Predictive Performance of Machine Learning-Based Models for Poststroke Clinical Outcomes in Comparison With Conventional Prognostic Scores: Multicenter, Hospital-Based Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Although machine learning is a promising tool for making prognoses, the performance of machine learning in predicting outcomes after stroke remains to be examined. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to examine how much data-driven models with machine learning improve predictive performance for poststroke outcomes compared with conventional stroke prognostic scores and to elucidate how explanatory variables in machine learning-based models differ from the items of the stroke prognostic scores. METHODS: We used data from 10,513 patients who were registered in a multicenter prospective stroke registry in Japan between 2007 and 2017. The outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score >2) and death at 3 months after stroke. Machine learning-based models were developed using all variables with regularization methods, random forests, or boosted trees. We selected 3 stroke prognostic scores, namely, ASTRAL (Acute Stroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne), PLAN (preadmission comorbidities, level of consciousness, age, neurologic deficit), and iScore (Ischemic Stroke Predictive Risk Score) for comparison. Item-based regression models were developed using the items of these 3 scores. The model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. To compare the predictive performance of the data-driven model with that of the item-based model, we performed internal validation after random splits of identical populations into 80% of patients as a training set and 20% of patients as a test set; the models were developed in the training set and were validated in the test set. We evaluated the contribution of each variable to the models and compared the predictors used in the machine learning-based models with the items of the stroke prognostic scores. RESULTS: The mean age of the study patients was 73.0 (SD 12.5) years, and 59.1% (6209/10,513) of them were men. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and the area under the precision-recall curves for predicting poststroke outcomes were higher for machine learning-based models than for item-based models in identical populations after random splits. Machine learning-based models also performed better than item-based models in terms of the Brier score. Machine learning-based models used different explanatory variables, such as laboratory data, from the items of the conventional stroke prognostic scores. Including these data in the machine learning-based models as explanatory variables improved performance in predicting outcomes after stroke, especially poststroke death. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning-based models performed better in predicting poststroke outcomes than regression models using the items of conventional stroke prognostic scores, although they required additional variables, such as laboratory data, to attain improved performance. Further studies are warranted to validate the usefulness of machine learning in clinical settings.

Feasibility and Inter-rater Reliability of the Japanese Version of the Intensive Care Unit Mobility Scale.

Purpose The purpose of this study was to verify the feasibility and inter-rater reliability of the Japanese version of the Intensive Care Unit Mobility Scale (IMS). Methods A prospective observational study was conducted at two intensive care units (ICUs) in Japan. The feasibility of the Japanese version of the IMS was assessed by 25 ICU staff (12 physical therapists and 13 nurses) using a 10-item questionnaire. Inter-rater reliability was assessed by two experienced physical therapists and two experienced nurses working with 100 ICU patients using the Japanese version of the IMS. Results In the questionnaire survey assessing feasibility, a high agreement rate was shown in 8 out of the 10 questions. All respondents could complete the IMS evaluation, and most respondents were able to complete the scoring of the IMS in a short time. The inter-rater reliability of the Japanese version of the IMS on the first day of physical therapy for ICU patients was 0.966 (95% CI: 9.94-9.99) for the weighted kappa coefficient and 0.985 (95% CI: 9.97-9.99) on the ICU discharge date assessment. The weighted κ coefficient showed an "almost perfect agreement" of 0.8 or higher. Conclusion The Japanese version of the IMS is a feasible tool with strong inter-rater reliability for the measurement of physical activity in ICU patients.

Effect of smoking status on clinical outcomes after reperfusion therapy for acute ischemic stroke.

