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2.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 4594, 2023 03 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36944714

RESUMO

Adolescent girls and young women in low- to middle-income countries are disproportionately at risk of becoming HIV-1 infected. New non-vaccine biomedical products aimed at overcoming this global health challenge need to provide a range of safe, effective, and discreet dosage forms based on the delivery of one or more antiviral compounds. An overarching strategy involves vaginal drug administration through inserts/tablets, gels, films, and intravaginal rings. The approach derives its appeal from being women-controlled and topical, there-by potentially minimizing systemic exposure to the agents and their metabolites. Oral regimens based on tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and emtricitabine (FTC) are established and effective in HIV-1 pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), and form a promising basis for vaginal PrEP. Here, we used bone marrow/liver/thymus humanized mice to measure the in vivo efficacy against HIV-1 of single and combination antiviral compounds applied vaginally, coupled with data analysis using the Chou-Talalay mathematical model to study the dose-effect characteristics. Unexpectedly, strong antagonism was observed in drug combinations composed of TDF-FTC coupled with a third agent using a different mode of action against HIV-1. The antagonistic effect was remedied when TDF was omitted from the regimen. Our approach provides a translational template for the preclinical, rational, and systematic evaluation of drug combinations for the prevention of HIV-1, and other viral diseases.


Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , HIV-1 , Feminino , Camundongos , Animais , Masculino , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Tenofovir/uso terapêutico , Emtricitabina , Combinação de Medicamentos
3.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 32(2): 233-241, 2023 02 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36409490

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To examine the contribution of B-cell activation molecules to B-cell follicular lymphoma (FL) and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), a prospective study was conducted using pre-diagnosis serial serum samples from the US Department of Defense Serum Repository. METHODS: Each case (n = 142 FL, n = 211 DLBCL) was matched to two controls on age, gender, race, military branch, and blood collection dates. Immune activation molecules (IL1ß, IL2, IL4, IL5, IL6, IL10, IL12, CXCL13, IL8, TNFα, IFNγ, GM-CSF, VEGF, sCD30, IgE) were quantified using ELISA or multiplex immunometric (Luminex) assay. Longitudinal data were analyzed using linear mixed modeling. As serial specimens were collected over several years before diagnosis, we evaluated the temporal dynamics of these markers. RESULTS: Increased serum levels of sCD30, CXCL13, and to a lesser extent IL10, were associated with both FL and DLBCL in cases compared with controls, with a median follow-up of 5.5 years from the earliest specimen collection to diagnosis date. Significant increasing sCD30 and CXCL13 trajectories for FL and DLBCL subtypes were noted starting at the earliest time points and with IL10 levels increasing significantly at time points closer to diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that sCD30, CXCL13, and IL10 may contribute to the etiology of FL and DLBCL and are potential biomarkers for these non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes. IMPACT: The increasing trajectories of the B-cell activation molecules, sCD30, CXCL13, and to a lesser extent IL10, may indicate early disease-induced effects or reflect the chronic stimulation of B-cells that promotes the development of FL and DLBCL subtypes.


Assuntos
Linfoma Folicular , Linfoma Difuso de Grandes Células B , Linfoma não Hodgkin , Humanos , Interleucina-10 , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Linfoma não Hodgkin/diagnóstico , Linfoma Difuso de Grandes Células B/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores Tumorais
4.
Pharm Res ; 40(7): 1657-1672, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36418671

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Long-acting formulations of the potent antiretroviral prodrug tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) hold potential as biomedical HIV prevention modalities. Here, we present a rigorous comparison of three animal models, C57BL/6 J mice, beagle dogs, and merino sheep for evaluating TAF implant pharmacokinetics (PKs). METHODS: Implants delivering TAF over a wide range of controlled release rates were tested in vitro and in mice and dogs. Our existing PK model, supported by an intravenous (IV) dosing dog study, was adapted to analyze mechanistic aspects underlying implant TAF delivery. RESULTS: TAF in vitro release in the 0.13 to 9.8 mg d-1 range with zero order kinetics were attained. Implants with equivalent fabrication parameters released TAF in mice and sheep at rates that were not statistically different, but were 3 times higher in dogs. When two implants were placed in the same subcutaneous pocket, a two-week creep to Cmax was observed in dogs for systemic drug and metabolite concentrations, but not in mice. Co-modeling IV and TAF implant PK data in dogs led to an apparent TAF bioavailability of 9.6 in the single implant groups (compared to the IV group), but only 1.5 when two implants were placed in the same subcutaneous pocket. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the current results, we recommend using mice and sheep, with macaques as a complementary species, for preclinical TAF implant evaluation with the caveat that our observations may be specific to the implant technology used here. Our report provides fundamental, translatable insights into multispecies TAF delivery via long-acting implants.


Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição , Animais , Camundongos , Cães , Ovinos , Tenofovir , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição/métodos , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Adenina , Alanina
5.
Commun Med (Lond) ; 2: 129, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36238348

RESUMO

Background: A comprehensive understanding of the SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics and the ensuing host immune responses is needed to explain the pathogenesis as it relates to viral transmission. Knowledge gaps exist surrounding SARS-CoV-2 in vivo kinetics, particularly in the earliest stages after exposure. Methods: An ongoing, workplace clinical surveillance study was used to intensely sample a small cohort longitudinally. Nine study participants who developed COVID-19 between November, 2020 and March, 2021 were monitored at high temporal resolution for three months in terms of viral loads as well as associated inflammatory biomarker and antibody responses. CD8 + T cells targeting SARS-CoV-2 in blood samples from study participants were evaluated. Results: Here we show that the resulting datasets, supported by Bayesian modeling, allowed the underlying kinetic processes to be described, yielding a number of unexpected findings. Early viral replication is rapid (median doubling time, 3.1 h), providing a narrow window between exposure and viral shedding, while the clearance phase is slow and heterogeneous. Host immune responses different widely across participants. Conclusions: Results from our small study give a rare insight into the life-cycle of COVID-19 infection and hold a number of important biological, clinical, and public health implications.

6.
iScience ; 25(7): 104488, 2022 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35880029

RESUMO

Living with HIV infection is associated with early onset of aging-related chronic conditions, sometimes described as accelerated aging. Epigenetic DNA methylation patterns can evaluate acceleration of biological age relative to chronological age. The impact of initial HIV infection on five epigenetic measures of aging was examined before and approximately 3 years after HIV infection in the same individuals (n=102). Significant epigenetic age acceleration (median 1.9-4.8 years) and estimated telomere length shortening (all p≤ 0.001) were observed from pre-to post-HIV infection, and remained significant in three epigenetic measures after controlling for T cell changes. No acceleration was seen in age- and time interval-matched HIV-uninfected controls. Changes in genome-wide co-methylation clusters were also significantly associated with initial HIV infection (p≤ 2.0 × 10-4). These longitudinal observations clearly demonstrate an early and substantial impact of HIV infection on the epigenetic aging process, and suggest a role for HIV itself in the earlier onset of clinical aging.

7.
Viruses ; 14(5)2022 04 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35632627

RESUMO

The emerging Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its variants have raised tantalizing questions about evolutionary mechanisms that continue to shape biology today. We have compared the nucleotide sequence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA to that of genomes of many different viruses, of endosymbiotic proteobacterial and bacterial DNAs, and of human mitochondrial DNA. The entire 4,641,652 nt DNA sequence of Escherichia coli K12 has been computer-matched to SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Numerous, very similar micro-modular clusters of 3 to 13 nucleotides lengths were detected with sequence identities of 40 to >50% in specific genome segments between SARS-CoV-2 and the investigated genomes. These clusters were part of patch-type homologies. Control sequence comparisons between 1000 randomly computer-composed sequences of 29.9 kb and with the A, C, G, T base composition of SARS-CoV-2 genome versus the reference Wuhan SARS-CoV-2 sequence showed similar patterns of sequence homologies. The universal A, C, G, T genetic coding mode might have succeeded in evolution due in part to its built-in capacity to select for a substantial reservoir of micro-modular domains and employ them as platforms for integrative recombination. Their role in SARS-CoV-2 interspecies transition and the generation of variants appears likely, but their actual involvement will require detailed investigations.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , DNA Mitocondrial , Bactérias/genética , DNA Mitocondrial/genética , Genoma Viral , Humanos , RNA Viral/genética , Recombinação Genética , SARS-CoV-2/genética
8.
Prev Med Rep ; 27: 101780, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35342689

