Probability of live birth after IVF/ICSI treatments in female early onset cancer survivors: a Finnish population-based registry study.

STUDY QUESTION: Does the probability of a live birth after fresh IVF/ICSI cycles with autologous oocytes differ in early onset female cancer survivors compared to their siblings? SUMMARY ANSWER: The probability of a live birth was similar in female cancer survivors and siblings after four fresh IVF/ICSI cycles. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Fertility preservation strategies are rapidly being developed to help female cancer patients who wish to have children later. However, there are only a few studies available on fertility treatments and following live births in female cancer survivors before fertility preservation strategies became available. In one of them, the probability of a live birth was reduced after assisted reproductive technology with autologous oocytes in cancer survivors compared to siblings. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: In this retrospective, register-based study, data from Finnish registers on cancer, birth and prescribed medications were merged to identify 8944 female cancer survivors (diagnosed with cancer between 1953 and 2012 at the age of 0-40 years) and 9848 female siblings of survivors eligible for IVF/ICSI treatments between January 1993 and December 2012. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Fresh IVF/ICSI cycles and following live birth rates (LBRs) within 22-48 weeks in cancer survivors and siblings at the age of 20-41 years were identified. A binomial regression model with log-link function was used to calculate risk ratio (RR) for live births after fresh IVF/ICSI cycles in survivors compared to siblings, adjusting for attained age and calendar time. A Poisson regression model was used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for an IVF/ICSI treatment, as well as overall live births, including both pregnancies after fertility treatments and spontaneous pregnancies, in survivors compared to siblings. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: We observed an overall decreased LBR, irrespective of IVF/ICSI treatments, in cancer survivors compared to siblings (IRR 0.68, 95% CI 0.64-0.71). All in all, 179 (2.0%) survivors and 230 (2.3%) siblings were prescribed fertility drugs for IVF/ICSI treatments (IRR 0.72, 95% CI 0.62-0.84). For the first fresh IVF/ICSI cycle, the LBR was 17.2% among survivors and 15.7% among siblings (RR 1.13, 95% CI 0.72-1.87). The mean LBR after four fresh IVF/ICSI cycles was not statistically different in survivors compared to siblings. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: In this study, only IVF/ICSI treatments with autologous oocytes were included. The probability of a live birth after a frozen embryo transfer or oocyte donation could not be evaluated in this study. Information on miscarriages, extrauterine pregnancies or termination of pregnancies was not available. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: For those early onset cancer survivors, who received IVF/ICSI treatments, the probability of live birth was not different from siblings who received IVF/ICSI treatments. However, an overall decreased LBR, irrespective of IVF/ICSI treatments, was observed in cancer survivors compared to siblings, indicating that cancer survivors receiving IVF/ICSI treatments in our study consisted of a selected group with at least a moderate ovarian reserve. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by a grant from the Cancer Foundation (Finland) (grant number 130079) and by a grant from LähiTapiola. The authors have no potential conflicts of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Sex differences in faecal occult blood test screening for colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: This analysis of patients in a randomized population-based health services study was done to determine the effects of faecal occult blood test (FOBT) screening of colorectal cancer (CRC) in outcomes beyond mortality, and to obtain explanations for potential sex differences in screening effectiveness. METHODS: In the Finnish FOBT screening programme (2004-2011), people aged 60-69 years were randomized into the screening and control arms. Differences in incidence, symptoms, tumour location, TNM categories, non-vital outcomes and survival in the screening and control arms were analysed. RESULTS: From 321 311 individuals randomized, 743 patients with screening-detected tumours and 617 control patients with CRC were analysed. CRC was less common in women than in men (0·34 versus 0·50 per cent; risk ratio (RR) 0·82, 95 per cent c.i. 0·74 to 0·91) and women were less often asymptomatic (16·7 versus 22·0 per cent; RR 0·76, 0·61 to 0·93). Women more often had right-sided tumours (32·0 versus 21·3 per cent; RR 1·51, 1·26 to 1·80). Among men with left-sided tumours, those in the screening arm had lower N (RR 1·23, 1·02 to 1·48) and M (RR 1·57, 1·14 to 2·17) categories, as well as a higher overall survival rate than those in the control arm. Furthermore among men with left-sided tumours, non-radical resections (26·2 versus 15·7 per cent; RR 1·67, 1·22 to 2·30) and postoperative chemotherapy sessions (61·6 versus 48·2 per cent; RR 1·28, 1·10 to 1·48) were more frequent in the control arm. Similar benefits of screening were not detected in men with right-sided tumours or in women. CONCLUSION: Biennial FOBT screening seems to be effective in terms of improving several different outcomes in men, but not in women. Differences in incidence, symptoms and tumour location may explain the differences in screening efficacy between sexes.

