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BACKGROUND: Eye care organizations and professionals worldwide are increasingly focusing on bridging the gap between population health and medical practice. Recent advances in genomics and anthropology have revealed that most Indian groups trace their ancestry to a blend of 2 genetically distinct populations: Ancestral North Indians, who share genetic affinities with Central Asians, Middle Easterners, Caucasians, and Europeans; and Ancestral South Indians, genetically distinct from groups outside the Indian subcontinent. Studies conducted among North Indian populations can therefore offer insights that are potentially applicable to these diverse global populations, underscoring significant implications for global health. OBJECTIVE: The Bodhya Eye Consortium is a collaboration among 8 high-volume nonprofit eyecare organizations from across North India. The consortium aims to harness real-world data consistently and with assured quality for collaborative research. This paper outlines the formation of the consortium as a proposed model for controlled collaborative research among the leading eyecare organizations of North India. METHODS: We detail the creation and effective implementation of a consortium following a structured road map that included planning and assessment, establishing an exploratory task force, defining specialty areas, setting objectives and priorities, and conducting a SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis. Central to this process was a comprehensive data audit aimed at standardizing data collection across all participating organizations. RESULTS: The consortium currently comprises 9 organizations, each represented in the governance structure by the Governing Council. Scientific standards for published research are established and overseen by the Scientific Committee, while the Conflict Resolution Committee manages any unresolved disputes. The consortium's working groups, organized by various eyecare specialties, collaborate on research projects through virtual interactions. A foundational step in this process was the organizationwide data audit, which revealed that most organizations complied with accurate and standardized data collection practices. Organizations with deficiencies in data completeness developed action plans to address them. Subsequently, the consortium adopted data collection proformas, contributing to the publication of high-quality manuscripts characterized by low dropout rates. CONCLUSIONS: The collaborative research conducted by the Bodhya Eye Consortium-a group of high-volume eyecare organizations primarily from North India-offers a unique opportunity to contribute to scientific knowledge across various domains of eyecare. By leveraging the established heterogeneity of anthropological and genomic origins within the population, the findings can be generalizable, to some extent, to European, Middle Eastern, and European American populations. This access to potentially invaluable, generalizable data has significant global health implications and opens possibilities for broader collaboration. The model outlined in this descriptive paper can serve as a blueprint for other health care organizations looking to develop similar collaborations for research and knowledge sharing.
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The process of brain tumour segmentation entails locating the tumour precisely in images. Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) is typically used by doctors to find any brain tumours or tissue abnormalities. With the use of region-based Convolutional Neural Network (R-CNN) masks, Grad-CAM and transfer learning, this work offers an effective method for the detection of brain tumours. Helping doctors make extremely accurate diagnoses is the goal. A transfer learning-based model has been suggested that offers high sensitivity and accuracy scores for brain tumour detection when segmentation is done using R-CNN masks. To train the model, the Inception V3, VGG-16, and ResNet-50 architectures were utilised. The Brain MRI Images for Brain Tumour Detection dataset was utilised to develop this method. This work's performance is evaluated and reported in terms of recall, specificity, sensitivity, accuracy, precision, and F1 score. A thorough analysis has been done comparing the proposed model operating with three distinct architectures: VGG-16, Inception V3, and Resnet-50. Comparing the proposed model, which was influenced by the VGG-16, to related works also revealed its performance. Achieving high sensitivity and accuracy percentages was the main goal. Using this approach, an accuracy and sensitivity of around 99% were obtained, which was much greater than current efforts.
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Neoplasias Encefálicas , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Redes Neurais de Computação , Humanos , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Encefálicas/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Algoritmos , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
The present article describes a novel surgical technique of a primary mini-capsulorhexis in midperiphery to minimize surgical complications in white intumescent cataracts. Patients with white mature cataracts with a convex anterior capsule or swollen lens fibers were selected. An initial puncture was made 3-4 mm away from the center, in the midperipheral anterior capsule, with a conventional cystitome. A mini-capsulorhexis (2-2.5 mm) was created. Loose cortical matter and fluidic contents were aspirated to reduce the intralenticular pressure. Two cuts were made at the margin of the mini-capsulorhexis, and an adequately sized secondary rhexis was completed, after which phacoemulsification was done. A circular curvilinear capsulorhexis was successfully achieved in all cases, including those with a small pupil. Rhexis could be completed in a patient where an initial extension occurred due to head movement. This refined technique aims to enhance the safety and precision of capsulorhexis in intumescent cataracts, thereby reducing the risk of complications such as the Argentinian flag sign. Further exploration and validation of this approach through clinical trials are warranted to establish its efficacy and safety profile.