RESUMO

Misperceptions about COVID-19 health risks may be associated with preferences for school and business closures and fear of becoming seriously ill. We analyzed data from the Franklin Templeton-Gallup Economic of Recovery Study (July-December 2020, N = 35,068). Primary outcomes were whether a respondent favored closure of businesses or in-person schooling for elementary/secondary students. We also assessed respondents' fear of COVID-19 illness. We assessed risk misperceptions using respondents' estimates of the proportion of deaths from COVID-19 that occurred in persons under 55 years-old, the proportion of hospitalizations for COVID-19 that occurred in persons under 55 years-old, the mortality rate among patients hospitalized with COVID-19, and the rate of hospitalization for patients infected with COVID-19. The proportion of respondents who favored business closures ranged from 37% to 53%, and the proportion of respondents who favored school closures ranged from 38% to 44%. Most participants reported beliefs about COVID-19 health risks that were inaccurate, and overestimation of health risk was most common. For example, while deaths in persons younger than 55 years-old accounted for 7% of total U.S. deaths, respondents estimated that this population represented 43% of deaths. Overestimating COVID-19 health harms was associated with increased likelihood of fear of serious illness if infected, preferences for business closures, and preferences for school closures. U.S. survey respondents overestimated several COVID-19 risks, and overestimation was associated with increased fear of serious illness and stronger preferences for business/school lockdowns.

9.
mSphere ; 6(4): e0054221, 2021 08 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34232081

RESUMO

Public health practices and high vaccination rates currently represent the primary interventions for managing the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We initiated a clinical study based on frequent, longitudinal workplace disease surveillance to control severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission among employees and their household members. We hypothesized that the study would reduce the economic burden and loss of productivity of both individuals and small businesses resulting from standard isolation methods, while providing new insights into virus-host dynamics. Study participants (27 employees and 27 household members) consented to provide frequent nasal or oral swab samples that were analyzed by reverse transcription-quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) for SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Two study participants were found to be infected by SARS-CoV-2 during the study. One subject, a household member, was SARS-CoV-2 RNA positive for at least 71 days and had quantifiable serum virus-specific antibody concentrations for over 1 year. One unrelated employee became positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA over the course of the study but remained asymptomatic, with low associated viral RNA copy numbers, no detectable serum IgM and IgG concentrations, and IgA concentrations that decayed rapidly (half-life: 1.3 days). A COVID-19 infection model was used to predict that without surveillance intervention, up to 7 employees (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3 to 10) would have become infected, with at most 1 of them requiring hospitalization. Our scalable and transferable surveillance plan met its primary objectives and represents a powerful example of an innovative public health initiative dovetailed with scientific discovery. IMPORTANCE The rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 and the associated COVID-19 has precipitated a global pandemic heavily challenging our social behavior, economy, and health care infrastructure. In the absence of widespread, worldwide access to safe and effective vaccines and therapeutics, public health measures represent a key intervention for curbing the devastating impacts from the pandemic. We are conducting an ongoing clinical study based on frequent, longitudinal workplace disease surveillance to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission among employees and their household members. Our study was successful in surveying the viral and immune response dynamics in two participants with unusual infections: one remained positive for SARS-CoV-2 for 71 days, while the other was asymptomatic, with low associated viral RNA copy numbers. A COVID-19 infection model was used to predict that without surveillance intervention, up to 7 employees would have become infected, with at most 1 of them requiring hospitalization, underscoring the importance of our program.