Probiotics and respiratory and gastrointestinal tract infections in Finnish military conscripts - a randomised placebo-controlled double-blinded study.

Military conscripts are susceptible to respiratory and gastrointestinal tract infections. In previous studies probiotics have shown potency to reduce upper respiratory and gastrointestinal infections. The aim was to study whether probiotic intervention has an impact on seasonal occurrence of upper respiratory and gastrointestinal infections in two different conscript groups. In a randomised, double-blinded, placebo controlled study (https://clinicaltrials.gov NCT01651195), a total of 983 healthy adults were enrolled from two intakes of conscripts. Conscripts were randomised to receive either a probiotic combination of Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG (LGG) and Bifidobacterium animalis ssp. lactis BB12 (BB12) or a control chewing tablet twice daily for 150 days (recruits) or for 90 days (reserve officer candidates). Clinical examinations were carried out and daily symptom diaries were collected. Outcome measures were the number of days with respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms and symptom incidence, number and duration of infection episodes, number of antibiotic treatments received and number of days out of service because of the infection. Statistically no significant differences were found between the intervention groups either in the risk of symptom incidence or duration. However, probiotic intervention was associated with reduction of specific respiratory infection symptoms in military recruits, but not in reserve officer candidates. Probiotics did not significantly reduce overall respiratory and gastrointestinal infection morbidity.

Parity and mortality in cases of childhood-onset diabetes mellitus.

AIMS: This study aims to assess the association between parity and mortality in adults with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes (T1D) and their matched controls. METHODS: Individual data (308 617 person-years) on mortality and the reproductive histories of a Finnish cohort of 2307 women and 2819 men with T1D, each with two matched controls, were obtained from the National Population Register. All persons with diabetes had been diagnosed with T1D in 1965-1979 at the age of 17 or under. RESULTS: All-cause mortality in people without offspring was significantly higher than that in people with children among both people with diabetes and non-diabetic control persons in both sexes (all p-values <0.01). In men with offspring, the decrease of mortality rate compared with men without offspring was less marked among those with diabetes (9% reduction in mortality hazard ratio (HR) with one offspring, 47% with two) than among those without diabetes (33% HR (p = 0.025) and 61% HR (p = 0.023) reduction, respectively). In women with offspring, the association between parity and mortality was independent of diabetes status. Having at least two offspring was associated with a decreased hazard of diabetes-related death regardless of sex; among women with diabetes, even having one offspring was associated with a decreased hazard of dying from diabetes (HR = 0.46; 95% CI 0.31, 0.69). CONCLUSIONS: The association between parity and mortality follows different patterns in men and women with T1D. To what extent this reflects effects of health on family planning decisions in people with T1D cannot be defined without further studies. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Reference values of spirometry for Finnish adults.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic assessment of lung function necessitates up-to-date reference values. The aim of this study was to estimate reference values for spirometry for the Finnish population between 18 and 80 years and to compare them with the existing Finnish, European and the recently published global GLI2012 reference values. METHODS: Spirometry was performed for 1380 adults in the population-based FinEsS studies and for 662 healthy non-smoking volunteer adults. Detailed predefined questionnaire screening of diseases and symptoms, and quality control of spirometry yielded a sample of 1000 native Finns (387 men) healthy non-smokers aged 18-83 years. Sex-specific reference values, which are estimated using the GAMLSS method and adjusted for age and height, are provided. RESULTS: The predicted values for lung volumes are larger than those obtained by GLI2012 prediction for the Caucasian subgroup for forced vital capacity (FVC) by an average 6·2% and 5·1% and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) by an average 4·2% and 3·0% in men and women, respectively. GLI2012 slightly overestimated the ratio FEV1/FVC with an age-dependent trend. Most reference equations from other European countries, with the exception of the Swiss SAPALDIA study, showed an underestimation of FVC and FEV1 to varying degrees, and a slight overestimation of FEV1/FVC. CONCLUSION: This study offers up-to-date reference values of spirometry for native Finns with a wide age range. The GLI2012 predictions seem not to be suitable for clinical use for native Finns due to underestimation of lung volumes.

