Intraperitoneal versus intranasal administration of lipopolysaccharide in causing sepsis severity in a murine model: a preliminary comparison.

Community-acquired respiratory infection is the commonest cause of sepsis presenting to emergency departments. Yet current experimental animal models simulate peritoneal sepsis with intraperitoneal (I.P.) injection of lipopolysaccharide (LPS) as the predominant route. We aimed to compare the progression of organ injury between I.P. LPS and intranasal (I.N.) LPS in order to establish a better endotoxemia murine model of respiratory sepsis. Eight weeks old male BALB/c mice received LPS-Escherichia coli doses at 0.15, 1, 10, 20, 40 and 100 mg per kg body weight (e.g. LPS-10 is a dose of 10 mg/kg body weight). Disease severity was monitored by a modified Mouse Clinical Assessment Score for Sepsis (M-CASS; range 0-21). A M-CASS score ≥ 10 or a weight reduction of ≥ 20%, was used as a criterion for euthanasia. The primary outcome was the survival rate (either no death or no need for euthanasia). The progression of disease was specified as M-CASS, body weight, blood glucose, histopathological changes to lung, liver, spleen, kidney, brain and heart tissues. Survival rate in I.P. LPS-20 mice was 0% (2/3 died; 1/3 euthanized with M-CASS > 10) at 24 h. Survival rate in all doses of I.N. LPS was 100% (20/20; 3-4 per group) at 96 h. 24 h mean M-CASS post-I.P. LPS-10 was 6.4/21 significantly higher than I.N. LPS-10 of 1.7/21 (Unpaired t test, P < 0.05). Organ injury was present at 96 h in the I.P. LPS-10 group: lung (3/3; 100%), spleen (3/3; 100%) and liver (1/3; 33%). At 24 h in the I.P. LPS-20 group, kidney injury was observed in the euthanized mouse. At 96 h in the post-I.N. LPS-20 group, only lung injury was observed in 2/3 (67%) mice (Kruskal-Wallis test with Dunn's, P < 0.01). At 24 h in the post-I.N. LPS-100 group all (4/4) mice had evidence of lung injury. Variable doses of I.N. LPS in mice produced lung injury but did not produce sepsis. Higher doses of I.P. LPS induced multi-organ injury but not respiratory sepsis. Lethal models of respiratory virus, e.g., influenza A, might provide alternative avenues that can be explored in future research.

An appraisal of studies using mouse models to assist the biomarker discovery for sepsis prognosis.

Introduction: Clinicians need reliable outcome predictors to improve the prognosis of septic patients. Mouse models are widely used in sepsis research. We aimed to review how mouse models were used to search for novel prognostic biomarkers of sepsis in order to optimize their use for future biomarker discovery. Methods: We searched PubMed from 2012 to July 2022 using "((sepsis) AND (mice)) AND ((prognosis) OR (prognostic biomarker))". Results: A total of 412 publications were retrieved. We selected those studies in which mouse sepsis was used to demonstrate prognostic potential of biomarker candidates and/or assist the subsequent evaluation in human sepsis for further appraisal. The most frequent models were lipopolysaccharide (LPS) injection and caecal ligation and puncture (CLP) using young male mice. Discovery technologies applied on mice include setting survival and nonsurvivable groups, detecting changes of biomarker levels and measuring physiological parameters during sepsis. None of the biomarkers achieved sufficient clinical performance for clinical use. Conclusions: The number of studies and strategies using mouse models to discover prognostic biomarkers of sepsis are limited. Current mouse models need to be further optimized to better conform to human sepsis. Current biomarker platforms do not achieve predictive performance for clinical use.