Assuntos
COVID-19/imunologia , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/virologia , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Saúde Pública , RNA Viral/imunologia , Local de Trabalho , Adulto Jovem
10.
JMIR Form Res ; 5(8): e30164, 2021 Aug 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34253507

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Adverse mental and emotional health outcomes are increasingly recognized as a public health challenge associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to examine the association of COVID-19 risk misperceptions with self-reported household isolation, a potential risk factor for social isolation and loneliness. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Franklin Templeton-Gallup Economics of Recovery Study (July to December 2020) of 24,649 US adults. We also analyzed data from the Gallup Panel (March 2020 to February 2021), which included 123,516 observations about loneliness. The primary outcome was self-reported household isolation, which we defined as a respondent having no contact or very little contact with people outside their household, analogous to quarantining. RESULTS: From July to December 2020, 53% to 57% of respondents reported living in household isolation. Most participants reported beliefs about COVID-19 health risks that were inaccurate, and overestimation of health risk was most common. For example, while deaths in persons younger than 55 years old accounted for 7% of total US deaths, respondents estimated that this population represented 43% of deaths. Overestimating COVID-19 health risks was associated with increased self-reported household isolation, with percentage differences ranging from 5.6 to 11.8 (P<.001 at each time point). Characteristics associated with self-reported household isolation from the July and August 2020 surveys and persisting in the December 2020 survey included younger age (18 to 39 years), having a serious medical condition, having a household member with a serious medical condition, and identifying as a Democrat. In the Gallup Panel, self-reported household isolation was associated with a higher prevalence of loneliness. CONCLUSIONS: Pandemic-related harms to emotional and mental well-being may be attenuated by reducing risk overestimation and household isolation preferences that exceed public health guidelines.

11.
J Am Pharm Assoc (2003) ; 61(5): e108-e112, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34246575

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Increasing naloxone access in communities has been a priority to mitigate the increasing rate of opioid-related overdose deaths. OBJECTIVES: The aims of this telephone survey were to estimate the availability of naloxone furnishing (provided without a prescription) by community pharmacists in California and examine the changes that occurred between 2018 and 2020. METHODS: A telephone audit of a random representative sample of 1271 California licensed community pharmacies was conducted from January 22, 2020, to February 24, 2020. The results were compared with those of a survey of 1147 California licensed community pharmacies that was conducted from January 23, 2018, to February 28, 2018. The primary outcomes measured were naloxone availability without a prescription, information on formulations, cost, insurance billing, and stocking status. RESULTS: There was a statistically significant increase in the furnishing of naloxone, as well as stocking and billing, in California from 2018 to 2020. Although fewer than half of the pharmacies were willing to provide naloxone without a prescription in 2020 (n = 487, 42.4%), this was an 80% increase from 2018 (P < 0.001). Of the pharmacies furnishing naloxone, many (n = 399, 81.9%) had nasal naloxone in stock, a large and statistically significant increase from 2018 when only 50.6% reported having it in stock (P < 0.001). In 2020, 90% of the pharmacies reported correctly that pharmacist-furnished naloxone could be billed to insurance compared with 56.9% in 2018 (P < 0.001). The median cash price of nasal naloxone (pack of 2) at chain pharmacies in 2020 was $131 (interquartile range [IQR] $129-$138) compared with $153 (IQR, $141-$163; P = 0.001) at independent pharmacies. CONCLUSION: Community pharmacy-based access to naloxone increased in a statistically significant manner in California, although more than half of the pharmacies still do not provide such access. This study demonstrates the need for further efforts to expand community pharmacy-based access to naloxone.


Assuntos
Overdose de Drogas , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides , Farmácias , California , Overdose de Drogas/tratamento farmacológico , Seguimentos , Humanos , Naloxona/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas de Entorpecentes/uso terapêutico , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/tratamento farmacológico , Farmacêuticos
12.
medRxiv ; 2021 May 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33972951

