Tumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitor Monotherapy Versus Combination Therapy for the Treatment of Psoriatic Arthritis: Combined Analysis of European Biologics Databases.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) combination therapy with conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARD) is more effective for psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and/or improves TNFi drug survival compared to TNFi monotherapy. METHODS: Five PsA biologics cohorts were investigated between 2000 and 2015: the ATTRA registry (Czech Republic); the Swiss Clinical Quality Management PsA registry; the Hellenic Registry of Biologics Therapies (Greece); the University of Bari PsA biologics database (Italy); and the Bath PsA cohort (UK). Drug persistence was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and equality of survival using log-rank tests. Comparative effectiveness was investigated using logistic regression with propensity scores. Separate analyses were performed on (1) the combined Italian/Swiss cohorts for change in rate of Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28); and (2) the combined Italian, Swiss, and Bath cohorts for change in rate of Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ). RESULTS: In total, 2294 patients were eligible for the drug survival analysis. In the Swiss (P = 0.002), Greek (P = 0.021), and Bath (P = 0.014) databases, patients starting TNFi in combination with methotrexate had longer drug survival compared to monotherapy, while in Italy the monotherapy group persisted longer (P = 0.030). In eligible patients from the combined Italian/Swiss dataset (n = 1056), there was no significant difference between treatment arms in rate of change of DAS28. Similarly, when also including the Bath cohort (n = 1205), there was no significant difference in rate of change of HAQ. CONCLUSION: Combination therapy of a TNFi with a csDMARD does not appear to affect improvement of disease activity or HAQ versus TNFi monotherapy, but it may improve TNFi drug survival.

Risk of Osteoarthritis in an Incident Cohort of People With Psoriatic Arthritis: A Population-based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk of a diagnosis of osteoarthritis (OA) in patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) compared to patients with psoriasis and a general population cohort. METHODS: Incident PsA patients aged 18-89 years at diagnosis were identified from the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink between 1998 and 2014. All patients with PsA were matched to 2 cohorts of patients, both at a 1:4 ratio. The first cohort included patients with psoriasis (and no PsA) and the second was a general population cohort (with no psoriasis or PsA). The baseline prevalence of OA was calculated for each study cohort. The incidence of OA was calculated, and adjusted relative risks (RRadj) were calculated using conditional Poisson regression. RESULTS: We identified 6783 incident PsA patients. The baseline prevalence of OA ranged from 22.1% (95% CI 21.1-23.1) in the PsA cohort to 12.6% (95% CI 12.2-13.0) and 11.0% (95% CI 10.6-11.3) in the psoriasis and general population cohorts, respectively. The incidence of OA was significantly higher in the PsA cohort compared to the psoriasis and general population cohorts after adjusting for BMI (RRadj 1.68, 95% CI 1.46-1.93, and RRadj 1.86, 95% CI 1.62-2.14, respectively). CONCLUSION: An increased risk of OA was observed in patients with PsA compared to patients with psoriasis alone and those in the general population. Further work is needed to determine whether this reflects a true increase in OA risk or misdiagnosed PsA, and the extent to which it can be explained by differences in the opportunity for OA diagnosis between cohorts.

Risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in an incident cohort of people with psoriatic arthritis: a population-based cohort study.

Objectives: To determine the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular diseases in PsA patients compared with the general population and patients with psoriasis. Methods: Incident PsA patients aged 18-89 years were identified in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink between 1998 and 2014 and were matched (1:4 ratio) to a general population cohort and psoriasis cohort. The incidence of T2D, cerebrovascular disease, ischaemic heart disease and peripheral vascular disease (PVD) was calculated for each study cohort. Conditional Poisson regression was used to calculate adjusted relative risks. Results: We identified 6783 incident cases of PsA. The risk of T2D was significantly higher in the PsA cohort than in the general population and the psoriasis cohorts [adjusted relative risk 1.40 (CI95 1.15, 1.70) and adjusted relative risk 1.53 (CI95 1.19, 1.97), respectively]. The incidence of ischaemic heart disease, peripheral vascular disease and the three cardiovascular outcomes combined in the PsA cohort was significantly higher than in the general population. No significant differences in risk were observed between the PsA and psoriasis cohorts for any cardiovascular outcome. Conclusion: The development of T2D in an incident population of PsA is significantly higher than in psoriasis alone or in a general population, whereas the increased risk of cardiovascular disease in PsA and psoriasis is similar.

