Clinical Outcomes of Rapid Respiratory Virus Testing in Emergency Departments: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Rapid tests for respiratory viruses, including multiplex panels, are increasingly available in emergency departments (EDs). Their association with patient outcomes remains unclear. Objective: To determine if ED rapid respiratory virus testing in patients with suspected acute respiratory infection (ARI) was associated with decreased antibiotic use, ancillary tests, ED length of stay, and ED return visits and hospitalization and increased influenza antiviral treatment. Data Sources: Ovid MEDLINE, Embase (Ovid), Scopus, and Web of Science from 1985 to November 14, 2022. Study Selection: Randomized clinical trials of patients of any age with ARI in an ED. The primary intervention was rapid viral testing. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses reporting guidelines were followed. Two independent reviewers (T.S. and K.W.) extracted data and assessed risk of bias using the Cochrane Risk of Bias, version 2.0. Estimates were pooled using random-effects models. Quality of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations framework. Main Outcomes and Measures: Antibiotic use and secondary outcomes were pooled separately as risk ratios (RRs) and risk difference estimates with 95% CIs. Results: Of 7157 studies identified, 11 (0.2%; n = 6068 patients) were included in pooled analyses. Routine rapid viral testing was not associated with antibiotic use (RR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.93-1.05; high certainty) but was associated with higher use of influenza antivirals (RR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.02-1.75; moderate certainty) and lower use of chest radiography (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.98; moderate certainty) and blood tests (RR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.69-0.97; moderate certainty). There was no association with urine testing (RR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.77-1.17; low certainty), ED length of stay (0 hours; 95% CI, -0.17 to 0.16; moderate certainty), return visits (RR, 0.93; 95%, CI 0.79-1.08; moderate certainty) or hospitalization (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.95-1.08; high certainty). Adults represented 963 participants (16%). There was no association of viral testing with antibiotic use in any prespecified subgroup by age, test method, publication date, number of viral targets, risk of bias, or industry funding. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that there are limited benefits of routine viral testing in EDs for patients with ARI. Further studies in adults, especially those with high-risk conditions, are warranted.

SeroTracker-RoB: A decision rule-based algorithm for reproducible risk of bias assessment of seroprevalence studies.

Risk of bias (RoB) assessments are a core element of evidence synthesis but can be time consuming and subjective. We aimed to develop a decision rule-based algorithm for RoB assessment of seroprevalence studies. We developed the SeroTracker-RoB algorithm. The algorithm derives seven objective and two subjective critical appraisal items from the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence studies and implements decision rules that determine study risk of bias based on the items. Decision rules were validated using the SeroTracker seroprevalence study database, which included non-algorithmic RoB judgments from two reviewers. We quantified efficiency as the mean difference in time for the algorithmic and non-algorithmic assessments of 80 randomly selected articles, coverage as the proportion of studies where the decision rules yielded an assessment, and reliability using intraclass correlations comparing algorithmic and non-algorithmic assessments for 2070 articles. A set of decision rules with 61 branches was developed using responses to the nine critical appraisal items. The algorithmic approach was faster than non-algorithmic assessment (mean reduction 2.32 min [SD 1.09] per article), classified 100% (n = 2070) of studies, and had good reliability compared to non-algorithmic assessment (ICC 0.77, 95% CI 0.74-0.80). We built the SeroTracker-RoB Excel Tool, which embeds this algorithm for use by other researchers. The SeroTracker-RoB decision-rule based algorithm was faster than non-algorithmic assessment with complete coverage and good reliability. This algorithm enabled rapid, transparent, and reproducible RoB evaluations of seroprevalence studies and may support evidence synthesis efforts during future disease outbreaks. This decision rule-based approach could be applied to other types of prevalence studies.

SARS-CoV-2 infection in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of standardised seroprevalence studies, from January 2020 to December 2021.

