INSPIRE, a publicly available research dataset for perioperative medicine.

We present the INSPIRE dataset, a publicly available research dataset in perioperative medicine, which includes approximately 130,000 surgical operations at an academic institution in South Korea over a ten-year period between 2011 and 2020. This comprehensive dataset includes patient characteristics such as age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification, diagnosis, surgical procedure code, department, and type of anaesthesia. The dataset also includes vital signs in the operating theatre, general wards, and intensive care units (ICUs), laboratory results from six months before admission to six months after discharge, and medication during hospitalisation. Complications include total hospital and ICU length of stay and in-hospital death. We hope this dataset will inspire collaborative research and development in perioperative medicine and serve as a reproducible external validation dataset to improve surgical outcomes.

Deep neural networks detect regional wall motion abnormalities and preclinical cardiovascular disease from 12-lead ECGs.

Background: Identifying regional wall motion abnormalities (RWMAs) is critical for diagnosing and risk stratifying patients with cardiovascular disease, particularly ischemic heart disease. We hypothesized that a deep neural network could accurately identify patients with regional wall motion abnormalities from a readily available standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Methods: This observational, retrospective study included patients who were treated at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and had an ECG and echocardiogram performed within 14 days of each other between 2008 and 2019. We trained a convolutional neural network to detect the presence of RWMAs, qualitative global right ventricular (RV) hypokinesis, and varying degrees of left ventricular dysfunction (left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] ≤50%, LVEF ≤40%, and LVEF ≤35%) identified by echocardiography, using ECG data alone. Patients were randomly split into development (80%) and test sets (20%). Model performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age and sex were performed to estimate the risk of future acute coronary events. Results: The development set consisted of 19,837 patients (mean age 66.7±16.4; 46.7% female) and the test set comprised of 4,953 patients (mean age 67.5±15.8 years; 46.5% female). On the test dataset, the model accurately identified the presence of RWMA, RV hypokinesis, LVEF ≤50%, LVEF ≤40%, and LVEF ≤35% with AUCs of 0.87 (95% CI 0.858-0.882), 0.888 (95% CI 0.878-0.899), 0.923 (95% CI 0.914-0.933), 0.93 (95% CI 0.921-0.939), and 0.876 (95% CI 0.858-0.896), respectively. Among patients with normal biventricular function at the time of the index ECG, those classified as having RMWA by the model were 3 times the risk (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio, 2.8; 95% CI 1.9-3.9) for future acute coronary events compared to those classified as negative. Conclusions: We demonstrate that a deep neural network can help identify regional wall motion abnormalities and reduced LV function from a 12-lead ECG and could potentially be used as a screening tool for triaging patients who need either initial or repeat echocardiographic imaging.

Evaluating Prognostic Bias of Critical Illness Severity Scores Based on Age, Sex, and Primary Language in the United States: A Retrospective Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVES: Although illness severity scoring systems are widely used to support clinical decision-making and assess ICU performance, their potential bias across different age, sex, and primary language groups has not been well-studied. DESIGN SETTING AND PATIENTS: We aimed to identify potential bias of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IVa scores via large ICU databases. SETTING/PATIENTS: This multicenter, retrospective study was conducted using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) and eICU Collaborative Research Database. SOFA and APACHE IVa scores were obtained from ICU admission. Hospital mortality was the primary outcome. Discrimination (area under receiver operating characteristic [AUROC] curve) and calibration (standardized mortality ratio [SMR]) were assessed for all subgroups. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 196,310 patient encounters were studied. Discrimination for both scores was worse in older patients compared with younger patients and female patients rather than male patients. In MIMIC, discrimination of SOFA in non-English primary language speakers patients was worse than that of English speakers (AUROC 0.726 vs. 0.783, p < 0.0001). Evaluating calibration via SMR showed statistically significant underestimations of mortality when compared with overall cohort in the oldest patients for both SOFA and APACHE IVa, female patients (1.09) for SOFA, and non-English primary language patients (1.38) for SOFA in MIMIC. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in discrimination and calibration of two scores across varying age, sex, and primary language groups suggest illness severity scores are prone to bias in mortality predictions. Caution must be taken when using them for quality benchmarking and decision-making among diverse real-world populations.

