An ensemble-based machine learning model for predicting type 2 diabetes and its effect on bone health.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is a chronic condition that can result in many long-term physiological, metabolic, and neurological complications. Therefore, early detection of diabetes would help to determine a proper diagnosis and treatment plan. METHODS: In this study, we employed machine learning (ML) based case-control study on a diabetic cohort size of 1000 participants form Qatar Biobank to predict diabetes using clinical and bone health indicators from Dual Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DXA) machines. ML models were utilized to distinguish diabetes groups from non-diabetes controls. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) was leveraged to identify a subset of features to improve the performance of model. SHAP based analysis was used for the importance of features and support the explainability of the proposed model. RESULTS: Ensemble based models XGboost and RF achieved over 84% accuracy for detecting diabetes. After applying RFE, we selected only 20 features which improved the model accuracy to 87.2%. From a clinical standpoint, higher HDL-Cholesterol and Neutrophil levels were observed in the diabetic group, along with lower vitamin B12 and testosterone levels. Lower sodium levels were found in diabetics, potentially stemming from clinical factors including specific medications, hormonal imbalances, unmanaged diabetes. We believe Dapagliflozin prescriptions in Qatar were associated with decreased Gamma Glutamyltransferase and Aspartate Aminotransferase enzyme levels, confirming prior research. We observed that bone area, bone mineral content, and bone mineral density were slightly lower in the Diabetes group across almost all body parts, but the difference against the control group was not statistically significant except in T12, troch and trunk area. No significant negative impact of diabetes progression on bone health was observed over a period of 5-15 yrs in the cohort. CONCLUSION: This study recommends the inclusion of ML model which combines both DXA and clinical data for the early diagnosis of diabetes.

Corneal nerve loss predicts dementia in patients with mild cognitive impairment.

OBJECTIVES: This study compared the utility of corneal nerve measures with brain volumetry for predicting progression to dementia in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). METHODS: Participants with no cognitive impairment (NCI) and MCI underwent assessment of cognitive function, brain volumetry of thirteen brain structures, including the hippocampus and corneal confocal microscopy (CCM). Participants with MCI were followed up in the clinic to identify progression to dementia. RESULTS: Of 107 participants with MCI aged 68.4 ± 7.7 years, 33 (30.8%) progressed to dementia over 2.6-years of follow-up. Compared to participants with NCI (n = 12), participants who remained with MCI (n = 74) or progressed to dementia had lower corneal nerve measures (p < 0.0001). Progressors had lower corneal nerve measures, hippocampal, and whole brain volume (all p < 0.0001). However, CCM had a higher prognostic accuracy (72%-75% vs 68%-69%) for identifying individuals who progressed to dementia compared to hippocampus and whole brain volume. The adjusted odds ratio for progression to dementia was 6.1 (95% CI: 1.6-23.8) and 4.1 (95% CI: 1.2-14.2) higher with abnormal CCM measures, but was not significant for abnormal brain volume. INTERPRETATION: Abnormal CCM measures have a higher prognostic accuracy than brain volumetry for predicting progression from MCI to dementia. Further work is required to validate the predictive ability of CCM compared to other established biomarkers of dementia.

Cardiovascular Disease Diagnosis from DXA Scan and Retinal Images Using Deep Learning.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading cause of death worldwide. People affected by CVDs may go undiagnosed until the occurrence of a serious heart failure event such as stroke, heart attack, and myocardial infraction. In Qatar, there is a lack of studies focusing on CVD diagnosis based on non-invasive methods such as retinal image or dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). In this study, we aimed at diagnosing CVD using a novel approach integrating information from retinal images and DXA data. We considered an adult Qatari cohort of 500 participants from Qatar Biobank (QBB) with an equal number of participants from the CVD and the control groups. We designed a case-control study with a novel multi-modal (combining data from multiple modalities-DXA and retinal images)-to propose a deep learning (DL)-based technique to distinguish the CVD group from the control group. Uni-modal models based on retinal images and DXA data achieved 75.6% and 77.4% accuracy, respectively. The multi-modal model showed an improved accuracy of 78.3% in classifying CVD group and the control group. We used gradient class activation map (GradCAM) to highlight the areas of interest in the retinal images that influenced the decisions of the proposed DL model most. It was observed that the model focused mostly on the centre of the retinal images where signs of CVD such as hemorrhages were present. This indicates that our model can identify and make use of certain prognosis markers for hypertension and ischemic heart disease. From DXA data, we found higher values for bone mineral density, fat content, muscle mass and bone area across majority of the body parts in CVD group compared to the control group indicating better bone health in the Qatari CVD cohort. This seminal method based on DXA scans and retinal images demonstrate major potentials for the early detection of CVD in a fast and relatively non-invasive manner.

Loss of corneal nerves and brain volume in mild cognitive impairment and dementia.

Introduction: This study compared the capability of corneal confocal microscopy (CCM) with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) brain volumetry for the diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, participants with no cognitive impairment (NCI), MCI, and dementia underwent assessment of Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), MRI brain volumetry, and CCM. Results: Two hundred eight participants with NCI (n = 42), MCI (n = 98), and dementia (n = 68) of comparable age and gender were studied. For MCI, the area under the curve (AUC) of CCM (76% to 81%), was higher than brain volumetry (52% to 70%). For dementia, the AUC of CCM (77% to 85%), was comparable to brain volumetry (69% to 93%). Corneal nerve fiber density, length, branch density, whole brain, hippocampus, cortical gray matter, thalamus, amygdala, and ventricle volumes were associated with cognitive impairment after adjustment for confounders (All P's < .01). Discussion: The diagnostic capability of CCM compared to brain volumetry is higher for identifying MCI and comparable for dementia, and abnormalities in both modalities are associated with cognitive impairment.

