Frailty among older surgical patients and risk of hospital acquired adverse events: The South-Western Sydney frailty and nurse sensitive indicators study.

BACKGROUND: While advances in healthcare mean people are living longer, increasing frailty is a potential consequence of this. The relationship between frailty among older surgical patients and hospital acquired adverse events has not been extensively explored. We sought to describe the relationship between increasing frailty among older surgical patients and the risk of hospital acquired adverse events. METHODS: We included consecutive surgical admissions among patients aged 70 years or more across the SWSLHD between January 2010 and December 2020. This study used routinely collected ICD-10-AM data, obtained from the government maintained Admitted Patient Data Collection. The relationships between cumulative frailty deficit items and risk of hospital acquired adverse events were assessed using Poisson regression modelling. This study followed the RECORD/STROBE guidelines. RESULTS: During the study period, 44,721 (57% women) older adults were admitted, and 41% (25,306) were planned surgical admissions. The risk of all adverse events increased with increasing number of frailty deficit items, the highest deficit items group (4-12 deficit items) compared with the lowest deficit items group (0 or 1 deficit item): falls adjusted rate ratio (adj RR) = 15.3, (95% confidence interval (CI) 12.1, 19.42); pressure injury adj RR = 21.3 (95% CI 12.53, 36.16); delirium adj RR = 40.9 (95% CI 31.21, 53.55); pneumonia adj RR = 16.5 (95% CI 12.74, 21.27); thromboembolism adj RR = 17.3 (95% CI 4.4, 11.92); and hospital mortality adj RR = 6.2 (95% CI 5.18, 7.37). CONCLUSION: The increase in number of cumulative frailty deficit items among older surgical patients was associated with a higher risk of adverse hospital events. The link offers an opportunity to clinical nursing professionals in the surgical setting, to develop and implement targeted models of care and ensure the best outcomes for frail older adults and their families.

Frailty and risk of subsequent fracture among older adults presenting to hospital with a minimal trauma fracture.

We investigated frailty and refracture risk among older adults with a minimal trauma fracture. After adjusting for age, sex, and site of initial fracture, increasing frailty was associated with an increased risk subsequent fracture. These results indicate the need to routinely screen for frailty following an initial fracture among older adults. INTRODUCTION: Minimal trauma fractures are common among older adults, and frailty increases risk of an initial minimal trauma fracture. This study was undertaken to estimate the risk of subsequent fracture based on frailty status at the time of an initial fracture. METHODS: The study population was older adults presenting to hospital, aged 60 years or more, with a minimal trauma fracture. Frailty was estimated using a cumulative deficit approach. The risk of subsequent fracture based on increasing cumulative frailty deficit item group, adjusted for sex, age, and site of initial fracture, was estimated using Cox's proportional hazard model. RESULTS: Between January 2014 and December 2020, 12,115 older adults presented to hospital (8371 women [69%]), with an initial minimal trauma fracture. The average age was 80 years (SD 9.5). Subsequent fractures identified during the follow-up period occurred in 1137 (9.4%) of study participants. The incidence of subsequent fracture ranged from 25.0 per 1000 older adults (95% confidence interval (CI) 22.4 to 27.8) among the lowest frailty deficit group (1 deficit item) to 31.8 per 1000 (95% CI 28.0 to 35.8) among the highest frailty deficit group (4 to 12 deficit items). After adjusting for age, sex, and site of initial fracture, an increasing number of frailty deficit items was associated with increased risk subsequent fracture (p-value for trend = 0.008). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that following an initial minimal trauma fracture, frailty independently increases the risk of a subsequent fracture. Therefore, it is important at the time of an initial fracture that older women and men are screened for the presence of frailty, and models of care are implemented to reduce the risk of subsequent fracture among this vulnerable group of older adults.

Establishing baseline absolute risk of subsequent fracture among adults presenting to hospital with a minimal-trauma-fracture.

BACKGROUND: One in three women and one in five men are expected to experience a minimal-trauma-fracture after the age of 50-years, which increases the risk of subsequent fracture. Importantly, timely diagnosis and optimal treatment in the form of a fracture liaison service (FLS), has been shown to reduce this risk of a subsequent fracture. However, baseline risk of subsequent fracture among this group of FLS patients has not been well described. Therefore, this study aims to estimate absolute risk of subsequent fracture, among women and men aged 50-years or more, presenting to hospital with a minimal-trauma-fracture. METHODS: Women and men aged 50-years or more with a minimal-trauma-fracture, presenting to hospitals across the South Western Sydney Local Health District between January 2003 and December 2017 were followed to identify subsequent fracture presentations to hospital. Absolute risk of subsequent fracture was estimated, by taking into account the competing risk of death. RESULTS: Between January 2003 and December 2017-15,088 patients presented to the emergency departments of the five hospitals in the SWSLHD (11,149, women [74%]), with minimal-trauma-fractures. Subsequent fractures identified during the follow-up period (median = 4.5 years [IQR, 1.6-8.2]), occurred in 2024 (13%) patients. Death during the initial hospital stay, or during a subsequent hospital visit was recorded among 1646 patients (11%). Women were observed to have 7.1% risk of subsequent fracture after 1-year, following an initial fracture; and, the risk of subsequent fracture after 1-year was 6.2% for men. After 5-years the rate among women was 13.7, and 11.3% for men, respectively. Cumulative risk of subsequent fracture when initial fractures were classified as being at proximal or distal sites are also presented. CONCLUSION: This study has estimated the baseline risk of subsequent fracture among women and men presenting to hospital with minimal trauma fractures. Importantly, this information can be used to communicate risk to patients deciding to attend an osteoporosis refracture prevention clinic, and highlight the need for screening, and initial of treatment when indicated, once a minimal-trauma-fracture has occurred.