Age-related incidence of cervical cancer supports two aetiological components: a population-based register study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether age-related incidence of cervical cancer supports two aetiological components and to assess trends in these components due to risk factors and to organised screening in Finland. DESIGN: Population-based register study. SETTING: Finnish Cancer Registry. POPULATION: Cervical cancer cases and female population in Finland in 1953-2012. METHODS: Cervical cancer incidence was estimated using Poisson regression where age-specific incidence consists of two (early-age and late-age) normally distributed components. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Accumulated net risks (incidences) and numbers of cancer cases attributed to each age-related component by calendar time. RESULTS: The accumulated cervical cancer incidence in 2008-2012 was only 30% of that in 1953-1962, before the screening started. The fit of the observed age-specific rates and the rates based on the two-component model was good. In 1953-62, the accumulated net risk ratio (RR; early-age versus late-age) was 0.42 (95% CI 0.29-0.61). The early-age component disappeared in 1973-77 (RR 0.00; 95% CI 0.00-0.08). Thereafter, the risk for the early-age component increased, whereas the risk for the late-age component decreased, and in 2008-2012 the RR was 0.55 (95% CI 0.24-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: In Finland, cervical cancer incidence has two age-related components which are likely to indicate differences in risk factors of each component. The trend in risk of both components followed the effects of organised screening. Furthermore, the risk related to the early-age component followed changes in risk factors, such as oncogenic HPV infections and other sexually transmitted diseases and smoking habits. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Cervical cancer incidence has two age-related components which are likely to have differencies in their aetiology.

Effectiveness of screening for colorectal cancer with a faecal occult-blood test, in Finland.

BACKGROUND: Screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) with guaiac-based faecal occult-blood test (FOBT) has been reported to reduce CRC mortality in randomised trials in the 1990s, but not in routine screening, so far. In Finland, a large randomised study on biennial FOB screening for CRC was gradually nested as part of the routine health services from 2004. We evaluate the effectiveness of screening as a public health policy in the largest population so far reported. METHODS: We randomly allocated (1:1) men and women aged 60-69 years to those invited for screening and those not invited (controls), between 2004 and 2012. This resulted in 180 210 subjects in the screening arm and 180 282 in the control arm. In 2012, the programme covered 43% of the target age population in Finland. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 4.5 years (maximum 8.3 years), with a total of 1.6 million person-years. The CRC incidence rate ratio between the screening and control arm was 1.11 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.23). The mortality rate ratio from CRC between the screening and control arm was 1.04 (0.84 to 1.28), respectively. The CRC mortality risk ratio was 0.88 (0.66 to 1.16) and 1.33 (0.94 to 1.87) in males and females, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We did not find any effect in a randomised health services study of FOBT screening on CRC mortality. The substantial effect difference between males and females is inconsistent with the evidence from randomised clinical trials and with the recommendations of several international organisations. Even if our findings are still inconclusive, they highlight the importance of randomised evaluation when new health policies are implemented. TRIAL REGISTRATION: 002_2010_august.

Impact of classical risk factors of type 2 diabetes among Asian Indian, Chinese and Japanese populations.