RESUMO

Males are at higher risk relative to females of severe outcomes following COVID-19 infection. Focusing on COVID-19-attributable mortality in the United States (U.S.), we quantify and contrast years of potential life lost (YPLL) attributable to COVID-19 by sex based on data from the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics as of 31 March 2021, specifically by contrasting male and female percentages of total YPLL with their respective percent population shares and calculating age-adjusted male-to-female YPLL rate ratios both nationally and for each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Using YPLL before age 75 to anchor comparisons between males and females and a novel Monte Carlo simulation procedure to perform estimation and uncertainty quantification, our results reveal a near-universal pattern across states of higher COVID-19-attributable YPLL among males compared to females. Furthermore, the disproportionately high COVID-19 mortality burden among males is generally more pronounced when measuring mortality in terms of YPLL compared to age-irrespective death counts, reflecting dual phenomena of males dying from COVID-19 at higher rates and at systematically younger ages relative to females. The U.S. COVID-19 epidemic also offers lessons underscoring the importance of a public health environment that recognizes sex-specific needs as well as different patterns in risk factors, health behaviors, and responses to interventions between men and women. Public health strategies incorporating focused efforts to increase COVID-19 vaccinations among men are particularly urged.

13.
PLoS One ; 16(5): e0251934, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34014993

RESUMO

We and others previously reported that the direct-acting agents (DAA) NS5A inhibitors (NS5Ai) and the host-targeting agents cyclophilin inhibitors (CypIs) inhibit HCV replication in vitro. In this study, we investigated whether the combination of NS5Ai and CypI offers a potent anti-HCV effect in vivo. A single administration of NS5Ai or CypI alone to HCV-infected humanized-mice inhibits HCV replication. The combination of NS5Ai with CypI suppresses HCV (GT1a, GT2a, GT3a and GT4a) replication in an additive manner. NS5Ai/CypI combinations provide a statistically more profound anti-HCV inhibition for GT2a and GT3a than GT1a and GT4a, leading to a fastest and deepest inhibition of GT2a and GT3a replications. Combining CypI with NS5Ai prevents the viral rebound normally observed in mice treated with NS5Ai alone. Results were confirmed in mice implanted with human hepatocytes from different donors. Therefore, the combination of NS5Ai with CypI may serve as a regimen for the treatment of HCV patients with specific genotypes and disorder conditions, which diminish sustain viral response levels to DAA, such as GT3a infection, cirrhosis, and DAA resistance associated with the selection of resistance-associated substitutions present at baseline or are acquired during treatment.


Assuntos
Antivirais/farmacologia , Ciclofilinas/genética , Hepacivirus/efeitos dos fármacos , Cirrose Hepática/tratamento farmacológico , Animais , Ciclofilinas/antagonistas & inibidores , Farmacorresistência Viral/genética , Genótipo , Hepacivirus/patogenicidade , Hepatócitos/efeitos dos fármacos , Hepatócitos/virologia , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática/genética , Cirrose Hepática/virologia , Camundongos , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais/antagonistas & inibidores , Replicação Viral/efeitos dos fármacos
14.
Virology ; 560: 17-33, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34020328

RESUMO

Envelope phosphatidylserine (PtdSer) and phosphatidylethanolamine (PtdEtr) have been shown to mediate binding of enveloped viruses. However, commonly used PtdSer binding molecules such as Annexin V cannot block PtdSer-mediated viral infection. Lack of reagents that can conceal envelope PtdSer and PtdEtr and subsequently inhibit infection hinders elucidation of the roles of the envelope phospholipids in viral infection. Here, we developed sTIM1dMLDR801, a reagent capable of blocking PtdSer- and PtdEtr-dependent infection of enveloped viruses. Using sTIM1dMLDR801, we found that envelope PtdSer and/or PtdEtr can support ZIKV infection of not only human but also mosquito cells. In a mouse model for ZIKV infection, sTIM1dMLDR801 reduced ZIKV load in serum and the spleen, indicating envelope PtdSer and/or PtdEtr support in viral infection in vivo. sTIM1dMLDR801 will enable elucidation of the roles of envelope PtdSer and PtdEtr in infection of various virus species, thereby facilitating identification of their receptors and transmission mechanisms.