Illness severity assessment of older adults in critical illness using machine learning (ELDER-ICU): an international multicentre study with subgroup bias evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Comorbidity, frailty, and decreased cognitive function lead to a higher risk of death in elderly patients (more than 65 years of age) during acute medical events. Early and accurate illness severity assessment can support appropriate decision making for clinicians caring for these patients. We aimed to develop ELDER-ICU, a machine learning model to assess the illness severity of older adults admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with cohort-specific calibration and evaluation for potential model bias. METHODS: In this retrospective, international multicentre study, the ELDER-ICU model was developed using data from 14 US hospitals, and validated in 171 hospitals from the USA and Netherlands. Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database, electronic ICU Collaborative Research Database, and Amsterdam University Medical Centers Database. We used six categories of data as predictors, including demographics and comorbidities, physical frailty, laboratory tests, vital signs, treatments, and urine output. Patient data from the first day of ICU stay were used to predict in-hospital mortality. We used the eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithm (XGBoost) to develop models and the SHapley Additive exPlanations method to explain model prediction. The trained model was calibrated before internal, external, and temporal validation. The final XGBoost model was compared against three other machine learning algorithms and five clinical scores. We performed subgroup analysis based on age, sex, and race. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of models using the area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) and standardised mortality ratio (SMR) with 95% CIs. FINDINGS: Using the development dataset (n=50 366) and predictive model building process, the XGBoost algorithm performed the best in all types of validations compared with other machine learning algorithms and clinical scores (internal validation with 5037 patients from 14 US hospitals, AUROC=0·866 [95% CI 0·851-0·880]; external validation in the US population with 20 541 patients from 169 hospitals, AUROC=0·838 [0·829-0·847]; external validation in European population with 2411 patients from one hospital, AUROC=0·833 [0·812-0·853]; temporal validation with 4311 patients from one hospital, AUROC=0·884 [0·869-0·897]). In the external validation set (US population), the median AUROCs of bias evaluations covering eight subgroups were above 0·81, and the overall SMR was 0·99 (0·96-1·03). The top ten risk predictors were the minimum Glasgow Coma Scale score, total urine output, average respiratory rate, mechanical ventilation use, best state of activity, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, geriatric nutritional risk index, code status, age, and maximum blood urea nitrogen. A simplified model containing only the top 20 features (ELDER-ICU-20) had similar predictive performance to the full model. INTERPRETATION: The ELDER-ICU model reliably predicts the risk of in-hospital mortality using routinely collected clinical features. The predictions could inform clinicians about patients who are at elevated risk of deterioration. Prospective validation of this model in clinical practice and a process for continuous performance monitoring and model recalibration are needed. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health, National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Special Health Science Program, Health Science and Technology Plan of Zhejiang Province, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, Drug Clinical Evaluate Research of Chinese Pharmaceutical Association, and National Key R&D Program of China.

Assessing Oral Epithelial Dysplasia Risk for Transformation to Cancer: Comparison Between Histologic Grading Systems Versus S100A7 Immunohistochemical Signature-based Grading.

While a 3-tier oral epithelial dysplasia grading system has been utilized for decades, it is widely recognized as a suboptimal risk indicator for transformation to cancer. A 2-tier grading system has been proposed, although not yet validated. In this study, the 3-tier and 2-tier dysplasia grading systems, and an S100A7 immunohistochemical signature-based grading system were compared to assess prediction of risk of transformation to oral cancer. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded biopsy specimens with known clinical outcomes were obtained retrospectively from a cohort of 48 patients. Hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides were used for the 2- and 3-tier dysplasia grading, while S100A7 for biomarker signature-based assessment was based on immunohistochemistry. Inter-observer variability was determined using Cohen's kappa ( K ) statistic with Cox regression disease free survival analysis used to determine if any of the methods were a predictor of transformation to oral squamous cell carcinoma. Both the 2- and 3-tier dysplasia grading systems ranged from slight to substantial inter-observer agreement ( Kw between 0.093 to 0.624), with neither system a good predictor of transformation to cancer (at least P =0.231; ( P >>>0.05). In contrast, the S100A7 immunohistochemical signature-based grading system showed almost perfect inter-observer agreement ( Kw =0.892) and was a good indicator of transformation to cancer ( P =0.047 and 0.030). The inherent grading challenges with oral epithelial dysplasia grading systems and the lack of meaningful prediction of transformation to carcinoma highlights the significant need for a more objective, quantitative, and reproducible risk assessment tool such as the S100A7 immunohistochemical signature-based system.

