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1.
Tomography ; 9(6): 2211-2221, 2023 12 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38133075

RESUMO

Barotrauma occurs in a significant number of patients with COVID-19 interstitial pneumonia undergoing mechanical ventilation. The aim of the current study was to investigate whether the Brixia score (BS) calculated on chest-X-rays acquired at the Emergency Room was associated with barotrauma. We retrospectively evaluated 117 SARS-CoV-2 patients presented to the Emergency Department (ED) and then admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for mechanical ventilation between February and April 2020. Subjects were divided into two groups according to the occurrence of barotrauma during their hospitalization. CXRs performed at ED admittance were assessed using the Brixia score. Distribution of barotrauma (pneumomediastinum, pneumothorax, subcutaneous emphysema) was identified in chest CT scans. Thirty-eight subjects (32.5%) developed barotrauma (25 pneumomediastinum, 24 pneumothorax, 24 subcutaneous emphysema). In the barotrauma group we observed higher Brixia score values compared to the non-barotrauma group (mean value 12.18 vs. 9.28), and logistic regression analysis confirmed that Brixia score is associated with the risk of barotrauma. In this work, we also evaluated the relationship between barotrauma and clinical and ventilatory parameters: SOFA score calculated at ICU admittance and number of days of non-invasive ventilation (NIV) prior to intubation emerged as other potential predictors of barotrauma.


Assuntos
Barotrauma , COVID-19 , Enfisema Mediastínico , Pneumotórax , Enfisema Subcutâneo , Humanos , Respiração Artificial/efeitos adversos , Pneumotórax/diagnóstico por imagem , Pneumotórax/epidemiologia , Pneumotórax/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Enfisema Mediastínico/diagnóstico por imagem , Enfisema Mediastínico/epidemiologia , Enfisema Mediastínico/etiologia , Pandemias , Raios X , COVID-19/diagnóstico por imagem , Barotrauma/diagnóstico por imagem , Barotrauma/epidemiologia , Barotrauma/etiologia , Enfisema Subcutâneo/diagnóstico por imagem , Enfisema Subcutâneo/epidemiologia , Enfisema Subcutâneo/etiologia , Hospitalização , Itália/epidemiologia
2.
Comput Methods Programs Biomed ; 224: 107029, 2022 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35908330

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In Italy, the administration of COVID-19 vaccines began in late 2020. In the early stages, the number of available doses was limited. To maximize the effectiveness of the vaccine campaign, the national health agency assigned priority access to at-risk individuals, such as health care workers and the elderly. Current vaccination campaign strategies do not take full advantage of the latest mathematical models, which capture many subtle nuances, allowing different territorial situations to be analyzed aiming to make context-specific decisions. OBJECTIVES: The main objective is the definition of an agent-based model using open data and scientific literature to assess and optimize the impact of vaccine campaigns for an Italian region. Specifically, the aim is twofold: (i) estimate the reduction in the number of infections and deaths attributable to vaccines, and (ii) assess the performances of alternative vaccine allocation strategies. METHODS: The COVID-19 Agent-based simulator Covasim has been employed to build an agent-based model by considering the Lombardy region as case study. The model has been tailored by leveraging open data and knowledge from the scientific literature. Dynamic mobility restrictions and the presence of Variant of Concern have been explicitly represented. Free parameters have been calibrated using the grid search methodology. RESULTS: The model mimics the COVID-19 wave that hit Lombardy from September 2020 to April 2021. It suggests that 168,492 cumulative infections 2,990 cumulative deaths have been avoided due to the vaccination campaign in Lombardy from January 1 to April 30, 2021. Without vaccines, the number of deaths would have been 66% greater in the 80-89 age group and 114% greater for those over 90. The best vaccine allocation strategy depends on the goal. To minimize infections, the best policy is related to dose availability. If at least 1/3 of the population can be covered in 4 months, targeting at-risk individuals and the elderly first is recommended; otherwise, the youngest people should be vaccinated first. To minimize overall deaths, priority is best given to at-risk groups and the elderly in all scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: This work proposes a methodological approach that leverages open data and scientific literature to build a model of COVID-19 capable of assessing and optimizing the impact of vaccine campaigns. This methodology can help national institutions to design regional mathematical models that can support pandemic-related decision-making processes.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Vacinação
3.
IFAC Pap OnLine ; 54(15): 263-268, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38620938

RESUMO

The aim of this article is to give a better understanding of the dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in the Bergamo province (Italy), one of the most hit areas of the world, between February and April 2020. A new compartmental model, called SIAT3HE, was designed and fitted on accurate data about the pandemic provided by ATS Bergamo, the health protection agency of the Bergamo province. Our results show that SARS-CoV-2 reached Bergamo in January and infected 318,000 people, the 28.8% of the province population. The 43.1% of the infected individuals stayed asymptomatic. As 6,028 people died due to COVID-19 till April 30th, the infection fatality ratio of SARS-CoV-2 in the Bergamo province was 1.9%. These results are in very good agreement with available information: the number of infections is consistent with the results of recent serological surveys and the number of deaths due to COVID-19 is close to the excess mortality of the considered period.

4.
Data Brief ; 29: 105153, 2020 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32021891

RESUMO

This article describes the data acquired during the first test activity carried out in the Reliable Electromechanical actuator for PRImary SurfacE with health monitoring (REPRISE) H2020 project. The data consist of a set of measures from an Electro-Mechanical Actuator (EMA) employed in small aircrafts, such as phase currents, positions, temperature and loads. A test bench was developed to perform endurance sessions in various loads and working conditions. Specifically, two datasets are provided: (i) measurements used to monitor the EMA degradation through time; (ii) measurements that characterize the EMA closed-loop dynamic behaviour in healthy condition. The data are helpful to develop and test system identification methods and condition monitoring approaches.

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