Assuntos
Antivirais/farmacologia , Fosfatidiletanolaminas/antagonistas & inibidores , Fosfatidilserinas/antagonistas & inibidores , Ligação Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Internalização do Vírus/efeitos dos fármacos , Zika virus/efeitos dos fármacos , Células A549 , Animais , Linhagem Celular , Chlorocebus aethiops , Culicidae/virologia , Feminino , Células HEK293 , Humanos , Peptídeos e Proteínas de Sinalização Intercelular/metabolismo , Masculino , Camundongos , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Camundongos Knockout , Proteínas Proto-Oncogênicas/metabolismo , Receptores Proteína Tirosina Quinases/metabolismo , Receptor de Interferon alfa e beta/genética , Células Vero , Envelope Viral/metabolismo , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Zika virus/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Infecção por Zika virus/tratamento farmacológico , Infecção por Zika virus/patologia , Infecção por Zika virus/transmissão , Receptor Tirosina Quinase Axl
15.
EMBO Mol Med ; 13(6): e14062, 2021 06 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33931941

RESUMO

Scientists and the public were alarmed at the first large viral variant of SARS-CoV-2 reported in December 2020. We have followed the time course of emerging viral mutants and variants during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in ten countries on four continents. We examined > 383,500 complete SARS-CoV-2 nucleotide sequences in GISAID (Global Initiative of Sharing All Influenza Data) with sampling dates extending until April 05, 2021. These sequences originated from ten different countries: United Kingdom, South Africa, Brazil, United States, India, Russia, France, Spain, Germany, and China. Among the 77 to 100 novel mutations, some previously reported mutations waned and some of them increased in prevalence over time. VUI2012/01 (B.1.1.7) and 501Y.V2 (B.1.351), the so-called UK and South Africa variants, respectively, and two variants from Brazil, 484K.V2, now called P.1 and P.2, increased in prevalence. Despite lockdowns, worldwide active replication in genetically and socio-economically diverse populations facilitated selection of new mutations. The data on mutant and variant SARS-CoV-2 strains provided here comprise a global resource for easy access to the myriad mutations and variants detected to date globally. Rapidly evolving new variant and mutant strains might give rise to escape variants, capable of limiting the efficacy of vaccines, therapies, and diagnostic tests.


Assuntos
COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Genoma Viral , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/patologia , COVID-19/terapia , COVID-19/virologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Humanos , Mutação , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/genética , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais/genética
16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33809240

RESUMO

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic in the United States has disproportionately impacted communities of color across the country. Focusing on COVID-19-attributable mortality, we expand upon a national comparative analysis of years of potential life lost (YPLL) attributable to COVID-19 by race/ethnicity (Bassett et al., 2020), estimating percentages of total YPLL for non-Hispanic Whites, non-Hispanic Blacks, Hispanics, non-Hispanic Asians, and non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Natives, contrasting them with their respective percent population shares, as well as age-adjusted YPLL rate ratios-anchoring comparisons to non-Hispanic Whites-in each of 45 states and the District of Columbia using data from the National Center for Health Statistics as of 30 December 2020. Using a novel Monte Carlo simulation procedure to perform estimation, our results reveal substantial racial/ethnic disparities in COVID-19-attributable YPLL across states, with a prevailing pattern of non-Hispanic Blacks and Hispanics experiencing disproportionately high and non-Hispanic Whites experiencing disproportionately low COVID-19-attributable YPLL. Furthermore, estimated disparities are generally more pronounced when measuring mortality in terms of YPLL compared to death counts, reflecting the greater intensity of the disparities at younger ages. We also find substantial state-to-state variability in the magnitudes of the estimated racial/ethnic disparities, suggesting that they are driven in large part by social determinants of health whose degree of association with race/ethnicity varies by state.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Etnicidade , District of Columbia , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Hispânico ou Latino , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
17.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 17(3): e1008837, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33780443