Risk of uveitis and inflammatory bowel disease in people with psoriatic arthritis: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the risk of uveitis and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) compared with the general population and patients with psoriasis. METHODS: A cohort study using data from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink between 1998 and 2014. Patients with incident PsA aged 18-89 years were identified and matched to a cohort of patients with psoriasis and a general population cohort. The incidence of uveitis, all IBD, Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis was calculated for each study cohort and adjusted relative risks (RRadj) were calculated using conditional Poisson regression. RESULTS: 6783 incident cases of PsA were identified with a median age of 49 years. The risk of uveitis was significantly higher in the PsA cohort than in the general population and psoriasis cohorts (RRadj 3.55, 95% CI 2.21 to 5.70 and RRadj 2.13, 95% CI 1.40 to 3.24, respectively). A significant increase was observed for Crohn's disease (RRadj 2.96, 95% CI 1.46 to 6.00 and RRadj3.60, 95% CI 1.83 to 7.10) but not for ulcerative colitis (RRadj1.30, 95% CI 0.66 to 2.56 and RRadj0.98, 95% CI 0.50 to 1.92). CONCLUSIONS: In a primary care-based incidence cohort of patients with PsA, there were substantial risks of developing uveitis and/or Crohn's disease, but not ulcerative colitis, when compared with the general population and psoriasis controls.

Interval between onset of psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis comparing the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink with a hospital-based cohort.

Objectives: To describe the time interval between the onset of psoriasis and PsA in the UK primary care setting and compare with a large, well-classified secondary care cohort. Methods: Patients with PsA and/or psoriasis were identified in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). The secondary care cohort comprised patients from the Bath PsA longitudinal observational cohort study. For incident PsA patients in the CPRD who also had a record of psoriasis, the time interval between PsA diagnosis and first psoriasis record was calculated. Comparisons were made with the time interval between diagnoses in the Bath cohort. Results: There were 5272 eligible PsA patients in the CPRD and 815 in the Bath cohort. In both cohorts, the majority of patients (82.3 and 61.3%, respectively) had psoriasis before their PsA diagnosis or within the same calendar year (10.5 and 23.8%), with only a minority receiving their PsA diagnosis first (7.1 and 14.8%). Excluding those who presented with arthritis before psoriasis, the median time between diagnoses was 8 years [interquartile range (IQR) 2-15] in the CPRD and 7 years (IQR 0-20) in the Bath cohort. In the CPRD, 60.1 and 75.1% received their PsA diagnosis within 10 and 15 years of their psoriasis diagnosis, respectively; this was comparable with 57.2 and 67.7% in the Bath cohort. Conclusion: A similar distribution for the time interval between psoriasis and arthritis was observed in the CPRD and secondary care cohort. These data can inform screening strategies and support the validity of data from each cohort.

Serum bone-turnover biomarkers are associated with the occurrence of peripheral and axial arthritis in psoriatic disease: a prospective cross-sectional comparative study.

BACKGROUND: A recent systematic review identified four candidate serum-soluble bone-turnover biomarkers (dickkopf-1, Dkk-1; macrophage-colony stimulating factor, M-CSF; matrix metalloproteinase-3, MMP-3; osteoprotegerin, OPG) showing possible association with psoriatic arthritis (PsA). We aimed to: (i) confirm and determine if these four biomarkers are associated with PsA; (ii) differentiate psoriasis cases with and without arthritis; and (iii) differentiate PsA cases with and without axial arthritis. METHODS: A prospective cross-sectional comparative two-centre study recruited 200 patients with psoriasis without arthritis (PsC), 127 with PsA without axial arthritis (pPsA), 117 with PsA with axial arthritis (psoriatic spondyloarthritis, PsSpA), 157 with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) without psoriasis, and 50 matched healthy controls (HC). Serum biomarker concentrations were measured using ELISA. Multivariable regression and receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed. RESULTS: MMP-3 concentrations were significantly higher and M-CSF significantly lower in each arthritis disease group compared with HC (p ≤ 0.02). MMP-3 concentrations were significantly higher (adjusted odds ratio, ORadj 1.02 per ng/ml increase in concentration; p = 0.0004) and M-CSF significantly lower (ORadj 0.44 per ng/ml increase; p = 0.01) in PsA (pPsA and PsSpA combined) compared with PsC. Dkk-1 concentrations were significantly higher (ORadj 1.22 per ng/mL increase; p = 0.01), and OPG concentrations significantly lower (ORadj 0.20 per ng/mL increase; p = 0.02) in patients with axial arthritis (PsSpA and AS combined) than in those without (pPsA). Furthermore, Dkk-1 concentrations were significantly higher along a spectrum of increasing axial arthritis; Dkk-1 concentrations were higher in AS compared with PsSpA (ORadj 1.18 per ng/mL increase; p = 0.02). Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed MMP-3 to be the best single biomarker for differentiating PsA from PsC (AUC 0.70 for a cut-off of 14.51 ng/mL; sensitivity 0.76, specificity 0.60). CONCLUSIONS: MMP-3 and M-CSF are biomarkers for the presence of arthritis in psoriatic disease, and could therefore be used to screen for PsA in psoriasis cohorts. Dkk-1 and OPG are biomarkers of axial arthritis; they could therefore be used to screen for the presence of axial disease in PsA cases, and help differentiate PsSpA from AS. High concentrations of Dkk-1 in AS and PsSpA compared with HC, support previous reports that Dkk-1 is dysfunctional in the spondyloarthritides.