Smoking has detrimental effects on the cardiovascular system; however, some studies have reported better clinical outcomes after thrombolysis for ischemic stroke in smokers than in nonsmokers, a phenomenon known as the smoking paradox. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the smoking paradox in patients with ischemic stroke receiving reperfusion therapy. Data were collected from a multicenter hospital-based acute stroke registry in Fukuoka, Japan. The 1148 study patients were categorized into current and noncurrent smokers. The association between smoking and clinical outcomes, including neurological improvement (≥ 4-point decrease in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale during hospitalization or 0 points at discharge) and good functional outcomes (modified Rankin Scale score of 0-2) at 3 months, was evaluated using logistic regression analysis and propensity score-matched analysis. Among the participants, 231 (20.1%) were current smokers. The odds ratios (ORs) of favorable outcomes after adjusting for potential confounders were not significantly increased in current smokers (OR 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-1.22 for neurological improvement; OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.65-1.38 for good functional outcome). No significant association was found in the propensity score-matched cohorts. Smoking cessation is strongly recommended since current smoking was not associated with better outcomes after reperfusion therapy.

Body temperature in the acute phase and clinical outcomes after acute ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to examine whether post-stroke early body temperature is associated with neurological damage in the acute phase and functional outcomes at three months. METHODS: We included 7,177 patients with acute ischemic stroke within 24 h of onset. Axillary temperature was measured daily in the morning for seven days. Mean body temperature was grouped into five quintiles (Q1: 35.1‒36.5°C, Q2: 36.5‒36.7°C, Q3: 36.7‒36.8°C, Q4: 36.8‒37.1°C, and Q5: 37.1‒39.1°C). Clinical outcomes included neurological improvement during hospitalization and poor functional outcome (modified Rankin scale score, 3-6) at three months. A logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between body temperature and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: The patient's mean (SD) age was 70.6 (12.3) years, and 35.7% of patients were women. Mean body temperature was significantly associated with less neurological improvement from Q2 (odds ratios [95% confidence interval], 0.77 [0.65-0.99] vs. Q1) to Q5 (0.33 [0.28-0.40], P for trend <0.001) even after adjusting for potential confounders, including baseline neurological severity, C-reactive protein levels, and post-stroke acute infections. The multivariable-adjusted risk of poor functional outcome linearly increased from Q2 (1.36 [1.03-1.79]) to Q5 (6.44 [5.19-8.96], P for trend <0.001). These associations were maintained even in the analyses excluding patients with acute infectious diseases. Multivariable-adjusted risk of poor functional outcome was higher in patients with early body temperature elevation on days 1-3 and with longer duration with body temperature >37.0°C. CONCLUSIONS: Post-stroke early high body temperature is independently associated with unfavorable outcomes following acute ischemic stroke.

Association between abdominal adiposity and clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether abdominal adiposity has an additional effect on post-stroke outcomes. This study aimed to determine whether waist circumference (WC) is independently associated with clinical outcomes after acute ischemic stroke. METHODS: We enrolled patients with acute ischemic stroke from a multicenter hospital-based stroke registry in Fukuoka, Japan. We measured WC on admission and categorized patients into four groups (Q1-Q4) according to the quartiles in females and males. The clinical outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin scale score 2-6) and death from any cause. Logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the odds ratio and 95% confidence interval of the outcomes of interest after adjusting for potential confounding factors, including body mass index (BMI). RESULTS: A total of 11,989 patients (70.3±12.2 years, females: 36.1%) were included in the analysis. The risk of poor functional outcome significantly decreased for Q2-Q4 (vs. Q1) at discharge and Q2-Q3 (vs. Q1) at 3 months, even after adjusting for potential confounders, including BMI. In contrast, adjustment of BMI eliminated the significant association between WC and all-cause death at discharge and 3 months. The association between high WC and favorable functional outcome was not affected by fasting insulin levels or homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance and was only found in patients without diabetes (P = 0.02 for heterogeneity). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that abdominal adiposity has an additional impact on post-stroke functional outcome, independent of body weight and insulin action.

Registry Studies of Stroke in Japan.