Association between the pharmacological treatment of bipolar disorder and risk of traumatic injuries: a self-controlled case series study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with bipolar disorder (BPD) are prone to engage in risk-taking behaviours and self-harm, contributing to higher risk of traumatic injuries requiring medical attention at the emergency room (ER).We hypothesize that pharmacological treatment of BPD could reduce the risk of traumatic injuries by alleviating symptoms but evidence remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the association between pharmacological treatment and the risk of ER admissions due to traumatic injuries. METHODS: Individuals with BPD who received mood stabilizers and/or antipsychotics were identified using a population-based electronic healthcare records database in Hong Kong (2001-2019). A self-controlled case series design was applied to control for time-invariant confounders. RESULTS: A total of 5040 out of 14 021 adults with BPD who received pharmacological treatment and had incident ER admissions due to traumatic injuries from 2001 to 2019 were included. An increased risk of traumatic injuries was found 30 days before treatment [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 4.44 (3.71-5.31), p < 0.0001]. After treatment initiation, the risk remained increased with a smaller magnitude, before returning to baseline [IRR 0.97 (0.88-1.06), p = 0.50] during maintenance treatment. The direct comparison of the risk during treatment to that before and after treatment showed a significant decrease. After treatment cessation, the risk was increased [IRR 1.34 (1.09-1.66), p = 0.006]. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports the hypothesis that pharmacological treatment of BPD was associated with a lower risk of ER admissions due to traumatic injuries but an increased risk after treatment cessation. Close monitoring of symptoms relapse is recommended to clinicians and patients if treatment cessation is warranted.

Comparison of the prognostic performance of the CURB-65 and a modified version of the pneumonia severity index designed to identify high-risk patients using the International Community-Acquired Pneumonia Collaboration Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Although the PSI and CURB-65 represent well-validated prediction rules for pneumonia prognosis, PSI was designed to identify patients at low risk and CURB- 65 patients at high risk of mortality. We compared the prognostic performance of a modified version of the PSI designed to identify high-risk patients (i.e., PSI-HR) to CURB-65 in predicting short-term mortality. METHODS: Using data from 6 pneumonia cohorts, we designed PSI-HR as a 6-class prediction rule using the original prognostic weights of all PSI variables and modifying the risk score thresholds to define risk classes. We calculated the proportion of low-risk and high-risk patients using CURB-65 and PSI-HR and 30-day mortality in these subgroups. We compared the rules' sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values for mortality at all risk class thresholds and assessed discriminatory power using areas under their receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). RESULTS: Among 13,874 patients with pneumonia, 1,036 (7.5%) died. For PSI-HR versus CURB-65, aggregate mortality was lower in low-risk patients (1.6% vs. 2.2%, p = 0.005) and higher in high-risk patients (36.5% vs. 32.2%, p = 0.27). PSI-HR had higher sensitivities than CURB-65 at all thresholds; PSI-HR also had higher specificities at the 3 lowest thresholds and specificities within 0.5% points of CURB-65 at the 2 highest thresholds. The AUROC was larger for PSI-HR than CURB- 65 (0.82 vs. 0.77, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: PSI-HR demonstrated superior prognostic accuracy to CURB-65 at the lower end of the severity spectrum and identified high-risk patients with nonsignificant higher short-term mortality at the higher end.

Impact of varying wave periods of COVID-19 on in-hospital mortality and length of stay for admission through emergency department: A territory-wide observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with excess mortality and reduced emergency department attendance. However, the effect of varying wave periods of COVID-19 on in-hospital mortality and length of stay (LOS) for non-COVID disease for non-COVID diseases remains unexplored. METHODS: We examined a territory-wide observational cohort of 563,680 emergency admissions between January 1 and November 30, 2020, and 709,583 emergency admissions during the same 2019 period in Hong Kong, China. Differences in 28-day in-hospital mortality risk and LOS due to COVID-19 were evaluated. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of 28-day in-hospital mortality increased overall from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.6% in 2020 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.22, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.25). The aHR was higher among patients with lower respiratory tract infection (aHR: 1.30 95% CI 1.26 to 1.34), airway disease (aHR: 1.35 95% CI 1.22 to 1.49), and mental disorders (aHR: 1.26 95% CI 1.15 to 1.37). Mortality risk in the first- and third-wave periods was significantly greater than that in the inter-wave period (p-interaction < 0.001). The overall average LOS in the pandemic year was significantly shorter than that in 2019 (Mean difference = -0.40 days; 95% CI -0.43 to -0.36). Patients with mental disorders and cerebrovascular disease in 2020 had a 3.91-day and 2.78-day shorter LOS than those in 2019, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Increased risk of in-hospital deaths was observed overall and by all major subgroups of disease during the pandemic period. Together with significantly reduced LOS for patients with mental disorders and cerebrovascular disease, this study shows the spillover effect of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Seven-year excess mortality, functional outcome and health status after trauma in Hong Kong.

