Primary tumor type prediction based on US nationwide genomic profiling data in 13,522 patients.

Timely and accurate primary tumor diagnosis is critical, and misdiagnoses and delays may cause undue health and economic burden. To predict primary tumor types based on genomics data from a de-identified US nationwide clinico-genomic database (CGDB), the XGBoost-based Clinico-Genomic Machine Learning Model (XC-GeM) was developed to predict 13 primary tumor types based on data from 12,060 patients in the CGDB, derived from routine clinical comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) testing and chart-confirmed electronic health records (EHRs). The SHapley Additive exPlanations method was used to interpret model predictions. XC-GeM reached an outstanding area under the curve (AUC) of 0.965 and Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC) of 0.742 in the holdout validation dataset. In the independent validation cohort of 955 patients, XC-GeM reached 0.954 AUC and 0.733 MCC and made correct predictions in 77% of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), 86% of colorectal cancer, and 84% of breast cancer patients. Top predictors for the overall model (e.g. tumor mutational burden (TMB), gender, and KRAS alteration), and for specific tumor types (e.g., TMB and EGFR alteration for NSCLC) were supported by published studies. XC-GeM also achieved an excellent AUC of 0.880 and positive MCC of 0.540 in 507 patients with missing primary diagnosis. XC-GeM is the first algorithm to predict primary tumor type using US nationwide data from routine CGP testing and chart-confirmed EHRs, showing promising performance. It may enhance the accuracy and efficiency of cancer diagnoses, enabling more timely treatment choices and potentially leading to better outcomes.

Prior anti-CTLA-4 therapy impacts molecular characteristics associated with anti-PD-1 response in advanced melanoma.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), including CTLA-4- and PD-1-blocking antibodies, can have profound effects on tumor immune cell infiltration that have not been consistent in biopsy series reported to date. Here, we analyze seven molecular datasets of samples from patients with advanced melanoma (N = 514) treated with ICI agents to investigate clinical, genomic, and transcriptomic features of anti-PD-1 response in cutaneous melanoma. We find that prior anti-CTLA-4 therapy is associated with differences in genomic, individual gene, and gene signatures in anti-PD-1 responders. Anti-CTLA-4-experienced melanoma tumors that respond to PD-1 blockade exhibit increased tumor mutational burden, inflammatory signatures, and altered cell cycle processes compared with anti-CTLA-4-naive tumors or anti-CTLA-4-experienced, anti-PD-1-nonresponsive melanoma tumors. We report a harmonized, aggregate resource and suggest that prior CTLA-4 blockade therapy is associated with marked differences in the tumor microenvironment that impact the predictive features of PD-1 blockade therapy response.

Sotigalimab and/or nivolumab with chemotherapy in first-line metastatic pancreatic cancer: clinical and immunologic analyses from the randomized phase 2 PRINCE trial.

Chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy has improved the treatment of certain solid tumors, but effective regimens remain elusive for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We conducted a randomized phase 2 trial evaluating the efficacy of nivolumab (nivo; anti-PD-1) and/or sotigalimab (sotiga; CD40 agonistic antibody) with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (chemotherapy) in patients with first-line metastatic PDAC ( NCT03214250 ). In 105 patients analyzed for efficacy, the primary endpoint of 1-year overall survival (OS) was met for nivo/chemo (57.7%, P = 0.006 compared to historical 1-year OS of 35%, n = 34) but was not met for sotiga/chemo (48.1%, P = 0.062, n = 36) or sotiga/nivo/chemo (41.3%, P = 0.223, n = 35). Secondary endpoints were progression-free survival, objective response rate, disease control rate, duration of response and safety. Treatment-related adverse event rates were similar across arms. Multi-omic circulating and tumor biomarker analyses identified distinct immune signatures associated with survival for nivo/chemo and sotiga/chemo. Survival after nivo/chemo correlated with a less suppressive tumor microenvironment and higher numbers of activated, antigen-experienced circulating T cells at baseline. Survival after sotiga/chemo correlated with greater intratumoral CD4 T cell infiltration and circulating differentiated CD4 T cells and antigen-presenting cells. A patient subset benefitting from sotiga/nivo/chemo was not identified. Collectively, these analyses suggest potential treatment-specific correlates of efficacy and may enable biomarker-selected patient populations in subsequent PDAC chemoimmunotherapy trials.

Real-world data prognostic model of overall survival in patients with advanced NSCLC receiving anti-PD-1/PD-L1 immune checkpoint inhibitors as second-line monotherapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The objective of this retrospective, observational, noninterventional cohort study was to investigate prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) and to develop a novel prognostic model. METHODS: A total of 4049 patients with aNSCLC diagnosed between January 2011 and February 2020 who received atezolizumab, nivolumab, or pembrolizumab as second-line monotherapy were selected from a real-world deidentified database to build the cohort. Patients could not have received first-line treatment with clinical study drug(s) nor immune checkpoint inhibitors including anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD-1)/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1), and anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4 therapies. RESULTS: Patients had a median age of 69 years; 45% were female, 75% White, 70% had stage IV at initial diagnosis, and 70% had nonsquamous histology. A Cox proportional hazards model with lasso regularization was used to build a prognostic model for OS using 18 baseline demographic and clinical factors based on the real-world data cohort. The risk-increasing prognostic factors were abnormally low albumin and chloride levels, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score ≥ 2, and abnormally high levels of alkaline phosphatase and white blood cells. The risk-decreasing prognostic factors were PD-L1 positivity, longer time from advanced diagnosis to start of first-line therapy, and higher systolic blood pressure. The performance of the model was validated using data from the OAK trial, and the c-index for the OAK trial validation cohort was 0.65 and 0.67 for the real-world data cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Based on baseline demographic and clinical factors from a real-world setting, this prognostic model was developed to discriminate the risk of death in patients with aNSCLC treated with checkpoint inhibitors as second-line monotherapy, and it performed well in the real-world data and clinical trial cohorts.