Prognostic value of cognitive impairment, assessed by the Clock Drawing Test, in emergency department patients presenting with non-specific complaints.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment (CI) is common among older patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). The failure to recognize CI at ED presentation constitutes a high risk of additional morbidity, mortality, and functional decline. The Clock Drawing Test (CDT) is a well-established cognitive screening test. AIM: In patients presenting to the ED with non-specific complaints (NSCs), we aimed to investigate the usability of the CDT and its prognostic value regarding length of hospital stay (LOS) and mortality. METHOD: Secondary analysis of the Basel Non-specific Complaints (BANC) trial, a prospective delayed type cross-sectional study with a 30-day follow-up. In three EDs, patients presenting with NSCs were enrolled. The CDT was administered at enrollment. RESULTS: In the 1,278 patients enrolled, median age was 81 [74, 87] years and 782 were female (61.19%). A valid CDT was obtained in 737 (57.7%) patients. In patients without a valid CDT median LOS was higher (29 [9, 49] days vs. 22 [9, 45] days), and 30-day mortality was significantly higher than in patients with a valid CDT (n = 45 (8.32%) vs. n = 39 (5.29%)). Of all valid CDTs, 154 clocks (20.9%) were classified as normal, 55 (7.5%) as mildly deficient, 297 (40.3%) as moderately deficient, and 231 (31.3%) as severely deficient. Mortality and LOS increased along with the CDT deficits (p = 0.012 for 30-day mortality; p < 0.001 for LOS). CONCLUSION: The early identification of patients with CI may lead to improved patient management and resource allocation. The CDT could be used as a risk stratification tool for older ED patients presenting with NSCs, as it is a predictor for 30-day mortality and LOS.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of cardiac troponins in emergency department patients presenting after a fall: A prospective, multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Emergency department (ED) presentations after a ground-level fall (GLF) are common. Falls were suggested to be another possible presenting feature of a myocardial infarction (MI), as unrecognized MIs are common in older adults. Elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) concentrations could help determine the etiology of a GLF in ED. We investigated the prevalence of both MI and elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and I (hs-cTnI), as well as the diagnostic accuracy of hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI regarding MI, and their prognostic value in older ED patients presenting after a GLF. METHODS: This was a prospective, international, multicenter, cohort study with a follow-up of up to 1 year. Patients aged 65 years or older presenting to the ED after a GLF were prospectively enrolled. Two outcome assessors independently reviewed all discharge records to ascertain final gold standard diagnoses. Hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI levels were determined from thawed samples for every patient. RESULTS: In total, 558 patients were included. Median (IQR) age was 83 (77-89) years, and 67.7% were female. Elevated hs-cTnT levels were found in 384 (68.8%) patients, and elevated hs-cTnI levels in 86 (15.4%) patients. Three patients (0.5%) were ascertained the gold standard diagnosis MI. Within 30 days, 18 (3.2%) patients had died. Nonsurvivors had higher hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI levels compared with survivors (hs-cTnT 40 [23-85] ng/L in nonsurvivors and 20 [13-33] ng/L in survivors; hs-cTnI 25 [14-54] ng/L in nonsurvivors and 8 [4-16] ng/L in survivors; p < 0.001 for both). CONCLUSIONS: A majority of patients (n = 364, 68.8%) presenting to the ED after a fall had elevated hs-cTnT levels and 86 (15.4%) elevated hs-cTnI levels. However, the incidence of MI in these patients was low (n = 3, 0.5%). Our data do not support the opinion that falls may be a common presenting feature of MI. We discourage routine troponin testing in this population. However, hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI were both found to have prognostic properties for mortality prediction up to 1 year.

Predictive value and interrater reliability of mental status and mobility assessment in the emergency department.

AIM: To investigate the predictive value of both mental status, assessed with the AVPUC (Alert, responds to Voice, responds to Pain, Unresponsive, and new Confusion) scale, and mobility assessments, and their interrater reliability (IRR) between triage clinicians and a research team. METHOD: Prospective study of consecutive patients who presented to an ED. Mental status and mobility were assessed by triage clinicians and by a dedicated research team. RESULTS: 4,191 patients were included. After adjustment for age and sex, patients with altered mental status have an odds ratio of 6.55 [4.09-10.24] to be admitted in the ICU and an odds ratio of 21.16 [12.06-37.01] to die within 30 days; patients with impaired mobility have an odds ratio of 7.08 [4.60-11.12] to be admitted in the ICU and an odds ratio of 12.87 [5.93-32.30] to die within 30 days. The kappa coefficient between triage clinicians and the research team for mental status assessment was 0.75, and 0.80 for mobility. CONCLUSION: Assessment of mental status by the AVPUC scale, and mobility by a simple dichotomous scale are suitable for ED triage. Both altered mental status and impaired mobility are associated with adverse outcomes. Mental status and mobility assessment have good interrater reliability.

