Rare and Common Genetic Variation Underlying Atrial Fibrillation Risk.

Importance: Atrial fibrillation (AF) has a substantial genetic component. The importance of polygenic risk is well established, while the contribution of rare variants to disease risk warrants characterization in large cohorts. Objective: To identify rare predicted loss-of-function (pLOF) variants associated with AF and elucidate their role in risk of AF, cardiomyopathy (CM), and heart failure (HF) in combination with a polygenic risk score (PRS). Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a genetic association and nested case-control study. The impact of rare pLOF variants was evaluated on the risk of incident AF. HF and CM were assessed in cause-specific Cox regressions. End of follow-up was July 1, 2022. Data were analyzed from January to October 2023. The UK Biobank enrolled 502 480 individuals aged 40 to 69 years at inclusion in the United Kingdom between March 13, 2006, and October 1, 2010. UK residents of European ancestry were included. Individuals with prior diagnosis of AF were excluded from analyses of incident AF. Exposures: Rare pLOF variants and an AF PRS. Main Outcomes and Measures: Risk of AF and incident HF or CM prior to and subsequent to AF diagnosis. Results: A total of 403 990 individuals (218 489 [54.1%] female) with a median (IQR) age of 58 (51-63) years were included; 24 447 were diagnosed with incident AF over a median (IQR) follow-up period of 13.3 (12.4-14.0) years. Rare pLOF variants in 6 genes (TTN, RPL3L, PKP2, CTNNA3, KDM5B, and C10orf71) were associated with AF. Of these, TTN, RPL3L, PKP2, CTNNA3, and KDM5B replicated in an external cohort. Combined with high PRS, rare pLOF variants conferred an odds ratio of 7.08 (95% CI, 6.03-8.28) for AF. Carriers with high PRS also had a substantial 10-year risk of AF (16% in female individuals and 24% in male individuals older than 60 years). Rare pLOF variants were associated with increased risk of CM both prior to AF (hazard ratio [HR], 3.13; 95% CI, 2.24-4.36) and subsequent to AF (HR, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.89-4.69). Conclusions and Relevance: Rare and common genetic variation were associated with an increased risk of AF. The findings provide insights into the genetic underpinnings of AF and may aid in future genetic risk stratification.

Proteomics couples electrical remodelling to inflammation in a murine model of heart failure with sinus node dysfunction.

AIMS: In patients with heart failure (HF), concomitant sinus node dysfunction (SND) is an important predictor of mortality, yet its molecular underpinnings are poorly understood. Using proteomics, this study aimed to dissect the protein and phosphorylation remodelling within the sinus node in an animal model of HF with concurrent SND. METHODS AND RESULTS: We acquired deep sinus node proteomes and phosphoproteomes in mice with heart failure and SND and report extensive remodelling. Intersecting the measured (phospho)proteome changes with human genomics pharmacovigilance data, highlighted downregulated proteins involved in electrical activity such as the pacemaker ion channel, Hcn4. We confirmed the importance of ion channel downregulation for sinus node physiology using computer modelling. Guided by the proteomics data, we hypothesized that an inflammatory response may drive the electrophysiological remodeling underlying SND in heart failure. In support of this, experimentally induced inflammation downregulated Hcn4 and slowed pacemaking in the isolated sinus node. From the proteomics data we identified proinflammatory cytokine-like protein galectin-3 as a potential target to mitigate the effect. Indeed, in vivo suppression of galectin-3 in the animal model of heart failure prevented SND. CONCLUSION: Collectively, we outline the protein and phosphorylation remodeling of SND in heart failure, we highlight a role for inflammation in electrophysiological remodelling of the sinus node, and we present galectin-3 signalling as a target to ameliorate SND in heart failure.