MIMIC-IV, a freely accessible electronic health record dataset.

Digital data collection during routine clinical practice is now ubiquitous within hospitals. The data contains valuable information on the care of patients and their response to treatments, offering exciting opportunities for research. Typically, data are stored within archival systems that are not intended to support research. These systems are often inaccessible to researchers and structured for optimal storage, rather than interpretability and analysis. Here we present MIMIC-IV, a publicly available database sourced from the electronic health record of the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center. Information available includes patient measurements, orders, diagnoses, procedures, treatments, and deidentified free-text clinical notes. MIMIC-IV is intended to support a wide array of research studies and educational material, helping to reduce barriers to conducting clinical research.

Clinically Interpretable Machine Learning Models for Early Prediction of Mortality in Older Patients with Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome: An International Multicenter Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) is associated with a high risk of mortality among older patients. Current severity scores are limited in their ability to assist clinicians with triage and management decisions. We aim to develop mortality prediction models for older patients with MODS admitted to the ICU. METHODS: The study analyzed older patients from 197 hospitals in the United States and 1 hospital in the Netherlands. The cohort was divided into the young-old (65-80 years) and old-old (≥80 years), which were separately used to develop and evaluate models including internal, external, and temporal validation. Demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory measurements, and treatments were used as predictors. We used the XGBoost algorithm to train models, and the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method to interpret predictions. RESULTS: Thirty-four thousand four hundred and ninety-seven young-old (11.3% mortality) and 21 330 old-old (15.7% mortality) patients were analyzed. Discrimination AUROC of internal validation models in 9 046 U.S. patients was as follows: 0.87 and 0.82, respectively; discrimination of external validation models in 1 905 EUR patients was as follows: 0.86 and 0.85, respectively; and discrimination of temporal validation models in 8 690 U.S. patients: 0.85 and 0.78, respectively. These models outperformed standard clinical scores like Sequential Organ Failure Assessment and Acute Physiology Score III. The Glasgow Coma Scale, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and Code Status emerged as top predictors of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our models integrate data spanning physiologic and geriatric-relevant variables that outperform existing scores used in older adults with MODS, which represents a proof of concept of how machine learning can streamline data analysis for busy ICU clinicians to potentially optimize prognostication and decision making.

The Global Open Source Severity of Illness Score (GOSSIS).

OBJECTIVES: To develop and demonstrate the feasibility of a Global Open Source Severity of Illness Score (GOSSIS)-1 for critical care patients, which generalizes across healthcare systems and countries. DESIGN: A merger of several critical care multicenter cohorts derived from registry and electronic health record data. Data were split into training (70%) and test (30%) sets, using each set exclusively for development and evaluation, respectively. Missing data were imputed when not available. SETTING/PATIENTS: Two large multicenter datasets from Australia and New Zealand (Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database [ANZICS-APD]) and the United States (eICU Collaborative Research Database [eICU-CRD]) representing 249,229 and 131,051 patients, respectively. ANZICS-APD and eICU-CRD contributed data from 162 and 204 hospitals, respectively. The cohort included all ICU admissions discharged in 2014-2015, excluding patients less than 16 years old, admissions less than 6 hours, and those with a previous ICU stay. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: GOSSIS-1 uses data collected during the ICU stay's first 24 hours, including extrema values for vital signs and laboratory results, admission diagnosis, the Glasgow Coma Scale, chronic comorbidities, and admission/demographic variables. The datasets showed significant variation in admission-related variables, case-mix, and average physiologic state. Despite this heterogeneity, test set discrimination of GOSSIS-1 was high (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [AUROC], 0.918; 95% CI, 0.915-0.921) and calibration was excellent (standardized mortality ratio [SMR], 0.986; 95% CI, 0.966-1.005; Brier score, 0.050). Performance was held within ANZICS-APD (AUROC, 0.925; SMR, 0.982; Brier score, 0.047) and eICU-CRD (AUROC, 0.904; SMR, 0.992; Brier score, 0.055). Compared with GOSSIS-1, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-IIIj (ANZICS-APD) and APACHE-IVa (eICU-CRD), had worse discrimination with AUROCs of 0.904 and 0.869, and poorer calibration with SMRs of 0.594 and 0.770, and Brier scores of 0.059 and 0.063, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: GOSSIS-1 is a modern, free, open-source inhospital mortality prediction algorithm for critical care patients, achieving excellent discrimination and calibration across three countries.