Clinical Frailty Scale at presentation to the emergency department: interrater reliability and use of algorithm-assisted assessment.

PURPOSE: The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) allows health care providers to quickly stratify older patients, to support clinical decision-making. However, few studies have evaluated the CFS interrater reliability (IRR) in Emergency Departments (EDs), and the freely available smartphone application for CFS assessment was never tested for reliability. This study aimed to evaluate the interrater reliability of the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) ratings between experienced and unexperienced staff (ED clinicians and a study team (ST) of medical students supported by a smartphone application to assess the CFS), and to determine the feasibility of CFS assignment in patients aged 65 or older at triage. METHODS: Cross-sectional study using consecutive sampling of ED patients aged 65 or older. We compared assessments by ED clinicians (Triage Clinicians (TC) and geriatric ED trained nurses (geriED-TN)) and a study team (ST) of medical students using a smartphone application for CFS scoring. The study is registered on Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT05400707). RESULTS: We included 1349 patients aged 65 and older. Quadratic-weighted kappa values for ordinal CFS levels showed a good IRR between TC and ST (Ï° = 0.73, 95% CI 0.69-0.76), similarly to that between TC and geriED-TN (Ï° = 0.75, 95% CI 0.66-0.82) and between the ST and geriED-TN (Ï° = 0.74, 95% CI 0.63-0.81). A CFS rating was assigned to 972 (70.2%) patients at triage. CONCLUSION: We found good IRR in the assessment of frailty with the CFS in different ED providers and a team using a smartphone application to support rating. A CFS assessment occurred in more than two-thirds (70.2%) of patients at triage.

Bacterial genome-wide association study substantiates papGII of Escherichia coli as a major risk factor for urosepsis.

BACKGROUND: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are among the most common bacterial infections worldwide, often caused by uropathogenic Escherichia coli. Multiple bacterial virulence factors or patient characteristics have been linked separately to progressive, more invasive infections. In this study, we aim to identify pathogen- and patient-specific factors that drive the progression to urosepsis by jointly analysing bacterial and host characteristics. METHODS: We analysed 1076 E. coli strains isolated from 825 clinical cases with UTI and/or bacteraemia by whole-genome sequencing (Illumina). Sequence types (STs) were determined via srst2 and capsule loci via fastKaptive. We compared the isolates from urine and blood to confirm clonality. Furthermore, we performed a bacterial genome-wide association study (bGWAS) (pyseer) using bacteraemia as the primary clinical outcome. Clinical data were collected by an electronic patient chart review. We concurrently analysed the association of the most significant bGWAS hit and important patient characteristics with the clinical endpoint bacteraemia using a generalised linear model (GLM). Finally, we designed qPCR primers and probes to detect papGII-positive E. coli strains and prospectively screened E. coli from urine samples (n = 1657) at two healthcare centres. RESULTS: Our patient cohort had a median age of 75.3 years (range: 18.00-103.1) and was predominantly female (574/825, 69.6%). The bacterial phylogroups B2 (60.6%; 500/825) and D (16.6%; 137/825), which are associated with extraintestinal infections, represent the majority of the strains in our collection, many of which encode a polysaccharide capsule (63.4%; 525/825). The most frequently observed STs were ST131 (12.7%; 105/825), ST69 (11.0%; 91/825), and ST73 (10.2%; 84/825). Of interest, in 12.3% (13/106) of cases, the E. coli pairs in urine and blood were only distantly related. In line with previous bGWAS studies, we identified the gene papGII (p-value < 0.001), which encodes the adhesin subunit of the E. coli P-pilus, to be associated with 'bacteraemia' in our bGWAS. In our GLM, correcting for patient characteristics, papGII remained highly significant (odds ratio = 5.27, 95% confidence interval = [3.48, 7.97], p-value < 0.001). An independent cohort of cases which we screened for papGII-carrying E. coli at two healthcare centres further confirmed the increased relative frequency of papGII-positive strains causing invasive infection, compared to papGII-negative strains (p-value = 0.033, chi-squared test). CONCLUSIONS: This study builds on previous work linking papGII with invasive infection by showing that it is a major risk factor for progression from UTI to bacteraemia that has diagnostic potential.

