Ambient air pollution and low birth weight in Brazil: A nationwide study of more than 10 million births between 2001 and 2018.

Low birth weight (LBW) is a global health concern. While it is commonly associated with maternal health and behavior, exposure to ambient air pollution, can also play a role in contributing to LBW. In Brazil, where diverse environmental conditions and regional disparities exist, assessing the impact of ambient air pollution on LBW becomes particularly pertinent. To our knowledge, there is a gap in the existing literature, as no previous study has specifically investigated the relationship between ambient air pollution and LBW nationwide in Brazil. This study aims to fill this gap by examining the association between ambient air pollution and LBW in each trimester of pregnancy across the Brazilian states. In this work, birth data from January 1, 2001, to December 31, 2018 has been used. We utilized logistic regression models to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for low birth weight (LBW) associated with ambient air pollution (PM2.5, NO2, and O3) during each trimester of pregnancy (1st to 3rd trimester) across all 27 Brazilian states in our nationwide case-control study. We adjusted our model for several variables, including ambient temperature, relative humidity, and socioeconomic status (SES) variables at the individual level. We also conducted effect modification analyses by infant sex, mother's age, and the number of prenatal visits. Our study comprises over 10,213,144 birth records nationwide. Of these, 479,204 (4.92%) infants were included as cases of LBW. Our results indicate positive associations between PM2.5 and LBW, mainly in the Southern region. For example, in the state of Santa Catarina (South region), ORs were 1.003 (95% CI: 1.002, 1.004), 1.003 (95% CI: 1.002, 1.004), and 1.005 (95% CI: 1.003, 1.007) for the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd trimesters of exposure, respectively. NO2 had a robust association with LBW in the Northern and Northeastern states, including the state of Amapá (North region, where the Amazon Forest is located) with ORs of 1.377 (95% CI: 1.010, 1.878), 1.390 (95% CI: 1.020, 1.894), and 1.747 (95% CI: 1.297, 2.352) for the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd trimesters of exposure, respectively. Similarly, O3 had a robust association in the North and Midwest states, as observed in the state of Amapá with ORs of 1.033 (95% CI: 1.012, 1.054), and 1.033 (95% CI: 1.013, 1.053) for the 2nd, and 3rd trimesters, respectively. In the stratified analysis, boys were more vulnerable than girls, and the lower number of prenatal visits was associated with higher OR. Our findings are essential to the development of guidelines to prevent maternal exposure and protection of newborns in Brazil. This study provides valuable insights for region-specific strategies to improve maternal and neonatal health.

Air pollution exposure during pregnancy and preterm birth in Brazil.

Ambient air pollution is a significant environmental risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcomes, including preterm birth. However, the impact of different pollutants across various regions and trimesters of pregnancy has not been fully investigated in Brazil. This study aimed to examine the associations between exposure to PM2.5, NO2, and O3 during different trimesters of pregnancy and the risk of preterm birth across five regions of Brazil. We used logistic regression models to estimate the odds ratios (OR) of preterm birth associated with PM2.5, NO2, and O3 adjusting for potential confounders such as maternal age, education, and socioeconomic status. Our study included over 9.9 million live births from 2001 to 2018, with data obtained from the Ministry of Health in Brazil. On average, for each 1-µg/m3 increase in PM2.5, we estimated a 0.26 % (95 % CI: 0.08-0.44 %) increase in the risk of preterm birth nationally in the first trimester. For NO2, each 1ppb increase was associated with a percentage increase in preterm birth risk of 7.26 % (95 % CI: 4.77-9.74 %) in the first trimester, 8.05 % (95 % CI: 5.73-10.38 %) in the second trimester, and 7.48 % (95 % CI: 5.25-9.72 %) in the third trimester. For O3, each 1ppb increase was associated with a percentage increase in preterm birth risk of 1.24 % (95 % CI: 0.29-2.18 %) in the first trimester, 1.51 % (95 % CI: 0.60-2.41 %) in the second trimester, and 0.72 % (95 % CI: -0.18-1.62 %) in the third trimester. This study highlights the significant impact of ambient air pollution on preterm birth risk in Brazil, with significant regional variations. Our findings underscore the need for targeted public health interventions to mitigate the effects of air pollution on pregnancy outcomes, particularly in the most affected regions.

