Plasma Biomarkers as Predictors of Progression to Dementia in Individuals with Mild Cognitive Impairment.

Background: Blood-based biomarkers (BBMs) are of growing interest in the field of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and related dementias. Objective: This study aimed to assess the ability of plasma biomarkers to 1) predict disease progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia and 2) improve the predictive ability of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) measures when combined. Methods: We used data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Machine learning models were trained using the data from participants who remained cognitively stable (CN-s) and with Dementia diagnosis at 2-year follow-up visit. The models were used to predict progression to dementia in MCI individuals. We assessed the performance of models with plasma biomarkers against those with CSF and MRI measures, and also in combination with them. Results: Our models with plasma biomarkers classified CN-s individuals from AD with an AUC of 0.75±0.03 and could predict conversion to dementia in MCI individuals with an AUC of 0.64±0.03 (17.1% BP, base prevalence). Models with plasma biomarkers performed better when combined with CSF and MRI measures (CN versus AD: AUC of 0.89±0.02; MCI-to-AD: AUC of 0.76±0.03, 21.5% BP). Conclusions: Our results highlight the potential of plasma biomarkers in predicting conversion to dementia in MCI individuals. While plasma biomarkers could improve the predictive ability of CSF and MRI measures when combined, they also show the potential to predict non-progression to AD when considered alone. The predictive ability of plasma biomarkers is crucially linked to reducing the costly and effortful collection of CSF and MRI measures.

Association of Alcohol Consumption with Cognition in Older Population: The A4 Study.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol use disorders have been categorized as a 'strongly modifiable' risk factor for dementia. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the cross-sectional association between alcohol consumption and cognition in older adults and if it is different across sexes or depends on amyloid-ß (Aß) accumulation in the brain. METHODS: Cognitively unimpaired older adults (N = 4387) with objective and subjective cognitive assessments and amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) imaging were classified into four categories based on their average daily alcohol use. Multivariable linear regression was then used to test the main effects and interactions with sex and Aß levels. RESULTS: Individuals who reported no alcohol consumption had lower scores on the Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite (PACC) compared to those consuming one or two drinks/day. In sex-stratified analysis, the association between alcohol consumption and cognition was more prominent in females. Female participants who consumed two drinks/day had better performance on PACC and Cognitive Function Index (CFI) than those who reported no alcohol consumption. In an Aß-stratified sample, the association between alcohol consumption and cognition was present only in the Aß- subgroup. The interaction between Aß status and alcohol consumption on cognition was not significant. CONCLUSION: Low or moderate consumption of alcohol was associated with better objective cognitive performance and better subjective report of daily functioning in cognitively unimpaired individuals. The association was present only in Aß- individuals, suggesting that the pathophysiologic mechanism underlying the effect of alcohol on cognition is independent of Aß pathology. Further investigation is required with larger samples consuming three or more drinks/day.

Association of Stages of Objective Memory Impairment With Incident Symptomatic Cognitive Impairment in Cognitively Normal Individuals.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Increasing evidence indicates that a subset of cognitively normal individuals has subtle cognitive impairment at baseline. We sought to identify them using the Stages of Objective Memory Impairment (SOMI) system. Symptomatic cognitive impairment was operationalized by a Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) ≥0.5. We hypothesized that incident impairment would be higher for participants with subtle retrieval impairment (SOMI-1), higher still for those with moderate retrieval impairment (SOMI-2), and highest for those with storage impairment (SOMI-3/4) after adjusting for demographics and APOE ε4 status. A secondary objective was to determine whether including biomarkers of ß-amyloid, tau pathology, and neurodegeneration in the models affect prediction. We hypothesized that even after adjusting for in vivo biomarkers, SOMI would remain a significant predictor of time to incident symptomatic cognitive impairment. METHODS: Among 969 cognitively normal participants, defined by a CDR = 0, from the Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center, SOMI stage was determined from their baseline Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test scores, 555 had CSF and structural MRI measures and comprised the biomarker subgroup, and 144 of them were amyloid positive. Cox proportional hazards models tested associations of SOMI stages at baseline and biomarkers with time to incident cognitive impairment defined as the transition to CDR ≥0.5. RESULTS: Among all participants, the mean age was 69.35 years, 59.6% were female, and mean follow-up was 6.36 years. Participants in SOMI-1-4 had elevated hazard ratios for the transition from normal to impaired cognition in comparison with those who were SOMI-0 (no memory impairment). Individuals in SOMI-1 (mildly impaired retrieval) and SOMI-2 (moderately impaired retrieval) were at nearly double the risk of clinical progression compared with persons with no memory problems. When memory storage impairment emerges (SOMI-3/4), the hazard ratio for clinical progression increased approximately 3 times. SOMI stage remained an independent predictor of incident cognitive impairment after adjusting for all biomarkers. DISCUSSION: SOMI predicts the transition from normal cognition to incident symptomatic cognitive impairment (CDR ≥0.5). The results support the use of SOMI to identify those cognitively normal participants most likely to develop incident cognitive impairment who can then be referred for biomarker screening.