Assessing Physiologic Reserve and Frailty in the Older Emergency Department Patient: Should the Paradigm Change?

Older patients are more vulnerable to acute illness or injury because of reduced physiologic reserve associated with aging. Therefore, their assessment in the emergency department (ED) should include not only vital signs and their baseline values but also changes that reflect physiologic reserve, such as mobility, mental status, and frailty. Combining aggregated vitals sign scores and frailty might improve risk stratification in the ED. Implementing these changes in ED assessment may require the introduction of senior-friendly processes to ensure ED treatment is appropriate to the older patients' immediate discomfort, personal goals, and likely prognosis.

Comparing the utility of clinical risk scores and integrated clinical judgement in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

AIMS: The utility of clinical risk scores regarding the prediction of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) is uncertain. We aimed to directly compare the prognostic performance of five established clinical risk scores as well as an unstructured integrated clinical judgement (ICJ) of the treating emergency department (ED) physician. METHODS AND RESULTS: Thirty-day MACE including all-cause death, life-threatening arrhythmia, cardiogenic shock, acute myocardial infarction (including the index event), and unstable angina requiring urgent coronary revascularization were centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists in patients presenting to the ED with acute chest discomfort in an international multicentre study. We compared the prognostic performance of the HEART score, GRACE score, T-MACS, TIMI score, and EDACS, as well as the unstructured ICJ of the treating ED physician (visual analogue scale to estimate the probability of acute coronary syndrome, ranging from 0 to 100). Among 4551 eligible patients, 1110/4551 patients (24.4%) had at least one MACE within 30 days. Prognostic accuracy was high and comparable for the HEART score, GRACE score, T-MACS, and ICJ [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.85-0.87] but significantly lower and only moderate for the TIMI score (AUC 0.79, P < 0.001) and EDACS (AUC 0.74, P < 0.001), resulting in sensitivities for the rule-out of 30-day MACE of 93-96, 87 (P < 0.001), and 72% (P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION: The HEART score, GRACE score, T-MACS, and unstructured ICJ of the treating physician, not the TIMI score or EDACS, performed well for the prediction of 30-day MACE and may be considered for routine clinical use. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00470587.

Tranexamic Acid for Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Patients on Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants (TICH-NOAC): A Multicenter, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 2 Trial.

BACKGROUND: Evidence-based hemostatic treatment for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) associated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) is lacking. Tranexamic acid (TXA) is an antifibrinolytic drug potentially limiting hematoma expansion. We aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of TXA in NOAC-ICH. METHODS: We performed a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial at 6 Swiss stroke centers. Patients with NOAC-ICH within 12 hours of symptom onset and 48 hours of last NOAC intake were randomized (1:1) to receive either intravenous TXA (1 g over 10 minutes followed by 1 g over 8 hours) or matching placebo in addition to standard medical care via a centralized Web-based procedure with minimization on key prognostic factors. All participants and investigators were masked to treatment allocation. Primary outcome was hematoma expansion, defined as ≥33% relative or ≥6 mL absolute volume increase at 24 hours and analyzed using logistic regression adjusted for baseline hematoma volume on an intention-to-treat basis. RESULTS: Between December 12, 2016, and September 30, 2021, we randomized 63 patients (median age, 82 years [interquartile range, 76-86]; 40% women; median hematoma volume, 11.5 [4.8-27.4] mL) of the 109 intended sample size before premature trial discontinuation due to exhausted funding. The primary outcome did not differ between TXA (n=32) and placebo (n=31) arms (12 [38%] versus 14 [45%]; adjusted odds ratio, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.22-1.82]; P=0.40). There was a signal for interaction with onset-to-treatment time (Pinteraction=0.024), favoring TXA when administered within 6 hours of symptom onset. Between the TXA and placebo arms, the proportion of participants who died (15 [47%] versus 13 [42%]; adjusted odds ratio, 1.07 [0.37-3.04]; P=0.91) or had major thromboembolic complications within 90 days (4 [13%] versus 2 [6%]; odds ratio, 1.86 [0.37-9.50]; P=0.45) did not differ. All thromboembolic events occurred at least 2 weeks after study treatment, exclusively in participants not restarted on oral anticoagulation. CONCLUSIONS: In a smaller-than-intended NOAC-ICH patient sample, we found no evidence that TXA prevents hematoma expansion, but there were no major safety concerns. Larger trials on hemostatic treatments targeting an early treatment window are needed for NOAC-ICH. REGISTRATION: URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02866838.