Thermal Comfort Conditions and Mortality in Brazil.

Conventional temperature-based approaches often overlook the intricate nature of thermal stress experienced by individuals. To address this limitation, climatologists have developed thermal indices-composite measures designed to reflect the complex interaction of meteorological factors influencing human perception of temperature. Our study focuses on Brazil, estimating the association between thermal comfort conditions and mortality related to respiratory and circulatory diseases. We examined four distinct thermal indices: the discomfort index (DI), net effective temperature (NET), humidex (H), and heat index (HI). Analyzing a comprehensive dataset of 2,872,084 deaths from 2003 to 2017, we found significant variation in relative risk (RR) based on health outcomes, exposure lag, percentile of exposure, sex/age groups, and specific thermal indices. For example, under high exposure conditions (99th percentile), we observed that the shorter lags (3, 5, 7, and 10) had the most robust effects on all-cause mortality. For example, under lag 3, the pooled national results for the overall population (all ages and sexes) indicate an increased risk of all-cause mortality, with an RR of 1.17 (95% CI: 1.13; 1.122) for DI, 1.15 (95% CI: 1.12; 1.17) for H, 1.15 (95% CI: 1.09; 1.21) for HI, and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.13; 1.22) for NET. At low exposure levels (1st percentile), all four distinct thermal indices were linked to an increase in all-cause mortality across most sex and age subgroups. Specifically, for lag 20, we observed an estimated RR of 1.19 (95% CI: 1.14; 1.23) for DI, 1.12 (95% CI: 1.08; 1.16) for H, 1.17 (95% CI: 1.12; 1.22) for HI, and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.14; 1.23) for NET. These findings have important implications for policymakers, guiding the development of measures to minimize climate change's impact on public health in Brazil.

Determining factors associated with vaccination coverage in the first year of life in Brazil (2013-2022).

Access to vaccination has emerged as a growing global public health concern; however, there has been limited research on characteristics of local governments that are associated with vaccination coverage. The objective of this study was to evaluate predictors of vaccination coverage in Brazil for the first year of life between 2013 and 2022. We focused on variables pertaining to the available resources of local governments and their investments in infrastructure and human resources in the health sector. We used binomial generalized linear mixed models to estimate the association of these variables with vaccination coverage in Brazilian municipalities. Our results show that municipalities with better fiscal capacity were more effective in delivering vaccines. Municipalities that rely more on federal and state resources had lower vaccination coverage. Additionally, investment in health professionals was often negatively correlated with vaccination coverage. The study underscores the importance of better understanding the relationship between local government characteristics and vaccination coverage, particularly in regions where local governments are responsible for vaccine delivery.

Maternal exposure to ambient temperature and birth defects in Brazil: a nationwide case-control study of over 11 million newborns.

