Rising prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus and its associated risk factors in Makurdi, North-Central Region of Nigeria.

Background: The disease burden of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in sub-Saharan African region have been on the rise. Proper assessment of current prevalence of GDM may inform policy changes and management approach for improved care delivery. Objective: To determine the current prevalence of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) and evaluate its major risk factors amongst pregnant women in Makurdi, North-Central Nigeria. Method: This was a multi-center hospital-based prospective observational study. Maternal characteristics and clinical risk factors for GDM in a cohort of 281 pregnant women at 9 to 16 weeks gestational age was evaluated. The one-step 75g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) was carried out at 24 to 28 weeks of gestation. Result: Of the 356 women recruited, 281 (79.8%) completed the study. The GDM prevalence in the cohort was 16.7%. Increased early pregnancy BMI (adjusted OR = 1.154, 95% CI = 1.080 - 1.233, p<0.001) and presence of family history of diabetes mellitus (adjusted OR = 0.482, 95% CI = 0.233 - 0.997, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for GDM in the cohort. Conclusion: Increasing maternal age and early pregnancy BMI amongst other possible reasons, may account for the rising prevalence of GDM in the region.

First trimester sex hormone-binding globulin predicts gestational diabetes mellitus in a population of Nigerian women.

There has been a steady rise in the disease burden of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) in the sub-Saharan African region over time. Diagnostic testing for GDM is currently recommended at 24 - 28 weeks of gestation, leaving a narrow window for intervention before delivery. Hence the need for early prediction and preventive intervention. The performance of first trimester serum sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) assay as a predictor of GDM was determined by binary logistic regression. Women with GDM (n = 49) had a significantly lower mean first trimester SHBG level (104.7 ± 61.6 nmol/L) than did those without GDM (n = 180; 265.2 ± 141.5 nmol/L; p < .001). First trimester SHBG was significantly negatively correlated (rpb = -0.460, p value = <.001) with subsequent development of GDM and an area under receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curve of 0.874 (p < .001). A cut-off value of 158.0 nmol/L predictive of GDM had a diagnostic sensitivity of 81.5%, a specificity of 80.1%, and an overall diagnostic efficiency of 80.3%.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? GDM is associated with high risk of various complications and is commonly diagnosed at 24-28 weeks of gestation, leaving a narrow window for intervention. The performance of current maternal clinical and demographic risk factor-based prediction approaches is unreliable. Thus, more favourable prediction approaches need to be developed. Previous studies have suggested that SHBG, a readily assessable marker, has potential to predict GDM; however, these studies have mostly involved Caucasian and other non-African populations.What the results of this study add? SHBG may serve as a reliable first trimester screening tool for GDM development in Nigerian women with singleton pregnancies. This study demonstrates that first trimester SHBG can predict GDM development in sub-Saharan African women despite racial, ethnic and geographical differences.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? Effective first trimester prediction of GDM using SHBG may enable preventive interventions, thereby mitigating the high burden of the disease in the sub-Saharan African region. It may also provide relevant information that may guide adaptation of current management guidelines to ensure effective management of GDM in the region.