PURPOSE: The purpose was to investigate long-term health impacts of trauma and the aim was to describe the functional outcome and health status up to 7 years after trauma. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, multi-centre cohort study of adult trauma patients admitted to three regional trauma centres with moderate or major trauma (ISS ≥ 9) in Hong Kong (HK). Patients were followed up at regular time points (1, 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 years) by telephone using extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) and the Short-Form 36 (SF36). Observed annual mortality rate was compared with the expected mortality rate estimated using the HK population cohort. Linear mixed model (LMM) analyses examined the changes in SF36 with subgroups of age ≥ 65 years, ISS > 15, and GOSE ≥ 5 over time. RESULTS: At 7 years, 115 patients had died and 48% (138/285) of the survivors responded. The annual mortality rate (AMR) of the trauma cohort was consistently higher than the expected mortality rate from the general population. Forty-one percent of respondents had upper good recovery (GOSE = 8) at 7 years. Seven-year mean PCS and MCS were 45.06 and 52.06, respectively. LMM showed PCS improved over time in patients aged < 65 years and with baseline GOSE ≥ 5, and the MCS improved over time with baseline GOSE ≥ 5. Higher mortality rate, limited functional recovery and worse physical health status persisted up to 7 years post-injury. CONCLUSION: Long-term mortality and morbidity should be monitored for Asian trauma centre patients to understand the impact of trauma beyond hospital discharge.

Changes in Emergency Department Visits, Diagnostic Groups, and 28-Day Mortality Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Territory-Wide, Retrospective, Cohort Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate and characterize the scale and relationships of emergency department (ED) visits and excess mortality associated with the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the territory of Hong Kong. METHODS: We conducted a territory-wide, retrospective cohort study to compare ED visits and the related impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality. All ED visits at 18 public acute hospitals in Hong Kong between January 1 and August 31 of 2019 (n=1,426,259) and 2020 (n=1,035,562) were included. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality in the 28 days following an ED visit. The secondary outcomes were weekly number of ED visits and diagnosis-specific mortality. RESULTS: ED visits decreased by 27.4%, from 1,426,259 in 2019 to 1,035,562 in 2020. Overall period mortality increased from 28,686 (2.0%) in 2019 to 29,737 (2.9%) in 2020. The adjusted odds ratio for 28-day, all-cause mortality in the pandemic period of 2020 relative to 2019 was 1.26 (95% confidence interval 1.24 to 1.28). Both sexes, age more than 45 years, all triage categories, all social classes, all ED visit periods, epilepsy (odds ratio 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.20 to 2.07), lower respiratory tract infection, and airway disease had higher adjusted ORs for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: A significant reduction in ED visits in the first 8 months of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with an increase in deaths certified in the ED. The government must make provisions to encourage patients with alarming symptoms, mental health conditions, and comorbidities to seek timely emergency care, regardless of the pandemic.

Comparison of the Efficiency and Usability of Aerosol Box and Intubation Tent on Intubation of a Manikin Using Personal Protective Equipment: A Randomized Crossover Study.

BACKGROUND: The aerosol box and intubation tent are improvised barrier-enclosure devices developed during the novel coronavirus pandemic to protect health care workers from aerosol transmission. OBJECTIVE: Using time to intubation as a crude proxy, we aimed to compare the efficiency and usability of the aerosol box and intubation tent in a simulated manikin. METHODS: This was a single-center, randomized, crossover manikin study involving 28 participants (9 anesthetists, 16 emergency physicians, and 3 intensivists). Each participant performed rapid sequence intubations in a random sequence of three different scenarios: 1) no device use; 2) aerosol box; 3) intubation tent. We compared the time to intubation between different scenarios. RESULTS: The median total intubation time with no device use, aerosol box, and intubation tent were 23.7 s (interquartile range [IQR] 19.4-28.4 s), 30.9 s (IQR 24.1-52.5 s), and 26.0 s (IQR 22.1-30.8 s), respectively. Post hoc analysis showed a significantly longer intubation time using the aerosol box compared with no device use (p < 0.001) and compared with the intubation tent (p < 0.001). The difference between the intubation tent and no device use was not significant. The first-pass intubation success rate did not differ between the groups. Only aerosol box use had resulted in breaches of personal protective equipment. Participants considered intubation with the intubation tent more favorable than the aerosol box. CONCLUSIONS: The intubation tent seems to have a better barrier-enclosure design than the aerosol box, with a reasonable balance between efficiency and usability. Further evaluation of its efficacy in preventing aerosol dispersal and in human studies are warranted prior to recommendation of widespread adoption.