AIMS: This review investigated the population impact of major modifiable type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk factors, with special focus on native Asian Indians, to estimate population attributable risks (PARs) and compare them with estimates from Chinese and Japanese populations. METHODS: Information was obtained on risk factors in 21,041 Asian Indian, 17,774 Chinese and 17,986 Japanese populations from multiple, large, cross-sectional studies (the DECODA project) of T2D. Crude and adjusted PARs were estimated for the major T2D risk factors. RESULTS: Age had the highest crude and adjusted PARs among Asian Indians and Chinese in contrast to waist-hip ratio among Japanese. After adjusting for age, the PAR for body mass index (BMI) in Asian Indians (41.4% [95% CI: 37.2%; 45.4%]) was second only to triglycerides (46.4% [95% CI: 39.5%; 52.8%]) compared with 35.8% [95% CI: 29.9%; 41.4%] in Japanese and 38.4% [95% CI: 33.5%; 43.2%] in Chinese people. The PAR for BMI adjusted for age, LDL and triglycerides (39.7% [95% CI: 31.6%; 47.2%]) was higher than for any other factor in Asian Indians, and was much higher than in the Chinese (16.8% [95% CI: 3.0%; 30.9%]) and Japanese (30.4% [95% CI: 17.5%; 42.2%]) populations. CONCLUSION: This review provides estimates of the association between major risk factors and prevalences of T2D among Asian populations by examining their PARs from large population-based samples. From a public-health point of view, the importance of BMI in Asian Indians is especially highlighted in comparison to the other Asian populations. Given these results and other recent findings on the causality link between BMI and T2D, it can be postulated that obesity may be involved in the aetiology of T2D through interaction with ethnic-specific genetic factors, although ethnicity itself is not a direct risk factor for T2D as people of all ethnic backgrounds develop diabetes.

Cause and manner of death and phase of the blood alcohol curve.

In a large number of forensic autopsies (N = 28,184) the concentrations of ethanol in femoral blood and bladder urine were determined and the urine-to-blood concentration ratios of ethanol were calculated. Based on the differences in ethanol concentration between urine and blood, the deaths were classified as having occurred during the absorptive, the peak or the post-absorptive phase of the blood­alcohol curve. Most people died in the post-absorptive phase, N = 24,223 (86%), whereas 1538 individuals (5.5%) were still absorbing alcohol and 2423 (8.6%) were at or close to the peak BAC at time of death. Both blood­alcohol concentration (BAC) and urine­alcohol concentration (UAC) were significantly higher in the post-absorptive phase (p < 0.001). The proportions of people dying in the absorptive and peak phases increased with advancing age. The cause of death (CoD) and manner of death (MoD) according to death certificates were compared with phase of the blood­alcohol curve using a multinomial regression model with and without making adjustment for possible effects of age, gender and BAC. The relative risk (RR) and relative risk ratios (RRR) showed some associations between CoD and phase of the blood­alcohol curve. Undetermined MoD was significantly higher in the absorptive phase compared with the post-absorptive phase (RRR = 2.12). Deaths related to esophagus, stomach and duodenum (RRR = 2.04) and alcoholic liver diseases (RRR = 1.85) were significantly higher at or close to peak phase compared to the post-absorptive phase. Road-traffic fatalities were more prevalent in the peak BAC phase (RRR = 1.33) and deaths by accidental falls were less in the absorptive phase (RRR = 0.58) compared with the post-absorptive phase. The phase of alcohol intoxication seems relevant to consider by forensic experts when alcohol-related deaths are investigated.