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Capsulorrexe , Catarata , Facoemulsificação , Humanos , Facoemulsificação/métodos , Capsulorrexe/métodos , Catarata/complicações , Feminino , Acuidade Visual , Masculino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
Electric vehicles (EVs) have become an attractive alternative to IC engine cars due to the increased interest in lowering the consumption of fossil fuels and pollution. This paper presents the design and simulation of a 4 kW solar power-based hybrid EV charging station. With the increasing demand for electric vehicles and the strain they pose on the electrical grid, particularly at fast and superfast charging stations, the development of sustainable and efficient charging infrastructure is crucial. The proposed hybrid charging station integrates solar power and battery energy storage to provide uninterrupted power for EVs, reducing reliance on fossil fuels and minimizing grid overload. The system operates using a three-stage charging strategy, with the PV array, battery bank, and grid electricity ensuring continuous power supply for EVs. Additionally, the system can export surplus solar energy to the grid, reducing the load demand. The paper also discusses the use of MPPT techniques, PV cell modeling, and charge controller algorithms to optimize the performance of the hybrid charging station.
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Several deep-learning assisted disease assessment schemes (DAS) have been proposed to enhance accurate detection of COVID-19, a critical medical emergency, through the analysis of clinical data. Lung imaging, particularly from CT scans, plays a pivotal role in identifying and assessing the severity of COVID-19 infections. Existing automated methods leveraging deep learning contribute significantly to reducing the diagnostic burden associated with this process. This research aims in developing a simple DAS for COVID-19 detection using the pre-trained lightweight deep learning methods (LDMs) applied to lung CT slices. The use of LDMs contributes to a less complex yet highly accurate detection system. The key stages of the developed DAS include image collection and initial processing using Shannon's thresholding, deep-feature mining supported by LDMs, feature optimization utilizing the Brownian Butterfly Algorithm (BBA), and binary classification through three-fold cross-validation. The performance evaluation of the proposed scheme involves assessing individual, fused, and ensemble features. The investigation reveals that the developed DAS achieves a detection accuracy of 93.80% with individual features, 96% accuracy with fused features, and an impressive 99.10% accuracy with ensemble features. These outcomes affirm the effectiveness of the proposed scheme in significantly enhancing COVID-19 detection accuracy in the chosen lung CT database.
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PURPOSE: This study describes the technique of simple limbal epithelial transplantation (SLET) without amniotic membrane grafting (AMG) in limbal stem cell deficiency (LSCD). METHODS: Retrospective, interventional case series of 6 patients who underwent SLET without AMG were included. The procedure followed the standard technique, involving limbal biopsy from the healthy eye, resection of symblephera, and pannus dissection in the affected eye. Following host bed preparation, limbal explants were placed on the bare cornea and secured with fibrin glue. A large-diameter bandage contact lens was applied post surgery. No amniotic membrane was used. Preoperative data, including age, gender, cause of LSCD, best-corrected visual acuity, and previous ocular surgeries, were recorded. Postoperative clinical information, such as the duration of follow-up and recurrence of LSCD, best-corrected visual acuity, and other ocular examination findings, was recorded in an excel sheet. RESULTS: Preoperatively, 2 patients had total LSCD (secondary to a firecracker injury and excision biopsy for ocular surface squamous neoplasia). 4 patients had partial LSCD (3 chemical injuries, 1 firecracker injury). The mean age of participants was 30.67 ± 15.91 years, with a mean follow-up duration of 9.33 ± 8.04 months. Intraoperatively, all patients exhibited a smooth corneal surface after pannus removal. Postoperatively, all limbal explants remained securely attached, with complete corneal epithelialization achieved within 2 to 3 weeks. The ocular surface remained stable throughout, and no recurrence of LSCD was observed in any patient. No loss of explants was seen. CONCLUSIONS: The present series suggests that AMG may not be a necessary step for performing SLET.