Emergency Presentations for Dizziness-Radiological Findings, Final Diagnoses, and Mortality.

Background: Dizziness is a frequent presentation in patients presenting to emergency departments (EDs), often triggering extensive work-up, including neuroimaging. Therefore, gathering knowledge on final diagnoses and outcomes is important. We aimed to describe the incidence of dizziness as primary or secondary complaint, to list final diagnoses, and to determine the use and yield of neuroimaging and outcomes in these patients. Methods: Secondary analysis of two observational cohort studies, including all patients presenting to the ED of the University Hospital of Basel from 30th January 2017-19th February 2017 and from 18th March 2019-20th May 2019. Baseline demographics, Emergency Severity Index (ESI), hospitalization, admission to Intensive Care Units (ICUs), and mortality were extracted from the electronic health record database. At presentation, patients underwent a structured interview about their symptoms, defining their primary and secondary complaints. Neuroimaging results were obtained from the picture archiving and communication system (PACS). Patients were categorized into three non-overlapping groups: dizziness as primary complaint, dizziness as secondary complaint, and absence of dizziness. Results: Of 10076 presentations, 232 (2.3%) indicated dizziness as their primary and 984 (9.8%) as their secondary complaint. In dizziness as primary complaint, the three (out of 73 main conditions defined) main diagnoses were nonspecific dizziness (47, 20.3%), dysfunction of the peripheral vestibular system (37, 15.9%), as well as somatization, depression, and anxiety (20, 8.6%). 104 of 232 patients (44.8%) underwent neuroimaging, with relevant findings in 5 (4.8%). In dizziness as primary complaint 30-day mortality was 0%. Conclusion: Work-up for dizziness in emergency presentations has to consider a broad differential diagnosis, but due to the low yield, it should include neuroimaging only in few and selected cases, particularly with additional neurological abnormalities. Presentation with primary dizziness carries a generally favorable prognosis lacking short-term mortality. .

Throughput delays: causes, predictors, and outcomes - observational cohort in a Swiss emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Optimal throughput times in emergency departments can be adjudicated by emergency physicians. Emergency physicians can also define causes of delays during work-up, such as waiting for imaging, clinical chemistry, consultations, or exit blocks. For adequate streaming, the identification of predictors of delays is important, as the attribution of resources depends on acuity, resources, and expected throughput times. OBJECTIVE: This observational study aimed to identify the causes, predictors, and outcomes of emergency physician-adjudicated throughput delays. METHODS: Two prospective emergency department cohorts from January to February 2017 and from March to May 2019 around the clock in a tertiary care centre in Switzerland were investigated. All consenting patients were included. Delay was defined as the subjective adjudication of the responsible emergency physician regarding delay during emergency department work-up. Emergency physicians were interviewed for the occurrence and cause of delays. Baseline demographics, predictor values, and outcomes were recorded. The primary outcome - delay - was presented using descriptive statistics. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the associations between possible predictors and delays and hospitalization, intensive care, and death with delay. RESULTS: In 3656 (37.3%) of 9818 patients, delays were adjudicated. The patients with delays were older (59 years, interquartile range [IQR]: 39-76 years vs 49 years, IQR: 33-68 years) and more likely had impaired mobility, nonspecific complaints (weakness or fatigue), and frailty than the patients without delays. The main causes of delays were resident work-up (20.4%), consultations (20.2%), and imaging (19.4%). The predictors of delays were an Emergency Severity Index of 2 or 3 at triage (odds ratio [OR]: 3.00; confidence interval [CI]: 2.21-4.16; OR: 3.25; CI: 2.40-4.48), nonspecific complaints (OR: 1.70; CI: 1.41-2.04), and consultation and imaging (OR: 2.89; CI: 2.62-3.19). The patients with delays had an increased risk for admission (OR: 1.56; CI: 1.41-1.73) but not for mortality than those without delays. CONCLUSION: At triage, simple predictors such as age, immobility, nonspecific complaints, and frailty may help to identify patients at risk of delay, with the main reasons being resident work-up, imaging, and consultations. This hypothesis-generating observation will allow the design of studies aimed at the identification and elimination of possible throughput obstacles.