Maternal exposure to extreme ambient temperature during pregnancy has been proposed as a potential risk factor for birth defects. Comprehensive investigations on this association remain limited, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. This study aims to examine the association between ambient temperature exposure during pregnancy and the risk of birth defects in Brazil, contributing to the broader understanding of environmental influences on birth outcomes. Using a large dataset of over 11 million live birth records, we analyzed 12 categories of birth defects, encompassing a time frame from 2001 to 2018. Ambient temperature data were assigned at the municipality level. For the exposure assessment, we considered two biologically driven pregnancy stages by dividing the gestational period into two specific windows: the first trimester (from week 1 to week 12) and the second trimester (from week 13 to week 28). We employed a two-stage case-control design. In the first stage, we applied a conditional logistic regression model to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for specific birth defects and each of the five Brazilian regions (North, Northeast, Midwest, Southeast, and South). The model was adjusted for potential confounding variables, including PM2.5, relative humidity, and socioeconomic status. Temporal trends were addressed using time-stratified sampling. In the second stage, we used mixed-effects meta-analysis to pool region-specific estimates. Our analysis revealed a significant association between maternal exposure to higher ambient temperatures during the first trimester and an increased risk of specific birth defect categories, including those affecting the genital organs (OR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.02; 1.14), digestive system (OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.06; 1.19); circulatory system (OR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.01; 1.17); eyes, ears, face, and neck (OR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.02; 1.15); benign neoplasms tumors (OR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.03; 1.32), musculoskeletal system (OR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01; 1.05); and other congenital anomalies (OR = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.15; 1.29). The associations with respiratory system, nervous system, and chromosomal anomalies were null. These findings have significant implications for public health policies aimed at mitigating the impact of environmental factors on birth outcomes, both in Brazil and globally.

SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a highly vulnerable population of Brazil: a household cohort study.

Background: Household transmission studies seek to understand the transmission dynamics of a pathogen by estimating the risk of infection from household contacts and community exposures. We estimated within/extra-household SARS-CoV-2 infection risk and associated factors in a household cohort study in one of the most vulnerable neighbourhoods in Rio de Janeiro city. Methods: Individuals ≥1 years-old with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 in the past 30 days (index cases) and household members aged ≥1 year were enrolled and followed at 14 and 28 days (study period November/2020-December/2021). RT-PCR testing, COVID-19 symptoms, and SARS-CoV-2 serologies were ascertained in all visits. Chain binomial household transmission models were fitted using data from 2024 individuals (593 households). Findings: Extra-household infection risk was 74.2% (95% credible interval [CrI] 70.3-77.8), while within-household infection risk was 11.4% (95% CrI 5.7-17.2). Participants reporting having received two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine had lower extra-household (68.9%, 95% CrI 57.3-77.6) and within-household (4.1%, 95% CrI 0.4-16.6) infection risk. Within-household infection risk was higher among participants aged 10-19 years, from overcrowded households, and with low family income. Contrastingly, extra-household infection risk was higher among participants aged 20-29 years, unemployed, and public transportation users. Interpretation: Our study provides important insights into COVID-19 household/community transmission in a vulnerable population that resided in overcrowded households and who struggled to adhere to lockdown policies and social distancing measures. The high extra-household infection risk highlights the extreme social vulnerability of this population. Prioritising vaccination of the most socially vulnerable could protect these individuals and reduce widespread community transmission. Funding: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, CNPq, FAPERJ, Royal Society, Instituto Serrapilheira, FAPESP.

Two Decades of Air Pollution Health Risk Assessment: Insights From the Use of WHO's AirQ and AirQ+ Tools.

Objectives: We evaluated studies that used the World Health Organization's (WHO) AirQ and AirQ+ tools for air pollution (AP) health risk assessment (HRA) and provided best practice suggestions for future assessments. Methods: We performed a comprehensive review of studies using WHO's AirQ and AirQ+ tools, searching several databases for relevant articles, reports, and theses from inception to Dec 31, 2022. Results: We identified 286 studies that met our criteria. The studies were conducted in 69 countries, with most (57%) in Iran, followed by Italy and India (∼8% each). We found that many studies inadequately report air pollution exposure data, its quality, and validity. The decisions concerning the analysed population size, health outcomes of interest, baseline incidence, concentration-response functions, relative risk values, and counterfactual values are often not justified, sufficiently. Many studies lack an uncertainty assessment. Conclusion: Our review found a number of common shortcomings in the published assessments. We suggest better practices and urge future studies to focus on the quality of input data, its reporting, and associated uncertainties.

Drivers of associations between daytime-nighttime compound temperature extremes and mortality in China.

