RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Develop a practical scoring system based on radiomics and imaging features, for predicting the malignant potential of incidental indeterminate small solid pulmonary nodules (IISSPNs) smaller than 20 mm. METHODS: A total of 360 patients with malignant IISSPNs (n = 213) and benign IISSPNs (n = 147) confirmed after surgery were retrospectively analyzed. The whole cohort was randomly divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 7:3. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was used to debase the dimensions of radiomics features. Multivariate logistic analysis was performed to establish models. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the curve (AUC), 95% confidence interval (CI), sensitivity and specificity of each model were recorded. Scoring system based on odds ratio was developed. RESULTS: Three radiomics features were selected for further model establishment. After multivariate logistic analysis, the combined model including Mean, age, emphysema, lobulated and size, reached highest AUC of 0.877 (95%CI: 0.830-0.915), accuracy rate of 83.3%, sensitivity of 85.3% and specificity of 80.2% in the training group, followed by radiomics model (AUC: 0.804) and imaging model (AUC: 0.773). A scoring system with a cutoff value greater than 4 points was developed. If the score was larger than 8 points, the possibility of diagnosing malignant IISSPNs could reach at least 92.7%. CONCLUSION: The combined model demonstrated good diagnostic performance in predicting the malignant potential of IISSPNs. A perfect accuracy rate of 100% can be achieved with a score exceeding 12 points in the user-friendly scoring system.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Nódulo Pulmonar Solitário , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico por imagem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Nódulo Pulmonar Solitário/diagnóstico por imagem , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Idoso , Curva ROC , Nódulos Pulmonares Múltiplos/diagnóstico por imagem , Nódulos Pulmonares Múltiplos/patologia , Achados Incidentais , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Algoritmos , Adulto , Área Sob a Curva , RadiômicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Renal angiomyolipoma without visible fat (RAML-wvf) and clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) have many overlapping features on imaging, which poses a challenge to radiologists. This study aimed to create a scoring system to distinguish ccRCC from RAML-wvf using computed tomography imaging. METHODS: A total of 202 patients from 2011 to 2019 that were confirmed by pathology with ccRCC (n=123) or RAML (n=79) were retrospectively analyzed by dividing them randomly into a training cohort (n=142) and a validation cohort (n=60). A model was established using logistic regression and weighted to be a scoring system. ROC, AUC, cut-off point, and calibration analyses were performed. The scoring system was divided into three ranges for convenience in clinical evaluations, and the diagnostic probability of ccRCC was calculated. RESULTS: Four independent risk factors are included in the system: 1) presence of a pseudocapsule, 2) a heterogeneous tumor parenchyma in pre-enhancement scanning, 3) a non-high CT attenuation in pre-enhancement scanning, and 4) a heterogeneous enhancement in CMP. The prediction accuracy had an ROC of 0.978 (95% CI, 0.956-0.999; P=0.011), similar to the primary model (ROC, 0.977; 95% CI, 0.954-1.000; P=0.012). A sensitivity of 91.4% and a specificity of 93.9% were achieved using 4.5 points as the cutoff value. Validation showed a good result (ROC, 0.922; 95% CI, 0.854-0.991, P=0.035). The number of patients with ccRCC in the three ranges (0 to <2 points; 2-4 points; >4 to ≤11 points) significantly increased with increasing scores. CONCLUSION: This scoring system is convenient for distinguishing between ccRCC and RAML-wvf using four computed tomography features.