Recently, the Cerebrovascular and Cardiovascular Disease Control Act was enacted, for which it was necessary to establish a comprehensive and accurate nationwide database and promote rational and economical stroke countermeasures in Japan, thus serving the public interest. Among the many studies on stroke registries, the Fukuoka Stroke Registry, a regional cohort, provides highly accurate information, and the Japanese Stroke Data Bank, a nationwide cohort, is highly comprehensive. The findings of these studies have contributed to the construction of evidence and the establishment of guidelines for stroke management. In the Nationwide survey of Acute Stroke care capacity for Proper dEsignation of Comprehensive stroke CenTer in Japan, research on improving the quality of medical care to close the gap between guidelines and clinical practice was performed using electronic medical records. This has enabled the recommendation of medical policies in Japan by visualizing medical care. In the era of healthcare big data and the Internet of Things, plenty of healthcare information is automatically recorded electronically and incorporated into databases. Thus, the establishment of stroke registries with the effective utilization of these electronic records can contribute to the development of stroke care.

Association between decreases in serum uric acid levels and unfavorable outcomes after ischemic stroke: A multicenter hospital-based observational study.

BACKGROUND: The association between clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke patients and decreases in serum uric acid levels, which often occur during the acute phase, remains unknown. Herein, we aimed to investigate the association using a large-scale, multicenter stroke registry. METHODS: We analyzed 4,621 acute ischemic stroke patients enrolled in the Fukuoka Stroke Registry between June 2007 and September 2019 whose uric acid levels were measured at least twice during hospitalization (including on admission). The study outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) and functional dependence (modified Rankin Scale score 3-5) at 3 months after stroke onset. Changes in uric acid levels after admission were evaluated using a decrease rate that was classified into 4 sex-specific grades ranging from G1 (no change/increase after admission) to G4 (most decreased). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess the associations between decreases in uric acid levels and the outcomes. RESULTS: The frequencies of the poor functional outcome and functional dependence were lowest in G1 and highest in G4. The odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of G4 were significantly higher for poor functional outcome (2.66 [2.05-3.44]) and functional dependence (2.61 [2.00-3.42]) when compared with G1 after adjusting for confounding factors. We observed no heterogeneity in results for subgroups categorized according to age, sex, stroke subtype, neurological severity, chronic kidney disease, or uric acid level on admission. CONCLUSIONS: Decreases in serum uric acid levels were independently associated with unfavorable outcomes after acute ischemic stroke.

Non-linear association between body weight and functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke.

This study aimed to determine whether body weight is associated with functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke. We measured the body mass index (BMI) and assessed clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke. The BMI was categorized into underweight (< 18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (18.5-22.9 kg/m2), overweight (23.0-24.9 kg/m2), and obesity (≥ 25.0 kg/m2). The association between BMI and a poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score: 3-6) was evaluated. We included 11,749 patients with acute ischemic stroke (70.3 ± 12.2 years, 36.1% women). The risk of a 3-month poor functional outcome was higher for underweight, lower for overweight, and did not change for obesity in reference to a normal weight even after adjusting for covariates by logistic regression analysis. Restricted cubic splines and SHapley Additive exPlanation values in eXtreme Gradient Boosting model also showed non-linear relationships. Associations between BMI and a poor functional outcome were maintained even after excluding death (mRS score: 3-5) or including mild disability (mRS score: 2-6) as the outcome. The associations were strong in older patients, non-diabetic patients, and patients with mild stroke. Body weight has a non-linear relationship with the risk of a poor functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke.