Sex differences in mortality of older adults with falls after emergency department consultation: FALL-ER registry.

BACKGROUND: To investigate if sex is a risk factor for mortality in patients consulting at the emergency department (ED) for an unintentional fall. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of the FALL-ER registry, a cohort of patients ≥65 years with an unintentional fall presenting to one of 5 Spanish EDs during 52 predefined days (one per week during one year). We collected 18 independent patient baseline and fall-related variables. Patients were followed for 6 months and all-cause mortality recorded. The association between biological sex and mortality was expressed as unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with the 95% confidence interval (95% CI), and subgroup analyses were performed by assessing the interaction of sex with all baseline and fall-related mortality risk variables. RESULTS: Of 1315 enrolled patients (median age 81 years), 411 were men (31%) and 904 women (69%). The 6-month mortality was higher in men (12.4% vs. 5.2%, HR = 2.48, 95% CI = 1.65-3.71), although age was similar between sexes. Men had more comorbidity, previous hospitalizations, loss of consciousness, and an intrinsic cause for falling. Women more frequently lived alone, with self-reported depression, and the fall results in a fracture and immobilization. Nonetheless, after adjustment for age and these eight divergent variables, older men aged 65 and over still showed a significantly higher mortality (HR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.39-3.45), with the highest risk observed during the first month after ED presentation (HR = 4.18, 95% CI = 1.31-13.3). We found no interaction between sex and any patient-related or fall-related variables with respect to mortality (p > 0.05 in all comparisons). CONCLUSIONS: Male sex is a risk factor for death following ED presentation for a fall in the older population adults aged 65 and over. The causes for this risk should be investigated in future studies.

Apical pulmonary lesions suspected of malignancy visible on neck CT angiography performed for acute stroke: Prevalence, treatment, and clinical implications - the PLEURA study.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography angiography (CTA) of the supraaortic arteries is commonly used for acute stroke workup and may reveal apical pulmonary lesions (APL). AIM: To determine the prevalence, follow-up algorithms, and in-hospital outcomes of stroke patients with APL on CTA. METHODS: We retrospectively included consecutive adult patients with ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or intracerebral hemorrhage and available CTA at a tertiary hospital between January 2014 and May 2021. We reviewed all CTA reports for the presence of APL. APL were classified as malignancy suspicious or benign appearing based on radiological-morphological criteria. We performed regression analyses to investigate the impact of malignancy suspicious APL on different in-hospital outcome parameters. RESULTS: Among 2715 patients, APL on CTA were found in 161 patients (5.9% [95%CI: 5.1-6.9]; 161/2715). Suspicion of malignancy was present in one third of patients with APL (36.0% [95%CI: 29.0-43.7]; 58/161), 42 of whom (72.4% [95%CI: 60.0-82.2]; 42/58) had no history of lung cancer or metastases. When performed, further investigations confirmed primary or secondary pulmonary malignancy in three-quarters (75.0% [95%CI: 50.5-89.8]; 12/16), with two patients (16.7% [95%CI: 4.7-44.8]; 2/12) receiving de novo oncologic therapy. In multivariable regression, the presence of radiologically malignancy suspicious APL was associated with higher NIHSS scores at 24 h (beta = 0.67, 95%CI: 0.28-1.06, p = 0.001) and all-cause in-hospital mortality (aOR = 3.83, 95%CI: 1.29-9.94, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: One in seventeen patients shows APL on CTA, of which one-third is malignancy suspicious. Further work-up confirmed pulmonary malignancy in a substantial number of patients triggering potentially life-saving oncologic therapy.

Association of accompanying dyspnoea with diagnosis and outcome of patients presenting with acute chest discomfort.

