Using Machine Learning Imputed Outcomes to Assess Drug-Dependent Risk of Self-Harm in Patients with Bipolar Disorder: A Comparative Effectiveness Study.

BACKGROUND: Incomplete suicidality coding in administrative claims data is a known obstacle for observational studies. With most of the negative outcomes missing from the data, it is challenging to assess the evidence on treatment strategies for the prevention of self-harm in bipolar disorder (BD), including pharmacotherapy and psychotherapy. There are conflicting data from studies on the drug-dependent risk of self-harm, and there is major uncertainty regarding the preventive effect of monotherapy and drug combinations. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare all commonly used BD pharmacotherapies, as well as psychotherapy for the risk of self-harm, in a large population of commercially insured individuals, using self-harm imputation to overcome the known limitations of this outcome being underrecorded within US electronic health care records. METHODS: The IBM MarketScan administrative claims database was used to compare self-harm risk in patients with BD following 65 drug regimens and drug-free periods. Probable but uncoded self-harm events were imputed via machine learning, with different probability thresholds examined in a sensitivity analysis. Comparators included lithium, mood-stabilizing anticonvulsants (MSAs), second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs), first-generation antipsychotics (FGAs), and five classes of antidepressants. Cox regression models with time-varying covariates were built for individual treatment regimens and for any pharmacotherapy with or without psychosocial interventions ("psychotherapy"). RESULTS: Among 529,359 patients, 1.66% (n=8813 events) had imputed and/or coded self-harm following the exposure of interest. A higher self-harm risk was observed during adolescence. After multiple testing adjustment (P≤.012), the following six regimens had higher risk of self-harm than lithium: tri/tetracyclic antidepressants + SGA, FGA + MSA, FGA, serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor (SNRI) + SGA, lithium + MSA, and lithium + SGA (hazard ratios [HRs] 1.44-2.29), and the following nine had lower risk: lamotrigine, valproate, risperidone, aripiprazole, SNRI, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), "no drug," bupropion, and bupropion + SSRI (HRs 0.28-0.74). Psychotherapy alone (without medication) had a lower self-harm risk than no treatment (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.52-0.60; P=8.76×10-58). The sensitivity analysis showed that the direction of drug-outcome associations did not change as a function of the self-harm probability threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Our data support evidence on the effectiveness of antidepressants, MSAs, and psychotherapy for self-harm prevention in BD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02893371; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02893371.

Diabetes mellitus risk for 102 drugs and drug combinations used in patients with bipolar disorder.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the largest set of bipolar disorder pharmacotherapies to date (102 drugs and drug combinations) for risk of diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: The IBM MarketScan® database was used to retrospectively analyze data on 565,253 adults with bipolar disorder without prior glucose metabolism-related diagnoses. The pharmacotherapies compared were lithium, mood-stabilizing anticonvulsants, antipsychotics, and antidepressants (monotherapy and multi-class polypharmacy). Cox regression modeling included fixed pre-treatment covariates and time-varying drug exposure covariates to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of each treatment versus "No drug". RESULTS: The annual incidence of new-onset diabetes during the exposure period was 3.09 % (22,951 patients). The HR of drug-dependent DM ranged from 0.79 to 2.37. One-third of the studied pharmacotherapies, including most of the antipsychotic-containing regimens, had a significantly higher risk of DM compared to "No drug". A significantly lower DM risk was associated with lithium, lamotrigine, oxcarbazepine and bupropion monotherapies, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRI) mono-class therapy and several drug combinations containing bupropion and an SSRI. As additional drugs were combined in more complex polypharmacy, higher HRs were consistently observed. CONCLUSIONS: There is an increased risk of diabetes mellitus associated with antipsychotic and psychotropic polypharmacy use in bipolar disorder. The evidence of a lower-than-baseline risk of DM with lamotrigine, oxcarbazepine, lithium, and bupropion monotherapy should be further investigated.

Preferences of Information Dissemination on Treatment for Bipolar Disorder: Patient-Centered Focus Group Study.