Decreased Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate and Proteinuria and Long-Term Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke: A Longitudinal Observational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear how chronic kidney disease and its underlying pathological conditions, kidney dysfunction, and kidney damage, are associated with cardiovascular outcomes. This study aimed to determine whether kidney dysfunction (ie, decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate), kidney damage (ie, proteinuria), or both are associated with the long-term outcomes after ischemic stroke. METHODS: A total of 12 576 patients (mean age, 73.0±12.6 years; 41.3% women) with ischemic stroke who were registered in a hospital-based multicenter registry, Fukuoka Stroke Registry, between June 2007 and September 2019, were prospectively followed up after stroke onset. Kidney function was assessed by estimated glomerular filtration rate and categorized into G1: ≥60 mL/(min·1.73 m2), G2: 45-59 mL/(min·1.73 m2), and G3: <45 mL/(min·1.73 m2). Kidney damage was evaluated by proteinuria using a urine dipstick test and classified into P1: -, P2: ±/1+, and P3: ≥2+. Hazard ratios and 95% CI for events of interest were estimated by a Cox proportional hazards model. Long-term outcomes included recurrence of stroke and all-cause death. RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 4.3 years (interquartile range, 2.1-7.3 years), 2481 patients had recurrent stroke (48.0/1000 patient-years) and 4032 patients died (67.3/1000 patient-years). Chronic kidney disease was independently associated with increased risks of stroke recurrence and all-cause death even after adjustment for multiple confounding factors, including traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Both estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria were independently associated with increased risks of stroke recurrence (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI], G3: 1.22 [1.09-1.37] versus G1, P3: 1.25 [1.07-1.46] versus P1) and death (G3: 1.45 [1.33-1.57] versus G1, P3: 1.62 [1.45-1.81] versus P1). In subgroup analyses, effect modifications were found in the association of proteinuria with death by age and stroke subtype. CONCLUSIONS: Kidney dysfunction and kidney damage were independently, but differently, associated with increased risks of recurrent stroke and all-cause death.

Sex Differences in Long-Term Functional Decline after Ischemic Stroke: A Longitudinal Observational Study from the Fukuoka Stroke Registry.

INTRODUCTION: Data on sex differences in poststroke functional status for a period longer than 1 year based on large cohorts are sparse. This study aimed to determine whether there are sex differences in long-term functional decline after ischemic stroke. METHODS: We tracked functional status for 5 years among 3-month survivors of acute ischemic stroke and compared outcomes between women and men using a large-scale hospital-based stroke registry in Fukuoka, Japan. Functional status was assessed using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Functional dependency was defined as an mRS score of 3, 4, or 5. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals of outcomes after adjusting for possible confounders. RESULTS: A total of 8,446 patients (71.9 ± 12.5 years, 3,377 (40.0%) female patients) were enrolled in this study. Female sex was associated with a higher risk of functional dependency at 5 years poststroke even when adjusting for age, 3-month mRS score, and other confounding factors (multivariable-adjusted OR vs. men, 1.56 [95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.93]). This significant association of female sex with higher dependency at 5 years was also found among patients who were independent at 3 months poststroke. Subgroup analysis showed that increased risk of functional dependency in female patients was more marked in patients aged ≥75 years than in those aged <75 years (p for heterogeneity = 0.02). Conversely, female sex was associated with a lower risk of death. No sex difference was observed in stroke recurrence during 5 years poststroke. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: This longitudinal observational study suggests that female sex was independently associated with an increased risk of functional decline in the chronic phase of stroke, especially in older patients. There was no sex difference in 5-year stroke recurrence, and thus, other factors might be involved in more significant deterioration of functional status in female survivors of ischemic stroke. Further studies are needed to elucidate underlying causes of sex differences in long-term functional decline after stroke.

Modification of the effects of age on clinical outcomes through management of lifestyle-related factors in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study examined the association between age and clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke, and whether the effect of age on post-stroke outcomes can be modified by various factors. METHODS: We included 12,171 patients with acute ischemic stroke, who were functionally independent before stroke onset, in a multicenter hospital-based study conducted in Fukuoka, Japan. Patients were categorized into six groups according to age: ≤ 45, 46-55, 56-65, 66-75, 76-85, and > 85 years. Logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate an odds ratio for poor functional outcome (modified Rankin scale score of 3-6 at 3 months) for each age group. Interaction effects of age and various factors were analyzed using a multivariable model. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 70.3 ± 12.2 years, and 63.9% were men. Neurological deficits at onset were more severe in the older age groups. The odds ratio of poor functional outcome linearly increased (P for trend <0.001), even after adjusting for potential confounders. Sex, body mass index, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus significantly modified the effect of age on the outcome (P < 0.05). The unfavorable effect of older age was greater in female patients and those with low body weight, whereas the protective effect of younger age was smaller in patients with hypertension or diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: Functional outcome worsened with age in patients with acute ischemic stroke, especially in females and those with low body weight, hypertension, or hyperglycemia.