Atrial fibrillation: age at diagnosis, incident cardiovascular events, and mortality.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risks of cardiovascular diseases and mortality, but risks according to age at diagnosis have not been reported. This study investigated age-specific risks of outcomes among patients with AF and the background population. METHODS: This nationwide population-based cohort study included patients with AF and controls without outcomes by the application of exposure density matching on the basis of sex, year of birth, and index date. The absolute risks and hazard rates were stratified by age groups and assessed using competing risk survival analyses and Cox regression models, respectively. The expected differences in residual life years among participants were estimated. RESULTS: The study included 216 579 AF patients from year 2000 to 2020 and 866 316 controls. The mean follow-up time was 7.9 years. Comparing AF patients with matched controls, the hazard ratios among individuals ≤50 years was 8.90 [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.17-11.0] for cardiomyopathy, 8.64 (95% CI, 7.74-9.64) for heart failure, 2.18 (95% CI, 1.89-2.52) for ischaemic stroke, and 2.74 (95% CI, 2.53-2.96) for mortality. The expected average loss of life years among individuals ≤50 years was 9.2 years (95% CI, 9.0-9.3) years. The estimates decreased with older age. CONCLUSIONS: The findings show that earlier diagnosis of AF is associated with a higher hazard ratio of subsequent myocardial disease and shorter life expectancy. Further studies are needed to determine causality and whether AF could be used as a risk marker among particularly younger patients.

Loss of Cardiac Splicing Regulator RBM20 Is Associated With Early-Onset Atrial Fibrillation.

We showed an association between atrial fibrillation and rare loss-of-function (LOF) variants in the cardiac splicing regulator RBM20 in 2 independent cohorts. In a rat model with loss of RBM20, we demonstrated altered splicing of sarcomere genes (NEXN, TTN, TPM1, MYOM1, and LDB3), and differential expression in key cardiac genes. We identified altered sarcomere and mitochondrial structure on electron microscopy imaging and found compromised mitochondrial function. Finally, we demonstrated that 3 novel LOF variants in RBM20, identified in patients with atrial fibrillation, lead to significantly reduced splicing activity. Our results implicate alternative splicing as a novel proarrhythmic mechanism in the atria.

The ABC-Stroke Risk Score and Effects of Atrial Fibrillation Screening on Stroke Prevention: Results From the Randomized LOOP Study.

BACKGROUND: The ABC-stroke score is a risk scheme for prediction of stroke or systemic embolism (SE) in atrial fibrillation (AF). This study sought to examine whether the score could be useful in predicting stroke in AF-naïve individuals and risk stratifying for AF screening. METHODS AND RESULTS: The LOOP (Atrial Fibrillation Detected by Continuous ECG Monitoring Using Implantable Loop Recorder to Prevent Stroke in High-Risk Individuals) study randomized 6004 AF-naïve individuals aged 70 to 90 years with stroke risk factors to either screening with an implantable loop recorder and anticoagulation upon detection of new-onset AF episodes ≥6 minutes, or usual care. A total of 5781 participants had available ABC-stroke score at baseline and were included in this secondary analysis: 4170 (72.1%) with an estimated stroke/SE risk ≤1%/year versus 1611 (27.9%) with an estimated stroke/SE risk >1%/year. Having an annual ABC-stroke risk >1% was associated with stroke/SE, stroke/SE/cardiovascular death, and all-cause death (hazard ratio, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.44-2.21], 2.17 [95% CI, 1.80-2.62], and 2.19 [95% CI, 1.87-2.56], respectively). For screening with implantable loop recorder versus usual care, no significant reduction in these study outcomes was obtained in any ABC-stroke risk groups (P>0.0500 for all), with no signal toward interaction (Pinteraction>0.2500 for all). Similar findings were yielded when assessing the ABC-stroke score as a continuous variable. CONCLUSIONS: In an elderly, AF-naïve population with additional stroke risk factors, a higher ABC-stroke score could identify individuals with increased stroke risk. However, this risk score may not be useful in pinpointing those more likely to benefit from AF screening and subsequent preventive treatment. These findings should be considered as hypothesis generating and warrant further study. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; unique identifier: NCT02036450.

Anticoagulation-Associated Bleeding in Patients Screened for Atrial Fibrillation versus Usual Care-A Post Hoc Analysis from the LOOP Study.

