Early warning COVID-19 outbreak in long-term care facilities using wastewater surveillance: correlation, prediction, and interaction with clinical and serological statuses.

BACKGROUND: The unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the strategic value of wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) of SARS-CoV-2. This multisite 28-month-long study focused on WBS for older residents in 12 long-term care facilities (LTCFs) in Edmonton (AB, Canada) by assessing relationships between COVID-19, WBS, and serostatus during the pandemic. METHODS: Wastewater samples collected two to three times per week were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-quantitative PCR. The serostatus of antibodies was examined using immunoassays. The data of clinical COVID-19 outbreaks based on extensive testing were obtained from local public health officials. Analyses included calculating correlations between 7-day rolling averages for WBS and COVID-19 cases and investigating whether WBS led or lagged confirmed outbreaks using a multinomial test. FINDINGS: Wastewater results correlated well with clinical COVID-19 infections and outbreaks at participating LTCFs. 1058 (36·0%) of 2936 collected wastewater samples were SARS-CoV-2 positive, compared with 1247 people (resident n=671, staff n=572, and unknown n=4) reporting positive test results of 21 673 clinical samples assessed (5·8%). WBS led clinical testing in 32 (60·4%) confirmed outbreaks, which was significantly different from WBS lagged (12 outbreaks [22·6%, 95% CI 11·3-33·7]). Non-detection of WBS SARS-CoV-2 served as a negative predictor for outbreaks. WBS results attested protective immunity in vaccinated individuals before the omicron wave. A parallel increase in the proportions of positive WBS SARS-CoV-2 and anti-nucleocapsid antibodies underlined that omicron was an immunity-evading variant despite high seropositivity of neutralising antibodies after multiple doses of vaccine. INTERPRETATION: Implementation of WBS could enable targeted clinical investigations and improve cost-effectiveness of COVID-19 outbreak management in LTCFs. WBS and serostatus provided informed dynamic changes of infections and immunity. Critical evidence was that LTCF WBS is an effective early warning system to support rapid public health outbreak management and protect vulnerable older populations. FUNDING: Canadian Immunity Task Force for COVID-19 and Alberta Health.

ß-D-glucuronidase activity triggered monitoring of fecal contamination using microbial and chemical source tracking markers at drinking water intakes.

Intense rainfall and snowmelt events may affect the safety of drinking water, as large quantities of fecal material can be discharged from storm or sewage overflows or washed from the catchment into drinking water sources. This study used ß-d-glucuronidase activity (GLUC) with microbial source tracking (MST) markers: human, bovine, porcine mitochondrial DNA markers (mtDNA) and human-associated Bacteroidales HF183 and chemical source tracking (CST) markers including caffeine, carbamazepine, theophylline and acetaminophen, pathogens (Giardia, Cryptosporidium, adenovirus, rotavirus and enterovirus), water quality indicators (Escherichia coli, turbidity) and hydrometeorological data (flowrate, precipitation) to assess the vulnerability of 3 drinking water intakes (DWIs) and identify sources of fecal contamination. Water samples were collected under baseline, snow and rain events conditions in urban and agricultural catchments (Québec, Canada). Dynamics of E. coli, HF183 and WWMPs were similar during contamination events, and concentrations generally varied over 1 order of magnitude during each event. Elevated human-associated marker levels during events demonstrated that urban DWIs were impacted by recent contamination from an upstream municipal water resource recovery facility (WRRF). In the agricultural catchment, mixed fecal pollution was observed with the occurrences and increases of enteric viruses, human bovine and porcine mtDNA during peak contaminating events. Bovine mtDNA qPCR concentrations were indicative of runoff of cattle-derived fecal pollutants to the DWI from diffuse sources following rain events. This study demonstrated that the suitability of a given MST or CST indicator depend on river and catchment characteristics. The sampling strategy using continuous online GLUC activity coupled with MST and CST markers analysis was a more reliable source indicator than turbidity to identify peak events at drinking water intakes.