Derivation of a prediction model for emergency department acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Quality management of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) is dependent on early detection, which is currently deemed to be suboptimal. The aim of this study was to identify combinations of variables associated with AKI and to derive a prediction tool for detecting patients attending the emergency department (ED) or hospital with AKI (ED-AKI). DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS AND MEASUREMENTS: This retrospective observational study was conducted in the ED of a tertiary university hospital in Wales. Between April and August 2016 20,421 adult patients attended the ED of a University Hospital in Wales and had a serum creatinine measurement. Using an electronic AKI reporting system, 548 incident adult ED-AKI patients were identified and compared to a randomly selected cohort of adult non-AKI ED patients (n = 571). A prediction model for AKI was derived and subsequently internally validated using bootstrapping. The primary outcome measure was the number of patients with ED-AKI. RESULTS: In 1119 subjects, 27 variables were evaluated. Four ED-AKI models were generated with C-statistics ranging from 0.800 to 0.765. The simplest and most practical multivariate model (model 3) included eight variables that could all be assessed at ED arrival. A 31-point score was derived where 0 is minimal risk of ED-AKI. The model discrimination was adequate (C-statistic 0.793) and calibration was good (Hosmer & Lomeshow test 27.4). ED-AKI could be ruled out with a score of <2.5 (sensitivity 95%). Internal validation using bootstrapping yielded an optimal Youden index of 0.49 with sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 68%. CONCLUSION: A risk-stratification model for ED-AKI has been derived and internally validated. The discrimination of this model is objective and adequate. It requires refinement and external validation in more generalisable settings.

Machine learning-based models to support decision-making in emergency department triage for patients with suspected cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Accurate differentiation and prioritization in emergency department (ED) triage is important to identify high-risk patients and to efficiently allocate of finite resources. Using data available from patients with suspected cardiovascular disease presenting at ED triage, this study aimed to train and compare the performance of four common machine learning models to assist in decision making of triage levels. METHODS: This cross-sectional study in the second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University was conducted from August 2015 to December 2018 inclusive. Demographic information, vital signs, blood glucose, and other available triage scores were collected. Four machine learning models - multinomial logistic regression (multinomial LR), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF) and gradient-boosted decision tree (GBDT) - were compared. For each model, 80 % of the data set was used for training and 20 % was used to test the models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy and macro- F1 were calculated for each model. RESULTS: In 17,661 patients presenting with suspected cardiovascular disease, the distribution of triage of level 1, level 2, level 3 and level 4 were 1.3 %, 18.6 %, 76.5 %, and 3.6 % respectively. The AUCs were: XGBoost (0.937), GBDT (0.921), RF (0.919) and multinomial LR (0.908). Based on feature importance generated by XGBoost, blood pressure, pulse rate, oxygen saturation, and age were the most significant variables for making decisions at triage. CONCLUSION: Four machine learning models had good discriminative ability of triage. XGBoost demonstrated a slight advantage over other models. These models could be used for differential triage of low-risk patients and high-risk patients as a strategy to improve efficiency and allocation of finite resources.

Epidemiology of emergency department acute kidney injury.

