Evaluation of novel data-driven metrics of amyloid ß deposition for longitudinal PET studies.

PURPOSE: Positron emission tomography (PET) provides in vivo quantification of amyloid-ß (Aß) pathology. Established methods for assessing Aß burden can be affected by physiological and technical factors. Novel, data-driven metrics have been developed to account for these sources of variability. We aimed to evaluate the performance of four of these amyloid PET metrics against conventional techniques, using a common set of criteria. METHODS: Three cohorts were used for evaluation: Insight 46 (N=464, [18F]florbetapir), AIBL (N=277, [18F]flutemetamol), and an independent test-retest data (N=10, [18F]flutemetamol). Established metrics of amyloid tracer uptake included the Centiloid (CL) and where dynamic data was available, the non-displaceable binding potential (BPND). The four data-driven metrics computed were the amyloid load (Aß load), the Aß-PET pathology accumulation index (Aß index), the Centiloid derived from non-negative matrix factorisation (CLNMF), and the amyloid pattern similarity score (AMPSS). These metrics were evaluated using reliability and repeatability in test-retest data, associations with BPND and CL, variability of the rate of change and sample size estimates to detect a 25% slowing in Aß accumulation. RESULTS: All metrics showed good reliability. Aß load, Aß index and CLNMF were strong associated with the BPND. The associations with CL suggest that cross-sectional measures of CLNMF, Aß index and Aß load are robust across studies. Sample size estimates for secondary prevention trial scenarios were the lowest for CLNMF and Aß load compared to the CL. CONCLUSION: Among the novel data-driven metrics evaluated, the Aß load, the Aß index and the CLNMF can provide comparable performance to more established quantification methods of Aß PET tracer uptake. The CLNMF and Aß load could offer a more precise alternative to CL, although further studies in larger cohorts should be conducted.

Predicting Cognitive Decline in Older Adults Using Baseline Metrics of AD Pathologies, Cerebrovascular Disease, and Neurodegeneration.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Dementia is a growing socioeconomic challenge that requires early intervention. Identifying biomarkers that reliably predict clinical progression early in the disease process would better aid selection of individuals for future trial participation. Here, we compared the ability of baseline, single time-point biomarkers (CSF amyloid 1-42, CSF ptau-181, white matter hyperintensities (WMH), cerebral microbleeds, whole-brain volume, and hippocampal volume) to predict decline in cognitively normal individuals who later converted to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) (CNtoMCI) and those with MCI who later converted to an Alzheimer disease (AD) diagnosis (MCItoAD). METHODS: Standardized baseline biomarker data from AD Neuroimaging Initiative 2 (ADNI2)/GO and longitudinal diagnostic data (including ADNI3) were used. Cox regression models assessed biomarkers in relation to time to change in clinical diagnosis using all follow-up time points available. Models were fit for biomarkers univariately and together in a multivariable model. Hazard ratios (HRs) were compared to evaluate biomarkers. Analyses were performed separately in CNtoMCI and MCItoAD groups. RESULTS: For CNtoMCI (n = 189), there was strong evidence that higher WMH volume (individual model: HR 1.79, p = 0.002; fully adjusted model: HR 1.98, p = 0.003) and lower hippocampal volume (individual: HR 0.54, p = 0.001; fully adjusted: HR 0.40, p < 0.001) were associated with conversion to MCI individually and independently. For MCItoAD (n = 345), lower hippocampal (individual model: HR 0.45, p < 0.001; fully adjusted model: HR 0.55, p < 0.001) and whole-brain volume (individual: HR 0.31, p < 0.001; fully adjusted: HR 0.48, p = 0.02), increased CSF ptau (individual: HR 1.88, p < 0.001; fully adjusted: HR 1.61, p < 0.001), and lower CSF amyloid (individual: HR 0.37, p < 0.001; fully adjusted: HR 0.62, p = 0.008) were most strongly associated with conversion to AD individually and independently. DISCUSSION: Lower hippocampal volume was a consistent predictor of clinical conversion to MCI and AD. CSF and brain volume biomarkers were predictive of conversion to AD from MCI, whereas WMH were predictive of conversion to MCI from cognitively normal. The predictive ability of WMH in the CNtoMCI group may be interpreted as some being on a different pathologic pathway, such as vascular cognitive impairment.

A population-based study of head injury, cognitive function and pathological markers.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between head injury (HI) with loss of consciousness (LOC), ageing and markers of later-life cerebral pathology; and to explore whether those effects may help explain subtle cognitive deficits in dementia-free individuals. METHODS: Participants (n = 502, age = 69-71) from the 1946 British Birth Cohort underwent cognitive testing (subtests of Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite), 18 F-florbetapir Aß-PET and MR imaging. Measures include Aß-PET status, brain, hippocampal and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volumes, normal appearing white matter (NAWM) microstructure, Alzheimer's disease (AD)-related cortical thickness, and serum neurofilament light chain (NFL). LOC HI metrics include HI occurring: (i) >15 years prior to the scan (ii) anytime up to age 71. RESULTS: Compared to those with no evidence of an LOC HI, only those reporting an LOC HI>15 years prior (16%, n = 80) performed worse on cognitive tests at age 69-71, taking into account premorbid cognition, particularly on the digit-symbol substitution test (DSST). Smaller brain volume (BV) and adverse NAWM microstructural integrity explained 30% and 16% of the relationship between HI and DSST, respectively. We found no evidence that LOC HI was associated with Aß load, hippocampal volume, WMH volume, AD-related cortical thickness or NFL (all p > 0.01). INTERPRETATION: Having a LOC HI aged 50's and younger was linked with lower later-life cognitive function at age ~70 than expected. This may reflect a damaging but small impact of HI; explained in part by smaller BV and different microstructure pathways but not via pathology related to AD (amyloid, hippocampal volume, AD cortical thickness) or ongoing neurodegeneration (serum NFL).