AIMS: The presence of accompanying dyspnoea is routinely assessed and common in patients presenting with acute chest pain/discomfort to the emergency department (ED). We aimed to assess the association of accompanying dyspnoea with differential diagnoses, diagnostic work-up, and outcome. METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled patients presenting to the ED with chest pain/discomfort. Final diagnoses were adjudicated by independent cardiologists using all information including cardiac imaging. The primary diagnostic endpoint was the final diagnosis. The secondary diagnostic endpoint was the performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) and the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1h-algorithms for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI). The prognostic endpoints were cardiovascular and all-cause mortality at two years. Among 6045 patients, 2892/6045 (48%) had accompanying dyspnoea. The prevalence of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in patients with vs. without dyspnoea was comparable (MI 22.4% vs. 21.9%, P = 0.60, unstable angina 8.7% vs. 7.9%, P = 0.29). In contrast, patients with dyspnoea more often had cardiac, non-coronary disease (15.3% vs. 10.2%, P < 0.001). Diagnostic accuracy of hs-cTnT/I concentrations was not affected by the presence of dyspnoea (area under the curve 0.89-0.91 in both groups), and the safety of the ESC 0/1h-algorithms was maintained with negative predictive values >99.4%. Accompanying dyspnoea was an independent predictor for cardiovascular and all-cause death at two years [hazard ratio 1.813 (95% confidence intervals, 1.453-2.261, P < 0.01)]. CONCLUSION: Accompanying dyspnoea was not associated with a higher prevalence of ACS but with cardiac, non-coronary disease. While the safety of the diagnostic work-up was not affected, accompanying dyspnoea was an independent predictor for cardiovascular and all-cause death. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00470587, number NCT00470587.

Development and External Validation of the International Early Warning Score for Improved Age- and Sex-Adjusted In-Hospital Mortality Prediction in the Emergency Department.

OBJECTIVES: Early Warning Scores (EWSs) have a great potential to assist clinical decision-making in the emergency department (ED). However, many EWS contain methodological weaknesses in development and validation and have poor predictive performance in older patients. The aim of this study was to develop and externally validate an International Early Warning Score (IEWS) based on a recalibrated National Early warning Score (NEWS) model including age and sex and evaluate its performance independently at arrival to the ED in three age categories (18-65, 66-80, > 80 yr). DESIGN: International multicenter cohort study. SETTING: Data was used from three Dutch EDs. External validation was performed in two EDs in Denmark. PATIENTS: All consecutive ED patients greater than or equal to 18 years in the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED) with at least two registered vital signs were included, resulting in 95,553 patients. For external validation, 14,809 patients were included from a Danish Multicenter Cohort (DMC). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Model performance to predict in-hospital mortality was evaluated by discrimination, calibration curves and summary statistics, reclassification, and clinical usefulness by decision curve analysis. In-hospital mortality rate was 2.4% ( n = 2,314) in the NEED and 2.5% ( n = 365) in the DMC. Overall, the IEWS performed significantly better than NEWS with an area under the receiving operating characteristic of 0.89 (95% CIs, 0.89-0.90) versus 0.82 (0.82-0.83) in the NEED and 0.87 (0.85-0.88) versus 0.82 (0.80-0.84) at external validation. Calibration for NEWS predictions underestimated risk in older patients and overestimated risk in the youngest, while calibration improved for IEWS with a substantial reclassification of patients from low to high risk and a standardized net benefit of 5-15% in the relevant risk range for all age categories. CONCLUSIONS: The IEWS substantially improves in-hospital mortality prediction for all ED patients greater than or equal to18 years.

Correction: Osterwalder et al. Acute Abdominal Pain: Missed Diagnoses, Extra-Abdominal Conditions, and Outcomes. J. Clin. Med. 2020, 9, 899.

In the original publication [...].

