Prognostic score for recurrence after Whipple's pancreaticoduodenectomy for ampullary carcinomas; results of an AGEO retrospective multicenter cohort.

BACKGROUND: Ampullary carcinoma (AC) is a relatively rare entity often managed as a biliopancreatic carcinoma. AC has a better prognosis than peri ampullary tumors after resection, but more than a third of patients relapse. Factors predictive of recurrence are controversial, mainly because the relevant studies are very small or also included non AC tumors. There are no guidelines on the use of adjuvant or neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors for recurrence after AC resection in a large multicentric cohort, and to establish a simple, practical, predictive score for recurrence in order to guide multidisciplinary decisions. METHODS: We included 152 consecutive patients who underwent Whipple's pancreaticoduodenectomy for ampullary carcinoma from January 2000 to December 2010 in 10 gastrointestinal oncology departments. RESULTS: The estimated overall 5-year disease-free survival rate (DFS) was 47.1%. In multivariate analysis, age≥ 75 years at diagnosis (p < 0.0001), poor general condition (p = 0.01), poorly (p = 0.005) or moderately differentiated tumors (p = 0.01) and TNM stage IIb or III (p = 0.05) were associated with poor DFS. Based on this multivariate analysis, we developed a prognostic score with three levels of risk: DFS at 5 years was 73.5% in the low-risk group and 20.1% in the high-risk group. CONCLUSION: This simple score based on age, general condition, tumor differentiation and TNM stage can classify patients into subgroups with different risks of recurrence and could help with therapeutic decisionmaking.

Is primary tumor resection associated with a longer survival in colon cancer and unresectable synchronous metastases? A 4-year multicentre experience.

AIM: To explore the survival impact of primary tumor resection (PTR) in patients with metastatic colon cancer (mCC) and unresectable metastases. METHODS: We retrospectively studied a multicenter cohort of consecutive mCC patients with unresectable metastases receiving first-line chemotherapy. A weighted Cox proportional regression model was used to balance for clinical variables associated with the probability of undergoing PTR, using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) based on a propensity score. RESULTS: Ninety-six patients were included. PTR was performed in 69 (72%). The rates of secondary resection of metastases (p = 0.02) and bevacizumab administration (p = 0.02) were higher in the PTR group. Raw median overall survival (OS) was 23.1 months (95%CI[14.6-27.8]) in the PTR group and 22.1 months (95%CI[12.3-23.7]) in the non-PTR group (p = 0.11). After adjustment on IPTW, OS was 23.1 months (95%CI[17.0-28.7]) in the PTR group and 17.2 months (95%CI[13.5-22.2]) in the non-PTR group (HR 0.68; 95%CI[0.50-0.93]; p = 0.016). This result remained significant on multivariate analysis (HR 0.71; 95%CI[0.50-1.00]; p = 0.05). CONCLUSION: In mCC patients with unresectable metastases receiving chemotherapy, up-front PTR was independently associated with prolonged OS. Patients eligible for secondary metastases resection and/or bevacizumab may benefit the most from PTR. Randomized controlled trials are mandatory.