BACKGROUND: Temperature extremes are anticipated to become more frequent and more intense under the context of climate change. While current evidence on health effects of compound extreme temperature event is scarce. METHODS: This nationwide cross-sectional study collected daily data on weather and mortality for 161 Chinese districts/counties during 2007-2013. A quasi-Poisson generalized linear model was first applied to assess effects of daytime-only, nighttime-only and compound daytime-nighttime heat wave (and cold spell) on cause-specific mortality. Then a random-effect meta-analysis was used to produce pooled estimates at national level. Stratification analyses were performed by relative humidity, individual and regional characteristics. RESULTS: Here we show that mortality risks of compound daytime-nighttime temperature extremes are much higher than those occurring only in the daytime or nighttime. Humid weather further exaggerates the mortality risk during heat waves, while dry air enhances the risk during cold weather. People who are elderly, illiterate, and those with ischemic heart disease and respiratory disease are particularly vulnerable to extreme temperature. At the community-level, population size, urbanization rate, proportion of elderly and PM2.5 are positively associated with increased risks associated with heat waves. Temperature, humidity and normalized difference vegetation index are positively associated with the effects of cold weather, with an opposite trend for latitude and diurnal temperature range. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study highlights the importance of incorporating compound daytime-nighttime extreme temperature events and humid conditions into early warning systems and urban design/planning.

Ongoing climate change has exaggerated the frequency and intensity of severe climate events, leading to substantial health and socioeconomic consequences. We assessed deaths in China during periods when many extreme climate events occurred at the same or similar times. We looked at deaths occurring during periods when both daytime and nighttime temperatures were very hot or cold. We found more serious health effects were seen when temperatures remained hot or cold during the day and night compared to when it was just hot or cold during the day or night. Other factors including humidity, preexisting heart or respiratory disease and age also impacted the risk of death. Our study highlights the detrimental health effects of many extreme climate events occurring together and the need for both people and governments to consider approaches to reduce these negative effects.

Greenness and Hospitalization for Cardiorespiratory Diseases in Brazil.

BACKGROUND: The potential health benefits of exposure to vegetation, or greenness, are well documented, but there are few nationwide studies in Brazil, a country facing challenges related to land-use planning, deforestation, and environmental health risks. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we investigated the association between greenness and hospitalizations for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil. METHODS: We accessed hospital admissions data from 967,771 postal codes (a total of 26,724,624 admissions) covering Brazil for the period between 2008 and 2018. We used Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to measure greenness at the postal-code level. First, we applied a quasi-Poisson regression model to estimate the association between greenness and hospitalizations for circulatory and respiratory diseases, adjusted for air pollution, weather variables, and area-level socioeconomic status. We stratified the analyzes by sex, age group, health outcome, and Brazilian regions. In the second stage, we performed a meta-analysis to estimate pooled effects across the Brazilian regions. RESULTS: The national meta-analysis for the whole population, incorporating both urban and nonurban areas, showed that higher levels of greenness were associated with a lower risk of hospitalizations for circulatory diseases. An interquartile range (IQR=0.18) increase in average NDVI was associated with a 17% (95% confidence interval: 8%, 27%) lower risk of cardiovascular admissions. In contrast, there was no association found between greenness and respiratory admissions. When specifically examining urban areas, the results remained consistent with the overall findings. However, the analyses of nonurban areas revealed divergent results, suggesting that higher levels of greenness in rural regions are associated with a lower risk of hospital admissions for both circulatory and respiratory diseases. DISCUSSION: The findings emphasize the importance of prioritizing the preservation and creation of green spaces in urban areas as a means of promoting cardiovascular health in Brazil. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13442.

Weather impact on ambient air pollution and its association with land use types/activities over 5,572 municipalities in Brazil.