Presentation of SLE in UK primary care using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the presenting symptoms of SLE in primary care using the Clinical Practice Research Database (CPRD) and to calculate the time from symptom presentation to SLE diagnosis. METHODS: Incident cases of SLE were identified from the CPRD between 2000 and 2012. Presenting symptoms were identified from the medical records of cases in the 5 years before diagnosis and grouped using the British Isles Lupus Activity Group (BILAG) symptom domains. The time from the accumulation of one, two and three BILAG domains to SLE diagnosis was investigated, stratified by age at diagnosis (<30, 30-49 and ≥50 years). RESULTS: We identified 1426 incident cases (170 males and 1256 females) of SLE. The most frequently recorded symptoms and signs prior to diagnosis were musculoskeletal, mucocutaneous and neurological. The median time from first musculoskeletal symptom to SLE diagnosis was 26.4 months (IQR 9.3-43.6). There was a significant difference in the time to diagnosis (log rank p<0.01) when stratified by age and disease severity at baseline, with younger patients <30 years and those with severe disease having the shortest times and patients aged ≥50 years and those with mild disease having the longest (6.4 years (IQR 5.8-6.8)). CONCLUSIONS: The time from symptom onset to SLE diagnosis is long, especially in older patients. SLE should be considered in patients presenting with flaring or chronic musculoskeletal, mucocutaneous and neurological symptoms.

Axial Disease in Psoriatic Arthritis study: defining the clinical and radiographic phenotype of psoriatic spondyloarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the prevalence, clinical and radiographic characteristics of psoriatic spondyloarthritis (PsSpA) in psoriatic arthritis (PsA), with ankylosing spondylitis (AS). METHODS: A prospective single-centre cross-sectional observational study recruited consecutive PsA and AS cases. Participants completed outcome measures, and underwent clinical examination, axial radiographic scoring and HLA-sequencing. Multivariable analyses are presented. RESULTS: The 402 enrolled cases (201 PsA, 201 AS; fulfilling classification criteria for respective conditions) were reclassified based upon radiographic axial disease and psoriasis, as: 118 PsSpA, 127 peripheral-only PsA (pPsA), and 157 AS without psoriasis (AS) cases. A significant proportion of patients with radiographic axial disease had PsSpA (118/275; 42.91%), and often had symptomatically silent axial disease (30/118; 25.42%). Modified New York criteria for AS were fulfilled by 48/201 (23.88%) PsA cases, and Classification of Psoriatic Arthritis criteria by 49/201 (24.38%) AS cases. pPsA compared with PsSpA cases had a lower frequency of HLA-B*27 (OR 0.12; 95% CI 0.05 to 0.25). Disease activity, metrology and disability were comparable in PsSpA and AS. A significant proportion of PsSpA cases had spondylitis without sacroiliitis (39/118; 33.05%); they less frequently carried HLA-B*27 (OR 0.11; 95% CI 0.04 to 0.33). Sacroiliac joint complete ankylosis (adjusted OR, ORadj 2.96; 95% CI 1.42 to 6.15) and bridging syndesmophytes (ORadj 2.78; 95% CI 1.49 to 5.18) were more likely in AS than PsSpA. Radiographic axial disease was more severe in AS than PsSpA (Psoriatic Arthritis Spondylitis Radiology Index Score: adjusted incidence risk ratio 1.13; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.19). CONCLUSIONS: In a combined cohort of patients with either PsA or AS from a single centre, 24% fulfilled classification criteria for both conditions. The pattern of axial disease was influenced significantly by the presence of skin psoriasis and HLA-B*27.