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Purpose: Outcome of topography-guided excimer laser ablation in conjunction with accelerated, high-fluence cross-linking in corneal ecstatic disease using the NIDEK CXIII equipped with CATz algorithm from the FinalFit software-"Bharat Protocol." Methods: Retrospective case record review of 30 eyes of 17 patients of stage 1-3 keratoconus who underwent the procedure was performed. Data collected were for visual acuity, distortion-induced eye pain, and keratometry. Pachymetry, lower order and higher order aberrations, spherical aberrations, and topographic cylinder were documented from by Scheimpflug imaging (Pentacam 70700: Oculus, Wetzlar, Germany). Results: At a minimum follow-up of 6 months (range 6.2-13 months), there was significant improvement in UCVA (P < 0.00001), BCVA (P = 0.0061), decrease in Kmax (P = 0.0349), Ksteep (P < 0.0411), Kflat (P = 0.0099), and pachymetry (P = 0.0001). Significant improvement was also seen in distortion-induced eye pain (27/30 to 2/30; P < 0.00001). A more than two-line improvement in UCVA and BCVA was seen in 23/30 and 17/30 cases, respectively. Ectasia was stabilized in all cases at the last follow-up, and no complications were seen. Conclusions: The "Bharat" Protocol to arrest keratectasia progression and improve corneal regularity is a safe and efficacious alternative as a keratoconus management option. This is the first such study on Nidek Platform for the same.
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Ceratocone , Humanos , Ceratocone/diagnóstico , Ceratocone/tratamento farmacológico , Ceratocone/cirurgia , Projetos Piloto , Dor Ocular , Estudos Retrospectivos , Córnea/cirurgiaRESUMO
This article describes 1-year outcomes of a new intra-ocular implant, "Glauco-Claw," in refractory chronic angle-closure glaucoma (ACG). Glauco-Claw is a novice polymethylmethacrylate implant with a central ring and five claws placed circumferentially. It was placed in the anterior chamber and the peripheral iris was tucked into the claws, thus causing goniosynechialysis and preventing the reformation of goniosynechiae. It was implanted in five eyes of five patients, and they were followed up for 1 year. Target intra-ocular pressure was achieved and maintained in all the patients till the last follow-up. Two patients did not require any anti-glaucoma medication. No significant complications were observed in any patient. Glauco-Claw could be another armamentarium in the management of refractory chronic ACG.
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Glaucoma de Ângulo Fechado , Glaucoma , Doenças da Íris , Humanos , Glaucoma de Ângulo Fechado/diagnóstico , Glaucoma de Ângulo Fechado/cirurgia , Glaucoma de Ângulo Fechado/complicações , Iris/cirurgia , Glaucoma/complicações , Pressão Intraocular , Doenças da Íris/complicaçõesRESUMO
We report the outcomes of a custom-designed toric piggyback intraocular lens in a patient with high postoperative residual astigmatism. A 60-year-old male patient underwent customized toric piggyback IOL for postoperative residual astigmatism of 13 D, with follow-up examinations for IOL stability and refractive outcomes. The refractive error stabilized at two months and remained stable at one year, with a correction of nearly 9 D of astigmatism. The IOP remained within normal limits, and there were no postoperative complications. The IOL remained stable in the horizontal position. To our knowledge, this is the first case report of correction of unusually high astigmatism by a novel smart toric design of piggyback IOL.
