Integration of Chronological Age Does Not Improve the Performance of a Mixed-Effect Model Using Comorbidity Burden and Frailty to Predict 90-Day Readmission After Surgery for Degenerative Scoliosis.

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the contributions of chronological age, comorbidity burden, and/or frailty in predicting 90-day readmission in patients undergoing degenerative scoliosis surgery. METHODS: Patients were identified through the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Nationwide Readmissions Database. Frailty was assessed using the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups frailty-defining indicator. Comorbidity was assessed using the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI). Generalized linear mixed-effects models were created to predict readmission using age, frailty, and/or ECI. Area under the curve (AUC) was compared using DeLong's test. RESULTS: A total of 8104 patients were identified. Readmission rate was 9.8%, with infection representing the most common cause (3.5%). Our first model utilized chronological age, ECI, and/or frailty as primary predictors. The combination of ECI + frailty + age performed best, but the inclusion of chronological age did not significantly improve performance compared to ECI + frailty alone (AUC 0.603 vs. 0.599, P = 0.290). A second model using only chronological age and frailty as primary predictors performed better, however the inclusion of chronological age worsened performance when compared to frailty alone (AUC 0.747 vs. 0.743, P = 0.043). CONCLUSIONS: These data support frailty as a predictor of 90-day readmission within a nationally representative sample. Frailty alone performed better than combinations of ECI and age. Interestingly, the integration of chronological age did not dramatically improve the model's performance. Limitations include the use of a national registry and a single frailty index. This provides impetus to explore biological age, rather than chronological age, as a potential tool for surgical risk assessment.

A phase 2 study of imatinib in patients with relapsed or refractory Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoid leukemias.

The translocation (9;22) gives rise to the p190(Bcr-Abl) and p210(Bcr-Abl) tyrosine kinase proteins, considered sufficient for leukemic transformation. Philadelphia-positive (Ph(+)) acute leukemia patients failing to respond to initial induction therapy have a poor prognosis with few effective treatment options. Imatinib is an orally administered, potent inhibitor of the Bcr-Abl tyrosine kinase. We conducted a clinical trial in 56 patients with relapsed or refractory Ph(+) acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL; 48 patients) or chronic myelogenous leukemia in lymphoid blast crisis (LyBC; 8 patients). Imatinib was given once daily at 400 mg or 600 mg. Imatinib induced complete hematologic responses (CHRs) and complete marrow responses (marrow-CRs) in 29% of ALL patients (CHR, 19%; marrow-CR, 10%), which were sustained for at least 4 weeks in 6% of patients. Median estimated time to progression and overall survival for ALL patients were 2.2 and 4.9 months, respectively. CHRs were reported for 3 (38%) of the patients with LyBC (one sustained CHR). Grade 3 or 4 treatment-related nonhematologic toxicity was reported for 9% of patients; none of the patients discontinued therapy because of nonhematologic adverse reactions. Grade 4 neutropenia and thrombocytopenia occurred in 54% and 27% of patients, respectively. Imatinib therapy resulted in a clinically relevant hematologic response rate in relapsed or refractory Ph(+) acute lymphoid leukemia patients, but development of resistance and subsequent disease progression were rapid. Further studies are warranted to test the effects of imatinib in combination with other agents and to define the mechanisms of resistance to imatinib.

Chronic myelogenous leukemia in T cell lymphoid blastic phase achieving durable complete cytogenetic and molecular remission with imatinib mesylate (STI571; Gleevec) therapy.

BACKGROUND: A T cell lymphoid blastic phase of chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) is a rare occurrence, with only a few reported cases worldwide. Standard therapy for such patients is undetermined. Imatinib mesylate, a Bcr-Abl tyrosine kinase inhibitor, has shown activity in CML. METHODS: The authors report on a patient with CML and marrow as well as extramedullary nodal T cell lymphoid blastic phase who was treated with imatinib mesylate. RESULTS: The patient achieved complete morphologic and cytogenetic remission within two months of therapy. Competitive quantitative polymerase chain reaction analysis of marrow cells was negative after 15 months. Response had lasted for 26+ months at the time of writing. CONCLUSIONS: The current data suggest that imatinib mesylate may produce long-term event free survival in patients with T-cell lymphoid blastic phase CML. Its potential role alone or in combinations should be further explored in this condition.

Imatinib induces durable hematologic and cytogenetic responses in patients with accelerated phase chronic myeloid leukemia: results of a phase 2 study.

Chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) is caused by expression of the BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase oncogene, the product of the t(9;22) Philadelphia translocation. Patients with CML in accelerated phase have rapidly progressive disease and are characteristically unresponsive to existing therapies. Imatinib (formerly STI571) is a rationally developed, orally administered inhibitor of the Bcr-Abl kinase. A total of 235 CML patients were enrolled in this study, of whom 181 had a confirmed diagnosis of accelerated phase. Patients were treated with imatinib at 400 or 600 mg/d and were evaluated for hematologic and cytogenetic response, time to progression, survival, and toxicity. Imatinib induced hematologic response in 82% of patients and sustained hematologic responses lasting at least 4 weeks in 69% (complete in 34%). The rate of major cytogenetic response was 24% (complete in 17%). Estimated 12-month progression-free and overall survival rates were 59% and 74%, respectively. Nonhematologic toxicity was usually mild or moderate, and hematologic toxicity was manageable. In comparison to 400 mg, imatinib doses of 600 mg/d led to more cytogenetic responses (28% compared to 16%), longer duration of response (79% compared to 57% at 12 months), time to disease progression (67% compared to 44% at 12 months), and overall survival (78% compared to 65% at 12 months), with no clinically relevant increase in toxicity. Orally administered imatinib is an effective and well-tolerated treatment for patients with CML in accelerated phase. A daily dose of 600 mg is more effective than 400 mg, with similar toxicity.