Prospective study of adoptive activated αßT lymphocyte immunotherapy for refractory cancers: development and validation of a response scoring system.

BACKGROUND AIMS: This prospective clinical study aimed to determine the efficacy and prognostic factors of adoptive activated αßT lymphocyte immunotherapy for various refractory cancers. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoint was radiological response. METHODS: The authors treated 96 patients. Activated αßT lymphocytes were infused every 2 weeks for a total of six times. Prognostic factors were identified by analyzing clinical and laboratory data obtained before therapy. RESULTS: Median survival time (MST) was 150 days (95% confidence interval, 105-191), and approximately 20% of patients achieved disease control (complete response + partial response + stable disease). According to the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model with Akaike information criterion-best subset selection, sex, concurrent therapy, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, CD4:CD8 ratio and T helper (Th)1:Th2 ratio were strong prognostic factors. Using parameter estimates of the Cox analysis, the authors developed a response scoring system. The authors then determined the threshold of the response score between responders and non-responders. This threshold was able to significantly differentiate OS of responders from that of non-responders. MST of responders was longer than that of non-responders (317.5 days versus 74 days). The validity of this response scoring system was then confirmed by internal validation. CONCLUSIONS: Adoptive activated αßT lymphocyte immunotherapy has clinical efficacy in certain patients. The authors' scoring system is the first prognostic model reported for this therapy, and it is useful for selecting patients who might obtain a better prognosis through this modality.

Associations Between Adherence to Evidence-Based, Stroke Quality Indicators and Outcomes of Acute Reperfusion Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Quality indicators (QIs) are an accepted tool for measuring a hospital's performance in routine care. We examined national trends in adherence to the QIs developed by the Close The Gap-Stroke program by combining data from the health insurance claims database and electronic medical records, and the association between adherence to these QIs and early outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke in Japan. METHODS: In the present study, patients with acute ischemic stroke who received acute reperfusion therapy in 351 Close The Gap-Stroke-participating hospitals were analyzed retrospectively. The primary outcomes were changes in trends for adherence to the defined QIs by difference-in-difference analysis and the effects of adherence to distinct QIs on in-hospital outcomes at the individual level. A mixed logistic regression model was adjusted for patient and hospital characteristics (eg, age, sex, number of beds) and hospital units as random effects. RESULTS: Between 2013 and 2017, 21 651 patients (median age, 77 years; 43.0% female) were assessed. Of the 25 defined measures, marked and sustainable improvement in the adherence rates was observed for door-to-needle time, door-to-puncture time, proper use of endovascular thrombectomy, and successful revascularization. The in-hospital mortality rate was 11.6%. Adherence to 14 QIs lowered the odds of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [95% CI], door-to-needle <60 min, 0.80 [0.69-0.93], door-to-puncture <90 min, 0.80 [0.67-0.96], successful revascularization, 0.40 [0.34-0.48]), and adherence to 11 QIs increased the odds of functional independence (modified Rankin Scale score 0-2) at discharge. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated national marked and sustainable improvement in adherence to door-to-needle time, door-to-puncture time, and successful reperfusion from 2013 to 2017 in Japan in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Adhering to the key QIs substantially affected in-hospital outcomes, underlining the importance of monitoring the quality of care using evidence-based QIs and the nationwide Close The Gap-Stroke program.

Causes of ischemic stroke in young adults versus non-young adults: A multicenter hospital-based observational study.

