Accurate, Robust, and Scalable Machine Abstraction of Mayo Endoscopic Subscores From Colonoscopy Reports.

BACKGROUND: The Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) is an important quantitative measure of disease activity in ulcerative colitis. Colonoscopy reports in routine clinical care usually characterize ulcerative colitis disease activity using free text description, limiting their utility for clinical research and quality improvement. We sought to develop algorithms to classify colonoscopy reports according to their MES. METHODS: We annotated 500 colonoscopy reports from 2 health systems. We trained and evaluated 4 classes of algorithms. Our primary outcome was accuracy in identifying scorable reports (binary) and assigning an MES (ordinal). Secondary outcomes included learning efficiency, generalizability, and fairness. RESULTS: Automated machine learning models achieved 98% and 97% accuracy on the binary and ordinal prediction tasks, outperforming other models. Binary models trained on the University of California, San Francisco data alone maintained accuracy (96%) on validation data from Zuckerberg San Francisco General. When using 80% of the training data, models remained accurate for the binary task (97% [n = 320]) but lost accuracy on the ordinal task (67% [n = 194]). We found no evidence of bias by gender (P = .65) or area deprivation index (P = .80). CONCLUSIONS: We derived a highly accurate pair of models capable of classifying reports by their MES and recognizing when to abstain from prediction. Our models were generalizable on outside institution validation. There was no evidence of algorithmic bias. Our methods have the potential to enable retrospective studies of treatment effectiveness, prospective identification of patients meeting study criteria, and quality improvement efforts in inflammatory bowel diseases.

Our accurate pair of models automatically classify colonoscopy reports by Mayo endoscopic subscore and abstain from prediction appropriately. Our methods can enable large-scale electronic health record studies of treatment effectiveness, prospective identification of patients for clinical trials, and quality improvement efforts in ulcerative colitis.

Evolution of Breast Cancer Recurrence Risk Prediction: A Systematic Review of Statistical and Machine Learning-Based Models.

PURPOSE: Selection of appropriate adjuvant therapy to ultimately reduce the risk of breast cancer (BC) recurrence is a challenge for medical oncologists. Several automated risk prediction models have been developed using retrospective clinical data and have evolved significantly over the years in terms of predictors of recurrence, data usage, and predictive techniques (statistical/machine learning [ML]). METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, we performed a systematic literature review of the aforementioned statistical and ML models published between January 2008 and December 2022 through searching five digital databases-PubMed, ScienceDirect, Scopus, Cochrane, and Web of Science. The comprehensive search yielded a total of 163 papers and after a screening process focusing on papers that dealt exclusively with statistical/ML methods, only 23 papers were deemed appropriate for further analysis. We benchmarked the studies on the basis of development, evaluation metrics, and validation strategy with an added emphasis on racial diversity of patients included in the studies. RESULTS: In total, 30.4% of the included studies use statistical techniques, while 69.6% are ML-based. Among these, traditional ML models (support vector machines, decision tree, logistic regression, and naïve Bayes) are the most frequently used (26.1%) along with deep learning (26.1%). Deep learning and ensemble learning provide the most accurate predictions (AUC = 0.94 each). CONCLUSION: ML-based prediction models exhibit outstanding performance, yet their practical applicability might be hindered by limited interpretability and reduced generalization. Moreover, predictive models for BC recurrence often focus on limited variables related to tumor, treatment, molecular, and clinical features. Imbalanced classes and the lack of open-source data sets impede model development and validation. Furthermore, existing models predominantly overlook African and Middle Eastern populations, as they are trained and validated mainly on Caucasian and Asian patients.

Penetrating Abdominal Trauma: Descriptive Analysis of a Case Series From an Indian Metropolitan City.

Introduction Penetrating abdominal trauma (PAT) is a major injury that patients present to the emergency department in developed and developing countries. There are many modes and causes of injury. The aim of this study is to analyse the patterns of presentation and parameters at assessment, including investigations, interventions and outcomes of penetrating abdominal trauma at a major trauma centre in an Indian metropolitan city. Methods This is an observational descriptive study done over 18 months at a major trauma centre in a metropolitan city in India. The study was registered with the institutional ethics committee and the patients were recruited after obtaining consent on admission. The relevant details were collected from the patient's electronic records after admission and analysed. Results Stab wounds in the 21-40-year-old subset were the commonest. The small intestine was the most commonly injured organ. The mortality rates and the duration of the hospital stay were similar to other case series of the same condition. Conclusion The analysis of our case series has highlighted the patterns and outcomes of penetrating abdominal trauma in an urban demographic of a developing economy. Individuals in the prime of their lives, unfortunately, are victims of this mode of injury. Better implementation of standard management protocols can improve outcomes.