AIM: The epidemiology of acute kidney injury (AKI) diagnosed in the emergency department (ED) is poorly described. This study describes the incidence, demographics and outcomes of patients diagnosed with AKI in the ED (ED-AKI). METHODS: A prospective cohort study was completed in a University Teaching Hospital, (UK) between April and August 2016. In total, 20 421 adult patients attended the ED and had a serum creatinine measurement. The incident ED-AKI patient episodes were compared with a randomly selected cohort of non-AKI ED patients. RESULTS: A total of 572 patients had confirmed eAlert ED-AKI (548 incident cases), incidence 2.8% (of all ED attendances). ED-AKI was associated with a 24.4% in-patient mortality (non-AKI 3.2%, P < .001) of which 22.3% of deaths occurred within 24 hours and 58% within 7 days. Progression of the admission AKI stage to a higher AKI stage was associated with a 38.8% mortality compared with a 21.4% mortality in those who did not progress (P < .001). In multivariate analysis, ED-AKI was an independent risk for mortality (hazard ratio, 6.293; 95% confidence interval, 1.887-20.790, P = .003). For those discharged from hospital, 20.4% of ED-AKI patients re-attend for acute assessment within 30-days post-discharge (non-AKI 7.6%, P < .001). At 90-days post-discharge, 10.0% of ED-AKI patients died (non-AKI 1.4%, P < .001). Twelve months post-discharge 17.8% of ED-AKI patients developed CKD progression or de-novo CKD (non-AKI 6.0%). CONCLUSION: The ED-AKI is an independent predictor of death. Mortality is predominantly in the early stages of hospital admission, but for those who survive to discharge have significant long-term morbidity and mortality.

Derivation of a Prediction Rule for Unfavorable Outcome after Ischemic Stroke in the Chinese Population.

BACKGROUND: Efficient assessment of patients after ischemic stroke has important reference value for doctors to choose appropriate treatment for patients. Our study aimed to develop a new prognostic model for predicting outcomes 3 months after ischemic stroke among Chinese Population. METHODS: A prospective observational cohort study among ischemic stroke patients presenting to Emergency Department in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University was conducted from May 2012 to June 2013. Demographic data of ischemic stroke patients, assessment of NIHSS and laboratory results were collected. Based on 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ischemic stroke patients were divided into either favorable outcome (mRS: 0-2) or unfavorable outcome groups (mRS: 3-6). The variables closely associated with prognosis of ischemic stroke were selected to develop the new prognostic model (NAAP) consisted of 4 parameters: NIHSS, age, atrial fibrillation, and prealbumin. The prognostic value of the modified prognostic model was then compared with NIHSS alone. RESULTS: A total of 454 patients with suspected stroke were recruited. One hundred eighty-six patients with ischemic stroke were included in the final analysis. A new prognostic model, NAAP was developed. The area under curve (AUC) of NAAP was .861 (95%confidence interval: .803-.907), whilst the AUC of NIHSS was .783 (95%CI: .717-.840), (P = .0048). Decision curve analysis showed that NAAP had a higher net benefit for threshold probabilities of 65% for predictive risk of poor outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The modified prognostic model, NAAP may be a better prognostic tool for predicting 3-month unfavorable outcomes for ischemic stroke than NIHSS alone.

Performance of automated external defibrillators under conditions of in-flight turbulence.

INTRODUCTION: Modern automated external defibrillators (AEDs) are designed to prevent shock delivery when excessive motion produces rhythm disturbances mimicking ventricular fibrillation (VF). This has been reported as a safety issue in airline operations, where turbulent motion is commonplace. We aimed to evaluate whether all seven AEDs can deliver shock appropriately in a flight simulator under turbulent conditions. METHODS: The study was performed in a Boeing 747-400 full motion flight simulator in Hong Kong. An advanced life support manikin and arrhythmia generator were used to produce sinus rhythm (SR), asystole, and five amplitudes of VF, with a programmed change to SR in the event of an effective shock being delivered. All rhythms were tested at rest (no turbulence) and at four levels of motion (ground taxi vibration, and mild, moderate and severe in-flight turbulence). Success was defined as: 1. effective shock being delivered where the rhythm was VF successfully converted to SR; 2. no inappropriate shock being delivered for asystole or SR. RESULTS: Five AEDs produced acceptable results at all levels of turbulence. Another was satisfactory for VF except at very fine amplitudes. One model was deemed unsatisfactory for in-flight use as its motion detector inhibited shocks at all levels of turbulence. CONCLUSION: Some AEDs designed primarily for ground use may not perform well under turbulent in-flight conditions. AEDs for possible in-flight or other non-terrestrial use should be fully evaluated by manufacturers or end-users before introduction to service.

Comparison of outcomes in emergency department patients with suspected cardiac chest pain: two-centre prospective observational study in Southern China.