Mechanical Thrombectomy Versus Best Medical Treatment in the Late Time Window in Non-DEFUSE-Non-DAWN Patients: A Multicenter Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: We assessed the efficacy and safety of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in adult stroke patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion presenting in the late time window not fulfilling the DEFUSE-3 (Thrombectomy for Stroke at 6 to 16 Hours With Selection by Perfusion Imaging trial) and DAWN (Thrombectomy 6 to 24 Hours After Stroke With a Mismatch Between Deficit and Infarct trial) inclusion criteria. METHODS: Cohort study of adults with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion admitted between 6 and 24 hours after last-seen-well at 5 participating Swiss stroke centers between 2014 and 2021. Mismatch was assessed by computer tomography or magnetic resonance imaging perfusion with automated software (RAPID or OLEA). We excluded patients meeting DEFUSE-3 and DAWN inclusion criteria and compared those who underwent MT with those receiving best medical treatment alone by inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score. The primary efficacy end point was a favorable functional outcome at 90 days, defined as a modified Rankin Scale score shift toward lower categories. The primary safety end point was symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage within 7 days of stroke onset; the secondary was all-cause mortality within 90 days. RESULTS: Among 278 patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion presenting in the late time window, 190 (68%) did not meet the DEFUSE-3 and DAWN inclusion criteria and thus were included in the analyses. Of those, 102 (54%) received MT. In the inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis, patients in the MT group had higher odds of favorable outcomes compared with the best medical treatment alone group (modified Rankin Scale shift: acOR, 1.46 [1.02-2.10]; P=0.04) and lower odds of all-cause mortality within 90 days (aOR, 0.59 [0.37-0.93]; P=0.02). There were no significant differences in symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (MT versus best medical treatment alone: 5% versus 2%, P=0.63). CONCLUSIONS: Two out of 3 patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion presenting in the late time window did not meet the DEFUSE-3 and DAWN inclusion criteria. In these patients, MT was associated with higher odds of favorable functional outcomes without increased rates of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. These findings support the enrollment of patients into ongoing randomized trials on MT in the late window with more permissive inclusion criteria.

Prognosis for older people at presentation to emergency department based on frailty and aggregated vital signs.

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification for older people based on aggregated vital signs lack the accuracy to predict mortality at presentation to the Emergency Department (ED). We aimed to develop and internally validate the Frailty adjusted Prognosis in ED tool (FaP-ED) for 30-day mortality combining frailty and aggregated vital signs. METHODS: Single-center prospective cohort of undifferentiated ED patients aged 65 or older, consecutively sampled upon ED presentation from a tertiary Emergency Center. Vital signs were aggregated using the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) as a measure of illness or injury severity and frailty was assessed with the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). The FaP-ED was constructed by combining NEWS and CFS in multivariable logistic regression. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Measures of discrimination and calibration were assessed to evaluate predictive performance and internally validated using bootstrapping. RESULTS: 2250 patients were included, 67 (1.8%) were omitted from analyses due to missing CFS, loss to follow-up, or terminal illness. Thirty-day mortality rate was 5.4% (N = 122, 95% CI = 4.5%-6.4%). Median NEWS was 1 (Inter-Quartile Range (IQR): 0-3) and median CFS was 4 (IQR: 3-5). The Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) for FaP-ED was 0.86 (95% CI = 0.83-0.90). This was significantly higher than NEWS (0.81, 95% CI = 0.77-0.85, DeLong: Z = 3.5, p < 0.001) or CFS alone (0.82, 95% CI = 0.78-0.86, DeLong: Z = 4.4, p < 0.001). Bootstrapped estimates of FaP-ED AUROC, calibration slope, and intercept were 0.86, 0.95, and -0.09, respectively, suggesting internal validity. A decision-threshold of CFS 5 and NEWS 3 was proposed based on qualitative comparison of positive Likelihood Ratio at all relevant FaP-ED cutoffs. CONCLUSION: Combining aggregated vital signs and frailty accurately predicted 30-day mortality at ED presentation and illustrated an important clinical interaction between frailty and illness severity. Pending external validation, the Fap-ED operationalizes the concept of such "geriatric urgency" for the ED setting.

Mechanical thrombectomy for large vessel occlusion between 6 and 24 h: outcome comparison of DEFUSE-3/DAWN eligible versus non-eligible patients.

BACKGROUND: The DEFUSE-3 and DAWN trials showed that mechanical thrombectomy (MT) improves the outcome of selected patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusions (LVO) up to 24 h after stroke onset. However, it is unknown whether only those patients fulfilling the trial inclusion criteria benefit, or whether benefit is seen in a broader range of patients presenting between 6 and 24 h. AIMS: We determined whether fulfilling the DEFUSE-3 and DAWN selection criteria affects outcomes in MT patients in clinical practice. METHODS: We reviewed adult patients with LVO treated with MT between 6 and 24 h after stroke onset at five Swiss stroke centers between 2014 and 2021. We compared two groups: (1) patients who satisfied neither DEFUSE-3 nor DAWN criteria (NDND) and (2) those who satisfied DEFUSE-3 or DAWN criteria (DOD). We used logistic regression to examine the impact of trial eligibility on two safety outcomes (symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage [sICH] and all-cause mortality at 3 months) and two efficacy outcomes (modified Rankin Score [mRS] shift toward lower categories and mRS of 0-2 at 3 months). RESULTS: Of 174 patients who received MT, 102 (59%) belonged to the NDND group. Rates of sICH were similar between the NDND group and the DOD group (3% vs. 4%, p = 1.00). Multivariable regression revealed no differences in 3-month all-cause mortality (aOR 2.07, 95% CI 0.64-6.84, p = 0.23) or functional outcomes (mRS shift: acOR 0.81, 95% CI 0.37-1.79, p = 0.60; mRS 0-2: aOR 0.91, 95% CI 0.31-2.57, p = 0.85). CONCLUSION: Among adult patients with LVO treated with MT between 6 and 24 h, safety and efficacy outcomes were similar between DEFUSE-3/DAWN eligible and ineligible patients. Our data provide a compelling rationale for randomized trials with broader inclusion criteria for MT.