Longitudinal HRQoL shows divergent trends and identifies constant decliners in asthma and COPD.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Monitoring of lung function alone does not adequately identify the high-risk patients among elderly asthma and COPD cohorts. The additional value of Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL) development in the detection of patients with a disabling disease in clinical practice is unclear. The aim of this study was to statistically examine the individual development of HRQoL measured using respiratory-specific AQ20 and generic 15D questionnaires. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The HRQoL of COPD (N = 739) and asthma (N = 1329) patients was evaluated at 0, 1, 2, and 4 years after recruitment. To determine a five-year HRQoL change for each patient we used mixed-effects modelling for linear trend. RESULTS: In COPD, the majority (60-80%) of the individuals showed declining trend, whereas in asthma, the majority (46-71%) showed no attenuation in HRQoL. The proportion of constant decliners was estimated higher with the 15D both in asthma (6.3%) and COPD (6.3%) than with AQ20 (3.5 and 4.5%, respectively). The first measurement of HRQoL was found to predict future development of HRQoL. In asthma, obesity-related diseases such as hypertension, diabetes and gastro-esophageal reflux disease best explained the decline, whereas in COPD, age and the level of bronchial obstruction were the main determinants. CONCLUSION: Based on the five-year follow-up, the HRQoL trends significantly diverging from each other could be identified both among the asthma and COPD patients. Compared to cross-sectional HRQoL, the HRQoL trend over a clinically relevant period of time allows us to ignore, to a great extent, the random error of self-assessed HRQoL and thus, it may offer a more accurate measure to describe the disease process.

Genome-wide association study on detailed profiles of smoking behavior and nicotine dependence in a twin sample.

Smoking is a major risk factor for several somatic diseases and is also emerging as a causal factor for neuropsychiatric disorders. Genome-wide association (GWA) and candidate gene studies for smoking behavior and nicotine dependence (ND) have disclosed too few predisposing variants to account for the high estimated heritability. Previous large-scale GWA studies have had very limited phenotypic definitions of relevance to smoking-related behavior, which has likely impeded the discovery of genetic effects. We performed GWA analyses on 1114 adult twins ascertained for ever smoking from the population-based Finnish Twin Cohort study. The availability of 17 smoking-related phenotypes allowed us to comprehensively portray the dimensions of smoking behavior, clustered into the domains of smoking initiation, amount smoked and ND. Our results highlight a locus on 16p12.3, with several single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the vicinity of CLEC19A showing association (P<1 × 10(-6)) with smoking quantity. Interestingly, CLEC19A is located close to a previously reported attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) linkage locus and an evident link between ADHD and smoking has been established. Intriguing preliminary association (P<1 × 10(-5)) was detected between DSM-IV (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition) ND diagnosis and several SNPs in ERBB4, coding for a Neuregulin receptor, on 2q33. The association between ERBB4 and DSM-IV ND diagnosis was replicated in an independent Australian sample. Recently, a significant increase in ErbB4 and Neuregulin 3 (Nrg3) expression was revealed following chronic nicotine exposure and withdrawal in mice and an association between NRG3 SNPs and smoking cessation success was detected in a clinical trial. ERBB4 has previously been associated with schizophrenia; further, it is located within an established schizophrenia linkage locus and within a linkage locus for a smoker phenotype identified in this sample. In conclusion, we disclose novel tentative evidence for the involvement of ERBB4 in ND, suggesting the involvement of the Neuregulin/ErbB signalling pathway in addictions and providing a plausible link between the high co-morbidity of schizophrenia and ND.

Fertility in people with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: To assess the number of live births in a population-based, retrospective cohort of women and men with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes, and matched controls. METHODS: The reproductive histories of people in a Finnish cohort of 2,307 women and 2,819 men with type 1 diabetes and two matched controls (for each case) were obtained from National Population Register data. All persons with diabetes were diagnosed with the disease in 1965-1979 at the age of 17 or under. A proportional hazards model was used to model the association between the rate of live births as a function of the age of an individual and the observed covariates (sex and age at onset of diabetes). RESULTS: Both women and men with diabetes had a smaller number of live births than the controls; the HR of having a first child for diabetic women compared with controls was 0.66 (95% CI 0.62, 0.71) and for men was 0.77 (95% CI 0.72, 0.83). In women, a birth cohort effect was detected; in more recent birth cohorts, the difference between diabetic women and controls as regards having children was significantly smaller than in earlier cohorts. Later age at onset of diabetes was associated with a higher rate of having a first child among men (p = 0.04) and having a second live birth among women (p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Type 1 diabetes affects the number of live births in both women and men. The age at onset of diabetes is associated with the pattern of reproduction in both diabetic women and men.