Factors Associated With Sustained Remission in Rheumatoid Arthritis in Patients Treated With Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor.

OBJECTIVE: Anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) antibody has revolutionized the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and remission is now a realistic possibility for patients. Despite widespread use of anti-TNFs, predicting which patients are most likely to attain a sustained good response to these treatments remains challenging. Our objective was to undertake a systematic review of the literature to evaluate existing evidence for demographic and clinical factors associated with the achievement of sustained remission in individuals with RA treated with anti-TNF therapy. METHODS: Embase, Medline, and the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register were searched along with studies identified from reference lists. Quality of studies was assessed using Newcastle-Ottawa criteria. Meta-analysis was undertaken where unadjusted odds ratios were available for the same demographic or clinical factors from at least 3 studies. RESULTS: Six studies were identified. Concomitant methotrexate use was associated with an increased likelihood of achieving sustained remission. Greater baseline disease activity, tender joint count, age, disease duration, baseline functional impairment, and female sex were associated with reduced likelihood of achieving sustained remission. CONCLUSION: Factors predicting sustained remission are seldom reported. Evidence identified in this review supports current recommendations for methotrexate coprescription and highlights the negative impact of particular clinical and demographic features on the likelihood of achieving optimal response to anti-TNF treatment. Sustained remission is clinically more relevant than point remission in RA. More widespread reporting of sustained remission will help clinicians set realistic expectations on likely long-term treatment efficacy and could be an important tool for identifying patients suitable for dose optimization.

Safety of Fluticasone Propionate Prescribed for Asthma During Pregnancy: A UK Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Asthma is commonly treated during pregnancy, yet data on the safety of asthma medicines used during pregnancy are sparse. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate the safety of the inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) fluticasone propionate (FP), alone and in fixed-dose combination with salmeterol (FSC) in terms of the risk of all major congenital malformations (MCMs), compared with all other non-FP ICS. METHODS: Women with asthma who had a pregnancy between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2010, were identified in the United Kingdom's Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Exposure to asthma medicines during the first trimester of pregnancy was based on issued prescriptions. The mothers' and infants' medical records were linked where possible, and pregnancy outcomes with an MCM diagnosed by age 1 year were identified based on medical codes in the mother's and infant's medical records, including those MCMs prenatally diagnosed that ended in an induced pregnancy termination. The absolute and relative risks of an MCM after different ICS exposures, stratified by the asthma treatment intensity level, were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 14,654 mother-infant pairs were identified, of which 6,174 received an ICS prescription during the first trimester, in addition to 13 first trimester ICS exposed pregnancies that ended in an induced termination after a prenatal MCM diagnosis. In total, 5,362 pregnancies were eligible for the primary analysis at age 1 year. The absolute risk of an MCM after any first trimester FP exposure was 2.4% (CI95 0.8-4.1) and 2.7% (CI95 1.8-3.6) for the "moderate" and "considerable/severe" asthma treatment intensity levels, respectively. The adjusted odds ratios when compared with non-FP ICS were 1.1 (CI95 0.5-2.3) and 1.2 (CI95 0.7-2.0) for the "moderate" and "considerable/severe" intensity levels; risks for any FP and for FSC did not differ substantially. CONCLUSION: No increase in the overall risk of MCMs was identified after first trimester FP exposure compared with non-FP ICS.

Estimating the diagnostic accuracy of rheumatoid factor in UK primary care: a study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the diagnostic accuracy of RF as a test for RA in primary care and its impact on referral times using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. METHODS: We identified all patients with a first RF test recorded in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2008 and those diagnosed with RA within 2 years of testing. We calculated likelihood ratios (LRs), sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of RF for a diagnosis of RA. We compared time to hospital referral in those testing positive and negative using Kaplan-Meier failure curves and log-rank tests. RESULTS: Of 62 436 first RF tests, 4679 (7.5%) were positive. There were 1753 incident cases of RA, of which 57.8% were seropositive. The positive LR for RF was 9.5 (95% CI 9.0, 10.0) and the negative LR was 0.5 (95% CI 0.4, 0.5). Sensitivity and specificity were 57.8% (95% CI 55.4%, 60.1%) and 93.9% (95% CI 93.7%, 94.1%) and the positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 21.4% (95% CI 20.3%, 22.6%) and 98.7% (95% CI 98.6%, 98.8%), respectively. Median time to first hospital contact after the first RF test in those with seropositive vs seronegative results was 54 days (95% CI 49, 58) vs 150 (95% CI 147, 152). CONCLUSION: Only 2.8% of patients undergoing RF testing were diagnosed with RA, suggesting that RF is used to screen patients with musculoskeletal symptoms rather than those with more specific features of RA. A positive RF test may be helpful in diagnosing RA in primary care but performs badly in excluding RA and may delay referral.