BACKGROUND: Hong Kong (HK) and Guangzhou (GZ) are cities in China with different healthcare systems. This study aimed to compare 30-day and 6-month mortality and characteristics of patients with suspected cardiac chest pain admitted to two emergency departments (ED) in HK and GZ. METHODS: A prospective observational study enrolled patients with suspected cardiac chest pain presenting to EDs in the Prince of Wales Hospital (PWH), HK and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University (AHGZMU),GZ. The primary outcome was 30-day and 6-month mortality. RESULTS: In total, 996 patients were recruited, 407 cases from GZ and 589 cases from HK.The 30-day and 6-month mortality of chest patients were 3.7% and 4.7% in GZand 0.3% and 1.9% in HK, respectively. Serum creatinine level (Cr) was an independent factor for 30-day mortality whilst Cr and systolic blood pressure (SBP) were independent factors for 6-month mortality. In Cox regression analysis, unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios for 30-day and 6-month mortality in GZ were significantly increased. CONCLUSION: The 30-day and 6-month mortality of patients with suspected cardiac chest pain in Guangzhou were higher than in Hong Kong due to due to different baseline clinical characteristics of patients and different distributions of diagnoses, which were associated with different healthcare systems. Serum creatinine and SBP were independent factors for 30-day and 6-month mortality.

Oral paracetamol and/or ibuprofen for treating pain after soft tissue injuries: Single centre double-blind, randomised controlled clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Soft tissue injuries commonly present to the emergency department (ED), often with acute pain. They cause significant suffering and morbidity if not adequately treated. Paracetamol and ibuprofen are commonly used analgesics, but it remains unknown if either one or the combination of both is superior for pain control. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the analgesic effect of paracetamol, ibuprofen and the combination of both in the treatment of soft tissue injury in an ED, and the side effect profile of these drugs. METHODS: Double-blind, double dummy, placebo-controlled randomised controlled trial. 782 adult patients presenting with soft tissue injury without obvious fractures attending the ED of a university hospital in the New Territories of Hong Kong were recruited. Patients were randomised using a random number table into three parallel arms of paracetamol only, ibuprofen only and a combination of paracetamol and ibuprofen in a 1:1:1 ratio. The primary outcome measure was pain score at rest and on activity in the first 2 hours and first 3 days. Data was analysed on an intention to treat basis. RESULTS: There was no statistically significant difference in pain score in the initial two hours between the three groups, and no clinically significant difference in pain score in the first three days. CONCLUSION: There was no difference in analgesic effects or side effects observed using oral paracetamol, ibuprofen or a combination of both in patients with mild to moderate pain after soft tissue injuries attending the ED. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (no. NCT00528658).

Concussion assessment in the emergency department: a preliminary study for a quality improvement project.

BACKGROUND: In sport, concussion is assessed using the Sports Concussion Assessment Tool (SCAT) 5 and managed with return to play guidelines. Similar, user-friendly tools are rarely, if ever, used in the emergency department (ED). OBJECTIVES: To evaluate a modified concussion assessment tool designed for the ED (ED-CAT) in patients presenting with a head injury and to identify variables that predict 30-day reattendance. METHODS: A preliminary, prospective, evaluation in a quality improvement project was conducted in one hospital in South Wales. Patients were recruited if they were over 13 years, and either did not have an ED-CT head scan or had a scan with no acute changes. The primary outcome was 30-day reattendance. RESULTS: 40 patients were recruited, 18 of whom had a CT scan. 37 were discharged on the same day with advice, two discharged the next day and one was admitted. Three (7.5%) patients reattended the department. Predictors of reattendance were headache score (median 3.0 vs 5.0; p<0.05), pressure in head score (2.0 vs 5.0; p<0.05), nausea/vomiting score (1.0 vs 3.0; p<0.05), dizziness score (1.0 vs 4.0; p<0.05), blurred vision score (0 vs 4.0; p<0.01), balance problems score (0 vs 4.0; p<0.05), sensitivity to light and confusion score (0 vs 4.0; p<0.01), orientation score (1. 0 vs 0; p<0.05) and immediate memory score (5.0 vs 4.0; p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Key symptoms and signs predicted 30-day reattendance. The ED-CAT requires validation and refinement in a larger population to produce a short, practical, user-friendly, relevant tool for ED head injury assessment.