Predicting outcome of IV thrombolysis-treated ischemic stroke patients: the DRAGON score.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a functional outcome prediction score, based on immediate pretreatment parameters, in ischemic stroke patients receiving IV alteplase. METHODS: The derivation cohort consists of 1,319 ischemic stroke patients treated with IV alteplase at the Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki, Finland. We evaluated the predictive value of parameters associated with the 3-month outcome and developed the score according to the magnitude of logistic regression coefficients. We assessed accuracy of the model with bootstrapping. External validation was performed in a cohort of 330 patients treated at the University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland. We assessed the score performance with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). RESULTS: The DRAGON score (0-10 points) consists of (hyper)Dense cerebral artery sign/early infarct signs on admission CT scan (both = 2, either = 1, none = 0), prestroke modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score >1 (yes = 1), Age (≥ 80 years = 2, 65-79 years = 1, <65 years = 0), Glucose level at baseline (>8 mmol/L [>144 mg/dL] = 1), Onset-to-treatment time (>90 minutes = 1), and baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (>15 = 3, 10-15 = 2, 5-9 = 1, 0-4 = 0). AUC-ROC was 0.84 (0.80-0.87) in the derivation cohort and 0.80 (0.74-0.86) in the validation cohort. Proportions of patients with good outcome (mRS score 0-2) were 96%, 88%, 74%, and 0% for 0-1, 2, 3, and 8-10 points, respectively. Proportions of patients with miserable outcome (mRS score 5-6) were 0%, 2%, 5%, 70%, and 100% for 0-1, 2, 3, 8, and 9-10 points, respectively. External validation showed similar results. CONCLUSIONS: The DRAGON score is valid at our site and was reliable externally. It can support clinical decision-making, especially when invasive add-on strategies are considered. The score was not studied in patients with basilar artery occlusion. Further external validation is warranted.

Relationship between body mass index and mortality among Europeans.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: To investigate the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and mortality from various causes. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Data of 72,947 European men and 62,798 women aged 24-99 years at baseline were collaboratively analyzed. Both absolute and relative mortality risks were estimated within each BMI categories. The hazard ratio was estimated using Cox regression analysis adjusting for age, cohort and smoking status. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 16.8 years, 29,071 participants died, 13,502 from cardiovascular disease (CVD) and 8748 from cancers of all types. All-cause and cancer mortality showed a U-shaped relationship: decreased first, leveled off, and then increased with increasing BMI with the lowest mortality risk approximately between 23.0 and 28.0 kg/m(2) of BMI in men and 21.0 and 28.0 kg/m(2) in women. The U-shaped relationship held for all-cause mortality but disappeared for cancer mortality among non-smokers. The CVD mortality was constant until a BMI of approximately 28.0 kg/m(2) and then increased gradually in both men and women, which was independent of age, cohort and smoking status. CONCLUSIONS: A U-shaped relationship of BMI with all-cause mortality but a graded relationship with CVD mortality at BMI >28.0 kg/m(2) was detected. The relationship between cancer mortality and BMI largely depended on smoking status, and need to be further investigated with site-specific cancers.