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) prevalence is rising; however, data on the bleeding risks associated with the detection of subclinical AF are needed. Objective Our objective was to determine the bleeding increment associated with implantable loop recorder (ILR) screening for subclinical AF and subsequent anticoagulation initiation compared with usual care. Methods This post hoc study utilized LOOP trial data from 6,004 elderly patients with stroke risks randomized to either ILR ( n = 1,503) or usual care ( n = 4,503). The mean follow-up time was 64.5 months, and none were lost to follow-up. The primary exposure was the initiation of oral anticoagulation, and the main outcome was the risk of major bleeding events following initiation of oral anticoagulants (OACs), determined by time-dependent cox regression. Second, we investigated antithrombotic prescription patterns and major bleeding events after antiplatelet treatment and in subgroups. Results OAC was initiated in 1,019 participants with a mean age (years) of 78.8 (± 4.67) in control versus 77.0 (± 4.84) in ILR, p < 0.0001. Altogether did 202 participants end or pause OAC treatment. Among AF patients (n = 910) had 40 (28%) completely ended OAC and 105 (72%) temporarily paused OAC during follow-up. Major bleeding events totaled 221 (3.7%). Forty-seven major bleeding events followed an OAC initiation in 1,019 participants (4.6%); 26 versus 21 events in the control and ILR groups, respectively. The hazard ratio (HR) for major bleeding after OAC initiation compared with before initiation was 2.08 (1.50-2.90) p < 0.0001 overall, 2.81 (1.82-4.34) p < 0.0001 for control and 1.32 (0.78-2.23) p = 0.31 for the ILR group ( p = 0.07 for interaction). Antiplatelet treatment resulted in an overall adjusted HR of 1.3 (0.96-1.75) p = 0.09. For OAC users aged ≥75 years in the ILR group, the rate of major bleeding was 1.73 (0.92-2.96) compared with 0.84 (0.36-1.66) for an age <75 years, and the rate of the corresponding control subgroup aged ≥75 years was 2.20 (1.23-3.63) compared with 1.64 (0.82-2.93) for an age <75 years. Conclusion The individual risk of major bleeding increased twofold after initiation of oral anticoagulation for all patients in this study. However, the patients screened for subclinical AF did not have a higher bleeding risk after initiation of anticoagulation compared with those in usual care. Trial Registration: The LOOP study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT020364 50.

PITX2 gain-of-function mutation associated with atrial fibrillation alters mitochondrial activity in human iPSC atrial-like cardiomyocytes.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia worldwide; however, the underlying causes of AF initiation are still poorly understood, particularly because currently available models do not allow in distinguishing the initial causes from maladaptive remodeling that induces and perpetuates AF. Lately, the genetic background has been proven to be important in the AF onset. iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes, being patient- and mutation-specific, may help solve this diatribe by showing the initial cell-autonomous changes underlying the development of the disease. Transcription factor paired-like homeodomain 2 (PITX2) has been identified as a key regulator of atrial development/differentiation, and the PITX2 genomic locus has the highest association with paroxysmal AF. PITX2 influences mitochondrial activity, and alterations in either its expression or function have been widely associated with AF. In this work, we investigate the activity of mitochondria in iPSC-derived atrial cardiomyocytes (aCMs) obtained from a young patient (24 years old) with paroxysmal AF, carrying a gain-of-function mutation in PITX2 (rs138163892) and from its isogenic control (CTRL) in which the heterozygous point mutation has been reverted to WT. PITX2 aCMs show a higher mitochondrial content, increased mitochondrial activity, and superoxide production under basal conditions when compared to CTRL aCMs. However, increasing mitochondrial workload by FCCP or ß-adrenergic stimulation allows us to unmask mitochondrial defects in PITX2 aCMs, which are incapable of responding efficiently to the higher energy demand, determining ATP deficiency.

Complex effects of sequence variants on lipid levels and coronary artery disease.

Many sequence variants have additive effects on blood lipid levels and, through that, on the risk of coronary artery disease (CAD). We show that variants also have non-additive effects and interact to affect lipid levels as well as affecting variance and correlations. Variance and correlation effects are often signatures of epistasis or gene-environmental interactions. These complex effects can translate into CAD risk. For example, Trp154Ter in FUT2 protects against CAD among subjects with the A1 blood group, whereas it associates with greater risk of CAD in others. His48Arg in ADH1B interacts with alcohol consumption to affect lipid levels and CAD. The effect of variants in TM6SF2 on blood lipids is greatest among those who never eat oily fish but absent from those who often do. This work demonstrates that variants that affect variance of quantitative traits can allow for the discovery of epistasis and interactions of variants with the environment.

Electrocardiographic markers of subclinical atrial fibrillation detected by implantable loop recorder: insights from the LOOP Study.