BACKGROUND: Very few comparative studies have focused on the differences in the causes of ischemic stroke between young adults and non-young adults. This study was performed to determine what causes of ischemic stroke are more important in young adults than in non-young adults using a large-scale multicenter hospital-based stroke registry in Fukuoka, Japan. METHODS AND RESULTS: We investigated data on 15,860 consecutive patients aged ≥18 years with acute ischemic stroke (mean age: 73.5 ± 12.4 years, 58.2% men) who were hospitalized between 2007 and 2019. In total, 779 patients were categorized as young adults (≤50 years of age). Although vascular risk factors, including hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia, were less frequent in young adults than in non-young adults, the prevalence of diabetes mellitus and dyslipidemia in young adults aged >40 years were comparable to those of non-young adults. Lifestyle-related risk factors such as smoking, drinking, and obesity were more frequent in young adults than in non-young adults. As young adults became older, the proportions of cardioembolism and stroke of other determined etiologies decreased, but those of large-artery atherosclerosis and small-vessel occlusion increased. Some embolic sources (high-risk sources: arterial myxoma, dilated cardiomyopathy, and intracardiac thrombus; medium-risk sources: atrial septal defect, nonbacterial thrombotic endocarditis, patent foramen ovale, and left ventricular hypokinesis) and uncommon causes (vascular diseases: reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome, moyamoya disease, other vascular causes, arterial dissection, and cerebral venous thrombosis; hematologic diseases: antiphospholipid syndrome and protein S deficiency) were more prevalent in young adults than in non-young adults, and these trends decreased with age. CONCLUSIONS: Certain embolic sources and uncommon causes may be etiologically important causes of ischemic stroke in young adults. However, the contribution of conventional vascular risk factors and lifestyle-related risk factors is not negligible with advancing age, even in young adults.

Efficacy of combined use of a stent retriever and aspiration catheter in mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of combined stent retriever (SR) and aspiration catheter (AC; combined technique: CBT) use for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is unclear. We investigated the safety and efficacy of single-unit CBT (SCBT)-retrieving the thrombus as a single unit with SR and AC into the guide catheter-compared with single use of either SR or contact aspiration (CA). METHODS: We analysed 763 consecutive patients who underwent mechanical thrombectomy for AIS between January 2013 and January 2020, at six comprehensive stroke centers. Patients were divided into SCBT and single device (SR/CA) groups. The successful recanalization with first pass (SRFP) and other procedural outcomes were compared between groups. RESULTS: Overall, 240 SCBT and 301 SR/CA (SR 128, CA 173) patients were analyzed. SRFP (modified Thrombolysis In Cerebral Infarction (mTICI) ≥2c, 43.3% vs 27.9%, p<0.001; mTICI 3, 35.8% vs 25.5%, p=0.009) and final mTICI ≥2b recanalization (89.1% vs 82.0%, p=0.020) rates were significantly higher, puncture-to-reperfusion time was shorter (median (IQR) 43 (31.5-69) vs 55 (38-82.2) min, p<0.001), and the number of passes were fewer (mean±SD 1.72±0.92 vs 1.99±1.01, p<0.001) in the SCBT group. Procedural complications were similar between the groups. In subgroup analysis, SCBT was more effective in women, cardioembolic stroke patients, and internal carotid artery and M2 occlusions. CONCLUSIONS: SCBT increases the SRFP rate and shortens the puncture-to-reperfusion time without increasing procedural complications.