Investigation of the Molecular Profile of Granular Cell Tumours and Schwannomas of the Oral Cavity.

Granular cell tumours (GCTs) are rare submucosal lesions, thought to develop from Schwann cells, characterised by large polygonal cells with abundant lysosomes. The objectives of this study are to investigate whether GCTs have an antigen-presenting cell (APC) phenotype or a neural crest phenotype using immunohistochemistry and to compare expression profiles with Schwannomas. Immunoreactivity to CD68, HLA-DR, CD163, CD40 and CD11c (APC phenotype) and markers of neural crest cell (NCC) origin S100, SOX10, NSE and GAP43 in 23 cases of GCTs and 10 cases of Schwannomas were evaluated. RT-qPCR was used to identify a possible NCC developmental phenotype in 6 cases of GCTs. GAP43 was identified as a new NCC marker for GCTs, and some evidence was found for an APC phenotype from CD68 and HLA-DR immunoreactivity. RT-qPCR failed to identify an NCC developmental phenotype of GCTs, likely due to technical issues.

A contrastive learning approach for ICU false arrhythmia alarm reduction.

The high rate of false arrhythmia alarms in Intensive Care Units (ICUs) can lead to disruption of care, negatively impacting patients' health through noise disturbances, and slow staff response time due to alarm fatigue. Prior false-alarm reduction approaches are often rule-based and require hand-crafted features from physiological waveforms as inputs to machine learning classifiers. Despite considerable prior efforts to address the problem, false alarms are a continuing problem in the ICUs. In this work, we present a deep learning framework to automatically learn feature representations of physiological waveforms using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to discriminate between true vs. false arrhythmia alarms. We use Contrastive Learning to simultaneously minimize a binary cross entropy classification loss and a proposed similarity loss from pair-wise comparisons of waveform segments over time as a discriminative constraint. Furthermore, we augment our deep models with learned embeddings from a rule-based method to leverage prior domain knowledge for each alarm type. We evaluate our method using the dataset from the 2015 PhysioNet Computing in Cardiology Challenge. Ablation analysis demonstrates that Contrastive Learning significantly improves the performance of a combined deep learning and rule-based-embedding approach. Our results indicate that the final proposed deep learning framework achieves superior performance in comparison to the winning entries of the Challenge.

A novel artificial intelligence based intensive care unit monitoring system: using physiological waveforms to identify sepsis.

A massive amount of multimodal data are continuously collected in the intensive care unit (ICU) along each patient stay, offering a great opportunity for the development of smart monitoring devices based on artificial intelligence (AI). The two main sources of relevant information collected in the ICU are the electronic health records (EHRs) and vital sign waveforms continuously recorded at the bedside. While EHRs are already widely processed by AI algorithms for prompt diagnosis and prognosis, AI-based assessments of the patients' pathophysiological state using waveforms are less developed, and their use is still limited to real-time monitoring for basic visual vital sign feedback at the bedside. This study uses data from the MIMIC-III database (PhysioNet) to propose a novel AI approach in ICU patient monitoring that incorporates features estimated by a closed-loop cardiovascular model, with the specific goal of identifying sepsis within the first hour of admission. Our top benchmark results (AUROC = 0.92, AUPRC = 0.90) suggest that features derived by cardiovascular control models may play a key role in identifying sepsis, by continuous monitoring performed through advanced multivariate modelling of vital sign waveforms. This work lays foundations for a deeper data integration paradigm which will help clinicians in their decision-making processes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Advanced computation in cardiovascular physiology: new challenges and opportunities'.