BACKGROUND: Patient education has taken center stage in successfully shared decision making between patients and health care providers. However, little is known about how patients with bipolar disorder typically obtain information on their illness and the treatment options available to them. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to obtain the perspectives of patients with bipolar disorder and their family members on the preferred and most effectively used information channels on bipolar disorder and the available treatment options. METHODS: We conducted nine focus groups in Montana, New Mexico, and California, in which we surveyed 84 individuals including patients with bipolar disorder and family members of patients with bipolar disorder. The participants were recruited using National Alliance on Mental Illness mailing lists and websites. Written verbatim responses to semistructured questionnaires were analyzed using summative content analysis based on grounded theory. Two annotators coded and analyzed the data on the sentence or phrase level to create themes. Relationships between demographics and information channel were also examined using the Chi-square and Fisher exact tests. RESULTS: The focus group participants mentioned a broad range of information channels that were successfully used in the past and could be recommended for future information dissemination. The majority of participants used providers (74%) and internet-based resources (75%) as their main information sources. There was no association between internet use and basic demographics such as age or geographical region of the focus groups. Patients considered time constraints and the fast pace in which an overwhelming amount of information is often presented by the provider as major barriers to successful provider-patient interactions. If Web-based channels were used, the participants perceived information obtained through Web-based channels as more helpful than information received in the provider's office (P<.05). CONCLUSIONS: Web-based resources are increasingly used by patients with bipolar disorder and their family members to educate themselves about the disease and its treatment. Although provider-patient interactions are frequently perceived to be burdened with time constraints, Web-based information sources are considered reliable and helpful. Future research should explore how high-quality websites could be used to empower patients and improve provider-patient interactions with the goal of enhancing shared decision making between patients and providers.

Comparison of 71 bipolar disorder pharmacotherapies for kidney disorder risk: The potential hazards of polypharmacy.

BACKGROUND: This study compared the largest set of bipolar disorder pharmacotherapies to date (71 drugs and drug combinations) for risk of kidney disorders (KDs). METHODS: This retrospective observational study used the IBM MarketScan® database to analyze data on 591,052 adults with bipolar disorder without prior nephropathy, for onset of KDs (of "moderate" or "high" severity) following psychopharmacotherapy (lithium, mood stabilizing anticonvulsants [MSAs], antipsychotics, antidepressants), or "No drug". Cox regression models included fixed pre-treatment covariates and time-varying drug exposure covariates to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of each treatment versus "No drug". RESULTS: Newly observed KD occurred in 14,713 patients. No regimen had significantly lower risk of KDs than "No drug". The HR estimates ranged 0.86-2.66 for "all" KDs and 0.87-5.30 for "severe" KDs. As additional drugs were combined to compare more complex polypharmacies, higher HRs were consistently observed. Most regimens containing lithium, MSAs, or antipsychotics had a higher risk than "No drug" (p < 0.05). The risk for "all" and "severe" KDs was highest respectively on monoamine oxidase inhibitors (MAOIs) (HR = 2.66, p = 5.73 × 10-5), and a lithium-containing four-class combination (HR = 5.30, p = 2.46 × 10-9). The HR for lithium monotherapy was 1.82 (p = 4.73 × 10-17) for "severe" KDs. LIMITATIONS: The limitations inherent for an observational study were non-randomized assignment of patients to treatment groups, non-standardization of diagnostic decisions, and non-uniform quality of data collection. No correction was made for medication dosage. CONCLUSIONS: The findings support literature concerns about lithium nephrotoxicity and highlight the potential risks of MAOIs, MSAs, antipsychotics and psychotropic polypharmacy.

Trends in patient procurement of postoperative opioids and route of hysterectomy in the United States from 2004 through 2014.