Day-by-Day Blood Pressure Variability in the Subacute Stage of Ischemic Stroke and Long-Term Recurrence.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study aimed to determine whether variability of day-by-day blood pressure (BP) during the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke is predictive of long-term stroke recurrence. METHODS: We analyzed 7665 patients (mean±SD age: 72.9±13.1 years; women: 42.4%) hospitalized for first-ever ischemic stroke in 7 stroke centers in Fukuoka, Japan, from June 2007 to November 2018. BP was measured daily during the subacute stage (4-10 days after onset). Its mean and coefficient of variation (CV) values were calculated and divided into 4 groups according to the quartiles of these BP parameters. Patients were prospectively followed up for recurrent stroke or all-cause death. The cumulative event rate was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. We estimated the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of the events of interest after adjusting for potential confounders and mean BP values using Cox proportional hazards models. The Fine-Gray model was also used to account for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: With a mean (±SD) follow-up duration of 3.9±3.2 years, the rates of recurrent stroke and all-cause death were 3.9 and 9.9 per 100 patient-years, respectively. The cumulative event rates of recurrent stroke and all-cause death increased with increasing CVs of systolic BP and diastolic BP. The systolic BP CV was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrent stroke after adjusting for multiple confounders and mean BP (hazard ratio [95% CI] for fourth quartile versus first quartile, 1.26 [1.05-1.50]); the risk of recurrent stroke also increased with an increasing systolic BP CV for nonfatal strokes (1.26 [1.05-1.51]) and when death was regarded as a competing risk (1.21 [1.02-1.45]). Similar associations were observed for the diastolic BP CV. CONCLUSIONS: Day-by-day variability of BP during the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke was associated with an increased long-term risk of recurrent stroke.

Factors associated with health-related quality of life in long-stay inpatients with chronic schizophrenia.

Aim: Few studies have investigated the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in long-stay inpatients with chronic schizophrenia in Japan. This study aimed to clarify the factors associated with HRQoL among these patients. Methods: Out of 238 patients with chronic schizophrenia admitted to three hospitals, 101 inpatients provided informed consent to participate in the study. The patients' HRQoL was assessed using two instruments: the EuroQol 5 dimensions (EQ-5D) as a generic index and the Subjective Well-being Under Neuroleptic Treatment Scale, Japanese Version (SWNS-J) as a disease-specific index. We examined the factors associated with these HRQoL indices using multiple linear regression models. Results: The patients' mean age was 62.9 years, and 51.5% were female. The mean (standard deviation) EQ-5D score and SWNS-J total score were 0.776 (0.177) and 83.5 (16.5), respectively. Multiple linear regression analysis indicated that the EQ-5D score was significantly and negatively associated with the female sex, benzodiazepine use, and Drug-Induced Extrapyramidal Symptoms Scale scores. In contrast, the SWNS-J total score was significantly and negatively associated with first-generation antipsychotics use, Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale scores, Drug-Induced Extrapyramidal Symptoms Scale scores, and Global Assessment of Functioning scale scores. Conclusion: This study identified the factors associated with two HRQoL indices among long-stay inpatients with chronic schizophrenia in Japan. Although the analyses showed differences in the associated factors between the generic EQ-5D and the disease-specific SWNS-J, extrapyramidal symptoms as adverse effects of antipsychotic treatment were found to be associated with both indices.

Regional Disparity of Reperfusion Therapy for Acute Ischemic Stroke in Japan: A Retrospective Analysis of Nationwide Claims Data from 2010 to 2015.

Background We aimed to determine whether a regional disparity exists in usage of reperfusion therapy (intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator [IV rt-PA] and endovascular thrombectomy [EVT]) and post-reperfusion 30-day mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke, and which regional factors are associated with their usage. Methods and Results We retrospectively investigated 69 948 patients (mean age±SD, 74.9±12.0 years; women, 41.4%) with acute ischemic stroke treated with reperfusion therapy between April 2010 and March 2016 in Japan using nationwide claims data. Regional disparity was evaluated using Gini coefficients for age- and sex-adjusted usage of reperfusion therapy and 30-day post-reperfusion in-hospital death ratio in 47 administrative regions. The association between regional factors and reperfusion therapy usage was evaluated with fixed-effects regression models. During the study period, Gini coefficients showed low inequality (0.11-0.15) for use of IV rt-PA monotherapy and IV rt-PA and/or EVT and extreme inequality (0.49) for EVT usage in 2010, which became moderate inequality (0.25) by 2015. The densities of stroke centers and endovascular specialists, as well as market concentration, were associated with increased usage of reperfusion therapy whereas the proportion of rural residents and delayed ambulance transport were negatively associated with usage. Inequality in the standardized death ratio after EVT was extreme (0.86) in 2010 but became moderate (0.29) by 2015; inequality was low to moderate (0.17-0.23) for IV rt-PA monotherapy and IV rt-PA and/or EVT. Conclusions Scrutinizing existing data sources revealed regional disparity in reperfusion therapy for acute ischemic stroke and its associated regional factors in Japan.