Patient outcomes from symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage after stroke thrombolysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the impact of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) on outcome of thrombolysis-treated ischemic stroke patients, as additional to recognized prognosticators. METHODS: The study cohort included 985 ischemic stroke patients treated with IV thrombolysis at the Helsinki University Central Hospital (1995-2008). In a multivariable model adjusted for baseline stroke severity, age, onset-to-treatment time, baseline glucose, hyperdense cerebral artery sign, and early infarct signs on baseline imaging, and prior modified Rankin Scale (mRS), we calculated risk ratios (RRs) of patients with sICH (separately per Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke[SITS]-Monitoring Study, European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study II [ECASS-II], and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke [NINDS] definitions) for poor 3-month outcome (mRS 3-6) and mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) evaluated impact of sICH on outcome. Internal cross-validation of the model was done with bootstrap statistics. RESULTS: The frequency of sICH was 2.1% (SITS), 7.0% (ECASS-II), and 9.4% (NINDS). RRs for poor and fatal outcome, respectively, were 1.7 and 4.8 (SITS), 1.6 and 3.8 (ECASS-II), and 1.6 and 3.4 (NINDS). In IDI analyses, sICH improved prediction model for 3-month mRS of 3-6 and 4-6, respectively, by 1.4% and 3.0% (SITS), 4.0% and 5.9% (ECASS-II), and 4.7% and 6.1% (NINDS). In case of 3-month mRS 5-6 and mortality, it was 6.1% and 5.3% (SITS), 11.3% and 9.3% (ECASS-II), and 10.3% and 8.0% (NINDS). ROC analysis revealed similar results. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with sICH have increased risk of poor and fatal outcome. Compared with recognized stroke prognosticators, contribution of sICH is smaller. Definition-wise, ECASS-II- and NINDS-based sICH contribute relatively more; ECASS-II has the largest contribution to worst outcomes.

The association of income with fresh fruit and vegetable consumption at different levels of education.

This study examined whether the association of household income with fresh fruit and vegetable consumption varies by the level of education. Data were derived from mail surveys carried out during 2000-2002 among 40- to 60-year-old employees of the City of Helsinki (n=8960, response rate 67%). Education was categorized into three levels, and the household income was divided into quartiles weighted by household size. The outcome was consumption of fresh fruit and vegetables at least twice a day (58% among women and 33% among men). Beta-binomial regression analysis was used. Among women, higher income resulted in equally higher consumption of fruit and vegetables at all educational levels, that is, similar among those with low, intermediate and high education. Among men, the pattern was otherwise similar; however, men with intermediate education differed from those with low education. We conclude that the absolute cost of healthy food is likely to have a role across all income groups.

Ethnic comparison of the association of undiagnosed diabetes with obesity.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to investigate the crude prevalence and estimated probability of undiagnosed diabetes in different ethnic groups, given the same level of obesity. DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: Cross-sectional data from 24 515 men and 29 952 women, aged >or=30 years, and free of previously diagnosed diabetes were included. Baseline body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference were measured. Diabetes was defined according to both fasting and 2-h 75-g glucose criteria. RESULTS: Prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes was the highest in Asian Indians, the lowest in Europeans and intermediate in others, given the same BMI or waist circumference category across the BMI or waist circumference ranges (P<0.001 for all BMI or waist categories). beta-Coefficients corresponding to a 1 s.d. increase in BMI were 0.34/0.28, 0.41/0.43, 0.42/0.61, 0.36/0.59 and 0.33/0.49 for the Asian Indians, Chinese, Japanese, Mauritian Indians and European men/women (homogeneity test: P>0.05 in men and P<0.001 in women), and in waist: 0.31/0.31, 0.30/0.46, 0.22/0.57 and 0.38/0.58 for the Asian Indians, Chinese, Mauritian Indians and Europeans, respectively (homogeneity test: P>0.05 in men and P<0.001 in women). CONCLUSION: Prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes increased with an increasing BMI or waist circumference to a similar degree in men in all ethnic groups but to a lesser degree in Asian Indian women than in others, regardless of the higher prevalence in Asian Indians than in others at the same BMI (or) waist circumference levels.

Risk prediction models for the development of diabetes in Mauritian Indians.

