings, are significantly limited in the diagnosis of HFpEF. As a result, some patients are overdiagnosed (i.e., elderly people with comorbidities that mimic HF), although in other cases, HFpEF is overlooked. In this manuscript, we perform a systematic narrative review of the diagnostic approach to patients with HFpEF. We also propose a comprehensible algorithm that can be easily applied in daily clinical practice and could prove useful for confirming or ruling out a diagnosis of HFpEF.

Prevalence and clinical profile of kidney disease in patients with chronic heart failure. Insights from the Spanish cardiorenal registry.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Patients with combined heart failure (HF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) have been underrepresented in clinical trials. The prevalence of CKD in these patients and their clinical profile require constant evaluation. This study aimed to analyze the prevalence of CKD, its clinical profile, and patterns of use of evidence-based medical therapies in HF across CKD stages in a contemporary cohort of ambulatory patients with HF. METHODS: From October 2021 to February 2022, the CARDIOREN registry included 1107 ambulatory HF patients from 13 HF clinics in Spain. RESULTS: The median age was 75 years, 63% were male, and 48% had heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFrEF). A total of 654 (59.1%) had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and 122 (11%) patients with eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 had a urine albumin-creatinin ratio ≥ 30 mg/g. The most important variables associated with lower eGFR were age (R2=61%) and furosemide dose (R2=21%). The proportion of patients receiving an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/ angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB), an angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNi), a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i), or a mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) progressively decreased with lower eGFR categories. Notably, 32% of the patients with HFrEF and an eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 received the combination of ACEI/ARB/ARNi+beta-blockers+MRA+SGLT2i. CONCLUSIONS: In this contemporary HF registry, 70% of patients had kidney disease. Although this population is less likely to receive evidence-based therapies, structured and specialized follow-up approaches within HF clinics may facilitate the adoption of these life-saving drugs.

Early detection of ocular lesions in critically ill children: Testing an ocular assessment scale.

OBJECTIVE: There is scarcity of data on the incidence and factors associated with the occurrence of ocular lesions in critically ill children. The objective was to test the applicability and utility of an ocular assessment scale and to identify risk factors of ocular lesions. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: A tertiary care medical-surgical Paediatric Intensive Care Unit. SAMPLE: 194 children without previous ocular disease who stayed in the Paediatric Intensive Care Unit for more than 48 h. INTERVENTIONS: An ocular lesions risk scale was designed including risk factors lagophthalmos, eye dryness, conjunctival hyperemia, slow blinking, intubation, sedation, relaxation, face mask and hemodynamic instability. Patients were classified as high-, medium-, and low-risk patients. Corneal lesions were examined by fluorescein staining according to their risk and were confirmed by an ophthalmologist. RESULTS: 76 patients were examined with fluorescein staining. Thirty-two ocular lesions were detected by nursing staff, 26 confirmed by the ophthalmologist. 53.6% of the high-risk patients developed a corneal lesion. Univariate analysis revealed an association between ocular damage and all factors included in the scale, except for face mask. In the multivariate analysis, ocular lesions were associated with lagophthalmos, hyperemia, invasive mechanical ventilation and inotropic support. CONCLUSIONS: The scale was useful to detect corneal lesions in critically ill children. The identification of risk factors will enable the development of measures to reduce the incidence of ocular lesions. RELEVANCE FOR CLINICAL PRACTICE: A new, non-validated scale allowed staff to detect eye injuries, study this problem and improve future prevention.

Case report: Alternative approach for management of refractory volume overload in heart failure: usefulness of venous leg compression.

Background: Management of patients with refractory congestion, is one of the most important challenges in the field of heart failure (HF). Diuretic therapy remains the most widely used therapy to achieve euvolemia. However, some patients experience fluid overload despite the use of high-dose diuretics and new strategies to overcome diuretic resistance are needed. Case Summary: We report an 85 years-old male patient admitted for decompensated HF with persistent tissue fluid overload (peripheral edema) for more than two weeks despite high dose of intravenous furosemide with the combination of other diuretics. At this point, we performed leg venous compression using elastic bandages for three days. After 72 h, edema disappeared, and additional weight loss was achieved (1 kg/day). No side effects were observed and the patient was discharged home euvolemic. Conclusion: Venous leg compression may be an alternative therapy in patients with persistent tissue fluid overload resistant to diuretics.

Shoreline response to sea-level rise according to equilibrium beach profiles.

Shoreline position is a key parameter of a beach state, often used as a descriptor of the response of the system to changes in external forcing, such as sea-level rise. Changes in shoreline position are the result of coupled hydrodynamic and morphodynamic processes happening in the nearshore and acting at different temporal scales. Due to this complexity, methodologies aimed at reproducing shoreline evolution at decadal time scale require many simplifications. Simpler methods usually consider an equilibrium beach profile whose shape depends only on beach morphology, and whose location varies depending on incoming forcing. Here, we derive a general equation for shoreline evolution using equilibrium beach profiles. We particularize it based on several common assumptions, and evaluate changes on shoreline position caused by sea-level rise, combined with simultaneous wave and high-frequency sea-level forcing. We compare our model against other analytical equilibrium beach profile-based models and with a dynamic model explicitly computing sediment transport. Results indicate that: (i) it is necessary to consider the area of the emerged beach subject to marine forcing rather than focusing only on the submerged part, (ii) the rates of shoreline recession may change for narrow beaches, defined as those for which marine forcings act onto all of their aerial surface, and (iii) Bruun's Rule can describe beach shoreline evolution, but the uncertainty in selecting the landward boundary of the active profile entails a huge uncertainty in the magnitude of shoreline evolution. This problematic uncertainty can be drastically reduced if instantaneous forcing conditions are used instead of the arbitrary emerged/submerged active profile boundaries typically defined by only one statistic parameter of extreme conditions.

Predictors and outcomes of pacemaker implantation in patients with cardiac amyloidosis.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to investigate prevalence, incidence and prognostic implications of permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation in patients with cardiac amyloidosis (CA), thereby identifying the predictors of time to PPM implantation. METHODS: Seven hundred eighty-seven patients with CA (602 men, median age 74 years, 571 transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR), 216 light-chain amyloidosis (AL)) evaluated at two European referral centres were retrospectively included. Clinical, laboratory and instrumental data were analysed. The associations between PPM implantation and mortality, heart failure (HF) or a composite endpoint of mortality, cardiac transplantation and HF were analysed. RESULTS: 81 (10.3%) patients had a PPM before initial evaluation. Over a median follow-up time of 21.7 months (IQR 9.6-45.2), 81 (10.3%) additional patients (18 with AL (22.2%) and 63 with ATTR (77.8%)) underwent PPM implantation with a median time to implantation of 15.6 months (IQR 4.2-40), complete atrioventricular block was the most common indication (49.4%). Independent predictors of PPM implantation were QRS duration (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.03, p<0.001) and interventricular septum (IVS) thickness (HR 1.1, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.17, p=0.003). The model to estimate the probability of PPM at 12 months and containing both factors showed a C-statistic of 0.71 and a calibration of slope of 0.98. CONCLUSIONS: Conduction system disease requiring PPM is a common complication in CA that affects up to 20.6% of patients. QRS duration and IVS thickness are independently associated with PPM implantation. A PPM implantation at 12 months model was devised and validated to identify patients with CA at higher risk of requiring a PPM and who require closer follow-up.