RESUMO

Predictions of COVID-19 case growth and mortality are critical to the decisions of political leaders, businesses, and individuals grappling with the pandemic. This predictive task is challenging due to the novelty of the virus, limited data, and dynamic political and societal responses. We embed a Bayesian time series model and a random forest algorithm within an epidemiological compartmental model for empirically grounded COVID-19 predictions. The Bayesian case model fits a location-specific curve to the velocity (first derivative) of the log transformed cumulative case count, borrowing strength across geographic locations and incorporating prior information to obtain a posterior distribution for case trajectories. The compartmental model uses this distribution and predicts deaths using a random forest algorithm trained on COVID-19 data and population-level characteristics, yielding daily projections and interval estimates for cases and deaths in U.S. states. We evaluated the model by training it on progressively longer periods of the pandemic and computing its predictive accuracy over 21-day forecasts. The substantial variation in predicted trajectories and associated uncertainty between states is illustrated by comparing three unique locations: New York, Colorado, and West Virginia. The sophistication and accuracy of this COVID-19 model offer reliable predictions and uncertainty estimates for the current trajectory of the pandemic in the U.S. and provide a platform for future predictions as shifting political and societal responses alter its course.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , Previsões/métodos , Modelos Estatísticos , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , SARS-CoV-2 , Algoritmos , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19/transmissão , Biologia Computacional , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
18.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(4)2021 01 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33431650

RESUMO

The science around the use of masks by the public to impede COVID-19 transmission is advancing rapidly. In this narrative review, we develop an analytical framework to examine mask usage, synthesizing the relevant literature to inform multiple areas: population impact, transmission characteristics, source control, wearer protection, sociological considerations, and implementation considerations. A primary route of transmission of COVID-19 is via respiratory particles, and it is known to be transmissible from presymptomatic, paucisymptomatic, and asymptomatic individuals. Reducing disease spread requires two things: limiting contacts of infected individuals via physical distancing and other measures and reducing the transmission probability per contact. The preponderance of evidence indicates that mask wearing reduces transmissibility per contact by reducing transmission of infected respiratory particles in both laboratory and clinical contexts. Public mask wearing is most effective at reducing spread of the virus when compliance is high. Given the current shortages of medical masks, we recommend the adoption of public cloth mask wearing, as an effective form of source control, in conjunction with existing hygiene, distancing, and contact tracing strategies. Because many respiratory particles become smaller due to evaporation, we recommend increasing focus on a previously overlooked aspect of mask usage: mask wearing by infectious people ("source control") with benefits at the population level, rather than only mask wearing by susceptible people, such as health care workers, with focus on individual outcomes. We recommend that public officials and governments strongly encourage the use of widespread face masks in public, including the use of appropriate regulation.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Busca de Comunicante , Máscaras , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Humanos
20.
Front Genet ; 12: 796547, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35295196

RESUMO

Background: Epigenetic aging is accelerated in tissues of persons living with HIV (PLWH) and may underlie the early onset of age-related illnesses. This study examines the rate-of-change in epigenetic age in PLWH following HIV infection but before HAART, using archived longitudinal samples from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. Methods: DNA was isolated from cryopreserved peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 101 men living with HIV, with baseline visit <2.5 years after HIV seroconversion (Visit 1) and follow-up visit <1.5 years before the initiation of HAART (Visit 2), and 100 HIV-uninfected men matched on age and visits with comparable time intervals. DNA methylation (DNAm) age was estimated for five clocks (Pan-tissue, Extrinsic, Phenotypic, Grim, and Skin & Blood age), and a DNAm-based estimate of telomere length (DNAmTL). Multivariate linear regression models were used to examine baseline factors associated with rate-of-aging, defined as (DNAm age visit 2-DNAm age visit 1)/(age visit 2-age visit 1). Results: Epigenetic age increased approximately twice as fast in PLWH as uninfected controls (Pan-tissue, Extrinsic, and Phenotypic clocks). Shortening of DNAmTL was nearly 3-fold faster in PLWH than controls. Faster rate-of-aging was associated with HIV status (Pan-Tissue, Extrinsic, Phenotypic, and DNAmTL), white race (Extrinsic, DNAmTL), higher cumulative HIV viral load (Grim), and lower baseline DNAm age (Phenotypic, Skin & Blood). Conclusion: Epigenetic rates-of-aging were significantly faster for untreated PLWH. Our findings expand on the important impact of HIV infection on biologic aging, both in elevating epigenetic age and increasing the rate-of-aging in the years following infection.

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