Gestalt for shock and mortality in the emergency department: A prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: The diagnosis of shock in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) is often challenging. We aimed to compare the accuracy of experienced emergency physician gestalt against Li's pragmatic shock (LiPS) tool for predicting the likelihood of shock in the emergency department, using 30-day mortality as an objective standard. METHOD: In a prospective observational study conducted in an urban, academic ED in Hong Kong, adult patients aged 18years or older admitted to the resuscitation room or high dependency unit were recruited. Eligible patients had a standard ED workup for shock. The emergency physician treating the patient was asked whether he or she considered shock to be probable, and this was compared with LiPS. The proxy 'gold' or reference standard was 30-day mortality. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was used to predict prognosis. The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 220 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis. The AUROC for LiPS (0.722; sensitivity=0.733, specificity=0.711, P<0.0001) was greater than emergency physician gestalt (0.620, sensitivity=0.467, specificity=0.774, P=0.0137) for diagnosing shock using 30-day mortality as a proxy (difference P=0.0229). LiPS shock patients were 6.750 times (95%CI=2.834-16.076, P<0.0001) more likely to die within 30-days compared with non-shock patients. Patients diagnosed by emergency physicians were 2.991 times (95%CI=1.353-6.615, P=0.007) more likely to die compared with the same reference. CONCLUSIONS: LiPS has a higher diagnostic accuracy than emergency physician gestalt for shock when compared against an outcome of 30-day mortality.

The normal ranges of cardiovascular parameters measured using the ultrasonic cardiac output monitor.

The ultrasonic cardiac output monitor (USCOM) is a noninvasive transcutaneous continuous wave Doppler method for assessing hemodynamics. There are no published reference ranges for normal values in adults (aged 18-60 years) for this device. This study aimed to (1) measure cardiovascular indices using USCOM in healthy adults aged 18-60 years; (2) combine these data with those for healthy children (aged 0-12), adolescents (aged 12-18), and the elderly (aged over 60) from our previously published studies in order to present normal ranges for all ages, and (3) establish normal ranges of USCOM-derived variables according to both weight and age. This was a population-based cross-sectional observational study of healthy Chinese subjects aged 0.5-89 years in Hong Kong. USCOM scans were performed on all subjects, to produce measurements including stroke volume, cardiac output, and systemic vascular resistance. Data from previously published studies (children, adolescents, and the elderly) were included. Normal ranges were defined as lying between the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles. A total of 2218 subjects were studied (mean age = 16.4, range = 0.5-89; 52% male). From previous studies, 1197 children (aged 0-12, 55% male), 590 adolescents (aged 12-18, 49% male), and 77 elderly (aged 60-89, 55% male) were included. New data were collected from 354 adults aged 18-60 (47% male). Normal ranges are presented according to age and weight. We present comprehensive normal ranges for hemodynamic parameters obtained with USCOM in healthy subjects of all ages from infancy to the elderly.

Acute appendicitis in adults: Diagnostic accuracy of emergency doctors in a university hospital in Hong Kong.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of ED doctors with variable training levels in detecting acute appendicitis, without access to advanced imaging in admitted patients with acute abdominal pain in a university hospital of Hong Kong. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on data collected from prospectively identified patients presenting to the ED with acute abdominal pain and admitted to either a surgical or emergency medical ward between December 2011 and October 2012. Their ED diagnoses with regard to acute appendicitis status were compared with their final diagnoses on discharge from hospital. The gold standard was a histopathological diagnosis of acute appendicitis. The diagnostic accuracy was compared against that generally achieved by computed tomography (CT) scanning in other studies (93-98%), the best diagnostic test currently available for acute appendicitis. A good diagnostic test should have an overall accuracy rate of at least 95%. RESULTS: A total of 1653 patients were included in the study. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of ED physicians' diagnosis of acute appendicitis were 81% (73-87%), 84% (82-86%), 31% (28-34%) and 98% (97-99%), respectively, giving an overall diagnostic accuracy of 84% (82-85%). The overall accuracy for separate female and male cohorts were 79% (76-82%) and 89% (83-91%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnostic accuracy of emergency doctors with variable training levels and no access to advanced imaging in a Hong Kong hospital in detecting appendicitis in patients with acute abdominal pain is higher in male patients than in female patients, but lower than that achieved by CT scanning.