Missing laboratory test data in electronic general practice records: analysis of rheumatoid factor recording in the clinical practice research datalink.

PURPOSE: To investigate whether information from the literature could be used to identify periods of practice data in an electronic healthcare database during which rheumatoid factor (RF) test results are likely to be missing-not-at-random (MNAR). METHODS: RF tests recorded in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) were identified and defined as having a positive, negative or missing result. The proportion of positive test results was then calculated based on (i) complete-case analysis (ii) after restriction to tests from practice years with no missing test results and (iii) following multiple imputation of missing test results. The same three analyses were then carried out after excluding practice years with a proportion of positive tests incompatible with the missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption. RESULTS: We identified 127,969 RF test records, 30.4% of which did not have an associated test result. Among tests with results available, 19% were positive. Both multiple imputation of the 38,867 missing test results and restriction of the study population to the 491 practice years with complete data had little impact on the percentage of positive tests. Following exclusion of the 544 practice years in which data were likely to be MNAR the percentage of positive tests in all analyses decreased to ~7%. CONCLUSIONS: Recording of RF tests and RF test results in the CPRD is incomplete, with data likely to be MNAR in many practices. Exclusion of practice years with a high proportion of positive tests brought the distribution of positive tests in the study in line with the literature.

Serum soluble bone turnover biomarkers in psoriatic arthritis and psoriatic spondyloarthropathy.

Because psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is an inflammatory disease of joints, serum soluble biomarkers specific for chronic joint and bone inflammation may predict future disease severity and response to therapy, thereby informing stratified medicine approaches. The objectives of our systematic review were to determine whether serum soluble bone and cartilage turnover biomarkers are (1) associated with PsA or psoriatic spondyloarthropathy; and (2) associated with disease activity, disease severity, or clinical phenotype. Ten studies met eligibility criteria. Matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-3, Dickkopf (DKK)-1, macrophage colony-stimulating factor (M-CSF), crosslinked telopeptide of collagen-1, and tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand were associated with PsA, with equivocal results for osteoprotegerin (OPG) and bone alkaline phosphatase (ALP). MMP-3, DKK-1, M-CSF, CPII:C2C (ratio of cartilage degradation vs byproduct formation), and possibly OPG were associated with PsA independently of psoriasis. C1-2C (a neoepitope released when type 2 cartilage is degraded by collagenases) was associated with both tender and swollen joint counts, and bone morphogenetic protein-4 with patient global assessment of disease, pain score, and the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index. Bone ALP was associated with disease activity. M-CSF and receptor activator of nuclear factor-κB ligand were associated with several plain radiographic features. No studies have investigated biomarker associations specifically with axial PsA.

Evaluation of patient involvement in a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data in cervical cancer treatment.

BACKGROUND: In April 2005, researchers based at the Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit, set out to involve women affected by cervical cancer in a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data to evaluate treatments for this disease. Each of the women had previously been treated for cervical cancer. Following completion of the meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate the process of involvement from the researcher and research partner perspective. METHODS: An advisory group was first established to give advice on recruiting, supporting and involving women and led to efforts to recruit women to take part in the systematic review using different approaches. Evaluation of the process and outcomes of the partnership between the systematic reviewers and the patients, in respect to what the partnership achieved; what worked well and what were the difficulties; what was learned and the resource requirements, took place during the conduct of the meta-analysis and again after completion of the project. RESULTS: Six women, each of whom had received treatments for cervical cancer, were recruited as Patient Research Partners and five of these women subsequently took part in a variety of activities around the systematic review. They attended progress meetings and all but one attended a meeting at which the first results of the review were presented to all collaborators and gave feedback. Three of the women also became involved in a further related research project which led to an editorial publication from the patient perspective and also participated, along with two lead researchers, in the evaluation of the process and outcomes. While they were generally positive about the experience, one Patient Research Partner questioned the extent of the impact patients could make to the systematic review process. CONCLUSIONS: In general, researchers and patient research partners felt that they had learned a lot from the process and considered it to have been a positive experience. The researchers felt that because of resource implications, patient involvement in future systematic reviews would probably have to be prioritized to those in which the greatest impacts could be achieved.