Quantify the impact of meteorological changes on air pollution levels is the aim of numerous recent studies. However, there is still a lack of investigations assessing the influence of land use/activities on the relationship between climate and air quality. In this study, we used a two-stage design to estimate the influence of land use types and activities on the association between weather changes and air pollution (PM2.5, NO2, SO2, O3) over 5572 municipalities in Brazil. To calculate the influence of recent weather change on air pollution concentration for each municipality, we used the "weather penalty" concept. This approach considers differences in linear trend coefficients between two generalized additive models. Then, using quantile regression, we estimated the effect of land use types and activities (8 variables related to transportation, energy generation, and land use) on weather-related increases in ambient air pollution. We found that an increase in PM2.5 was associated to recent weather changes in most municipalities (average increase of 0.07µg/m3per year) and a decrease in NO2 in most municipalities (average decrease of 0.0003 ppb per year). O3 and SO2 had more intense increases associated with weather changes in the North region. Our findings suggest the most robust positive associations between weather penalties on PM2.5 and areas with non-clean energy and oil refineries (average increase of 0.006µg/m3per year and 0.04µg/m3per year, respectively). We also found positive associations between Pasture areas, urban areas, and transportation and the weather penalties of this pollutant. In contrast, forest areas were negatively associated with PM2.5 penalties. We also found that oil refineries, urban areas, and transportation significantly positively influenced weather penalties for SO2 and O3. Overall, the study highlights the importance of considering the influence of land use types and activities on weather-related changes in ambient air pollution.

Urban structure types and students' academic performance.

In this study, we propose a novel approach for estimating the relationship between neighborhood characteristics and students' academic performance. We propose the concept of urban morphology by Urban Structure Types (USTs). USTs are spatial indicators that describe the urban system through its physical, environmental, and functional characteristics. Our academic performance data includes 344,175 students from 256 public schools in the Federal District (FD), Brazil. This is student-level academic achievement data from 2017 to 2020. We performed the UST mapping in the FD by using visual interpretation. We classified 21 different types of UST. We fit mixed-effects regression models with a student-specific random intercept and slope. The model was adjusted for temporal factors, SES factors, and variables representing the characteristics and the location of each school. Our findings suggest associations between several types of USTs surrounding schools and academic performance. Overall, areas characterized as low population density, with high green index, and high standard residences were associated with an increase in student performance. In contrast, areas that include old buildings near streets, with significant traffic density, and areas with significant exposed soil (areas devasted) were associated with a decrease in student performance. The results of our study support the creation of effective educational and urban planning policies for local interventions. These interventions are likely to translate into healthier schools and improvements in children's behavioral development and learning performance.

Thermal stress and hospital admissions for cardiorespiratory disease in Brazil.

The growing body of scientific literature underscores the intricate relationship between meteorological conditions and human health, particularly in the context of extreme temperatures. However, conventional temperature-centric approaches often fall short in capturing the complexity of thermal stress experienced by individuals. Temperature alone, as a metric, fails to encompass the entirety of the thermal stress individuals face, necessitating a more nuanced understanding. In response to this limitation, climatologists have devised thermal indices-composite measures meticulously crafted to reflect the intricate interplay of meteorological factors influencing human perception of temperature. Recognizing the inadequacy of simplistic temperature-focused methodologies, our study aims to address the multifaceted nature of thermal stress. In this study, we explored the association between thermal indices and hospital admissions for circulatory and respiratory diseases in Brazil. We used an extensive dataset spanning 11 years (2008-2018) from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, encompassing a total of 23,791,093 hospitalizations for circulatory and respiratory diseases. We considered four distinct thermal indices-Discomfort Index (DI), Net Effective Temperature (NET), Humidex (H), and Heat Index (HI). We used an extension of the two-stage design with a case time series to assess this relationship. In the first stage, we applied a distributed lag non-linear modeling framework to create a cross-basis function. We next applied quasi-Poisson regression models adjusted by time-varying confounders. In the second stage, we applied meta-analysis with random effects to estimate the national relative risk (RR). Our findings suggest robust variations among the thermal indices under examination. These variations underscore the intricate nature of associations between temperature and health, with each index capturing distinct aspects of thermal conditions. Our results indicate that extreme thermal conditions, both at the low and high ends, are associated with increased risks of hospital admissions. The diverse impact observed among different indices emphasizes the complex interplay between various meteorological factors and their specific physiological consequences. This underscores the necessity for a comprehensive comprehension of temperature metrics to guide precise public health interventions, recognizing the multifaceted nature of temperature-health relationships.