INTRODUCTION: Estimating COVID-19 cumulative incidence in Africa remains problematic due to challenges in contact tracing, routine surveillance systems and laboratory testing capacities and strategies. We undertook a meta-analysis of population-based seroprevalence studies to estimate SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Africa to inform evidence-based decision making on public health and social measures (PHSM) and vaccine strategy. METHODS: We searched for seroprevalence studies conducted in Africa published 1 January 2020-30 December 2021 in Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Europe PMC (preprints), grey literature, media releases and early results from WHO Unity studies. All studies were screened, extracted, assessed for risk of bias and evaluated for alignment with the WHO Unity seroprevalence protocol. We conducted descriptive analyses of seroprevalence and meta-analysed seroprevalence differences by demographic groups, place and time. We estimated the extent of undetected infections by comparing seroprevalence and cumulative incidence of confirmed cases reported to WHO. PROSPERO: CRD42020183634. RESULTS: We identified 56 full texts or early results, reporting 153 distinct seroprevalence studies in Africa. Of these, 97 (63%) were low/moderate risk of bias studies. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence rose from 3.0% (95% CI 1.0% to 9.2%) in April-June 2020 to 65.1% (95% CI 56.3% to 73.0%) in July-September 2021. The ratios of seroprevalence from infection to cumulative incidence of confirmed cases was large (overall: 100:1, ranging from 18:1 to 954:1) and steady over time. Seroprevalence was highly heterogeneous both within countries-urban versus rural (lower seroprevalence for rural geographic areas), children versus adults (children aged 0-9 years had the lowest seroprevalence)-and between countries and African subregions. CONCLUSION: We report high seroprevalence in Africa suggesting greater population exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and potential protection against COVID-19 severe disease than indicated by surveillance data. As seroprevalence was heterogeneous, targeted PHSM and vaccination strategies need to be tailored to local epidemiological situations.

Bronchiolitis Management and Unnecessary Antibiotic Use Across 3 Canadian PICUs.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the patient characteristics, clinical management, and infectious etiology in critically ill children with bronchiolitis. The secondary objective was to determine the association between antibiotic use and hospital length of stay among patients without concomitant bacterial infections. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including patients ≤2 years old with bronchiolitis admitted to 3 Canadian pediatric intensive care units between 2016 and 2018. RESULTS: We included 372 patients with a median age of 2.1 months (interquartile range 1.2-6.6) and Pediatric Risk of Mortality III score 3.0 (interquartile range 0-3.0). Initial ventilatory management included high flow nasal cannula (28.2%) and noninvasive positive pressure ventilation (53.7%), of which 41.9% and 87.5%, respectively, did not require escalation of ventilatory support. Chest radiographs (81.7%) and respiratory virus testing (95.4%) were performed in most patients; 14.0% received systemic steroids. Respiratory syncytial virus was detected in 61.3% patients, and 7.5% had a culture-positive concomitant bacterial infection. Of 258 (69.4%) patients with a viral infection, only 45.3% received antibiotics. In this group, antibiotic use beyond 72 hours was not associated with hospital length of stay (ratio 1.14, 95% confidence interval 0.97-1.34). CONCLUSIONS: High flow nasal canulae and noninvasive ventilation are commonly used in severe bronchiolitis. Despite contrary evidence, steroids and antibiotics were also frequently used. Evidence-based guidelines specific to children with severe bronchiolitis are needed to improve the care delivered to this patient population.

Clinical Reasoning Behind Antibiotic Use in PICUs: A Qualitative Study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the reasoning processes used by pediatric intensivists to make antibiotic-related decisions. DESIGN: Grounded theory qualitative study. SETTING: Three Canadian university-affiliated tertiary medical, surgical, and cardiac PICUs. PATIENTS: Twenty-one PICU physicians. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We conducted field observation during morning rounds followed by semistructured interviews with participants to examine the clinical reasoning behind antibiotic-related decisions (starting/stopping antibiotics, or treatment duration) made for patients with a suspected/proven bacterial infection. We used a grounded theory approach for data collection and analysis. Thematic saturation was reached after 21 interviews. Of the 21 participants, 10 (48%) were female, 15 (71%) were PICU attending staff, and 10 (48%) had greater than 10 years in clinical practice. Initial clinical reasoning involves using an analytical approach to determine the likelihood of bacterial infection. In case of uncertainty, an assessment of patient safety is performed, which partly overlaps with the use of intuitive clinical reasoning. Finally, if uncertainty remains, physicians tend to consult infectious diseases experts. Factors that override this clinical reasoning process include disease severity, pressure from consultants, and the tendency to continue antibiotic treatment initiated by colleagues. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotic-related decisions for critically ill children are complex, and pediatric intensivists use several clinical reasoning strategies to decrease the uncertainty around the bacterial etiology of infections. However, disease severity and patient safety concerns may overrule decisions based on clinical evidence and lead to antibiotic use. Several cognitive biases were identified in the clinical reasoning processes.