AIMS: Insights into subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) development are warranted to inform the strategies of screening and subsequent clinical management upon AF detection. Hence, this study sought to characterize the onset and progression of subclinical AF with respect to 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included AF-naïve individuals aged 70-90 years with additional stroke risk factors who underwent implantable loop recorder (ILR) monitoring in the LOOP Study. Using data from daily ILR recordings and the computerized analysis of baseline ECG, we studied empirically selected ECG parameters for AF detection (≥6 min), cumulative AF burden, long-lasting AF (≥24 h), and AF progression. Of 1370 individuals included, 419 (30.6%) developed AF during follow-up, with a mean cumulative AF burden of 1.5% [95% CI: 1.2-1.8]. Several P-wave-related and ventricular ECG parameters were associated with new-onset AF and with cumulative AF burden in AF patients. P-wave duration (PWD), P-wave terminal force in Lead V1, and interatrial block (IAB) further demonstrated significant associations with long-lasting AF. Among AF patients, we observed an overall reduction in cumulative AF burden over time (IRR 0.70 [95% CI: 0.51-0.96]), whereas IAB was related to an increased risk of progression to AF ≥24 h (HR 1.86 [95% CI: 1.02-3.39]). Further spline analysis also revealed longer PWD to be associated with this progression in AF duration. CONCLUSION: We identified several ECG parameters associated with new-onset subclinical AF detected by ILR. Especially PWD and IAB were robustly related to the onset and the burden of AF as well as progression over time.

Effects of Atrial Fibrillation Screening According to N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide: A Secondary Analysis of the Randomized LOOP Study.

BACKGROUND: Research suggests NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) to be a strong predictor of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke. However, its utility in AF screening remains unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate NT-proBNP as a potential marker for screening efficacy with respect to AF yield and stroke prevention. METHODS: In the LOOP Study (Atrial Fibrillation Detected by Continuous ECG Monitoring Using Implantable Loop Recorder to Prevent Stroke in High-Risk Individuals), 6004 AF-naïve individuals at least 70 years old and with additional stroke risk factors were randomized 1:3 to either screening with an implantable loop recorder (ILR) and initiation of anticoagulation upon detection of AF episodes lasting ≥6 minutes or usual care (control). This post hoc analysis included study participants with available NT-proBNP measurement at baseline. RESULTS: A total of 5819 participants (96.9% of the trial population) were included. The mean age was 74.7 years (SD, 4.1 years) and 47.5% were female. The median NT-proBNP level was 15 pmol/L (interquartile range, 9-28 pmol/L) corresponding to 125 pg/mL (interquartile range, 76-233 pg/mL). NT-proBNP above median was associated with an increased risk of AF diagnosis both in the ILR group (hazard ratio, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.51-2.25]) and the control group (hazard ratio, 2.79 [95% CI, 2.30-3.40]). Participants with NT-proBNP above the median were also at higher risk of clinical events compared with those having lower levels (hazard ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 0.96-1.54] for stroke or systemic embolism [SE], 1.60 [95% CI, 1.32-1.95] for stroke/SE/cardiovascular death, and 1.91 [95% CI, 1.61-2.26] for all-cause death). Compared with usual care, ILR screening was associated with significant reductions in stroke/SE and stroke/SE/cardiovascular death among participants with NT-proBNP above median (hazard ratio, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.40-0.90] and 0.70 [95% CI, 0.53-0.94], respectively) but not among those with lower levels (Pinteraction=0.029 for stroke/SE and 0.045 for stroke/SE/cardiovascular death). No risk reduction in all-cause death was observed in either NT-proBNP subgroup for ILR versus control (Pinteraction=0.68). Analyzing NT-proBNP as a continuous variable yielded similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: In an older population with additional stroke risk factors, ILR screening for AF was associated with a significant reduction in stroke risk among individuals with higher NT-proBNP levels but not among those with lower levels. These findings should be considered hypothesis generating and warrant further study before clinical implementation. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT02036450.