BACKGROUND: The opioid epidemic in the United States is a public health emergency. Minimally invasive surgical technology has decreased length of hospital stay, improved postoperative recovery, and decreased postoperative pain. Hysterectomy is one of the most commonly performed surgeries in the United States. Increasing trends in minimally invasive gynecologic surgery are expected to reduce patients' postoperative pain. It is unclear whether this assumption has resulted in decreasing postoperative opioid prescriptions or patient need for these prescriptions, as prescribing patterns may be contributing to the current opioid public health emergency. OBJECTIVE: We sought to describe opioid prescribing and patient procurement practices for postoperative pain at time of discharge for benign hysterectomy from 2004 through 2014 using the Truven Health Analytics MarketScan Research Database. The trends of the route of hysterectomy over this time period were concomitantly described to reflect the movement toward more minimally invasive approaches. STUDY DESIGN: The Truven Health Analytics MarketScan Research Database including the Commercial Claims and Encounters Database, and the Medicare Supplemental and Coordination of Benefits Database were utilized. Current Procedural Terminology, 4th Edition, and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, codes identified all patients who underwent a hysterectomy for benign indications from 2004 through 2014. Hysterectomy routes were categorized into abdominal, laparoscopic, and vaginal. The MarketScan database captures prescriptions filled at a retail or mail-order pharmacy and does not capture prescriptions filled within the inpatient, hospital facility. The days of opioids procured by patients at the time of discharge were identified for each encounter. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize data within the entire study period. Although this article is purely descriptive, further analyses were conducted for exploratory purposes only. analysis of variance and χ2 analyses were used for continuous and categorical variables, respectively. Multiple linear regression models were used to describe associations between variables of interest and postoperative opioid prescriptions. RESULTS: We identified 793,016 patients who underwent a hysterectomy for benign indications from 2004 through 2014. Of these, 96% were identified from the Commercial Claims and Encounters Database. During the study period, the overall route of hysterectomy was categorized into 40.5% abdominal, 42.0% laparoscopic, and 17.5% vaginal hysterectomy. The route of hysterectomy changed from 60.2-25.6% (a decrease of Δ = 34.58; 95% confidence interval, 33.96-35.20) for abdominal, 17.0-61.9% (an increase of Δ = 44.83; 95% confidence interval, 44.21-45.44) for laparoscopic, and 22.8-12.6% (a decrease of Δ = 10.25; 95% confidence interval, 9.77-10.73) for vaginal. At discharge, the percentage of patients who were prescribed opioids and filled them increased from 25.6-82.1% (an increase of Δ = 56.50; 95% confidence interval, 55.88-57.13 with P < .001) from 2004 through 2014 for all hysterectomy routes. Additionally, the quantity of opioids prescribed also increased. CONCLUSION: Opioid prescriptions filled for postoperative pain after hysterectomy substantially increased from 2004 through 2014. Opioid prescription procurement has increased despite a concomitant increase in minimally invasive hysterectomy routes. In light of the current opioid epidemic, physicians must recognize that postoperative prescribing practices may contribute to chronic opioid use. Heightened awareness of opioid prescribing practices following surgery is critically important to decrease risk of development of chronic opioid dependence.

Comprehensive comparison of monotherapies for psychiatric hospitalization risk in bipolar disorders.

OBJECTIVES: This study compared 29 drugs for risk of psychiatric hospitalization in bipolar disorders, addressing the evidence gap on the >50 drugs used by US patients for treatment. METHODS: The Truven Health Analytics MarketScan® database was used to identify 190 894 individuals with bipolar or schizoaffective disorder who filled a prescription for one of 29 drugs of interest: lithium, first- or second-generation antipsychotics, mood-stabilizing anticonvulsants, and antidepressants. Competing risks regression survival analysis was used to compare drugs for risk of psychiatric hospitalization, adjusting for patient age, sex, comorbidities, and pretreatment medications. Other competing risks were ending monotherapy and non-psychiatric hospitalization. RESULTS: Three drugs were associated with significantly lower risk of psychiatric hospitalization than lithium: valproate (relative risk [RR] = 0.80, P = 3.20 × 10-4 ), aripiprazole (RR = 0.80, P = 3.50 × 10-4 ), and bupropion (RR = 0.80, P = 2.80 × 10-4 ). Eight drugs were associated with significantly higher risk of psychiatric hospitalization: haloperidol (RR = 1.57, P = 9.40 × 10-4 ), clozapine (RR = 1.52, P = .017), fluoxetine (RR = 1.17, P = 3.70 × 10-3 ), sertraline (RR = 1.17, P = 3.20 × 10-3 ), citalopram (RR = 1.14, P = .013), duloxetine (RR = 1.24, P = 5.10 × 10-4 ), venlafaxine (RR = 1.33; P = 1.00 × 10-6 ), and ziprasidone (RR = 1.25; P = 6.20 × 10-3 ). CONCLUSIONS: This largest reported retrospective observational study on bipolar disorders pharmacotherapy to date demonstrates that the majority of patients end monotherapy within 2 months after treatment start. The risk of psychiatric hospitalization varied almost two-fold across individual medications. The data add to the evidence favoring lithium and mood stabilizer use in short-term bipolar disorder management. The findings that the dopaminergic drugs aripiprazole and bupropion had better outcomes than other members of their respective classes and that antidepressant outcomes may vary by baseline mood polarity merit further investigation.