The Linkage Between Bone Densitometry and Cardiovascular Disease.

Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) has been traditionally used to assess body composition covering bone, fat and muscle content. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has deleterious effects on bone health and fat composition. Therefore, early detection of bone health, fat and muscle composition would help to anticipate a proper diagnosis and treatment plan for CVD patients. In this study, we leveraged machine learning (ML)-based models to predict CVD using DXA, demonstrating that it can be considered an innovative approach for early detection of CVD. We leveraged state-of-the-art ML models to classify the CVD group from non-CVD group. The proposed logistic regression-based model achieved nearly 80% accuracy. Overall, the bone mineral density, fat content, muscle mass and bone surface area measurements were elevated in the CVD group compared to non-CVD group. Ablation study revealed a more successful discriminatory power of fat content and bone mineral density than muscle mass and bone areas. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first ML model to reveal the association between DXA measurements and CVD in the Qatari population. We believe this study will open new avenues of introducing DXA in creating the diagnosis and treatment plan of cardiovascular diseases.

Obesity in Qatar: A Case-Control Study on the Identification of Associated Risk Factors.

Obesity is an emerging public health problem in the Western world as well as in the Gulf region. Qatar, a tiny wealthy county, is among the top-ranked obese countries with a high obesity rate among its population. Compared to Qatar's severity of this health crisis, only a limited number of studies focused on the systematic identification of potential risk factors using multimodal datasets. This study aims to develop machine learning (ML) models to distinguish healthy from obese individuals and reveal potential risk factors associated with obesity in Qatar. We designed a case-control study focused on 500 Qatari subjects, comprising 250 obese and 250 healthy individuals- the later forming the control group. We obtained the most extensive collection of clinical measurements for the Qatari population from the Qatar Biobank (QBB) repertoire, including (i) Physio-clinical Biomarkers, (ii) Spirometry, (iii) VICORDER, (iv) DXA scan composition, and (v) DXA scan densitometry readings. We developed several machine learning (ML) models to distinguish healthy from obese individuals and applied multiple feature selection techniques to identify potential risk factors associated with obesity. The proposed ML model achieved over 90% accuracy, thereby outperforming the existing state of the art models. The outcome from the ablation study on multimodal clinical datasets revealed physio-clinical measurements as the most influential risk factors in distinguishing healthy versus obese subjects. Furthermore, multiple feature ranking techniques confirmed known obesity risk factors (c-peptide, insulin, albumin, uric acid) and identified potential risk factors linked to obesity-related comorbidities such as diabetes (e.g., HbA1c, glucose), liver function (e.g., alkaline phosphatase, gamma-glutamyl transferase), lipid profile (e.g., triglyceride, low density lipoprotein cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol), etc. Most of the DXA measurements (e.g., bone area, bone mineral composition, bone mineral density, etc.) were significantly (p-value < 0.05) higher in the obese group. Overall, the net effect of hypothesized protective factors of obesity on bone mass seems to have surpassed the hypothesized harmful factors. All the identified factors warrant further investigation in a clinical setup to understand their role in obesity.

Understanding the Food Habits and Physical Activities of Diabetes Cohort in Qatar.

In this study, we analyze the food and lifestyle-related factors for a Diabetic cohort from Qatar, where the prevalence of diabetes is among the top in the Middle East region. Statistical analysis shows that the diabetic group is consuming a lower amount of fast foods, soft drinks and meats as a meal but a higher amount of vegetables and fruits compared to the control group. Though the diabetic cohort consumes a lower number of snacks and desserts, they consume a higher amount of sugar for tea. Interestingly, we find the diabetes cohort is spending a lower amount of time in sedentary life but their involvement in different physical activities is lower than the control group. Overall, we conclude that the Qatari diabetic cohort, considered in this study, is following standard guidelines for food and drinks but they may need to improve the physical activity level following physician guidelines.

Cardiovascular Diseases in Qatar: Smoking, Food Habits and Physical Activities Perspectives.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) trigger a high number of deaths across the world. In this study, we investigate the food, drinking, smoking, and lifestyle-related habits for a Qatari CVD cohort to understand the implication of these factors on CVD. Statistical analysis shows that the CVD group is consuming a lower amount of fast foods, soft drinks, snacks, and meats compared to the control group. Alarmingly, the level of smoking is still higher in the CVD group, and the consumption level of healthy items (e.g., cereal, cornflakes) in breakfast is relatively lower compared to the control group. Interestingly, the CVD cohort is spending more time walking and avoiding heavy sports, compared to the control group, but their involvement in moderate physical activities is lower than the control group. Overall, we conclude that the Qatari CVD cohort is following most of the standard guidelines related to food items and heavy sports; however, the cohort should reduce smoking habits, and may modify the moderate level of physical activity based on physician guidelines.

Machine Learning Models Reveal the Importance of Clinical Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease.

Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disease that causes complications with thinking capability, memory and behavior. AD is a major public health problem among the elderly in developed and developing countries. With the growth of AD around the world, there is a need to further expand our understanding of the roles different clinical measurements can have in the diagnosis of AD. In this work, we propose a machine learning-based technique to distinguish control subjects with no cognitive impairments, AD subjects, and subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), often seen as precursors of AD. We utilized several machine learning (ML) techniques and found that Gradient Boosting Decision Trees achieved the highest performance above 84% classification accuracy. Also, we determined the importance of the features (clinical biomarkers) contributing to the proposed multi-class classification system. Further investigation on the biomarkers will pave the way to introduce better treatment plan for AD patients.