EARLY DIFFERENTIATION BETWEEN SEPSIS AND STERILE INFLAMMATION VIA URINARY GENE SIGNATURES OF METABOLIC DYSREGULATION.

ABSTRACT: Objective: The aim of this study was to characterize early urinary gene expression differences between patients with sepsis and patients with sterile inflammation and summarize in terms of a reproducible sepsis probability score. Design: This was a prospective observational cohort study. Setting: The study was conducted in a quaternary care academic hospital. Patients: One hundred eighty-six sepsis patients and 78 systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) patients enrolled between January 2015 and February 2018. Interventions: Whole-genome transcriptomic analysis of RNA was extracted from urine obtained from sepsis patients within 12 hours of sepsis onset and from patients with surgery-acquired SIRS within 4 hours after major inpatient surgery. Measurements and Main Results: We identified 422 of 23,956 genes (1.7%) that were differentially expressed between sepsis and SIRS patients. Differentially expressed probes were provided to a collection of machine learning feature selection models to identify focused probe sets that differentiate between sepsis and SIRS. These probe sets were combined to find an optimal probe set (UrSepsisModel) and calculate a urinary sepsis score (UrSepsisScore), which is the geometric mean of downregulated genes subtracted from the geometric mean of upregulated genes. This approach summarizes the expression values of all decisive genes as a single sepsis score. The UrSepsisModel and UrSepsisScore achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic curves 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.86-0.96) and 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.88) on the validation cohort, respectively. Functional analyses of probes associated with sepsis demonstrated metabolic dysregulation manifest as reduced oxidative phosphorylation, decreased amino acid metabolism, and decreased oxidation of lipids and fatty acids. Conclusions: Whole-genome transcriptomic profiling of urinary cells revealed focused probe panels that can function as an early diagnostic tool for differentiating sepsis from sterile SIRS. Functional analysis of differentially expressed genes demonstrated a distinct metabolic dysregulation signature in sepsis.

Optimizing predictive strategies for acute kidney injury after major vascular surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative acute kidney injury is common after major vascular surgery and is associated with increased morbidity, mortality, and cost. High-performance risk stratification using a machine learning model can inform strategies that mitigate harm and optimize resource use. It is hypothesized that incorporating intraoperative data would improve machine learning model accuracy, discrimination, and precision in predicting acute kidney injury among patients undergoing major vascular surgery. METHODS: A single-center retrospective cohort of 1,531 adult patients who underwent nonemergency major vascular surgery, including open aortic, endovascular aortic, and lower extremity bypass procedures, was evaluated. The validated, automated MySurgeryRisk analytics platform used electronic health record data to forecast patient-level probabilistic risk scores for postoperative acute kidney injury using random forest models with preoperative data alone and perioperative data (preoperative plus intraoperative). The MySurgeryRisk predictions were compared with each other as well as with the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification. RESULTS: Machine learning models using perioperative data had greater accuracy, discrimination, and precision than models using either preoperative data alone or the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification (accuracy: 0.70 vs 0.64 vs 0.62, area under the receiver operating characteristics curve: 0.77 vs 0.68 vs 0.61, area under the precision-recall curve: 0.70 vs 0.58 vs 0.48). CONCLUSION: In predicting acute kidney injury after major vascular surgery, machine learning approaches that incorporate dynamic intraoperative data had greater accuracy, discrimination, and precision than models using either preoperative data alone or the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification. Machine learning methods have the potential for real-time identification of high-risk patients who may benefit from personalized risk-reduction strategies.

Discovery and Validation of Urinary Molecular Signature of Early Sepsis.

Identify alterations in gene expression unique to systemic and kidney-specific pathophysiologic processes using whole-genome analyses of RNA isolated from the urinary cells of sepsis patients. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary care academic hospital. PATIENTS: A total of 266 sepsis and 82 control patients enrolled between January 2015 and February 2018. INTERVENTIONS: Whole-genome transcriptomic analysis of messenger RNA isolated from the urinary cells of sepsis patients within 12 hours of sepsis onset and from control subjects. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The differentially expressed probes that map to known genes were subjected to feature selection using multiple machine learning techniques to find the best subset of probes that differentiates sepsis from control subjects. Using differential expression augmented with machine learning ensembles, we identified a set of 239 genes in urine, which show excellent effectiveness in classifying septic patients from those with chronic systemic disease in both internal and independent external validation cohorts. Functional analysis indexes disrupted biological pathways in early sepsis and reveal key molecular networks driving its pathogenesis. CONCLUSIONS: We identified unique urinary gene expression profile in early sepsis. Future studies need to confirm whether this approach can complement blood transcriptomic approaches for sepsis diagnosis and prognostication.