Delaying initiation of diuretics in critically ill patients with recent vasopressor use and high positive fluid balance.

BACKGROUND: Fluid overload is associated with poor outcomes. Clinicians might be reluctant to initiate diuretic therapy for patients with recent vasopressor use. We estimated the effect on 30-day mortality of withholding or delaying diuretics after vasopressor use in patients with probable fluid overload. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of adults admitted to ICUs of an academic medical centre between 2008 and 2012. Using a database of time-stamped patient records, we followed individuals from the time they first required vasopressor support and had >5 L cumulative positive fluid balance (plus additional inclusion/exclusion criteria). We compared mortality under usual care (the mix of care actually delivered in the cohort) and treatment strategies restricting diuretic initiation during and for various durations after vasopressor use. We adjusted for baseline and time-varying confounding via inverse probability weighting. RESULTS: The study included 1501 patients, and the observed 30-day mortality rate was 11%. After adjusting for observed confounders, withholding diuretics for at least 24 h after stopping most recent vasopressor use was estimated to increase 30-day mortality rate by 2.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9-3.6%) compared with usual care. Data were consistent with moderate harm or slight benefit from withholding diuretic initiation only during concomitant vasopressor use; the estimated mortality rate increased by 0.5% (95% CI, -0.2% to 1.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Withholding diuretic initiation after vasopressor use in patients with high cumulative positive balance (>5 L) was estimated to increase 30-day mortality. These findings are hypothesis generating and should be tested in a clinical trial.

Volume of Lateral Geniculate Nucleus in Patients with Glaucoma in 7Tesla MRI.

The aim of the study was to assess the volume of the lateral geniculate nucleus (LGN) in patients with open-angle glaucoma in 7Tesla MRI and to evaluate its relation to RNFL thickness and VF indices. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The studied group consisted of 20 open-angle glaucoma patients with bilaterally the same stage of glaucoma (11 with early glaucoma and nine with advanced glaucoma) and nine healthy volunteers from the Department of Diagnostics and Microsurgery of Glaucoma, Medical University of Lublin, Poland. Circumpapillary RNFL-thickness measurements were performed using OCT in all patients and visual fields were performed in the glaucoma group. A 7Tesla MRI was performed to assess the volume of both lateral geniculate bodies. RESULTS: The LGN volume varied significantly between groups from 122.1 ± 14.4 mm3 (right LGN) and 101.6 ± 13.3 mm3 (left LGN) in the control group to 80.2 ± 17.7 mm3 (right LGN) and 71.8 ± 14.2 mm3 (left LGN) in the advanced glaucoma group (right LGN p = 0.003, left LGN p = 0.018). However, volume values from early glaucoma: right LGN = 120.2 ± 26.5 mm3 and left LGN = 103.2 ± 28.0 mm3 differed significantly only from values from the advanced group (right LGN p = 0.006, left LGN p = 0.012), but not from controls (right LGN p = 0.998, left LGN p = 0.986). There were no significant correlations between visual field indices (MD (mean deviation) and VFI (visual field index)) and LGN volumes in both glaucoma groups. Significant correlations between mean RNFL (retinal nerve fiber layers) thickness and corresponding and contralateral LGN were observed for the control group (corresponding LGN: p = 0.064; contralateral LGN: p = 0.031) and early glaucoma (corresponding LGN: p = 0.017; contralateral LGN: p = 0.008), but not advanced glaucoma (corresponding LGN: p = 0.496; contralateral LGN: p = 0.258). CONCLUSIONS: The LGN volume decreases in the course of glaucoma. These changes are correlated with RNFL thickness in early stages of glaucoma and are not correlated with visual field indices.

Do Hyponatremia or Its Underlying Mechanisms Associate With Mortality Risk in Observational Data?