Effects of land cover and air pollution on the risk of preterm births.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between gestational age and green areas, urban built areas, and the concentration of particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) in the city of São Paulo, analyzing the irregular distribution of these areas and pollution levels above the recommended level. METHODS: The study population consisted of a cohort of live births from 2012, and data from the Live Birth Information System (Sinasc) of the city of São Paulo were used. Using satellite images and supervised classification, the distribution and quantity of green areas and built areas in the city of São Paulo was obtained, as well as the concentrations of PM2.5. Logistic regressions were used to obtain possible associations. RESULTS: The results of the study show that a lower percentage of green areas is significantly associated with a higher chance of preterm births. A higher building density was positively associated with the odds ratio for preterm birth. We did not find any significant associations between air pollution (PM2.5) and preterm births. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study show that greener areas are less associated with preterm births when compared with less green areas.

Effects of land cover and air pollution on the risk of preterm births / Efeitos da cobertura de solo e poluição do ar no risco de nascimentos prematuros

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association between gestational age and green areas, urban built areas, and the concentration of particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) in the city of São Paulo, analyzing the irregular distribution of these areas and pollution levels above the recommended level. METHODS The study population consisted of a cohort of live births from 2012, and data from the Live Birth Information System (Sinasc) of the city of São Paulo were used. Using satellite images and supervised classification, the distribution and quantity of green areas and built areas in the city of São Paulo was obtained, as well as the concentrations of PM2.5. Logistic regressions were used to obtain possible associations. RESULTS The results of the study show that a lower percentage of green areas is significantly associated with a higher chance of preterm births. A higher building density was positively associated with the odds ratio for preterm birth. We did not find any significant associations between air pollution (PM2.5) and preterm births. CONCLUSIONS The results of this study show that greener areas are less associated with preterm births when compared with less green areas.

RESUMO OBJETIVO Avaliar a associação entre a idade gestacional e as áreas verdes, áreas construídas urbanas e a concentração de material particulado 2,5 (MP2,5) em São Paulo, analisando a distribuição irregular dessas áreas e os níveis de poluição acima do recomendado. MÉTODOS A população utilizada no estudo foi a dos nascidos vivos no ano de 2012, com os dados do Sistema de Informações sobre Nascidos Vivo (Sinasc) na cidade de São Paulo. Por meio de imagens de satélites e realizando a classificação supervisionada, obtivemos a distribuição e quantidade de áreas verdes e de áreas construídas, na cidade de São Paulo, assim como as concentrações de MP2,5. Regressões logísticas foram utilizadas para obter possíveis associações. RESULTADOS Os resultados do estudo mostram que menor percentual de áreas verdes está associado significativamente com maior chance de prematuridade. Maior densidade de construção foi associada positivamente com a razão de chance de nascimento prematuro. Não encontramos resultados significativos entre a poluição do ar (MP2,5) e prematuridade. CONCLUSÕES Os resultados deste estudo demostraram que áreas mais verdes em relação às áreas menos verdes são menos associadas a nascimentos prematuros.

Wildfire exposure and academic performance in Brazil: A causal inference approach for spatiotemporal data.

As the frequency and intensity of wildfires are projected to globally amplify due to climate change, there is a growing need to quantify the impact of exposure to wildfires in vulnerable populations such as adolescents. In our study, we applied rigorous causal inference methods to estimate the effect of wildfire exposure on the academic performance of high school students in Brazil between 2009 and 2015. Using longitudinal data from 8,183 high schools across 1,571 municipalities in Brazil, we estimated that the average performance in most academic subjects decreases under interventions that increase wildfire exposure, e.g., a decrease of 1.8 % (p = 0.01) in the natural sciences when increasing the wildfire density from 0.0035 wildfires/km2 (first quantile in the sample) to 0.0222 wildfires/km2 (third quartile). Furthermore, these effects considerably worsened over time. Our findings highlight the adverse impact of wildfires on educational outcomes.