Antimicrobial Stewardship in Bronchiolitis: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Three PICUs in Canada.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between the implementation of an antimicrobial stewardship program at a local PICU and to determine the association between the presence of an antimicrobial stewardship programs and antimicrobial use across three Canadian PICUs, among critically ill children with bronchiolitis. DESIGN: A multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Three Canadian PICUs over two winter seasons. INTERVENTIONS: An antimicrobial stewardship program was implemented at PICU 1 at the end of season 1. PATIENTS: Patients less than or equal to 2 years old admitted with bronchiolitis. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used regression models with an interaction term between site (PICU 1 and PICU 2) and season (1 and 2) as the primary analysis to determine the association between implementation of an antimicrobial stewardship program at PICU 1 and 1) the proportion of antimicrobials discontinued 72 hours after hospital admission (logistic regression), 2) antimicrobial treatment duration (negative binomial regression), and 3) antimicrobial prescriptions within 48 hours of hospital admission (logistic regression). As a secondary analysis, we determined the association between having an antimicrobial stewardship program present and the aforementioned outcomes across the three PICUs. A total of 372 patients were included. During seasons 1 and 2, median age was 2.2 months (interquartile range, 1.2-6.2 mo) and 2.1 months (interquartile range, 1.3-6.8 mo), respectively. Among patients with viral bronchiolitis, implementation of an antimicrobial stewardship program at PICU 1 was associated with increased odds of discontinuing antimicrobials (odds ratio, 25.63; 95% CI, 2.86-326.29), but not with antimicrobial duration (odds ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.31-1.02) or antimicrobial prescriptions (odds ratio, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.10-1.04). The presence of an antimicrobial stewardship program was similarly associated with antimicrobial discontinuation among patients with viral bronchiolitis (odds ratio, 20.79; 95% CI, 2.46-244.92), but not with antimicrobial duration (odds ratio, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.32-1.03) or antimicrobial prescriptions (odds ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.12-1.11). CONCLUSIONS: Antimicrobial stewardship programs were associated with increased likelihood of discontinuing antimicrobial treatments in the PICU patients with viral bronchiolitis. However, larger studies are needed to further determine the role of an antimicrobial stewardship programs in reducing unnecessary antimicrobial use in this patient population.

Evaluation of antibiotic treatment decisions in pediatric intensive care units in Saudi Arabia: A national survey.

OBJECTIVE: To describe variables used by Saudi pediatric intensivists to make antibiotic-related decisions for children with suspected severe bacterial infections. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey, which was developed using a multi-step methodological approach. The survey included 4 clinical scenarios of the most relevant bacterial infections in pediatric critical care (pneumonia, sepsis, meningitis and intra-abdominal infection). The potential determinants of antibiotic treatment duration addressed in all scenarios included clinical variables (patient characteristics, disease severity), laboratory infection markers, radiologic findings, and pathogens. RESULTS: The response rate was 65% (55/85). Eight variables (immunodeficiency, 3 months of age, 2 or more organ dysfunctions, Pediatric Risk of Mortality III score >10, leukocytosis, elevated C-reactive protein [CRP], elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate [ESR], and elevated procalcitonin [PCT]) were associated with prolonging antibiotic treatment duration for all 4 clinical scenarios, with a median increase ranging from 3.0 days (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.5, 3.5, leukocytosis) to 8.8 days (95% CI 5.5, 10.5, immunodeficiency). There were no variables that were consistently associated with shortening antibiotic duration across all scenarios. Lastly, the proportion of physicians who would continue antibiotics for ≥5 days despite a positive viral polymerase chain reaction test result was 67% for pneumonia, 85% for sepsis, 63% for meningitis, and 95% for intra-abdominal infections. CONCLUSION: Antibiotic-related decisions for critically ill patients are complex and depend on several factors. Saudi pediatric intensivists will use prolonged courses of antibiotics for younger patients, patients with severe clinical picture, and patients with persistently elevated laboratory markers and hospital acquired infections, even when current literature and guidelines do not suggest such practices. Antimicrobial stewardship programs should include interventions to address these misconceptions to ensure the rational use of antibiotics in pediatric intensive care units.