Diagnoses and mortality among prehospital emergency patients calling 112 with unclear problems: a population-based cohort study from Denmark.

BACKGROUND: Patients calling for an emergency ambulance and assessed as presenting with 'unclear problem' account for a considerable part of all emergency calls. Previous studies have demonstrated that these patients are at increased risk for unfavourable outcomes. A deeper insight into the underlying diagnoses and outcomes is essential to improve prehospital treatment. We aimed to investigate which of these diagnoses contributed most to the total burden of diseases in terms of numbers of deaths together with 1- and 30-day mortality. METHODS: A historic regional population-based observational cohort study from the years 2016 to 2018. Diagnoses were classified according to the World Health Organisation ICD-10 System (International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th edition). The ICD-10 chapters, R ('symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified)' and Z ('factors influencing health status and contact with health services") were combined and designated "non-specific diagnoses". Poisson regression with robust variance estimation was used to estimate proportions of mortality in percentages with 95% confidence intervals, crude and adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities. RESULTS: Diagnoses were widespread among the ICD-10 chapters, and the most were 'non-specific diagnoses' (40.4%), 'circulatory diseases' (9.6%), 'injuries and poisonings' (9.4%) and 'respiratory diseases' (6.9%). The diagnoses contributing most to the total burden of deaths (n = 554) within 30 days were 'circulatory diseases' (n = 148, 26%) followed by 'non-specific diagnoses' (n = 88, 16%) 'respiratory diseases' (n = 85, 15%), 'infections' (n = 54, 10%) and 'digestive disease' (n = 39, 7%). Overall mortality was 2.3% (1-day) and 7.1% (30-days). The risk of mortality was highly associated with age. CONCLUSION: This study found that almost half of the patients brought to the hospital after calling 112 with an 'unclear problem' were discharged with a 'non-specific diagnosis' which might seem trivial but should be explored more as these contributed the second-highest to the total number of deaths after 30 days only exceeded by 'circulatory diseases'.

Validation of a Simple Score for Mortality Prediction in a Cohort of Unselected Emergency Patients.

Background: Prognostication is an important component of medical decision-making. A patients' general prognosis can be difficult to measure. The Simple Prognostic Score (SPS) was designed to include patients' age, mobility, aggregated vital signs, and the treating physician's decision to admit to aid prognostication. Study Aim. Our study aim is to validate the SPS, compare it with the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) regarding its prognostic performance, and test the interrater reliability of the subjective variable of the decision to admit. Methods: Over a period of 9 weeks all patients presenting to the ED were included, routinely interviewed, final disposition registered, and followed up for one year. The C-statistics of discrimination was used to compare SPS and ESI predictions of 7-day, 30-day, and 1-year mortality. Youden J Statistics and Odds ratio, using logistical regression, were calculated for the Simple Prognostic Score. In a subset, a chart review was performed by senior physicians for a secondary assessment of the decision to admit. Interrater reliability was calculated using percentages and Cohens Kappa. Results: Out of 5648 patients, 3272 (57.9%) had a low SPS (i.e., ≤ 1); none of these patients died within 7 days, 2 (0.1%) died within 30 days after presentation and 19 (0.6%) died within a year. The area under the curve for 1-year mortality of the Simple Prognostic Score was 0.848. Secondary analysis of the interrater agreement for the decision to admit was 92%. Conclusion: In a prospective study of unselected ED patients, the Simple Prognostic Score was validated as a reliable predictor of short- and long-term mortality.