Short-term exposure to sulfur dioxide and daily mortality in Brazil: A nationwide time-series study between 2003-2017.

Sulfur dioxide (SO2), despite its ubiquitousness, there is relatively less epidemiological evidence regarding the health risks associated with SO2 compared to other pollutants, especially in low-income countries where there are high levels of SO2 emissions. In this study, we estimated the association between ambient SO2 exposure and daily mortality in Brazil over a period of 15 years (2003-2017). We used an extension of the two-stage time-series design in a time-series analytic approach with a distributed lag model. The study population consisted of 2,872,084 death records, with a higher proportion of male deaths observed across all-cause mortality (58%). The majority of the individuals were aged above 65 years. The mean SO2 concentration across the study period was 1.5 µg/m³ (range: 0.0 to 71.0). The national meta-analysis for the whole dataset (without stratification by sex and age) showed an uncertain association, in which a 10 µg/m3 increase in daily SO2 was associated with an RR of mortality of 1.015 (95%CI: 0.992; 1.037). Robust associations were observed only for the subgroup analysis of people 46-65 years old [RR = 1.050 (95%CI: 1.004; 1.096)] and men 46-65 years old [RR = 1.064 (95%CI: 1.005; 1.122)]. We found moderate heterogeneity in the national analysis, with an I2 of 21% for the subgroup of people 46-65 years old. Excess mortality fraction for people between 46 and 65 years old attributable to per 10 µg/m3 increase in SO2 was 2.93% (95% eCI: 0.29%-6.78%). These results highlight the need for targeted air pollution control policies to reduce the health burden of SO2 exposure in Brazil. Further research is needed to fully understand the mechanisms behind the age-specific and regional effects of SO2 on mortality.

Climate Penalty on Air Pollution Abated by Anthropogenic Emission Reductions in the United States.

Climate change poses direct and indirect threats to public health, including exacerbating air pollution. However, how a warmer temperature deteriorates air quality, known as the "climate penalty" effect, remains highly uncertain in the United States, particularly under rapid reduction in anthropogenic emissions. Here we examined the sensitivity of surface-level fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) to summer temperature anomalies in the contiguous US and their decadal changes using high-resolution datasets generated by machine learning models. Our findings demonstrate that, in the eastern US, efficient emission control strategies have significantly reduced the climate penalty effects on PM2.5 and O3, lowering the associated population exposure. In contrast, summer and annual PM2.5 in the western US became more sensitive to temperature, highlighting the urgent need for the management and mitigation of worsening wildfires. Our results have important implications for air quality management and risk assessments of future climate change.

Association of low and high ambient temperature with mortality for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil.

Extreme temperatures are a major public health concern, as they have been linked to an increased risk of mortality from circulatory and respiratory diseases. Brazil, a country with vast geographic and climatic variations, is particularly vulnerable to the health impacts of extreme temperatures. In this study, we examined the nationwide (considering 5572 municipalities) association of low and high ambient temperature (1st and 99th percentiles) with daily mortality for circulatory and respiratory diseases in Brazil between 2003 and 2017. We used an extension of the two-stage time-series design. First, we applied a case time series design in combination with distributed lag non-linear modeling (DLMN) framework to assess the association by Brazilian region. Here, the analyses were stratified by sex, age group (15-45, 46-65, and >65 years), and cause of death (respiratory and circulatory mortality). In the second stage, we performed a meta-analysis to estimate pooled effects across the Brazilian regions. Our study population included 1,071,090 death records due to cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil over the study period. We found increased risk of respiratory and circulatory mortality associated with low and high ambient temperatures. The pooled national results for the whole population (all ages and sex) suggest a relative risk (RR) of 1.27 (95% CI: 1.16; 1.37) and 1.11 (95% CI: 1.01; 1.21) associated with circulatory mortality during cold and heat exposure, respectively. For respiratory mortality, we estimated a RR of 1.16 (95% CI: 1.08; 1.25) during cold exposure and a RR of 1.14 (95% CI: 0.99; 1.28) during heat exposure. The national meta-analysis indicated robust positive associations for circulatory mortality on cold days across several subgroups by sex and age, while only a few subgroups presented robust positive associations for circulatory mortality on warm days and respiratory mortality on both cold and warm days. These findings have important public health implications for Brazil and suggest the need for targeted interventions to mitigate the adverse effects of extreme temperatures on human health.