AIMS: To develop risk prediction models of future diabetes in Mauritian Indians. METHODS: Three thousand and ninety-four Mauritian Indians (1141 men, aged 20-65 years) without diabetes in 1987 or 1992 were followed up to 1992 or 1998. Subjects underwent repeated oral glucose tolerance tests and diabetes was diagnosed according to 2006 World Health Organization/International Diabetes Federation criteria. Cox regression models for interval censored data were performed using data from 1544 randomly selected participants. Predicted probabilities for diabetes were calculated and validated in the remaining 1550 subjects. RESULTS: Over 11 years of follow-up, there were 511 cases of diabetes. Among variables tested, family history of diabetes, obesity (body mass index, waist circumference) and glucose were significant predictors of diabetes. Predicted probabilities derived from a simple model fitted with sex, family history of diabetes and obesity ranged from 0.05 to 0.64 in men and 0.03 to 0.49 in women. To predict the onset of diabetes, area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AROC) of predicted probabilities was 0.62 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.68) in men and 0.64 (0.59-0.69) in women. At a cut-off point of 0.12, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.72 (0.71-0.74) and 0.47 (0.45-0.49) in men and 0.77 (0.75-0.78) and 0.50 (0.48-0.52) in women, respectively. Addition of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) to the model improved the prediction slightly [AROC curve 0.70 (0.65-0.76) in men, 0.71 (0.67-0.76) in women]. CONCLUSIONS: A diabetes prediction model based on obesity and family history yielded moderate discrimination in Mauritian Indians, which was slightly inferior to the model with the FPG but may be useful in low-income countries to promote identification of people at high risk of diabetes.

BMI compared with central obesity indicators in relation to diabetes and hypertension in Asians.

OBJECTIVE: To compare BMI with waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-stature ratio (WSR) in association with diabetes or hypertension. METHODS AND PROCEDURES: Cross-sectional data from 16 cohorts from the DECODA (Diabetes Epidemiology: Collaborative Analysis of Diagnostic criteria in Asia) study, comprising 9,095 men and 11,732 women, aged 35-74 years, of different ethnicities were included in this meta-analysis. RESULTS: Age-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for diabetes in men (women) for 1 s.d. increase in BMI, WC, WHR, and WSR were 1.52 (1.59), 1.54 (1.70), 1.53 (1.50), and 1.62 (1.70), respectively; and the corresponding ORs for hypertension were 1.68 (1.55), 1.66 (1.51), 1.45 (1.28), and 1.63 (1.50). Paired homogeneity tests (BMI with each of the three) adjusted for age and cohort showed that diabetes had stronger association with WSR than BMI (P=0.001) in men but with WC and WSR than BMI (both P<0.05) in women. Hypertension had stronger association with BMI than WHR in men (P<0.001) and had the strongest with BMI than the others (WHR P<0.001; WSR P<0.01; and WC P<0.05) in women. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves adjusted for age and cohort were slightly larger for diabetes for WSR 0.735 (0.748) in men (women) and WC 0.749 (women only) than BMI 0.725 (0.742) while for hypertension larger for BMI 0.760 (0.766) than WHR 0.748 (0.751), but their 95% CIs were all overlapped. DISCUSSION: WSR was stronger than BMI in association with diabetes, but these indicators were equally strongly associated with hypertension in Asians.

Genome-wide scan for type 1 diabetic nephropathy in the Finnish population reveals suggestive linkage to a single locus on chromosome 3q.

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is the primary cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with type 1 as well as type 2 diabetes, and accounts for 40% of end-stage renal disease in the Western world. Familial clustering of DN suggests importance of genetic factors in the development of the disease. In the present study, we performed a two-stage genome-wide scan to search for chromosomal loci containing susceptibility genes for nephropathy in patients with type 1 diabetes. In total, 83 discordant sib pairs (DSPs), sibs concordant for type 1 diabetes but discordant for nephropathy, were collected from Finland, a homogeneous population with one of the highest incidences of type 1 diabetes. To map loci for DN, we applied DSP analysis to detect linkage. In the initial scan, 73 DSPs were typed using 900 markers with an average intermarker distance of approximately 4 cM. Multipoint DSP analysis identified five chromosome regions (3q, 4p, 9q, 16q, and 22p) with maximum logarithm of odds (LOD) score (MLS) >or=1.0 (corresponding to a nominal P-value