Association between primary care electrocardiogram markers and Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVE: The association between common electrocardiogram (ECG) markers and Alzheimer's disease has been scarcely investigated, and it is unknown if ECG markers can improve risk prediction. Thus, we aimed to examine the association between common ECG markers and Alzheimer's disease in a large population. METHODS: We studied the association between ECG markers and Alzheimer's disease using Cox models with adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidities using a large primary care population of patients aged 60 years or more. RESULTS: We followed 172,236 subjects for a median of 7.5 years. Increased PR interval (hazard ratio for PR > 188 ms: 0.76 [95% confidence interval: 0.69-0.83, p < 0.001) and increased QTc interval (hazard ratio for QTc = [426;439]: 0.90 [0.83-0.98], p = 0.02) were associated with a decreased rate of Alzheimer's disease. A positive Sokolow-Lyon index >35 mm (1.22 [1.13-1.33], p < 0.001) and increased T-wave amplitude >4.1 mm (1.15 [1.04-1.27]) were associated with an increased rate of Alzheimer's disease. Upon addition of ECG markers to a reference model, 10-year prediction area under the receiver-operator characteristics curve (AUC) improved by 0.39 [0.06-0.67] %-points. The 10-year absolute risk of Alzheimer's disease was 6.5% and 5.2% for an 82-year old female and a male, respectively, with a favorable ECG, and 12% and 9.2%, respectively, with an unfavorable ECG, almost twice as high. CONCLUSIONS: We identified several common ECG markers which were associated with Alzheimer's disease, and which improved risk prediction for Alzheimer's disease.

Association of PCSK9 Loss-of-Function Variants With Risk of Heart Failure.

Importance: An animal (mouse) study indicated that deficiency of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) causes cardiac remodeling and heart failure (HF). Cardiac remodeling after PCSK9-inhibitor treatment is a concern for patients and for development of treatment directed against PCSK9. Objective: To determine whether genetic variants in the PCSK9 gene are associated with altered cardiac structure, cardiac function, and HF in humans. Design, Setting, Participants: This was a nested case-control study within the UK Biobank. Between March 13, 2006, and October 1, 2010, the UK Biobank enrolled 502 480 individuals aged 40 to 69 years. This study focused on a subset of those individuals, who completed cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging and had available genetic data. Analyses were conducted between November 2, 2021, and October 28, 2022. Exposures: Carrier status of predicted loss-of-function (pLoF) PCSK9 variants, R46L missense variant, and a genetic risk score (GRS). Main Outcomes and Measures: A total of 11 CMR imaging measurements, generated using a machine learning algorithm, and HF diagnosis. Results: In up to 35 135 individuals with CMR images, 18 252 (52%) were female individuals, and mean (SD) age was 55.0 (7.4) years. No significant association between PCSK9 carrier status and CMR indices were found for left ventricular mass (pLoF: ß = -1.01; 95% CI, -2.99 to 0.98; P = .32; R46L: ß = -0.18; 95% CI, -0.55 to 0.19; P = .35; GRS: ß = -0.19; 95% CI, -0.50 to 0.11; P = .22) and left ventricular ejection fraction (pLoF: ß = 0.43; 95% CI, -1.32 to 2.18; P = .63; R46L: ß = -0.19; 95% CI, -0.52 to 0.14; P = .26; GRS: ß = -0.08; 95% CI, -0.35 to 0.20; P = .58) or HF (pLoF: odds ratio [OR], 1.14; 95% CI, 0.56-2.05; P = .69; R46L: OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.90-1.10; P = .91; GRS: OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.96-1.13; P = .32). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this case-control study suggest that there was no association between PCSK9 genetic variants and altered cardiac structure, cardiac function, or HF in humans.

Screening for atrial fibrillation to prevent stroke in elderly individuals with or without preexisting cardiovascular disease: A post hoc analysis of the randomized LOOP Study.

BACKGROUND: An evidence-based approach for risk stratification of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) and hereby AF screening is lacking. This study aimed to investigate whether established cardiovascular diseases (CVD) could help to identify the population more likely to benefit from AF screening. METHODS: The LOOP Study randomized AF-naïve individuals aged ≥70 years and with additional stroke risk factors to either screening with implantable loop recorder (ILR) and subsequent anticoagulation upon detection of new-onset AF episodes ≥6 min, or usual care. In this sub-study, all participants were divided into two risk groups according to the presence/absence of CVD (defined as ischemic heart disease, heart failure, previous stroke, valvular heart disease, or peripheral artery disease). RESULTS: A total of 1997 (33.3%) had CVD at baseline and experienced higher incidences of stroke or systemic arterial embolism (SAE), ischemic stroke, stroke/SAE/cardiovascular death, and all-cause death (adjusted HR 1.34 [1.06-1.69], 1.31 [1.02-1.69], 1.49 [1.23-1.79], and 1.59 [1.36-1.85], respectively) than those without. For ILR screening versus usual care, there was no decrease in stroke/SAE, ischemic stroke, or stroke/SAE/cardiovascular death among participants with CVD (adjusted p-values >0.05), whereas significant reductions in these outcomes were obtained by screening among those without CVD (adjusted HR 0.64 [0.44-0.93], 0.54 [0.35-0.82], 0.64 [0.46-0.87], respectively); adjusted p-values for interaction ≤0.05. CONCLUSIONS: In an elderly, at-risk population, ILR screening did not prevent stroke significantly in individuals with CVD, whereas screening was associated with approximately 40% stroke risk reduction among those without CVD. However, these findings should be considered as hypothesis-generating and warrant further study.