APOE and immunity: Research highlights.

INTRODUCTION: At the Alzheimer's Association's APOE and Immunity virtual conference, held in October 2021, leading neuroscience experts shared recent research advances on and inspiring insights into the various roles that both the apolipoprotein E gene (APOE) and facets of immunity play in neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer's disease and other dementias. METHODS: The meeting brought together more than 1200 registered attendees from 62 different countries, representing the realms of academia and industry. RESULTS: During the 4-day meeting, presenters illuminated aspects of the cross-talk between APOE and immunity, with a focus on the roles of microglia, triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (TREM2), and components of inflammation (e.g., tumor necrosis factor α [TNFα]). DISCUSSION: This manuscript emphasizes the importance of diversity in current and future research and presents an integrated view of innate immune functions in Alzheimer's disease as well as related promising directions in drug development.

Predicting Amyloid Positivity in Cognitively Unimpaired Older Adults: A Machine Learning Approach Using A4 Data.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To develop and test the performance of the Positive Aß Risk Score (PARS) for prediction of ß-amyloid (Aß) positivity in cognitively unimpaired individuals for use in clinical research. Detecting Aß positivity is essential for identifying at-risk individuals who are candidates for early intervention with amyloid targeted treatments. METHODS: We used data from 4,134 cognitively normal individuals from the Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's (A4) Study. The sample was divided into training and test sets. A modified version of AutoScore, a machine learning-based software tool, was used to develop a scoring system using the training set. Three risk scores were developed using candidate predictors in various combinations from the following categories: demographics (age, sex, education, race, family history, body mass index, marital status, and ethnicity), subjective measures (Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study Activities of Daily Living-Prevention Instrument, Geriatric Depression Scale, and Memory Complaint Questionnaire), objective measures (free recall, Mini-Mental State Examination, immediate recall, digit symbol substitution, and delayed logical memory scores), and APOE4 status. Performance of the risk scores was evaluated in the independent test set. RESULTS: PARS model 1 included age, body mass index (BMI), and family history and had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.60 (95% CI 0.57-0.64). PARS model 2 included free recall in addition to the PARS model 1 variables and had an AUC of 0.61 (0.58-0.64). PARS model 3, which consisted of age, BMI, and APOE4 information, had an AUC of 0.73 (0.70-0.76). PARS model 3 showed the highest, but still moderate, performance metrics in comparison with other models with sensitivity of 72.0% (67.6%-76.4%), specificity of 62.1% (58.8%-65.4%), accuracy of 65.3% (62.7%-68.0%), and positive predictive value of 48.1% (44.1%-52.1%). DISCUSSION: PARS models are a set of simple and practical risk scores that may improve our ability to identify individuals more likely to be amyloid positive. The models can potentially be used to enrich trials and serve as a screening step in research settings. This approach can be followed by the use of additional variables for the development of improved risk scores. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that in cognitively unimpaired individuals PARS models predict Aß positivity with moderate accuracy.

Impact of sex and APOE ε4 on the association of cognition and hippocampal volume in clinically normal, amyloid positive adults.

INTRODUCTION: Cognitive decline follows pathological changes including neurodegeneration on the Alzheimer's disease continuum. However, it is unclear which cognitive domains first become affected by neurodegeneration in amyloid-positive individuals and if sex or apolipoprotein (APOE) ε4 status differences affect this relationship. METHODS: Data from 1233 cognitively unimpaired, amyloid-positive individuals 65 to 85 years of age were studied to assess the effect of hippocampal volume (HV) on cognition and to evaluate differences due to sex and APOE ε4 status. RESULTS: Lower HV was linked with worse performance on measures of memory (free recall, total recall, logical memory delayed recall, Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE]), executive functioning (digit symbol substitution, DSS), and the Preclinical Alzheimer's Cognitive Composite (PACC). Among both women and APOE ε4+ individuals, all cognitive measures, except MMSE, were associated with HV. DSS and PACC had the largest effect sizes in differentiating early and intermediate stage neurodegeneration. DISCUSSION: Despite all cognitive measures being associated with HV, cognitive tests show differences in detecting early or late signs of neurodegeneration. Differences exist in association between cognition and neurodegeneration based on sex and APOE ε4 status.