Intensive herbicide use has selected for constitutively elevated levels of stress-responsive mRNAs and proteins in multiple herbicide-resistant Avena fatua L.

BACKGROUND: Intensive use of herbicides has led to the evolution of two multiple herbicide-resistant (MHR) Avena fatua (wild oat) populations in Montana that are resistant to members of all selective herbicide families available for A. fatua control in US small grain crops. We used transcriptome and proteome surveys to compare constitutive changes in MHR and herbicide-susceptible (HS) plants associated with non-target site resistance. RESULTS: Compared to HS plants, MHR plants contained constitutively elevated levels of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) with functions in xenobiotic catabolism, stress response, redox maintenance and transcriptional regulation that are similar to abiotic stress-tolerant phenotypes. Proteome comparisons identified similarly elevated proteins including biosynthetic and multifunctional enzymes in MHR plants. Of 25 DEGs validated by RT-qPCR assay, differential regulation of 21 co-segregated with flucarbazone-sodium herbicide resistance in F3 families, and a subset of 10 of these were induced or repressed in herbicide-treated HS plants. CONCLUSION: Although the individual and collective contributions of these DEGs and proteins to MHR remain to be determined, our results support the idea that intensive herbicide use has selected for MHR populations with altered, constitutively regulated patterns of gene expression that are similar to those in abiotic stress-tolerant plants. © 2017 Society of Chemical Industry.

Hypothyroidism risk compared among nine common bipolar disorder therapies in a large US cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Thyroid abnormalities in patients with bipolar disorder (BD) have been linked to lithium treatment for decades, yet other drugs have been less well studied. Our objective was to compare hypothyroidism risk for lithium versus the anticonvulsants and second-generation antipsychotics commonly prescribed for BD. METHODS: Administrative claims data on 24,574 patients with BD were analyzed with competing risk survival analysis. Inclusion criteria were (i) one year of no prior hypothyroid diagnosis nor BD drug treatment, (ii) followed by at least one thyroid test during BD monotherapy on lithium carbonate, mood-stabilizing anticonvulsants (lamotrigine, valproate, oxcarbazepine, or carbamazepine) or antipsychotics (aripiprazole, olanzapine, risperidone, or quetiapine). The outcome was cumulative incidence of hypothyroidism per drug, in the presence of the competing risk of ending monotherapy, adjusted for age, sex, physician visits, and thyroid tests. RESULTS: Adjusting for covariates, the four-year cumulative risk of hypothyroidism for lithium (8.8%) was 1.39-fold that of the lowest risk therapy, oxcarbazepine (6.3%). Lithium was non-statistically significantly different from quetiapine. While lithium conferred a higher risk when compared to all other treatments combined as a group, hypothyroidism risk error bars overlapped for all drugs. Treatment (p = 3.86e-3), age (p = 6.91e-10), sex (p = 3.93e-7), and thyroid testing (p = 2.79e-87) affected risk. Patients taking lithium were tested for hypothyroidism 2.26-3.05 times more frequently than those on other treatments. CONCLUSIONS: Thyroid abnormalities occur frequently in patients with BD regardless of treatment. Therefore, patients should be regularly tested for clinical or subclinical thyroid abnormalities on all therapies and treated as indicated to prevent adverse effects of hormone imbalances on mood.

Comparative genomics of cryptosporidium.

Until recently, the apicomplexan parasites, Cryptosporidium hominis and C. parvum, were considered the same species. However, the two parasites, now considered distinct species, exhibit significant differences in host range, infectivity, and pathogenicity, and their sequenced genomes exhibit only 95-97% identity. The availability of the complete genome sequences of these organisms provides the potential to identify the genetic variations that are responsible for the phenotypic differences between the two parasites. We compared the genome organization and structure, gene composition, the metabolic and other pathways, and the local sequence identity between the genes of these two Cryptosporidium species. Our observations show that the phenotypic differences between C. hominis and C. parvum are not due to gross genome rearrangements, structural alterations, gene deletions or insertions, metabolic capabilities, or other obvious genomic alterations. Rather, the results indicate that these genomes exhibit a remarkable structural and compositional conservation and suggest that the phenotypic differences observed are due to subtle variations in the sequences of proteins that act at the interface between the parasite and its host.