ß-Cell Function and Clinical Outcome in Nondiabetic Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Background and Purpose: Little is known about how ß-cell dysfunction affects clinical outcome after ischemic stroke. We examined whether ß-cell function is associated with clinical outcome after acute ischemic stroke and if so, whether insulin resistance influences this association in a prospective study of patients with acute stroke. Methods: A total of 3590 nondiabetic patients with acute ischemic stroke (mean age, 71 years) were followed up for 3 months. ß-Cell function was assessed using the homeostasis model assessment for ß-cell function (HOMA-ß). Study outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score, 3­6) and stroke recurrence at 3 months after stroke onset and neurological deterioration (≥2-point increase in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score) at discharge. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between quintile levels of serum HOMA-ß and clinical outcomes. Results: The age- and sex-adjusted odds ratios for poor functional outcome and neurological deterioration increased significantly with decreasing HOMA-ß levels (P for trend, <0.001 and 0.001, respectively). These associations became more prominent after adjustment for HOMA-insulin resistance and were substantially unchanged even after further adjustment for other confounders, namely, body mass index, dyslipidemia, hypertension, estimated glomerular filtration rate, stroke subtype, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score on admission, and reperfusion therapy (odds ratio [95% CI] for the first versus fifth quintile of HOMA-ß, 3.30 [2.15­5.08] for poor functional outcome and 10.69 [4.99­22.90] for neurological deterioration). Such associations were not observed for stroke recurrence. In stratified analysis for the combination of HOMA-ß and HOMA-insulin resistance levels, lower HOMA-ß and higher HOMA-insulin resistance levels were independently associated with increased risks of poor functional outcome and neurological deterioration. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that ß-cell dysfunction is significantly associated with poor short-term clinical outcome independently of insulin resistance in nondiabetic patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Pre-Stroke Cholinesterase Inhibitor Treatment Is Beneficially Associated with Functional Outcome in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke and Pre-Stroke Dementia: The Fukuoka Stroke Registry.

INTRODUCTION: Pre-stroke dementia is significantly associated with poor stroke outcome. Cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) might reduce the risk of stroke in patients with dementia. However, the association between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and stroke outcome remains unresolved. Therefore, we aimed to determine this association in patients with acute ischemic stroke and pre-stroke dementia. METHODS: We enrolled 805 patients with pre-stroke dementia among 13,167 with ischemic stroke within 7 days of onset who were registered in the Fukuoka Stroke Registry between June 2007 and May 2019 and were independent in basic activities of daily living (ADLs) before admission. Primary and secondary study outcomes were poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score: 3-6) at 3 months after stroke onset and neurological deterioration (≥2-point increase in the NIH Stroke Scale [NIHSS] during hospitalization), respectively. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate associations between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and study outcomes. To improve covariate imbalance, we further conducted a propensity score (PS)-matched cohort study. RESULTS: Among the participants, 212 (26.3%) had pre-stroke ChEI treatment. Treatment was negatively associated with poor functional outcome (odds ratio: 0.68 [95% confidence interval: 0.46-0.99]) and neurological deterioration (0.52 [0.31-0.88]) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. In the PS-matched cohort study, the same trends were observed between pre-stroke ChEI treatment and poor functional outcome (0.61 [0.40-0.92]) and between the treatment and neurological deterioration (0.47 [0.25-0.86]). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that pre-stroke ChEI treatment is associated with reduced risks for poor functional outcome and neurological deterioration after acute ischemic stroke in patients with pre-stroke dementia who are independent in basic ADLs before the onset of stroke.