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Astigmatismo , Implante de Lente Intraocular , Lentes Intraoculares , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Astigmatismo/etiologia , Astigmatismo/cirurgia , Erros de Refração , Implante de Lente Intraocular/efeitos adversos , Lentes Intraoculares/efeitos adversos , Facoemulsificação/métodos , Acuidade Visual , Refração OcularRESUMO
Malignant cancer angiogenesis has historically attracted enormous scientific attention. Although angiogenesis is requisite for a child's development and conducive to tissue homeostasis, it is deleterious when cancer lurks. Today, anti-angiogenic biomolecular receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (RTKIs) to target angiogenesis have been prolific in treating various carcinomas. Angiogenesis is a pivotal component in malignant transformation, oncogenesis, and metastasis that can be activated by a multiplicity of factors (e.g., VEGF (Vascular endothelial growth factor), (FGF) Fibroblast growth factor, (PDGF) Platelet-derived growth factor and others). The advent of RTKIs, which primarily target members of the VEGFR (VEGF Receptor) family of angiogenic receptors has greatly ameliorated the outlook for some cancer forms, including hepatocellular carcinoma, malignant tumors, and gastrointestinal carcinoma. Cancer therapeutics have evolved steadily with active metabolites and strong multi-targeted RTK inhibitors such as E7080, CHIR-258, SU 5402, etc. This research intends to determine the efficacious anti-angiogenesis inhibitors and rank them by using the Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluation (PROMETHEE- II) decision-making algorithm. The PROMETHEE-II approach assesses the influence of growth factors (GFs) in relation to the anti-angiogenesis inhibitors. Due to their capacity to cope with the frequently present vagueness while ranking alternatives, fuzzy models constitute the most suitable tools for producing results for analyzing qualitative information. This research's quantitative methodology focuses on ranking the inhibitors according to their significance concerning criteria. The evaluation findings indicate the most efficacious and idle alternative for inhibiting angiogenesis in cancer.
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Inibidores da Angiogênese , Neoplasias Gastrointestinais , Criança , Humanos , Inibidores da Angiogênese/farmacologia , Inibidores da Angiogênese/uso terapêutico , Fator A de Crescimento do Endotélio Vascular/metabolismo , Fatores de Crescimento do Endotélio Vascular , Receptores de Fatores de Crescimento do Endotélio Vascular/uso terapêutico , Fator de Crescimento Derivado de Plaquetas/metabolismo , Fatores de Crescimento de Fibroblastos/uso terapêutico , Neovascularização Patológica/metabolismoRESUMO
PURPOSE: The objective of this report is to describe a modification of a previously reported technique with an aim of improving the corneal topography and visual outcomes in progressive keratoconus along with stabilization of ectasia. METHOD: In a 26-year-old man with progressive keratoconus, corneal collagen cross-linking was performed in one eye. The other eye had a keratometry of 69.6 D and thinnest pachymetry of 397 µm for which a customized Bowman-stromal inlay surgery was performed. The technique involved the harvesting of Bowman-stromal inlay (anterior 180-µm human donor cornea having the Bowman's layer and anterior stroma) using the femtosecond laser and central ablation of this inlay was done on the stromal side using an excimer laser. This customized inlay was placed in the anterior stromal pocket of the patient's cornea using a regular intraocular lens injector. RESULTS: Stabilization of keratoconus could be achieved in the present case along with improvement in the corrected distance visual acuity and pachymetry. Maximum keratometry decreased from 69.6 D to 57.3 D. CONCLUSIONS: Customized Bowman-stromal inlay technique appears to be a step towards creating an ideal inlay for the keratoconus cornea.
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Ceratocone , Masculino , Humanos , Adulto , Ceratocone/cirurgia , Substância Própria/cirurgia , Córnea/cirurgia , Acuidade Visual , Topografia da Córnea , Reagentes de Ligações Cruzadas , Fármacos Fotossensibilizantes , RiboflavinaRESUMO
Ong speculum is used in glaucoma surgeries such as trabeculectomy to expose the superior part of the globe. The large inferior blade pushes the inferior conjunctival fornix, due to which the eyeball rotates downwards. It has not been used in other anterior segment surgeries before. We used this speculum in simple limbal epithelial transplantation (SLET) and pterygium surgery to expose superior bulbar conjunctiva for harvesting limbal and conjunctival grafts, respectively. As the superior conjunctiva and sclera become exposed, it facilitates the steps of harvesting limbal biopsy and conjunctival graft in SLET and pterygium surgery. This eliminated the need for a superior rectus suture or an assistant who would keep the globe rotated downwards. Its position could also be maneuvered to adjust the site of exposure when dissecting the area of pannus in SLET. Thus, it makes the superior conjunctiva more accessible.
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Pterígio , Humanos , Túnica Conjuntiva , Biópsia , Procedimentos Neurocirúrgicos , Instrumentos CirúrgicosRESUMO
A novel simulation model (without using human corneas) has been described for understanding the surgical concepts and developing tactile reflexes of Descemet membrane (DM) endothelium scroll manipulation and orientation in the anterior chamber, which are necessary for performing Descemet membrane endothelial keratoplasty (DMEK). Termed the "DMEK aquarium," this model helps facilitate the understanding of different maneuvers of the DM graft needed inside the fluid-filled anterior chamber, like unrolling or unfolding, flipping or inversion, and checking orientation and centration in the host cornea. A stepwise plan for surgeons starting to learn DMEK utilizing various available resources is also suggested.