Patients' experiences and satisfaction with out-of-hours GP home visiting provided by a GP cooperative.

BACKGROUND: Within the UK, patients place a fairly high value on the out-of-hours GP home visiting service. Although satisfaction with the range of out-of-hours services has been found to be high, little is known about patients' specific experiences of the home visiting services. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the satisfaction with, and experiences of, patients receiving a GP out-of-hours (OOH) home visit from a GP cooperative. METHODS: A postal questionnaire study sent to all patients receiving a home visit from a single cooperative. The questionnaire asked patients a range of questions about their experiences of the home visiting service that they received and also contained a validated satisfaction measure. RESULTS: The OOH home visiting services largely provide care for an older population, most of whom consider that they are either too ill to travel or have limited mobility. The majority (43%) of home visits are made during the daytime at weekends, with just 25% of visits made during the night-time. If the home visit was not available, 67% of patients stated that they would have phoned for an ambulance or gone directly to hospital. The majority of patients (87%) were satisfied with the overall home visiting service that they received; however, 32% of patients were dissatisfied with the time it took for them to see a doctor or a nurse. CONCLUSIONS: Although the OOH services have received considerable criticism over the past 5 years, this study reveals that patients remain largely satisfied with the service and would have called 999 or gone directly to hospital if there had been no service.

Incidence of clinically diagnosed systemic lupus erythematosus 1992-1998 using the UK General Practice Research Database.

PURPOSE: To determine the age- and sex-specific incidence rates of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the population of the General Practice Research Database (GPRD) between 1.1.1992 and 31.12.1998. METHODS: We searched the GPRD for incident cases of clinically diagnosed SLE with supporting evidence of diagnosis in their medical record. Cases must have had at least 3 years of data in their record prior to date of first diagnosis. We calculated the annual and age- and sex-specific incidence rates of SLE. RESULTS: We identified 390 incident cases of SLE yielding an incidence rate (IR) of 3.02/100 000/year (CI(95) 2.72, 3.32). There were 41 males (IR 0.65/100 000/year (CI(95) 0.45, 0.85)) and 349 females (IR 5.30/100 000/year (CI(95) 4.75, 5.86)). The median age at diagnosis for males and females was 54 and 46 years, respectively, and the peak incidence rates were amongst women aged 30-69 years. The incidence rate ratio for females to males was 8.15 (CI(95) 5.9, 11.6). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first UK-wide study of the incidence of SLE. The results of this study are consistent with previous smaller studies conducted in Nottingham and Birmingham. Although recording of symptoms of SLE is not complete in the GPRD, we conclude that incident cases can be successfully identified because generally there is supporting evidence of diagnosis in medical record.

Ischemic stroke in young women: a nested case-control study using the UK General Practice Research Database.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Estimates of the incidence of ischemic stroke in young women vary widely from 0.9 to 8.9 per 100,000 per year. This study was conducted to determine the incidence and risk factors for ischemic stroke in young women in the UK. METHODS: Women aged 15 to 49 with a first diagnosis and supporting evidence of ischemic stroke between January 1, 1992, and December 31, 1998, were identified from the UK General Practice Research Database. Age-specific incidence rates were calculated and a nested case-control study was conducted with up to 6 controls randomly selected and matched to each case by year of birth and general practice. Crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: The incidence of ischemic stroke was 3.56/100 000 per year. Factors associated with an increased risk were heart disease (OR, 10.5), heavy alcohol consumption (OR, 8.5), previous venous thromboembolism (OR, 6.2), treated diabetes mellitus (OR, 4.7), hypertension (OR, 4.6), migraine (OR, 2.3), and use of combined oral contraceptives (OR, 2.3). Light alcohol consumption was found to be protective (OR, 0.17). CONCLUSIONS: The crude incidence rate was lower than previously reported for the USA and Europe but higher than that reported for the UK Oxford Region. This could be because of an under-representation of mild cases or because of a true lower incidence in the UK compared with the USA and the rest of Europe. The results of the case-control study are consistent with previous studies of ischemic stroke in young women.