International Survey on Determinants of Antibiotic Duration and Discontinuation in Pediatric Critically Ill Patients.

OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that antibiotic use in PICUs is based on criteria not always supported by evidence. We aimed to describe determinants of empiric antibiotic use in PICUs in eight different countries. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. SETTING: PICUs in Canada, the United States, France, Italy, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Thailand, and Brazil. SUBJECTS: Pediatric intensivists. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used literature review and focus groups to develop the survey and its clinical scenarios (pneumonia, septic shock, meningitis, and intra-abdominal infections) in which cultures were unreliable due to antibiotic pretreatment. Data analyses included descriptive statistics and linear regression with bootstrapped SEs. Overall response rate was 39% (482/1,251), with individual country response rates ranging from 25% to 76%. Respondents in all countries prolonged antibiotic duration based on patient characteristics, disease severity, pathogens, and radiologic findings (from a median increase of 1.8 d [95% CI, 0.5-4.0 d] to 9.5 d [95% CI, 8.5-10.5 d]). Younger age, severe disease, and ventilator-associated pneumonia prolonged antibiotic treatment duration despite a lack of evidence for such practices. No variables were reported to shorten treatment duration for all countries. Importantly, more than 39% of respondents would use greater than or equal to 7 days of antibiotics for patients with a positive viral polymerase chain reaction test in all scenarios, except in France for pneumonia (29%), septic shock (13%), and meningitis (6%). The use of elevated levels of inflammatory markers to prolong antibiotic treatment duration varied among different countries. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotic-related decisions are complex and may be influenced by cultural and contextual factors. Evidence-based criteria are necessary to guide antibiotic duration and ensure the rational use of antibiotics in PICUs.

The Clinical Utility of Respiratory Viral Testing in Hospitalized Children: A Meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: Respiratory virus (RV) detection tests are commonly used in hospitalized children to diagnose viral acute respiratory infection (ARI), but their clinical utility is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To systematically review and meta-analyze the impact of RV test results on antibiotic consumption, ancillary testing, hospital length of stay, and antiviral use in children hospitalized with severe ARI. DATA SOURCES: Seven medical literature databases from 1985 through January 2018 were analyzed. STUDY SELECTION: Studies in children <18 years old hospitalized for severe ARI in which the clinical impact of a positive versus negative RV test result or RV testing versus no testing are compared. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts, and full texts; extracted data; and assessed study quality. RESULTS: We included 23 studies. High heterogeneity did not permit an overall meta-analysis. Subgroup analyses by age, RV test type, and viral target showed no difference in the proportion of patients receiving antibiotics between those with positive versus negative test results. Stratification by study design revealed that RV testing decreased antibiotic use in prospective cohort studies (odds ratio = 0.58; 95% confidence interval: 0.45-0.75). Pooled results revealed no conclusive impact on chest radiograph use (odds ratio = 0.71; 95% confidence interval: 0.48-1.04). Results of most studies found that positive RV test results did not impact median hospital length of stay, but they may decrease antibiotic duration. Nineteen (83%) studies were at serious risk of bias. LIMITATIONS: Low-quality studies and high clinical and statistical heterogeneity were among the limitations. CONCLUSIONS: Higher-quality prospective studies are needed to determine the impact of RV testing on antibiotic use in children hospitalized with severe ARI.