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Transplante de Córnea , Mergulho , Humanos , Lâmina Limitante Posterior , Córnea , AprendizagemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The aetiology of the major outbreak of COVID-19-associated mucormycosis (CAM) in India in spring 2021 remains incompletely understood. Herein, we provide a multifaceted and multi-institutional analysis of clinical, pathogen-related, environmental and healthcare-related factors during CAM outbreak in the metropolitan New Delhi area. METHODS: We reviewed medical records of all patients diagnosed with biopsy-proven CAM (n = 50) at 7 hospitals in the New Delhi, and NCR area in April-June 2021. Two multivariate logistic regression models were used to compare clinical characteristics of CAM cases with COVID-19-hospitalised contemporary patients as controls (n = 69). Additionally, meteorological parameters and mould spore concentrations in outdoor air were analysed. Selected hospital fomites were cultured. Mucorales isolates from CAM patients were analysed by ITS sequencing and whole-genome sequencing (WGS). RESULTS: Independent risk factors for CAM identified by multivariate analysis were previously or newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus, active cancer and severe COVID-19 infection. Supplemental oxygen, remdesivir therapy and ICU admission for COVID-19 were associated with reduced CAM risk. The CAM incidence peak was preceded by an uptick in environmental spore concentrations in the preceding 3-4 weeks that correlated with increasing temperature, high evaporation and decreasing relative humidity. Rhizopus was the most common genus isolated, but we also identified two cases of the uncommon Mucorales, Lichtheimia ornata. WGS found no clonal population of patient isolates. No Mucorales were cultured from hospital fomites. CONCLUSIONS: An intersection of host and environmental factors contributed to the emergence of CAM. Surrogates of access to advanced COVID-19 treatment were associated with lower CAM risk.
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COVID-19 , Mucormicose , Humanos , Mucormicose/tratamento farmacológico , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/complicações , Fatores de Risco , Surtos de Doenças , Índia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
This article reports a novel surgical technique of partial-thickness compression sutures without descemetopexy with air or gas for the management of acute hydrops in keratoconus. Two patients presented with localized corneal edema with a Descemet membrane (DM) tear in the left eye. Tomography of the right eye revealed localized steepening with increased maximum keratometry and decreased central pachymetry. They were diagnosed with keratoconus in the right eye and acute corneal hydrops (ACH) in the left eye. Compression sutures were passed through the stroma without touching the DM. The anterior chamber was not entered at all at any point during the surgery. Resolution of edema was noted intraoperatively itself. Further resolution of edema was noted from the first postoperative day which markedly reduced within the first week. A corneal scar with no edema was seen at six weeks. In both the patients, vision at presentation was counting fingers close to face which improved to 20/60 and 20/50, respectively, at the last visit.