Associations between primary care electrocardiography and non-Alzheimer dementia.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether electrocardiogram (ECG) markers are associated with incident non-Alzheimer's dementia (non-AD) and whether these markers also improve risk prediction for non-AD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included 170,605 primary care patients aged 60 years or older referred for an ECG by their general practitioner and followed them for a median of 7.6 years. Using Cox regression, we reported hazard ratios (HRs) for electrocardiogram markers. Subsequently, we evaluated if addition of these electrocardiogram markers to a clinical model improved risk prediction for non-AD using change in area under the receiver-operator characteristics curve (AUC). RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative incidence of non-AD was 3.4 %. Increased heart rate (HR=1.06 pr. 10 bpm [95% confidence interval: 1.04-1.08], p<0.001), shorter QRS duration (HR=1.07 pr. 10 ms [1.05-1.09], p<0.001), elevated J-amplitude (HR=1.16 pr. mm [1.08-1.24], p<0.001), decreased T-peak amplitude (HR=1.02 pr. mm [1.01-1.04], p=0.002), and increased QTc (HR=1.08 pr. 20 ms [1.05-1.10], p<0.001) were associated with an increased rate of non-AD. Atrial fibrillation on the ECG (HR=1.18 [1.08-1.28], p<0.001) Sokolow-Lyon index > 35 mm (HR=1.31 [1.18-1.46], p<0.001) and borderline (HR=1.18 [1.11-1.26], p<0.001) or abnormal (HR=1.40 [1.27-1.55], p<0.001) QRS-T angle were also associated with an increased rate of non-AD. Upon addition of ECG markers to the Cox model, 5-year and 10-year C-statistic (AUC) improved significantly (delta-AUC, 0.36 [0.18-0.50] and 0.20 [0.03-0.35] %-points, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: ECG markers typical of an elevated cardiovascular risk profile were associated with non-AD and improved both 5-year and 10-year risk predictions for non-AD.

Association of Common and Rare Genetic Variation in the 3-Hydroxy-3-Methylglutaryl Coenzyme A Reductase Gene and Cataract Risk.

Background Results from animal models and observational studies have raised concerns regarding the potential cataractogenic effects of statin treatment. We investigated whether common and rare genetic variants in HMGCR are associated with cataract risk, to gauge the likely long-term effects of statin treatment on lenticular opacities. Methods and Results We used genotyping data and exome sequencing data of unrelated European individuals in the UK Biobank to test the association between genetically proxied inhibition of HMGCR and cataract risk. First, we constructed an HMGCR genetic score consisting of 5 common variants weighted by their association with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Second, we analyzed exome sequencing data to identify carriers of predicted loss-of-function mutations in HMGCR. Common and rare variants in aggregate were then tested for association with cataract and cataract surgery. In an analysis of >402 000 individuals, a 38.7 mg/dL (1 mmol/L) reduction in low-density lipoprotein C by the HMGCR genetic score was associated with higher risk for cataract (odds ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.00-1.39], P=0.045) and cataract surgery (odds ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.06-1.48], P=0.009). Among 169 172 individuals with HMGCR sequencing data, we identified 32 participants (0.02%), who carried a rare HMGCR predicted loss-of-function variant. Compared with noncarriers, heterozygous carriers of HMGCR predicted loss-of-function had a higher risk of developing cataract (odds ratio, 4.54 [95% CI, 1.96-10.53], P=0.001) and cataract surgery (odds ratio, 5.27 [95% CI, 2.27-12.25], P=5.37×10-4). In exploratory analyses, we found no significant association between genetically proxied inhibition of PCSK9, NPC1L1, or circulating low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (P>0.05 for all) and cataract risk. Conclusions We found that genetically proxied inhibition of the HMGCR gene mimicking long-term statin treatment associated with higher risk of cataract. Clinical trials with longer follow-up are needed to confirm these findings.