OBJECTIVES: Whether unaccounted determinants of hyponatremia, rather than water excess per se, primarily associate with mortality in observational studies has not been explicitly examined. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of the association between hyponatremia and mortality, stratified by outpatient diuretic use in three strata. SETTING: An inception cohort of 13,661 critically ill patients from a tertiary medical center. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Admission serum sodium concentrations, obtained within 12 hours of admission to the ICU, were the primary exposure. Hyponatremia was associated with 1.82 (95% CI, 1.56-2.11; p < 0.001) higher odds of mortality, yet differed according to outpatient diuretic use (multiplicative interaction between thiazide and serum sodium < 133 mEq/L; p = 0.002). Although hyponatremia was associated with a three-fold higher (odds ratio, 3.11; 95% CI, 2.32-4.17; p < 0.001) odds of mortality among those prescribed loop diuretics, no increase of risk was observed among thiazide diuretic users (odds ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.47-1.51; p = 0.63). When examined as a continuous variable, each one mEq/L higher serum sodium was associated with 8% (odds ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.90-0.94; p < 0.001) lower odds of mortality in loop diuretic patients and 5% (odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.93-0.96, p < 0.001) lower in diuretic naïve patients, but was not associated with mortality risk among thiazide users (odds ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.95-1.02; p = 0.45). CONCLUSIONS: Hyponatremia is not uniformly associated with increased mortality, but differs according to diuretic exposure. Our results suggest that the underlying pathophysiologic factors that lead to water excess, rather water excess itself, account in part for the association between hyponatremia and poor outcomes. More accurate estimations about the association between hyponatremia and outcomes might influence clinical decision-making.

MIMIC-CXR, a de-identified publicly available database of chest radiographs with free-text reports.

Chest radiography is an extremely powerful imaging modality, allowing for a detailed inspection of a patient's chest, but requires specialized training for proper interpretation. With the advent of high performance general purpose computer vision algorithms, the accurate automated analysis of chest radiographs is becoming increasingly of interest to researchers. Here we describe MIMIC-CXR, a large dataset of 227,835 imaging studies for 65,379 patients presenting to the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Emergency Department between 2011-2016. Each imaging study can contain one or more images, usually a frontal view and a lateral view. A total of 377,110 images are available in the dataset. Studies are made available with a semi-structured free-text radiology report that describes the radiological findings of the images, written by a practicing radiologist contemporaneously during routine clinical care. All images and reports have been de-identified to protect patient privacy. The dataset is made freely available to facilitate and encourage a wide range of research in computer vision, natural language processing, and clinical data mining.

Quantitative Electroencephalogram Trends Predict Recovery in Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy.

OBJECTIVES: Electroencephalogram features predict neurologic recovery following cardiac arrest. Recent work has shown that prognostic implications of some key electroencephalogram features change over time. We explore whether time dependence exists for an expanded selection of quantitative electroencephalogram features and whether accounting for this time dependence enables better prognostic predictions. DESIGN: Retrospective. SETTING: ICUs at four academic medical centers in the United States. PATIENTS: Comatose patients with acute hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We analyzed 12,397 hours of electroencephalogram from 438 subjects. From the electroencephalogram, we extracted 52 features that quantify signal complexity, category, and connectivity. We modeled associations between dichotomized neurologic outcome (good vs poor) and quantitative electroencephalogram features in 12-hour intervals using sequential logistic regression with Elastic Net regularization. We compared a predictive model using time-varying features to a model using time-invariant features and to models based on two prior published approaches. Models were evaluated for their ability to predict binary outcomes using area under the receiver operator curve, model calibration (how closely the predicted probability of good outcomes matches the observed proportion of good outcomes), and sensitivity at several common specificity thresholds of interest. A model using time-dependent features outperformed (area under the receiver operator curve, 0.83 ± 0.08) one trained with time-invariant features (0.79 ± 0.07; p < 0.05) and a random forest approach (0.74 ± 0.13; p < 0.05). The time-sensitive model was also the best-calibrated. CONCLUSIONS: The statistical association between quantitative electroencephalogram features and neurologic outcome changed over time, and accounting for these changes improved prognostication performance.