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Edema da Córnea , Ceratocone , Humanos , Ceratocone/complicações , Ceratocone/diagnóstico , Ceratocone/cirurgia , Lâmina Limitante Posterior/cirurgia , Doença Aguda , Edema , Edema da Córnea/diagnóstico , Edema da Córnea/etiologia , Edema da Córnea/cirurgia , SuturasRESUMO
Objective: To gain better insight into the extent of secondary bacterial and fungal infections in hospitalized patients in India, and to assess how these alter the course of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) so that control measures can be suggested. Methods: In this retrospective, multicentre study, the data of all patients who tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) on reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), admitted to hospital between March 2020 and July 2021, were accessed from the electronic health records of a network of 10 hospitals across five states in North India. Results: Of 19,852 patients testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 on RT-PCR and admitted to the study hospitals during the study period, 1940 (9.8%) patients developed secondary infections (SIs). Patients with SIs were, on average, 8 years older than patients without SIs (median age 62.6 vs 54.3 years; P<0.001). The risk of SIs was significantly (P<0.001) associated with age, severity of disease at admission, diabetes, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and ventilator use. The most common site of infection was urine (41.7%), followed by blood (30.8%) and sputum/bronchoalveolar lavage/endotracheal fluid (24.8%); the least common was pus/wound discharge (2.6%). Gram-negative bacilli (GNB) were the most common organisms (63.2%), followed by Gram-positive cocci (GPC) (19.6%) and fungi (17.3%). Most patients with SIs were on multiple antimicrobials. The most commonly used antibiotics against GNB were beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitors (76.9%), carbapenems (57.7%), cephalosporins (53.9%), and antibiotics against carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (47.1%). Empirical use of antibiotics against GPC was seen in 58.9% of patients with SIs, and empirical use of antifungals was observed in 56.9% of patients with SIs. The average length of hospital stay for patients with SIs was almost twice as long as that of patients without SIs (median 13 vs 7 days). Overall mortality among patients with SIs (40.3%) was more than eight times higher than that among patients without SIs (4.6%). Only 1.2% of patients with SIs with mild COVID-19 at admission died, compared with 17.5% of those with moderate COVID-19 at admission and 58.5% of those with severe COVID-19 at admission (P<0.001). The mortality rate was highest in patients with bloodstream infections (49.8%), followed by those with hospital-acquired pneumonia (47.9%), urinary tract infections (29.4%), and skin and soft tissue infections (29.4%). The mortality rate in patients with diabetes with SIs was 45.2%, compared with 34.3% in those without diabetes (P<0.001). Conclusions: SIs complicate the course of patients hospitalized with COVID-19. These patients tend to have a much longer hospital stay, a higher requirement for oxygen and ICU care, and a significantly higher mortality rate compared with those without SIs. The groups most vulnerable to SIs are patients with more severe COVID-19, elderly patients and patients with diabetes. Judicious empirical use of combination antimicrobials in these groups of vulnerable patients can save lives. It is desirable to have region- or country-specific guidelines for appropriate use of antibiotics and antifungals to prevent their overuse.
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In this study, date syrup waste extract (DSWE) (15 wt%) and different content of silver doped sepiolite hybrid (Ag-Sep, 0.25-3 wt%) were incorporated into gelatin matrix to develop a series of active composite packaging films. Incorporating 2 wt% of Ag-Sep increased the modulus of blend film by 98% compared to unmodified gelatin/DSWE blend film. The active gelatin composite film exhibited superior active compounds migration to aqueous food simulants. Besides, Ag-Sep provided a tortuous pathway to the composite film, resulting in high 2,2-diphenyl-1-picrylhydrazyl (DPPH) radical inhibition efficiency (91%) and slow-release kinetics of active compounds to the food simulant. The Ag-Sep hybrid was improved the antimicrobial property of the gelatin/DSWE blend film against both gram-negative and gram-positive microbes. Thus, this study demonstrated that the Ag-Sep hybrid exhibits significant properties in the active gelatin composite films, implying that this hybrid could be an effective additive for various active packaging films.
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Embalagem de Alimentos , Gelatina , Silicatos de Magnésio , Extratos Vegetais , PrataRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: There has been increased interest in interventions to promote hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance given low utilization and high proportions of late stage detection. Accurate prediction of patients likely versus unlikely to respond to interventions could allow a cost-effective approach to outreach and facilitate targeting more intensive interventions to likely non-responders. DESIGN: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial evaluating a mailed outreach strategy to promote HCC surveillance among 1200 cirrhosis patients at a safety-net health system between December 2014 and March 2017. We developed regularized logistic regression (RLR) and gradient boosting machine (GBM) algorithm models to predict surveillance completion during each of the 3 screening rounds in a training set (n = 960). Model performance was assessed using multiple performance metrics in an independent test set (n = 240). RESULTS: Among 1200 patients, surveillance was completed in 41-47% of patients over the three rounds. The RLR and GBM models demonstrated good discriminatory accuracy, with area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of 0.67 and 0.66 respectively in the first surveillance round and improved to 0.77 by the third surveillance round after incorporating prior screening behavior as a feature. Additional performance characteristics including the Brier score, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and reliability diagrams were also evaluated. The most important variables for the predictive model were prior screening completion status and past primary care contact. CONCLUSIONS: Predictive models can help stratify patients' likelihood to respond to surveillance outreach invitations, facilitating tailored strategies to maximize effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of HCC surveillance population health programs.