Association of high ambient temperature with daily hospitalization for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil: A national time-series study between 2008 and 2018.

Further research is needed to examine the nationwide impact of temperature on health in Brazil, a region with particular challenges related to climate conditions, environmental characteristics, and health equity. To address this gap, in this study, we looked at the relationship between high ambient temperature and hospital admissions for circulatory and respiratory diseases in 5572 Brazilian municipalities between 2008 and 2018. We used an extension of the two-stage design with a case time series to assess this relationship. In the first stage, we applied a distributed lag non-linear modeling framework to create a cross-basis function. We next applied quasi-Poisson regression models adjusted by PM2.5, O3, relative humidity, and time-varying confounders. We estimated relative risks (RRs) of the association of heat (percentile 99th) with hospitalization for circulatory and respiratory diseases by sex, age group, and Brazilian regions. In the second stage, we applied meta-analysis with random effects to estimate the national RR. Our study population includes 23,791,093 hospital admissions for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil between 2008 and 2018. Among those, 53.1% are respiratory diseases, and 46.9% are circulatory diseases. The robustness of the RR and the effect size varied significantly by region, sex, age group, and health outcome. Overall, our findings suggest that i) respiratory admissions had the highest RR, while circulatory admissions had inconsistent or null RR in several subgroup analyses; ii) there was a large difference in the cumulative risk ratio across regions; and iii) overall, women and the elderly population experienced the greatest impact from heat exposure. The pooled national results for the whole population (all ages and sex) suggest a relative risk of 1.29 (95% CI: 1.26; 1.32) associated with respiratory admissions. In contrast, national meta-analysis for circulatory admissions suggested robust positive associations only for people aged 15-45, 46-65, >65 years old; for men aged 15-45 years old; and women aged 15-45 and 46-65 years old. Our findings are essential for the body of scientific evidence that has assisted policymakers to promote health equity and to create adaptive measures and mitigations.

Low ambient temperature and hospitalization for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil.

Studies have shown that larger temperature-related health impacts may be associated with cold rather than with hot temperatures. Although it remains unclear the cold-related health burden in warmer regions, in particular at the national level in Brazil. We address this gap by examining the association between low ambient temperature and daily hospital admissions for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in Brazil between 2008 and 2018. We first applied a case time series design in combination with distributed lag non-linear modeling (DLNM) framework to assess the association of low ambient temperature with daily hospital admissions by Brazilian region. Here, we also stratified the analyses by sex, age group (15-45, 46-65, and >65 years), and cause (respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions). In the second stage, we performed a meta-analysis to estimate pooled effects across the Brazilian regions. Our sample included more than 23 million hospitalizations for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases nationwide between 2008 and 2018, of which 53% were admissions for respiratory diseases and 47% for cardiovascular diseases. Our findings suggest that low temperatures are associated with a relative risk of 1.17 (95% CI: 1.07; 1.27) and 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01; 1.14) for cardiovascular and respiratory admissions in Brazil, respectively. The pooled national results indicate robust positive associations for cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions in most of the subgroup analyses. In particular, for cardiovascular hospital admissions, men and older adults (>65 years old) were slightly more impacted by cold exposure. For respiratory admissions, the results did not indicate differences among the population groups by sex and age. This study can help decision-makers to create adaptive measures to protect public health from the effects of cold temperature.